Lowe's Project - Linda S. Cordes (707)893-7410

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BAD 1 Financial Accounting-Section 0237

Barbara Croteau

Lowe’s Project

2009 Annual Report

Team #5: Kayla Alberigi; Linda Cordes; Jack Doran; Aunna

Melton and Greg Sien

Date: December 8, 2010

Fall 2010

Lowe’s Project

Table of Contents

Introduction .................................................................................................................................................. 3

Vertical Analysis of the Balance Sheet ........................................................................................................ 3

Percentage Rate of Change .......................................................................................................................... 8

Cost of Sales ................................................................................................................................................ 12

Horizontal Analysis of the Statement of Earnings .................................................................................... 15

Horizontal Analysis of the Statement of Cash Flows ................................................................................ 18

Ratio Calculation ........................................................................................................................................ 21

Profitability Ratios ................................................................................................................................... 21

Liquidity Ratios ........................................................................................................................................ 26

Solvency Ratios ....................................................................................................................................... 31

Market Tests ........................................................................................................................................... 34

Market Price ............................................................................................................................................... 36

Lowe’s Strengths and Weaknesses ............................................................................................................ 39

Strengths ................................................................................................................................................. 39

Weakness ................................................................................................................................................ 40

Two recommendations ........................................................................................................................... 41

Conclusion .................................................................................................................................................. 41

Appendix A (Graphs) .................................................................................................................................. 42

Appendix B.................................................................................................................................................. 58

Ratio calculations .................................................................................................................................... 58

Appendix C: (Charts) ........................................................................... Ошибка! Закладка не определена.

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Lowe’s Project

Introduction

This report focuses on vertical, horizontal and ratio analysis of Lowe’s Companies, Inc. financial statements for the five year period 2005 through 2009. The year 2009 came to an end on January 29, 2010 where a continuous downward trend beginning in 2006 when the real estate bubble just began to burst and the domino effect hit home improvement market. Using analysis Lowe’s financial performance will be compared to Home Depot, and assess their strengths and weaknesses in the market. Despite managements efforts to continue growth by improving profitability, general and specific economic problems continue to cause problems in the company’s market segment. The analysis will identify

Lowe’s position to survive this current financial crisis.

Vertical analysis of the financial statements computes the relationship between each item on a financial statement to a base figure representing 100%. Setting up vertical analysis over a five-year period will determine the relative composition of assets, liabilities, stockholders’ equity, revenues and expenses.

Horizontal analysis computes the percentage change for individual items in the financial statements from year to year. Trends in items on the financial statement can be determined as having increased, decreased or stayed constant. The current and quick ratios are two tests of liquidity that are computed and analyzed in order to assess Lowe’s ability to fulfill current obligations. The report begins with vertical analysis of the balance sheet.

Vertical Analysis of the Balance Sheet

During the five year period 2005 through 2009, the two largest assets have been merchandise inventory and property, net of accumulated depreciation. The third largest asset started out as short-term investments in 2005 and 2006, then in 2007, long-term investments were the third largest asset. Other noncurrent assets at 1.4% beat out short-term investments at 1.3% as the third largest asset. In 2009, cash and cash equivalents was the third largest asset at 1.9%. The third largest asset never exceeded two

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Lowe’s Project percent of Lowe’s total assets. In the five-year period, Lowe’s three largest assets exceeded 95% of the company’s total assets. See Table 1.1 below:

Lowe’s Three Largest Assets

Table 1.1

Cash and cash equivalents

2009

1.90%

2008 2007 2006

1.60% Short-term investments

Merchandise inventories 25.00%

68.20%

25.20% 24.70%

1.60%

25.70%

Long-term investments

Property, net

Other noncurrent assets

69.60%

1.40%

69.20% 68.30%

Total 95.10% 96.20% 95.50% 95.60%

Table 1.1: See Vertical Balance Sheet in appendix C, and a Bar Graph in appendix A

2005

1.80%

26.90%

66.40%

95.10%

Lowe’s largest asset is property which consists of all the land, stores, warehouses, and corporate offices they own. The stores and warehouses are critical assets to generating revenue as they house the inventories and provide retail space where customers can shop for products they want. The percentage of property to total assets increased between 2005 through 2008 before decreasing 1.4% in 2009 due to a higher write down of properties due to impairment. Lowe’s opened fewer stores in 2009 expending $1.8 billion in cash for the year; the increase in property was primarily offset by the $1,733 million of depreciation expense for the year. Therefore, the drop in property was due to $205 million in impairment write off for 2009 as found on page 25 of the 2009 annual report.

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Lowe’s Project

Cash and Cash Equivalents as a Percentage of Total Assets

Table 1.2

Lowe’s

2009

1.9%

2008

0.8%

Home Depot 3.5%

Table 1.2below: See Vertical Balance Sheet in appendix C.

1.3%

2007

0.9%

1.0%

2006

1.3%

1.1%

2005

1.7%

1.8%

Cash and cash equivalents have increased in 2009 for Lowe’s at 1.9% and Home Depot to 1.5%.

They both had stable cash and cash equivalents in 2005 and then experienced a fast and steady decline hitting a low in 2008 of 0.08% at Lowe’s and 1.3% for Home Depot. Both companies paid down shortterm debt and long-term debt. Lowe’s opened fewer stores and closed low performing stores.

Cash Ratio:

Table 1.3 2009 2008

Lowe's 0.07 0.03

Home Depot 0.14 0.05

Table 1.3 above: See Vertical Balance Sheet in appendix C.

2007

0.04

0.04

2006

0.06

0.05

2005

0.07

0.06

The cash ratio shows that Lowe’s has .07 cents of cash for every dollar of current liabilities in

2009. Home Depot has double the cash using this ratio in 2009, but back in 2005 and 2006 Lowe’s was slightly higher when they were both .04 in 2007 and in 2008 Lowe’s drops to .03 and Home Depot moves up to .05; finally, in 2009 Lowe’s increases to .07 and Home Depot jumps to .14. These ratios combined with cash and cash equivalents as a percentage of total assets show that both companies sufficiency of cash at the end of 2005, 2006, and 2009 is sufficient, while slipping a little too low in 2007 and 2008.

Both companies tightened up operations by closing low producing stores and increasing cash on hand after the sharp decline in real estate and home improvements slowed business in 2007 and 2008.

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Lowe’s Project

Lowe’s Three Largest Liabilities

Table 1.4 2009 2008 2007 2006

Accounts Payable 13.0% 12.6% 12.0% 12.7%

Other current liabilities 3.6% 4.1%

Long-term debt

Other long-term liabilities

13.7%

4.4%

15.4%

4.2%

18.1% 15.6%

Total 31.1% 32.2% 33.7% 32.4%

Table 1.4 above: See Vertical Balance Sheet in appendix C, and a Bar graph in appendix A.

2005

11.5%

5.1%

14.2%

30.8%

Accounts payable increases consistently from 11.5% in 2005 to 13% in 2009, and is consistently the second largest liability on the books. According to Lowe’s annual report page 36, the Company has an agreement with a third party which works out payment options with participating suppliers at a discounted price for early payment. The Company’s goal in entering into this arrangement is to capture overall supply chain savings. Long-term debt is any debt that will be repaid in a period longer than one year. According to Note 6 in the annual report long-term debt consists of Mortgage notes, notes senior notes, and capital leases and other. Long-term debt is the largest liability starting at 14.2% in 2005 and then increasing steadily to 18.1% in 2007, while dropping back to 2006 levels in 2008 to 15.4% and dropping again in 2009 to 13.7%. The third largest liability in 2009 of 4.4% and 2008 4.2% is other longterm liabilities, and in 2005 it is other current liabilities at 5.1%, 4.1% in 2006, and drops to 3.6% in

2007.

Table 1.5 2009 2008

Total current liabilities

Total liabilities

22.3%

42.2%

23.2%

44.7%

Stockholders' equity 57.8% 55.3%

Table 1.5 below: See Vertical Balance Sheet in appendix C.

2007

25.1%

47.9%

52.1%

2006

23.5%

43.4%

56.6%

2005

23.7%

42.0%

58.0%

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Lowe’s Project

The relative proportion of current liabilities to total liabilities is slowly decreasing. In 2005 total current liabilities are 56% of total liabilities, slipping to 54% in 2006, 52% in 2007 -2008 and 53% in

2009. According to the report on page 18, there is a trend of paying down current liabilities and while total liabilities increased from 2005 – 2007 only to slip in 2008 and again in 2009; they are clearly paying off debt and not expanding because inventory is moving slower, so Lowe’s doesn’t need to replace it.

The proportion of total liabilities compared to stockholders’ equity is the percentage of total liabilities / stockholders’ equity, also known as the debt to equity ratio, and it expresses a company’s debt as a proportion of its stockholders’ equity. In 2009 total liabilities is 73% of stockholders equity which is about the same as it was in2005, it means that for each $1 of stockholders’ equity. Lowe’s had .73cents worth of liabilities, and it slowly increased to .92 in 2007 only to decline to .81 in 2008. Because they are opening fewer stores and closing non performing stores (annual report page 18&19) total liabilities have decreased in 2009. Total stockholder equity went from .58 in 2005 and then steadily declined in 2006 to

.57 and .52in 2007. It seems to bottom out and then climb back up in 2008 to .55and then again in 2009 to

.58. Debt is risky to a company because of interest which must be paid regardless of sufficient income.

Therefore, Lowe’s is putting itself in position to weather the current slowdown by keeping this ratio low making them a safe company for creditors to loan money to.

The two major components to stockholders’ equity are retained earnings and contributed capital.

Retained earnings increased from 49.5% in 2005 to 53.5% in 2006. It then decreased to 49.7% in 2007, only to move back up to 52.3% in 2008 and then increased again in2009 to 55.5%. Retained earnings equals beginning retained earnings plus net income minus dividends. So net income is increasing or dividends are no longer being declared. According to Lowe’s annual report on page 41 note 7, the

Company has a share repurchase program that is implemented through purchases from the open market or through private transactions. These shares are retired and return to authorized and unissued status. Of the shares repurchased 1.9 billion was recorded as a reduction in retained earnings. Contributed capital results from owners providing cash (and sometimes other assets) to businesses. Owners invest in the business

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Lowe’s Project and receive shares of stock as evidence of ownership. Sale or purchase of stocks affect contributed capital.

***

Using the horizontal analysis of the balance sheet, we have answered the following questions on percentage rate of change between Lowe’s and Home Depot. Comparing cash and cash equivalents from

2005 through 2009, we will explain the trend in this asset over those years. Having calculated the current and quick ratios for the same years and tabling the data, Lowe’s liquidity will be evaluated. Tables are set up to show the percent rate of change in assets, merchandise inventory and property, less accumulated depreciation from 2005 through 2009. What is the trend change in these two assets and what has caused this trend? We will also table accounts payable, long-term debt and retained earnings and answer the question what is the trend change in these sources of financing and what has caused these trends?

Percentage Rate of Change

Table 2.3 shows the trend in both companies has been to hold on to cash. Lowe’s went from four years of mostly borrowing and investing to a 170% jump in cash and cash equivalents, and Home Depot in 2005 started with a 56.7% cash and cash equivalents to two consecutive years of borrowing. And then again in 2008 they held on to cash and a huge increase in cash and cash equivalents in 2009. Cash being king, in an unstable economy companies start holding on to cash and slow up borrowing.

Percentage rate of change for Cash and Cash equivalents

Table 2.3

Lowe's

2009

158%

2008

-12.8%

2007

-2.28%

2006

-13.9%

Home Depot 173.8% 16.6% -25.8% -24.3%

Table 2.3: See Horizontal Balance Sheet in appendix C, and graph in appendix A.

2005

-20.2%

56.7%

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Lowe’s Project

Table 2.1 Current ratio shows that Lowe’s had $1.32 in current assets for each $1.00 in current liabilities, and Home Depot had $1.34 in current assets for each $1.00 in current liabilities. The current ratio measures the cushion of working capital that companies maintain to allow for the inevitable unevenness in the flow of funds through the working capital accounts. The ratio would be seen as strong because of Lowe’s and Home Depot’s ability to generate cash.

Current Ratio

Table 2.1

Lowe's

Home Depot

2009

1.32

1.34

2008

1.22

1.20

2007

1.12

1.15

Table 2.1: See Horizontal Balance Sheet in appendix C, and graph in appendix A.

2006

1.27

1.39

2005

1.34

1.20

Current Ratio = Current Assets/Current Liabilities

Table 2.2 Quick ratio shows that in 2010 Lowe’s had .14 cents in cash and near cash assets for every $1.00 in current liabilities, and Home Depot had .23 cents for every $1.00 in current liabilities. The quick ratio is a measure of the safety margin that is available to meet a company’s current liabilities.

Home Depot is in a better position than Lowe’s using this ratio.

Quick Ratio

Table 2.2

Lowe's

2009

0.14

2008

0.09

2007

0.07

Home Depot 0.23 0.13 0.14

Table 2.2: See Horizontal Balance Sheet in appendix C, and graph in appendix A.

2006

0.12

0.3

Quick Ratio = Quick Assets/Current Liabilities (quick assets include cash, short-term investments, and accounts receivable {net the allowance for doubtful accounts})

2005

0.15

0.25

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Lowe’s Project

Tables 2.4 and 2.5 shows Merchandise inventory and Property less accumulated depreciation are both shrinking. Both companies are selling off inventory that they are not replacing at the same rate, and

Property is no longer increasing but rather remaining stable because they slowed store openings and closed stores decreasing Property Plant and Equipment. They appear to be decreasing overhead and keeping their costs under control wherever they can. The housing bubble was creating an increase in merchandise inventory to keep up with the demand of money flowing into the housing market. When the bubble burst in 2008, and the banks pulled back lending because there wasn’t any cash available, businesses had a sharp decline in sales rather abruptly. Between the housing bubble and the financial crisis, Lowe’s slowly began closing down stores that are not bringing in a profit.

Percentage rate change for Merchandise Inventory

Table 2.4

Lowe's

Home Depot

2009

0.005

-0.045

2008

0.079

-0.09

2007

0.065

-0.085

2006

0.077

0.125

Table 2.4 and 2.5: See Horizontal Balance Sheet in appendix C, and graph in appendix A.

Percentage rate change for Property, less accumulated depreciation

2005

0.122

0.132

Table 2.5

Lowe's

Home Depot

2009

-0.01

0.018

2008

0.064

-0.012

2007

0.126

0.005

2006

0.16

0.054

Tables 2.6 through 2.8 shows accounts payable, long-term debt and retained earnings are all decreasing. It makes sense that if merchandise inventory is shrinking then accounts payable would be also. If the company isn’t buying inventory, then it wouldn’t be paying for it either. Long-term debt is decreasing along with property because property is long-term debt. Retained earnings is shrinking

2005

0.176

0.143

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Lowe’s Project because overall sales are down, and they are compensating by shutting down low performing stores that are not carrying a substantial profit to offset the losses.

Table 2.6

Lowe's

Home Depot

Percentage rate of change for Accounts Payable

2009

0.043

0.009

2008

0.107

-0.159

2007

0.054

-0.221

2006

0.244

0.219

2005

0.051

0.046

Table 2.7

Lowe's

Home Depot

Percentage rate of change for long-term debt

2009

-0.101

-0.104

2008

-0.096

-0.151

2007

0.289

-0.022

2006

0.236

3.357

2005

0.143

0.244

Table 2.8

Lowe's

Percentage rate of change for retained earnings

2009

0.074

2008

0.111

2007

0.033

2006

0.219

Home Depot 0.094 0.062 -0.655 0.142

Table 2.6 through 2.8: See Horizontal Balance Sheet in appendix C, and graph in appendix A

2005

0.265

0.208

The entire trend is toward shrinking and not expanding. Both businesses have been hit by the current financial crisis that we have all been affected by. According to the report on page 19, even with economic uncertainty Lowe’s is encouraged by recent results in 2009 and believes that the worst of the economic cycle is behind them. If they continue closing slow producing stores during the downtrend and attempt to minimize their losses, they will weather this recession and eventually stabilize or hopefully expand again. In the 2009 annual report they talk about their business outlook as of February 22, 2010, the date of their fourth quarter 2009 earnings release, they expect to open 40-45 stores during 2010,

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Lowe’s Project resulting in square footage growth and expected sales increase of 4 to 6% and expect to make share repurchasing during 2010 it is not assumed.

***

Cash flow from operating activities continued to provide the primary source of liquidity. The decrease in net cash flows was primarily driven by lower net earnings, offset by working capital improvements. The decrease in net cash used in investing was driven by a 45% decline in property acquired due to reduction in their store expansion program. The increase in cash used in financing was attributed to a billion net repayment related to short-term borrowings share repurchases.

Cost of Sales

Lowe’s cost of sales begins at 65.8% in 2005, then for the next two years it begins to decline and then a small increase in 2008 only to drop again in 2009. Because of the rise and fall the gross profit percent’s also slowly increasing until 2008 and then drops only to increase again in 2009. As expected gross profit decreases when cost of sales increases because if you’re paying more for your merchandise and not increasing your prices of course your profit decreases.

Percentage of Cost of Sales and Gross Profit

Table 3.1

Cost of Sales

2009 2008 2007

65.1 65.8 65.4

Gross Profit 34.9 34.2 34.6

Table 3.1: See Lowe’s Vertical Statement of Earnings in appendix C.

2006

65.5

34.5

2005

65.8

34.2

According to the footnotes on page 37 of the Lowe’s 2009 Annual Report, the items captured for cost of sales are as follows:

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Lowe’s Project

Cost of Sales

Total cost of products sold, including:

-Purchase costs, net of vendor funds

-Freight expenses associated with moving merchandise inventories from vendors to retail stores.

-Costs associated with operation the Company’s distribution network, including payroll and benefit costs and occupancy costs;

Cost of installation service provided;

Costs associated with delivery of products directly from vendors to customers by third parties;

Costs associated with inventory shrinkage and obsolescence.

The total percentages for the two largest expenses have increased in recent years because they are expenses, and expenses are subtracted from gross profit, they have a negative effect on net earnings.

Lowe’s is using a strategy of having a sufficient number of well trained workers available to its customers, rather than cutting costs at the expense of providing good service.

Two Largest Expenses

Selling, General, Advertising and

Administrative Expenses

Depreciation

Total

Table 3.2 2009 2008 2007

24.8%

3.4%

28.2%

23.0%

3.2%

26.2%

21.8%

2.8%

24.6%

Table 3.2: See Lowe’s Vertical Statement of Earnings in appendix C.

2006

20.8%

2.5%

23.3%

2005

20.8%

2.3%

23.1%

Again referring to the footnotes on page 37 of the Lowe’s Annual Report, General and

Administrative Expenses the following lists the primary costs classified in each major expense category.

Selling, General and Administrative

Payroll and benefit costs for retail and corporate employees;

Occupancy costs of retail and corporate facilities;

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Lowe’s Project

Advertising;

Costs associated with delivery of products from stores to customers;

Third-party, in-store service costs;

 Tender costs, including bank charges, costs associated with accepting the Company’s proprietary credit cards;

Costs associated with self insured plans, and premium costs for stop-loss coverage and fully insured plans;

Long-lived asset impairment losses and gains/losses on disposal of assets;

Other administrative cost, such as supplies, and travel and entertainment.

The combined percentages for Lowe’s had a steady increase through the years except for a brief decrease in 2006. Otherwise Lowe’s and Home Depot have steadily increased their expenses despite the economic troubles. Home Depot had a solid and steady increase from 2005 straight through to

2008, but then dropped slightly in 2009. Home Depot’s total in 2009 was 90.1% just ahead of Lowe’s at

89. 9%. Lowe’s and Home Depot are using different strategies. Although they had higher numbers Home

Depot was not as constant as Lowe’s.

Combined Percentages of Cost of Sales and SG&A

Table 3.3

Lowe's

Home Depot

2009

89.90%

90.10%

2008

88.80%

91.30%

2007

87.20%

88.40%

Table 3.3: See Lowe’s Vertical Statement of Earnings in appendix C.

2006

86.30%

86.80%

2005

86.60%

86.40%

In comparing both Lowe’s and Home Depot, both companies are increasing the percentages of their expenses, but Home Depot’s decrease is because its sales are dropping at the same rate as the cost of sales, and its operating expenses were increasing as a percent because of lower sales, but the amount in

2005 for SG&A was $15,480 (21%) is very close to 2009 at $15,902 (24%) while cost of sales in 2005 was $51,081 (66.3%) and decreases to $43,764 (66.1%) in 2009. Lowe’s, on the other hand, actually

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Lowe’s Project increased SG&A form$9,014 (20.8%) to $11,688 (24.8%) because of its commitment to keeping up customer service, it kept more of its well trained staff. Lowe’s cost of sales increased from $28,443

(65.8%) in 2005 to $30,757 (65.1%) in 2009. Home Depot’s net sales dropped from $77,019 in 2005 to

$66,176 in 2009, and Lowe’s actually increased from $43,243 in 2005 to $47,220 in 2009. Based on these numbers Lowe’s

is still increasing sales which indicate that its decision to keep sufficient well trained employees and maintain customer service is a smart one.

***

Next the report focuses on the horizontal analysis of Lowe’s Companies, Inc. financial statements for the five year period 2005 through 2009. This horizontal analysis compares the percentage of change from each successive year the totals of net sales, cost of sales, and selling, advertising, general and administrative expenses from 2005 through 2009. Through this horizontal analysis, the rate of change can be viewed to see how net sales and cost of sales alter gross profit. Net earnings will also be put into perspective when net sales are compared to the largest expense category of selling, advertising, general and administrative expenses. Then Lowe’s can be compared to its largest competitor Home Depot.

Horizontal Analysis of the Statement of Earnings

First, the cost of sales will be compared to net sales for the years 2005 through 2009. Both net sales and cost of sales increased at a very similar rate from 2005 through 2007. This started out at approximately 18% in 2005, followed by a smaller increase of approximately 8% in 2006, and again a smaller increase of approximately 2.8% in 2007. The year 2008 saw no major change in either net sales or cost of sales. Net sales and cost of sales both decreased at a similar rate during the year 2009. During

2009 the percentage dropped was approximately 2.5%. These percentages show us that both net sales and cost of sales are directly related to one another. Gross profit is net sales minus the cost of sales and selling. Since the percentages were so similar, gross profit follows the percentages increased from 2005 through 2007 before dropping in 2008 and 2009 during the housing slump and slowdown in the economy.

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Lowe’s Project

Next, net sales will be compared with selling, advertising, general and administrative expenses.

As stated previously, net sales grew even though at a slower rate each year from 2005 through 2007 before dropping in the years 2008 and 2009. Selling, advertising, general and administrative expenses grew all five years from 2005 through 2009 even through the downturn in the economy that provided the decrease in net sales. Net Earnings is directly affected by the comparison of net sales and selling, advertising, general and administrative expenses. Net earnings increased in 2005 and 2006 when both net sales and expenses rose. The years 2007 through 2009 saw net earnings decrease each year as selling, advertising, general, and administrative expenses continued to grow while net sales saw a downturn.

Table 4.1

Net Sales

Cost of Sales

Selling, advertising, general and administrative expenses

Lowe’s Percentage Rate of Change from 2005 to 2009

2009

-2.1%

2008

-0.1%

2007

2.9%

2006

8.5%

2005

18.60%

-3.1%

5.5%

0.5%

5.3%

2.7%

8%

8%

8%

17.50%

19.20%

Table 4.1: See Horizontal Consolidated Statement of Earnings in appendix C, and a Bar Graph in appendix A

Lastly, the comparison of Lowe’s and Home Depot will be made. These companies sell the same products and provide the same services, so they are competitive rivals. The downturn in the economy sparked by the housing crisis should affect both of these companies very similarly. In 2005, both companies saw an increase in net earnings with Lowe’s posting an increase of 27.3% and Home Depot posting a 16.7% increase. The year 2006 began to show the differences in the way these companies were run. Lowe’s again posted a gain of 12.1% while Home Depot posted its first loss at -1.3%. With the downturn in the economy in full swing, both companies fell in 2007 and 2008 but Home Depot seemed to

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Lowe’s Project be hit harder. Lowe’s showed a drop of -9.5% and -21.9% in 2007 and 2008 respectively while Home

Depot showed losses of -23.7% and -48.6%. The year 2009 also showed a significant change in the companies. Lowe’s continued to drop by -18.8% while Home Depot rose by 17.7%. Later the reasons for these differences will be discussed. All data and ratios can be found in the appendices.

Net Earning’s Rate of Change from 2005 to 2009

Table 4.2 2009 Change 2008 Change in Percentage in Percentage

2007 Change 2006 Change in Percentage in Percentage

2005 Change in Percentage

Lowe’s -18.8%

Home Depot 17.7%

-21.9%

-48.6%

-9.5%

-23.7%

12.1%

-1.3%

27.3%

16.7%

Table 4.2: See Horizontal Consolidated Statement of Earnings in appendix C, and a Bar Graph in appendix A

***

This section focuses on horizontal analysis of the statement of Cash Flows, which displays the change in each cash flow account from the previous year. Operating, Investing, and Financing Activities rates of change were calculated by dividing the change in the current account from the previous year’s number over the previous year’s account value. The degree and direction of change provides insight into a company’s past and current financial strategy. Everything from organizational expansion to budget cuts is portrayed in horizontal analysis of the statement of cash flows.

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Lowe’s Project

Horizontal Analysis of the Statement of Cash Flows

Table 5.1

Rate of change Lowes vs. Home Depot (Operating Activities)

2009 2008 2007 2006

Lowes -1.60% -5.20% -3.40% 17.20%

Home Depot -7.30% -3.50% -25.20% 15.70%

2005

25.00%

-0.20%

Table 5.1: See Statement of Cash flows in appendix C, and a Bar Graph in appendix A.

Over these five years, the rate of change in net cash from operating activities has not been constant for either company. In the comparison of Lowe’s to Home Depot, from 2005 to 2006 Home

Depot’s rate increased significantly while Lowe’s percentage decreased slightly. In 2006-2007, Lowe’s rate decreased much less than Home Depot, but both plunged into the negative values. From 2007-2008 the tides turned and Lowe’s rate decreased while Home Depot made a significant increase. Finally, in

2008-2009 Lowe’s percentage increased and Home Depot decreased. Lowe’s rate of change of net cash from operating activities over the five-year span has slightly increased in comparison with Home Depots.

The biggest difference between the $4,054 million in the net flow from operations and the $1,783 million in the net earning account is the addition of depreciation to the Operating Activities account.

Lowes uses the indirect method for calculating the Statement of Cash Flows, which starts with Net earnings then adjusts for non-cash transactions. Since depreciation and amortization is not a cash transaction, it doesn’t affect the cash position, but is deducted in calculating Net earnings. Its large number of buildings, trucks, and equipment produces its sizeable Depreciation and amortization expense.

Rate of change of Investing and Financing Activities

Table 5.2 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005

Investing Activities -41.5% -21.8 11.0% 1.1%

Financing Activities 91.8% 205.9% -63.7% 207.6%

Table 5.2: See Statement of Cash flows in appendix C, and a Bar Graph in appendix A.

55.6%

-73.7%

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Lowe’s Project

Lowes saw their cash from investing increase less and less each year from 2005-2007. During this period, Lowes boosted their short-term investments and acquired property at an increasing rate each year.

The company was expanding and putting higher amounts of capital into the purchasing of fixed assets, which is why their net investing cash flow was increasingly negative. In 2008 and 2009, the rate of change in their net cash used in investing activities account fell into the negatives. This trend of negativity began in conjunction with the four quarters of economic recession in 2007 to 2008. The demand for

Lowes to increase their store numbers at steady rate decreased, so they purchased less property than in previous years.

Lowe’s financing activities has been all over the map in the last five years. In 2004 and 2005

Lowe’s did not borrow for the short-term and were gearing up for heavy expansion. In 2006 and 2007 the company was expanding rapidly and generated capital through both short-term borrowing and the issuance of stock. The economic down turn in 2008 and 2009 forced Lowes to stop expanding at such a rate, which directly decreased their need to borrow. In these years they stopped borrowing in the shortterm and even started buying back their existing stock.

Table 5.3

Net cash provided by operating activities

Purchases of fixed assets

2009

4,054

1,799

2008

4,122

3,266

2007

4,347

4,010

2006

4,502

3,916

2005

3,842

3,379

Table 5.3: See Statement of Cash flows in appendix C, and a Bar Graph in appendix A.

The purchasing of fixed assets has not been greater than the cash provided by operating activities in the last five years. It was close during the intense growth stage, but did not overtake the net cash provided by operating activities.

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Lowe’s Project

Table 5.4

ROE

ROA

Financial Leverage position

Earnings per share (Basic)

Quality of Income

Profit Margin

Fixed Asset Turnover

Cash Ratio

2009

21.45% 12.85% 17.65% 20.69% 21.45%

5.98%

3.63%

$1.21

2.27

3.80%

2.09

0.09

2008

7.46%

5.39%

$1.50

1.88

4.60%

2.19

0.03

2007

9.99%

7.66%

$1.89

1.55

5.80%

2.39

0.04

2006

12.22%

8.47%

$2.02

1.45

6.60%

2.66

0.06

Inventory turnover

Quick Ratio

3.74

0.14

10.84

4.01

0.09

13.52

4.28

0.07

24.25

4.46

0.12

33.45 Times Interest Earned

Cash Coverage 17.6

0.73

18.02

0.81

31.67

0.92

37.5

0.77 Debt to Equity

Current Ratio 1.32

18.17

1.22

12.18

1.12

13.98

1.27

16.69 Price/Earnings

Dividends Yield

Total Asset Turnover

1.60%

1.44

7.33

1.80%

1.52

8.11

1.10%

1.65

8.72

0.50%

1.79

9.67 Accounts Payable Turnover

Capital Acquisitions Ratio 2.25 1.26 1.08 1.15

Table 5.3: See Statement of Cash flows in appendix C, and a Bar Graph in appendix A.

2005

12.54%

8.92%

$1.78

1.39

6.40%

2.86

0.07

0.30%

1.89

10.29

1.14

4.53

0.15

29.52

32.42

0.72

1.34

17.85

***

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Lowe’s Project

The report will now look at each ratio, describe how it is calculated, what it measures, whether the company has high or low, increasing or decreasing, or steady ratio and whether the ratio is good or bad for the company in terms of liquidity, profitability, solvency or the market’s view of the company.

Ratio Calculation

Profitability Ratios

:

Return on equity relates income earned to the investment made by the owners. It is calculated by dividing the net income by the average stockholder’s equity. Simply put, it is as simple as investors expect to earn more money if they invest more. If any two investments offer a $10,000 return, but one requires a $100,000 investment and the other a $250,000 investment of course the first investment of

$100,000 is a better return. It’s as simple as risking the least amount of money for the highest return on the investment.

Return on Equity for Lowe’s

Table 6.1

Lowe’s Net income

Lowe’s Average shareholder equity

Lowe’s ROE

2009

1,783

18,562

9.6%

Table 6.1: See Ratio calculations in appendix C

2008

2,195

17,077

12.9%

2007

2,809

15,912

17.7%

2006

3,105

15,011

20.7%

2005

2,771

12,916

21.5%

Looking at the return on equity for Lowe’s, back in 2005 it was almost double what it is in 2009.

It dropped from 21.5% to 9.6%. The drop is mostly attributed to an increase in average shareholder equity and a decrease in net income. Table 6.1 shows the net income and how it mostly decreased from 2005

2009 except for a small increase in 2006, and it also shows average shareholders’ equity for the same for the same period has been steadily increasing causing ROE to decrease.

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Lowe’s Project

Lowe’s vs. Home Depot’s ROE

Table 6.3 2009 2008 2007 2006

Lowe's ROE 9.6% 12.9% 17.7% 20.7%

Home Depot's ROE 14.1% 13.0% 19.7%

Table 6.2: See Ratio calculations in appendix C, and a line Graph in appendix A

20.3%

2005

21.5%

22.1%

Comparing Lowe’s to Home Depot helps in deciding if the percent is a good return or a bad one.

In 2009 the ROE for Lowe’s was 9.6% while Home Depot was 14.1%, these percents suggest that Home

Depot’s decision to hire new management to improve performance is working.

Return on assets is another test of profitability that compares income to the total assets used to earn the income. It can be seen as a better measure than ROE of management’s ability to utilize assets effectively because it is not affected by financing. If return on equity is high for a company that has high debt and another company earned the same return on the same amount of assets but borrowed less money having less debt is better.

Return on Assets

Table 6.3 2009 2008 2007 2006

Lowe's ROA

Home Depot's ROA

6.0%

7.4%

7.5%

6.3%

10.0%

9.6%

Table 6.3: See Ratio calculations in appendix C, and a line Graph in appendix A.

12.2%

11.4%

2005

12.5%

13.7%

According to Table 6.3 Home Depot is doing a better job of utilizing their assets in 2005 and

2009, but Lowe’s had the advantage in 2006-2008.

Financial leverage percentage measures the advantage or disadvantage that occurs when a company’s return on equity differs from its return on assets (ROE-ROA). According to the book financial leverage was defined as the proportion of assets acquired with funds supplied by owners, and the financial

22

Lowe’s Project leverage percentage describes the relationship between the return on equity and the return on assets.

Leverage is positive when the rate of return on a company’s assets exceeds the average after-tax interest rate on its borrowed funds.

Financial Leverage Percent

Table 6.4 2009

Lowe's ROE

Lowe's ROA

9.6%

6.0%

Lowe's financial leverage

Home Depot's financial leverage

Table 6.4: See Ratio calculations in appendix C

3.6%

6.7%

2008

12.9%

7.5%

5.4%

6.7%

2007

17.7%

10.0%

7.7%

10.1%

2006

20.7%

12.2%

8.5%

8.9%

2005

21.5%

12.5%

9.0%

8.4%

Looking at table 6.4 above Home Depot’s financial leverage looks stronger than Lowe’s in 2009.

In 2005 Lowe’s had a slight advantage to Home Depot. In 2006 Lowe’s financial leverage began decreasing and continued straight through to 2009, mostly because of the decision to let stockholder’s equity almost double from 11,535 in 2005 to 19,069 in 2009, causing ROE to decrease by more than half in the same period. If a company borrows funds at an after-tax rate of return, the difference increases to the benefit of the owners. Home Depot has done a better job of utilizing this advantage. Lowe’s financial leverage ratio is lower than Home Depot’s, because it utilizes less debt in its capital structure.

Earnings per share is calculated by dividing net income by average number of shares of common stock outstanding, and according to the book, it is a measure of return on investment based on the number of shares outstanding instead of the dollar amounts reported on the balance sheet. EPS is said to be the single most widely watched ratio.

23

Lowe’s Project

Earnings per Share

Taable 6.5 2009 2008 2007 2006

Lowe's $ 1.21 $ 1.50 $ 1.89 $ 2.02

Home Depot $ 1.56 $ 1.37 $ 2.28 $ 2.56

Table 6.5: See Ratio calculations in appendix C, and a line Graph in appendix A.

2005

$ 1.78

$ 2.64

Home Depot has higher earnings per share than Lowe’s in every year except 2008 when Lowe’s jumped ahead briefly. Analysts are normally concerned about the quality of a company’s earnings because these numbers can be manipulated by using different accounting procedures to report higher income. One method of evaluating the quality of a company’s earnings is to compare its reported earnings to its cash flows from operating activities this is done by dividing cash flows from operating activities by net income.

Quality of Income

Table 6.6 2009 2008 2007 2006

Lowe's

Home Depot

$ 2.27

$ 1.96

$ 1.88

$ 2.39

$ 1.55

$ 1.36

$ 1.45

$ 1.45

Table 6.6: See Ratio calculations in appendix C, and a line Graph in appendix A.

2005

$ 1.39

$ 1.17

A quality of income ratio that is higher than 1 indicates high-quality earnings, because for every dollar of income there is one dollar or more of cash flow. If the ratio is below 1 it represents lower quality earnings. The quality of earnings is stronger at Lowe’s consistently every year except 2008 where it slipped slightly and came back stronger in 2009.

The percentage of each sales dollar, on average, that represents profit is referred to as the profit margin. It is calculated by dividing net income by net sales revenue. Profit margin is a good measure of operating efficiency

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Lowe’s Project

Profit Margin

Table 6.7 2009 2008 2007 2006

Lowe's 3.8% 4.6% 5.8%

Home Depot 4.0% 3.2% 5.4%

Table 6.7: See Ratio calculations in appendix C, and a line Graph in appendix A.

6.6%

6.7%

2005

6.4%

7.3%

Table 6.7 shows that in 2009 each dollar Lowe’s sales generated 3.8 cents of profit, and Home

Depot generated 4 cents of profit for every dollar. Although the difference might seem small it represents a huge advantage for Home Depot. Profit margin is a good measure of operating efficiency, but be careful when comparing different industries because it doesn’t consider the resource (i.e., total investment) needed to earn income. Some industries have high volume with low profit margin (i.e., food) and others have low volume with high profit (i.e. jewelry) both are profitable. The trade-off between profit margin and sales volume can be stated in simple terms: Which is better 5 percent of $1,000,000 or 10 percent of

$100,000? So a larger profit margin is not always better.

Fixed asset turnover compares sales volume with a company’s investment in fixed assets. The ratio is computed by dividing net sales revenue by average net fixed assets. The fixed asset turnover ratio is used to analyze capital-intensive companies (i.e. utilities, airlines). Companies that hold large amounts of inventory and accounts receivable, analysts often prefer to use the asset turnover ratio.

Fixed Asset Turnover Ratio

Table 6.8

Lowe's

2009

$ 2.09

2008

$ 2.19

2007

$ 2.39

2006

$ 2.66

Home Depot $ 2.56 $ 2.65 $ 2.86 $ 3.07

Table 6.8: See Ratio calculations in appendix C, and a line Graph in appendix A.

2005

$ 2.86

$ 3.23

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Lowe’s Project

Home Depot consistently had a higher fixed asset turnover ratio than Lowe’s from 2005-2009. So

Home Depot had a competitive advantage over Lowe’s in terms of its ability to effectively utilize its fixed assets to generate revenue. In 2009 for each dollar Home Depot invested in property plant and equipment, the company was able to earn $2.56 in sales revenue, and Lowe’s only earned $2.09 in sales revenue for similar investments. This comparison indicates that management of Home Depot was able to operate more efficiently than Lowe’s.

Total Asset Turnover Ratio

Table 6.9 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005

Lowe's $ 1.44 $ 1.52 $ 1.65 $ 1.79 $ 1.89

Home Depot $ 1.61 $ 1.67 $ 1.60 $ 1.63

Table 6.9: Table 6.11: See Ratio calculations in appendix C, and a line Graph in appendix A.

$ 1.85

In 2009 Home Depot was able to generate $1.61 in revenue for each dollar invested in assets. In comparison, Lowe’s in the same year only generated $1.44 in revenue for each dollar invested in assets.

Both turnover ratios indicate that Home Depot was able to operate more efficiently than Lowe’s over all.

Lowe’s did have a higher total asset turnover ratio in 2005-2007.

Profitability for Lowe’s looks positive, even in such uncertain times. Lowe’s decision to close some stores and slow the opening of new stores, all while concentrating energy on the strategy of maintaining a well trained staff and keeping a sufficient number of employees on hand is paying off.

Liquidity Ratios

:

Liquidity refers to a company’s ability to meet its currently maturing debts. Tests of liquidity focus on the relationship between current assets and current liabilities. This ability to pay current liabilities is an important factor in evaluating a company’s short-term financial strength. If the company

26

Lowe’s Project does not have cash available to pay for purchases on a timely basis it will lose cash discounts and could have its credit discontinued by vendors.

Because cash is the lifeblood of the business, without cash, a company cannot pay its employees or meet its obligations to creditors. The cash ratio is a measure of the adequacy of cash available. The cash ratio is calculated by dividing cash plus cash equivalents by current liabilities.

Cash Ratio

Table 6.10 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005

Lowe's 0.09 0.03 0.04 0.06

Home Depot 0.14 0.05 0.04 0.05

Table 6.10: Table 6.11: See Ratio calculations in appendix C, and a line Graph in appendix A.

0.07

0.06

Table 6.10 indicates that Home Depot had a higher cash ratio in 2008 and 2009, but Lowe’s was higher in 2005 and 2006 and they were the same in 2007. The trend was down from 2005-2008 and then increased in 2009. In 2009 Lowe’s had 9 cents of cash for each $1 of current liabilities, and Home Depot had 14 cents on hand for every $1 of current liabilities. Most analysts say that it is ok to keep a small cash ratio because it is not necessary to hold excess cash. It is far better to invest the cash in productive assets or reduce debt.

The relationship between total current assets and total current liabilities on a specific date is the current ratio. To calculate the current ratio divide current assets by current liabilities. This ratio measures the cushion of working capital that companies use to allow for the unevenness in the flow of funds through the working capital accounts.

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Lowe’s Project

Current Ratio

Table 6.11 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005

Lowe's $ 1.32 $ 1.22 $ 1.12 $ 1.27 $ 1.34

Home Depot $ 1.34 $ 1.20 $ 1.15 $ 1.39 $ 1.20

Table 6.11: See Ratio calculations in appendix C, and a line Graph in appendix A.

In 2009 Lowe’s had $1.32 in current assets for every $1 in current liabilities, and Home Depot has a $1.34 in current assets for every $ 1 in current liabilities. Most analysts would consider both to be fairly strong considering both companies ability to generate cash. Customers expect to find merchandise in the store when they want it, and it is difficult to predict customer behavior most retailers have comparatively high current ratios because they must carry large inventories. Home Depot maintains an inventory of 50,000 different products in each store.

The quick ratio compares quick assets (cash and near-cash assets) to current liabilities. It is calculated by dividing quick assets by current liabilities, and is a safety margin that is available to meet a company’s current liabilities.

Quick Ratio

Table 6.12 2009 2008 2007 2006

Lowe's

Home Depot

0.14

0.23

0.09

0.13

0.07

0.14

Table 6.12: See Ratio calculations in appendix C, and a line Graph in appendix A.

0.12

0.30

2005

0.15

0.25

Lowe’s has 14 cents in cash and near-cash for every $1 in current liabilities. Although the number is low the trend is upward again and that is a good sign. Home Depot has 23 cents for every $1 in current liabilities better than Lowe’s and again the trend is in the right direction.

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Lowe’s Project

Inventory turnover is a measure of both liquidity and operating efficiency. It reflects the relationship of inventory to the volume of goods sold during the period. It is calculated by dividing cost of goods sold by average inventory. An increase in this ratio is usually favorable, because most companies realize profit when inventory is sold. If it is too high that could be an indicator that sales were lost because of a lack of stock on hand. Lost sales can be higher than lost profit, because when the customer goes to a competitor to find it the competitor could establish a business relationship with the customer.

Inventory Turnover

Table 6.13a 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005

Lowe's 3.74 4.01 4.28 4.46 4.53

Home Depot 4.20 4.22 4.18 4.33 4.76

Table 6.13a: Table 6.11: See Ratio calculations in appendix C, and a line Graph in appendix A.

Inventory was turned over 3.74 times per year in 2009 at Lowe’s down from 4.53 in 2005. Home

Depots’ inventory was turned over 4.20 times per year in 2009 also up from 2005 when it was 4.76 times.

Home Depots’ numbers reveal a significant advantage in inventory management they have over Lowe’s.

To compute days’ supplies in inventory just divide days in year by inventory turnover ratio. Table 6.13b, shows that in 2009, Lowes supplies are sitting in inventory about 10 days longer than Home Depot’s are.

Only in 2006 and 2007 did Lowe’s move inventory faster than Home Depot.

Days’ Supply in Inventory

Table 6.13b

Lowe's

2009 2008 2007 2006

97.7 91 85.3 81.8

Home Depot 87.0 86.4 87.3

Table 6.13b: See Ratio calculations in appendix C, and a line Graph in appendix A.

84.2

2005

80.5

76.7

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Lowe’s Project

Accounts turnover ratio is computed by dividing cost of goods sold by average accounts payable, and it measures how quickly management is paying trade accounts. A high accounts payable ratio normally suggests that a company is paying its suppliers in a timely manner.

Accounts Payable Turnover Ratio

Table 6.14a 2009 2008 2007 2006

Lowe's 7.33 8.11 8.72 9.67

Home Depot 9.04 8.96 7.85

Table 6.14a: See Ratio calculations in appendix C, and a line Graph in appendix A.

7.84

2005

10.29

8.66

From 2005 through 2007 Lowe’s had a higher accounts payable ratio than Home Depot until

2008 and 2009 when Home Depot increased its ratio and beat Lowe’s. However, because Lowe’s carries more diverse inventory it doesn’t compare to Home Depot.

Days to Pay Suppliers

Table 6.14b 2009 2008 2007 2006

Lowe's

Home Depot

49.8

40.4

45

40.7

41.9

46.5

Table 6.14b: See Ratio calculations in appendix C, and a line Graph in appendix A.

37.7

46.6

2005

35.5

42.2

To compute days to pay suppliers just divide days in year (365) by payable turnover ratio. In

2005 it was taking Lowe’s just over 35 days to pay supplier about 7 days faster than Home Depot, and they were faster in 2006 and 2007. In 2008 Home Depot was paying suppliers ahead of Lowe’s by about

4 days, and by 2009 they were paying suppliers 9 days faster than Lowe’s. The liquidity ratios show that in 2008 the numbers fall too low and Lowe’s responds by buying back stock, and not continuing to buy inventory, which allows them to hold onto cash.

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Lowe’s Project

Solvency Ratios

:

An interest payment is a fixed obligation. A company can be forced into bankruptcy if it fails to make required interest payments. The times interest earned ratio compares the income a company generated in a period to its interest obligation for the same period. It represents a margin of protection for creditors. Times interest earned is calculated by dividing net income; plus interest expense; plus income tax expense then take the sum and divide by interest expense.

Times Interest Earned Ratio

Table 6.15 2009 2008 2007 2006

Lowe's

Home Depot

10.84

6.95

13.52

6.67

24.25

10.78

Table 6.15 See Ratio calculations in appendix C, and a line Graph in appendix A.

33.45

24.01

2005

29.52

65.54

In 2009 Lowe’s generated $10.84 in income for each $1 of interest expense, but Home Depot only generated $6.95 in income for each $1 of interest expense. Back in 2005 it was a much different picture when Home Depot was generating $65.54 in income and Lowe’s a lower but still strong $29.52.

From 2006 to 2009 Lowe’s dropped by two-thirds and Home Depot dropped ten times. Even though the trend is down, the ratio is still strong, and indicates a secure position for creditors.

A preferred ratio by many analysts is the cash coverage ratio because it compares the cash generated by a company to its cash obligations for the period. Cash coverage is calculated by dividing cash flows from operating activity before interest and taxes paid by Interest paid (from statement of cash flow). Keeping in mind that analysts are concerned about a company’s ability to make required interest payments. Looking at Lowe’s cash coverage ratio Lowe’s has $17.60 in cash for every $1 of interest paid, compared to Home Depot at $11.85. In 2005 Home Depot was at $92.93 in cash for every $1 of interest paid and Lowe’s was $32.42, so Lowe’s has decreased its cash coverage ratio by almost half, and Home

31

Lowe’s Project

Depot decreased its cash coverage by closer to nine times what it was in 2005. Although the ratio has decreased it is still acceptable, Lowe’s cash coverage looks stronger than Home Depot and isn’t decreasing at as fast a rate, but both companies have enough cash to pay interest.

Coverage Ratio

Table 6.16 2009 2008 2007 2006

Lowe's 17.60 18.02 31.67 37.50

Home Depot 11.85 11.92 13.28

Table 6.16: See Ratio calculations in appendix C, and a line Graph in appendix A.

44.05

2005

32.42

92.93

The debt-to-equity ratio is calculated by dividing total liabilities by stockholders’ equity, and it expresses a company’s debt as a proportion of its stockholders’ equity.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

Table 6.17 2009 2008 2007 2006

Lowe's 0.73 0.81 0.92 0.77

Home Depot 1.11 1.32 1.5

Table 6.17: See Ratio calculations in appendix C, and a line Graph in appendix A.

1.09

2005

0.72

0.65

Debt is risky because the company must pay required interest payments even if there isn’t sufficient cash on hand to do so. In contrast dividends are always at the company’s discretion because they are not legally enforceable until declared by the board of directors. However, despite the risk most companies obtain resources from creditors because of the advantage of financial leverage. Interest expense being deductable is another advantage of debt. It is necessary when selecting a capital structure that a company balance the higher returns available through leverage against the higher risk associated with debt. The importance of the risk-return relationship keeps most analysts using the debt-to -equity ratio as a key part of any company evaluation. In 2009 for every $1 of stockholders’ equity, Lowe’s had

32

Lowe’s Project

0.73 cents worth of liabilities. By comparison, Home Depot’s debt to equity ratio was $1.11. In 2005

Lowe’s was at 0.72 cents and Home Depot was only at 0.65, and the trend with Lowe’s increased steadily until 2007 and then decreased in 2008 and again in 2009. Home Depot has increased more significantly in

2006 and 2007 and a smaller decrease in 2008 and 2009. Home Depot is carrying higher debt than

Lowe’s and according to the book it is a smarter decision.

The last of the solvency ratios is the capital acquisitions ratio which is calculated by dividing cash flow from operating activities by cash paid for property, plant and equipment. The capital acquisition ratio reflects the portion of purchases of property, plant, and equipment financed from operating activities. A high ratio indicates less need for outside financing for current and future expansion. The benefits include providing the company opportunities for strategic acquisitions, avoiding the cost of additional debt and reducing the risk of bankruptcy that comes with additional leverage.

Capital Acquisitions Ratio

Table 6.18 2009 2008 2007 20062

Lowe's

Home Depot

2.25

5.31

1.26

2.99

1.08

1.61

Table 6.18: See Ratio calculations in appendix C, and a line Graph in appendix A.

1.15

2.16

2005

1.14

1.71

Lowe’s capital acquisitions ratio has increased from 1.14 to 2.25 in recent years. Home Depot’s ratio has also increased from 1.71 to 5.31 in recent years. Lowe’s is putting money into property, plant and equipment. In 2009, Lowe’s paid down debt and opened fewer stores. Every $1 of property, plant and equipment generates $2.25 of internal operations. Lowe’s moderate ratio indicates that it has decreased capital investments in recent years, and Home Depot’s higher ratio may indicate slow growth in sales and the effect of lower sales on new investments.

33

Lowe’s Project

Looking at each of the solvency ratios the data for Lowe’s reveals an ability to meet its long-term obligations. During these difficult times, Lowe’s is making crucial decisions about putting money into property, plant and equipment, paying down debt, and opening fewer stores is paying off.

Market Tests

:

Market test ratios relate the current price per share of stock to the return that accrues to investors.

These ratios are preferred by many analysts because they are based on current value of an owner’s investment in a company.

The price/earnings ratio measures the relationship between the current market price of a stock and its earnings per share. It is calculated by dividing current market price per share by earnings per share.

Table 6.19 shows that Lowe’s had a P/E ratio of 18.17, indicating that Lowe’s stock was selling at a price that was 18.71times its earnings per share. This ratio reflects the stock market’s assessment of a company’s future performance. The high ratio indicates that the earnings are expected to grow rapidly.

Comparing the ratio to recent years Lowe’s was decreasing until 2008 when they increased back to 2005 levels in 2009.

Price/Earnings Ratio

Table 6.19

Lowe's

2009

18.17

2008

12.18

2007

13.98

2006

16.69

Home Depot 18.20 15.72 13.44

Table 6.19: See Ratio calculations in appendix C, and a line Graph in appendix A.

15.91

2005

17.85

15.36

Lowe’s is more consistent in recent years of keeping its price/earnings ratio higher than Home

Depot except in 2008 when Home Depot was higher and then in 2009 when Home Depot edges ahead slightly. Both companies are showing better growth potential in recent years.

34

Lowe’s Project

The dividend yield ratio measures the relationship between the dividends per share paid to stockholders and the current market price of a stock. The dividend yield ratio is calculated by dividing the dividends per share by market price per share.

Dividend Yield Ratio

Table 6.20 2009 2008 2007 2006

Lowe's 1.6% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5%

Home Depot 3.2% 4.2% 2.9%

Table 6.19: See Ratio calculations in appendix C, and a line Graph in appendix A.

1.7%

2005

0.3%

1.0%

The dividend yield for most stocks is not high compared to alternative investments. Investors are willing to accept low dividend yield if they expect that the price of a stock will increase while they own it.

Obviously, in 2005, investors who bought Lowe’s stock did so with the expectation that its price would increase in. In contrast, stocks with low growth potential tend to offer much higher dividend yields than do stocks with high growth potential. Table 6.20 shows that in 2005 when Lowe’s had a low dividend yield of 0.3%, but had reasonable expectations of growth and an increasing stock price. As economic conditions changed it began increasing the dividend yield to attract investors who aren’t as concerned with increasing long-term investments but want the higher dividend now. Lowe’s did increase its dividend yield but at a smaller rate than Home Depot, allowing for higher future stock prices to be stable.

Both companies have increased their dividend yield over recent years as the stock prices have become less stable. In conclusion, Lowe’s passes both market tests when current market conditions are taken into consideration. Lowe’s is paying a higher dividend and still keeping the total under 2% allowing future stock prices to increase.

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Lowe’s Project

***

This section of the report focuses on the market price of both Lowe’s and Home Depot’s stock from the period 2005 through 2010. The discussion will be about the overall trend comparing both of these company’s stock prices in relation to one another. Market tests and stock prices will be used to compare Lowe’s to Home Depot. Through this analysis, the comparison will show which company performed better in the market and the reasons why this appears to take place.

Market Price

First, the price of Lowe’s stock will be discussed. In 2005 the stock price for Lowe’s started at

$28.50 and the company saw increases in 2006 and 2007. The housing market began to collapse in 2007 and that effect was shown by the decrease in stock prices in 2008 and 2009 before a slight rebound in

2010 when it began the year at the price $21.99. When looking at Home Depot, a similar situation occurs. In 2005 the stock price for Home Depot started at $41.26 and the years 2006 and 2007 saw little change. Then following the same downward trend as Lowe’s, the housing market crisis caused a severe drop in 2008 and 2009 before a slight rebound in 2010 when it began the year at $28.39. When comparing the 5 year cycle of stock prices for both companies, both companies trended in the same direction nearly the entire time. However, when comparing percentages of increase or decrease for the five year period, it clearly shows that Lowe’s consistently performed better during the entire period. This comparison chart can be viewed in the appendix. For yearly market prices see the below table.

Beginning Year Stock Market Price

Table 7.1

Lowe’s

2005

$28.50

Home Depot $41.26

2006

$31.78

$40.55

2007

$33.71

$40.74

Table 7.1: See Stock Market chart in appendix A-7

36

2008

$26.43

$30.64

2009

$18.27

$21.53

2010

$21.99

$28.39

Lowe’s Project

Market Tests

Market Tests are defined as: Ratios that tend to measure the market worth of a share of stock.

The market tests used in this section to compare the stock prices of Lowe’s and Home Depot are the

Price/Earnings Ratio and the Dividend Yield Ratio. The Price/Earnings Ratio is the current market price per share divided by earnings per share. Lowe’s Price/Earnings Ratio in 2005 started out at 17.85% before a slight drop-off each successive year 2006, 2007, and 2008 before a significant increase in 2009 to 18.17%. Home Depot’s Price/Earnings Ratio in 2005 started out at 15.36% before also dropping in

2006 and 2007, but the company saw an increase in 2008 and 2009 when it finished at 18.20%. These percentages are quite similar for both companies; however, dividends Yield are a bit different. The

Dividends Yield Ratio is dividends per share divided by market price per share. Lowe’s Dividends Yield

Ratio in 2005 was 0.3% and it increased in successive years 2006, 2007, and 2008 before a slight drop to

1.6% in 2009. Home Depot’s Dividend Yield in 2005 was 1% and it also increased in successive years

2006, 2007, and 2008 before slightly dropping to 3.2% in 2009. Home Depot’s Dividend Yield was clearly higher each year as a percentage. Please see the Ratio chart below

37

Lowe’s Project

Market Tests

Table 7.2

Lowe’s

2005

17.85%

2006

16.69%

2007

13.98%

Price/Earnings

Home Depot

Price/Earnings

Lowe’s Dividends

15.36% 15.91% 13.44%

0.3% 0.5% 1.1%

Yield

Home Depot

Dividends Yield

1.0% 1.7% 2.9%

Table 7.1: See Ratio calculations in appendix C, graph in appendix A

2008

12.18%

15.72%

1.8%

4.2%

2009

18.17%

18.20%

1.6%

3.2%

Final Thoughts

As seen previously, Lowe’s appears to be outperforming Home Depot in the stock market during the period from 2005 through 2010. By looking at the previously discussed market prices and market tests, it appears a major contributor to this is Dividends Yield. Home Depot pays a higher dividends yield every single year from 2005 through 2010. If companies choose not to pay dividends, this can work to the benefit of the shareholder as it will increase company earnings, making the stock worth more in the future. So by Lowe’s withholding dividends and keeping higher retained earnings, it helps to improve future stock performance. This is one of the many reasons Lowe’s outperformed Home Depot in the stock market during the period 2005 through 2010.

***

The final focus of the report will be to identify and discuss five strengths and five weaknesses of

Lowe’s connected to their strategies, products, market competition, economy and financial performance.

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Lowe’s Project

Lowe’s Strengths and Weaknesses

Strengths

:

1.

Lowe’s decision to buy back stock and retire the stock helped keep stock price steady through unstable economic difficulties. As foreclosures were slowly increasing from

2007 to 2008 the effects were felt first in the home improvement markets. Lowe’s began repurchasing its stock to attempt to keep stock prices from plunging. The sudden collapse in the housing markets could have caused a sell-off of home improvement stocks. Lowe’s and Home Depot repurchased their stocks to limit shares available and keeping prices stable.

2.

Lowe’s commitment to customer service is evident in its decision to staffing its stores with knowledgeable employees to provide the service that its customers have come to expect. In 2009 the average tenure of a Lowe’s store manager increased to more than eight years, providing an experienced and knowledgeable leadership base. In other words experienced management and well trained employees offer each customer a positive experience when they come to Lowe’s. Because there are enough employees to handle the needs of customers and the employees can answer the customer’s do-it-yourself questions. The positive experience when visiting Lowe’s will translate into higher sales and repeat customers.

3.

Lowe’s has re-evaluated its future store expansion plans to ensure it makes effective use of its capital, which resulted in a reduction in the number of stores it expects to open in

2010. Lowe’s will discontinue certain future store projects. The principles that drive its store-expansion plans include a focus on high-volume, metro-market opportunities, particularly in markets where it has minimal coverage, projects that minimize the effects of cannibalization, and projects that will allow it to maintain consistently strong returns on new store capital investments.

39

Lowe’s Project

4.

Lowe’s has planned its inventory purchases conservatively across seasonal categories.

Lowe’s maintains competitive assortments and experienced strong sell through, resulted in fewer markdowns of these products. In tools, it purchased more core products to minimize markdowns. These efforts helped Lowe’s continue increasing margins and effectively manage its working capital during the downturn. Resulting in Lowe’s ending the year with a 3.6% lower comparable store inventory compared to 2008.

5.

Lowe’s increased its dividends because in the current economic climate keeping shareholders happy is important. Lowe’s pays out dividends to keep investors. Lowe’s pays less than 2% walking the line of paying out today, but not too much because reinvestment of retained earnings is important to keep future stock prices high.

Weakness

:

1.

Lowe’s didn’t go global. It is available in Canada and the Mexico, but they never went global. A global market can help in economic downturns because while the U.S. is having problems developing countries like India will still be buying product and off setting losses.

2.

Buying back stock and retiring the stock can also be a weakness it will get shares off of the market, but it can also be viewed negatively by investors because it is a message that management can’t find new profitable projects to undertake. Replacing equity by debt is naturally the very essence of financial leverage. If Lowe’s was substantially unleveraged before, the replacement would be appropriate.

3.

Lowe’s decision to not have accounts receivable is keeping them from earning the interest, and GE wouldn’t do it if it wasn’t profitable, so it may as well be Lowe’s profit.

40

Lowe’s Project

4.

Home Depot is in better a better position when it comes to their financial leverage.

Lowe’s ratio is lower because it utilizes less debt in its capital structure than Home

Depot.

5.

Lowe’s is moving toward expansion again preparing that the worst is behind us, and with the economic uncertainty still lingering out there this could be a risky strategy.

Two recommendations

:

1.

Lowe’s isn’t utilizing its debt as efficiently as Home Depot. It would benefit Lowe’s to either invest more effectively (higher return) or borrowing more effectively (lower rate of interest).

2.

Lowe’s could also benefit from going global. Home Depot has gone global and Lowe’s although it is available in Canada and Mexico hasn’t expanded globally to the extent that

Home Depot has. When the United States is experiencing an economic down turn they could offset some of the losses by capitalizing on China and India’s expansion efforts.\

***

Conclusion

Lowe’s is making speculative decisions about future market conditions. In today’s market, uncertainty is everywhere. Unemployment pushing 10%, falling home prices, reduced access to credit, and shrinking consumer confidence have contributed to a sharp decline in consumer spending. Adding to these uncertainties a new administration means new environmental regulations local zoning issues and more stringent land-use regulations.

Lowe’s is soldiering on to make forward thinking decisions like maintaining a workforce that keeps customers happy and workers off of unemployment. The decision to reduce costs by closing low producing stores and focusing on successful stores at this point seem to be working. Its stock price is

41

Lowe’s Project stable, and the future outlook is promising. In difficult times, those who don’t panic and make intelligent forward thinking decision become the winners in tomorrow’s market place.

42

Lowe’s Project

Appendix A (Graphs)

Lowe's Three Largest Assets

Bar Graph 1.1

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

0,00% 20,00% 40,00% 60,00% 80,00%100,00%

Total

Other noncurrent assets

Property, net

Long-term investments

Merchandise inventories

Short-term investments

Cash and cash equivalents

Lowe's Three Largest Liabilities

Bar Graph 1.2

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

0,0% 10,0% 20,0% 30,0% 40,0%

Total

Other long-term liabilities

Long-term debt

Other current liabilities

Accounts Payable

43

Lowe’s Project

Current Ratio (Graph 2.1)

Lowe's Home Depot

1,22 1,20

1,12 1,15

1,27

1,39

1,34

1,20

2009

2008

2007

2006

2005

Quick Ratio (Graph2.2)

Lowe's Home Depot

0,3

0,23

0,14

0,09

0,13

0,07

0,14

0,12

0,15

0,25

2009

2008

2007

2006

2005

44

Lowe’s Project

Appendix A

50

0

-50

Percentage rate of change for cash and cash equivalents

(Graph 2.3)

Lowe's Home Depot

Percentage rate of change for asset merchandise inventory

(Graph 2.4)

0,2

0,1

0

-0,1

Lowe's Home Depot

Percentage rate of change for

Property less accumulated depreciation (Graph 2.5)

0,2

0,1

0

-0,1

Lowe's Home Depot

2009

2008

2007

2006

2009

2008

2007

2006

2005

2009

2008

2007

2006

2005

45

0,4

0,2

0

-0,2

-0,4

-0,6

-0,8

Lowe’s Project

0

-1

2

1

4

3

Percentage rate of change for

Accounts Payable (Graph 2.6)

0,4

0,2

0

-0,2

-0,4

Lowe's Home Depot

Percentage rate of change for longterm debt (Graph 2.7)

2009

2008

2007

2006

2005

Lowe's Home Depot

2009

2008

2007

2006

2005

Percentage rate of change for retained earnings (Graph 2.8)

Lowe's Home Depot

2009

2008

2007

2006

2005

46

Lowe’s Project

Lowe’s Percentage Rate of Change from 2005 to

2009 Graph 4.1

20

10

0

-10

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

Net Sales

Cost of Sales

Selling, Advertising, General and

Administrative Expenses

2005

18,6

17,5

19,2

2006

8,5

8

8

2007

2,9

2,7

8

2008

-0,01

0,5

5,3

2009

-2,1

-3,1

5,5

Net Earning’s Rate of Change from 2005 to

2009 Graph 4.2

40

20

0

-20

-40

-60

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

Lowe's

Home Depot

2005

27,3

16,7

2006

12,1

-1,3

2007

-9,5

-23,7

2008

-21,9

-48,6

2009

-18,8

17,7

47

Lowe’s Project

Appendix A

Rate of Change Lowe's vs Home Depot Graph 5.1

30,00%

20,00%

10,00%

0,00%

-10,00%

-20,00%

-30,00%

Lowes

Home Depot

2009

-1,60%

-7,30%

2008

-5,20%

-3,50%

2007

-3,40%

-25,20%

2006

17,20%

15,70%

2005

25,00%

-0,20%

48

Lowe’s Project

Appendix A

Lowe's vs. Home Depot's ROE

Graph: 6.1

25,0%

20,0%

15,0%

10,0%

5,0%

0,0%

2009 2008 2007 2006 2005

Lowe's ROE

Home Depot's ROE

Lowe's vs. Home Depot's ROA

Graph: 6.3

15,0%

10,0%

5,0%

0,0%

2009 2008 2007 2006 2005

Lowe's ROA

Home Depot's ROA

12,0%

Lowe's vs. Home Depot's Financial

Leverage Percentage Graph: 6.4

10,0%

8,0%

6,0%

4,0%

2,0%

0,0%

Lowe's financial leverage

Home Depot's financial leverage

2009 2008

49

2006 2005

Lowe’s Project

Earnings per Share

Graph: 6.6

$3,00

$2,50

$2,00

$1,50

$1,00

$0,50

$-

2009 2008 2007 2006 2005

Profit Margin Graph: 6.7

8,0%

7,0%

6,0%

5,0%

4,0%

3,0%

2,0%

1,0%

0,0%

2009 2008 2007 2006 2005

Lowe's

Home Depot

Lowe's

Home Depot

Fixed Asset Turnover Ratio

Graph: 6.8

$4,00

$3,00

$2,00

$1,00

$-

2009 2008 2007 2006 2005

Lowe's

Home Depot

50

Lowe’s Project

Total Fixed Asset Turnover Ratio

Graph: 6.9

$2,00

$1,50

$1,00

$0,50

$-

Lowe's

2009

$1,44

Home Depot $1,61

2008

$1,52

$1,67

2007

$1,65

$1,60

2006

$1,79

$1,63

2005

$1,89

$1,85

0,15

0,1

0,05

0

Lowe's

Home Depot

2009

0,09

0,14

Cash Ratio

Graph: 6.10

2008

0,03

0,05

2007

0,04

0,04

2006

0,06

0,05

2005

0,07

0,06

$1,50

$1,00

$0,50

$-

Lowe's

2009

$1,32

Home Depot $1,34

Current Ratio

Graph: 6.11

2008

$1,22

$1,20

2007

$1,12

$1,15

51

2006

$1,27

$1,39

2005

$1,34

$1,20

Lowe’s Project

0,35

0,3

0,25

0,2

0,15

0,1

0,05

0

Lowe's

Home Depot

2009

0,14

0,23

Quick Ratio

Graph: 6.12

2008

0,09

0,13

2007

0,07

0,14

2006

0,12

0,30

Inventory Turnover

Graph:6.13a

$5,00

$4,00

$3,00

$2,00

$1,00

$-

Lowe's

Home Depot

2009

$3,74

$4,20

2008

$4,01

$4,22

2007

$4,28

$4,18

2006

$4,46

$4,33

2005

0,15

0,25

2005

$4,53

$4,76

120

100

80

60

40

20

0

Lowe's

Home Depot

Days Supply in Inventory

Graph: 6.13b

2009

97,7

87

2008

91

86,4

2007

85,3

87,3

2006

81,8

84,2

52

2005

80,5

76,7

Lowe’s Project

Accounts Payable Turnover Ratio

Graph: 6.14a

12

10

8

6

4

2

0

Lowe's

2009

7,33

Home Depot 9,04

2008

8,11

8,96

2007

8,72

7,85

2006

9,67

7,84

2005

10,29

8,66

Days to Pay Suppiers

Graph: 6-14b

60

50

40

30

20

10

0

Lowe's

2009

49,8

Home Depot 40,4

2008

45

40,7

2007

41,9

46,5

2006

37,7

46,6

Times Interest Earned Ratio

Graph: 6.15

70

60

50

40

30

20

10

0

Lowe's

Home Depot

2009

10,84

6,95

2008

13,52

6,67

2007

24,25

10,78

2006

33,45

24,01

53

2005

35,5

42,2

2005

29,52

65,54

Lowe’s Project

100,00

80,00

60,00

40,00

20,00

0,00

Lowe's

2009

17,60

Home Depot 11,85

Cash Coverage

Graph: 6.16

2008

18,02

11,92

2007

31,67

13,28

2006

37,50

44,05

2005

32,42

92,93

1,6

1,4

1,2

1

0,8

0,6

0,4

0,2

0

Lowe's

Home Depot

2009

0,73

1,11

Debt to Equity

Graph: 6.17

2008

0,81

1,32

2007

0,92

1,5

2006

0,77

1,09

2005

0,72

0,65

6

5

4

3

2

1

0

Capital Acquisition Ratio

Graph: 6.18

Lowe's

Home Depot

2009

2,25

5,31

2008

1,26

2,99

2007

1,08

1,61

20062

1,15

2,16

2005

1,14

1,71

54

Lowe’s Project

Price/Earnings Ratio

Graph: 6.19

20,00

15,00

10,00

5,00

0,00

Lowe's

2009

18,17

Home Depot 18,20

2008

12,18

15,72

2007

13,98

13,44

2006

16,69

15,91

2005

17,85

15,36

Dividend Yield Ratio

Graph: 6.20

5,0%

4,0%

3,0%

2,0%

1,0%

0,0%

Lowe's

2009

1,6%

Home Depot 3,2%

2008

1,8%

4,2%

2007

1,1%

2,9%

2006

0,5%

1,7%

2005

0,3%

1,0%

55

Appendix A

Lowe’s Project

Market Tests

Chart 7.2

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

0,00%

Home Depot's

Dividends yield

Lowe's Dividends yield

Home Depot's Price earnings

10,00% 20,00%

Lowe’s Stock Price (2005-2010)

56

Lowe’s Project

Home Depot’s Stock Price (2005-2010)

57

Lowe’s Project

Appendix B

Ratio calculations

:

Test of Profitability

1. Return on equity (ROE)

Basic Computation

Net Income

2. Return on assets (ROA)

Average Stockholders' Equity

Net Income + Interest Expense(net of tax)

Average Total Assets

3. Financial leverage percentage Return on Equity - Return on Assets

4. Earnings per share (EPS)

5. Quality of income

Net Income

Average Number of Shares of

Common Stock Outstanding

Cash Flow from Operating Activities

Net Income

6. Profit margin

7. A) Fixed asset turnover ratio

Net Income

Net Sales Revenue

Net Sales Revenue

Average Net Fixed Assets

B) Total Asset Turnover

Net Sales

Average Total Asset

Test of Liquidity

8. Cash ratio

9. Current ratio

Cash + Cash Equivalents

Current Liabilities

Current Asset

Current Liabilities

Current Liabilities

58

Lowe’s Project

10.

Quick ratio

11. Receivable turnover ratio

Quick Assets

Current Liabilities

Net Credit Sales

12. A) Inventory turnover ratio

14. Cash coverage ratio

15. A) Debt-to-equity ratio

Average Net Receivables

Cost of Goods Sold

Average Inventory

Cost of Goods Sold

B) Accounts payable turnover

Tests of Solvency

13. Times interest ratio

B) Capital Acquisitions

Market Tests

16. Price/earning ratio

17. Dividends yield ratio

Average Account Payable

Interest Expense

Net Income + Interest Expense+

Income Taxes Expense

Cash Flow from Operating Activities

(before interest and tax paid)

Interest Paid

Total Liabilities

Stockholders' Equity

Net Cash Flow from Operations

Cash Paid for Fixed Assets

Current Market Price per Share

Earnings per Share

Dividends per Share

Market Price per Share

59

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