Solar radiation management by use of air lubrication method Suginori Iwasaki and Nanami Doi National Defense Academy, Japan. Introduction 1 All geoengineering methods do not make any profit. Figure from Lenton and Vaughan (2009, ACP) 2 Introduction 2: Air Lubrication Method (ALM) bow Fuel efficiency = +8-12% (Mizokami et al., 2011) Ship wake air supply opening bubble stern flow Diagram of the ALM (Mizokami et al. 2011). Bubbles of ALM + Ship wake The reflectance and area of ALM bubbles are greater than those of ship wake. The ship wake photo of ALM experiment (from Dr. Hinatsu, 3 NMRI). Introduction: 3 Previous study Gatebe et al. (2011) showed the radiation forcing of normal ship wakes was -1.4×10-4 W/m2, ~10-4 times smaller than that of CO2. This study Simulate the bi-directional reflection distribution function of ALM by the ray-tracing method. Estimate radiative forcing of ALM bubbles. 4 Method 1: Ray-tracing method BRDF λ in , in , out , out Count (θ in,φin) (θ out,φout) I λ out , out Fλ in , in Count (θ out,φout) Decide scattering / absorption by random numbers Stop below draft Scattering: Mie scattering Absorption: Lambert-beer law 5 Method 2: Bubble distribution τ ~ 20s (Garrett, 1967) r = 50% (Whitlock, 1982) draft: 5m homogeneous & log-normal distribution Bubbles size distribution of the experiment of ALM, Nagamatsu et al. (2002) Mode radius: 308µm Standard dev.: 1.67 Number density: 1.28×105/m3 Total vol. of bubbles: 2mm/m2 6 Results: Bi-directional Reflective Distribution Function (BRDF) ALM test vessel 308 µm and 2mm/m2 bubbles Time [min] Averaged BRDF ALM imaginary vessel 30 µm and 5mm/m2 bubbles Time [hours] Obs. of normal wake Gatebe et al. (2011) Simulation 1 Test vessel 308μm, 2mm/m2 Simulation 2 Imaginary vessel 30μm, 5mm/m2 0.032 0.14 0.37 7 Radiative forcing Radiative forcing = (W/m2) × × × solar flux on sea surface (W/m2) number of ships If all have ALM wake area / Earth area wake albedo (Liang et al., 2005) Gatebe et al. (2011, GRL) We simply estimate the radiative forcing by ALM bubbles, BRDF of 1 vessel Normal albedo = BRDF of 1 ALM vessel ALM albedo Gatebe et al. (2011) 8 Results: Normal wakes vs. ALM wakes Av. albedo Normal wake Gatebe et al.(2011) ALM wake Test vessel 308µm, 2mm/m3 ALM wake Imaginary vessel 30µm, 5mm/m3 0.018 0.079 0.21 coast 294m Wake area (km2) 2.17 Radiative forcing (W/m2) −1.4×10-4 ×100 0.02 ocean 105m −5.7×10-6 4.5 ocean 105m −3.4×10-3 ×25 1. 2. Wake area, lifetime of foam, is needed to research! Smaller ALM bubbles would have a potential for geoengineering. # GHG emission of all ships is 2.7% of the global total (Second IMO GHG Study 2009). 9