TCDSB Long Term Accommodation Plan Information Session Spring 2007 1 TCDSB Long Term Accommodation Plan Table 1: TCDSB School Use Number of School Buildings Available Pupil Places 2005-2006 Occupied Pupil Places 2005-2006 Utilization Rate 2005-2006 Elementary Schools 171 65276.0 59077.8 90.5% Secondary Schools 32 28269 28486.2 100.8% 2 TCDSB Long Term Accommodation Plan ISSUES AND CHALLENGES Capacity and Utilization • The trend for the Toronto Catholic District School Board has been declining numbers in student enrolment • The decline results in an increase of surplus space in schools that have more capacity than is required for the number of students enrolled • In 2000/2001, 14 of our elementary schools were below 60% with none being below 60% in our secondary schools • In 2005/2006, 156 of our elementary schools were above 60% capacity and 15 were at or below 60% capacity • In 2005/2006, 30 of our secondary schools were above 60% capacity and 2 were at or below 60% capacity 3 TCDSB Long Term Accommodation Plan 4 TCDSB Long Term Accommodation Plan 5 TCDSB Long Term Accommodation Plan Table 2: TCDSB Elementary School Utilization Rates 90 0-60% Utilization Rate 80 Number of Schools 70 60 60-100% Utilization Rate 50 40 30 Over 100% Utilization Rate 20 10 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Year 6 TCDSB Long Term Accommodation Plan Table 3: TCDSB Secondary School Utilization Rates 25 0-60% Utilization Rate Number of Schools 20 15 60-100% Utilization Rate 10 Over 100% Utilization Rate 5 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Year 7 TCDSB Long Term Accommodation Plan Enrolment Information • Since 1998-1999, the elementary enrolment has declined by approximately 9% or 6,021 students and the secondary enrolment has also declined by approximately 9% or 2,945 students • Over the next 10 years, the elementary enrolment is projected to decline by less than 1% and the secondary enrolment is projected to decline by a further 6% • The next two slides demonstrate the enrolment projections for each panel over the next 10 years 8 TCDSB Long Term Accommodation Plan 9 TCDSB Long Term Accommodation Plan 10 TCDSB Long Term Accommodation Plan Table 4: Enrolment Decline 100000 Elementary 80000 60000 Secondary 40000 20000 2007 2005 2003 2001 1999 0 Total Enrolment 11 TCDSB Long Term Accommodation Plan • Major factors contributing to this decline are: – Decline in the preschool aged population – Long term trend of women waiting longer to have children – Decline in the Birth Rate (# of births/1,000 people in the population) – Decline in Fertility Rate (Estimates the average number of children women aged 15 – 49 will have in their lifetime) – Change in the immigration patterns (immigration from traditionally non-Catholic countries) – Increase in Private School Enrolment 12 TCDSB Long Term Accommodation Plan Private School Enrolment Elementary Private School Enrolment 1998/1999 1999/2000 2000/2001 2001/2002 2002/2003 15,847 18,703 20,142 20,451 22,116 Secondary Private School Enrolment 1998/1999 1999/2000 2000/2001 2001/2002 2002/2003 9,208 10,867 11,703 12,954 13,864 13 TCDSB Long Term Accommodation Plan Elementary Service Factor Catholic Service Factor Service Factor 85.0% This review was prepared in the context of the school aged population identified as Catholic and the number of students attending Catholic Schools. 80.0% 80.5% 81.4% 81.7% 79.3% 75.0% 1986 1991 Census Years 1996 2001 Secondary Service Factor 85.0% Service Factor As you can see, the elementary and secondary service factors have decreased from 1991 to 1996. 80.0% 75.0% 84.3% 70.0% 80.8% 78.9% 71.2% 65.0% 60.0% 1986 1991 1996 Census Years 2001 14 TCDSB Long Term Accommodation Plan Facility Recommendations for Schools In Ward 4 • Construct addition – St. Charles Garnier (4 rooms), St. Norbert (4 rooms with site expansion) • Potential Capital Improvements subject to availability of funding – St. Augustine (addition), St. Conrad (replacement school) • Future Boundary Review – Blessed Margherita of Citta di Castillo, St. Jane Frances, St. Martha • Study capacity issues at Madonna and investigate relocation to an acquired school in West end • Future School Construction – York University Lands • No Recommendations at this time – St. Jerome, St. Robert, St. Raphael (redirect over capacity to St. Conrad if funding is approved) 15 TCDSB Long Term Accommodation Plan Future Programming for Schools In Ward 4 • • • • • • James Cardinal McGuigan – SALEP, Curriculum connections @ St. Wilfrid, Advanced Credit Experience, Ecoschool Madonna – Math-Science Technology, Health & Personal Care, ME/DD Regina Pacis (closed facility) – System wide review of Msgr. Fraser program, possible Northwest location of program St. Charles Garnier & St. Conrad – Ecoschool St. Norbert – MID St. Wilfrid – Curriculum connections to James Cardinal McGuigan and Chaminade 16