EVALUATION OF THE FINANCIAL AND BUSINESS ANALYSIS OF CARREFOUR PLC, 2009-2011 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY This work is aimed at making a business and financial analysis of the retail industry case of: Carrefour Plc and comparatively with Tesco Plc and Sainsbury Plc. In order to conduct this analysis, the scope will be the published financial statements of the said companies with the accompanying notes from 2009 to 2011. The financial analysis will be conducted with the use of ratios and common sizes statements, analysis in order to conduct a comparative analysis of the profitability, liquidity, efficiency, gearing and investment potentials of the said companies. PESTEL, SWOT and Porter’s five forces model will be deployed to conduct the business analysis. The work is structured in five parts. The first part will focus on a comparative analysis of the profitability, liquidity, operating and leverages of Carrefour, Sainsbury, and Tesco; the second on investment potentials of the supermarket sector and the accompanying risk; the third evaluates working capital management of Carrefour as compared to BP Plc; the fourth is a business analysis of the supermarket sector with the use of SWOT, PESTEL, Porter’s five forces and the market outlook and lastly, the impact of the accounting policies on the published financial statements. Table of Contents List of Figures LIST OF ABBREVIATION 1 INTRODUCTION According to Pamela Peterson, (2012, p 349) financial statement analysis is a process of selecting, evaluating and interpreting financial data, along with other pertinent information, in order to formulate an assessment of the company’s present and future financial condition and performance. The financial analysis of the retail industry case of Carrefour and comparative with Tesco, and Sainsbury will be done from the published financial statements and the accompanying notes from 2009 to 2011. Campbell, George, and Houston (1999, p 47) asserted that, business analysis is a process of examining a business internal environment to establish the organisational strengths and weaknesses and the external environment to establish the opportunities and threats. An analysis of the retail industry case of Carrefour will be conducted with the use of PESTEL, SWOT analysis and Porter’s five forces model. The financial statements under appraisal all comply with international accounting standards as adopted by European Union Commission Regulation (N° 1606/2002) that requires all European listed companies to apply IFRS from 2005 in their consolidated financial statements. The said financial statements for the periods under review show a true and fair view of their financial position, performance, statement of cash flow, statement of changes in equity and the notes thereof according to the various audit opinions in the annual reports. Limitations of the work I. II. III. IV. V. The analysis will focus on publicly available information due to lack of access to internal data Acknowledging the weaknesses of financial ratios, analysis will be based on three accounting periods and in compliance with question requirements. All analysis will be base on relative values due to differences in currencies used in the preparation of financial statements. Common sizes statements will be based on subtotals due to differences of items within the various financial statements. Differences in accounting period thus assume yearly financial statements irrespective of the year end. 2 PART ONE FINANCIAL ANALYSIS This part evaluates the trading performance of the supermarket sector case of: Carrefour comparatively with Tesco and Sainsbury from 2009 to 2011. The analytical tools are ratios and common sizes statements to evaluate their profitability, liquidity, operating efficiency and leverage PROFITABILITY According to Pamela P. Drake (2012, p 357) profitability is a company’s ability to generate profit from its sales. This analysis is done with the following ratios: gross profit margin, net profit margin, return on capital employed and return on equity. From figure 1.1, 1.2 and 1.3 below, it can be observe that comparatively, Carrefour has the highest gross profit margin to Tesco and Sainsbury over the three years period. In terms of net profit margin Tesco has the highest as compared to Sainsbury and Carrefour. The low net profit margin has ranked Carrefour lowest in terms of return on equity, return on capital employed and EBITDA while Tesco remain top over the time period due to its highest net profit Margin. 25.00% COMPARATIVE PROFITABILITY RATIOS 2011 20.00% 15.00% 10.00% CARREFOUR PLC 5.00% TESCO PLC 0.00% SAINSBERRY PLC -5.00% ROE ROCE G.P Margin P.Margin EBITDA to C. E CARREFOUR PLC 5.61% -2.28% 21.57% -0.58% 5.60% TESCO PLC 15.79% 12.64% 8.15% 6.17% 13.13% SAINSBERRY PLC 10.62% 9.50% 5.43% 3.92% 10.41% Figure1.1: Comparative Profitability ratios 2011 Source: Appendix 1 3 25.00% COMPARATIVE PROFITABILITY RATIOS 2010 20.00% 15.00% 10.00% CARREFOUR PLC 5.00% TESCO PLC 0.00% ROE ROCE G.P Margin P.Margin EBITDA to C. E CARREFOUR PLC 4.52% 6.77% 21.84% 2.08% 13.23% TESCO PLC 16.06% 13.29% 8.48% 6.48% 15.71% SAINSBERRY PLC 11.80% 10.06% 5.50% 4.03% 15.24% SAINSBERRY PLC Figure 1.2: Comparative Profitability ratios 2010 Source of data: Appendix 1 25.00% COMPARATIVE PROFITABILITY RATIOS 2009 20.00% 15.00% 10.00% CARREFOUR PLC TESCO PLC 5.00% SAINSBERRY PLC 0.00% ROE ROCE G.P Margin P.Margin EBITDA to C. E CARREFOUR PLC 2.74% 6.80% 22.05% 1.91% 14.31% TESCO PLC 15.94% 11.52% 8.10% 6.07% 16.70% SAINSBERRY PLC 11.78% 8.81% 5.42% 3.56% 15.88% Figure 1.3: comparative Profitability ratios 2009 Source: Appendix 1 Carrefour has a very high gross profit margin as compared to its peers as can be seen above which suggest strong bargaining power over suppliers to keep cost of goods sold lower than peers. Tesco has a higher net profit margin with an average of about 8.2% as compared to Sainsbury and Carrefour with the lowest which suggest poor operating expense management. 4 LIQUIDITY Adrian Buckley et el, (1998, p.47), asserted that, liquidity refers to the ease and quickness with which assets can be converted to cash. They further explained current ratio and quick ratios as tools to evaluate liquidity. From figure 1.4, 1.5 and 1.6, below, Carrefour has the highest current ratio as compared to Tesco and Sainsbury with the lowest consistently for the three years except for 2009 where Carrefour and Tesco having the same current ratio of 0.71. The high current ratio of Carrefour indicates inefficient use of resources as cash is tied in non profit generating assets as compared to peers. But it should be noted that, the high current ratio of Carrefour could be justified by its balance sheet closing date 31st December which is at the pick of the trading season as compared to Tesco of February and Sainsbury March. This is further evident by Carrefour’s lower quick acid test ratio in 2009 and 2010 as compared to Tesco despite higher in 2011. Sainsbury has the lowest acid test ratios in the three years period. 0.80 COMPARATIVE LIQUIDITY RATIOS FOR 2011 0.70 0.60 0.50 0.40 CARREFOUR PLC 0.30 TESCO PLC 0.20 SAINSBERRY PLC 0.10 0.00 Current Ratio Acid Test Ratio CARREFOUR PLC 0.74 0.48 TESCO PLC 0.64 0.45 SAINSBERRY PLC 0.65 0.35 Figure 1.4: Comparative liquidity ratios 2011 Source: Appendix 3 5 0.80 0.70 0.60 0.50 0.40 0.30 0.20 0.10 0.00 COMPARATIVE LIQUIDITY RATIOS 2010 CARREFOUR PLC TESCO PLC SAINSBERRY PLC Current Ratio Acid Test Ratio CARREFOUR PLC 0.71 0.46 TESCO PLC 0.65 0.48 SAINSBERRY PLC 0.58 0.31 Figure1.5: Comparative liquidity ratios 2010 Source: Appendix 3 0.80 0.70 COMPARATIVE LIQUIDITY RATIOS 2009 0.60 0.50 0.40 CARREFOUR PLC 0.30 0.20 TESCO PLC 0.10 SAINSBERRY PLC 0.00 Current Ratio Acid Test Ratio CARREFOUR PLC 0.71 0.47 TESCO PLC 0.71 0.54 SAINSBERRY PLC 0.66 0.41 Figure 1.6: Comparative liquidity ratios 2011 Source: Appendix 3 OPERATING PERFOMANCE According to Pamela P. Drake (2012, p 357), operating performance is to evaluate a company’s effectiveness in putting its assets investment to good use. This is done by analysing the inventory turnover period, trade receivable period, trade payable period, sales to capital employed and the operating cycle. 6 4.5 4 3.5 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 COMPARATIVE SALES TO CAPITAL EMPLOYED CARREFOUR TESCO SAINSBURY 2011 2010 2009 CARREFOUR 3.92 3.25 3.56 TESCO 2.05 2.05 1.9 SAINSBURY 2.42 2.5 2.48 Figure 1.7: comparative sales to capital employed Source: Appendix 2 From figures 1.7 above, Carrefour has the highest sales generating capacity as compared to Tesco and Sainsbury over the period in terms of its sales to capital employed. This is further evident with its lowest operating cycle compared to Tesco and Sainsbury as shown in figures 1.8, 1.9 and 1.10 below suggesting efficient working capital management. This lowest conversion cycle is support by trade payable period which double its peers suggesting strong bargaining power with suppliers despite relative higher receivables period and inventory turnover period. 100.00 COMPARATIVE EFFICIENCY RATIO 2011 80.00 60.00 40.00 20.00 CARREFOUR PLC 0.00 TESCO PLC -20.00 -40.00 SAINSBERRY PLC Inv.Turnover Period trade rec. Period trade payables period Coversion cycle CARREFOUR PLC 38.51 32.01 86.38 -15.86 TESCO PLC 22.15 27.33 39.25 10.23 SAINSBERRY PLC 16.24 3.68 32.95 -13.02 Figure 1.8: Comparative efficiency ratios for 2011 Source: Appendix 2 7 120.00 100.00 COMPARATIVE EFFICIENCY RATIOS 2010 80.00 60.00 40.00 20.00 CARREFOUR PLC 0.00 TESCO PLC -20.00 SAINSBERRY PLC -40.00 Inv.Turnover Period trade rec. Period trade payables period Coversion cycle CARREFOUR PLC 39.91 32.49 95.84 -23.44 TESCO PLC 20.86 29.35 38.17 12.04 SAINSBERRY PLC 14.86 4.86 33.60 -13.88 Figure 1.9: Comparative efficiency ratios for 2011 Source: Appendix 2 COMPARATIVE EFFICIENCY RATIOS 2009 100.00 80.00 60.00 40.00 20.00 CARREFOUR PLC 0.00 TESCO PLC -20.00 SAINSBERRY PLC -40.00 Inv.Turnover Period trade rec. Period trade payables period Coversion cycle CARREFOUR PLC 35.66 27.97 90.68 -27.05 TESCO PLC 19.04 25.42 35.77 8.69 SAINSBERRY PLC 13.57 3.14 34.45 -17.73 Figure 1.10: Comparative efficiency ratios for 2011 Source: Appendix 2 8 FINANCIAL LEVERAGE David Hillier et el (2010, p, 55) Financial leverage is the firm’s ability to meet its obligation. They further assert that, total gearing, debt to equity, and interest cover can be used to assess financial leverage. From figure 1.11, 1.12, and 1.13 below, Carrefour has consistently increased it gearing and debt to equity ratio by doubling that of Tesco and tripling Sainsbury by 2011. On the other hand Carrefour has not been able to generate sufficient earnings to mean up with interest payment as illustrated in figure 1.11, 1.12, and 1.13 below. The high gearing of Carrefour with associated low interest cover to a negative value in 2011 suggests a major concern to investors and the company due to increased risk and cost of capital. COMPARATIVE LEVERAGE ANALYSIS FOR 2011 18.00 16.00 14.00 12.00 CARREFOUR PLC 10.00 8.00 TESCO PLC 6.00 SAINSBERRY PLC 4.00 2.00 0.00 -2.00 Gearing Debt to Equity Interest cover Figure 1.11: Comparative leverage ratios for 2011 Source: Appendix 4 9 COMPARATIVE GEARING ANALYSIS 2010 12.00 10.00 8.00 CARREFOUR PLC 6.00 TESCO PLC SAINSBERRY PLC 4.00 2.00 0.00 Gearing Debt to Equity Interest cover Figure 1.12: Comparative leverage ratios for 2010 Source: Appendix 4 COMPARATIVE LEVERAGEANALYSIS FOR 2009 9.00 8.00 7.00 6.00 5.00 4.00 3.00 2.00 1.00 0.00 TESCO PLC CARREFOUR PLC SAINSBERRY PLC Gearing Debt to Equity Interest cover Figure 1.13: Comparative leverage ratios for 2011 Source: Appendix 4 10 PART TWO CARREFOUR INVESTMENT REPORT Investment Report to Potential and Existing Shareholders of Carrefour Plc This report aims at evaluating the investment potentials of Carrefour Plc and the associated risk of investing in the supermarket sector. According to David A, Anne B and Ann B, (2007, p. 862) argued that investors decisions to buy or sell are influenced by their expected returns in terms of dividend payment and appreciation in share price. Martin F and Fernando A, (2011, p, 322) argued investors assess earning, profit potentials, and share price evolution in making buy or sell decisions. Earning Performance The net profit margin and the return on equity of Carrefour show very slide decreases figure 2.1 below despite a negative operating profit margin. Carrefour was able to maintain these ratios due to an extraordinary item resulting from the disposal of subsidiaries with a gain of €2,580 in 2011 that is 3850.74% of the base year (2009). Martin F and Fernando A, (2011,p, 322) asserted that growth in earning must be sustainable sitting Du Pont that in order to interpret the return on equity, the formula needs to be decomposed as follows: 𝑠𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠 Return on equity=𝑎𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠 × 𝑖𝑛𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒 𝑠𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝑎𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠 × 𝑒𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦 = 𝑛𝑒𝑡 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑓𝑖𝑡 𝑎𝑣𝑎𝑖𝑙𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒 𝑡𝑜 𝑜𝑟𝑑𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑟𝑦 𝑠ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑒ℎ𝑜𝑙𝑑𝑒𝑟𝑠 𝑡𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑒𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦 From figure 2.1 below, it suggests the increase in return on equity is highly influence by the equity multiplier as depicted by the curves as compare to the net profit margin and the assets turn over ratios graphs that have almost flatten over the three years period. A number of authors including Mark T. (2008, pp, 828-829) and Nissim Penman, (2003, pp, 534- 536) argue that an increase return on equity due to an increase in financial leverage is not sustainable growth due to the associated financial risk to shareholders. The increasing in gearing with the associated fall in interest cover indicates greater financial risk to investors thus suggesting the growth in return on equity of Carrefour not sustainable. 11 Carrefour Dupont Analysis 8.00 7.00 6.00 5.00 4.00 Net profit margin 3.00 2.00 asset turn over 1.00 equity multiplier 0.00 2009 2010 2011 Net profit margin 0.32 0.53 0.45 asset turn over 1.68 1.53 1.75 equity multiplier 5.12 5.60 7.13 return on equity 2.74 4.52 5.61 return on equity Figure: 2.1 Carrefour DuPont Analyses Source: Appendix 1 Share Price According to David A, Anne B and Ann B, (2007, p. 862) price earnings ratio is a measure of the evolution of share price. The share price on the other hand is the present value of the expected future cash flows. From the figure 2.2 below, the price earnings ratio decreased from 2007 to 2008 with a slide increase in 2009 and the continued fall till 2011. This price earnings ratio movement depicts the movement of the share prices of Carrefour as show on figure 2.2 despite not proportion. 400 350 300 250 200 Price per share 150 PRICE EARNING RATIO 100 50 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Price per share 53.29 27.52 33.56 30.85 17.61 PRICE EARNING RATIO 100.55 74.38 335.60 237.31 160.09 Figure 2.2: Carrefour Price per Share and Price Earnings Ratio Source: Appendix 5 12 Also, David A, Anne B and Ann B, (2007, p. 862) asserted that investors appraisal of opportunities for the company and the way in which the top management can react to threats and opportunities in the market all influence share price and as a result the price earnings ratio. Thus, the consistent fall in the price earnings ratio suggest low investors’ confidence on future price evolution. Dividend Carrefour has managed to maintain a stable dividend policy of €1.08 per share from 2008 until recently on August 4th, 2012 with a fall of dividend to €0.52. This sharp fall is a warning sign and suggests financial distress despite an increasing dividend cover figure 2.3 1.2 CARREFOUR COMPARATIVEDIVIDEND RATIOS 1 0.8 0.6 DIVIDENT PER SHARE 0.4 DIVIDENT COVER 0.2 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 DIVIDENT PER SHARE 1.08 1.08 1.08 0.52 DIVIDENT COVER 0.34 0.09 0.12 0.21 Figure 2.3: Carrefour comparative dividend ratios Source: Appendix 5 Risk Low growth consumer markets in Europe due to the present economic recession have intensified competition through price wars to increase sales with a negative effect on earnings. Inability to control costs and rising input prices the lower margins of Carrefour suggest costs have major effects on profitability. Volatility in commercial real estate markets according to Hyunjae Kim, (2010, p5) Retailers are impacted both directly and indirectly by real estate market volatility. Inability to penetrate emerging markets “Especially for Western companies, understanding emerging markets is an undeniable opportunity Conclusively, despite a slide increase in earnings, the investment climate is not favourable because the increase is due to an increase in equity multiplier and not earnings to assets. The 13 increase in gearing is increasing risk and cost of capital to investors due to a rapid fall in interest cover to a negative value in 2011. Lastly, the price earnings ratio indicates investors not confident on future performance with the associate fall in share price. According to David (2000, pp 1-11), the decision to invest depends on the investors’ attitude to risk and the purpose of the investor in the short and long run. PART THREE CARREFOUR AND BP WORKING CAPITAL ANALYSIS This part is aimed at analysing the working capital of Carrefour PLC comparatively with BP PLC an oil company for three years period. According to Edgar A., Kenneth L and Pamela P, (2012, p, 305), working capital is the net current assets of a company i.e. the surplus of current assets over current liabilities. In order to make this comparison, working capital ratios will be analysis and the use of common sizes statements of Carrefour and BP Common size analysis From figures 3.1 and 3.2 below, Carrefour steady increase of currents assets to its total assets of 37.42% in 2009 to 40.17% in 2011 are higher than BP of 28.67 in 2009 to 33.30% in 2011. This suggest supermarket sector need sufficient inventory to meet customers need as compared to oil companies. The higher proportion of receivables to total assets suggest extended credit to increase sales due to intense competition within the supermarket industry as compared to the highly regulated and high cost of entrance limiting competition in the oil industry. On the other hand, the current liabilities of Carrefour to total assets wide margin with BP with the associated account payables almost double BP which suggest strong bargaining power over suppliers for extended credit. 14 200.00 Carrefour Comparative Common Size WC 150.00 100.00 50.00 0.00 2011 -50.00 2010 -100.00 Total Total Receivab Inventor les, Net y Total current assets Account Total working s current capital payable liabilities 2011 15.14 14.29 40.17 32.05 54.45 -14.28 2010 13.58 13.04 37.67 31.31 53.09 -15.42 2009 12.89 12.82 37.42 32.59 52.73 -15.31 2009 Figure 3.1: Carrefour comparative common size working capital Source: Appendix 10 BP comparative common size WC 120.00 100.00 80.00 60.00 40.00 20.00 0.00 2011 Total Total Receivab Inventor les, Net y Total current assets Total Accounts working current payable capital liabilities 2011 14.93 8.76 33.30 11.02 28.77 4.53 2010 13.68 9.63 34.60 10.87 30.81 3.80 2009 12.60 9.58 28.67 10.12 25.14 3.53 2010 2009 Figure 3.2: BP comparative common size working capital Source: Appendix 10 The negative working capital of Carrefour for the three years period suggest the use of current liabilities to finance profit generating non-current assets as compared to BP with positive working capital balances 15 for the three years periods which implies long-term liabilities to finance less profit generating current asset. Working capital strategy and liquidity According to Richard Pike and Bill, (1993, p, 399), there are two ways of managing working capital; an aggressive approach where current liabilities are used to finance permanent current assets and long term assets. While a relax approach is where long term liabilities are used to finance working capital needs. It can be observed that Carrefour solely finances its current assets from current liabilities with about 14% to 15% of non-current assets being finance by current liabilities suggesting an aggressive approach as compared to BP where about 3.5% to 4.53% of current assets financed by non-current liabilities thus a relax approach. COMPARATIVE CURRENT RATIOS 1.40 1.20 1.00 0.80 0.60 BP PLC 0.40 CARREFOUR PLC 0.20 0.00 2009 2010 2011 BP PLC 1.14 1.12 1.16 CARREFOUR PLC 0.71 0.71 0.74 Figure 3.3: comparative current ratio Source: Appendix 11 16 COMPARATIVE QUICK RATIOS 0.90 0.80 0.70 0.60 0.50 0.40 0.30 0.20 0.10 0.00 BP PLC CARREFOUR PLC 2009 2010 2011 BP PLC 0.76 0.81 0.85 CARREFOUR PLC 0.47 0.46 0.48 Figure 3.4: comparative quick ratios Source: Appendix 11 According to Edgar A., Kenneth L and Pamela P, (2012, p, 305), liquidity is the ability to generate cash when and where is needed measured by the current ratio and the acid test ratio. Base on figure 3.3 and 3.4 above, Bp out performs Carrefour in terms of current ratio and acid test ratio consistently for the three years. This suggest Bp is more liquid than Carrefour in terms of the number of times current assets can be converted to settle current liabilities even after adjusting for inventory( quick ratio) Working capital ratios Carrefour has an increasing operating cycle as compared BP deceasing cycle despite far lower as compared to BP. The increase is associated with decreasing settlement period with fluctuating inventory turnover period and receivables collection period as observed below 17 140.00 120.00 100.00 80.00 60.00 40.00 2009 20.00 2010 2011 0.00 Inventory Turnover (days) trade receivables collection (days) trade payables settlement (days) Cash Conversion cycle (days) 2009 44.13 44.10 46.62 41.61 2010 34.08 44.00 38.45 39.63 2011 30.24 41.33 38.04 33.53 Figure 3.5: BP comparative working capital ratios Source: Appendix 11 300.00 250.00 200.00 150.00 100.00 50.00 2009 0.00 2010 -50.00 2011 -100.00 Inventory Turnover (days) trade receivables collection (days) trade payables settlement (days) Cash Conversion cycle (days) 2009 35.66 27.97 90.68 -27.05 2010 39.91 32.49 95.84 -23.44 2011 38.51 32.01 86.38 -15.86 Figure 3.6: Carrefour comparative working capital ratios Source: Appendix 11 18 Carrefour has an increasing operating cycle as compared BP deceasing cycle despite far lower as compared to BP. The increase is associated with decreasing settlement period with fluctuating inventory turnover period and receivables collection period as observed below Conclusively, Carrefour has a more aggressive approach to working capital management thus less liquid. On the other hand, BP has a more relax approach to working capital thus more liquid as compared to Carrefour. The trade off between profitability and liquidity on working capital management depend on the following according to Richard Pike and Bill, (1993, p, 395) Nature of industry Type of products Goods manufactured or bought The efficiency which working capital is managed. PART FOUR CARREFOUR BUSINESS ANALYSIS s part is aim at evaluating the trading outlook of the supermarket sector with the use of PESTEL, SWOT, market outlook and Porter’s five forces model. PESTEL This work is aimed to scan and analyse the external factors that influence the strategic decisions of Carrefour group PLC. Fred R. David, (2001 pp. 104) and Philip R. Walsh, (2005, p, 115), asserted that the aim of external analysis is to identify key variables that offer actionable responses. Respond either offensively or defensively to the factors by formulating strategies to optimise opportunities or minimise potential threats. George S. and Bill H (1999, p, 47), asserted PESTEL as a model to analyse macro environment. Political Influence Hugh Carnegy, (2012, p 6) pressure mounts on the French government according to a report commission by the President Francoise Holland to cut public spending of about €30 billion 19 Projected growth of 0.4% according to European Commission on Economic and Financial Affairs, (2012, pp, 1-3) which is half Paris estimate Economic influence According to European Commission on Economic and Financial Affairs, (2012, pp, 1-3) demand levels in Europe will remain suppress The French retail giant Carrefour operates about 43% of its stores in countries like; Portugal, Italy, Greece, and Spain Carrefour annual report (2011 ) Technological influence According to PWC, (2011, p 5), Online sales are expected to rise by an average of 20% a year in Asia in the near term and by as much as 40% annually in some markets such as Japan. Environmental influence REAP, (2012) “Sustainability is a long term challenge for the retail sector and our continued engagement in the Retailers’ Environmental Action Programme (REAP) is evidence of our commitment to making a difference. This report shows the impressive progress that the sector has achieved”. Voluntary annual corporate sustainability report independently verified Carrefour annual report, (2012) thus unlikely regulations Social influence Adam P. Vrechopoulos, (2010 p. 519), and Jason S, Bill M, and Dawn B, (2003, pp, 8085)," assert that, there is a shift from physical retail design to customisation of websites to appeal to individual shoppers due to increase in online shopping. SWOT According to Ricky W. (2011, p, 68), and David A and Garry D, (2009,p,131), swot analysis is the evaluation of an organisation internal strengths and weakness and environmental opportunities and threats. STRENGHTS Localisation Fabiano Schivardi and Eliana Vivianon (2011) Andrew G. Parsons, (2011) and Bertrand and Kramarz (2002) have asserted that retail trade is regulated in all European economies Beneficiaries are always the incumbents like Carrefour. 20 Brand Tony Kent, (2003, p, 131), sitting Dawson, (2001) asserted that branding of retailers is a complex multi-dimensional concept, in which the distinction between goods and services disappears as the “format becomes the brand”. Carrefour has a strong brand according to Abby Trexler, (2012) in terms of simplicity and experience which is ranked the 9th in the world and the first in its industry. WEAKNESSES Slow expansion in Asian The Carrefour group has been very slow in its expansion strategy in Asia to compensate for the poor performance in Europe with low growth potentials especially Italy and Spain Hypermarket concept Market watch, (2012) asserted that, the viability of the company's domestic business model is being questioned In recent years, consumers have shunned the supercenters in favour of more conveniently located and price-competitive supermarkets Morning star (2012). OPPORTUNITIES Emerging Markets Emerging markets sustained growth estimated about 6% in the retail Industrial between 2011 to 2015 Online sales PWC, (2011, p 5) Online sales are expected to rise by an average of 20% a year in Asia in the near term and by as much as 40% annually in some markets such as Japan. Threats France likely recession due to political unwillingness to implement reforms Carrefour annual report (2011) intense competition and effect on margins Restrictive and regulatory laws in Asia 21 CARREFOUR MARKET OUTLOOK CARREFOUR PLC INDUSTRIALS S&P 500INDEX TESCO PLC Figure 4.1 Market outlook base on 2007 base year Source: www.reuters.com From figure 4.1 above, Carrefour share price has fluctuated with a consistent drop from 2007 to 2009 following the general trends of industrials and Tesco indices though lower than peers. Carrefour pick up from 2009 despite still below S&P 500 index, industrials and Tesco indices until early 2011 fall despite S&P 500 index, industrials and Tesco witnesses improvement in the market . The end of 2011 witnessed a general market down turn and Carrefour still performing below peers with markets picking up towards the end of 2012 despite general fluctuations. The market outlook figure above depicts the share price figure 4.2 below. 22 01-Jan-07 01-Apr-07 01-Jul-07 01-Oct-07 01-Jan-08 01-Apr-08 01-Jul-08 01-Oct-08 01-Jan-09 01-Apr-09 01-Jul-09 01-Oct-09 01-Jan-10 01-Apr-10 01-Jul-10 01-Oct-10 01-Jan-11 01-Apr-11 01-Jul-11 01-Oct-11 SHARE PRICE 60 50 40 30 20 SHARE PRICE 10 0 Figure 4.2: Carrefour share price Source: Appendix 13 23 PORTER’S FIVE FORCES MODEL According to Schermerhorn, (2010, p146), managers need to craft strategies with an understanding of the industry within which they are competing. A number of authors including; A and Garry D, (2009, page, 131), Milind T, (2011, p,78) and Michael D and Ferrel, (2011,p, 122) argue that porter’s model is used to assess industrial attractive in order to shape competitiveness within an industry. Bargaining power of buyers Special customisation Lower price sensitivity Bargaining power of suppliers Similar critical production input High competition among suppliers Volume is critical to suppliers Low cost of switching suppliers Intensity of existing competition Relatively few competitors Government limit competition Increasing price war Threat of substitutes Substitute products are inferior Substitute is lower quality Threat of new entrance Customers loyal to existing brands Industry require economic of scales Geographical future limit competition Advanced technology 24 Figure 4.3: SWOT analysis of supermarket sector case of Carrefour PART FIVE ACCOUNTING STANDARDS The financial statements of Carrefour PLC have been prepared in accordance with international accounting standards as adopted by the European Regulation (EC N° 1606/2002) (Annual report, 2011, p.26). The said financial statements are based on the accrual concern and the assumption that the entity is a going concern (IAS 1). All the analyses are referred to the audited annual financial statements of Carrefour Plc for 2011. IAS 27 Consolidated and separate financial statements and IAS 28 investment in associates and Joint Venture. The Consolidated Financial Statements for the year ended December 31, 2011 comprise the financial statements of the Company and its subsidiaries in accordance with 1AS 27 and the Group’s share of the profits and losses, assets and liabilities of associated and jointly controlled companies in accordance with IAS 28 IFRIC 17 – Distributions of Non-Cash Assets to Owners, The liability to pay a dividend should be recognized when the dividend is appropriately authorized and the liability measured at fair value. On July 5, 2011 100% of Dia’s share capital to Carrefour shareholders, in the form of a special dividend in kind at a fair value of €3.4 on the Madrid Stock Exchange. Group recorded in shareholders’ equity – Group share, the dividend recorded in Carrefour SA’s accounts, i.e. €2,230 million IFRS 5 - Non-Assets Held for Sales and Discontinued Operations. In accordance with IFRS 5, Dia’s net income for the period up to the date when control was lost €32 million was included in the carrying amount at June 30 and therefore presented under “Net income from discontinued operations” as part of the €1,909 million capital gain from the disposal of Dia’s. January 7, 2011 Carrefour sold its operations in Thailand to Big C, The capital gain on the transaction, in the amount of €667 million, is reported in the 2011 income statement under “Net income from discontinued operations”. IAS 17 - Leases On December 27, 2011, the Group sold a portfolio of 97 supermarket properties owned by Carrefour Property for €365 million which fulfil the criteria for classification as operating leases, 25 as substantially all the risks and rewards incidental to ownership of the asset are retained by the lessor. The capital gain, recognized in the 2011 income statement was €229 million. IAS 36-Impairment of Assets Impairment tests performed on the basis of the revised business plan projections led to impairment losses of €1,966 million being recorded on goodwill, with Italian goodwill written down by €1,750 million and Greek goodwill by €188 million. IAS 12 income taxes Unrecognized deferred tax assets amounted to €1,621 million at December 31, 2011 (December 31, 2010: €1,427 million), including €746 million related to tax loss carry forwards (December 31, 2010: 805 million) and €875 million on temporary differences (December 31, 2010: €622 million). IAS 36 Provisions, contingent assets and contingent liabilities In the normal course of its operations in some twenty different countries, the Group is involved in tax, employee-related and commercial disputes and legal proceedings. At December 31, 2011, the claims and legal proceedings in which the Group was involved were covered by provisions totalling €2,356 million. IFRS 2-Share-based payments The total cost recorded in the income statement in 2011 in respect of share-based payments amounted to €29 million (2010: €54 million), of which €24 million reported under “Employee benefits expense” in recurring operating income and €5 million reported under “Net income from discontinued operations. 26 ANNEXES 27 LIST OF REFERENCES Abby Trexler, (2012), How Simplicity Sparks Profits, Loyalty and Innovation,(online) Available from: www.siegelgale.com, (accessed on Nov. 3, 2012) Adam P. 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David Campbell, George Stonehouse and Bill Houston (1999), Business Strategy an Introduction, Butterworth Heinemann Linacre House Jordan Hill 28 David Service (2002) Retail Investment Risk Descriptions–Dangerous and misleading (online) Australian National University Available from http://cbe.anu.edu.au/media/10121/ACST0003WP.pdf (accessed on Nov. 1, 2012) Doron Nissim and Stephen H. Penman, (2003), Financial Statement Analysis of Leverage and How It Informs About Profitability and Price-to-Book Ratios, Review of Accounting Studies, 8, 531–560, 2003 Kluwer Academic Publishers. European Economic and Financial Affairs 2012 European Economic Forecast, (online) ISBN 97892-79-22855-1 doi: 10.2765/19623. Available from: http://europa.eu. (Accessed, Nov, 4, 2012) Fabiano Schivardi, Eliana Viviano, (2011), The costs of entry restrictions in retail trade (online) Available from: www.Voxeu.org (accessed: 30 April 2011) Fred. R. David, (2001), Strategic Management Concept and Cases Twelfth Edition, Pearson Practice Hall. Gianpaolo Iazzolino, Domenico Laise, Laura Marraro, (2012),"Business multicriteria performance analysis: a tutorial", Benchmarking: An International Journal, Vol. 19 Iss: 3 pp. 395 – 411. Available from: http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/14635771211243012 (Accessed: 01-11-2012) Hugh Carnegy, (2012), IMF Warns France to reform or Fall Behind, Financial Times magazine Tuesday Nov. 6 2012 No 38 ,077 Hyunjae Kim, (2010) Examination of Real Estate Market Risk and Volatility Massachussets Institute of Technology U S A 707932517 Jason Sit, Bill Merrilees, Dawn Birch, (2003),"Entertainment-seeking shopping centre patrons: the missing segments", (online) International Journal of Retail & Distribution Management, Vol. 31 Iss: 2 pp. 80 – 94. Available from: http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/09590550310461985 (Accessed: 01-11-2012) Mark T. Soliman The Use of DuPont Analysis by Market Participants, The Accounting Review Vol. 83, No. 3 2008 pp. 823–853 Market Watch, (2012), Management Carrefour sales buoyed by Latin America (online). Available from: http://www.marketwatch.com (accessed -2012-10-11) Martin Fridson and Fernando Alvarez (2011), Financial Statement Analysis, Fourth Edition, John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Michael D Hartline and O. C. Ferrel, (2011), Marketing Strategy, Fifth Edition, South Western Cengage Learning 29 Millind T. Phadtare, (2011), Strategic Management Concept and Practice, PHI Learning Private Limited New Delhi Philip R. Walsh, (2005), "Dealing with the uncertainties of environmental change by adding scenario planning to the strategy reformulation equation". (online) Management Decision, Vol. 43 Iss: 1 pp. 113 – 122. Available from: http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/00251740510572524 (Accessed 01-11-2012) Price Waterhouse Copper, (2012), outlook for the retail and consumer product sector in Asia (online). Available from: www.pwc.com (accessed Nov. 2, 2012) REAP (2012), Retail Environmental Sustainability Code, Available from http://www.eurocommerce.be/content.aspx?PageId=41456 . Accessed 10th Nov: 2012 Richard A. Brealey, and Stewart C Myers (1991), Principles of Corporate Finance, Mc Graw Hill Inc Ricky W. Griffin (2011), Fundamentals of Management, 6th Edition, South Western Cengage Learning. Schermerhorn, (2010), Exploring Management, 2nd Edition, Wiley & Sons Inc. Tony Kent, (2003),"2D23D: Management and design perspectives on retail branding", (online) International Journal of Retail & Distribution Management, Vol. 31 Iss: 3 pp. 131 - 142 Available from 30 APPENDIX 1: PROFITABILITY RATIOS; CARREFOUR, TESCO & SAINSBURY PROFITABILITY RATIOS CARREFOUR PLC 2011 ROE Net Profit 5.61% 2010 4.52% TESCO PLC 2009 2012 2.74% 371 433 276 6,617 9,584 10,073 Total equity ROCE Capital Employed Operating Profit Gross Profit Margin Sales Revenue -2.20% 6.77% 6.80% 21,834 481 25,169 24,369 1,703 1,656 21.57% 21.84% 22.05% 82,764 81,840 86,754 17,852 17,871 19,128 Gross Profit Operating Profit Margin Sales Revenue Operating Profit EBITDA to Capital Employed EBITDA -0.58% 82,764 481 5.40% 1,180 2.08% 81,840 1.91% 1,656 13.23% 14.31% 25,169 2010 15.79% 16.06% 15.94% 2,806 2,655 17,775 2012 2011 2010 10.6% 11.8% 11.7% 2,327 598 640 585 16,535 14,596 5,629 5,424 4,966 12.64% 13.29% 11.52% 9.50% 10.1% 8.81% 31,532 29,475 30,008 9,204 8,457 8,062 3,985 3,917 3,457 874 851 710 8.15% 8.48% 8.10% 5.43% 5.50% 5.42% 64,539 60,455 56,910 22,294 21,102 19,964 5,261 5,125 4,607 1,211 1,160 1,08 2 6.17% 6.48% 6.07% 3.92% 4.03% 3.56% 64,539 60,455 56,910 22,294 21,102 19,964 3,985 3,917 3,457 874 851 710 13.13% 15.71 % 16.70 % 10.41 % 15.24 % 15.88 % 4,140.3 4,631 5,011. 958 1289 1280 31,532 29,475 30,008 9,204 8,457 8,062 3,486. Capital Employed 21,834 2011 86,754 1,703 3,330 SAINSBERRY PLC 24,369 31 APPENDIX 2: EFFICIENCY RATIOS; CARREFOUR, TESCO & SAINSBURY EFFICIENCY RATIOS CARREFOUR PLC 2011 Average Inventory Turnover Period (day) Inventory (average inventory not available) Cost of Sales Average settlement period for trade receivables(days) Debtors (Average Debtors not available)days Sales Average settlement period for trade payables(day) Creditors (Average creditors not available) Cost of Sales (credit purchase not available) 2010 2009 2012 39.91 35.66 6,848 6,994 6,607 64,912 63,969 67,626 32.49 27.97 38.51 32.01 Capital employed 2011 SAINSBERRY PLC 2010 2012 2011 2010 22.15 20.86 19.04 16.24 14.86 13.57 3598 3162 2729 938 812 702 59,278 55,330 52,303 21,083 19,942 18,882 27.33 29.35 25.42 3.68 4.86 3.14 7,259 7,285 6,647 4,832 4,861 3,963 225 281 172 82,764 81,840 86,754 64,539 60,455 56,910 22,294 21,102 19,964 95.84 90.68 39.25 38.17 35.77 32.95 33.60 34.45 15,362 16,796 16,800 6,375 5,786 5,126 1,903 1,836 1,782 64,912 63,969 67,626 59,278 55,330 52,303 21,083 19,942 18,882 -15.86 -23.44 27.05 10.23 12.04 8.69 13.02 13.88 -17.73 3.79 3.25 3.56 2.05 2.05 1.90 2.42 2.50 2.48 82,764 81,840 86,754 64,539 60,455 56,910 22,294 21,102 19,964 21,834 25,169 24,369 31,532 29,475 30,008 9,204 8,457 8,062 86.38 Cash Conversion cycle(day) Sales revenue to capital employed Sales TESCO PLC 32 APPENDIX 3: LIQUIDITY RATIOS; CARREFOUR, TESCO & SAINSBURY LIQUIDITY RATIO CARREFOUR PLC 2011 2010 2009 Current Ratio Current Assets 0.74 0.71 0.71 SAINSBERRY PLC 2012 2011 2010 0.64 0.65 0.71 0.65 0.58 0.66 19,254 20,210 19,290 12353 11608 11392 2,032 1,721 1,853 26,097 28,481 27,184 19,249 17,731 16,015 3,136 2,942 2,793 0.45 0.48 0.54 0.35 0.31 0.41 8,755 19,24 9 8,446 17,73 1 8,663 16,01 5 1,094 909 2,94 2 1,151 Current Liabilities Acid Test Ratio Current Assets – Stock Current Liabilities TESCO PLC 2012 2011 2010 0.48 0.46 0.47 12,406 13,216 12,683 26,097 28,481 27,184 33 3,13 6 2,79 3 APPENDIX 4: FINANCIAL LEVERAGE; CARREFOUR, TESCO & SAINSBURY FINANCIAL LEVERAGE CARREFOUR PLC 2011 Gearing Long Term Liabilities 0.70 2010 0.62 TESCO PLC 2009 0.59 Equity (Share capital + Reserves) Debt to Equity (with prior charge capital) Prior Charge Capital Equity (Share capital + Reserves) Interest cover Profit before Interest and Tax Interest Payable 2011 2010 2012 201 1 201 0 0.44 0.44 0.51 0.39 0.36 0.38 15,217 15,585 14,296 13,757 12,940 15,412 3,575 3,033 3,096 21,834 25,169 24,369 31,532 29,475 30,008 9,204 8,457 8,062 0.77 0.78 1.06 0.64 0.56 0.62 Capital Employed Debt to Equity Long term liabilities 2012 SAINSBERRY PLC 2.30 1.63 1.42 15,217 15,585 14,296 13,757 12,940 15,412 3,575 3,033 3,096 6,617 9,584 10,073 17,775 16,535 14,596 5,629 5,424 4,966 0.77 0.78 1.06 0.64 0.56 0.62 2.30 1.63 1.42 15,217 15,585 14,296 13,757 12,940 15,412 3,575 3,033 3,096 6,617 9,584 10,073 17,775 16,535 14,596 5,629 5,424 4,966 10.78 10.34 8.34 15.24 7.04 5.26 -0.50 2.23 2.26 481.00 1,836.0 1,705.0 3591 2970 1280 810 505 954.00 823.00 754.00 333.0 314.0 356.1 -84 115 96 34 3247 APPENDIX 5: INVESTORS RATIOS FOR CARREFOUR CARREFOUR Basic EPS Price per share PRICE EARNING RATIO DIVIDENT PER SHARE DIVIDENT COVER 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 0.53 53.29 100.55 0.37 27.52 74.38 1.08 0.34 0.10 33.56 335.60 1.08 0.09 0.13 30.85 237.31 1.08 0.12 0.11 17.61 160.09 0.52 0.21 35 APPENDIX 6: : ADJUSTED COMMON SIZE BALANCE SHEETS; CARREFOUR, TESCO & SAINSBURY CARREFOUR TESCO SAINSBURY 2009 2010 2011 2010 2011 2012 2010 2011 2012 Cash And Short Term Investments Total Receivables, Net Total Inventory 10.38 9.47 9.93 9.0 6.5 6.8 7.71 4.40 5.99 12.89 13.58 15.14 8.6 10.3 9.5 1.58 2.47 1.82 12.82 13.04 14.29 5.9 6.7 7.1 6.47 7.12 7.60 Total current assets Property, plant & equipment, net Goodwill, net 37.42 37.67 40.17 24.8 24.6 24.3 17.07 15.10 16.47 29.15 28.51 28.73 56.4 55.6 54.5 75.57 77.06 75.60 22.25 22.05 18.23 7.3 7.0 6.8 0.92 0.88 0.81 Total assets 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 LIABILITIES 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 Accounts payable 32.59 31.31 32.05 11.1 12.3 12.6 16.42 16.11 15.42 Total current liabilities Total long term debt Total debt 52.73 53.09 54.45 34.8 37.6 37.9 25.73 25.81 25.41 19.00 19.32 19.87 25.5 20.5 19.5 21.71 20.52 21.21 23.18 24.38 24.35 28.8 23.5 23.1 22.39 21.17 22.42 Total liabilities 80.46 82.14 86.19 68.3 65.0 65.0 54.25 52.42 54.38 SHAREHOLDERS EQUITY Common stock 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.42 3.16 3.54 0.9 0.9 0.8 4.90 4.69 4.36 #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! 10.5 10.4 9.8 9.52 9.19 8.60 ASSETS Additional paid-in capital Retained earnings (accumulated deficit) Total equity Total liabilities & shareholders' equity 16.12 14.70 10.26 19.7 23.7 24.0 31.54 33.90 32.84 19.54 17.86 13.81 31.7 35.0 35.0 45.75 47.58 45.62 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.00 100.00 100.00 36 APPENDIX 7 ADJUSTED COMMON SIZE INCOME STATEMENTS; CARREFOUR, TESCO & SAINSBURY CARREFOUR Fiscal Year Ending Dec 31 2011 Total revenue 2011 2010 2012 2010 2011 2012 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Cost of revenue total Gross profit 77.95 78.16 78.43 91.90 91.52 91.85 94.58 94.50 94.57 22.05 21.84 21.57 8.10 8.48 8.15 5.42 5.50 5.43 Selling, general and admin. expenses, total Total operating expense Operating income 16.78 16.49 16.88 2.68 2.71 2.56 2.00 1.98 1.88 93.93 93.52 93.83 96.44 95.97 96.08 Inc.avail. to common excl. extra. Items Inc.avail. to common incl. extra. Items 98.09 97.92 100.58 2011 CARREFOUR 2010 Net income before taxes Provision for income taxes Net income after taxes Net income before extra. Items Total extraordinary items Net income 2009 TESCO 1.91 2.08 -0.58 6.07 6.48 6.17 3.56 4.03 3.92 1.21 1.29 -1.50 5.58 6.02 5.94 3.67 3.92 3.58 0.73 0.75 1.21 1.48 1.43 1.36 0.74 0.89 0.90 0.48 0.54 -2.71 4.10 4.59 4.58 2.93 3.03 2.68 0.40 0.42 -2.67 4.09 4.57 4.57 2.93 3.03 2.68 -0.08 0.11 3.12 #VALUE! -0.18 0.32 0.53 0.45 4.09 4.39 4.35 2.93 3.03 2.68 0.40 0.42 -2.67 4.09 4.57 4.57 2.93 3.03 2.68 0.32 0.53 0.45 4.09 4.39 4.35 2.93 3.03 2.68 37 -0.22 #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! APPENDIX 8: ADJUSTED BALANCE SHEETS; CARREFOUR, TESCO & SAINSBURY CARREFOUR 2009 TESCO 2010 2011 2010 In millions of Euro 2011 SAINSBURY 2012 In millions of pounds 2010 2011 2012 In millions of pounds ASSETS Cash And Short Term Investments Total Receivables, Net Total Inventory 5,351 5,082 4,760 4,133 3,046 3,455 837 501 739 6,647 7,285 7,259 3,963 4,861 4,832 172 281 225 6,607 6,994 6,848 2,729 3,162 3,598 702 812 938 Total current assets 19,290 20,210 19,254 11,392 11,608 12,353 1,853 1,721 2,032 Property, plant & equipment, net Goodwill, net 15,030 15,297 13,770 25,934 26,261 27,701 8,203 8,784 9,329 100 100 100 Total assets 51,553 53,650 47,931 46,023 47,206 50,781 10,855 11,399 12,340 11,473 11,829 8,740 3,337 3,316 3,449 LIABILITIES Accounts payable 16,800 16,796 15,362 6,375 1,782 1,836 1,903 Total current liabilities Total long term debt 27,184 28,481 26,097 16,015 17,731 19,249 2,793 2,942 3,136 9,911 2,357 2,339 2,617 Total debt 11,952 13,080 11,672 13,273 11,075 11,749 2,430 2,413 2,767 Total liabilities 41,480 44,066 41,314 31,427 30,671 33,006 5,889 5,975 6,711 SHAREHOLDERS EQUITY Common stock 9,794 10,365 1,762 1,698 -- 5,126 9,523 11,744 1,698 -- 5,786 9,689 399 402 402 532 535 538 4,814 4,909 4,980 1,033 1,048 1,061 Additional paid-in capital Retained earnings (accumulated deficit) Total equity -- Total liabilities & shareholders' equity 51,553 53,650 47,931 46,023 47,206 50,781 10,855 11,399 12,340 8,311 7,886 4,919 9,088 11,211 12,204 3,424 3,864 4,053 10,073 9,584 6,617 14,596 16,535 17,775 4,966 5,424 5,629 http://www.ft.com/home/uk 38 APPENDIX 9: ADJUSTED INCOME STATEMENTS; CARREFOUR, TESCO & SAINSBURY CARREFOUR Fiscal Year Ending Dec 31 2011 2009 2010 TESCO 2011 2009 In millions of Euro 2010 SAINSBURY 2011 2009 In millions of pounds 56910 60455 64539 2010 2011 In millions of pounds Total revenue 86,754 81,840 82,764 19964 21102 22294 Cost of revenue total Gross profit 67,626 63,969 64,912 52,303 55,330 59,278 18,882 19,942 21,083 19,128 17,871 17,852 4,607 5,125 5,261 1,082 1,160 1,211 Selling, general and admin. expenses, total Total operating expense Operating income 14,559 13,494 13,969 1,527 1,640 1,652 399 417 419 85,098 80,137 83,245 53,453 56,538 60,554 19,254 20,251 21,420 1,656 1,703 -481 3,457 3,917 3,985 710 851 874 Net income before taxes Provision for income taxes Net income after taxes Net income before extra. Items Total extraordinary items Net income 1,050 1,055 -1,238 3,176 3,641 3,835 733 827 799 635 610 1,002 840 864 879 148 187 201 415 445 -2,240 2,336 2,777 2,956 585 640 598 343 344 -2,209 2,327 2,761 2,948 585 640 598 -67 89 276 433 371 2,327 2,655 2,806 585 640 598 Inc.avail. to common excl. extra. Items Inc.avail. to common incl. extra. Items 343 344 -2,209 2,327 2,761 2,948 585 640 598 276 433 371 2,327 2,655 2,806 585 640 598 2,580 -- http://www.ft.com/home/uk 39 -106 -142 -- -- -- APPENDIX 10: COMMON SIZE WORKING CAPITAL STATEMENTS BP AND CARREFOUR BP CARREFOUR Fiscal Year Ending Dec 31 2011 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010 2009 Total Receivables, Net 14.93 13.68 12.60 15.14 13.58 12.89 8.76 9.63 9.58 14.29 13.04 12.82 Total current assets 33.30 34.60 28.67 40.17 37.67 37.42 Accounts payable 11.02 10.87 10.12 32.05 31.31 32.59 Total current liabilities 28.77 30.81 25.14 54.45 53.09 52.73 4.53 3.80 3.53 -14.28 -15.42 -15.31 Total Inventory working capital 40 APPENDIX 11: OPERATING EFFICIENCY BP Average Inventory Turnover (days) Inventory (average not available) Cost of Sales Average settlement period for trade receivables(days) Debtors (Average not available) Sales Average settlement period for trade payables(days) Creditors (Average not available) Cost of Sales (credit purchase not available) Cash Conversion cycle(days) CARREFOUR 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010 2009 30.24 34.08 44.13 38.51 39.91 35.66 25,661 309,763 26,218 280,826 22,605 186,974 6,848 64,912 6,994 63,969 6,607 67,626 41.33 44.00 44.10 32.01 32.49 27.97 43,761 37,242 29,740 7,259 7,285 6,647 386,463 308,928 246,138 82,764 81,840 86,754 38.04 38.45 46.62 86.38 95.84 90.68 32,284 309,763 29,583 280,826 23,882 186,974 15,362 64,912 16,796 63,969 16,800 67,626 33.53 39.63 41.61 -15.86 -23.44 -27.05 41 APPENDIX 12: ADJUSTED BP BALANCE SHEET BP Fiscal Year Ending Dec 31 2011 2011 2010 2009 Cash And Short Term Investments 14,599 20,335 8,588 Total Receivables, Net 43,761 37,242 29,740 Total Inventory 25,661 26,218 22,605 1,286 1,574 1,753 97,584 94,212 67,653 6,293 5,642 5,372 293,068 272,262 235,968 Accounts payable 32,284 29,583 23,882 Other current liabilities, total 37,058 34,058 20,127 Total current liabilities 84,318 83,879 59,320 Total long term debt 35,169 30,710 25,518 Total debt 44,213 45,336 34,627 181,603 177,275 134,355 5,203 5,162 5,158 Retained earnings (accumulated deficit) 110,147 92,970 99,883 Total equity 111,465 94,987 101,613 Total liabilities & shareholders' equity 293,068 272,262 235,968 ASSETS Prepaid expenses Total current assets Other long term assets Total assets LIABILITIES Total liabilities SHAREHOLDERS EQUITY Common stock http://www.ft.com/home/uk 42 APPENDIX 13 CARREFOUR SHARE PRICES CARREFOUR SHARE PRICE HISTORY Date Open High 01-Nov-12 01-Oct-12 03-Sep-12 01-Aug-12 04-Jul-12 02-Jul-12 01-Jun-12 01-Dec-11 01-Aug-11 05-Jul-11 01-Jul-11 30-Jun-11 01-Jun-11 01-Dec-10 01-Nov-10 01-Jun-10 07-May-10 03-May-10 01-Oct-09 04-May-09 04-May-09 01-Apr-09 01-Oct-08 02-Jun-08 02-May-08 18-Apr-08 01-Apr-08 03-Dec-07 01-Nov-07 01-Jun-07 31-May-07 18.7 16.03 16.64 14.51 19.09 18.94 17.46 17.67 14.67 13.77 19.66 20.89 15.01 14.83 20.5 20.98 28.32 28.5 30.78 32.24 39.01 33.31 30.86 33.83 39.24 35.75 36.7 30.69 30.42 37.24 31.92 32.88 29.24 33.15 44.85 45.76 31.24 33.94 46.29 46.97 48.86 52.59 49.97 54.12 54.63 50.59 54.2 53.76 55.6 54.95 Low close Avg Vol Adj Close* 17.58 18.85 15.68 18.64 16.06 16.14 14.19 16.67 0.52 Dividend 12.87 14.59 13.43 14.55 15.82 17.61 16.67 18.56 1.08 Dividend 20.27 20.6 1.08 Dividend 25.95 28.32 30.85 30.85 34.85 34.85 32.55 32.74 1.08 Dividend 32.06 33.71 29.27 29.27 28.51 31.58 1.08 Dividend 27.84 30.89 24.16 32.92 34.25 35.96 43.87 45.07 1.08 Dividend 44.15 45.23 50.9 53.29 47.17 52.91 50.9 52.14 53.75 54.16 2,792,000 3,808,100 2,935,700 3,249,100 18.85 18.64 16.14 16.67 4,391,600 4,126,700 3,295,600 5,899,000 14.59 14.04 17 17.91 8,105,300 19.88 4,779,600 3,460,100 2,214,000 3,067,900 26.27 27.52 31.09 29.2 4,213,300 3,396,500 2,571,800 30.07 25.32 27.32 3,414,100 7,448,100 5,179,700 2,760,200 25.78 27.48 30.02 37.62 3,640,800 2,554,200 3,940,000 3,947,200 7,451,200 37.75 43.44 43.13 42.5 44.15 SOURCE: http://uk.finance.yahoo.com 43