GBK 311 F2F Sp16 GBK 311 110 Business Statistics / Spring 2016 T/Th 1:00 PM – 2:15 PM in Founder’s Hall, Rm# 304 Instructor: Dr. Angela Patrick Office: Founder’s Hall, 323s Office Phone: 254-501-5927 Cell Phone: 254-681-1416 (text) Office: FH #323S Office Hours: M/W & T/Th 8:30 am – 9:30am, 11am - 1pm E-mail: abpatrick@tamuct.edu Access to the Blackboard classroom is at: https://tamuct.blackboard.com Course Overview and description: Business Statistics is the science of collecting, organizing, and summarizing data to provide information, stated in numerical form, for the purpose of making objective business decisions. Descriptive statistics will be the focus of the course with an abbreviated introduction to inferential statistics. Topics include the foundations of statistical methods of sampling, classifying, analyzing, and presenting numerical data; frequency and sampling distributions, averages, dispersion, hypothesis testing, and analyzing up to two populations and population proportions. Additionally topics include comparing more than two populations and determining the relationship between qualitative and quantitative variables. The course will employ the use of an online statistics learning system and a statistical software package for problem assignments, quizzes, and exams, in conjunction with the text and lectures, in completing course coverage of each statistics topic. Prerequisite: Junior Classification. COURSE MATERIALS: The following materials are REQUIRED. o A copy and user license of the Hawkes Business Statistics software. This software may be bundled with a course textbook (optional) or purchased separately. Instructions for how to download the software and purchase an access code are given below. o Access to a computer with Microsoft Excel (available in university computer labs). o Access to a computer with a reliable, fast Internet connection (for uploading and downloading Hawkes Learning System lessons and exams, and for viewing the course Blackboard page). Please note that your instructor is NOT available for technical support. Depending on the nature of the problem, you should contact either the Blackboard HelpDesk (contact information below) or Hawkes Learning (843-571-2825) for assistance. The following materials are OPTIONAL: o Textboook: Nottingham, Q. J. and Hawkes, J. S. (2013). Discovering Business Statistics. Charleston, SC: Hawkes Learning Systems. ISBN: Hardcopy w/software: 978-1-93578288-9; Electronic Copy w/software: 978-1-935782-89-6. 1 GBK 311 F2F Sp16 NOTE: A student of this institution is not under any obligation to purchase a textbook from a universityaffiliated bookstore. If you choose to use other sources to purchase the textbook, you must access www.hawkeslearning.com/store and purchase a separate student access code for your use during this course. Purchasing the textbook and software package either from the university bookstore or from Hawkes Learning System will ensure you have the most current software o Minitab Express (NOT Minitab 17): You may rent the latest version, from six months to a year, from the e-Academy On the Hub website using the following URL: http://www.onthehub.com/Minitab NOTE: You will have to register with OnTheHub with your student email address in order for you to purchase or rent the software (this could take 24-48 hours for OnTheHub to verify your email address). o Hand held calculator. Must have square root key in addition to the basic functions of addition, subtraction, multiplication, and division – at a minimum. ACCESS TO HAKWES LEARNING SYSTEM (HLS): Go to the Hawkes website, www.hawkeslearning.com, then click on “Get your Access Code” under “Students” menu. Next, click on “Purchase an Access Code”, and then you will be asked to enter your school name. Start by typing “Texas A&M,” then choose Texas A&M University –Central Texas once it appears in the drop-down list. Under “Access Code,” select “Discovering Business Statistics”, and purchase it. THE CUSTOMER SUPPORT AT HAWKES IS VERY GOOD, SO DO NOT HESITATE TO CALL THEM FOR ASSISTANCE. They are great, so don’t hesitate to call for help with installing or trouble-shooting the software. A real person almost always answers the phone. Their number is 843-571-2825. COURSE EVALUATION: Homework Assignments Exams (four exams) Assessment 42% 48% (12% each) 10% Grade Computation: Students earn their course grades by completing scheduled assignments; no extra credit assignments are given. To pass this course satisfactorily, students must complete each of the graded items. If a grade of any item is zero, then students receive an “F” final grade. Grading Scale: A = 90 – 100% B = 80 – 89% C = 70-79% D = 60 – 69% F = 59% and below Homework Assignments: All assignments and exams will be accomplished through the Hawkes Learning System (HLS). HLS is a Web-based, artificially intelligent assessment and learning system. There will not be any “traditional” homework assignments, as each student will be required to complete work on the HLS system. There are 15 assignments throughout the semester (see the “Course Schedule” below). Homework assignments will be graded on a scale of either 0 or 10. If you complete an assignment by its due date, then you will get 10 out of 10; otherwise, you will get zero out of ten. Homework due dates can be found from the “Course Schedule” below. 2 GBK 311 F2F Sp16 o Chapter Reviews: The graded portions of the homework assignments will be the chapter review for each of the chapters. Students are advised to work through the practice problems within the chapter review section of each required chapter, prior to certifying in the chapter. NOTE: When certifying, ensure you are in the chapter review portion of the HLS chapter; otherwise the work completed will not count for completion credit. Homework feedback is provided automatically when completing the chapter review for a grade (also known as certifying). Students will be given a minimum of “3 strikes”. This means the student may miss up to three questions, before being sent back to practice. If the student is sent back to practice, the program will automatically go to the area in which the student is having problems. If the student successfully completes the certifying chapter review, the student will receive a certificate of completion, which the student must save. If the student is online when certifying the grade book will be automatically updated. If the student is not online when certifying, then the student must manually upload the certificate into HLS (please see the student training video). Chapter 13 is the exception. The Chapter 13 assignment will be found in the WebTests. o Additional Assignments: Chapter 12 will have an additional assignment that will be found through the WebTest function in the Hawkes Learning System. Each will be treated as an additional assignment. Additionally, the Chapter 13 assignment will be found in the WebTests. Exams: There will be four objective exams administered during the semester as indicated on the course calendar. Exams represent the independent work of students. Further, no exam may be taken more than one time in an effort to improve the score achieved. With the exception of emergencies, any exam not made up within one week after the scheduled date, will be scored as a zero. All exams will be HLS based and will be completed online. Exam dates can be found from the “Course Schedule” below. All exams must be taken to pass the course. HLS provides immediate feedback, upon completion of the exam. Reenter the exam to see the problems missed and a correct method of answering the problems. Assessment: At the completion of this course, all students will be required to complete the assessment assignment found in the Blackboard classroom (NOT in HLS!). The purpose of this assignment is to identify your statistical skills learned in this course using technology. You will be required to read a scenario, identify the data, and conduct appropriate descriptive statistical analysis and appropriate inferential statistical analysis. You will also be required to use either Minitab or MS Excel to assist in conducting the analyses. Evidence of use of the above technology must be included in the assessment; therefore, session output from Minitab and/or screen shots (SHIFT/Print Screen) of MS Excel must be provided pertinent to each answered question (or a combination thereof). See the grading rubric on the following page. 3 GBK 311 F2F Sp16 Assessment Rubric Analysis Satisfactory Weight 100% Data and variable 10% description Descriptive statistics 15% Analysis method 20% selection Analysis conducted 25% Decision and/or 30% recommendation Progressing 50% Unsatisfactory 0% Either the data types or The data types and The data types and/or the the variables, or both, variables are correctly variables were partially were not correctly identified. correctly identified. identified. Descriptive statistics Appropriate descriptive Either the descriptives were partially correctly statistics were calculated statistics were not calculated using using designated calculated with designated software software technology and designated software technology and/or discussed, given the type technology or they were discussed, given the type of data and variables. not discussed, or both. of data and variables. Appropriate methods Selected methods were Selected methods were were selected for the partially appropriate for inappropriate for overall overall analysis, based on the overall analysis, based analysis, based on the the data types and on the data types and data types and variables variables, and the variables, and the or the methods were not methods were discussed. methods were discussed. discussed, or both. Appropriate analysis was Analysis was either not Appropriate analysis was partially correctly conducted using correctly conducted conducting using designated software using designated designated software technology or was not software technology. technology. conducted correctly. Either the Based on the results of Based on the results of recommendations for a the analysis, the the analysis the decision were not based appropriate recommendations for a on the analysis, or the recommendations for a decision were partially recommendations for a decision is given correct. decision were incorrect. 4 GBK 311 F2F Sp16 Course Calendar: The following is a tentative schedule of meetings, readings, and deliverables for the semester. This is subject to change. When there are major changes, you will be notified by email; a current schedule will always be available on the Blackboard course website. COURSE OUTLINE AND ASSIGNMENTS WK Section/Topic Homework / Quiz / Exam Due Dates Readings Week 1: 1/19 1/21 Week 2: 1/26 1/28 Week 3: 2/2 2/4 Introduction Statistics, Data Reality, Organizing, Displaying, and Interpreting Data Introduction Statistics, Data Reality, Organizing, Displaying, and Interpreting Data Chapters 1, 2 Chapter 3 Chapters 1, 2 due 1/24 Descriptive Statistics Chapter 4 Chapters 3 due 2/7 Week 4: 2/9 2/11 Probability I Chapter 5 Chapter 4 due 2/14 Week 5: 2/16 2/18 Probability II Review for Exam 1 Chapter 5 Chapter 5 due 2/21 Exam 1 Chapter 1-5 (February 16-21) Week 6: 2/23 2/25 Week 7: 3/1 3/3 Week 8: 3/8 3/10 Discrete Probability Distributions Chapter 6 Continuous Probability Distributions Chapter 7 Chapter 6 due 3/6 Sampling Distributions Review for Exam 2 Chapter 8 Chapters 7, 8 due 3/13 Exam 2 Chapter 6-8 (March 8-13) Week 9: 3/22 3/24 Week 10: 3/29 3/31 Confidence Intervals Hypothesis Testing Chapter 9 Spring Break March 14-18 Chapter 10 Chapter 9 due 4/3 5 GBK 311 F2F Sp16 COURSE OUTLINE AND ASSIGNMENTS WK Section/Topic Week 11: 4/5 4/7 Hypothesis Testing with Two Samples Week 12: 4/12 4/14 Review for Exam 3 Readings Chapter 11 Homework / Quiz / Exam Due Dates Chapter 10 due 4/10 Exam 3: Chapter 9-11 (April 12-17) Week 13: 4/19 4/21 Week 14: 4/26 4/28 ANOVA Chapter 12 Linear Regression Chapter 13 Chapter 12, ANOVA Additional due 5/1 Week 15: 5/3 5/5 Week 16: 5/10 5/12 Chi-square Test Chapter 15 Chapter 13 due 5/8 Review for Exam 4 Chapter 15 due 5/12 Assessment Due by: May 12 Exam 4 Chapters 12, 13, 15 (May 6-12) Homework for each chapter: Chapter 1: Certify a subsection Chapter 12: Certify Both a subsection and “ANOVA Additional Assignment” through “WebTest” Chapter 13: Certify Only “Chapter 13 Assignment” through “WebTest” All the other chapters: Certify Only a chapter review COURSE OBJECTIVE: The student will understand the foundations of statistics, by creating and interpreting basic statistical graphs and charts, calculating and interpreting measures of central tendency and variation, and basic probability, (Module 1), probability distributions (Module 2), and conducting and interpreting hypothesis tests (Module 3). Additionally the student will be able to apply the statistical foundations in beginning inferential statistics, which include comparing two populations or more populations, comparing two population proportions, comparing two variables or treatments for a single population, and relating two variables (Modules 3 and 4). Finally, the student will understand the concepts of statistical applications to process improvement by creating and interpreting control charts. The student will meet the course objective and the following student learning outcomes by using the statistical learning software, Hawkes Learning System (HLS), and by using Minitab statistical software. The purpose of HLS is to provide each student with an online learning environment in which the student is able to learn, master, and apply knowledge while working within a mastery 6 GBK 311 F2F Sp16 based pedagogical approach (Hawkes Learning Systems, n.d.). A link to the HLS student training video is available in the main menu, in the Blackboard classroom. Each student will demonstrate mastery of each topic by achieving 80% on each assignment and each exam, as outlined in each module. Competency Goals Statements (certification or standards): o Module 1: Conduct and apply the statistical foundations (data, populations, samples, central tendency, measures of variation, and basic probability concepts), using statistical learning software, Minitab, Microsoft Excel, and calculators, achieving 80% on each homework assignment and each exam. The specific statistical foundations are found in SLOs: 1 –3.2, 4.1, 4.3, 4.4 and may be found in sections 1.1 – 1.3, 2.1 – 2.6, 3.3 – 3.10, 4.1 – 4.2, 4.3, 4.8, and 5.1 – 5.8 of the text book and in the Hawkes Learning Software (Ch 1 – 5). o Module 2: Conduct and interpret statistical methods for discrete and continuous probability distributions, sampling distributions, and estimating means and proportions, using statistical learning software, Minitab, Microsoft Excel, and calculators, achieving 80% on each homework assignment and each exam. The specific distributions and estimations are found in SLOs: 4.2 and may be found in 6.1 – 6.5 and 7.2 – 7.3b, and 8.1 – 8.4 of the textbook and in the Hawkes Learning Software (Ch 6 – 8). o Module 3: Conduct and interpret statistical methods of hypothesis testing for comparing means, proportions, and treatments, using statistical learning software, Minitab, Microsoft Excel, and calculators, achieving 80% on each homework assignment and each exam. The specific hypothesis methods and comparisons may be found in SLOs: 5.1 – 6.2 and may be found in 9.1 – 9.7, 10.1 – 10.7b, and 11.1 – 11.4 of the textbook and in the Hawkes Learning Software (Ch 9 – 11). o Module 4: Conduct and interpret statistical methods of hypothesis testing for comparing three or more means, or treatments (ANOVA). Conduct correlations of two variables or treatments, and relate two linear variables. Test the fit of multinomial probabilities and relate two categorical variables. Achieve 80% on each homework assignment and each exam, using statistical learning software, Minitab, Microsoft Excel, and calculators. The specific methods of testing and comparing three or more populations, correlating, relating continuous and categorical variables may be found in SLOs: 4.2, 7.1 – 8.2 and may be found in 12.2-12.4, 13.1 – 13.5, 13.8, 15.2 – 15.3, and 17.3 – 17.4 of the text book and in the Hawkes Learning Software (Ch 12, 13, 15). Student Learning Outcomes (SLOs): 1. Demonstrate proficiency in reporting data numerically and graphically by achieving 80% on associated assignments and exams (Chapters 1 – 3). 2. Demonstrate proficiency in identifying and analyzing the following types and levels of data using appropriate statistical methods by achieving 80% on associated assignments and exams (Chapters 1 – 2). 2.1 Identify and analyze qualitative (nominal, ordinal) data using appropriate statistical methods. 2.2 Identify and analyze quantitative (continuous, discrete, interval, ratio) data using appropriate statistical methods. 3. Demonstrate proficiency in calculating the following descriptive statistics by achieving 80% on associated assignments and exams (Chapter 4). 3.1 Identify and calculate descriptive statistics based on measures of central tendency 3.2 Identify and calculate descriptive statistics based on measures of variation 7 GBK 311 F2F Sp16 4. Demonstrate proficiency in analyzing discrete and continuous probability distributions by achieving 80% on associated assignments and exams (Chapters 4 – 8, 15). 4.1 Identify the properties of probabilities and calculate probabilities using the concepts of probability, in particular, sets and complements, addition rules, mutual exclusivity, multiplication of dependent and independent probabilities, conditional probabilities, and basic counting rules (including permutations and combinations). 4.2 Calculate probabilities within binomial distributions, uniform distributions, normal distributions and chi-square distributions. 4.3 Calculate probabilities for non-normal distributions using Chebyshev’s Theorem 4.4 Calculate probabilities using the Empirical Formula and the Central Limit theorem 5. Demonstrate understanding and proficiency in calculating confidence intervals, conducting hypothesis tests, and calculating p-values by achieving 80% on associated assignments and exams (Chapters 9 – 10). 5.1 Calculate confidence intervals when the population standard deviation is known/unknown and for proportions 5.2 Conduct hypothesis testing when the population standard deviation is known/unknown and for proportions 5.3 Calculate p-values for all hypothesis tests 6. Demonstrate proficiency in calculating inferential statistics (one or two populations) by achieving 80% on associated assignments and exams (Chapter 11). 6.1 Compare means or proportions of two populations 6.2 Compare means of two treatments within one population 7. Demonstrate proficiency in calculating inferential statistics (three or more populations and relationships) by achieving 80% on associated assignments and exams (Chapters 12 – 13). 7.1 Compare means of three or more populations using analysis of variance (ANOVA) 7.2 Correlate two variables or treatments using Pearson’s Product Correlation 7.3 Relate two variables or treatments using simple linear regression 8. Demonstrate proficiency in calculating inferential statistics (relationships of categorical variables) by achieving 80% on associated assignments and exams (Chapter 15). 8.1 Test the fit of multinomial probabilities with categorical data (goodness of fit). 8.2 Test the relationship of two or more categorical variables (tests of independence). Meeting the Course Objective and Student Learning Outcomes: In meeting the course objective and learning outcomes, students must first familiarize themselves with the Hawkes Learning System and Minitab software. Select the student-training link and listen to the presentation for HLS. Select the Minitab Tech Support link, select appropriate Minitab software and familiarize with the software functions. Additionally, become familiar with Excel and the Excel tools provided in the Calculation Aids folder on the main Learning Module page. Next, select and preview the lecture presentations and then listen to the recorded lectures. Use the textbook as an additional reference for your understanding of the material presented in the lectures. Listen to any given appropriate assignment specific tutorial or Question and Answer, then complete the homework assignments. In completing the homework assignments follow the instructions given in this syllabus. 8 GBK 311 F2F Sp16 GENERAL INFORMATION: UNILERT: Emergency Warning System for Texas A&M University – Central Texas UNILERT is an emergency notification service that gives Texas A&M University-Central Texas the ability to communicate health and safety emergency information quickly via email and text message. By enrolling in UNILERT, university officials can quickly pass on safety-related information, regardless of your location. Please enroll today at TAMUCT.org/UNILERT Drop Policy: If you discover that you need to drop this class, you must go to the Records Office and ask for the necessary paperwork. Professors cannot drop students; this is always the responsibility of the student. The record’s office will provide a deadline for which the form must be returned, completed and signed. Return the signed form to the records office, wait 24 hours, go into DuckTrax and confirm that you are no longer enrolled. If you are still enrolled, follow up with the records office immediately. You are to attend class until the procedure is complete to avoid penalty for absence. Should you miss the deadline or fail to follow the procedure, you will receive an F in the course. Academic Integrity: Texas A&M University - Central Texas expects all students to maintain high standards of honor in personal and scholarly conduct. Any deviation from this expectation may result in a minimum of a failing grade for the assignment and potentially a failing grade for the course. All academic dishonesty concerns will be reported to the university's Office of Student Conduct. Academic dishonesty includes, but is not limited to, cheating on an examination or other academic work, plagiarism and improper citation of sources, using another student's work, collusion, and the abuse of resource materials. When in doubt on collaboration, citation, or any issue, please contact me before taking a course of action. More information can be found at http://www.tamuct.edu/departments/studentconduct/academicintegrity.php Disability Support Services: At Texas A&M University – Central Texas, we value an inclusive learning environment where every student has an equal chance to succeed and has the right to an education that is barrier-free. The Office of Disability Support and Access is responsible for ensuring that students with a disability enjoy equal access to the University's programs, services and activities. Some aspects of this course or the way the course is taught may present barriers to learning due to a disability. If you feel this is the case, please contact Disability Support and Access at (254) 501-5831 in Warrior Hall, Ste. 212. For more information, please visit their website at http://www.tamuct.edu/departments/disabilitysupport/index.php. Any information you provide is private and confidential and will be treated as such. Tutoring: Tutoring is available to all TAMUCT students, both on-campus and online. Subjects tutored include Accounting, Finance, Statistics, Mathematics, and Writing. Tutors are available at the Tutoring Center in Warrior Hall, Room 111. Visit http://www.tamuct.edu/departments/academicsupport/index.php and click "Tutoring Support" for tutor schedules and contact info. If you have questions, need to schedule a tutoring session, or if you're interested in becoming a tutor, contact Academic Support Programs at 254-501-5830 or by emailing tutoring@tamuct.edu. Chat live with a tutor 24/7 for almost any subject on your computer! Tutor.com is an online tutoring platform that enables TAMU-CT students to log-in and receive FREE online tutoring and writing support. This tool provides tutoring in Mathematics, Writing, Career Writing, Chemistry, Physics, 9 GBK 311 F2F Sp16 Biology, Spanish, Calculus, and Statistics. To access Tutor.com, log into your Blackboard account and click "Online Tutoring." The University Writing Center: The University Writing Center at Texas A&M University-Central Texas is a free workspace open to all TAMUCT students. The UWC is located in 416 Warrior Hall. The center is open 11am-6pm Monday-Thursday during the spring semester. Students may work independently in the UWC by checking out a laptop that runs Microsoft Office suite and connects to WIFI, or by consulting our resources on writing, including all of the relevant style guides. Students may also arrange a one-onone session with a trained and experienced writing tutor. Tutorials can be arranged by visiting the UWC. Tutors are prepared to help writers of all levels and abilities at any stage of the writing process. Sessions typically last between 20-30 minutes. While tutors will not write, edit, or grade papers, they will help students develop more effective invention and revision strategies. Library Services: INFORMATION LITERACY focuses on research skills, which prepare individuals to live and work in an information-centered society. Librarians will work with students in the development of critical reasoning, ethical use of information, and the appropriate use of secondary research techniques. Help may include, yet is not limited to: exploration of information resources such as library collections and services, identification of subject databases and scholarly journals, and execution of effective search strategies. Library Resources are outlined and accessed at: http://www.tamuct.edu/departments/library/index.php 10 GBK 311 F2F Sp16 11