LuLulemon Athletica Created By: Amanda Brunssen, Chris Fleischmann, Sam Heston, Sean Lewis & Haley Muir Overview Industry & Description Company Background Annual Earnings, Quarterly Earnings, Stock Performance Economic Overview SWOT Industry Outlook Competitors Leader Price Estimates & Financial Statement Analysis Shareholder Questions Top Three Reasons to buy this stock Industry & Description Industry: Textile- Apparel Clothing Distributes athletic apparel for women, men and female youth increased athletics among women Apparel includes fitness pants, shorts, tops, and jackets for healthy lifestyle activities, such as yoga, running and general fitness Accessories include bags, socks, underwear, yoga mats, instructional yoga DVDs, and water bottles 47 stores in Canada, 108 in the US, 18 in Australia and 1 in New Zealand Company Background Key managers CEO- Christine Day CFO- John Currie Executive Vice President, Retail Operations North America- Delaney Schweitzer Executive Vice President, Chief Product Officer- Sheree Waterson Chairman of the BOD- Dennis Wilson Competitive Advantage No long-term debt Loyal customers High-quality products Strong/popular industry Fast-growing company brings more popularity How long have they been around? Founded: 1998 in Vancouver, Canada IPO= 2007 Company Background Cont. What is their market cap? 10,920,000,000 How has the stock performed? Increased by 26% last quarter Vs. 4-5% by competitors Any splits coming up? 2 for 1 on 7/11 Nothing currently scheduled Any dividends? N/A Annual Earnings Quarterly Earnings Stock Performance Economic Overview GDP: Growth of 2.3 % in 2012 Unemployment: Around 8% by ‘13 Interest rates: little or no increase Inflation: 2% in ‘12 Retail sales: 6% growth in ‘12 SWOT Strengths High quality products and a successful connection with the yoga/fitness community Higher quality= higher prices= more money Considered the ‘unofficial sponsor’ of yoga Yoga class provided by Lululemon shows customers that it fully believes in using yoga as a form of physical activity Brand loyalty Weaknesses Not enough stores for personal selling Limited store locations means more customers have to order online, and aren’t able to fully experience the Lululemon experience. Not diversified SWOT Cont. Opportunities Innovation For example, expansion on men’s line Expand internationally Threats May lose customers to competitors when the economy is down due to high prices Industry Outlook Spending on yoga currently around 6 billion dollars Yoga Journal Niche Good quality Brand name Loyal customers Competitors Nike comparing to Lulu with rates Nikes market is saturated Others: Under Armour Doesn’t reach out to the yoga market Doesn’t reach out to women Women buy more Why Lululemon is the Leader! The company has run off nine straight quarters of double-digit sales and earnings growth It passed $1 billion in annual revenue last year, up from $453 million only two years earlier Loyal customers Price Estimates Mean target: 79.63 Median target: 83 High target: 100 Low target: 46 Number of brokers: 16 Financial Ratios Liquidity Ratios Lululemon Athletica Nike Industry 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010 2009 Current Ratio 4.56 3.69 2.58 2.85 3.26 2.97 3.2 Quick Ratio 3.89 2.94 1.43 2.17 2.65 2.25 2.1 Asset Management Ratios Lululemon Athletic Nike Industry 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010 2009 Inventory Turnover 12.38 10.28 6.79 7.68 9.32 8.14 4.2 DSO 4.68 6.64 4.16 54.9 50.87 54.89 (NA) Fixed Asset Turnover 8.58 5.72 4.23 6.93 6.78 6.72 (NA) Total Asset Turnover 1.43 1.47 1.67 1.39 1.32 1.45 1.3 Financial Ratios (continued) Debt Ratio Debt Ratios Lululemon Athletic Nike Industry 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010 2009 21.81% 24.13% 26.83% 34.37% 32.35% 34.39% 38.00% Profitability Ratios Lululemon Athletic 2011 Operating Margin Profit Margin Basic Earnings Power ROA ROE 2010 2009 Nike 2011 2010 2009 25.60% 19.19% 17.25% 13.49% 13.08% 13.05% 17.12% 12.87% 11.13% 10.22% 10.03% 7.75% 36.48% 28.29% 28.81% 18.76% 17.25% 18.89% Industry (NA) 9.21% (NA) 24.40% 18.97% 18.60% 14.22% 13.22% 11.22% 12.60% 31.21% 25.00% 25.42% 21.67% 19.55% 17.10% 18.98% Market Ratios Lululemon Athletic Price/Earnings Market/Book 2011 79.78 16.37 2010 68.88 6.74 2009 21.42 1.58 Nike 2011 19.24 3.8 2010 18.75 3.26 2009 14.44 2.57 Industry 27 5.43 Analysis of Ratios Current Ratio – Helps determine how much is available in cash or near cash items to meet current obligations Liquidity Ratios Lululemon Athletic Current Ratio Quick Ratio 2011 4.56 3.89 2010 3.69 2.94 2009 2.58 1.43 2011 2.85 2.17 Nike 2010 3.26 2.65 Quick Ratio – Can the firm meet it’s short term obligations relying on only near cash assets 2009 2.97 2.25 Industry 3.2 2.1 Analysis of Ratios (continued) Are we generating an adequate return based on sales and total investment? Profitability Ratios Lululemon Athletic Nike Industry 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010 2009 Profit Margin 17.12% 12.87% 11.13% 10.22% 10.03% 7.75% 9.21% ROA 24.40% 18.97% 18.60% 14.22% 13.22% 11.22% 12.60% ROE 31.21% 25.00% 25.42% 21.67% 19.55% 17.10% 18.98% Analysis of Ratios (continued) Market Ratios Lululemon Athletic Nike Industry 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010 2009 Price/Earnings 79.78 68.88 21.42 19.24 18.75 14.44 27 Market/Book 16.37 6.74 1.58 3.8 3.26 2.57 5.43 Helps assess the firms performance relating our fundamental goal of stock price maximization to internal numbers effected by managerial decisions. Questions for Shareholder How long do you expect to maintain a 30% yearly sales increase? What are your international expansion plans? From your experiences, does Lulu perform well during economic downtime? How can you compete with other companies who price their yoga pants at lower prices? Do you think some people deter away from Lulu, because of your higher prices? What are some new products coming out? At 58.5 and 10.7 P/E and Price/sales, respectively lulu is considerably high compared to the industry at 25 P/E and 3.0 price/sales. What steps is Lulu taking to bring in more sales and earn more to lower these ratios? Top Three Reasons to Buy this Stock Fast-growing stock 26% last quarter No long-term debt Bright future spending in the retail market is increasing yoga market is currently at 6 billion Recommendation buy, and hold Sources http://www.kiplinger.com/businessresource/economi c_outlook/ Lulu Annual Report http://shop.lululemon.com/home.jsp http://investing.money.msn.com/investments/keyratios?symbol=lulu&page=FinancialCondition