Research Process (with a focus on Problem Formulation) Jeremy Kees, Ph.D. Review from last week… • Marketing research is the marketer’s link to understanding the consumer and the external environment The main purpose of marketing research is to inform decisions • – • Is a source of a competitive advantage for many successful firms Every research project is different – It often takes many research projects over many years to really understand a phenomenon Ongoing “PharmFirm” Case Study • Will be used as an example for many of the concepts we discuss • Large-scale, multi-study research project for a major pharma company in the Philadelphia area • Key research questions focused on “fair balance” of a online medical resource targeted at physicians – Proactive study in anticipation of pushback from FDA Stages in the Research Process (Researchers Perspective) Formulate Problem Determine Research Design Design Data Collection Method and Forms Design Sample and Collect Data Analyze and Interpret the Data Prepare the Research Report Problem Formulation • Differentiate between a decision problem and a research problem • Try to get beyond an “info request” Decision Problems Research Problems Develop package for a new product Evaluate alternative package designs Increase store traffic Measure current image of the store Increase market penetration through the opening of new stores Evaluate prospective locations Decide which merchandise will be available for purchase over the Internet Determine consumers’ confidence in purchasing different categories of products unseen Research Process: Problem Formulation • Perhaps the most important step in the research process analysis • A well-defined study begins with a clearly defined objective “The formulation of a problem is often more essential than its solution” - Albert Einstein • The problem is rarely clear-cut • Slight variations in research questions can lead to substantial changes in the research process (so be careful) – Drives decisions related to research design, measurement, sampling, etc. Problem Formulation • Differentiate between a decision problem and a research problem • Try to get beyond an “info request” Decision Problems Research Problems Develop package for a new product Evaluate alternative package designs Increase store traffic Measure current image of the store Increase market penetration through the opening of new stores Evaluate prospective locations Decide which merchandise will be available for purchase over the Internet Determine consumers’ confidence in purchasing different categories of products unseen Research Process: Problem Formulation Stage in the Process Typical Questions Formulate problem • What is the purpose of the study (i.e., to solve a problem? Identify an opportunity?) • Is additional background information necessary? • What are specific research questions and what information is needed to make the decision? • How will the information be utilized? • Has a decision already been made? • Should research be conducted? Research Process: Problem Formulation PharmFirm • Longest stage in the process – ~4 months – Talked with LOTS of people • Over-arching problem – Need evidence that a medical information website is ‘fairly balanced’ • Unclear what fair balance means in an computer mediated environment • Anticipated issues from FDA Research Process: Problem Formulation PharmFirm • Overarching Research Objective – provide an empirical test of perceived benefit and risk information (i.e., fair balance) presented on the medical information website Research Process: Problem Formulation PharmFirm • More specific study objectives – Phase I: Develop a metric for the construct of fair balance – Phase II: Test the perceived fair balance of the website • Different versions • Versus print marketing materials – Phase III: Test the perceived fair balance of the website versus other websites Research Process: Problem Formulation PharmFirm • 4 separate studies, each with its own very specific objectives • Expected Decisions – Positive results = move forward confidently – Negative or mixed results = adapt website Research Process: Determine Research Design • Dictated by the problem or research question • Exploratory Research • Descriptive Research • Causal Research Research Process: Determine Research Design Stage in the Process Typical Questions Determine research design • How much is already known? • Can a hypothesis be formulated? • What types of questions need to be answered? • What type of study will best address the research questions? Research Process: Determine Research Design • PharmFirm research questions call for…. 1. Some pretesting to develop and refine the metric 2. Experiments 1. 2. 3. To test versions of the website with different presentations of risk information To test the website versus print marketing materials (a context where fair balance is welldefined) To test the website versus other existing online resources that are deemed “fairly balanced” Research Process: Design Data Collection & Forms • Secondary research – not necessary • Survey Research – Lots of ways to collect data • Measurement – Constructs / Variables Research Process: Design Data Collection & Forms Stage in the Process Typical Questions Determine data collection method and forms Can existing data be used to advantage? What is to be measured? How? What is the source of the data? Can objective answers be obtained by asking people? How should people be questioned? Should the questionnaires be administered in person, over the phone, or through the mail? Should electronic or mechanical means be used to make the observations? Should structure or unstructured items be used to collect the data? Should the purpose of the study be made known to the respondents? Should rating scales be used in the questionnaire? Research Process: Design Data Collection & Forms • PharmFirm data collection requires…. 1. Scale development and testing 1. 2. Define construct Develop valid and reliable measures 2. Stimuli development 1. Website mock-ups 3. Measurement instrument (i.e., survey) 1. 2. 3. 4. Manipulation checks Dependent variables Individual difference variables Demographic/categorical information Research Process: Design Sample and Collect Data • Determine your “target market” • Determine necessary sample size – Dictated by study design • • • • Sampling Methodology Logistics Cost Ethics Research Process: Design Sample and Collect Data Stage in the Process Typical Questions Design sample and collect the data • Who is the target population? • Is a list of population elements available? • Is a sample necessary? • Is a probability sample desirable? • How large should the sample be? • How should the sample be selected? • Who will gather the data? • How much supervision is needed? • What operational procedures will be followed? • What methods will be used to ensure the quality of the data collected? Research Process: Design Sample and Collect Data • PharmFirm sample call for…. 1. ~1000 physicians from three specialty groups • Outsource!! 2. Data collected online • • Sample is too geographically dispersed and time sensitive to collect data in person Qualtrics research software Research Process: Analyze and Interpret the Data • Edit / clean / code the data • Analyze • Interpret Research Process: Analyze and Interpret the Data Stage in the Process Typical Questions Analyze and interpret the data • Who will handle the editing of the data? • How will the data be coded? • Who will supervise the coding and keypunching? • What tabulations / statistical tests / analysis techniques will be used? Research Process: Analyze and Interpret the Data • PharmFirm analysis calls for…. 1. Factor analysis to develop metric • Dictated by study design 2. Multivariate Analysis of Covariance (MANCOVA) to analyze experimental data • Dictated by study design Research Process: Prepare Research Report • Know your audience • Sell your findings Research Process: Prepare Research Report Stage in the Process Typical Questions Prepare the research report • Who will read the report? • What is their technical level of sophistication? • Are managerial recommendations called for? • What will be the format of the written report? • Is an oral report necessary? • How should the oral report be structured? Research Process: Prepare Research Report • PharmFirm report out calls for…. 1. Four separate presentations to the client 2. Final comprehensive report outlining purpose, research questions, design, sample, results, etc. 3. Compilation of data in easy-to-use format • • Measurement definitions Coding schemes Form Groups and… Contrast the process we have just talked about with that of Andreasen Problem Formulation (as discussed in Andreasen) • “Actionable marketing research” – Identify the intended action FIRST; avoid “these are the things that would be nice to know” • Exceptions: basic, exploratory research that lays the groundwork for future investigation and methodological research – Close and consistent collaboration between researcher and client (decision maker) Problem Formulation (as discussed in Andreasen) “Backward Approach” 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. How will the research results be implemented? (i.e., what action will be taken) Determine what information will make up the final report Specify analyses that will need to be done to “fill in the blanks” in the report Determine what kind (format) of data is needed to run the particular analyses (simple as possible) Does this data already exist? If primary data is needed, design sampling strategy and instruments Collect data Fill in the blanks from above Problem Formulation (as discussed in Andreasen) • Try to avoid “interesting” or “nice to know” questions at all costs • Lay out the action alternatives on the front end • What key information in the final report will be used to make decisions one way or another? • Present the client with hypothetical scenarios to ensure that the information is actionable – This often leads to more questions that the client hadn’t thought of previously – It also helps the client: • • • • commit to the research deepen their understanding of the nature of the research minimize surprises recognize limitations Andreasan (1985) Take-Aways • This “backward” process helps us avoid research that does not lead to action (or directly benefit decision making) • The emphasis on close collaboration with the client helps to ensure maximum usefulness and minimum surprises TEAM ASSIGNMENT #1 • Discuss some issues that you deal with at your workplace that can be answered with primary research 1. Discuss the issue broadly (i.e., provide some context) 2. Develop several clear, concise research questions 3. Develop hypotheses (and null hypotheses) 4. Discuss the decisions that would be made depending on the different outcomes of the research Hints…. • Try to acutely identify the problem at hand (and avoid “nice to know” questions) – What information is necessary in order to make a decision? • Determine what course(s) of action will result from your findings – If we find A, what will you do? – What about if we find B? – Make all alternative courses of action explicit