Constitutional Basics Normative ?-- Hamilton, Fed No. 70. Energy in the Executive one person office elected for a fixed term national constituency Vague formal powers from Constitution Evolution of the Presidency 1800-1933 Period of Congressional Supremacy Main federal policies were very individualized or particularistic E.g. -roads or canals, tariffs for particular industries President is chief clerk The Modern Presidency, FDR Policy Wins World War II Ends the Great Depression Ends economic insecurity with Social Security Fights for working man (unions, minimum wage) Fights for farmers (income supports etc) Political Ramifications Increased expectations of presidency Increased staff, resources Consequences of Modern Pres Chief lawmaker More uses of unilateral power Shift in quality and quantity of attention paid to president http://www.whitehouse.gov/news What do presidents do Hallmarks of the Modern Presidency Increased Popular Linkage with Public Increased institutional powers Presidential Approval Going Public Strategy Gallup Poll since 1948 “Do you approve or disapprove of the way ___ is handling his job as president” Why the Framers would be horrified Public Approval of President Honeymoon General decline Economy Rally events and scandals Beyond Presidential Control Bush’s Strategy How does Bush compare to Clinton? How successful was Bush in going public on tax cuts? Does PopularitySuccess? Clinton’s uneven record Truman, “A man who is influenced by the polls or is afraid to make decision which may make him unpopular is not a man to represent the welfare of the country” Institutional Presidency Jefferson in 1900 had 2 assistants Brownlow Committee “The president needs help” President not Congress should be in charge of executive branch Implications of Instit. Pres Radical change in system of government? Increased presidential control of policy making and centralization of the decision making Increases potential for screw ups Iran Contra Reduced accountability Ranking Post WW II Presidents Good/Great Truman Eisenhower JFK – LBJ – Reagan – Clinton Bad/Failures Nixon Ford Carter Bush World’s Greatest Clerkship Neustadt, Presidential Power (Al’s prof) power of president do not flow from literary reading of constitution “presidential power is power to bargain” Decisions are not self executing JFK, Cuban Missile Crisis Transition from Historical to Modern Presidency Historic Presidency President is a clerk Congress #1 Modern Presidency Increased popular expectations President #1 No change in formal powers Modern Presidents Response Have immense staff of political, policy, and partisan experts Institutional presidency Devote tremendous time and resources to manipulating public image going public Clinton and Oklahoma City bombing Are presidents stronger– YES, but expectations outstrip capacity Limited formal powers=constant bargaining President can Nominate judges, but Propose trade treaties, but Propose popular legislation, but Propose spending less on military golf courses, Propose executive priviledge for aides, but court Will Presidents keep their promises? Constitutional odds are stacked against them! Neustadt- President is the most distinguished office clerk Have limited formal powers, decisions are not self executing Gays in the Military Congress Sam Nunn on the submarine Don’t ask, don’t tell in budget bill C in C of Military Cruising chat rooms and gay bars 3 x as many expelled Lessons Learned Formal powers are minimal Can propose legislation, C in C Dependent on other institutions Informal powers are crucial Presidential power is power to persuade Presidents have to bargain Informal Powers Professional reputation Electoral results Bargaining with legislators Personal appeals The Carrot the stick in Alabama! Truman, Marshall Plan Is a strong president good? Framers Can a president represent an entire nation Woodrow Wilson/Teddy Roosevelt critique Presidential Power- 2 views It is not only the president’s "right, but his duty to do anything that the needs of the nation demanded unless such action was forbidden by the Congress." T. Roosevelt The president can exercise no power which cannot be fairly and reasonably traced to some specific grant of power .. either in the federal constitution or in an act of Congress. There is no undefined residuum of power which he can exercise because it seems to him to be in the public interest. William Taft 1916. Informal Powers Professional reputation Electoral results Bargaining Carrot and the stick Marshalling public opinion (going public) Truman, Marshall Plan Clinton, Gays in the Military Presidential Power Empirically, presidential power is increasing Increased popular linkages Increased institutional resources Presidents have incentive and capacity to be as powerful as possible Presidential Power- 2 views It is not only the president’s "right, but his duty to do anything that the needs of the nation demanded unless such action was forbidden by the Congress." T. Roosevelt The president can exercise no power which cannot be fairly and reasonably traced to some specific grant of power .. either in the federal constitution or in an act of Congress. There is no undefined residuum of power which he can exercise because it seems to him to be in the public interest. William Taft 1916. Textbook President Formal powers– president is unconstrained Normative- president ought to be powerful President is activist, has a program, sets agenda, accepts responsibility for what happens. Good issue based elections, unified government Normative Question FDR, JFK, Savior model- 1950s and 60s LBJ, Nixon Satan model, or Imperial Presidency Ford, Carter Sampson model Reagan– partisan presidency