Interest Rates in the Classical Model Nominal vs.. Real Interest Rates Real interest rate =Nominal rate - Inflation rate = r Loanable Funds Demand for funds: those who are deficit spending units (specially those in business who want to invest) borrow. Loanable Funds Demand for funds: those who are deficit spending units (specially those in In the classical model, the desire to spend more depends negatively on the real rate of interest. business who want to invest) borrow. Loanable Funds Demand for funds: those who are deficit spending units (specially those in business who want to invest) borrow.In the classical model, the desire to As real rate of interest rises, cost of borrowing will be higher and therefore, less is borrowed. spend more depends negatively on the real rate of interest. Loanable Funds Supply of Loanable funds come from those who are surplus spending units. Loanable Funds Supply of Loanable funds come from those who are surplus spending units. Supply of funds are positively related to the real rate of interest rates. Loanable Funds Supply of Loanable funds come from those who are surplus spending units. As real rates rise, more current consumption are forgone for the higher future consumption. Supply of funds are positively related to the real rate of interest rates. Equilibrium Interest rate =r- S I I, S Interest Rates and Government Deficits Government is a big borrower in the market. When they run a deficit, they usually borrow. This means higher demand for Loanable funds and higher interest rates. Interest Rates and Government Deficits Government is a big borrower in the market. When they run a deficit, they usually borrow. This means higher demand for Loanable funds and higher interest Higher real interest rates would have two effects: 1-- private saving increases while private consumption decreases. (remember that in the classical model income is fixed. People can change the composition of their S/C. rates. Interest Rates and Government Deficits Government is a big borrower in the market. When they run a deficit, they usually borrow. This means higher demand for Loanable funds by the amount of deficit and therefore higher interest rates. Higher real interest rates would have two effects: 1-- private saving increases while private consumption decreases. (remember that in the classical model income is fixed. People can change the composition of their S/C. 2-- Since cost of borrowing has increased, businesses will borrow and invest less, i2 Equilibrium Interest rate =r- S 2 1 I’ G - T I I, S i2 i1 i2+G-T Equilibrium Interest rate and Government Surplus In contrast to the case where there is a deficit, a government surplus adds to the supply of loanable funds. Equilibrium Interest rate =r- S S’ t-g 1 2 I I, S Monetary and Interest Rates In the classical model, Saving and Investment are real variables and not affected by the monetary policy. Higher money supply determines inflation rate and therefore higher nominal interest rates -- not real interest rates. Purchasing Power Parity Exchange rate is the value of one currency in terms of another. Purchasing Power Parity In a perfect world, if there are discrepancies among prices around the world, arbitrage will equalize them. So value of one currency in terms of another does not change. Exchange rate is value of one currency in terms of another. Purchasing Power Parity Exchange rate is value of one currency in terms of another. In a perfect world, if there are discrepancies among prices around the world, arbitrage will equalize them. So value of one currency in terms of another does not change. However, if there is persistent inflation in one country, one currency loses its purchasing power and therefore loses its value relative to another currency and it must depreciate. PPP E = P / P* where: P = domestic price level P* =foreign price level E = exchange rate PPP E = P / P* An increase in the domestic price level, means higher E -- more dollars per foreign currency. That is, depreciation of the dollar.