This slide show was developed in 2006 and presented at several meetings of constituents. In the face of renewed attacked on public employee benefits, most of the content remains relevant today. 7/1/2006 1 The California Faculty Association presents… George Diehr Stand up to the Pension Privatization Gamble 7/1/2006 2 What is CalPERS? A group plan that serves us by managing: • Our health insurance • Our secure retirement program • Investments of our pension money 7/1/2006 3 CalPERS is a healthy retirement system. 7/1/2006 4 The CalPERS Board of Administration Sets Policy 13 members: 6 elected by CalPERS members 2 appointed by the governor 1 appointed by the legislature 4 ExOficio by virtue of their state office 7/1/2006 5 Retirement security is part of how we are paid in return for our service to California. 7/1/2006 6 7/1/2006 7 Three-pronged attack • • • 7/1/2006 2005/06 budget proposal Bill in legislature: ACA 5 Ballot initiative 8 These attacks would… • End retirement security for new employees • Increase paycheck deductions for all employees 7/1/2006 9 The claim that pension costs for the state are exploding and impossible to sustain is a myth. 7/1/2006 10 CalPERS’ Current Funded Ratio is Not Unusual Current ratio is 84% and climbing. 7/1/2006 11 Figure 1 State Pension Contributions, Millions $ The Critics' Myopic View $3,000 $2,500 $2,000 San Diego Union-Tribune headline: “State’s CalPERS payment surges 18fold in 3 years.” 2,564 2,213 $1,500 1,190 $1,000 677 $500 160 157 '99-00 '00-01 $0 '01-02 '02-03 '03-04 '04-05 In his State of the State address, Schwarzenegger said the state’s pension system is “another financial train on another track to disaster.” The state’s pension contributions have soared to $2.6 billion from $160 million in just four years, he noted. 7/1/2006 12 Figure 3 State Contribution Liability and Cumulative Reserve with Fixed Contribution Rate $5,000 $4,500 $4,000 $3,500 If the state contribution had continued to grow at a 6% rate and earn 5% interest, the cumulative savings would amount to over $4.4 billion at the end of 2004/05. $3,000 2,564 $2,500 2,213 State contribution at 6% annual increase. $2,000 $1,500 1,120 1,236 1,223 $1,000 1,190 766 $500 677 160 157 $0 '95-96 7/1/2006 '96-97 '97-98 '98-99 '99-00 '00-01 '01-02 '02-03 '03-04 '04-05 13 Current Rates are High, But Not Unprecedented State Contribution Rates 20% Contribution % of Salary 18% Tier 1 16% Schools 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 2003-04 2001-02 1999-00 1997-98 1995-96 1993-94 1991-92 1989-90 1987-88 1985-86 1983-84 1981-82 1979-80 0% Fiscal Year 7/1/2006 14 Historical Rates with Proposed Stabilization 7/1/2006 15 These attacks on public retirement systems could cause a pay cut for employees of as much as 6%. 7/1/2006 16 The Budget Proposal would freeze the state’s share of payments for health insurance premiums. 7/1/2006 17 Plus, the bill and ballot initiative would end death & disability benefits for all employees and their families. 7/1/2006 18 The essence of all the attacks: Who bears the risk? Tom Campbell, Gov’s Director of Finance “The fundamental goal is that employees, not taxpayers, bear market risk.” 7/1/2006 19 DB versus DC (Defined Benefit vs. Defined Contribution) First they come for the new hires…later it will be the rest of us. 7/1/2006 20 Defined Benefits (DB) = Traditional Pension System • The retirement benefit is guaranteed for life • Risks are spread out over time • Risk is shared and underwritten by the employer 7/1/2006 21 More features of Defined Benefits (DB) system… • • • • • • • Employees make fixed contributions Employer contributions vary Benefits & contribution rates are usually negotiated Employees & employer share management costs Money is managed in a pool to reduce overhead Some (CalPERS) give death/disability benefits Benefit increases protect against inflation CalPERS benefits go up 2% a year 7/1/2006 22 Defined Contributions (DC) = Individual Risk Plan • Benefits end when the individual’s money runs out • Benefits depend on success of individual investments both during employment and retirement • The individual alone bears all risk • Management cost shifts to the individual alone • No death, disability or survivor benefits • No no protection against inflation 7/1/2006 23 “You’re putting so much risk of the stock market onto each individual person, they become in danger of losing retirement protections” — Art Pulaski, California Labor Federation 7/1/2006 24 Administrative costs DB plan (CalPERS) = 0.18% DC plan (typical 401k) = 1%+ 7/1/2006 25 To get the same benefits with a DC plan that a typical CalPERS member now gets, you would have to pay in much more. 7/1/2006 26 Handout Example CalPERS Pension Benefit Common plan: “State Miscellaneous, 2% at age 55” Formula: Yrs * Age Factor * (Highest Salary - $133) • Assume 30 years of service, age 63 at retirement and final salary of $5,000 per month. • “Unmodified” retirement benefit is almost 75% (=30 years times age factor of 2.5%) of final salary. • Pension = 75% * ($5,000 - $133) = $3,650. • + 2% per year increase for inflation. 7/1/2006 27 Handout “Equivalent” Defined Contribution Plan Under optimistic assumptions, what percent of salary must be saved to purchase an annuity equivalent to the DB pension of $3,650/month? • Assume: starting salary $1,157, increasing 5%/year for 30 years (=$5,000); 8% investment return. • 22-year life expectancy at age 63 (IRS standard, male). • Need fund of $600,000 at retirement; return of 4.8%. See http://www.totalreturnannuities.com/ • Requires contribution of over 21% of salary. AND: no benefit to survivor, no inflation protection, no death or disability benefit. 7/1/2006 28 The average monthly benefit paid to a retiree from public service in California is $1,669. 7/1/2006 29 It isn’t broken. So why fix it? Privatizing pensions will not help the state with the budget crisis. No short-term savings. Likely none in the long term either. 7/1/2006 30 “There’s an old saying, so goes California, so goes the rest of the nation. That’s exactly what they’re worried about. You talk about pensions. What do you think, it’s just about California? No. If California’s pension system goes, now it will go like an avalanche.” – Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger Orange County Register 7/1/2006 31 7/1/2006 32 R Mike Peters, Dayton Daily News Kings Features Syndicate “This is the California version of Social Security privatization.” – Carol Wills, California Professional Firefighters 7/1/2006 33 Consider the Source http://www.sourcewatch.org/wiki.phtml?title=Grover_Norquist 'The goal is to reduce the size and scope of government in half over the next 25 years,’ ....Norquist and the White House are so close that it is sometimes difficult to discern who is influencing whom. But such Bush initiatives as privatizing Social Security,…bear all the marks of Norquist's thinking. – Jill Zuckman, Orlando Sentinel, June 15, 2003, “Conservative operative is in the right place at the right time” 7/1/2006 34 Summary Retirement security is part of total comp. Eliminating the DB pension will leave many employees with no safety net. CalPERS is not in trouble. DB pensions are not bankrupting public agencies. A DC plan is unlikely to save taxpayers money even in the long-run. The larger crusade is to dramatically reduce public services. CalPERS plays a crucial role in corporate governance: it benefits all investors. Arnold’s “retreat” is strategic. He will be back. 7/1/2006 35 Be Informed. Get Involved. Resources & Contacts: George Diehr: gdiehr@csusm.edu CFA: www.calfac.org CalPERS: www.calpers.gov AFL-CIO Center for Working Capital: RetirementSecurity.info 7/1/2006 36