Part 1: Introduction to public economics and review of tools 1. Why Study Public Finance? (Loosely follows Gluber Chapter 1) Public Economic Lectures Summer Term 2016 Dina Chhorn (Mr.) University of Lumière Lyon 2 Royal University of Law and Economics (RULE) Centre Universitaire de Recherche en Économie et en Gestion (CUREC) 1 Copyright © 2012 Worth Publishers Course Outline Part 1. Introduction to public economics and review of tools – (1st, 2nd, 3rd and 4th Lecture) World Economic Outlook 1. Why Public Economics? 2. Theoretical Tools of Public Economics 3. Empirical Tools of Public Economics 4. Budget Analysis and Deficit Financing Part 2. Taxation and redistribution: – (6th, 7th and 8th Lecture) 5. Income inequality, poverty, well-being, taxes and transfers 6. Role of fiscal policy in reducing income inequality 7. How to deal with extreme inequality?: Economist/non-economist debates Part 3. Role of Government and Market Failures: Public Goods & Externalities – (10th and 11th Lecture) 8. Political Economy and local public goods 9. Public provision of private goods: Education 10. Externalities: Problems and Solutions 2 Contents 1. The Four Questions of Public Finance 2. Why Study Public Finance? Facts on Government in the United States and Around the World 3. Why Study Public Finance Now? Policy Debates over Extreme Inequality, Social Security, Health Care, and Education 4. Conclusion 3 1 The Four Questions of Public Finance Public finance: The study of the proper role of the government in the economy. 4 1 The Four Questions of Public Finance The proper role of the government in the economy? On the expenditures side of public finance, we ask: - What kind of services should the government provide, if any? - Why should the government be spending billions of dollars on aid to local schools, health insurance for the unemployed? - More generally, why is the government the primary provider of goods and services such as highways, education, and transfers to the unemployed, while the provision of goods and services such as clothing, entertainment, and property insurance is generally left to the private sector? 5 1 The Four Questions of Public Finance The proper role of the government in the economy? On the revenue side of public finance, we ask: - How much should the government tax its citizens, and how should that amount be related to the economic circumstances of those individuals? - What kinds of activities should be taxed or be given tax relief in difficult times? - What effect do taxes have on the functioning of the economy? 6 1 The Four Questions of Public Finance Four questions of public finance: 1.1 When should the government intervene in the economy? 1.2 How might the government intervene? 1.3 What is the effect of those interventions on economic outcomes? 1.4 Why do governments choose to intervene in the way that they do? 7 1.1 When Should the Government Intervene in the Economy? • Economics generally presumes that markets deliver efficient outcomes, so why should government do anything? • Primary motive for government intervention is therefore market failure. • 1st role - Market failure: Problem that causes the market economy to deliver an outcome that does not maximize efficiency. The government intervention may improve the situation. • Even if the market is well-functioning, an efficient outcome is not necessarily socially desirable. Market economy generates substantial inequality in economic resources across individuals. • 2nd role - Redistribution: The shifting of resources from some groups in society to others. In another word, government intervention may help reduce inequality by redistributing resources through taxes and transfers. 8 1.1 When Should the Government Intervene in the Economy? Efficient Private Market Allocation of Goods 1st Role for Government: Improve Efficiency 2nd Role for Government: Improve Distribution 9 1.1 When Should the Government Intervene in the Economy? • Redistribution creates an equity-efficiency trade-off 10 1.2 How Might Governments Intervene? • Tax or Subsidize Private Sale or Purchase o Use the price mechanism, changing the price of a good to encourage or discourage use. o Taxes raise the price for private sales or purchases of goods that are overproduced (ex: carbon tax) o Subsidies lower the price for private sales or purchases of goods that are under-produced (ex: flu shots subsidies) • Restrict or Mandate Private Sale or Purchase o Quotas restrict private sale of goods that are overproduced (ex: fuel efficiency requirement) o Mandates require private purchase of goods that are under-produced (ex: auto insurance) • Public Provision o The government can provide the good directly in order to potentially attain the level of consumption that maximizes social welfare (ex: defense) • Public Financing of Private Provision o Governments pays, private companies produce. (ex: privately provided health insurance paid for by government in medicare-medicard) 11 1.3 What Are the Effects of Alternative Interventions? Interventions have direct and indirect effects. • Direct effects: The effects that would be predicted if individuals did not change their behavior in response to the interventions. o With 49 million uninsured, providing universal health insurance covers 49 million people. • Indirect effects: The effects that arise only because individuals change their behavior in response to the interventions. o If people drop private coverage, many more people may end up covered by the public plan. 12 1.4 Why Do Governments Do What They Do? • Governments do not always choose efficient or socially desirable outcomes. • Political economy: The theory of how the political process produces decisions that affect individuals and the economy. 13 2 Why Study Public Finance? Fact on Government in US, and around the World The government is a huge part of the economy: • Government spending represents a large sector of the economy, in the United States and around the world. • This spending is financed with taxes or with debt, and these affect every facet of the economy. • Many sectors of the economy are also directly affected by regulation. In brief: • • • • • • The size and growth of government Decentralization Spending, taxes, deficits, and debts Distribution of spending Distribution of revenue sources Regulatory role of government 14 2.1 Federal Spending as a Percent of GDP, 1930−2011 15 2.1 Total Government Spending Across Developed Nations, 1960−2013 16 What explains the growth in government th spending over the 20 century? 17 2.2 Decentralization • A key feature of governments is the degree of centralization across local and national government units. • Centralization: The extent to which spending is concentrated at higher (federal) levels or lower (state and local) levels. • In the United States, state and local spending is about one-fourth of total government spending. 18 What is the appropriate extent of centralization and decentralization in government activity? 19 2.3 Federal Revenues and Expenditures, 1930−2011 20 2.3 Federal Surplus/Deficit, 1930−2011 21 2.3 Federal Debt, 1930−2011 22 2.3 Debt Level of OECD Nations in 2011 23 2.3 State and Local Government Receipts, Expenditures, and Surplus, 1947−2008 24 What are the costs of having larger deficits and a larger national debt? Why are state and local government able to balance their budgets while the federal government is not? 25 2.4 Distribution of Spending • Public goods: Goods for which the investment of any one individual benefits everyone in a larger group. o Example: Defense spending • Social insurance programs: Government provision of insurance against adverse events to address failures in the private insurance market. o Example: Health insurance • Over time, spending has shifted dramatically toward social insurance, especially health insurance. 26 2.4 Distribution of Federal & State/local Spending, 1960 and 2012 Are large government intervention in insurance markets warranted, and do they correct or exacerbate market failures? What is the appropriate type of spending to be done at the federal versus state or local level? 27 2.5 Distribution of Federal & State/local Revenue Sources, 1960 and 2011 What are the implications of moving from taxing business and consumption to taking workers’ earning? (Federal Level) What are the implications of shifting from taxation of property to taxation of income at State/Local level? 28 29 2.6 Regulatory Role of the Government The government regulates a wide range of economic and social activities: • The Food and Drug Administration (FDA): food, cosmetics, drugs, and medical devices. • The Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA): workplace safety. • The Federal Communications Commission (FCC): radio, television, wire, satellite, and cable. • The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA): pollution of air, water, and food supplies. 30 3 Why Study Public Finance Now? Policy Debates over Extreme Inequality, Social Security, Health Care, and Education Many heated policy debates concern the impact of major public programs: • The role of Extreme inequality, Social Security, health care, and education are all contentious subjects. • “Liberal” and “Conservative” positions hold differing views on how to approach these major policy issues. 31 3.1 Why Study Public Finance Now? Extreme inequality in USA • Even if market outcome is Pareto efficient, society might not be happy with the market outcome because market equilibrium might generate very high economic disparity across individuals. • Governments use taxes and transfers to redistribute from rich to poor and reduce inequality . • Redistribution through taxes and transfers might reduce incentives to work (efficiency costs) • Redistribution creates an equity-efficiency trade-off • Income inequality has soared in the United States in recent decades, and has moved to the forefront in the public debate (see Piketty’s 2014 book success) 32 3.1 Why Study Public Finance Now? Extreme inequality in USA 33 3.1 Why Study Public Finance Now? Extreme inequality in USA 34 Is it really matter, current state of income inequality? 35 3.2 Why Study Public Finance Now? Social Security Social Security is the single largest government expenditure program. • The financing structure of this program is basically that today’s young workers pay the retirement benefits of today’s old. • As the population ages, it is increasingly difficult to fund. • Liberals argue that we should raise necessary resources through higher payroll taxes. • Conservatives argue that, rather than transfer from young to old, we should encourage people to save. 36 How large a role should the government play in mandating or regulating an individual’s retirement saving? How can the government best reform the Social Security system to address its longrange funding shortfall? 37 3.3 Why Study Public Finance Now? Health Care • 49 million Americans lack any health insurance, about 18% of the non-elderly U.S. population. • The Affordable Care Act (ACA) promises to cover 32 million, using mandates and subsidies. o Supporters argue that the ACA corrects serious market in the insurance market. o Opponents charge that it represents an enormous, expensive, unwarranted expansion of government power. 38 3.4 Why Study Public Finance Now? Education • There is an enormous dissatisfaction with our current educational system. • In 2009, the United States ranked 17th in reading, 23rd in science, and 35th in math skills in a study of 65 countries. • Will more spending improve educational outcomes? • Or might competition among schools help? 39 Can more spending solve the problems of the U.S. educational system? If not, can competition work in the education market as well as it has in other markets? How do we deal with students who are “left behind” by such a system, in areas where there are bad schools and insufficient choice? 40 4 Conclusion • Government plays a central role in the lives of all countries. • There is ongoing disagreement about whether that role should expand, stay the same, or contract. 41 References Highly recommend readings: Angus Deaton (2013). The Great Escape: Health, Wealth, and the Origin of Inequality. Princeton University Press, Princeton. Jonathan Gruber (2010), Public Finance and Public Policy. 3th Edition, New York: Worth Publishers Joseph E. Stiglitz (2013). The Price of Inequality: How Today's Divided Society Endangers Our Future. W. W. Norton & Company, 1 edition, New York, London. Lee Kuan Yew (2013). One man’s view of the world. Straits Times Press. Singapore. Maya B. B. and Florian M. (2006), Le rôle de l’Etat Fondements et Réformes, Edition Bréal. Thomas Piketty (2014). Capital in the Twenty-First Century. Harvard University Press, Harvard. 42