Influencers and Consequences of Brand Loyalty –A study based on select Newspapers in Hyderabad Mallika S. Shetty Department of Management Studies St.Francis College for Women Begumpet, Hyderabad-500016 mallika_shetty21@yahoo.co.in 09848519360 Prof.S.V.Satyanarayana Department of Commerce Osmania University, Hyderabad-500007 vajjalasura@yahoo.com 08500283271 ABSTRACT The importance of newspapers in our daily lives just cannot be undermined. It is that powerful media which connects us to the world around us. In the present times when television channels are competing against each other to score high on the parameters of breaking news, expert opinions and sting operations, comfort for the news seeker lies in that humble broadsheet that asks for our attention rather mutedly. But, is the newspaper as humble as we think it to be? The answer is a sure ‘No’. The newspaper as a product is unique. It has probably got the shortest life span. It is sold to, two kinds of users, the readers and the advertisers for different purposes. Unlike other economic goods, it also has a democratic function in informing citizens, setting the agenda for social debate and serving as the watchdog for political, economic and social centres of power. With more than 12,500 registered daily newspapers in India, the competition is severe. Newspaper companies are employing innovative means of propaganda across media sources to score a point and gain reader loyalty. This research article studies in-depth the brand building efforts of Newspapers. Primary data collected from readers will form an integral part of analysis that will guide the newspaper companies to stand out and appeal to an audience that is already suffering from information overload. The Internet is gaining ground by the day, opening up several options for news consumption. In this scenario, it becomes all the more important for the newspaper companies to be aware of the threat that challenges the survival of the physical newspaper. The effort should be to strengthen the core product and make it addictive for the reader in the morning. This research work proposes to factor in all the opportunities and the threats prevailing in the Indian newspaper industry and thereby present a framework to sustain its efforts in staying relevant in the changing times. KEY WORDS: Loyalty influencers, Loyalty consequences, Attitudinal loyalty ,Behavioural loyalty, SmartPLS, Brand loyalty model Introduction: With innovations changing the way news is consumed- quality, professionalism and accuracy is taking a backseat. The best source in a media-overwhelmed world is often a reliable one: the daily newspaper. The Newspaper not only provides raw news but also offers an analysis ,which translates the news into information ,telling the reader ‘what it all means’ and persuading them to concur. Increasingly important in the multichannel world is the brand. People have to know who to trust. Old established brands equal strong relationships. Trusted newspapers can play up their reputation as a way to retain readers. While it is true that newspapers are “in the business of news”, it is also a hard fact that they can remain in this business only if they make money. The economic support for newspapers comes from advertisers and not consumers. Advertising, contributed 67 percent to the total revenue of the Indian print sector in the financial year 2013(FICCI-KPMG report, 2014).Newspaper companies will have to prove their reach to the advertisers, if they have to earn their patronage. As per the office of the registrar of newspapers for India, total registered English and Hindi newspapers and periodicals as on March 2013 were 12,634 and 37,891respectively. The calendar year 2013 saw the print industry in India grow by 8.5 per cent from INR224 billion in 2012 to INR243 billion. The future looks bright for the newspaper industry but it cannot be complacent. The emergence of digital and social media news delivery has the potential to pose a serious challenge. However, low literacy rates and poor internet penetration could be a major hindrance for the digital medium to make any significant impact to the print industry in India. The bigger risk for newspapers may not be from technology alone, but from the content itself. To differentiate themselves from competitors, newspapers need to consistently innovate on design, info-graphics, supplements, features and other approaches. It is very important to engage readers in a constructive dialogue in an era where facts are available freely through multiple sources. Newspapers therefore will be forced to experiment more, provide differentiated content and start building communities to thrive in this highly competitive era. With all newspapers using an advertising –based business model, price is not a point of differentiation between different newspapers as the readers only invest their time and effort (McDowell, 2006).It is this reality that makes it imperative for the newspaper companies to build their brand in the minds of the readers. Building a loyal reader base should be the priority goal of any newspaper. In relation to newspapers, Loyalty indicates that the reader day after day chooses to pick up the paper and read it. The increasing competition in the media market and the possibilities that the Internet provides for accessing information makes it essential for the Newspapers to work on strategies that will create a connect between the reader and the newspaper. This study attempts to collect the composite of the consumer’s experiences, perceptions and feelings and then analyse the same to measure the brand on a number of key perceptions identified as being important to consumers. Literature review Hooke (2012) cites the global economic crisis, decreased advertising revenues and changing patterns in media use as some of the major factors for the decline in the newspaper markets in the west. Contrasting the situation in the East, he says that the growing middle class, growing literacy levels and higher disposable income will boost newspaper sales and advertising revenues. He opines that the elite English newspapers will face the challenges like their western counterparts, but sees a bright future for the growing vernacular press that have embraced the tabloid tradition. Hayden (2012) discusses about the ways Indian newspapers are developing ways of staying relevant in reader’s lives while also appealing to the advertisers. He feels that there needs to be efforts to built loyalty among readers by emphasising their local identity and encouraging grassroots leadership. He also cautions that trouble for Indian newspapers, however, may lie on the horizon. Fashionable new websites are slowly emerging as alternatives to newspapers. In time, they might pose a legitimate threat to print's stronghold on India's morning-news consumption. Ali (2012) analyses the preferences and behaviour of the readers of the newspapers on the basis of their attitudes, needs, wants and beliefs. He measured brand loyalty with the criterion of continued patronage. It was gathered that credibility and in-depth coverage of news were important. He concludes that newspaper brands should concentrate on developing their image by focusing on the changing needs of customers and address the needs of consumers to strengthen their loyalty and widen readership base. Das and Sengupta (2012) analysed the case of Times of India, by application of diffusion of innovation theory and disruptive technology theory, the nature of challenges it faces and the survival strategies adopted by the newspaper. The innovative strategies identified by them, which will help the industry to achieve differentiation, are innovation in production, marketing, use of information technology and in content design and layout. Singh and Arya (2012) concluded that source of information, habitual exercise and source of entertainment to be the reasons behind preferring to read the newspaper. The urban population felt that the only way to know the happenings in the locality was through the newspaper. Punniyamoorthy and Raj (2007) arrived at nine constructs to explain the brand loyalty behaviour. The model was developed using factor analysis, multiple regression analysis and analytical hierarchy process. They identified that involvement; perceived value, functional value, emotional value, price worthiness, social value, brand trust, customer satisfaction, commitment and repeated purchase behaviour were the variables that were found to have an influencing power on loyalty. Objectives of the study As evident from the present research review regarding the phenomenon of Brand Loyalty, there are numerous findings that make the extension of this concept to different product categories easier. It was observed that there are a very few studies related to the understanding of the factors that influence patronage behaviour among newspaper readers. The present study therefore sets forth to achieve the following objectives: 1. To identify the influencers of brand loyalty among newspaper readers. 2. To determine the consequences of brand loyalty among newspaper readers. 3. To establish and validate the influencers and consequences of brand loyalty through a statistical modelling technique. Methodology adopted The primary data that was needed for the study was collected with the help of a questionnaire that was pretested and modified. Multistage random sampling technique was employed for collecting responses. The greater Hyderabad municipal corporation (GHMC) is divided into five zones. One of the zones (central) was selected randomly. It comprises of four circles. One of the circles was chosen. Questionnaires were distributed randomly among 1000 households belonging to the seven wards out of the fifteen present in that circle. The criterion that was used to determine the usability of the questionnaires was that the respondent had to opt for one of the six newspapers chosen for the study (The Hindu, The Times of India, Deccan Chronicle, Eenadu, Sakshi and Andhra Jyothi) as the ‘Most preferred newspaper. This way of the 627 completed questionnaires received, only 609 were deemed fit for the purpose of the study. The data analysis in this study is only restricted to the factors affecting brand loyalty. For the purpose of modelling, the Structural Equation Modelling (SEM) technique using SmartPLS software is adopted .SEM is a statistical technique for testing and estimating casual relations using a combination of statistical data and qualitative causal assumptions (Sewall Wright , 1921; Trygve Haavelmo ,1943). One of the primary advantages of SEM is that it can be used to study the relationships among latent constructs that are indicated by multiple measures. Concept of brand loyalty The understanding of the term brand loyalty has seen a gradual change over the years. Researchers over the years have strived to identify possible influences on the decision making capacity of an individual with respect to his purchasing behaviour The American marketing association puts the concept in perspective. It defines brand loyalty as "The situation in which a consumer generally buys the same manufacturer-originated product or service repeatedly over time rather than buying from multiple suppliers within the category". More importantly this behaviour is understood to be a function of psychological processes (Kyner, 1973) and has the ability to withstand situational influences and marketing efforts (Oliver, 1999). Loyalty was considered as the share of total purchases (Cunningham, 1956; Farley, 1964), buying frequency or buying pattern (Tucker, 1964; Sheth, 1968) or buying probability (Harary & Lipstein,1962; McConnell, 1968). Loyalty was not investigated as a construct but as a simple variable measuring the frequency of customer purchase. One of the first researchers who used a two-dimensional definition of loyalty was Day (1969), who was of the view that brand loyalty should be evaluated on the basis of attitudinal as well as behavioural criteria. Likewise, Dick and Basu (1994) point out that even a relatively important repeat purchase may not reflect true loyalty to a product but may merely result from situational conditions such as brands stocked by the retailer. In their framework, attitude is a requirement for true loyalty to occur. Worthington, Russell-Bennett and Hartel (2009) state that brand loyalty cannot be regarded only as a simple one or two-dimensional concept but, as a complex construction which involves multiple dimensions. They argue that consumers’ thoughts and feelings regarding a brand are expressed as an action. In this way they divide attitudinal loyalty into a simple two component structure of cognitive loyalty and emotional or affective loyalty that can be used to develop an understanding of brand loyalty as a whole. When this component is included with behavioural loyalty, a tri-dimensional view of brand loyalty is derived. Researchers have used various combinations of the above approaches to study loyalty with respect to several products and services. This has given credence to the argument that loyalty is a multi-dimensional construct and at any given point of time for any given product could include various measures that may be behavioural, attitudinal, cognitive, affective and conative in nature. Proposed conceptual model of brand loyalty for daily newspapers The extensive study of the available literature on brand loyalty resulted in the identification of four predictors or variables that influence brand loyalty. These can be collectively called as loyalty influencers. The resultant positive attitude and behaviour of the reader have been conceptualised as loyalty consequences. Overall brand loyalty is the outcome variable which is determined by four predictor variables - Brand trust, Product quality, Functional value and Social value (Loyalty Influencers) Overall brand loyalty is expressed in the form of two components - Attitudinal loyalty and Behavioural loyalty (Loyalty Consequences) The arrows in the model show the hypothesised relationships between the variables supported by theoretical and empirical studies. Figure 1: Proposed conceptual model of brand loyalty for daily newspapers A brief explanation of the seven identified variables that will be a part of the proposed conceptual model is given below: Brand trust: Trust is defined as the expectations of the parties in a transaction and the risks associated with assuming and acting on such expectations. Chaudhuri & Holbrook (2001) defines Brand Trust as the “willingness of the average consumer to rely on the ability of the brand to perform its stated functions”. Deutsch (1958) & Lewis and Weigert (1985) argue that trust is not mere predictability but confidence in the face of risk. In the context of a product like daily newspapers, it is unlikely that the selling organisation can develop personal relationships with each reader. The entity on which the trust is reposed here is just the name or the masthead of the newspaper. Trust in the newspaper brand in this context is the reader’s willingness to rely on the news and other information that is published in the newspaper. The reinforcement of the trust in the newspaper is also brought about by the publisher by associating with several causes which are social, spiritual and political in nature. Physical product quality: The concept of product quality can be critically defined from two different perspectives, namely objective quality and the perceived quality (Brunso, Bredahl, Grunert & Scholderer,2005). Objective quality refers to the technical, measurable, and verifiable nature of products/services, processes, and quality controls. This includes product features, product performance, and durability amongst others. While subjective or perceived quality refers to the consumers' value judgments or perceptions of quality. Product Quality encompasses the features and characteristics of a product or service that bears on its ability to satisfy stated or implied needs. In other words, product quality is defined as “fitness for use” or “conformance to requirement” (Russell and Taylor, 2006). The newspaper reader has to be navigated to the important news, advertisements and other announcements in a relaxed manner so as to achieve maximum impact. The effort is to offer an elegant and functional newspaper. Readers do give a lot of importance to an efficient navigation system, legible typography and interesting photographs. The objective is two-foldone to make it easy to the reader’s eyes and two to make it attractive for the advertisers. Functional value: Functional value can be a key influence on readers that would make them happy with their decision of subscribing to the concerned newspaper. Functional value can be described as the benefits obtained from the performance, quality and price of a product. Sheth, Newman and Gross (1991) describes functional value as the benefit perceived or obtained from functional, pragmatic and physical performance of a situation. He claims that customers are initially affected by the functional value of a product in their preferences. Gerth ,Russi and Siegert (2012) emphasised that the visual aspects such as logos are not important to understand the functional value. They termed ‘functional value’ of a media brand as the internal business values reflected in the way media content is produced. Social value: Newspapers have a substantial social component to them. They help people connect with each other. They also create communities of users who can bond with each other. This social value helps define the users and fans of the brand into a community. Once the community has been defined, the brand needs to provide its members a platform through which they can communicate with each other and with the brand. According to Holbrook (2006), Social value refers to the case when consumption experience serves as a way to influence the responses of others and make a good impression. Overall brand loyalty: The critical goal for companies interested in creating loyal relationships with customers is to create offers that consistently deliver identity-appropriate benefits to the right groups of consumers in order to create an authentic relationship. When a brand meets or exceeds functional benefits and meets customers' need for certain psychological benefits, the brand engenders Brand Loyalty. In the proposed conceptual model, Brand Loyalty is posited as a Dependent Variable. This model also deviates from the conceptual model proposed by Oliver (1997), and adopts Lee’s (2003) observation that the cognitive stage is more likely to be an antecedent to loyalty rather than loyalty itself. Attitudinal loyalty: The conceptual model presents that the most important outcome when a reader is loyal to a newspaper, is the formation of a positive attitude towards the newspaper. This research proposes that positive attitudes are not an antecedent to Brand loyalty rather it is a consequence of Brand loyalty. Strong attitudes are resistant to change are stable overtime, and have powerful impact on information processing and behaviour. Positive attitudes when developed, there is a psychological attachment to a selected company or brand (Park & Kim, 2000; Day, 1969) and is often expressed as an ongoing relationship to a brand (Mascarenhas,Kesavan and Bernacci ,2006). Krosnick and Petty (1995) define attitudinal loyalty as “the extent to which attitudes manifest the qualities of durability and impactfulness” namely, the extent to which an attitude is persistent, is resistant to change, impacts information processing, and guides behaviour. Behavioural loyalty: Behaviour can be understood as a specific response to a specific stimulus. Behavioural loyalty would therefore in the context of newspapers be the reader responses to the various situations that arise in the context of his reading environment, like not receiving the newspaper on time or increase in price. The proposed conceptual model suggests that once the reader is loyal to a particular newspaper, he/she will exhibit a behaviour that will align to his/her loyalty. Since, the reader now becomes attached to the brand, any deviations in the environment that had earlier stimulated loyalty, will be scrutinised with patience and acted upon rationally. Figure 2: The proposed conceptual model represented in SmartPLS statistical software to conduct the Structural Equation Modelling Table 1: Components of the measurement /outer model1 Latent Variables2 Indicators 3 Brand trust Trust_1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10 Physical product quality ProQual_1,2 Functional value FValue_1,2,3,4,5,6 Social value SValue_1,2,3,4,5 Overall brand loyalty BL_1 Attitudinal loyalty AttStr_1,2,3,4,5 Behavioural loyalty BehStr_1,2,3,4 _________________________ 1 Specifies the relationship between the latent variables and their observed indicators 2 Variables not observed directly. Also known as constructs or factors 3 Questions used to operationalise or indicate the presence of the latent variables Hypothesis that is tested in the structural /inner model 4 H 1 : BTRUST→OVERALL_BL There is a positive relationship between Brand Trust generated by the newspaper and the presence of Brand Loyalty towards it. H 2: PROQUAL→ OVERALL_BL There is a positive relationship between product quality of the newspaper and Brand Loyalty towards it. H 3:FVALUE→ OVERALL_BL There is a positive relationship between Functional value derived from the newspaper and Brand Loyalty towards it. H 4: SVALUE→ OVERALL_BL There is a positive relationship between the Social Value derived from the newspaper and Brand Loyalty towards it. H 5 : OVERALL_BL →ATT_LOYALTY Attitudinal loyalty exhibited by the readers towards the newspaper is influenced by the overall Brand Loyalty towards it. H 6: OVERALL_BL →BEH_LOYALTY Behavioural loyalty exhibited by the reader towards the newspaper is not dependent on the overall Brand Loyalty towards it. H 7: ATT_LOYALTY→BEH_LOYALTY There is a positive relationship between Attitudinal Loyalty and Behavioural Loyalty displayed by the reader towards the newspaper H 8 :BTRUST→ATT_LOYALTY There is a positive relationship between Brand Trust generated by the newspaper and the Attitudinal Loyalty displayed by the reader towards it H 9 :BTRUST→BEH_LOYALTY There is a positive relationship between Brand Trust generated by the newspaper and the Behavioural Loyalty displayed by the reader towards it H 10: PROQUAL→ATT_LOYALTY There is a positive relationship between the product quality of the newspaper and the Attitudinal Loyalty displayed by the reader towards it. H 11 :PROQUAL→BEH_LOYALTY There is a positive relationship between the product quality of the newspaper and the Behavioural Loyalty displayed by the reader towards it. H 12: FVALUE→ATT_LOYALTY There is a positive relationship between the functional value derived from the newspaper and the Attitudinal Loyalty displayed by the reader towards it. H 13: FVALUE→BEH_LOYALTY There is a positive relationship between the functional value derived from the newspaper and the Behavioural Loyalty displayed by the reader towards it. H 14 : SVALUE→ATT_LOYALTY There is a positive relationship between the social value derived from the newspaper and the Attitudinal Loyalty displayed by the reader towards it. H 15 : SVALUE→BEH_LOYALTY There is a positive relationship between the social value derived from the newspaper and the Behavioural Loyalty displayed by the reader towards it. Data analysis Table 2: Sample characteristics Characteristics % of sample size 609 Gender Characteristics % of sample size 609 Age(years) Male 42 16-25 30 Female 58 26-35 15 Ed. Qualification % of sample size 609 36-45 25 Secondary or Lower 1 46-55 23 Under-graduate 25 56-65 7 Graduate 52 Above 65 1 Post graduate 22 ______________________ 4 Shows the relationship between the latent variables Occupation % Monthly family income % (Rs.) Students 26 Below 30 k 17 Homemakers 15 30k-50k 28 Govt. employees 4 50k-70k 17 Pvt. sector employees 35 70k-90k 8 Entrepreneurs 19 Above 90k 30 Retired 1 Most preferred % No. of years of reading % newspaper their most preferred newspaper The Hindu 25 0-10 54 The Times of India 30 11-20 26 Deccan Chronicle 30 21-30 13 Eenadu 12 31-40 5 Sakshi 2 41-50 1 Andhra Jyothi 1 50 and more No. of newspapers read % 1 25 2 39 3 25 4 and more 11 Source: Primary data Figure 3: Output obtained after running the PLS algorithm in SmartPLS Evaluation of the measurement model: The measurement model is assessed to validate the individual indicators as well as the composite reliability of indicators for each latent variable. The numbers on the arrows that point away from the latent variable towards the indicators, represent the ‘Outer loadings’. The outer loadings represent the correlations between the latent variable and the indicators. The outer loading for each Indicator is squared, to calculate the Indicator reliability. Since outer loadings are correlations, each indicator should at least explain 50% of the variance in the latent variable. Hulland (1999) has prescribed that an indicator reliability of 0.40 or higher is acceptable. With this threshold as the consideration, the indicators with squared loadings 0.40 or below are eliminated and the model is re-run. This elimination resulted in 20 indicators being retained from the 37 indicators used initially. The internal consistency reliability is checked by the measure of composite reliability. A measure of 0.70 is a threshold for modest composite reliability (Hulland, 1999; Nunnally, 1978). A value of 0.73 and above for all the seven latent variables indicate that all items in each latent variable form a single, strongly cohesive and conceptual construct. Table 3: Measures of Composite reliability and Average variance extracted Composite reliability Average variance extracted(AVE) Attitudinal Loyalty 0.8779 0.5906 Behavioural Loyalty 0.7608 0.5155 Brand Trust 0.846 0.5241 Functional Value 0.7362 0.4825 Overall Brand Loyalty 1 1 Product Quality 1 1 0.812 0.6867 Social Value Source: Default report-SmartPLS Likewise, for a latent variable, the AVE measures the amount of variance captured by the associated indicators relative to the amount due to measurement error. If a AVE is greater than 0.50, it means that a latent variable guarantees at least 50% more valid variance explained than error in its measurement (Chin, 1998; Fornell and Cha, 1994).All the AVE values reported in the above table are greater than the threshold of 0.50, thus confirming the convergent validity of the indicators to measure a given latent variable. Finally, the discriminant validity is evaluated using the Fornell and Larcker criterion. The square root of AVE is compared with the correlation coefficients among the latent variables. The square root of AVE of a latent variable should be greater than the correlations between it and any other latent variable in the model (Chin, 1998; Fornell and Larcker, 1981; Hulland, 1999). Table 4: Discriminant validity results using the Fornell-Larcker criterion ATT_LOYALTY BEH_LOYALTY BTRUST FVALUE OVERALL_BL PROQUAL ATT_LOYALTY 0.7685 BEH_LOYALTY 0.66 0.7179 BTRUST 0.6577 0.5683 0.7239 FVALUE 0.4265 0.3988 0.4837 0.6946 OVERALL_BL 0.7206 0.5118 0.5828 0.3362 1 PROQUAL 0.2815 0.2712 0.3714 0.3721 0.3124 1 SVALUE 0.4227 0.4223 0.455 0.3777 0.4497 0.2997 SVALUE 0.8286 Source: Default report-SmartPLS Evaluation of the Structural Model To assess the significance and relevance of the various hypothesised relationships in the proposed model of brand loyalty for daily newspapers, the structural model is assessed. This involves examining the model’s predictive capabilities and the relationships between the constructs. Collinearity assessment: First, the latent variables are tested for the presence of collinearity. Collinearity is a linear association between two or more explanatory or predictor latent variables. Presence of collinearity increases the standard errors of the coefficients. Increased standard errors may make some predictor variables statistically insignificant. Variance Inflation Factors (VIF) measure how much the variance of the estimated coefficients is increased due to the correlations among the predictor variables. The latent variable scores are used as an input for multiple regression in IBM SPSS statistics to get the VIF values, as SmartPLS does not provide these numbers. As a rule of thumb, VIF of 5 or lower (Tolerance level of 0.2 or higher) is needed to avoid collinearity issues. Table 5: Collinearity assessment for the predictor variables of overall brand loyalty Coefficientsa Model Unstandardized Coefficients Standardized t Sig. Collinearity Statistics Coefficients B (Constant) 1 Std. Error -2.094E-005 .032 TRUST .450 .039 FVAL .010 PQ SVAL Beta Tolerance VIF -.001 .999 .450 11.442 .000 .655 1.526 .038 .010 .276 .783 .704 1.421 .076 .036 .076 2.138 .033 .804 1.244 .219 .037 .219 5.954 .000 .750 1.333 a. Dependent Variable: OVERALL Source: SPSS output Table 6: Collinearity assessment for the predictor variables of attitudinal loyalty Coefficientsa Model Unstandardized Coefficients Standardized t Sig. Collinearity Statistics Coefficients B (Constant) Std. Error 1.517E-005 .025 TRUST .317 .034 FVAL .109 OVERALL Beta Tolerance VIF .001 1.000 .317 9.205 .000 .539 1.856 .030 .109 3.630 .000 .704 1.421 .501 .032 .501 15.501 .000 .612 1.634 -.041 .028 -.041 -1.434 .152 .798 1.254 .025 .030 .025 .826 .409 .708 1.412 1 PQ SVAL a. Dependent Variable: ATT Source: SPSS output Table 7: Collinearity assessment for the predictor variables of behavioural loyalty Coefficientsa Model Unstandardized Coefficients Standardized t Sig. Collinearity Statistics Coefficients B (Constant) 1 Std. Error 1.748E-005 .029 ATT .469 .047 TRUST .171 FVAL Beta Tolerance VIF .001 1.000 .469 9.954 .000 .385 2.597 .043 .171 4.020 .000 .472 2.117 .067 .035 .067 1.891 .059 .689 1.452 -.008 .044 -.008 -.188 .851 .438 2.285 PQ .018 .033 .018 .537 .591 .795 1.258 SVAL .120 .035 .120 3.445 .001 .708 1.413 OVERALL a. Dependent Variable: BEH Source: SPSS output The VIF values for all the three sets of predictor variables that determines Overall Brand Loyalty, Attitudinal Loyalty and Behavioural Loyalty are well below the threshold of 5. Thus, it is proved that there is no Collinearity between the predictor constructs. Assessing the significance of the hypothesised relationships: Using the technique of bootstrapping, T-statistics are obtained which allows for the significance testing of the structural path. Using a two-tailed t-test with a significance level of 5%, the path co-efficient will be significant if the T-statistic is larger than 1.96. For the proposed conceptual Model of Brand Loyalty for Daily newspapers, the T-statistics obtained for the 15 hypothesised relationships are evaluated. The insignificant path relationships are removed from the model and the PLS-SEM estimation is carried out again. This results in the retention of only 9 significant path relationships for this conceptual model. They are H1, H2, H4, H5, H7, H8, H9, H12 and H15. Table 8: T-statistics for the hypothesised relationships in the proposed conceptual model Hypothesis Number Hypothesised path relationships T-staitistic Result (p<0.05) H1 BTRUST→OVERALL_BL 9.9343 Significant H2 PROQUAL→OVERALL_BL 2.0959 Significant H3 FVALUE →OVERALL_BL H4 SVALUE→OVERALL_BL 5.9351 Significant H5 OVERALL_BL→ATT_LOYALTY 13.8512 Significant H6 OVERALL_BL →BEH_LOYALTY H7 ATT_LOYALTY→BEH_LOYALTY 9.2294 Significant H8 BTRUST→ATT_LOYALTY 7.8277 Significant H9 BTRUST→BEH_LOYALTY 4.0113 Significant H 10 PROQUAL →ATT_LOYALTY H 11 PROQUAL →BEH_LOYALTY H 12 FVALUE→ATT_LOYALTY 2.9941 Significant H 13 FVALUE→BEH_LOYALTY 1.738 Not significant H 14 SVALUE →ATT_LOYALTY H 15 SVALUE→BEH_LOYALTY Source: Default report-SmartPLS 0.2771 0.1708 1.2148 0.5187 0.88 2.9801 Not significant Not significant Not significant Not significant Not significant Significant Assessing the path coefficients Table 9: Path coefficients of the significant hypothesised relationships ATT_LOYALTY BEH_LOYALTY OVERALL_BL ATT_LOYALTY - 0.4750 - BTRUST 0.3139 0.1943 0.4538 FVALUE 0.1061 - - OVERALL_BL 0.5019 - - PROQUAL - - 0.0780 0.1332 0.2199 SVALUE Source: Default report-SmartPLS As seen in the table above, Overall Brand Loyalty shows the highest impact on Attitudinal Loyalty (0.5019).This shows that there is a positive attitude formation amongst the readers once they have developed a sense of loyalty to the newspaper they read. Brand Trust, has the next highest influence on positive attitude formation. Attitudinal Loyalty has the highest impact on Behavioural Loyalty (0.4750) than any of the other three latent variables. Next, is the impact of Brand Trust that is the second highest on Behavioural Loyalty (0.1943) followed by Social Value (0.1332). Likewise, Brand Trust is the major influence on Overall brand loyalty (0.4538).This is the first level of loyal feeling that should be generated in a reader, that is the ability to proclaim that “Yes, I am loyal to this newspaper”. Once this is achieved, the positive attitudes that emanate can be harnessed to the advantage of the brand. Social Value is the second highest influencer of Overall Brand Loyalty. The path coefficients also represent an impact of a 1-point change in one latent variable on another. Eg: A 1 point change in Brand Trust will result in a increase of 0.4538 in Overall Brand Loyalty. Assessment of predictive capability of the model: This is done by evaluating the coefficient of determination (R2) of the latent variables. The coefficient of determination, commonly called as R-square is indicative of the level of explained variability in the model. It is expressed as a value between zero and one. A value of one indicates a perfect fit, and therefore, a very reliable model for future forecasts. A value of zero, on the other hand, would indicate that the model fails to accurately model the dataset. Chin (1998) describes R2 values of 0.67, 0.33 and 0.19 in PLS path model as substantial, moderate and weak. Table 10: Coefficient of determination ( R2 ) Variable R2 0.6133 ATT_LOYALTY 0.4796 BEH_LOYALTY 0.3878 OVERALL_BL Source: Default report-SmartPLS The coefficient of determination, R2, is 0.615 for Attitudinal Loyalty, 0.4796 for Behavioural Loyalty. The value is 0.3878 for Overall Brand Loyalty. This means that the exogenous variables of Brand Trust, Product Quality, Functional Value and Social Value explain 61.5% of the variance in Attitudinal Loyalty and only 38.78% variance in the Overall Brand Loyalty. The four exogenous variables along with Attitudinal Loyalty explain 48.48% of the variance in Behavioural Loyalty. All the three values can be considered to be moderate. R-squared should be optimised. It seen that it is the highest for Attitudinal Loyalty, which confirms the theoretical assumption that the relative importance of attitude or behaviour to the loyalty construct would appear to be related to the object of loyalty and the conditions of the market(Bennett and Thiele,2002). In the case of ‘Daily Newspapers’, positive attitudes would play a stronger role than behaviour considering that the switching costs are not too high in case of newspapers and it is assumed that the reader’s lack competitive differentiation. Implications of the study The conceptual model of brand loyalty developed for daily newspapers has been validated using the SmartPLS application. The four variables of brand trust, product quality, functional value and social value which is the loyalty influencers brings about a sense of patronage in the reader towards the newspaper he/she reads. Brand trust is the most influential among the four identified variables. This is indicative of the fact that in the modern media environment, trust in journalism is important. Readers value the newspaper first for the trustworthy content in the form of news, views and analyses that it offers. It is seen that the functional value does not contribute significantly in building loyalty. The deviation taken by this conceptual model in positing attitudinal and behavioural loyalty as the consequences of overall brand loyalty has gained support by the statistical assessments. The major influence on attitudinal loyalty is overall brand loyalty. And, it is attitudinal loyalty that influences positive behaviour. Conclusion The business model of the newspaper companies is majorly (more than 75%) advertiserdependent. Having a strong core product that is linked closely to the lifecycle of the reader is the only option for the publisher to ensure the longevity of the newspaper both in terms of credibility and profitability. Also important, is the need to secure the loyalty of the youth of the country. The internet may not be a threat to the newspaper industry in India; in fact newspapers are going to be strategic partners in the process of consolidation of the major online retailers who are fresh with funds and ideas. The future looks promising, but complacency may cost dearly. The model of brand loyalty for newspapers that is validated in this study highlights the crucial parameters that need to be maintained and improved for survival in the highly competitive newspaper industry. 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