Segmenting learners in online learning environments Sinan Aydin, Aylin Ozturk Affiliation: Anadolu University, Open Education Faculty Country: Turkey e-Mail: snaydin@anadolu.edu.tr; aylin_ozturk@anadolu.edu.tr Abstract Segmentation means dividing explained entities into homogeneous sub-groups by benefiting from the similar features. Segmentation is generally used in marketing. It is used education area in particular to higher education. Segmentation studies may contribute to rendering customized services to similar learners, specification of the students that may drop-out, formation of special communication method to each learner group, enhancing the sense of belonging and satisfaction of the learner. The main aim of this study is to analyze types of segmentation, use of segmentation in learning environments, its benefits and studies conducted in the literature. It is thought that segmentations of the learners would contribute significantly for improvement of the services and customizations, to take academic, administrative and corporate decisions basing on the learner for the Open Universities which have students from different socio-economic regions, income groups, age and professions. Keywords: Segmentation, e-Learning, Learner characteristics, Learner types, Need-based approach, Service quality. 1 Introduction In an educational process of 21st century, learning and learner concepts have become prominent issues with the changes and transformations in learning with no time and place limitations, lifelong learning needs, the flexibility and diversification of the content. Along with these changes, open and distance learning has become a learner-centered education rather than being technology-based education. In addition, contents, designs and offered services have been started to be improved in accordance with learners’ abilities and preferences. Tailor made adaptive environment prepared to the characteristics of the learner comes forward rather than one-size-fits-all approach in e-learning environment. Open and distance learning institutions, whose preference in the global market have been increasing day by day in direct proportion of their number of learners and data. Advances in communication and information technologies have made it possible to monitor and quantify the learning activity of individuals and have created a number of data sets in this sense. Discovering significant and unexplored information, and improvement and development of them has gained importance by using modern analytical tools such as data mining, learning analytics, data analysis on the data. In an open and distance learning system, it is primarily necessary to be acquainted with the learners and know the characteristics of the students to provide need-based services, to apply learner-centered approach, to increase the quality of services and to establish effective communication and interaction environment. In this context, segmentation is one of the methods to be applicable towards to getting to know learners. Segmentation means dividing the data into homogenous sub-groups with respect to their similar characteristics. Segmentation is generally used in marketing. It is used education area in particular to higher education. The concept of segmentation which was first developed by Smith in 1956, was used mostly in marketing field to create customer profiles, to provide better services to customer, and to develop more effective marketing strategies and strategic plans. Segmentation studies may contribute to rendering customized services to similar learners, specification of the students that may drop-out, formation of special communication method to each learner group, enhancing the sense of belonging and satisfaction of the learner. The objectives of this study are to recommend services, approaches and access methods appropriate to each group, and in this way to make it easier for the institutions to take administrative, academic and support service related decisions, and to support initiatives for differentiation and designing of services with respect to the characteristics of these groups. It is thought that this study will help determining the needs of individuals more clearly in the open and distance learning environments in which the personal learning experiences are increasingly getting important and developing new services in this term. Literature Review There are many studies in the marketing area with regard to segmentation in the literature. Especially in the higher education-level studies in education, segmentation has been used. Despite the studies on the examination of the learners in the open and distance learning environments, the learner typology and the modeling of the learners, not many segmentation studies have been performed. Cluster analysis, multi-dimensional scaling, discriminant analysis, classification, decision trees and artificial neural networks have been mostly used in the segmentation studies. Generally, the demographic data have been used in the studies, but psychographic, behavioral and personality traits of learners should also be identified to determine the characteristics of learners. Performing 2 segmentation through accurate data in the open and distance learning institutions serving to learners of several different characteristics will also contribute an increased service quality as well as increased satisfaction and sense of belonging. Goodnow (1982) performed a benefit segmentation based on the learner motivation on university level. As a result of the study, five different segments were obtained which had different motivational orientations. The findings of the study were used to define the target markets and plan program offers according to the needs and interests of the learners in the selected segments. In the quality-based segmentation study performed by Woo (1998) on distance learners, a measuring tool was developed to determine the quality perceptions of the learners and focus group interviews were made. As a result of this study in which three different segments were set through cluster analysis, it was emphasized that, in the distance learning institutions, different segments need to be presented with custom services instead of treating all learners as a homogenous group. In the study by Rogers, Finley and Kline (2001), a segmentation based on the learner needs was performed to have a better understanding of individual differences of undergraduate learners. In this study, the learner segments and needs were first determined through a qualitative approach, and then the learner segments were confirmed quantitatively. This process was emphasized as a critical step for creating the academic programs as well as possible and for the organizations to develop their strategies. In the study by Blasco and Saura (2006), the segmentation was performed according to the learner expectations. CHAID, which is a predictive model, was applied to define the segments and the learners were separated into three segments. These segments showed the differences between the expected quality of service and the perceived quality. Based on these data, the quality of service was assessed and recommendations were made for improvements. In the study by Hagel and Shaw (2007), learner preferences were investigated in the hybrid study mode. Cluster analysis was utilized to define the learner segments which have distinctive preferences through a combination of face-to-face and print-based materials and web-based study modes. Demographic and situational variables were used to create these segments. The results show that learners' preferring the combination of face-to-face study and more independent study mode may be caused by their year levels. In addition, findings indicate that there is a relationship between the preferences in terms of age, gender and web-and print-based studies. In the geodemographic segmentation study performed in the 2009 annual report of Open Universities Australia, it was identified who were the learners, what were the best communication methods and how the satisfaction levels of current learners could be improved. Moreover, online investments reached maximum level through a study on how learners investigated the facilities of the Open Universities Australia on bigger search engines. In the study by Chen and Hsiao (2009), the marketing segmentation theory was adopted to determine the basic factors emphasized by learners while choosing school or department, and the learners were divided into three groups. Based on the results of the research, recommendations were made on improving the assessment standards with regard to how learners would select schools and the school's reputation itself, enhancing the inner culture of the school, and creating a unit in charge of learner recruitment. A segmentation study was conducted by Schatzel et al. (2011) to identify those who were or not intent to continue their education among adult learners who dropped out from the higher education. Five segments were created using the demographic and psychographic variables of the learners. As a result, 3 strategies were recommended to achieve segments with the highest possibility of going back to the higher education. In the study by Bailey, Barton and Mullen (2014) on the e-Learning, it was found that four of the five segments had positive impressions about e-Learning. It was determined that similarities and differences between the segments offered important indicators for predicting and shaping the future of e-Learning, and by this means, institutions may explore great opportunities for improvement, new platforms for innovation and their potential of altering the learning ways of next-generation learners. In the segmentation study was performed by Ladd, Reynolds and Selingo (2014) to understand the different needs of today's learners, six segments were created based on the motivations of learners and their expectations from undergraduate education. Explanations were made about the characteristics of the learners in the segments, the source of their motivations, and sizes of the segments. It was stated that universities could reach appropriate learners and provide them with the most accurate services through determining those segments. Methodology Cluster analysis, which is a descriptive data analyzing technique, will be utilized to divide the learners into segments in the study. The aim of the cluster analysis is to minimize the similarity between the clusters and maximize the similarity within a cluster (Han and Kamber, 2006). The process of knowledge discovery from data (KDD) was utilized in the study, which was composed of the steps of data cleaning, data integration, data selection, data transformation, data mining, pattern evaluation and knowledge presentation (Han, Kamber and Pei, 2012). Within the scope of the study, the data obtained from 43,106 students who were actively registered in the Open Education System of Anadolu University in 2014-2015 and completed the Service Rating Questionnaire was used. In addition, the demographic and geographic features of learners and their grade point averages were obtained from the databases of the institution. The data obtained from the questionnaire and the databases were combined on Microsoft SQL Server, and the data were organized as cleaned, noisy, repetitive, contradictory and empty. After cleaning the starting 50,001 data, 43,106 of them were kept. The types of data were organized according to their features and optimized for the cluster analysis. The studies of achieving the most appropriate and significant clusters on the data is continuing. Segmentation Segmentation was defined by Smith (1956, p.5) as follows: “Segmentation is based upon developments on the demand side of the market and represents a rational and more precise adjustment of product and marketing effort to consumer or user requirements”. Segmentation is a rich field of conceptual research that address defining and analyzing a market, explaining the types of consumer behaviors, the suitability of basic variables and the relationship between these all and the administrative tasks (Allenby et al., 2002). Segmentation can be defined as a powerful marketing tool that allows users to be divided into homogenous groups, taking users' characteristics, needs, demands, expectations, preferences and requests into consideration in the widest sense. With segmentation, institutions can get to know users better, creating accurate user profiles, develop more effective services, strategic plans, marketing strategies, and communicational channels and explore the new opportunities in the market. 4 There are different classifications for segmentation in the literature; however, segmentation has been divided into four categories in many studies: geographical, demographical, psychographic and behavioral (Kotler and Keller, 2012; Kotler and Armstrong, 2001; Huddleston and Ivanova, 2004). General properties of these categories are shown in Table 1. Table 1 Types and Properties of Segmentation Type of Segmentation Geographical Segmentation Properties Demographical Segmentation Psychographic Segmentation Variables Used Geographical properties are one of the oldest basics for segmentation (Burnett, 2008). Users are separated into segments according to different geographical units. Different regions have different needs, and these should be taken into account and localizations should be made while creating marketing strategies and services. Regional differences are the most known features to the institutions to determine user preferences for products (Burnett, 2008). For education, geographical segmentation is related to learner's place of residence. This approach includes the clarification of messages, differentiated communication, scholarship services and the promotion of academic programs (Black, 2009). Countries Regions Provinces Cities Neighborhoods Climate Geographical structure Physical properties Population density The most common properties used for segmentation are demographical ones because requests, preferences and using rates are closely related to demographical properties (Kotler and Keller, 2012). Variables are easy to measure. Motivations and barriers for registration in education generally vary according to demographical segments (Black, 2009). Addressing these differences during marketing processes may increase the possibility of institutions to be preferred (Black, 2009). Age Size of the family Gender Income Profession Educational level Religion Nationality Social class This is the most powerful type of segmentation but also the most difficult to be applied. Psychographic data can be used to understand users in a better and more detailed way, and concrete data could be obtained when used with demographical data (Kotler and Keller, 2012). Psychologicalpersonality characteristics Socioeconomic status Lifestyle 5 Behavioral Segmentation The problem in this approach is to access appropriate information about learner-specific psychographic properties (Black, 2009). After creating the psychographic profile, the custom communication channels and social activities should be combined with this information (Black, 2009). Motives Values Users are grouped according to the behavioral similarities for the product. Behavioral segmentation is related to the learner purposes within academic context, and more significant guidance can be provided if the purposes are known (Black, 2009). Learner’ behaviors can be monitored via web-based applications, facilitating analyses. Information on product Attitude User status Benefit expected from the product Brand loyalty Frequency and amount of product use In defining segments, behavioral variables based on user responses can be used as well as geographical, demographical and psychographic. Segment types can be used both individually and together. The key concept here is to comprehend the user differences (Kotler and Keller, 2012). An effective and beneficial segmentation study should be measurable, substantial, accessible, differentiable, actionable (Kotler and Keller, 2012). Segmentation in Learning Environments Education as service requires meeting learner needs and satisfying them (Azarnoush et al., 2013). Learner needs are the primary focal point in the learning environments, and there has been an effort to determine learner characteristics in many studies. Studies on grouping learners have been performed since 1980s. In 2000s when it became important to design learning processes according to learner characteristics and needs, it can be said that segmentation was used especially by institutions of higher education. A segmentation classification used in educational environment is as follows (Black, 2009): Student Type Segmentation: Segmentation is performed according to the registration status such as high school graduate, transfer learners, e-learners, drop-outs and the learner characteristics. In this segmentation, strategies should be both marketing and process orientated and marketing messages, images and communication media should represent the students groups of which attention the institution want to attract. Program Segmentation: Marketing messages, information and human interactions are determined according to the program segments of the institution in this type of segmentation. This approach requires differentiation of strategies, studies and resources based on the capacity of institution and learner demands. Influencer Segmentation: Instead of dealing with the possible learners directly, elements that affect the university preferring process such as family, peer group and studying conditions are focused on within this approach. 6 Segmentation provides the decision makers with important information especially for learners to benefit most in the e-Learning environments. Institutions can detect the opportunities more effectively when they focus on different segments and their needs and make more precise arrangements by matching the requests of the target group with the program (Kotler and Fox, 1995). By this means, the risk could be mitigated during decision-making process (Burnett, 2008). In addition, institutions can focus their energies on the segments and render service in the most effective way, find out the needs and opportunities yet to be determined, and design and develop programs, services and processes to meet special needs of this segments (Rogers, Finley and Kline, 2001). When the segmentation studies performed in e-Learning environments were examined, it was seen that difficulties were experienced such as different data types while grouping the educational data, variables recorded on different scales, and large-scale data (Azarnoush et al., 2013). Another thing that makes it difficult for grouping the educational data is that most standard cluster methods fall insufficient in the cases in which there are too many features to be clustered (Azarnoush et al., 2013). There are too many data to be used to define e-learners especially. It can be said that increasing number of learners in open and distance learning environments and diversifying characteristics require studying on large and different types of data. It can also be said that difficulties of segmentation in eLearning environments have been mitigated with the effective use of data mining applications. Through data warehouses prepared by institutions, analyses and inquiries related to individual learner needs and responses can be easily made, and useful information on individual tendencies and segments (Kotler and Keller, 2012). Conclusion There have been studies performed on segmentation in institutions of higher education; however, no comprehensive studies on the subject have been conducted in Open and Distant learning institutions giving education to large masses. Segmentation studies have been used to individualize and personalize the services in the field of e-Learning. 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