TCDSB Long Term Accommodation Plan

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TCDSB
Long Term Accommodation Plan
Information Session Spring 2007
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TCDSB
Long Term Accommodation Plan
Table 1: TCDSB School Use
Number of School Buildings
Available
Pupil Places
2005-2006
Occupied
Pupil Places
2005-2006
Utilization
Rate
2005-2006
Elementary
Schools
171
65276.0
59077.8
90.5%
Secondary
Schools
32
28269
28486.2
100.8%
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TCDSB
Long Term Accommodation Plan
ISSUES AND CHALLENGES
Capacity and Utilization
•
The trend for the Toronto Catholic District School Board has been
declining numbers in student enrolment
•
The decline results in an increase of surplus space in schools that have
more capacity than is required for the number of students enrolled
•
In 2000/2001, 14 of our elementary schools were below 60% with none
being below 60% in our secondary schools
•
In 2005/2006, 156 of our elementary schools were above 60% capacity
and 15 were at or below 60% capacity
•
In 2005/2006, 30 of our secondary schools were above 60% capacity
and 2 were at or below 60% capacity
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TCDSB
Long Term Accommodation Plan
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TCDSB
Long Term Accommodation Plan
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TCDSB
Long Term Accommodation Plan
Table 2: TCDSB Elementary School Utilization
Rates
90
0-60%
Utilization
Rate
80
Number of Schools
70
60
60-100%
Utilization
Rate
50
40
30
Over
100%
Utilization
Rate
20
10
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Year
6
TCDSB
Long Term Accommodation Plan
Table 3: TCDSB Secondary School Utilization
Rates
25
0-60%
Utilization
Rate
Number of Schools
20
15
60-100%
Utilization
Rate
10
Over 100%
Utilization
Rate
5
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Year
7
TCDSB
Long Term Accommodation Plan
Enrolment Information
•
Since 1998-1999, the elementary enrolment has declined by
approximately 9% or 6,021 students and the secondary enrolment
has also declined by approximately 9% or 2,945 students
•
Over the next 10 years, the elementary enrolment is projected to
decline by less than 1% and the secondary enrolment is projected
to decline by a further 6%
•
The next two slides demonstrate the enrolment projections for
each panel over the next 10 years
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TCDSB
Long Term Accommodation Plan
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TCDSB
Long Term Accommodation Plan
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TCDSB
Long Term Accommodation Plan
Table 4: Enrolment Decline
100000
Elementary
80000
60000
Secondary
40000
20000
2007
2005
2003
2001
1999
0
Total
Enrolment
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TCDSB
Long Term Accommodation Plan
•
Major factors contributing to this decline are:
– Decline in the preschool aged population
– Long term trend of women waiting longer to have children
– Decline in the Birth Rate (# of births/1,000 people in the
population)
– Decline in Fertility Rate (Estimates the average number of
children women aged 15 – 49 will have in their lifetime)
– Change in the immigration patterns (immigration from
traditionally non-Catholic countries)
– Increase in Private School Enrolment
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TCDSB
Long Term Accommodation Plan
Private School Enrolment
Elementary Private School Enrolment
1998/1999
1999/2000
2000/2001
2001/2002
2002/2003
15,847
18,703
20,142
20,451
22,116
Secondary Private School Enrolment
1998/1999
1999/2000
2000/2001
2001/2002
2002/2003
9,208
10,867
11,703
12,954
13,864
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TCDSB
Long Term Accommodation Plan
Elementary Service Factor
Catholic Service Factor
Service Factor
85.0%
This review was prepared in
the context of the school aged
population
identified
as
Catholic and the number of
students attending Catholic
Schools.
80.0%
80.5%
81.4%
81.7%
79.3%
75.0%
1986
1991
Census Years
1996
2001
Secondary Service Factor
85.0%
Service Factor
As you can see, the elementary
and secondary service factors
have decreased from 1991 to
1996.
80.0%
75.0%
84.3%
70.0%
80.8%
78.9%
71.2%
65.0%
60.0%
1986
1991
1996
Census Years
2001
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TCDSB
Long Term Accommodation Plan
Facility Recommendations for Schools In Ward 4
• Construct addition
– St. Charles Garnier (4 rooms), St. Norbert (4 rooms with site
expansion)
• Potential Capital Improvements subject to availability of
funding
– St. Augustine (addition), St. Conrad (replacement school)
• Future Boundary Review
– Blessed Margherita of Citta di Castillo, St. Jane Frances, St.
Martha
• Study capacity issues at Madonna and investigate relocation
to an acquired school in West end
• Future School Construction
– York University Lands
• No Recommendations at this time
– St. Jerome, St. Robert, St. Raphael (redirect over capacity to
St. Conrad if funding is approved)
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TCDSB
Long Term Accommodation Plan
Future Programming for Schools In Ward 4
•
•
•
•
•
•
James Cardinal McGuigan
– SALEP, Curriculum connections @ St. Wilfrid, Advanced Credit
Experience, Ecoschool
Madonna
– Math-Science Technology, Health & Personal Care, ME/DD
Regina Pacis (closed facility)
– System wide review of Msgr. Fraser program, possible
Northwest location of program
St. Charles Garnier & St. Conrad
– Ecoschool
St. Norbert
– MID
St. Wilfrid
– Curriculum connections to James Cardinal McGuigan and
Chaminade
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