6.1 Swaps Chapter 7 Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull 6.2 Nature of Swaps A swap is an agreement to exchange cash flows at specified future times according to certain specified rules (traded on OTC) • Notional Principal • Counterparties: companies and swap dealers (market makers) Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull 6.3 An Example of a “Plain Vanilla” Interest Rate Swap • An agreement by Microsoft to receive 6month LIBOR & pay a fixed rate of 5% per annum every 6 months for 3 years on a notional principal of $100 million • Next slide illustrates cash flows • Note that in practice Fixed Rates are on actual/365 or 30/360 basis whereas Floating Rates are on actual/360 basis. Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull 6.4 Cash Flows to Microsoft ---------Millions of Dollars--------LIBOR FLOATING FIXED Net Date Rate Cash Flow Cash Flow Cash Flow Mar.5, 2001 4.2% Sept. 5, 2001 4.8% +2.10 –2.50 –0.40 Mar.5, 2002 5.3% +2.40 –2.50 –0.10 Sept. 5, 2002 5.5% +2.65 –2.50 +0.15 Mar.5, 2003 5.6% +2.75 –2.50 +0.25 Sept. 5, 2003 5.9% +2.80 –2.50 +0.30 Mar.5, 2004 6.4% +2.95 –2.50 +0.45 Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull 6.5 Typical Uses of an Interest Rate Swap • Converting a liability from – fixed rate to floating rate – floating rate to fixed rate • Converting an investment from – fixed rate to floating rate – floating rate to fixed rate Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull 6.6 Intel and Microsoft (MS) Transform a Liability 5% 5.2% Intel MS LIBOR+0.1% LIBOR Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull 6.7 Financial Institution is Involved 4.985% 5.015% 5.2% Intel F.I. MS LIBOR+0.1% LIBOR LIBOR Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull Financial Institution is Involved 6.8 • The fixed rate paid by FI is called its bid, the fixed rate received by FI is its offer/ask rate. • In our example Bid = 4.985% and Ask = 5.015% • Swap rate (quote) is the average of the bid and ask. Swap = 5% here. 4.985% 5.015% 5.2% Intel F.I. MS LIBOR+0.1% LIBOR LIBOR Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull 6.9 Intel and Microsoft (MS) Transform an Asset 5% 4.7% Intel MS LIBOR-0.25% LIBOR Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull 6.10 Financial Institution is Involved 4.985% 5.015% 4.7% F.I. Intel MS LIBOR-0.25% LIBOR LIBOR Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull 6.11 The Comparative Advantage Argument • AAACorp wants to borrow floating • BBBCorp wants to borrow fixed Fixed Floating AAACorp 10.00% 6-month LIBOR + 0.30% BBBCorp 11.20% 6-month LIBOR + 1.00% Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull 6.12 The Comparative Advantage Argument • We are not comparing companies, rather different markets from a single company’s point of view: – AAACorp has a comparative advantage in fixed-rate markets – BBBCorp has a comparative advantage in floating-rate markets Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull The Comparative Advantage Argument 6.13 • No Swap: – Total cost = R+0.3+11.2 = R+11.5% • Swap: – Total cost = R+1+10 = R+11% • Gain from using a swap is 0.5% • Assume that they split it 50/50. So, each company gets a reduction in borrowing costs of 0.5/2 = .25% or 25 basis points. • AAA will be able to borrow at R+0.3-0.25 = R+.05% • BBBwill be able to borrow at 11.2-0.25 = 10.95% Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull 6.14 The Swap 9.95% 10% AAA BBB LIBOR+1% LIBOR Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull 6.15 The Swap when a Financial Institution is Involved 9.93% 9.97% 10% AAA F.I. BBB LIBOR+1% LIBOR LIBOR Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull Criticism of the Comparative Advantage Argument 6.16 • The 10.0% and 11.2% rates available to AAACorp and BBBCorp in fixed rate markets are 5-year rates • The LIBOR+0.3% and LIBOR+1% rates available in the floating rate market are six-month rates • Floating Spread smaller than Fixed Spread may just reflect that default probabilities of the BBB company grow faster than those of AAA • BBBCorp’s fixed rate depends on the spread above LIBOR it borrows at in the future Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull 6.17 Valuation of an Interest Rate Swap • Interest rate swaps can be valued as the difference between the value of a fixed-rate bond and the value of a floating-rate bond • Alternatively, they can be valued as a portfolio of forward rate agreements (FRAs) Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull 6.18 Valuation in Terms of FRAs • Each exchange of payments in an interest rate swap is an FRA • The FRA’s can be valued on the assumption that today’s forward rates are realized Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull 6.19 Example • Problem 7.3 • NP = $100 mil; T = 10 months; Fixed Rate = 12% (semiannual) • Term structure of zero rates is flat at 10% (continuous). • Two months ago 6-m LIBOR was 9.6% (semiannual). • What is the swap value to the payfloating party? Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull 6.20 Example • Swap is equivalent to a portfolio of a 4-m FRA and a 10-m FRA with values V4 and V10, respectively. • Forward rates are all 10% (continuous) or 2x (e0.1/2 – 1) = 10.254% (semiannual) • V4 = 0.5 x 100 x (.12-.096)e-0.1x1/3 = 1.16066 mil • V10 = 0.5 x 100 x (.12-.10254)e-0.1x10/12 = 0.803 mil • Vswap = V4 + V10 = 1.964 mil (current value) Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull 6.21 An Example of a Currency Swap An agreement to pay 11% on a sterling principal of £10,000,000 & receive 8% on a US$ principal of $15,000,000 every year for 5 years Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull 6.22 Exchange of Principal • In an interest rate swap the principal is not exchanged • In a currency swap the principal is exchanged at the beginning and the end of the swap Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull 6.23 The Cash Flows IBM pays fixed 11% in sterling and receives 8% in USD Year 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Dollars Pounds $ £ ------millions-----–15.00 +10.00 +1.20 –1.10 +1.20 –1.10 +1.20 –1.10 +1.20 –1.10 +16.20 -11.10 Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull 6.24 Typical Uses of a Currency Swap • Conversion from • Conversion from a liability in one an investment in currency to a one currency to liability in an investment in another currency another currency Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull 6.25 Comparative Advantage Arguments for Currency Swaps General Motors wants to borrow AUD Qantas wants to borrow USD USD AUD General Motors 5.0% 12.6% Qantas 13.0% 7.0% Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull 6.26 Valuation of Currency Swaps Like interest rate swaps, currency swaps can be valued either as the difference between 2 bonds or as a portfolio of forward contracts Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull 6.27 Example • Suppose the term structure of interest rates is flat both in US at 9% and in Japan at 4% (both continuous). • A FI enters a swap in which it receives 5% in yen and pays 8% in USD once a year. • T = 3 years (remaining) • The principals are $10 mil and 1,200 mil yen. Current Spot exchange rate is 110 yen = $1. • What is the swap value to the FI? Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull 6.28 Example • Remember that forwards are valued (under no arbitrage) as though the forward price on the underlying (in this case, yen) is realized: f ( F0 K )e rT • In this example the swap is equivalent to 3 forward contracts (1, 2 and 3 years) • The corresponding forward rates: • 1/110 x e.05x1 = .009557 • 1/110 x e.05x2 = .010047 ( r rf ) T F S e .05x3 0 0 • 1/110 x e = .010562 Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull Example 6.29 • Exchange of interest involves receiving 5% x 1,200 mil = 60 mil yen and paying 8% x 10 = $0.8 mil. Exchange of principals at the end involves receiving 1,200 mil yen and paying $10 mil. The values of the forwards are as follows: • f1 = (60x .009557 - 0.8)e-.09x1 = -$0.2071 • f2 = (60x .010047 - 0.8)e-.09x2 = -$0.1647 • f3 = (60x .010562 - 0.8)e-.09x3 = -$0.1269 • f4 = (1,200x .010562 - 10)e-.09x3 = $2.0416 • Thus, the total value is $1.543 mil, if entered into in the past. • If the swap was initiated today, the value would be $1.543 mil – $0.9091mil = $633,909 Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull 6.30 Swaps & Forwards • A swap can be regarded as a convenient way of packaging forward contracts • The “plain vanilla” interest rate swap in our example consisted of several FRAs • The “fixed for fixed” currency swap in our example consisted of a cash transaction and 4 forward contracts Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull 6.31 Swaps & Forwards (continued) • The value of the swap is the sum of the values of the forward contracts underlying the swap • Swaps are normally “at the money” initially – This means that it costs nothing to enter into a swap – It does not mean that each forward contract underlying a swap is “at the money” initially Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull 6.32 Credit Risk • A swap is worth zero to a company initially • At a future time its value is liable to be either positive or negative • The company has credit risk exposure only when its value is positive Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull