significant source of wealth today equities constitute differing proportions of average portfolio weights in different countries one characteristic important to investors across markets is ability to be an inflation hedge
equities have comparatively high historical long-term rates of return
in study of 17 countries the long term real rates of return to equities exceeded that of bonds in all countries
passive management
active management
semiactive management
no attempt to reflect investment expectations through changes in security holdings
indexing
attempt to match the performance of some benchmark
in US alone, more than $1 trillion in institutional indexed equities
principle way historically that investors manage equities
even with growth of indexing, still accounts for overwhelming majority of equity assets managed
seek to outperform benchmark
enhanced indexing or risk-controlled active management
seek to outperform benchmark but manager worries more about tracking risk than active manager and builds portfolio that will have limited volatility around benchmark’s return
Active Indexing Enhanced
Indexing
0% 1% - 2% 2% + Expected
Active
Return
Tracking
Risk
Information
Ratio
<1%
0
1% - 2%
0.75
4% +
0.50
1971 - Wells Fargo 1 st indexed portfolio
1973 – Wells Fargo has commingled index fund for trust accounts
1976 – Wells Fargo combines funds and uses
S&P 500 as template for combined portfolio
1981 – Wells Fargo has fund to track market outside of S&P 500
1975 – Bogle at Vanguard launches 1 st broadmarket index fund for retail investors
many studies have found that the average active institutional portfolio fails to beat the relevant comparison index after expenses
often difference in performance is found to be close to average expense disadvantage of active management compared with the average actively managed fund that has similar objectives, a wellrun indexed fund’s major advantage is expected superior long-term net-of-expenses performance because of relatively low
portfolio turnover
management fees high tax efficiency
indexes are portfolio management benchmarks
also used
to measure return of a market or market segment
as basis for creating an index fund
to study factors that influence share price movements
to perform technical analysis
to calculate a stock’s systematic risk
characteristics of index
boundaries of index’s universe
criteria for inclusion in the index
how the stocks are weighted
how returns are calculated
one of greatest differences among indexes due to how components are weighted
price-weighted – each stock is weighted according to its absolute share price value-weighted – each stock is weighted according to its market cap
float-weighted index equal-weighted
– each stock is weighted equally different weighting schemes can lead to different biases
PW biased towards highest price stock
VW biased towards the shares of firms with the largest market caps
(likely large and mostly mature firms and possibly overvalued firms)
EW biased towards small firms because these indexes have many more small firms than large firms and it must be rebalanced periodically
Stephen Alcorn is a portfolio manager at Amanda Asset Management (AAM). At the end of 2002, a wealthy client engaged Alcorn to manage $10,000,000 for one year in an active focused equity style. the investment management contract specificed a symmetric incentive fee of $10,000 per 100 bps of capital appreciation relative to that of an index of the stocks slected for investment. (Symmetric means that the incentive fee will reduce the investment management fee if benchmark-relative performance is negative.) In an oversight, the contract leaves open the method by which the benchmark index will be calculated. Alcorn invests in shares of Eastman Kodak,
McDonald’s, Intel, Merck, Wal-Mart, and Microsoft achieving a 15.9% price return for the year. The table gives information on the 6 stocks. Using only the information given, address the following:
1.
For each of the 6 shares, explain the price-only return calculation on the following indices for the period 12/31/2002 to 12/31/2003:
1.
2.
3.
PW index
VW index
Float-weighted index
2.
4.
EW index
Recommend the appropriate benchmark index for calculating the performance incentive fee on the account and determine the amount of that fee.
Equity Market Data for the Shares of Six Companies
Kodak
McDonald's
Intel
Merck
Wal-Mart
Microsoft
Total
Share price Share price Price MV Shares MV Shares Free Float
12/31/2002 12/31/2003 Change 12/31/2002 12/31/2003 Factor
35.04
16.08
15.57
53.58
50.51
25.85
24.85
-29.10%
24.09
49.80%
(millions) (millions)
10,056
20,406
7,132
30,570
31.36
101.40% 101,703 204,844
45.1
53.05
27.37
-15.80%
5.00%
5.90%
119,216 100,348
221,992 233,154
277,060 293,352
750,433 869,400
1
1
0.6
1
0.85
1
investment in an indexed portfolio
a long position in cash plus a long position in futures contracts on the underlying index
a long position in cash plus a long position in a swap on the index
conventional index mutual funds
exchange-traded funds
separate accounts or pooled accounts (mostly for institutional investors designed to track a benchmark index)
indexing can be done by
full replication
stratified sampling
optimization
equity styles – natural grouping of investment disciplines that has some predictive power in explaining the future dispersion of returns across portfolios
value – focused on paying a relatively low share price in relation to earnings or assets per share growth – focused on investing in high-earningsgrowth companies
market-oriented – specified as an intermediate grouping for investment disciplines that cannot be clearly categorized as value or growth
Value substyles
low P/E
contrarian
high yield
Growth substyles
consistent growth
earnings momentum
Blend or Core Investor
market-oriented
market-oriented with a value (growth) bias
growth-at-a-reasonable-price
style rotators
Socially Responsible Investing
integrates ethical values and societal concerns with investment decisions
negative screens
Long-Short Investing
value added is alpha
market neutral strategy
pairs trade/pairs arbitrage
price inefficiency on the short side
many investors look for undervalued stocks but because of the constraints many have on shorting, fewer search for overvalued stocks opportunities to short may arise due to management fraud, windowdressing, or negligence
sell-side analysts may be reluctant to issue negative opinions on companies’ stocks for reasons other than generic ones such as that a stock has become relatively expensive longshort strategies can make better use of a portfolio manager’s information because both rising and falling stocks offer profit potential
sell-side analysts issue many more reports with buy recommendations than with sell recommendations rather than simply avoiding a stock with a bad outlook, a long-short manager can short it thereby earning the full performance spread
enhanced index or risk-controlled active strategies
basic forms
derivatives-based strategies
stock-based strategies