ERCOT 2009 Five-Year Transmission Plan Update Jeff Billo RPG Meeting August 14, 2009 2009 Five-Year Transmission Plan: Where we’ve been 2009 5YTP Scope and Process VSAT 2009 Voltage Stability Study Stability Interface Limits Remove Projects SSWG 09DSB Cases – December TPIT Update SSWG Contingencies Generation Cost Data Conditioned cases Peak Load Topology Generation Posted on website UPLAN start case ERCOT Load Profile 2014 Case Posted on website Reliability Analysis August 14, 2009 2 RPG Meeting 2009 Five-Year Transmission Plan: Where we’re at 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 Conditioned Case N-X Analysis G-1 + N-X Analysis TO/ MP Input Project Backout Reliability AC Case Economic Analysis AC Case with All Upgrades = Complete August 14, 2009 = In Process 3 = Not Started RPG Meeting 2009 Five-Year Transmission Plan 2014 Reliability Projects “Preliminary” Final List August 14, 2009 4 RPG Meeting Galveston/ South Houston area projects August 14, 2009 5 RPG Meeting Galveston/ South Houston area projects Upgrade the PH Robinson - Alta Loma (42015-42061) 138 kV line so that the circuit Rate A and B are 292 and 368 MVA; respectively. Centerpoint Upgrade Webster - Capedum - Tikki (4335-42862-43500) 138 kV line inorder to achieve ratings of 220,280 and 280 MW for Rate A,B and C;respectively; and Upgrade the Galveston - Tikki Island (42670-43355) 138 kV line so that the circuit Rate A and B are 220 and 280 MVA; respectively. Centerpoint Upgrade the La Marque - C'Webster (42861-43507) 138 kV line so that the circuit Rates A and B are 220 and 280 MVA; respectively; and Upgrade the La Marque - Stewart (42861-43290) 138 kV line so that the circuit Rate A and B are 220 and 280 MVA; respectively. Centerpoint Upgrade the Hitchcock - West Galveston (42800-43400) 138 kV line so that the circuit Rate A and B are 220 and 280 MVA; respectively. Centerpoint Upgrade the Terminal Equipment for Texas City Water - Heights (39280-38770) 69 kV line so that the circuit Rate B is 92 MVA; and Upgrade the Terminal Equipment for Texas City Water - Intercity (39280-39310) 69 kV line so that the circuti Rate B is 92 MVA. TNMP Upgrade the Terminal Equipment for Intercity - Lamrque (39310-39340) 69 kV line so that the circuit Rate B is 75 MVA. TNMP Upgrade the Hastings - Alvin tie Station (39010-39015) 138 kV line to 326 MVA. TNMP August 14, 2009 6 RPG Meeting Central-East area projects August 14, 2009 7 RPG Meeting Central-East area projects Upgrade the Dialville (3161-3160) 69/138 kV auto-transformer so that Rate B is 88 MVA. Oncor Add a new 45 MVA (69/138 kV) auto at Bellville South (7269-7270). LCRA Upgrade the 138/69 kV auto-transformer at Hilltop Lakes (47-48) to 100 MVA BEPC (a) Upgrade the Terminal Equipment for Elkton - Tyler Bullard (3106-3219) 138 kV line such that the circuit Rate B is 334 MVA; and (b) Upgrade the Terminal Equipment for Tyler Bullard - Tyler (3219-3220) 138 kV line such that the circuit Rate B is 334 MVA. Oncor August 14, 2009 8 RPG Meeting South Texas area projects August 14, 2009 9 RPG Meeting South Texas area projects Upgrade the Terminal Equipment for Robstown -CityofRobstown (8884-8885) 69kV line so that the circuit Rate B is 173 MVA; and Upgrade the Calallen Substation - Lon Hill (5626-8448) and Robstown - Lon Hill (8884-8448) 69 kV lines to 225/244/244 MVA.. August 14, 2009 10 AEP/TCC RPG Meeting Central-South area projects August 14, 2009 11 RPG Meeting Central-South area projects Upgrade Terminal Equipment for Gillespie to Live Oak (7130-7412), 69kV LCRA Add a second 69/138 kV auto at Bandera station(7438-7439) LCRA Upgrade the Luling City - Lockhart - San Marcos 69 kV line to 138 kV service LCRA Upgrade the Live Oak - Fredericksburg (7413-7415) 69 kV line to 109 MVA. LCRA Add a second 45 MVA ( 69/138 kV) auto at Gillespie (7130-7132). LCRA Upgrade the 69/138 kV auto-transformer at Fredericksburg (7149-7415) to 117 MVA. LCRA August 14, 2009 12 RPG Meeting Greater North Austin area projects August 14, 2009 13 RPG Meeting Greater North Austin area projects Build a new 717 MVA Mcneil - Hamilton (9079-9202) 138 kV line on existing ROW and open the 138 kV tie line at Hamilton (9202-9203). Move the Summit - Hamilton (9280-9202) 138 kV line to the other Hamilton bus (9203). AEN/LCRA Add a second 138/345 kV (686 MVA) auto-transformer at Hutto (3696-3666). Oncor Upgrade Gilleland Creek - Gilleland (7336-9054) 138 kV bus tie so that Rate A, B and C are 640, 710 and 710 MVA; respectively. LCRA/AEN Upgrade the Whitestone - Buttercup (7529-7531) 138 kV line to 440 MVA. LCRA Upgrade the Round Rock - Chief Brady (3668-7366) 138 kV line to 326 MVA. LCRA/Onc or Upgrade the Lago Vista - Marshall Town (7352-7356) 138 kV line to 440 MVA. LCRA August 14, 2009 14 RPG Meeting Killeen/ Waco area projects August 14, 2009 15 RPG Meeting Killeen/ Waco area projects Upgrade Waco East (3438)-Waco Northeast (3551) from 214/214/214 to 484/484/484 MVA Oncor Add a second auto at Killeen SS (3422-3423);and Upgrade Killeen SS (3423)-Killeen South (3428) and Killeen South (3428)-Killeen Fort Hood Tap (3627) from 214/214/214 to 326/326/326 MVA. Oncor Rebuild Robinson to Robinson northwest to 734 MVA (3567-3568). Oncor August 14, 2009 16 RPG Meeting San Angelo area projects August 14, 2009 17 RPG Meeting San Angelo area projects Close the Saps to Yellowjacket (6479-6483) 138 kV line. AEP/TNC Upgrade the 69/138 kV auto-transformer at San Angelo Concho (6450-6452) to 117 MVA. AEP/TNC August 14, 2009 18 RPG Meeting Midland/ Odessa area projects August 14, 2009 19 RPG Meeting Midland/ Odessa area projects Rebuild Moss to Odessa North(1019-1129, 1129-1130,1130-1122) to 326 MVA, 138 kV Oncor Upgrade CRAN170(1198-6613) tie to Rate A109 MVA, Rate B 109 MVA, 69 kV Oncor Upgrade the Mildland East - Windwood (1023-1116) 138 kV line to 326 MVA. Oncor Upgrade the Ackerly - Ackerly Vealmoor - Ackerly Lyntegar - Sparenburg - Lamesa (1356-1362-1363-1364-1164) 69 kV line to 109 MVA. Oncor Upgrade the Odessa North - North Cowden (1123 - 1259) 69 kV line to 109 MVA. Oncor Upgrade the Holt - Emma Tap (1142-1262) 69 kV line to 109 MVA. Oncor Add a third 345/138 kV (520 MVA) auto-transformer at Odessa (1027-1028). Oncor August 14, 2009 20 RPG Meeting Northwest of DFW area projects August 14, 2009 21 RPG Meeting Northwest of DFW area projects Upgrade Olney - Rice Switch (787-1477) 138 kV line to 326 MVA. BEPC Upgrade the Montague - Johnson Switch - Bowie (633-632-621) 69 kV line to 109 MVA. BEPC August 14, 2009 22 RPG Meeting North DFW area projects August 14, 2009 23 RPG Meeting North DFW area projects Add a second circuit to Austin Ranch #1 (2378) - Colony(2518), Collin #1(2370) - Roman Juarez Bec POI (2688), Austin Ranch#1 (2378) Plano Communication Parkway 2 (2570) - Spring Creek 2 Bec (2664), and Plano Tennyson Parkway (2523) - Spring Creek 2 Bec (2664). Oncor Build second circuits of Jim Christal (916)-West Denton (986), Fort Worth (919)West Denton (986), Teasley (918)-Fort Worth (919), and Jim Christal (916)North Denton (985); and Reconductor Teasley (918)-Pockrus (917) and Pockrus (917)-Denton Steam (982) with 959 ACCS/TW 335 MVA. DNTN/TMP A Upgrade Frisco (681)-Collin #1 (2370) to 326/326/326/MVA; and add a second 345/138 kV auto at Collin SS (2372-2370). Oncor Upgrade Payne (1758)-Epco Rcec POI (12468), Epco Rcec POI (12468)-M&M POI (1767), and Alla-Hubbard GCEC Pod (1757)-M&M POI (1767) to 326/326/326 MVA Oncor Add 2nd 700 MVA (345/138 kV) auto at Lewisville SW(645-646). BEPC Rebuild Highland TNP to West TNP 138 kV line (37050-37060) to 326 MVA. TNMP August 14, 2009 24 RPG Meeting Northeast DFW area projects August 14, 2009 25 RPG Meeting Northeast DFW area projects Add Lavon Switching Station (2475), tapped to Allen Switching Station (2514)Royse (2461); and Build a 138 kV line Lavon Switching Station (2475)-Wylie Metering Point (2693) Oncor Upgrade the Ben Davis - Parker Maxwell Creek (968-2477) 138 kV line to 326 MVA. Oncor/TMPA August 14, 2009 26 RPG Meeting DFW area projects August 14, 2009 27 RPG Meeting DFW area projects Add second circuits to Mesquite West (2754)-Mesquite East SS (2756), Mesquite West (2754)-Mesquite Western Electric (2759), and Mesquite Western Electric (2759)-Prairie Creek Switch (2441); Oncor Add a second auto at Sargent Road Switching Station (2946-2949); and split buses at West Levee. Oncor Add a 345/138 kV (600 MVA) auto-transformer at Alliance; and build Alliance Heritage Tap 1 (12033) and Alliance - Heritage (599) - Keller Magnolia (2034) 138 kV lines of 597 MVA . Oncor Upgrade Industrial E (2976)-Compton 1 (2981), from 173/173/173 and Cedar Crest E (2494)-Compton 1 (2981) from 186/186/186 to 287/287/287 MVA. Oncor Build Handley Ses (1952)-Duval (2158) 138 kV line and operate it at 69 kV. Oncor Upgrade the Sargent Road - ST Augustine (2941-2951) 138 kV lline to 326 MVA. Oncor Upgrade the Cedar Crest T - Cedar Crest - South Oak Cliff (2495-2493-3024) 138 kV line to 326 MVA. Oncor Add a 2nd 556 MVA (345/138 kV) auto transformer at Cedar Hill (2420-2421). Upgrade the Mt Creek - Cedar Hill South (2411-2421) and Mt Creek E - Cedar Hill North (2412-2422) 138 kV lines to 326 MVA. Split the West Levee bus by opening the two tie lines (2400-2800 & 2399-2479). Oncor August 14, 2009 28 RPG Meeting West weather zone load forecast • Comparison of SSWG and ERCOT West weather zone peak load – Flat load and private network load removed – Does not include transmission system losses SSWG ERCOT Difference 2010 1634 1672 2.3% 2014 1715 1954 13.9% Total Growth 5.0% 16.9% 11.9% • For 2009 5YTP 2014 reliability case the West weather zone load was scaled up proportionately at each bus • Resulted in two additional projects: – Upgrade the 69/138 kV auto-transformer at San Angelo Concho (64506452) to 117 MVA – Upgrade the 69/138 kV auto-transformer at Fredericksburg (7149-7415) to 117 MVA August 14, 2009 29 RPG Meeting 2009 Five-Year Transmission Plan 2014 Economic Analysis Preliminary Results August 14, 2009 30 RPG Meeting 2010 Five-Year Transmission Plan • Asked for scope and process comments at July RPG meeting • No comments received to date • Please send comments to jbillo@ ercot.com (remove space) August 14, 2009 31 RPG Meeting Questions? August 14, 2009 32 RPG Meeting