2013 Global Procurement at BP Risk Analysis and Mitigation Strategies INFO 335-501 Written by: Calvin Easley Angela Keenan Kelsey McKechnie Allison Pelzel Wesley Wheeler TABLE OF CONTENTS Executive Summary......................................................................................................................... 4 Introduction .................................................................................................................................... 5 Analysis ........................................................................................................................................... 5 Financial Health ........................................................................................................................... 5 Short Term Solvency or Liquidity Ratios ................................................................................. 5 Long Term Solvency or Financial Leverage Ratios .................................................................. 5 Asset Use or Turnover Ratios.................................................................................................. 6 Profitability Ratios................................................................................................................... 6 Quality.......................................................................................................................................... 7 Working Life ............................................................................................................................ 7 Fuel Efficiency ......................................................................................................................... 7 Total Recordable Incident Rate .............................................................................................. 8 Overall Quality Results ............................................................................................................ 9 Acquisition ................................................................................................................................... 9 Acquisition Cost ...................................................................................................................... 9 Transportation ...................................................................................................................... 11 Weighted Total for Acquisiton .............................................................................................. 11 Ownership.................................................................................................................................. 12 Training ................................................................................................................................. 12 Overhaul................................................................................................................................ 12 Preventive Maintenance ....................................................................................................... 14 Warranty ............................................................................................................................... 15 Total Maintenance Rankings................................................................................................. 16 Post-Ownership ......................................................................................................................... 16 Total Cost of Ownership ............................................................................................................ 17 ReciproCo .............................................................................................................................. 17 Shin Yin Breeze Works .......................................................................................................... 18 Complete Compression Industries ........................................................................................ 18 Global Procurement at BP | Executive Summary 1 Machine Pack Systems .......................................................................................................... 18 Starke Ausstatten Inc. ........................................................................................................... 19 Total Cost of Ownership Results ........................................................................................... 19 Risk Assessment ............................................................................................................................ 19 Labor Strikes .............................................................................................................................. 19 ReciproCo and Machine Pack Systems ................................................................................. 20 Shin Yin Breeze Works .......................................................................................................... 20 Complete Compression Industries ........................................................................................ 20 Starke Ausstatten Inc. ........................................................................................................... 20 Varying Business Culture ........................................................................................................... 21 Bribes .................................................................................................................................... 21 Child Labor ............................................................................................................................ 21 Leverage of Power ................................................................................................................ 21 Women.................................................................................................................................. 22 Currency Fluctuation ................................................................................................................. 22 Shin Yin Breeze Works .......................................................................................................... 23 Complete Compression Industries ........................................................................................ 23 Starke Ausstatten Inc. ........................................................................................................... 23 Reliability of Products and Services ........................................................................................... 23 Managerial ................................................................................................................................. 24 Company Visits ...................................................................................................................... 24 Outsourcing ........................................................................................................................... 25 Quality Control ...................................................................................................................... 25 Contract ..................................................................................................................................... 25 Risk Mitigation .............................................................................................................................. 25 Recommendation.......................................................................................................................... 26 Supplier Selection ...................................................................................................................... 26 113 Horsepower Unit ............................................................................................................ 26 552 Horsepower Unit ............................................................................................................ 26 Global Procurement at BP | Executive Summary 2 Type of Contract ........................................................................................................................ 26 Global Procurement at BP | Executive Summary 3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY BP is an oil company that historically leased the compressors used in its Southern Wyoming field. However, BP realizes this is not the best financial option and is currently looking into options of purchasing these compressors. To begin this transition, BP believes it would be best to buy only 200 compressors as a trial to feel out the supplier. If all goes well, BP will slowly buy the rest and stop the leases all together. BP needs 145 units of the 113 horsepower compressor and 55 units of the 552 horsepower compressor. After narrowing down the options of suppliers, BP sought out bids from five companies to compare based on criteria determined by BP: assurance of supplier, quality, safety/service, innovation, cost, and risk. Of the five companies BP chose, two were domestic and the others were international, located in Canada, Germany, and China. When considering which company would be the best partner for this business negotiation, all six of these vital criteria were taken into consideration. Weights were assigned so these, as well as other aspects deemed appropriate, would ensure optimal relations and to secure BP’s reputation. Global Procurement at BP | Executive Summary 4 INTRODUCTION BP America has expressed the need to develop a global sourcing strategy for the procurement of a new compression package. BP is re-evaluating its supply base for these compression packages, considering both domestic and international suppliers. Since quality of the compressors, inconsistent lead times, and repeated failures in compressor performance have been a problem in the past, BP requires all new compression packages to meet specific technical requirements. The Global Procurement and Supply Chain Management (PSCM) team assigned to this task has been given a deadline of six months to select a new supplier and award a contract. The PSCM team must develop a detailed procurement proposal to replace the currently installed 200 old, underperforming reciprocating compressor units with new, more reliable and standardized units. The team will utilize BP’s global supply chain process to ensure appropriate risk management practices will be used, resulting in the selection of a capable and competent supplier with no compromise to safety and operational risk. The PSCM team’s strategy in approaching the potential supplier analysis consisted of a weight and ranking system. The team decided on categories that were determined relevant, and gave each category a percentage weight, depending on its importance to the decision of selecting a new supplier. For example, quality and ownership costs were each given 30%, while acquisition costs were given 25% of the total weight. These categories had sub-categories, which were also given a percentage weight to total the category’s weight. Each attribute for each supplier (e.g., TRIR, lead time, and transportation costs) was given a ranking of 1 through 5, with a higher score indicating a more preferable supplier. Each attribute ranking for each company was then multiplied by the percentage weight. Every weighted category was added up for each company to determine its final score. The chosen suppliers were based upon these final scores. ANALYSIS FINANCIAL HEALTH SHORT TERM SOLVENCY OR LIQUIDITY RATIOS Current ratio = Current Assets / Current Liabilities Quick ratio = (Current Assets – Inventory) / Current Liabilities Cash ratio = Cash / Current Liabilities Net Working Capital = Net Working Capital / Total Assets LONG TERM SOLVENCY OR F INANCIAL LEVERAGE RATIOS Total debt ratio = Total Liabilities / Total Assets Debt to Equity ratio = Total Debt / Total Equity Global Procurement at BP | Introduction 5 Equity Multiplier = Total assets / Total Equity ASSET USE OR TURNOVER RATIOS Inventory turnover = Cost of Goods Sold / Inventory Days’ sales in Inventory = 365 Days / Inventory Turnover Receivables turnover = Sales / Accounts Receivable Days’ sales in receivables = 365 Days / Receivables Turnover Net Working Capital (NWC) turnover = Sales / Net Working Capital Total asset turnover = Sales / Total Assets PROFITABILITY RATIOS Profit margin = Net Income / Sales Return on Assets (ROA) = Net Income / Total Assets Return on Equity (ROE) = Net Income / Total Equity ReciproCo Financial Ratios Shin Yin Breeze Works Complete Compression Industries Machine Pack Systems LIQUIDITY RATIOS Current Ratio 1.5307 0.9504 1.8672 2.9398 Quick Ratio 1.0081 0.9133 1.1372 1.9298 Cash Ratio 0.0588 0.5502 0.2841 0.4728 Net Working Capital 0.0849 -0.0242 0.2341 0.4128 LONG TERM SOLVENCY or FINANCIAL LEVERAGE RATIOS Debt Ratio 0.6199 0.4929 0.5579 0.3797 Debt to Equity Ratio 1.6306 1.0935 1.2622 1.0548 Equity Multiplier 2.6306 2.2187 2.2625 2.7782 ASSET USE or TURNOVER RATIOS Inventory Turnover 4.1815 25.2577 4.1218 1.9054 Days' Sales in Inventory 87.2894 14.4510 88.5546 191.5638 Receivables Turnover 5.7372 5.3625 5.1615 2.0428 Days' Sales in Receivables 63.6198 68.0657 70.7164 178.6724 Net Working Capital Turnover 6.1171 -24.2475 4.3896 1.3786 Total Asset Turnover 0.5191 0.5880 1.0278 0.5691 PROFITABILITY RATIOS Profit Margin -0.1185 0.0626 0.0336 0.0996 Return on Assets -0.0615 0.0368 0.0345 0.0567 Return on Equity -0.1619 0.0817 0.0780 0.1575 Starke Ausstatten Inc N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Global Procurement at BP | Analysis 6 QUALITY The quality of the compressors manufactured must be considered. The compressors must meet or exceed the appropriate standards set not only by BP, but also by other organizations that are involved in this industry. WORKING LIFE These compressors have to be durable. The working life, in hours, of each compressor is extremely important. It is neither worth the time nor the money of BP to purchase under contract compressors that do not have a long working life. The weight given to the working life is 5% of the analysis. R ECIPRO C O The working life of ReciproCo’s compressors is 169,680 hours. S HIN Y IN B REEZE W ORKS The working life of Shin Yin’s compressors is 167,280 hours. C OMPLETE C OMPRESSION I NDUSTRIES The working life of Complete Compression’s compressors is 167,520 hours. M ACHINE P ACK S YSTEMS The working life of Machine Pack’s compressors is 168,720 hours. S TARKE A USSTATTEN I NC . The working life of Starke’s compressors is 169,200 hours. W ORKING L IFE R ESULTS ReciproCo has the highest working life of its compressors, with 169,680 machine hours. While this is only 480 hours more than Starke Ausstatten’s compressor life, it is much more than the other three options, making ReciproCo the clear winner in terms of working life. FUEL EFFICIENCY If the compressor cannot operate using fuel efficiently, then the fuel costs go up. The more fuel-efficient the compressor is, the more BP will get out of the equipment. Fuel efficiency is measured in MMBTU/hp-hr, or millions of British Thermal Units per horsepower hour. This is an important factor for both the 113 horsepower and the 552 horsepower model compressors. We decided fuel efficiency should carry a weight of 5% for each compressor model in our analysis of the suppliers. R ECIPRO C O The fuel efficiency for the 113 horsepower model is .0096 MMBTU/hp-hr. Global Procurement at BP | Analysis 7 The fuel efficiency for the 552 horsepower model is .00891 MMBTU/hp-hr. S HIN Y IN B REEZE W ORKS The fuel efficiency for the 113 horsepower model is .0095 MMBTU/hp-hr. The fuel efficiency for the 552 horsepower model is .00925 MMBTU/hp-hr C OMPLETE C OMPRESSION I NDUSTRIES The fuel efficiency for the 113 horsepower model is .00902 MMBTU/hp-hr. The fuel efficieny for the 552 horsepower model is .00858 MMBTU/hp-hr. M ACHINE P ACK S YSTEMS The fuel efficiency for the 113 horsepower model is .0095 MMBTU/hp-hr. The fuel efficiency for the 552 horsepower model is .0089 MMBTU/hp-hr. S TARKE A USSTATTEN I NC . The fuel efficiency for the 113 horsepower model is .00968 MMBTU/hp-hr. The fuel efficiency for the 552 horsepower model is .00937 MMBTU/hp-hr. F UEL E FFICIENCY R ESULTS Starke Ausstatten, Inc. manufactures the most fuel-efficient 113 horsepower model compressor, while also having the most fuel-efficient 552 horsepower model compressor. However, the differences in fuel efficiency for each model between all of the suppliers are very small. Therefore, Starke Ausstatten is not a “definite” winner in this category. TOTAL RECORDABLE INCIDENT RATE Safety is the number one priority for BP in this case. The Total Recordable Incident Rate (TRIR), established by the US Department of Labor, tells BP how safe the potential supplier is. Because safety is so important, TRIR was weighted to make up 20% of the entire analysis. Using a specific formula, the Occupational Safety and Health Administration calculates a company’s TRIR and publishes the information. BP requires all suppliers to have a TRIR of less than 2.0 in order to be considered. For this case, we averaged the TRIR given for each supplier over the last three years (2009, 2010, 2011). R ECIPRO C O ReciproCo has a recent TRIR of .76, .63, .72 to average a TRIR of .70. S HIN Y IN B REEZE W ORKS Shin Yin has a recent TRIR of 2.15, 1.94, 2.21 to average a TRIR of 2.1. Global Procurement at BP | Analysis 8 C OMPLETE C OMPRESSION I NDUSTRIES Complete Compression has a recent TRIR of .86, 1.09, 2.0 to average a TRIR of 1.32. M ACHINE P ACK S YSTEMS Machine Pack has a recent TRIR of .54, .36, .45 to average a TRIR of .45. S TARKE A USSTATTEN I NC . Starke has a recent TRIR of .89, 2.23, 1.28 to average a TRIR of 1.5. T OTAL R ECORDABLE I NCIDENT R ATE R ESULTS Machine Pack Systems has the lowest average TRIR of .45, meaning that they have the least amount of injuries and illnesses resulting in lost work, and fatalities on the job. This gives Machine Pack a large advantage over the other potential suppliers. OVERALL QUALITY RESULTS Because the winners in each category are all so different, the categories were added together all and multiplied by their respective weights to determine the quality winners. Machine Pack had the highest weighted score for overall quality, with a score of 1.3 for the 113 horsepower compressor, and 1.25 for the 552 horsepower compressor. This was well above most of the competition, however ReciproCo did score 1.25 for the 113 horsepower compressor and 1.2 for the 552 horsepower compressor. ACQUISITION ACQUISITION COST The change from leasing the compressor units with a low cost approach, to buying them has made other factors more important to BP but acquisition cost still is important with a 25% weight in our overall analysis. To break it down even more 15% of the weight went to product cost, and 2% went to duties and customs. R ECIPRO C O The total acquisition cost per unit of the 113 HP compressor is $145,855.13. This includes the product cost of $145,800.00, and the weight and freight cost of $55.13. The total acquisition cost per unit of the 552 HP compressor is $608,486.63. This includes the product cost of $608,400.00, the weight and freight cost of $86.63. S HIN Y IN B REEZE W ORKS The total acquisition cost per unit of the 113 HP compressor is $170,638.28. This includes the product cost of $164,208.48, and the weight and freight cost of $354.09, and the duties and customs cost of $6,075.71. Global Procurement at BP | Analysis 9 The total acquisition cost per unit of the 552 HP compressor is $651,311.68. This includes the product cost of $627,496.04, the weight and freight cost of $598.29, and the duties and customs cost of $598.29. C OMPLETE C OMPRESSION I NDUSTRIES The total acquisition cost per unit of the 113 HP compressor is $138,553.39. This includes the product cost of $138,443.14, and the weight and freight cost of $110.25. The total acquisition cost per unit of the 552 HP compressor is $597,635.06. This includes the product cost of $597,451.31, and the weight and freight cost of $183.75 M ACHINE P ACK S YSTEMS The total acquisition cost per unit of the 113 HP compressor is $157,200.00. We did not include the transportation cost in this because MPS is located so close it would have been negligible. The total acquisition cost per unit of the 552 HP compressor is $624,900.00. We did not include the transportation cost in this because MPS is located so close it would have been negligible. S TARKE A USSTATTEN I NC . The total acquisition cost per unit of the 113 HP compressor is $175,138.86. This includes the product cost of $174,687.60, and the weight and freight cost of $451.26. The total acquisition cost per unit of the 552 HP compressor is $619,949.60. This includes the product cost of $619,217.12, and the weight and freight cost of $732.48. Global Procurement at BP | Analysis 10 113 HP Acquisition Cost Product Cost 113 hp Package Unit Duties and Customes Weight and Freight Cost Train Truck Boat Acquisition Cost Per Unit Total Acquisition Cost $ 145,800.00 $ $ $ $55.13 $55.13 $0.00 $0.00 $ 145,855.13 $ $ 21,148,993.85 $ 552 HP Acquisition Cost Product Cost 552 hp Package Unit Duties and Customes Weight and Freight Cost Train Truck Boat Acquisition Cost Per Unit Total Acquisition Cost Shin Yin Breeze Works ReciproCo 608,400.00 $ $ $ $86.63 $86.63 $0.00 $0.00 $ 608,486.63 $ $ 33,466,764.65 $ Machine Pack Systems $ 138,443.14 $ 6,075.71 $ $354.09 $107.59 $0.00 $246.50 170,638.28 $ 24,742,551.15 $ $ $110.25 $110.25 $0.00 $0.00 138,553.39 $ 20,090,241.55 $ Complete Compression Industries Shin Yin Breeze Works ReciproCo $ 164,208.48 Complete Compression Industries 627,496.04 Starke Ausstatten Inc 157,200.00 597,451.31 $ 23,217.35 $ $598.29 $181.79 $0.00 $416.50 651,311.68 $ 35,822,142.48 $ $ $183.75 $183.75 $0.00 $0.00 597,635.06 $ 32,869,928.30 $ 174,687.60 $ n/a $451.26 n/a $227.01 n/a $0.00 n/a $224.25 157,200.00 $ 175,138.86 22,794,000.00 $ 25,395,134.70 Machine Pack Systems $ $ Starke Ausstatten Inc 624,900.00 $ 619,217.12 $ n/a $732.48 n/a $368.48 n/a $0.00 n/a $364.00 624,900.00 $ 619,949.60 34,369,500.00 $ 34,097,228.00 A CQUISITION C OST R ESULTS Complete Compression Industries had the lowest per unit acquisition cost for the 113 HP compressor as well as the lowest acquisition cost for the 552 HP compressor. TRANSPORTATION BP preferred using domestic suppliers because of lead-time and on time delivery record. This was not one of BP’s main criteria though for choosing a supplier so we gave on time delivery record a 4% weight and delivery lead-time received 4%. Overall ReciproCo has the best on-time delivery record combined with the delivery lead-time. ReciproCo On-time Delivery Record Delivery Lead Time 98% 2 days Shin Yin Breeze Works 92% 22 days Complete Compression Industries 96% 4 days Machine Pack Systems 96% 2 days Starke Ausstatten Inc 95% 15 days WEIGHTED TOTAL FOR ACQUISITON Global Procurement at BP | Analysis 11 Using the weighted total for acquisition, the best selection based on acquisition cost per unit for the 113 HP unit alone would have been Complete Compression Industries. CCI received 1.13 out of the 1.25 points for the 113 HP unit. ReciproCo Weighted Rankings 113 HP Total Acquisition Cost 15% Duties & Customs 2% On time Delivery Record 4% Delivery Lead Time 4% Total Acquisition Weight 25% 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.2 1.1 Complete Shin Yin Machine Pack Starke Compression Breeze Works Systems Ausstatten Inc Industries 0.3 0.75 0.45 0.15 0.02 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.04 0.16 0.16 0.08 0.04 0.12 0.2 0.08 0.4 1.13 0.91 0.41 Using the weighted total for acquisition, the best selection based on acquisition cost per unit for the 552 HP unit alone would have been Complete Compression Industries. CCI received 1.13 out of the 1.25 points for the 113 HP unit. ReciproCo Weighted Rankings 552 HP Total Acquisition Cost 15% Duties & Customs 2% On time Delivery Record 4% Delivery Lead Time 4% Total Acquisition Weight 25% 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.2 1.1 Complete Shin Yin Machine Pack Starke Compression Breeze Works Systems Ausstatten Inc Industries 0.15 0.75 0.3 0.45 0.02 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.04 0.16 0.16 0.08 0.04 0.12 0.2 0.08 0.25 1.13 0.76 0.71 OWNERSHIP TRAINING Overall, training costs are either $100,000 or $200,000. The differentiating factor between the costs is if the suppliers are international or domestic. The cost differences fall to the fact that trainers would have to travel further distances, and would likely need to stay longer to ensure they had adequately trained the employees. The equipment is essentially the same, meaning the training will be relatively standard, making the training cost a non-differentiating factor. It is also a one-time fixed cost. OVERHAUL The potential for both the 113 hp compressor and 552 hp compressor over the 5 years of ownership is relatively low. As such, overhaul cost accounts for only 6% of the overall analysis. R ECIPRO C O Global Procurement at BP | Analysis 12 The total overhaul cost per unit for 5 years of ownership for the 113 hp compressor is $126,425. This includes the overhaul cost per unit per overhaul for 5 years of ownership ($91,425) and the overhaul downtime cost ($35,000). The total overhaul cost per unit for 5 years of ownership for the 552 hp compressor is $56,875. This includes the overhaul cost per unit per overhaul for 5 years of ownership ($16,875) and the overhaul downtime cost is ($40,000). S HIN Y IN B REEZE W ORKS The total overhaul cost per unit for 5 years of ownership for the 113 hp compressor is $144,620.17. This includes the overhaul cost per unit per overhaul for 5 years of ownership ($94,620.17) and the overhaul downtime cost ($50,000). The total overhaul cost per unit for 5 years of ownership for the 552 hp compressor is $73,999.13. This includes the overhaul cost per unit per overhaul for 5 years of ownership ($18,999.13) and the overhaul downtime cost is ($55,000). C OMPLETE C OMPRESSION I NDUSTRIES The total overhaul cost per unit for 5 years of ownership for the 113 hp compressor is $157,351.06. This includes the overhaul cost per unit per overhaul for 5 years of ownership ($117,351.06) and the overhaul downtime cost ($40,000). The total overhaul cost per unit for 5 years of ownership for the 552 hp compressor is $72,926.20. This includes the overhaul cost per unit per overhaul for 5 years of ownership ($22,926.20) and the overhaul downtime cost is ($50,000). M ACHINE P ACK S YSTEMS The total overhaul cost per unit for 5 years of ownership for the 113 hp compressor is $135,625. This includes the overhaul cost per unit per overhaul for 5 years of ownership ($89,625) and the overhaul downtime cost ($45,000). The total overhaul cost per unit for 5 years of ownership for the 552 hp compressor is $66,050. This includes the overhaul cost per unit per overhaul for 5 years of ownership ($16,050) and the overhaul downtime cost is ($50,000). S TARKE A USSTATTEN I NC . The total overhaul cost per unit for 5 years of ownership for the 113 hp compressor is $105,407.23. This includes the overhaul cost per unit per overhaul for 5 years of ownership ($65,407.23) and the overhaul downtime cost ($40,000). Global Procurement at BP | Analysis 13 The total overhaul cost per unit for 5 years of ownership for the 552 hp compressor is $61,955.57. This includes the overhaul cost per unit per overhaul for 5 years of ownership ($16,955.57) and the overhaul downtime cost is ($45,000). O VERHAUL R ESULTS Complete Compression Industries has the lowest total overhaul cost per unit for 5 years of ownership for the 113 hp compressor at $157,351.06. ReciproCo has the lowest total overhaul cost per unit for 5 years of ownership for the 552 hp compressor at $56,875. ReciproCo Shin Yin Breeze Works 0.24 0.12 0.06 0.18 0.30 0.30 0.06 0.12 0.18 0.24 Total overhaul cost per unit for 5 years of ownership (113 hp package) Total overhaul cost per unit for 5 years of ownership (552) hp package Complete Starke Machine Compression Ausstatten Pack Systems Industries Inc PREVENTIVE MAINTENANCE Preventive maintenance is the main differentiating factor between the five suppliers’ compressors. As such, it accounts for 13% of the total analysis. R ECIPRO C O The maintenance cost per unit for 5 years of ownership for the 113 hp and 552 compressors is $90,750. This includes 10 days of required maintenance days per unit per year at $1,815 per day for 5 years. S HIN Y IN B REEZE W ORKS The maintenance cost per unit for 5 years of ownership for the 113 hp and 552 compressors is $139,052.20. This includes 14 days of required maintenance days per unit per year at $1,986.46 per day for 5 years. C OMPLETE C OMPRESSION I NDUSTRIES The maintenance cost per unit for 5 years of ownership for the 113 hp and 552 compressors is $105,813.50. This includes 13 days of required maintenance days per unit per year at $1,627.90 per day for 5 years. M ACHINE P ACK S YSTEMS The maintenance cost per unit for 5 years of ownership for the 113 hp and 552 compressors is $73,500. This includes 12 days of required maintenance days per unit per year at $1,225 per day for 5 years. Global Procurement at BP | Analysis 14 S TARKE A USSTATTEN I NC . The maintenance cost per unit for 5 years of ownership for the 113 hp and 552 compressors is $104,533. This includes 10 days of required maintenance days per unit per year at $1,900.60 per day for 5 years. P REVENTIVE M AINTENANCE R ESULTS Shin Yin Breeze Works has the lowest maintenance cost per unit for 5 years of ownership at $139,052.20. ReciproCo Shin Yin Breeze Works 0.52 0.13 Maintenance cost per unit for 5 years of ownership Complete Starke Machine Compression Ausstatten Pack Systems Industries Inc 0.26 0.65 0.39 WARRANTY The extended warranty cost accounts for only 6% of the overall analysis. R ECIPRO C O The total extended warranty cost per unit for the 113 hp compressor is $10,800. This includes 36 months at $300 per month. The total extended warranty cost per unit for the 552 hp compressor is $18,000. This includes 36 months at $500 per month. S HIN Y IN B REEZE W ORKS The total extended warranty cost per unit for the 113 hp compressor is $27,848.54. This includes 48 months at $580.18 per month. The total extended warranty cost per unit for the 552 hp compressor is $46,414.22. This includes 48 months at $966.96 per month. C OMPLETE C OMPRESSION I NDUSTRIES The total extended warranty cost per unit for the 113 hp compressor is $10,490.04. This includes 36 months at $291.31 per month. The total extended warranty cost per unit for the 552 hp compressor is $17,483.40. This includes 36 months at $485.65 per month. M ACHINE P ACK S YSTEMS Global Procurement at BP | Analysis 15 The total extended warranty cost per unit for the 113 hp compressor is $14,700. This includes 42 months at $350 per month. The total extended warranty cost per unit for the 552 hp compressor is $25,200. This includes 42 months at $600 per month. S TARKE A USSTATTEN I NC . The total extended warranty cost per unit for the 113 hp compressor is $14,040. This includes 36 months at $390 per month. The total extended warranty cost per unit for the 552 hp compressor is $23,400. This includes 36 months at $650 per month. W ARRANTY R ESULTS Shin Yin Breeze Works has the lowest total extended warranty cost per unit for the 113 hp compressor at $27,848.54. Shin Yin Breeze Works has the lowest total extended warranty cost per unit for the 552 hp compressors at $46,414.22. ReciproCo Shin Yin Breeze Works Complete Starke Machine Compression Ausstatten Pack Systems Industries Inc Total extended warranty cost per unit (113 hp unit) 0.30 0.06 0.24 0.12 0.18 Total extended warranty cost per unit (552 hp unit) 0.24 0.06 0.30 0.12 0.18 ReciproCo Shin Yin Breeze Works 1.60 0.43 TOTAL MAINTENANCE RANKINGS Total Maintenance Weighted Rankings Complete Starke Machine Compression Ausstatten Pack Systems Industries Inc 0.98 1.25 1.29 POST-OWNERSHIP In the information we were given, they gave the value of the compressors after a 5 year working life. It was said to be at a 60% value of original cost. To plan that out into other years, Global Procurement at BP | Analysis 16 like 3, 7, or 10, which was our other calculation, we performed some basic simple math to determine the salvage value since no actual depreciation rate was given. So, if the compressor lost 40% within the first 5 years of its useful life, we assumed that it decreased every year by 8%, 40% ÷ 5 years = 8%. Thus, to find the salvage value at any point in the products life, you would simply multiply the years it has been in use by the 8% found and then subtract that from the original purchase cost. YEAR 1 YEAR 2 YEAR 3 YEAR 4 YEAR 5 113: 552: 113: 552: 113: 552: 113: 552: 113: 552: $145,800 – ($145,800*.08*1) = $134,136 $608,400 – ($608,400*.08*1) = $599,728 $145,800 – ($145,800*.08*2) = $122,472 $608,400 – ($608,400*.08*2) = $511,056 $145,800 – ($145,800*.08*3) = $110,808 $608,400 – ($608,400*.08*3) = $462,384 $145,800 – ($145,800*.08*4) = $99,144 $608,400 – ($608,400*.08*4) = $413,712 $145,800 – ($145,800*.08*5) = $87,480 $608,400 – ($608,400*.08*5) = $365,040 Using this chart, you can see the pattern that would continue out until the remaining value was equal to 0 or it depreciated to its predetermined salvage value. TOTAL COST OF OWNERSHIP The present value of all future cash flows was calculated using an interest rate of 8%. This interest rate was derived from the interest rate BP used in the 2012 financial statements. RECIPROCO 0 Acquisition Cost Purchase Price Transportation Cost* Duties and Customs Demmurage Total Acquisition Cost Ownership Cost Training and Commissioning Cost Preventive Maintenance Cost Overhaul Cost Downtime Cost Extended Warranty Cost Total Ownership Cost Post-Ownership Cost Salvage Value Total Post-Ownership Cost Total Cost of Ownership 1 ReciproCo 2 3 4 5 $ (145,800.00) $ (55.13) $ - Present Value $ (145,800.00) $ (55.13) $ $ $ (145,855.13) $ (100,000.00) $ (18,150.00) $ (18,150.00) $ (18,150.00) $ (18,150.00) $ $ $ $ $ (18,150.00) (91,425.00) (35,000.00) (10,800.00) $ (100,000.00) $ (72,600.00) $ (62,222.32) $ (23,820.41) $ (7,350.30) $ (265,993.03) 59,537.42 $ 59,537.42 $ 59,537.42 $ (352,310.74) Global Procurement at BP | Analysis 17 SHIN YIN BREEZE WORKS 0 Acquisition Cost Purchase Price Transportation Cost* Duties and Customs Demmurage Total Acquisition Cost Ownership Cost Training and Commissioning Cost Preventive Maintenance Cost Overhaul Cost Downtime Cost Extended Warranty Cost Total Ownership Cost Post-Ownership Cost Salvage Value Total Post-Ownership Cost Total Cost of Ownership 1 ShinYin Breeze Works 2 3 4 5 $ (164,208.48) $ (354.09) $ (6,075.71) Present Value $ (164,208.48) $ (354.09) $ (6,075.71) $ $ (170,638.28) $ (200,000.00) $ (27,810.44) $ (27,810.44) $ (27,810.44) $ (27,810.44) $ $ $ $ $ (27,810.44) (94,620.17) (50,000.00) (27,848.54) $ (200,000.00) $ (111,241.76) $ (64,396.89) $ (34,029.16) $ (18,953.25) $ (428,621.07) 44,703.01 $ 44,703.01 $ 44,703.01 $ (554,556.34) COMPLETE COMPRESSION INDUSTRIES 0 Acquisition Cost Purchase Price Transportation Cost* Duties and Customs Demmurage Total Acquisition Cost Ownership Cost Training and Commissioning Cost Preventive Maintenance Cost Overhaul Cost Downtime Cost Extended Warranty Cost Total Ownership Cost Post-Ownership Cost Salvage Value Total Post-Ownership Cost Total Cost of Ownership Complete Compression Industries 1 2 3 4 5 $ (138,443.14) $ (110.25) $ - Present Value $ (138,443.14) $ (110.25) $ $ $ (138,553.39) $ (200,000.00) $ (21,162.70) $ (21,162.70) $ (21,162.70) $ (21,162.70) $ (21,162.70) $ (117,351.06) $ (40,000.00) $ (10,490.04) $ $ (200,000.00) $ (84,650.80) $ (79,867.16) $ (27,223.33) $ (7,139.34) $ (398,880.63) 47,111.04 $ 47,111.04 $ 47,111.04 $ (490,322.99) MACHINE PACK SYSTEMS Global Procurement at BP | Analysis 18 0 Acquisition Cost Purchase Price Transportation Cost* Duties and Customs Demmurage Total Acquisition Cost Ownership Cost Training and Commissioning Cost Preventive Maintenance Cost Overhaul Cost Downtime Cost Extended Warranty Cost Total Ownership Cost Post-Ownership Cost Salvage Value Total Post-Ownership Cost Total Cost of Ownership 1 Machine Pack Systems 2 3 4 5 $ (157,200.00) $0.00 $ - Present Value $ (157,200.00) $ $ $ $ (157,200.00) $ (100,000.00) $ (14,700.00) $ (14,700.00) $ (14,700.00) $ (14,700.00) $ $ $ $ $ (14,700.00) (89,625.00) (50,000.00) (14,700.00) $ (100,000.00) $ (58,800.00) $ (60,997.27) $ (34,029.16) $ (10,004.57) $ (263,831.00) 64,192.61 $ 64,192.61 $ 64,192.61 $ (356,838.39) STARKE AUSSTATTEN INC. 0 Acquisition Cost Purchase Price Transportation Cost* Duties and Customs Demmurage Total Acquisition Cost Ownership Cost Training and Commissioning Cost Preventive Maintenance Cost Overhaul Cost Downtime Cost Extended Warranty Cost Total Ownership Cost Post-Ownership Cost Salvage Value Total Post-Ownership Cost Total Cost of Ownership 1 Starke Ausstatten 2 3 4 5 $ (174,687.60) $ (451.26) $ - Present Value $ (174,687.60) $ (451.26) $ $ $ (175,138.86) $ (200,000.00) $ (20,906.60) $ (20,906.60) $ (20,906.60) $ (20,906.60) $ $ $ $ $ (20,906.60) (65,407.23) (40,000.00) (14,040.00) $ (200,000.00) $ (83,626.40) $ (44,515.06) $ (27,223.33) $ (9,555.39) $ (364,920.17) 71,333.67 $ 71,333.67 $ 71,333.67 $ (468,725.37) TOTAL COST OF OWNERSHIP RESULTS Total Cost of Ownership RC SBW CCI MPS SA $ (352,310.74) $ (554,556.34) $ (490,322.99) $ (356,838.39) $ (468,725.37) RISK ASSESSMENT LABOR STRIKES In general, the oil and gas field does not have a high amount of labor strikes as an industry. Not to say there has not been any, but usually, workers are fairly and decently paid and work in companies whom have strict safety regulations to protect the well-being of its employees. The Global Procurement at BP | Risk Assessment 19 risk and concern depends on the country with which you are dealing and how involved the unions are there. RECIPROCO AND MACHINE PACK SYSTEMS Both of these companies are based in the United States. With labor strikes, they would be the most transparent with this issue. Also, strikes in United States are not common. There are some from time to time, but the latest big one was in 1997 and was with UPS, according 24/7 Wall Street. SHIN YIN BREEZE WORKS In the past, China has been known to have major labor strikes due to unrest of employees. They are in extremely unfair and dangerous working environments, yet they make next to nothing in American standards. Child labor has been widespread in the past, an excellent example being Nike. In 2010, China had a very active period of protests, strikes, and disputes. Chinese workers were tired of the conditions they faced on a daily basis. They wanted better wages, working hours, and reasonable benefits for themselves and their families for which they were trying to provide. Based on this history, BP would need to be particularly cautious on entering into business with Shin Yin. If any problems were to arise with labor, production would be decreased, maybe even to the point of being stopped for an amount of time. Since this company had the longest lead times to begin with, products would take an extraordinary amount of time to get to the United States, time which BP does not have when the need is high and immediate. COMPLETE COMPRESSION INDUSTRIES This company does most of its business within Canada and the United States. It is headquartered in the province of Alberta, Canada which is good news for BP because they have some locations in Calgary, only 137 kilometers apart. Thus, if there were any issues with labor, BP representatives would be close and could theoretically go to the plant and check it out. This does not seem to be a likely problem though. According to McGraw Hill Education Answers, many Canadian workers fall under U.S. unions. Those that do not and fall under Canada’s unions are almost the same though since their labor laws are so similar to ours, patterned after the Wagner Act. Yet, dealing with multiple countries, there will always be differences due to varying culture and legalities. Strikes are not prevalent, but unions are and BP would need to be mindful of this fact. STARKE AUSSTATTEN INC. In the years since the fall of the Berlin Wall, Germany has had much quieter problems regarding labor strikes and unions. Unions were formed to protect the workers from harsh conditions and unfair treatment that preceded 1989. Immediately following, things were not as good for laborers as they would be today, but Germany was determined to make the country a better Global Procurement at BP | Risk Assessment 20 place to prosper and raise families. This is not to say that there is no unrest and the country is perfect, but it does not look as though labor strikes are a huge issue of concern. However, recently in the headlines, Germany’s largest airline is getting heat from employees. They want to freeze wages for two years, until January 2015, and extend the working week by one hour. Their work force is obviously very unhappy about this and is threatening a strike if the upper management does not change their tune. However, as long as the company itself does not make any rash moves like this example, the labor union should be cooperative and strikes should be avoidable. VARYING BUSINESS CULTURE BRIBES S HIN Y IN B REEZE W ORKS Shin Yin poses an ethical breach due to the Chinese business culture and its acceptance of gifts, which can be seen as bribes to do business with outsiders. A focus on building a strong relationship and trust between partners, often involving lavish courting and exchanges of gifts is essential to build a relationship with Chinese businesses. C OMPLETE C OMPRESSION I NDUSTRIES Canada experienced a series of bribery scandals in the public and private sectors, but in recent years strict legislation has passed in the enforcement and prosecution of those who participate in the giving and receiving of bribes. S TARKE A USSTATTEN I NC . Bribery is a potential risk with Starke Ausstatten, where until recently bribery was a commonly accepted German business practice. It showed that partners were serious about doing business, and had the capital to do so. Around 2008, or the time when the Seimens $1.6 billion bribery scandal occurred in Germany, businesses became more regulated and bribery more strictly enforced. CHILD LABOR Child labor is a looming issue in China. With Shin Yin being so far from the United States, it is difficult to make visits to the plant and ensure all ethical practices accepted by American companies are being executed and followed without exception. Most European and American companies have steered away from using child labor, but that does not necessarily mean it never happens. LEVERAGE OF POWER S HIN Y IN B REEZE W ORKS Global Procurement at BP | Risk Assessment 21 Negotiating and doing business with Shin Yin involves appealing to the Chinese negotiation tradition, but without losing one’s own company’s objectives or succumbing to the Chinese company’s strategy. Often, Chinese will talk themselves down to make incur pity, trying to cause the negotiators to make more concessions. The Chinese are also about saving face and will not respond positively to any accusations or questioning of power. Also, the power distance among Chinese is very high, which means upper level management expects respect. The Chinese give the impression that it is a favor to do business with them, focusing less on profit and more on pride and “face”. C OMPLETE C OMPRESSION I NDUSTRIES Working with Canadians is very similar to working with Americans. They have an especially low power distance, and, consequently, interaction between varying business levels and company sizes is accepted and encouraged. S TARKE A USSTATTEN I NC . Germans are very serious and straightforward about business. The power distance is low, and they will engage in fair, but assertive negotiations. WOMEN In China, women are still predominately seen as inferior and some companies will even refuse to speak or negotiate with women. It is very common for a woman to travel with a male counterpart to give her some authority in the eyes of the Chinese. BP would have to keep this in mind, which could end up with a less than optimal candidate traveling to Shin Yin to partake in negotiations. In Germany, the business world is heavily run by men, but the amount of women in the workforce is increasing. Germany is more accepting than China, but not quite to the degree that the United States is with women carrying high, prestigious positions. According to The New York Times, German females, once having children, leave the workforce and do not return. The same article also states that Germany has lacked in cultural reform since the earlymid 1900’s. Germans appears to cling to the stereotypes of the working man and stay-at-home mother. With the North American companies, business is handled in extremely similar ways. Women are accepted and do hold authority, yet they still only hold a small percentage of top executive positions. This would be a non-factor for ReciproCo, Complete Compression Industries, and Machine Pack Systems. CURRENCY FLUCTUATION Global Procurement at BP | Risk Assessment 22 Currency fluctuation is a risk assumed when doing business with an international corporation. Currencies appreciate and depreciate with the variance of a country’s economy, or a zone’s economy, and change every minute of every day. SHIN YIN BREEZE WORKS Shin Yin uses the Hong Kong Dollar, which is pegged to the US Dollar with a floating fixed exchange rate. To ensure financial security in Hong Kong financial institutions, they must have the equivalent exchange in US Dollars on deposit, which are kept in Hong Kong’s Exchange Fund, one of the largest official reserves in the world. Since 1983, Hong Kong operates under a Currency Board system, in which the exchange rate was fixed at HK.8 per USD. As of 2005, a new upper guaranteed limit was set for the HKD at HK.75 to the USD, and the lower limit was lowered from 7.80 to 7.85. This was done to narrow the gap between the interest rates in Hong Kong and those of the United States. This creates a strong, reliable currency that will be easily predictable for business partnership with BP. COMPLETE COMPRESSION INDUSTRIES The Canadian dollar is pegged to the US Dollar, and is closely converted at USD $1 is CAD $1.02, meaning the USD is only slightly stronger than the CAD. This makes for easy conversion and also less expensive goods and services. Also, because Canada’s economy is so closely tied economy to the US (especially after NAFTA), the CAD appreciation and depreciation is likely to be in sync to that of the USD. STARKE AUSSTATTEN INC. Germany uses the Euro, which is stronger than the dollar, making it more expensive for BP to purchase from Starke. The Euro has depreciated recently, due to the Euro Crisis, which is a currency risk that stems from the fact that Germany’s Euro currency is in a “basket” of currencies with sixteen other countries. This means the market forces of sixteen different economies impact the Euro, making Germany vulnerable to the failing or thriving economies of the other member nations. This was evident in the Euro Crisis, which led to the eventual depreciation of the currency. This is beneficial for the currency conversion, but to maintain a healthy supplier it is necessary for them to be able to sustain and support their business with their native currency to provide BP the best service. RELIABILITY OF PRODUCTS AND SERVICES Maintenance is a key part of the 200 total compressors BP will purchase for this initial investment. Through a proper process of choosing the optimal supplier, BP will ensure to the best of its ability and knowledge to choose the supplier that best fits the specifications, especially on the quality aspect. However, the product itself can only go so far before it needs tune ups, repairs, and normal preventive maintenance. The companies BP would have the most Global Procurement at BP | Risk Assessment 23 immediate access to would have best response rates to these emergencies should they arise; therefore, it seems the American companies have an upper hand in this aspect of the transaction with Canada following, then Germany, and China in last. These last three companies are international which could present some unforeseen problems with communication with BP. Canada speaks English predominately in the province where CCI is located, but Germany and China could potentially pose some issues. Their culture is considerably different than that of the United States. Top management abroad will have different theories and processes for carrying out a business deal and following up in the future. BP will have to stay conscious of how the respective companies operate in the business arena with negotiations and how to handle such discrepancies. Being in the oil and gas industry, there are numerous regulations which companies must meet and follow to stay in business and avoid fines. The Total Recordable Incident Rate (TRIR) represents the quality of the compressors and is a key indicator of if it will meet the environmental regulations to prevent possible accidents and harmful emissions. This keeps BP’s reputation and goodwill high with satisfied customers and content citizens. MANAGERIAL COMPANY VISITS S HIN Y IN B REEZE W ORKS Shin Yin Breeze Works is headquartered in Hong Kong. On average, a round-trip ticket from Houston, Texas to Hong Kong costs around $1200. If BP were to choose Shin Yin Breeze Works, sending a team to Hong Kong to inspect Shin Yin would become expensive quickly. Not only would BP have to monitor the managerial practices at Shin Yin, but also the subcontractor, KohSuen Automation Instrumentation Co., Ltd. While Koh-Suen is stated to have won the trust of many industry leaders for their leading new technology products in the compression industry, their managerial practices would also need to be considered in selecting BP’s new supplier. BP must be sure that Shin Yin and Koh-Suen are both practicing within environmental and industry standards. C OMPLETE C OMPRESSION I NDUSTRIES Complete Compression Industries, headquartered in Banff, Canada, would be a cheaper alternative to travel expenses. A round-trip ticket costs, on average, $650. A team sent to Complete Compression would not be as costly as Shin Yin. However, the environmental risks could be costly with Complete Compression. Recently, the company was placed on a Performance Improvement Plan to improve their environmental impact, due to recent incidents. Environmental standards, if broken, can prove to be very costly, as well as tarnish a Global Procurement at BP | Risk Assessment 24 company’s reputation. If Complete Compression cannot improve their environmental performance, then any customer could end up paying a price. S TARKE A USSTATTEN I NC . Starke Ausstatten Inc. is a compressed air and vacuum products manufacturer headquartered in Coburg, Germany. On average, a round-trip ticket from Houston to Coburg costs about $1100. This is another major investment, however cheaper than Shin Yin, for BP to consider. Sending managers to inspect the facilities at Starke Ausstatten proves to be costly. OUTSOURCING Suppliers outsourcing, or subcontracting their work to other companies can easily become a problem for management. If BP does not allow its supplier(s) to subcontract, it will be the responsibility of BP’s management to make sure that the agreement is enforced. It is hard to ensure that suppliers do not subcontract, since BP management will not be involved full-time. Management would have to travel more often to check on the business practices of the supplier. QUALITY CONTROL Quality control is an important aspect of managerial risk. BP needs high quality compressors in order to accomplish its goal. Six Sigma practices are important for the suppliers to implement in the manufacturing of the compressors. However, Six Sigma is expensive for a company to apply in planning and manufacturing processes. Having stricter defect allowances costs more money in inspection expenses. This, in turn, raises BP’s costs, as the suppliers’ expenses have risen as a result of implementing Six Sigma. CONTRACT Another risk to consider is how a long or short-term contract will affect the relationship with the supplier(s). Although a long-term contract may be more effective in ensuring a long-term relationship with the supplier(s), it could lead to financial trouble for BP if the supplier is acquired (Machine Pack Systems). While a short-term contract may not be as effective in ensuring a long-term relationship with the supplier(s), it creates an exit strategy for BP should the supplier(s) not perform as desired. RISK MITIGATION Geopolitical uncertainty is one of the risks that might be faced. To mitigate these risks, BP will analyze the risks of each country’s current political state. Labor strikes are another risk. BP will mitigate these risks by making sure the suppliers pay the workers fair wages, as well as follow all labor laws in the geographical area. Another risk is varying business cultures. To mitigate these risks, BP will have a full understanding of the culture of the foreign country, as well as a Global Procurement at BP | Risk Mitigation 25 translator to ensure there are no miscommunications. BP will also ensure there are no unethical practices at foreign factories. Americans would frown upon unethical activities such as child labor, and dealing with people who practice such activities would negatively impact BP’s image. The short-term vs. long-term contract is another risk. Some companies may not have the ability to maintain a presence in the market. Other companies have the ability to maintain a presence, so it might be harmful to have a short-term contract. To mitigate these risks, BP will have a full understanding of the background of the company. If the company is riskier, BP would make a short-term contract, and if the company is less risky, a long-term contract would be selected. One of the last risks that needs to be mitigated is the reliability of products and services. To mitigate these risks, BP will perform preventive maintenance on all our compressors as needed. RECOMMENDATION SUPPLIER SELECTION 113 HORSEPOWER UNIT BP should order 45 units of the 113 horsepower compressor from Machine Pack Systems. MPS had the highest overall weighted score at 3.86. However, there is concern about whether MPS realistically has the capacity to handle a large order. As such, MPS will receive approximately 30% of the total 113 horsepower compressor order. BP should order 100 units of the 113 horsepower compressor from ReciproCo. ReciproCo had the second highest overall weighted score at 3.76. ReciproCo has a strong existing relationship with BP. Although ReciproCo’s net income has declined over the past few years, BP’s added business should sustain ReciproCo. ReciproCo also has the ability to handle a large order. As such, ReciproCo will receive approximately 70% of the total 113 horsepower compressor order. 552 HORSEPOWER UNIT BP should order 40 units of the 552 horsepower compressor from ReciproCo. ReciproCo had the highest overall weighted score at 3.71 and will handle approximately 70% of the total 552 horsepower order. BP should order 15 units of the 552 horsepower compressor from Machine Pack Systems. MPS had the second highest overall weighted score at 3.66 and will handle approximately 30% of the total 552 horsepower order. TYPE OF CONTRACT BP should use a firm fixed price contract with both Machine Pack Systems and ReciproCo for both the 113 horsepower compressor and 552 horsepower compressor orders. According to Global Procurement at BP | Recommendation 26 Supply Management: Eighth Edition (Burt, Petcavage, Pinkerton), a firm fixed price contract is an agreement to pay a specified price when the items specified by the contract have been delivered and accepted. Firm fixed price contracts are used when specifications are well defined, cost, schedule, and technical risks are low, and competition has established pricing. The specifications of both the 113 horsepower compressor and 552 horsepower compressor are clear. Although the turnaround is relatively quick for the compressor orders, the order sizes were kept small to ensure that the orders are received on time, keeping the schedule risk relatively low. Although the compressor is a vital component of BP’s process, compressors are generally the same across the suppliers, keeping the technical risk low. Although the acquisition cost of both suppliers’ compressors are in the mid-range, the total cost of ownership of both suppliers’ compressors are the lowest of the five suppliers. All five suppliers have established prices. Global Procurement at BP | Recommendation 27