What Is The Scientific Method? Chapter 4 Why Do Seedpods Fall? Why Do Seedpods Fall? •Because of gravity? –The Law of Gravity •Laws only describe. They do not explain. Why Do Seedpods Fall? • No theory has ever been invented that explains gravity without leading to non-contradicted predictions. Why Do Seedpods Fall? • Today we still do not know why seedpods fall. Can Explanations Be Proved True? • Prove: To establish as true beyond any possible doubt. • Disprove: To establish as false beyond any possible doubt. Can Explanations Be Proved True? Can Explanations Be Proved True? •If . . . the sun orbits the Earth each day from east to west, •and . . . we observe the sun's movements tomorrow, •then . . . the sun should be seen rising in the east, crossing the sky, and setting in the west. Can Explanations Be Proved True? Can Explanations Be Proved True? •If . . . the Earth rotates each day on an axis from west to east, •and . . . we observe the sun's apparent movements tomorrow, •then . . . the sun should be seen rising in the east, crossing the sky, and setting in the west. Can Explanations Be Proved True? •Because explanations come from human imagination, two or more might lead to the same prediction. •We need to set up planned tests with different predictions. Can Explanations Be Disproved? •If . . . cards with vowels on one side have even numbers on the other side, •and . . . we turn over the 7 card, •then . . . we should find a consonant. Can Explanations Be Disproved? Can Explanations Be Disproved? •But. . . suppose we turn over the 7 card and find a vowel. •Therefore . . . we would have a card with a vowel on one side and an odd number on the other, which would break the rule. DISPROVED RULE. Can Explanations Be Disproved? Can Explanations Be Disproved? •If . . . grass is not growing under tree B because it is not getting enough sun, •and . . . some of tree B's branches are cut off, permitting more sunlight to reach the ground, •then . . . the grass under tree B should grow. Can Explanations Be Disproved? •But. . . after the branches are cut off, the grass under tree B does not grow. •Therefore . . . the explanation must be false, right? •DISPROVED, right? •WRONG! Can Explanations Be Disproved? •A mismatch between prediction and results gives two possibilities –explanation is wrong OR –test is faulty •Disproof is not possible! What Are the Steps in Doing Science? The Scientific Method The Scientific Method 1-Puzzling observation made 2-Causal question raised 3-Hypotheses created (analogy) 4-Plan test (Assume hypothesis is true) 5-Predict results 6-Run planned test 7-Results compared to prediction 8-Draw a conclusion 9-Repeat for all hypotheses