Vertical Restraints Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 1 Introduction • Many contractual arrangements between manufacturers – Some restrict rights of retailer • Can’t carry alternative brands • Expected to provide services or to deliver product in a specific amount of time – Some restrict rights of manufacturer • Can’t supply other dealers • Must buy back unsold goods – Some involve restrictions/guidelines on pricing Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 2 Resale Price Maintenance • Resale Price Maintenance is the most important type of vertical price restriction. Under RPM agreement – Retailer agrees to sell at manufactured specified price – RPM agreements have a long and checkered history • In US, Dr. Miles case of 1911established per se illegality for any and all such agreements • However, Colgate case of 1919 allowed some “wiggle room” • Miller-Tydings (1937) and McGuire (1952) Acts even more supportive in allowing states to enforce RPM contracts – Repeal of Miller-Tydings and McGuire Acts reverted legal status back to (mostly) per se illegal – State Oil v. Khan decision in 1997 allowed rule of reason in RPM agreements setting maximum price – Leegin case applies rule of reason to minimum price Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 3 RPM Agreements & Double Marginalization • Recall the Double Marginalization Problem – Downstream Demand is P = A – BQ and Retailer has no cost other than wholesale purchase price • Downstream Marginal Revenue = MRD = A – 2BQ • MRD =Upstream Demand • Upstream Marginal Revenue = MRU = A – 4BQ – With Manufacturer’s marginal cost c, profitmaximizing output and upstream price are: A c Q 4B – Downstream price is: and P D P U A c A r 3 A c 2B Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 2 4 4 RPM & Double Marginalization 2 • With a vertical chain of a monopoly manufacturer and a monopoly retailer, the downstream price is far too high – There is a pricing externality • The manufacturer profit is the wholesale price r – cost c times the volume of output Q [= (r – c)Q] • Once r is set, manufacturer’s profit rises with Q • In setting a markup over the wholesale price, the retailer limits Q and cuts into manufacturer profit • But retailer ignores this external effect – Retail (and wholesale) price maximizing joint profit A c P * r < Independent retailer’s price 2 Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 5 RPM & Double Marginalization 3 • An RPM restriction that prohibits the retailer from selling at any price higher than P* would permit the manufacturer to achieve the maximum profit – There is though an alternative to the RPM, namely a Two-Part Tariff of the type discussed in Chapter 5 • Set wholesale price at marginal cost c • Retailer will then choose PD = P* = (A + c)/2 and earn profit = (A – c)2/4B • Charge franchise fee of T = (A – c)2/4B Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 6 RPM & Price Discrimination • An RPM to prevent double marginalization suggests problem is that the retail price is too high • Historical record suggests that perceived problem is often that retail price is too low – Need to find reason(s) for RPM agreements aimed at keeping retail prices high – Retail Price Discrimination may present case where RPM specifying minimum price can help manufacturer Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 7 RPM & Price Discrimination (cont.) • Suppose retailer operates in two markets – One has less elastic demand (monopolized) – One has elastic demand (due to potential entrant)—retail price P cannot rise above wholesale price r • Manufacturer must use same contract for each – Maximum profit in each market = (A – c)2/4B achieved at P* = (A + c)/2 – No single price or single two-part tariff can maximize profit from both markets – Unless r = (A + c)/2 in elastic demand market, P* cannot be achieved since in that market P = r – But there is only one contract, so this implies r = (A + c)/2 in inelastic (monopolized) market and so to double marginalization • Solution: write common contract that sets r = c, and imposes RPM minimum price of P=(A+c)/2 Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 8 RPM and Retail Services • So far the retailer has been a totally passive intermediary between manufacturer and consumer • Retailers actually provide additional services: marketing, customer assistance, information, repairs. – These services increase sales – This benefits manufacturers • But offering these services is costly, and also – both services and costs are hard for manufacturer to measure – Retailers interested in her profit not manufacturer’s • How does the manufacturer provide incentives for retailer to offer services? Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 9 RPM and Retail Services 2 • Think of retail services s and shifting out demand curve similar to the way that quality increases shifted out the demand curve in Chapter 6 Demand with $/unit Demand with retail services retail services s=1 s=2 Quantity • But cost of providing retail services (s) rises as more services are provided $/unit (s) Service Level s Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 10 RPM and Retail Services 3 • As a benchmark, see what happens if manufacturing and retailing are integrated in one firm – suppose that consumer demand is Q = 100s(500 - P) – Note how s shifts out demand – assume that marginal costs are cm for manufacturing and for the cr for retailing – the cost of providing retail services is an increasing function of the level of services, (s) – the integrated firm’s profit I is: – I = [P-cm-cr-(s)]100s(500 - P) Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 11 RPM and Retail Services 4 • The integrated firm has two choices to make: – What price P to charge (what Q to produce); and – The level of retail services s to provide • To maximize profit, take derivatives of integrated Cancel the firm’s profit function both with respect to Q and100s with terms respect to s and set each equal to zero I/P = 100s(500 - P) - 100s(P - cm - cr - (s)) = 0 500 - 2P + cm + cr + (s) = 0 P* = (500 + cm + cr + (s))/2 Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 12 Cancel the RPM and Retail Services 5 100(500 - P) terms • Now take the derivative with respect to services s and set it equal to I/s = 100s(500 - P)(P - cm - cr - (s)) - 100s(500 - P)’(s) = 0 • Solving we obtain: (P - cm - cr - (s)) = s’(s) • Substituting the price equation into the service equation then yields: (500 - cm - cr)/2 = (s)/2 + s’(s) • The s that satisfies the above equation gives the efficient (profit-maximizing) level of services Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 13 The left hand side is RPM decreasing in cm and cr and Retail Services 6 right hand • We can use this equation to show howThe changes in theside is production and retailing marginal cost (cincreasing and cisr) an affect in s Suppose now that mthere Let cm and cthe initial level of services r beoptimal increase in marginal costs, marginal costs apart from services, at either (500 - cm - cr)/2 =the (s)/2 + s’(s) manufacturing or retail level The rise$/unit in cost leads (s)/2 + s’(s) to a fall in the (500-cm-c optimal choice of s r)/2 from s* to s** Let c’m and c’r be new marginal costs (500-c’m-c’r )/2 s** s* Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints Service Level s 14 RPM and Retail Services 7 • For example let cm = $20, cr = $30 and (s) = 90s2 Then (500 - cm - cr)/2 = (s)/2 + s(s) implies 225 = 45s2 + s180s ; OR 225 = 225s2 s = 1 • Then, solving for P we obtain: (P - cm - cr - (s)) = 180s2 = 180 P= $320 • Implying an output level of: Q = 100s(500 - P) = 18,000 • The integrated firm earns profit I = $3.24 million. • It chooses the socially efficient level of retail services but sets price above marginal cost. This is our benchmark case. Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 15 RPM and Retail Services 8 • Now let manufacturer sell to monopoly dealer • If we assume two-part pricing is not possible, then the only the way that the manufacturer can earn profit Cancel is by charging a 100s terms wholesale price r above cost cm – The profit of the retailer is now: R = (P- r - cr - (s))100s(500 - P) = (P- r - 30- 90s2 )100s(500 - P) Cancel the – Retailer sets P and s to maximize retail profit 100(500 - P) R/P = 100s(500 - P) - 100s(P - r - 30 – 90s2) = 0 terms – P = (530 + r + 90s2)/2 R/s = 100(500 - P)(P - r - 30 – 90s2) - 100s(500 - P)180s = 0 – P – r – 30 = 270s2 Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 16 RPM and Retail Services 9 • Put the two profit-maximizing conditions together (500 – r – cr)/2 = (s)/2 + s’(s) OR 225s2 = 235 – r/2 – It is clear that unless r = cm = 20, s will be less than 1, i.e., less than the optimal level of services – Yet absent an alternative pricing arrangement, the manufacturer only earns a positive profit if r > 20. – From the retailer’s perspective, a value of r > 20 is equivalent to a rise in cm and as we saw previously, this reduces the retailer’s optimal service level Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 17 RPM and Retail Services 10 • Two contracts that might solve the problem are: – A royalty contract written on the retailer’s profit; – A two-part tariff • Under a profit-royalty contract, the manufacturer sells at cost cm to the retailer but claims a percentage x of the retailer’s profit – This works because there is no difference between maximizing total retail profit or maximizing (1 – x) of total retail profit – Given that the wholesale cost is cm, the profit-maximizing condition: 235 = 225s2 + r/2 leads to s = 1, the efficient level of services Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 18 RPM and Retail Services 11 • Similarly, a two-part tariff could solve the problem: – Again, sell at wholesale price cm = $20; – As before, this leads to the efficient level of services, namely, s = 1. – Now manufacturer can claim downstream profit (or some part of it) by use of an upfront franchise fee • However, both royalty and two-part tariff requires that manufacturer know the retailer’s true profit level. This can be difficult if retailer has inside information on the nature of: – Retailing cost, cr – Retail consumer demand Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 19 RPM and Retail Services 12 • Can an RPM solve the problem? – It has the advantage that it is easily monitored – It also addresses the double-marginalization problem – However, it cannot solve the service problem in the present context • Without a royalty or up-front franchise fee, manufacturer can only earn profit if r > cm. • As we have seen, this in itself leads to a service reduction • Imposing a maximum price via an RPM agreement intensifies this fall in service because it reduces the retailer’s margin, P – r, and it is that margin that funds the provision of services Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 20 RPM and Retail Services 13 • However, use of an RPM becomes considerably more attractive if retail sector is competitive – large number of identical retailers – each buys from the manufacturer at r and incurs service costs per unit of (s) plus marginal costs cr – competition in retailing drives retail price to PC = r + cr + (s) – competition also drives retailers to provide the level of services most desired by consumers subject to retailers breaking even – so each retailer sets price at marginal cost – chooses the service level to maximize consumer surplus Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 21 RPM and Retail Services 14 • With competition there is no retail markup and no retail profit – P = r + cr + (s) – Profit royalty and two-part tariff will not work because there is no profit to share or take up front – Given wholesale price r, retailers compete by offering level of services s that maximizes consumer surplus • Recall: Demand is: Q = 100s(500 - P) • P = r + cr + (s) • Consumer Surplus is therefore: CS = (500 – P)xQ/2 = 50s(500 – P)2 CS = 50s[500 – r – cr – (s)]2 Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 22 RPM and Retail Services 15 • By way of a diagram, we have: Triangle = Consumer Surplus. Given r, cr, and (s), competitive retailers will compete by offering services that maximize this triangle $/unit 500 P=r+cr+(s) Q 50s Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints Quantity (000’s) 23 RPM and Retail Services 16 Cancel the common term • We can determine the competitive service50(500 outcome - rfor - crany - (s)) value of r by maximizing CS = 50s[500 – r – cr – (s)]2 with respect to s . This yields CS/s = 50(500-r-cr-(s))2 -100s(500-r-cr-(s))(s) = 0 • So: 500 - r - cr - (s) = 2s(s) (500 - r - cr)/2 = (s)/2 + s(s) • This equation gives the competitive level of retail services when the manufacturer simply chooses r and lets retailers choose P and s Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 24 RPM and Retail Services 17 • Recall: the integrated firm wants to set a price=P* = $320. RPM lets manufacturer impose this price on retailers. • With retail price = P* = $320, competitive retailers offer services until they just break even, i.e., until: (s) = P* – cr – r = 90s2 = 320 – 30 – r • By choosing, r = $200, the competitive service level satisfies: • 90s2 = 90 s = 1 with P = $320 • This is the optimal service level and price. The RPM has led to duplication of the integrated outcome Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 25 RPM and Retail Services 18 • Consideration of customer services with competitive retailing also gives another reason that RPM agreements may be useful—the free-riding problem. • Many services are informational – Features of high-tech equipment – Quality, e.g., wine • Providing these services are costly – – – – • But no obligation of consumer to buy from retailer Discount stores can free-ride on retailer’s services Retailers cut back on services Manufacturers and consumers lose out RPM agreements prevent free-riding discounters Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 26 RPM and Variable Demand • RPM agreements may also be helpful in dealing with variable retail demand • Retailer facing uncertain demand has to balance – how to meet demand if demand is strong – how to avoid unwanted inventory if demand is weak • monopoly retailer acts differently from competitive – monopolist throws away inventory when demand is weak to avoid excessive price fall – competitive retailer will sell it because he believes that he is small enough not to affect the price • Intense retail competition if demand is weak – reduces the profit of the manufacturer – makes firms reluctant to hold inventory Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 27 RPM and Variable Demand 2 • Suppose that demand is high, DH with probability 1/2 • And that demand is low, DL with probability 1/2 Price – Marginal costs are assumed constant at c – Integrated firm has to choose in each period stage 1: how much to produce stage 2: demand known- how much to sell since costs are sunk: maximize revenue DL c DH MC Quantity Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 28 RPM and Variable Demand 3 An integrated firm will not produce more than QUpper Price And will not produce less than QLower the integrated firm will produce Q* DH How is Q* MC = MR with determined MC = MR with DL low demand high demand c MC MRL QLower MRH Q* QUpper Quantity Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 29 RPM and Variable Demand 4 If demand is high the firm sells Q* at price PMax: MR = MR*H Price Revenue with low demand Revenue with DHhigh demand PMax PMin DL Expected marginal revenue is: MR*H/2 + 0 = MR*H/2 Q* is such that expected MR = MC . So, MR*H/2 = c Expected MR*H c MRL Q*L If demand is low selling Q* is excessive the firm maximizes revenue by selling Q*L at price PMin: MR = 0 Q* MRH MC profit is I = PMaxQ*/2 + PMinQ*L/2 - cQ* Quantity Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 30 RPM and Variable Demand 5 Will competitive retailers stock the optimal amount Q*? What will happen if they do? If demand is high the retail firms sell Q* at price PMax: MR = MR*H Suppose that retailing is competitive Price Revenue with high demand DH PMax If demand is low each firm will sell more so long as price is positive So, if demand is low competitive retailers keep selling until they sell the total quantity QL at which price is zero DL MC c MRL QL Q* MRH Revenue is therefore zero in low demand periods if competitive firms stock Q* Quantity Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 31 RPM and variable demand 6 • If competitive retailers stock Q*, their expected net revenue is thus: PMaxQ*/2 + 0 = PMaxQ*/2 • Competitive firms just break even. So, manufacturer can only charge a wholesale price PW such that: PWQ* = PMaxQ*/2 which gives PW = PMax/2 • The manufacturer’s profit is then: M = (PMax/2 - c)Q* • This is well below the integrated profit. Competitive retailers sell too much in low demand periods • An RPM agreement can fix this. How? Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 32 RPM and Variable Demand 7 Price Recall: The integrated firm never sells at a price below PMin So, set a minimum RPM of PMin In high demand periods Q* is sold at price PMax In low demand periods the RPM agreement ensures that only Q*L is sold Expected revenue to the retailers is PMaxQ*/2 + PMinQ*L/2 DH PMax PMin DL MR*H c MC MRL Q*L Q* MRH Quantity Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 33 RPM and Variable Demand 8 • With RPM, expected net revenues of retailers is PMaxQ*/2 + PMinQ*L/2 • Manufacturer can now charge wholesale price PW such that: PWQ* = PMaxQ*/2 + PMinQ*L/2 • which gives PW = PMax/2 + PMinQ*L/2Q* • The manufacturer’s profit is M = PMaxQ*/2 + PMinQ*L/2 - cQ* • This is the same as the integrated profit – The RPM agreement has given the integrated outcome – Consumers can gain too because retailers now stock products with variable demand that would otherwise not be stocked. Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 34 Nonprice Vertical Restraints • Vertical Price Restraints are not the only kinds of vertical restrictions • Other common vertical restrictions include – Exclusive Dealing: Manufacturer restricts retailer’s ability to buy and sell brands that compete with the manufacturer’s brand, e.g., Coca-Cola may restrain restaurants or other vendors from selling Pepsi products (Interbrand competition) – Exclusive Selling: Retailer restricts manufacturer from supplying other dealers, e.g., Lexus dealer obtains promise from Toyota not to authorize other Lexus dealers to sell in nearby locations (Intrabrand competition) Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 35 Exclusive Dealing • Exclusive Dealing as a way to deal with Free-Riding • Advertising and promotion by a manufacturer spills over to raise demand for similar products – Example: advertising Tylenol may raise demand not just for Tylenol but also for non-aspirin pain relievers in general – Pharmacist may respond to inquiries about pain relievers by substituting lower-cost non-aspirin pain reliever • Substitute costs less because it did not pay for advertising • Substitute manufacturer free-rides on the advertising of Tylenol • No manufacturer advertising and so no information provision could be the result—This is inefficient. • Exclusive dealing may solve this problem. • No spillovers if dealer sells no substitute products Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 36 Exclusive Dealing 2 • But exclusive dealing can compound monopoly problem • Assume two manufacturers and two retailers – Retailers (1 and 2) are spatially separated by distance M along a line – Consumers are spatially located around a circle at each retail location of radius r – Manufacturer’s (A and B) products located on circle at Given retail locations — A B Retailer 1 A M B Retailer 2 – Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 37 Exclusive Dealing 3 • With No Exclusive Dealing, A and B compete at each location A A B Retailer 1 M B Retailer 2 – Substitutes never more than 2r apart – Interbrand Price competition is tough – Retailer 1’s price for B also constrained by availability of A at Retailer 2 M units away Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 38 Exclusive Dealing 4 • Exclusive Dealing, A and B at separate locations A B M Retailer 1 Retailer 2 – Interbrand competition greatly reduced – Retailer 1’s price for A less constrained by availability of B at Retailer 2 because this is now – just M+ 4r units away – Both manufacturers and retailers can gain at expense of consumers Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 39 Exclusive Selling and Territories • Again, there is a free-riding issue – Service and Promotion may benefit other Sellers, especially nearby ones – Each dealer may try to “free ride” on service and promotion of other retailers with result that no services are provided • There is also a price externality – Price cuts by one dealer cut into profits of other dealers – Each dealer considers only the effect on her own profit Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 40 Exclusive Selling and Territories 2 • Exclusive Selling/Territories may solve these problems – With other dealers far away, each dealer can get the full benefits of her selling and promotional services – No free riding • Intrabrand price competition lowers double marginalization problem. Why should manufacturer’s want to reduce such competition? – Intrabrand price competition can intensify interbrand competition – (Assume no two-part tariffs)Retailers can only pay high wholesale price if they can pass it on at retail level – This requires some monopoly power on part of retailers – Movements in wholesale price now only partly reflected in retail price Wholesale price competition less intense Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 41 • The Kodak case Aftermarkets – Kodak makes micrographic equipment for creating and viewing microfilm as well as office copiers. This is the Foremarket. – Kodak also has a network of technicians who maintain these machines pursuant to separate service and repair contracts – Other, independent service and repair companies compete with Kodak but both independent and Kodak service people rely on Kodak parts – The service and repair market is the Aftermarket. – After losing a big service contract to an independent Kodak initiated a new policy of refusing to supply parts to any independent service company, i.e. foreclosing them – Independents sued, but Kodak’s defense was that it could not leverage its power in the foremarket into power in the aftermarket because rational consumes would look ahead and if they foresaw a higher price in the aftermarket would reduce their willingness to pay in the foremarket Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 42 Aftermarkets 2 • The Kodak case (continued) – Kodak ultimately lost the case. – But the issue of using vertical restrictions and there ability of a firm to leverage foremarket power into the aftermarket remains • The logic of Kodak’s defense is clear. Forwardlooking consumers will incorporate the cost of expected repairs into their willingness to pay for a new machine. But this is not quite the same as saying price will equal marginal cost. – As Borenstein, Mackie-Mason, and Netz (2000) showed, there can be a “lock-in” effect that shields the firm from aftermarket competition – This lock-in gives rise to a potential for supracompetitive pricing Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 43 Aftermarkets 3 • Lock-in and aftermarket power – – – – – Two producers of machines Marginal Cost of making and repairing a machine = 0 Machine runs at most two periods Consumers value machine services at $50 per period Machine is • 100% reliable in 1st period • 50% breakdown chance in 2nd period • After 1 period of use, consumers are locked in to the technology of whatever brand they bought • If there is a breakdown in period 2, it is not worth buying a new machine • However, repair worthwhile if done at marginal cost – Expected value of a new machine at start of period 1 (before purchase) is $50 + 0.5($50) = $75 Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 44 Aftermarkets 4 • Repair would sell at marginal cost if repair was competitive • But aftermarket foreclosure prevents this – If a firm prevents any rival from repairing its machine, say by foreclosing parts supply then price of repairs can rise to (just under) $50, – For cohort of new customers who have not bought a machine, the machine is still valued at $75 – For those with a broken machine, paying the repair bill of $50 is now worthwhile even though it would not have been worth it ex ante – Of course, $50 is well above marginal cost • Such effects can also arise if some (not necessarily all) consumers are myopic Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 45 Public Policy • In the main, public policy toward nonprice vertical restrictions has been dominated by a rule of reason approach • In both Europe and North America, however, policy since the 1990’s has applied the rule of reason with a strong presumption that the restraint is justified • The basic argument is that since the restraint is a voluntary contract between an upstream and downstream firm, it must at least benefit these two parties and may benefit consumers, as well. • However, policy-makers are not yet ready for a per se legal approach Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 46 Franchising and Divisionalization • Why Are There So Many Franchisees? Why do Firms Operate Many Different Divisions? –Recall the Merger Paradox: With Cournot or quantity , the merger of two firms makes those firms worse off and remaining firms better off Why? Because the two merged firms act as one. If there were originally 6 firms and two merge, these two firms are now one of five whereas they were two of six. That is, the merged firms now constitute just one-fifth of the independent decision making units instead of one-third. Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 47 Franchising and Divisionalization 2 • This may be the logic behind franchising and divisionalization – By operating many independent divisions or franchises, firms may avoid the logic of the merger paradox • But with each firm doing this, the industry becomes populated with many divisions and franchises • Perhaps more than is consistent with either joint profit maximization or efficiency Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 48 Franchising and Divisionalization 3 • Assume demand P = A – BQ and Cournot competition – Firm j has divisions denoted by i, i = 1,2 – Profit of ith division of jth firm given by: ij qij , Qij [ A BQij qij ]qij cqij – qij is output of ith division of jth firm; Q-ij is output of all other divisions of all industry firms; and c is marginal cost – Equating marginal revenue and marginal cost yields: A BQij 2 Bq*ij c Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 49 Franchising and Divisionalization 4 • Let n1 and n2 be the number of divisions at firms 1 and 2, respectively. Since all divisions are alike the , the optimal output of any division is: Ac * q ij n1 n 2 1B • Solving for industry output Q and price P, we have: A n1 n 2 c n1 n2 A c Q and P n1 n 2 1 n1 n2 1 B Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 50 Franchising and Divisionalization 5 • Given its optimal output, qij*, each division at each firm will earn profit ij A c 2 Bn1 n2 1 • Firm 1’s total profit is: n1i,1 – Kn1 where K is the sunk cost of setting up each division. So 2 A c 1 n1 , n2 n1 K1 2 Bn1 n2 1 2 Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 51 Franchising and Divisionalization 6 • Maximizing firm 1’s profit with respect to n1 and recognizing that by symmetry, each firm must have the same optimal number of divisions then yields: A c 2 2n1* 1 K 2 * * n n 1 * * n1 n2 1 1 2 • Solving for the optimal number of divisions at 1 any firm we have 2 1 A c n* 2 K Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 3 1 52 Franchising and Divisionalization 7 • The implication is that the greater the potential for monopoly profit (A – c), the greater the incentive for firms to create more divisions. But – More independent divisions brings the industry profit down – Firms engaged in a prisoner’s dilemma gain in which each adds divisions to the detriment of joint industry profit – Depending on the nature of the sunk cost of creating a division, it is even possible that the total surplus may be reduced by excess divisionalization Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 53 Empirical Application: Exclusive Dealing in the Beer Industry • US beer market has three tiers – Brewers (Anheuser-Busch, Miller, Molson-Coors) sell to – Distributors who sell to – Retailers • It is common for brewers to adopt exclusive contracts and exclusive territories with distributors • Reasons for exclusive contracts – Foreclosure of rivals. If this is the motivation, exclusive contracts will become less likely as market grows because there will be room for lots of distributors and tying up one or a few will not keep out rivals – Protect advertising investment against free-riding. If this is the motivation, exclusive contract will become more likely as the national advertising level rises Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 54 Empirical Application: Exclusive Dealing in the Beer Industry 2 • Sass (2005) analyzes 381 beer distribution contracts 69 of which have an exclusive dealing arrangement • Uses probit estimation to determine how probability of an exclusive contract rises as a function of: – Market size as measured by: • Regional population, POP • Market share of distributor’s largest supplying brewery, MSD – Advertising as measured by • National Advertising of distributor’s main supplier, ADS • Presence of a ban on billboard advertising in the state, BAN – Years distributor has been owned by one family, YRS, which may indicate how experienced distributor is. Highly experienced distributors may not want to be restricted by an exclusive contract Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 55 Empirical Application: Exclusive Dealing in the Beer Industry 3 • Sass (2005) analyzes 381 beer distribution contracts 69 of which have an exclusive dealing arrangement. The results of his Probit estimation are shown below Explanatory Variable POP Estimated Coefficient 0.0001 t-statistic (1.87) MSD ADS BAN 0.0079 -0.0017 -0.0002 (2.79) (-2.10) (-0.38) YRS -0.0095 (-2.12) Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 56 Empirical Application: Exclusive Dealing in the Beer Industry 4 • Interpretation of Sass (2005) results – Foreclosure not a likely motivation for exclusive beer contracts because these become more likely as market size grow – Protection of advertising against free-riding seems to be a more compelling explanation for exclusive contracts. • Such contracts more likely as advertising expense rises; and • Such contracts less likely if billboard advertising is banned – Experienced distributors with lots of specialized information about the local market like to be free to use that information as they see best and so such distributors are less likely to sign an exclusive contract Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 57 Empirical Application: Exclusive Dealing in the Beer Industry 5 • Sass (2005) then examines the effect of the exclusive contracts. He finds that – Exclusive contracts raise the wholesale price by about six percent and the retail price by about three percent – Despite these price increases, exclusive contracts also raise total sales volume for both the brewer’s own brand and its rivals by about 30 percent. • This again suggests that the exclusive contracts are being used to enhance the effectiveness of advertising. In so doing, they raise demand and thereby raise both price and output. • Profit to brewers, wholesalers, and retailers rises. Given sales increase, consumer surplus likely rises, too. Chapter 13: Vertical Restraints 58