Business Plan 1 Table of Contents 1.0 Executive Summary .................................................................................................... 1 2.0 Business Overview ...................................................................................................... 2 2.1 Introduction ......................................................................................................................... 2 2.2 Logo ...................................................................................................................................... 2 3.0 Operations & HR Plan ............................................................................................... 3 3.1 Location and Site Plan ........................................................................................................ 3 3.2 Operations/Hours ................................................................................................................ 4 3.3 Staffing ................................................................................................................................. 5 3.4 Ownership & Legal Structure............................................................................................ 5 3.5 Suppliers .............................................................................................................................. 5 3.6 Cost of Goods Sold .............................................................................................................. 6 3.7 Capital Budget ..................................................................................................................... 6 3.8 Operating Expenses ............................................................................................................ 6 4.0 Marketing Plan............................................................................................................ 8 4.1 Atmosphere .......................................................................................................................... 8 4.2 Target Demographic ........................................................................................................... 9 4.3 Product ................................................................................................................................. 9 4.4 Price .................................................................................................................................... 10 4.5 Promotion .......................................................................................................................... 10 4.6 Placement ........................................................................................................................... 11 4.7 Revenue Estimates ............................................................................................................ 11 5.0 Financial Model ......................................................................................................... 12 5.1 Investment.......................................................................................................................... 12 5.2 Return ................................................................................................................................ 12 5.3 Sensitivity Analysis ........................................................................................................... 12 5.4 Break Even Analysis ......................................................................................................... 13 6.0 Conclusion ................................................................................................................. 13 Figures & Tables Figure 3.1 Saskatoon Downtown…………………………………………………………….…..3 Table 3.1 Operating Hours……………………………………………………………………....4 Table 3.2 Staffing Cost…………………………………………………………………………...5 Table 3.3 Capital Budget………………………………………………………………………...6 Table 3.4 Operating Expenses…………………………………………………………………...6 Table 4.1 Revenue Projections………………………………………………………………….10 Figure 5.2 Owners Compensation……………………………………………………………...11 Figure 5.2 Sensitivity Analysis………………………………………………………………….11 Table 5.1 Breakeven Net Income……………………………………………………………….12 1.0 Executive Summary Saskatoon is currently experiencing a tremendous amount of growth due to a thriving resource sector and renewed strength in agriculture. With this come jobs, high paying and sustainable jobs, which are increasing the amount of household income per capita. With an increase in individual wealth in the province comes an excess of disposable consumer income to spend on goods and services such as food and entertainment via restaurants and lounges. This is an opportune time for a niche establishment within the Saskatoon marketplace to serve the unique needs of the modern gentleman. This business plan has been prepared in order to seek a loan of $50,000.00 from a financial institution in order to have the capital available to begin the venture. The plan is divided into the following portions: Business Overview Operations Human Resources Marketing Financials Throughout the process of creating the financial model it has been found that The Aristocrat will conceptually be able to turn a profit in year one of $52,167.00 and will be distributing dividends to its two shareholders as early as year 2. With a Gross Profit Margin of 58% The Aristocrat seems to be a viable business venture for a sole proprietor however it does not present an opportunity for expansion or increased earnings as the capacity of the desired location is capped at 32 customers at any given time. As well, because The Aristocrat only offers scotch and other alcoholic beverages without providing food options we are limited to a certain amount of profitable hours throughout the day. With these challenges also come opportunities that the business can exploit including a niche market that currently does not have any substitutes or direct competition in regards to a lounge that specializes in scotch and presents the same unique atmosphere that The Aristocrat will have. In summation this is a viable business opportunity and if pursued will render profitable returns via Average Owners Compensation of dividends and managerial salary. 1 2.0 Business Overview 2.1 Introduction The Aristocrat is a Saskatoon based scotch lounge that specializes in creating an individualistic experience for customers via Saskatoon’s largest selection of Scotch whisky paired with a unique drinking experience. The concept of The Aristocrat is to emulate the atmosphere of a traditional gentleman or member’s lounge that can often be found in historic areas of countries such as Great Britain. Currently there is a niche in the Saskatoon marketplace for a lounge that specializes in Scotch whisky and this is the niche that the Aristocrat will fill. 2.2 Logo The logo of The Aristocrat is quite indicative of what the establishment seeks to represent and embody. As you can see within the four sectors of the coat of arms there is a scotch decanter, deer catcher, tobacco pipe, and wingback chair, all of which are elemental part of what it means to be the modern gentleman and Aristocrat. In Latin on the sheath you can see the inscription of which the lounge stands for, which in English translates to “In Scotch whiskey we trust”. Finally at the bottom you can see our marketing slogan which is “You are not worthy” which challenges our customers to be worthy of the scotch they drink and in essence be the modern gentleman. 2 3.0 Operations & HR Plan 3.1 Location and Site Plan The location selected for The Aristocrat will be in the downtown area of Saskatoon between the blocks of 1st and 3rd Avenue. This location is in the ideal geographical location in regards to the customer demographic this lounge seeks to attract. At high times such as lunch and afternoon tea, many of the lounges ideal customers are already 3 located in the downtown area due to their workplace proximity, allowing The Aristocrat to attract customers without the barrier of parking. With that said, in the evenings beyond 6:00 pm when the lounge will see its highest customer turnover parking is free of charge downtown. In lieu of our desired customer base we are able to attract customers at both high turnover hours without the issue of parking, which serves as a large determinant for customers choosing to do business downtown Saskatoon in a retail or hospitality environment. Figure 3.1 Saskatoon Downtown In lieu of the Aristocrat not serving food it was important that a substitute for that product was offered party to SLGA’s (Saskatchewan Liquor and Gaming Authority) law regarding serving alcohol in an establishment and available food requirements. With this in mind the lounge will seek to find a location within the Downtown area as articulated above that will serve as a speak easy. The concept of a speakeasy was formulated during the prohibition days in the United States when alcohol was illegal and there was a large demand for discrete means of consumption. Often times these rooms were hidden behind established and legitimate restaurants with a hidden passage way in. The Aristocrat will use this same concept however it will be doing so for a different purpose than to evade law enforcement. By locating the lounge behind an existing and complimentary restaurant the Aristocrat will be offering it customers the ability to get a meal before or after there time at the lounge and can also capitalize on the existing clientele and foot traffic of whichever restaurant it resides behind. As well, due to the fact that the lounge will be in the back of the building there is a high likelihood that the monthly lease costs will be substantially more cost effective rather than having a downtown storefront. In regards to size, the Aristocrat is seeking a space approximately 1200 sq. feet that is accessible through a complimentary established restaurant. One such location is above the Bell and Whistle Downtown Saskatoon on 2nd Avenue. 3.2 Operations/Hours The Aristocrat will be 6 days a week excluding Sundays with the hours articulated in the table below: Hours Mon Tues Wed Thur Fri Sat Sun Open 11:00 am 11:00 am 11:00 am 11:00 am 11:00 am 11:00 am Closed Close 10:00 pm 10:00 pm 10:00 pm 10:00 pm 2:00 am 2:00 am Closed 4 Table 3.1 Operating Hours 3.3 Staffing The lounge operating staff will consist of one full time server/bartender as well as a manager. With a maximum capacity of 35 people within the lounge at any given time it is a reasonable estimate to say that this customer load can be bore by two employees when taking into consideration that food is not an item on the menu and thus serving consists entirely on a bartender. Many restaurants only employ 1 to 2 bartenders on any given night of the week, as they are capable of serving a large breadth of customers due to the short time it takes to prepare any such drink order. Annual costs for both full time and part time employees can be seen in the table below: Manager 50,000 51,250 52,531 53,845 55,191 Full time staff 25,480 26,117 26,770 27,439 28,125 Part time staff 19,037 18,446 24,075 29,689 34,484 Total Salaries and Wages 94,517 95,813 103,376 110,973 117,799 Table 3.2 Staffing Costs 3.4 Ownership & Legal Structure The lounge will be owned and operated by myself as a sole proprietorship and will also have a second equity shareholder at 5% of the company for services rendered in the creation of a scotch application for mobile users which will be further elaborated upon in the marketing section. 3.5 Suppliers The main suppliers for The Aristocrat will be the Saskatchewan Liquor and Gaming Authority as well as Little Bird Patisserie & Café for Scotch inventory as well as for pastries and desserts served in the afternoon. 5 3.6 Cost of Goods Sold The expected COGS for the Aristocrat in year one of operations are $160,738.00, which represents a Gross Profit Margin of 58%. See the attached excel document in the appendix for a detailed breakdown. 3.7 Capital Budget Below is a depiction of the initial estimated capital required for this startup operation. These estimates are based on industry standards in regards to square footage and a more in depth calculation can be found in the attached financial spreadsheet. Table 3.3 Capital Budget Software $5,000.00 Lease Hold Improvements $20,000.00 Furniture $75,000.00 Total Capital Requirements $100,000.00 3.8 Operating Expenses Below is the total operating budget for the first year operations of The Aristocrat. As you can see in the included expenses, the most costly portion of operations of the lounge is staffing and leasing costs, which represent almost 81% of the total yearly operating budget in year 1. Operating Expenses 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Accounting and Legal 2,000 2,050 2,101 2,154 2,208 Advertising (Marketing) 8,250 1,750 1,750 1,750 1,750 General Supplies 1,000 1,025 1,051 1,077 1,104 Insurance 2,500 2,563 2,627 2,692 2,760 Lease 21,600 22,140 22,694 23,261 23,842 Telephone 1,200 1,230 1,261 1,292 1,325 Occupancy Cost 6,000 6,150 6,304 6,461 6,623 Repair and Maintenance 2,000 Wages 94,517 95,813 103,376 110,973 117,799 Employee Benefits (Salaries) 4,095 4,197 4,302 4,410 4,520 6 Employee Benefits (Wages) Misc Variable Costs % Sales Capital Cost Allowance Debt Interest Total Operating Expenses 6,215 1,925 9,500 3,500 164,301 6,221 1,874 17,175 3,247 165,436 Table 3.4 Operating Expenses 7 7,098 2,113 13,879 2,976 171,531 7,975 2,340 12,221 2,686 179,291 8,740 2,518 10,877 2,375 186,441 4.0 Marketing Plan 4.1 Atmosphere One of the most important parts of the Aristocrats marketing strategy is to create a unique environment for customers to enjoy that will distinguish it from all other lounges and pubs that have a similar feel and product offering. In order to achieve this the lounge must have significant interior decorations and furnishing in order to create the desired atmosphere. As indicated in Table 3.2 in the Operations portion of this business plan the overall capital costs needed in order to make this space a reality is in the range of $95,000.00. This is a significant investment however we are confident that it is necessary in order to attract the customers and target markets that will be described in further detail in the next section. Below are two images that depict the ideal interior furnishings of the Aristocrat: 8 4.2 Target Demographic The Aristocrat will seek to target young males within the age ranges of 20-40. In order to do so there will have to be a significant emphasis put on education of the consumer in regards to knowledge of Scotch whisky. In Saskatchewan there is not a very long heritage of scotch consumption and due to this and the changing tides of social behavior via social media millennial’s simply do not know about scotch and therefore cannot appreciate its unique flavor and taste. In order to do this The Aristocrat will be emphasizing the empowerment of the customer through hosting various educational events such as scotch seminars and having very detailed explanations of the origins of scotch and its complexity within the menu and by way of the bartenders. 4.3 Product One of the defining factors of this lounge is that it will have the most diverse and unique selection of scotch available within Saskatoon. This will serve as both an asset and a liability for the lounge as having such a large collection of scotch will mean that the common customer may suffer from an excess of choice and therefore have difficulty deciding which scotch they would like to drink. We will mitigate this issue by creating a tier system that will allocate certain scotch’s based on their age and taste quality to a 9 certain group and associate one flat price for that their. This will diminish the opportunity for customer confusion and will empower the customer to learn about the product in a comfortable environment. 4.4 Price The prices of will be set up in a tier model allowing the common customer to select from one of three price tiers within each of the different scotch flavor groups which range from smoky to peaty and on to smooth and sharp. The tiers will be stacked based on the categories price in the following format: Tier 1: $9.00 per/ounce Tier 2: $14.00 per/ounce Tier 3: $19.00 per/ounce This pricing system is unique to The Aristocrat and is not something that has been tried or established in any other lounge in Saskatoon. We will also be offering what is called a ‘slate’, which is a selection of 3 various scotches offered in combination at a price point of around $25.00. This allows the common scotch drinker the opportunity to try an assortment of scotch brands for a reasonable price and varying in taste and quality. 4.5 Promotion The Aristocrat will be giving 5% equity of the company to a application developer in order to create a app for the lounge. This app will be at the core of The Aristocrats marketing campaign as it will serve as a direct value added for customers and involve them as ‘members’ of the lounge. This app will all users to reserve a table, suggest future scotch selections, as well as act as a ‘scotch passport’. The concept of the passport is to allow users to record their favorite scotch selections and track which distillers they have tried. By offering this application we can engage our customers and ensure there satisfaction which will lead to a loyal and returning customer base. 10 The application has been valued at $5,000.00 and has been recorded on both the Capital Budget and Capital Cost Allowance schedules found in the appendix. The figure to the right is an example of what this application may look like. 4.6 Placement As iterated in the Operation section The Aristocrat will be located in a speakeasy room behind a complimentary restaurant in the Downtown Saskatoon district between 1st and 3rd Avenue. Although the lounge will not have street front exposure we are confident that the exclusivity marketing angle will act to our advantage as it will create a sense of desirability for customers and the illusion of an ‘elite environment’. 4.7 Revenue Estimates We estimate that in Year 1 of operations we will be able to attract on average 50 customers per day at an average purchase of $25.00 per customer. This is based on the assumption that each customer will have been 2 and 3 ounces of the Tier 2 scotch on average or a slate of scotch. As you can see, in Year 2 we have identified that we will actually be diminishing in customer growth. This is based on the educated assumption that customers in Saskatoon tend to flock to the newest restaurant or lounge establishment, as it is the ‘new thing’ in town. By the second Year of operations for any establishment in Saskatoon it is not unfair to assume that the growth will stagnate however it will once again receive traction in Year 3 in lieu of a loyal customer base. Number of Customers/day Number of Days/year Average Purchase/customer Total Sales 50 308 $25.00 Growth Rate Number of Customers 48 308 $25.63 52 308 $26.27 56 308 $26.92 59 308 $27.60 -5% 10% 8% 5% Revenues Scotch 60% 231,000 224,936 253,616 280,752 302,160 Coffee/Drinks Food 25% 15% 100 % 96,250 57,750 93,723 56,234 105,673 63,404 116,980 70,188 125,900 75,540 385,000 374,894 422,693 467,921 503,600 Total Revenues Table 4.1 Revenue Projections 11 5.0 Financial Model 5.1 Investment The Aristocrat needs a total of $100,000.00 in order to begin operations and as such will be seeking a $50,000.00 loan from a banking institution which will be leveraged on $50,000.00 that will be invested by myself into the company. The term of this loan will be 10 years and in just 5 years of the 10-year term the loaner will receive $14,783.00, which is at an estimated interest rate of 7%. 5.2 Return Due to the low amount of which is being invested into the company the way in which we value the investor’s (principle owner) return will not be through Net Present Value of Internal Rate of Return but rather Average Owners Compensation which can be seen in the table below: Owners Salary Dividends Total 50,000 50,000 51,250 43,048 94,298 52,531 59,361 111,892 53,845 74,714 128,558 55,191 88,935 144,126 Figure 5.2 Owners Compensation As you can see the return in year one for the owner is approximately $50,000.00 which is purely the salary of the manager however taking into consideration growth into years 2-4, by year 5 we estimate that the owner will earn approximately $145,000.00 including dividends. 5.3 Sensitivity Analysis As you can see in the sensitivity analysis below there is a great degree of variance between profitability and bankruptcy on a margin of almost 10 customers per day. Customers/day 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 Average 5 year Profit (641) 16,449 33,457 50,464 67,472 84,479 101,487 Figure 5.2 Sensitivity Analysis 12 Net Payback (42,020) 95,834 239,764 383,694 527,624 671,554 815,484 IRR -6.4% 12.5% 27.56% 40.5% 52.2% 63.2% 73.8% 5.4 Break Even Analysis As you can see in the chart below the breakeven point from year is a margin of 17 customers per day however as the customer bass grows the margin also grows to an estimated 28 customers per day. Number of Customers per day Net Income Breakeven 70 60 52 56 59 50 40 50 33 48 33 30 32 32 31 3 Year 4 5 20 10 0 1 2 Table 5.1 Breakeven Net Income 6.0 Conclusion In summation it has been determined that this venture is quite profitable and although there are significant risks in proceeding with this project the benefits outweigh them. The Aristocrat will aim to provide Saskatoon with a luxury and exclusive scotch drinking experience in the Downtown core of the city. It is our hope that in time this lounge will prove to be a staple of the Saskatoon downtown experience and make a mark for the resurgence of the speakeasy concept. 13