Presentation to Joint Oireachtas Committee [27/01/2016] Jeremy Godfrey, Chairperson Kevin O’Brien, Commissioner Gerry Fahy, Commissioner ComReg - Who we are We regulate communications markets so that they operate effectively in the interests of consumers and society Established in 2002 by the Communications Regulation Act Statutory objectives include: Promoting the interests of end users Facilitating competition and consumer choice Facilitating innovation and investment Ensuring efficient use of radio spectrum 2 ComReg - What we do Our functions derive from Irish and EU law Regulate operators with significant market power Uphold consumer rights Manage the use of the radio spectrum Assign rights of use Manage radio interference (e.g. to support aeronautical safety) Ensure delivery of Universal Service in telecoms and posts Various other functions, including numbering, charges for the Emergency Call Answering Service, regulation of Premium Rate Services 3 Main trends Users More Networks Video streaming Social media Better wireless connections Faster speeds with 4G Smart “things” like thermostats Wider coverage of data services following changes in spectrum rules Less Fixed line phone calls Text messages Smartphone driving high data usage growth on mobile 4 Fibre closer to the user Smartphones and tablets Access via wifi and mobile Faster fixed connections Broadband penetration in Ireland is above EU28 average Household Broadband Penetration Rates, EU-28 and Ireland 90% 80% EU-28 76% Ireland 72% 61% 56% 60% 48% 42% 40% 30% 78% 83% 80% 67% 70% 50% 80% 65% 67% 65% 58% 54% 43% 31% 20% 10% 0% 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: Eurostat, Information Society Indicators, CSO 5 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 High speed platforms are taking greater market share 6 Broadband speeds are increasing Total Fixed Broadband Subscriptions by Speed, Q3'12- Q3'15 100% 90% 19.9% 32.5% 80% 70% 43.2% 11.1% 54.2% 9.6% 60% 50% 40% 18.6% 61.8% 13.1% 52.5% 30% 34.2% 29.9% 5.4% 4.0% 2.8% Q3'13 Q3'14 20% 10% 0% 7.9% Q3'12 Source: Quarterly Key Data Questionnaire 7 <2Mbps (2Mbps - 9.99Mbps) (=10Mbps - 29.99Mbps) (=30Mbps - 99.99Mbps) Q3'15 Competition in the retail broadband market 8 Many providers with a broad range of prices 9 How the fixed market has changed - networks Much wider availability of high-speed broadband networks Eir (previously Eircom) high-speed network covering 1.3 million premises, with public statements identifying a target of 1.9 million Virgin Media covers 760,000 premises Siro (ESB/Vodafone JV) plans initial coverage of 500,000 homes Overall high-speed coverage of 71% in line with EU average of 68% State Intervention planned for last 30% of premises 10 How the fixed market has changed - competition Increased competition in fixed voice and broadband, between and on networks Market entry by Sky, Vodafone at Home, and others (through regulated access to eir’s network) Virgin Media (previously UPC) has taken significant market share Competition on Bundles – voice, broadband, TV and mobile Declining importance of fixed voice but increasing importance of fixed broadband to access data services – especially video Wireless, Mobile and Satellite play an important role 11 Competition and consolidation is changing the the retail mobile market 12 Contract and Prepaid revenue per user have declined by 8% since 2013 13 Mobile data usage is growing very rapidly following the launch of 4G Mobile voice and mobile data volumes in Ireland 3,250,000 30,000 3,000,000 27,500 2,750,000 25,000 2,500,000 22,500 500% Increase in mobile data usage since 2011 2,000,000 20,000 17,500 1,750,000 15,000 1,500,000 12,500 1,250,000 10,000 1,000,000 7,500 750,000 4G Launched 500,000 5,000 Multi-Band Spectrum Auction 250,000 2,500 Source: Quarterly Key Data Questionnaire 14 Minutes (000s) Other Data Vols (000s GB) Q2'15 Q1'15 Q4'14 Q3'14 Q2'14 Q1'14 Q4'13 Q3'13 Q2'13 Q1'13 Q4'12 Q3'12 Q2'12 Q1'12 Q4'11 Q3'11 - Q2'11 - GB per Quarter (000s) Minutes (000s) 2,250,000 ComReg’s proposed Spectrum Strategy • 86% increase in the available spectrum for wireless services in 2016 • With regional assignments complementing the National Broadband Plan • Supporting significantly enhanced wireless rural broadband services • With the potential for a further 52% uplift of assignments • Including spectrum (700MHz) suitable for rural coverage extension Spectrum Available and Planned for Mobile and Fixed wireless broadband services PAST FUTURE +52% 1145 MHz 755 MHz 405 MHz Existing 15 +86% 2016 2017 - 2019 Consumer surveys show improving satisfaction with all services since 2013 Source: ComReg (fieldwork and data analysis carried out by RED C) 16 Communications prices have declined by 8% overall since 2011 versus CPI 17 Annual statistics on Customer issues logged show a downward trend of 15% year on year The top categories of electronic communications service issues Billing and disputed charging issues largely unchanged Contractual matters down by 22% Service issues down 15% ECS Comparison 6000 5649 5569 5148 5000 4167 4021 4000 3521 2704 3000 1772 2000 1544 1329 1467 1073 1301 1000 1031 843 629 403 423 0 Billing & Disputed Charges Contractual Matters Service Issues Not for ComReg Switching & Number Portibility 2015 18 2014 Customer Service Installation Issues Comreg Other ComReg not Consumer Care Many have benefited but there’s still work to be done Substantial progress in bringing advanced services to most of the population Several initiatives will improve experience for users in lessdensely populated areas, and elsewhere Government’s National Broadband Plan Continued investment by fixed and mobile operators Continued aggressive competition More spectrum releases by ComReg Continued action by ComReg to uphold consumer rights Continued action by ComReg to optimise and enforce fair competition rules 19 Presentation to Joint Oireachtas Committee [27/01/2016] Questions