Running head: TARGET EXPANSION 1 Target: Financial Evaluation for Expansion Angela Deaton MGMT510 – Financial Accounting May 11, 2013 Dr. Joseph Kempker Southwestern College Professional Studies TARGET EXPANSION 2 Outline I. II. Company History and Background Financial Performance Analysis A. Balance Sheet Review 1. Asset Growth and Liabilities 2. Retained Earnings B. Income Statement Review 1. Revenue and Expenses 2. Net Income C. Key Financials and Business Management 1.Net Income 2. Gross Profit Margin and Return on Investment 3. Depreciation and Amortization 4. EBIDTA III. Industry Outlook A. Industry Sector Review B. Competition Review IV. Summary and Proposal TARGET EXPANSION 3 Target: Financial Evaluation for Expansion As the Chief Financial Officer for Target, I present the following findings to the Target Board of Directors for review. Contained in this report are evaluations of the Balance Statement and the Income Statement for the last two years. Also included is the evaluation are the key financial indicators for the health of the business as well as a review of how the company manages business. In addition to internal reviews, I have also conducted an external comparison of the overall industry and competition. As a result, I provide a detailed report on the feasibility of the expansion of 100 new Target stores in 2014. Company History and Background In 1902, John Dayton was in the business of building and renting buildings for commercial use. He completed construction of a building in Minneapolis which he later rented tothe R.S. Goodfellow Company. In 1956, Dayton opened his first store, Southdale, in Edina, Minnesota (The history of corporate, n.d.). Southdale was the world’s first fully enclosed department store.In 1962, Dayton Company ventured into discount merchandising with its first Target discount store in Roseville, Minnesota and by the end of the year, Dayton formed a new subsidiary – Target Stores (The history of corporate, n.d.). In 1969, Target’s parent company, Dayton, merged with JL Hudson Company of Detroit and became Dayton-Hudson Corporation. Dayton-Hudson Corporation further expanded and acquired several department store chains in the Western coast; however, due to rapid expansion and lack of experienced executives to manage its subsidiaries, they reported a drop in sales in 1971 (The history of corporate, n.d.). New and financially sound management rescued the falling company. TARGET EXPANSION 4 This historical event is extremely important in the evaluation of future expansion. It is important to know that Dayton-Hudson (now Target) had experienced quick expansion which previously led to poor financial results. Thus, it is important that the validation and verification of the current financial statements be complete and thorough in an attempt to fully dissolve the issue of expansion in the next year. The current state of business for Target is drastically different than it was in the 1970s. In 2000, Dayton-Hudson changed its name to Target Corporation. Target has 1,591 retail stores in the U.S. (The history of corporate, n.d.). Today, Target is a retail industry that sells an assortment of items ranging from clothes, to automotive, to groceries. Target’s mission statement is to be the preferred shopping destination in all channels by delivering outstanding value, continuous innovation and exceptional guest experiences by consistently fulfilling the Expect More. Pay Less.® brand promise (Mission and values, 2013). Financial Performance Analysis In order to effectively analyze the financial health and profitability of Target, I examined the 2011 and 2012 Annual Balance Sheets (Target corporation, 2013) as well as the 2011 and 2012 Income Statements (Target corporation, 2013). These statements show the current financials as well as historical financials which provide me the basis I need to establish whether or not it makes sense to expand the business. Balance Sheet The balance sheet shows Target’s assets and liabilities. Ultimately, the assets must balance the liabilities plus stockholders equity. These assets include cash, accounts receivable, inventory, and equipment. The liabilities include accounts payable and loan balances. TARGET EXPANSION 5 The balance sheet is important because it shows the financial position at a specific point in time, and compares what is owned to what is owed (Fontinelle, 2013). According to the balance sheet for Target below, all signs are positive. There is growth in tangible and intangible assets as well as total asset growth. Retained earnings have also increased over the period. Total liabilities have also increased, however they have increased proportionately to the asset growth and the percentage difference has remained nearly constant: Total Liabilities / Total Assets 2011 64.56% 2012 66.07% 2013 65.62% Balance Sheet for Target Corporation Fiscal year is February-January. All values USD millions. Assets Cash & Short Term Investments Cash Only Short-Term Investments Cash & Short Term Investments Growth Cash & ST Investments / Total Assets Total Accounts Receivable Accounts Receivables, Net Accounts Receivables, Gross Bad Debt/Doubtful Accounts Other Receivables Accounts Receivable Growth Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventories Finished Goods Work in Progress Raw Materials Progress Payments & Other Other Current Assets Miscellaneous Current Assets Total Current Assets 2011 1.36B 234M 1.13B -26.20% 3.12% 7.42B 690M (690M) -9.85% 9.08 7.6B 7.6B 0 0 0 830M 830M 17.21B 2012 794M 600M 194M -41.75% 1.70% 6.93B 430M (430M) -6.69% 10.09 7.92B 7.92B 0 0 0 810M 810M 16.45B 2013 784M 654M 130M -1.26% 1.63% 6.86B 6.46B 6.46B 0 395M -1.01% 10.69 7.9B 0 0 0 7.9B 844M 534M 16.39B TARGET EXPANSION Net Property, Plant & Equipment Property, Plant & Equipment - Gross Buildings Land & Improvements Computer Software and Equipment Other Property, Plant & Equipment Accumulated Depreciation Total Investments and Advances Other Long-Term Investments Long-Term Note Receivable Intangible Assets Net Goodwill Net Other Intangibles Other Assets Tangible Other Assets Total Assets Assets - Total - Growth 6 25.49B 37.05B 23.08B 5.93B 2.53B 4.94B 11.56B 497M 497M 0 107M 59M 48M 395M 279M 43.71B -1.86% 29.15B 41.53B 26.84B 6.12B 2.47B 5.14B 12.38B 485M 485M 0 118M 59M 59M 429M 305M 46.63B 6.69% 30.65B 43.96B 28.65B 6.21B 2.57B 5.36B 13.31B 354M 354M 0 224M 59M 165M 338M 338M 48.16B 3.29% 2012 3.79B 0 3.79B 6.86B 3.50% 257M 3.39B 202M 1.06B 2.12B 14.29B 13.7B 12.42B 12.42B 0 1.27B 449M 1.19B 1.19B 2013 2.99B 0 2.99B 7.06B 2.90% 272M 3.71B 232M 1.1B 2.38B 14.03B 14.65B 12.7B 12.7B 0 1.95B 1.12B 1.11B 1.31B Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity ST Debt & Current Portion LT Debt Short Term Debt Current Portion of Long Term Debt Accounts Payable Accounts Payable Growth Income Tax Payable Other Current Liabilities Dividends Payable Accrued Payroll Miscellaneous Current Liabilities Total Current Liabilities Long-Term Debt Long-Term Debt excl. Capitalized Leases Non-Convertible Debt Convertible Debt Capitalized Lease Obligations Provision for Risks & Charges Deferred Taxes Deferred Taxes - Credit 2011 119M 0 119M 6.63B 1.75% 144M 3.18B 176M 1.08B 1.93B 10.07B 15.61B 15.27B 15.27B 0 333M 441M 934M 934M TARGET EXPANSION Deferred Taxes - Debit Other Liabilities Other Liabilities (excl. Deferred Income) Deferred Income Total Liabilities Non-Equity Reserves Total Liabilities / Total Assets Preferred Stock (Carrying Value) Redeemable Preferred Stock Non-Redeemable Preferred Stock Common Equity (Total) Common Stock Par/Carry Value Retained Earnings ESOP Debt Guarantee Cumulative Translation Adjustment/Unrealized For. Exch. Gain Unrealized Gain/Loss Marketable Securities Revaluation Reserves Treasury Stock Common Equity / Total Assets Total Shareholders' Equity Total Shareholders' Equity / Total Assets Accumulated Minority Interest Total Equity Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity 7 1.17B 770M 396M 28.22B 0 64.56% 0 0 0 15.49B 59M 12.7B 0 1.19B 764M 421M 30.81B 0 66.07% 0 0 0 15.82B 56M 12.96B 0 206M 493M 493M 31.61B 0 65.62% 0 0 0 16.56B 54M 13.16B 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 35.44% 15.49B 35.44% 0 15.49B 43.71B 0 0 0 33.93% 15.82B 33.93% 0 15.82B 46.63B 0 0 0 34.38% 16.56B 34.38% 0 16.56B 48.16B Income Statement The income statement summarizes Target’s revenue and expenses. Revenues are sales and other sources of income and expenses include cost of goods sold, payroll, taxes, and interest. The bottom line of the income statement shows Target’s net income. These values are important because it indicates whether Target is profitable or not. Net income is calculated by taking revenues and adjusting for the cost of doing business, depreciation, interest, taxes, and other TARGET EXPANSION 8 expenses (Fontinelle, 2013). In Target’s case, not only is net income substantially positive, it continues to increase as time goes by. The net income over the time period is as follows: Net Income 2011 2.92B 2012 2.93B 2013 3B Income Statement for Target Corporation Fiscal year is February-January. All values USD millions. Sales/Revenue Sales Growth Cost of Goods Sold (COGS) incl. D&A COGS excluding D&A Depreciation & Amortization Expense Depreciation Amortization of Intangibles COGS Growth Gross Income Gross Income Growth Gross Profit Margin SG&A Expense Research & Development Other SG&A SGA Growth Other Operating Expense Unusual Expense EBIT after Unusual Expense Non-Operating Income/Expense Non-Operating Interest Income Equity in Affiliates (Pretax) Interest Expense Interest Expense Growth Gross Interest Expense Interest Capitalized Pretax Income Pretax Income Growth Pretax Margin Income Tax 2011 67.39B 3.11% 48.67B 46.59B 2.08B 2.06B 24M 2.23% 18.72B 5.46% 13.47B 0 13.47B 2.99% 0 (51M) 51M 0 3M 0 811M 0.87% 809M (2M) 4.5B 16.09% 1.58B 2012 69.87B 3.67% 50.44B 48.31B 2.13B 2.11B 24M 3.63% 19.43B 3.78% 14.11B 0 14.11B 4.73% 0 (41M) 41M 0 3M 0 910M 12.21% 915M 5M 4.46B -0.87% 1.53B 2013 73.3B 4.92% 53.18B 51.04B 2.14B 2.12B 22M 5.43% 20.12B 3.58% 27.45% 14.91B 0 14.91B 5.73% 0 (44M) 44M 161M 0 806M -11.43% 806M 0 4.61B 3.43% 6.29% 1.61B TARGET EXPANSION Income Tax - Current Domestic Income Tax - Current Foreign Income Tax - Deferred Domestic Income Tax - Deferred Foreign Income Tax Credits Equity in Affiliates Other After Tax Income (Expense) Consolidated Net Income Minority Interest Expense Net Income Net Income Growth Net Margin Growth Extraordinaries& Discontinued Operations Extra Items & Gain/Loss Sale Of Assets Cumulative Effect - Accounting Chg Discontinued Operations Net Income After Extraordinaries Preferred Dividends Net Income Available to Common EPS (Basic) EPS (Basic) Growth Basic Shares Outstanding EPS (Diluted) EPS (Diluted) Growth Diluted Shares Outstanding EBITDA 9 1.13B 0 445M 0 0 0 0 2.92B 0 2.92B 17.36% 0 0 0 2.92B 0 2.92B 4.03 21.75% 723.6M 4 21.21% 729.4M 7.34B 1.16B 0 371M 0 0 0 0 2.93B 0 2.93B 0.31% 0 0 0 2.93B 0 2.93B 4.31 6.95% 679.1M 4.28 7.00% 683.9M 7.45B 1.61B 18M 138M (152M) 0 0 0 3B 0 3B 2.39% 4.09% 0 0 0 0 3B 0 3B 4.57 6.03% 656.7M 4.52 5.61% 663.3M 7.35B Key Financials and Business Management Net income is the bottom line of the company and is used to calculate value per share. Target’s net income continues to increase over time, even as new stores are opened. Target’s 2011 net income was $2.92B in 2011 and its 2012 net income was $2.93B. The expected net income for 2013 is estimated at $3.0B. This is a positive indicator that Target is financially sound and conducting business in a profitable manner. TARGET EXPANSION 10 In addition to the evaluation of the balance sheet and the income statement, it is also important to look at other key indicators. One way to determine the health of Target is to calculate specific financial ratios. Below , I review additional key indicators includinggross profit margin and return on investment. These ratios show liquidity, profitability, debt, operating performance, cash flow, and investment valuation (Fontinelle, 2013). Gross Profit Margin: 27.45% (from Income Statement, 2013) Return on Investment (ROI) = (gain from investment –cost of investment) cost of investment ROI = Gain from Investment: Target’s sales per store: $38.8 million (Hicken, 2012) ROI = Cost of investment per store: $12.4M(Construction costs,2013) ROI = (38.8M– 12.4M) 12.4M ROI = 212.9% per store (average) Depreciation and amortization of actual assets were included in the financial results statement summary as shown below. Depreciation and amortization show the loss of value of assets over time. Depreciation and amortization methods are used to spread the cost of an asset throughout its useful life and provide a more accurate picture of financial health (Latham, 2013). FINANCIAL RESULTS: (IN MILLIONS) Sales Credit card revenues Total revenues Cost of sales Selling, general and administrative expenses 2012 2011 $71,960 $68,466 1,341 1,399 73,301 69,865 50,568 47,860 14,914 14,106 TARGET EXPANSION Credit card expenses Depreciation and amortization Gain on receivables held for sale Earnings before interest expense and income taxes Net interest expense Earnings before income taxes Provision for income taxes Net earnings PER SHARE: Basic earnings per share Diluted earnings per share Cash dividends declared (Financial summary, 2013) 11 467 2,142 -161 5,371 762 4,609 1,610 $2,999 446 2,131 5,322 866 4,456 1,527 $2,929 2012 $4.57 $4.52 $1.38 2011 $4.31 $4.28 $1.15 In addition to depreciation and amortization, EBITDA is also used to show the health of a company’s financials as well as to compare companies in similar industries. EBITDA stands for earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization and shows the profitability of core operations. The EBITDA value for Target is found on the income statement. In 2011, Target’s EBITDA value was $7.34B. In 2012, the EBITDA value for Target was $7.45B. This value is significant in proving the good health that Target has achieved financially. My assumptions about how the business will perform are based on the abovekey financial numbers and historical trends. Net income is trending positive as well as sales and revenue. Even though we are in an ‘uncertain’ economy, Target is able to provide astounding numbers. Overall, the greatest indicator of financial health and stability for Target is net income. Because this number is substantial and continues to grow, it is evident that expansion is needed. The necessity for more local Target brick and mortar stores will increase as demand increases. In order to validate this concept, I investigated the industry outlook and reviewed Target’s competition. TARGET EXPANSION 12 Industry Outlook Target is a part of the department store industry sector. Department stores retail a broad range of general merchandise, such as apparel, jewelry, cosmetics, home furnishings, general household products, toys, appliances and sporting goods. Discount department stores are also included in this industry sector. It is important to note that big-box retailers and supercenters that offer fresh groceries in their stores and warehouse clubs that operate under membership programs are not included in this industry (Department stores, 2013). Industry Sector Review Department stores have been impacted from the recent downturn in the economy as shoppers have reduced spending. I believe that department stores will recover as shopper confidence increases. “Spending on discretionary goods sold by industry operators will improve alongside consumers' wallets, however, stores will have to keep an eye on online-only retailers, which will likely leech customers away from traditional stores by offering similar products at lower prices” (Department stores, 2013). Competition Review Not many department stores could manage increased sales during the recession, let alone the last decade. However, according to Business Insider, Target surpassed JCPenney, Sears, and Kmart during the last ten years. As shown above, Target's 2011 year-end sales were $68.5 billion which was more than double its 2001 revenues (Hicken, 2012). It is evident that Target was able to retain customers when other companies were not. Additionally, in 2001, Target’s average sales per store were $30.9 million, which were nearly double the same ratio for TARGET EXPANSION 13 JCPenney and Kmart and nearly triple the average sales per store for Sears(Hicken, 2012).And to top it off, Target continues to expand in store count. Target’s Growth Chart Year Store Count States 1969 17 4 1979 80 11 1989 399 31 1999 912 44 2002 1147 47 2003 1225 47 2004 1308 47 2005 1397 47 2006 1488 47 2007 1591 47 2008 1684 48 (Fast facts, 2009) Summary In conclusion, it is important to review Target’s financial history. In addition to the key financial metrics provided and analyzed above, it is also imperative to note that in the last two years, according to Hicken, Target opened roughly 700 new stores and as anticipated, sales numbers grew accordingly. In fact, in 2011, Target’s average sales per store were up to $38.8 million (Hicken, 2012). As CFO, I advise that the expansion proposal of 100 new stores in 2014 be brought to fruition. The upward trend in sales, revenue, profit margin, net income, assets and stockholders equity, and cash including EBITDA are all direct indicators that point to the fact that expansion at this time is not only appropriate, it is in high demand. Target scores higher than the competitors on multiple levels and continues to hold the customer base all while continuing to expand in the market. With Target’s cash flow and ability to use capital funds with high rate of TARGET EXPANSION return on investment, the expansion and growth of 100 new stores can and should be fully supported. 14 TARGET EXPANSION References Construction cost estimates for department stores. (2013) Reed construction.Retrieved from http://www.reedconstructiondata.com/rsmeans/models/department-store/. Department stores in the US: market research report. (2013). IBISWorld.Retrieved from http://www.ibisworld.com/industry/default.aspx?indid=1090. Fast facts.(2009). Retrieved from http://pressroom.target.com/news/fastfacts. Financial summary. (2013).Retrieved from https://corporate.target.com/annualreports/2012/financials/financial-summary. Fontinelle, A. (2013).Business plan: your financial plan. Investopedia.Retrieved from http://www.investopedia.com/university/business-plan/business-plan7.asp. Latham, A. (2013). Depreciation and amortization methods.SFGate.Retrieved from http://homeguides.sfgate.com/depreciation-amortization-methods-2881.html. Hicken, M. (2012). Watch how Target has completely destroyed its competition.Business insider.Retrieved from http://articles.businessinsider.com/2012-0307/strategy/31131100_1_sears-and-kmart-target-sales-drop. Mission and values.(2013). Retrieved from https://corporate.target.com/about/mission-values/. Target corporation. (2013). Market Watch.Retrieved from http://www.marketwatch.com/ investing/stock/TGT/financials/balance-sheet. The history of corporate: target corporation. (n.d.).Avista Capital Partners. Retrieved from http://www.thehistoryofcorporate.com/companies-by-industry/traderetail/targetcorporation/. 15