Road safety issues in China: Understanding key risk factors to improve public health and safety Dr Judy Fleiter Postdoctoral Research Fellow Australia China Centre for Public Health, SYSU visit, May 11, 2015 Overview • Global road safety • Road safety in China • Behavioural research conducted by CARRS-Q in China • Future research priorities Acknowledgements • Partner Institutions: – Institute of Psychology, Chinese Academy of Science, Beijing (5 months) – Zhejiang Police College, Hangzhou, China (2 years) – Guangdong Institute of Public Health, Guangdong Province Centre for Disease Control and Prevention (4 months) – Yinchuan City Centre for Disease Control and Prevention (4 months) • Colleagues: – Dr Barry Watson, Dr Mark King, Emeritus Professor Mary Sheehan, Dr George Jia, Dr Alexia Lennon - CARRS-Q (QUT) – Professor Shi Kan, - Chinese Academy of Sciences – Professor Guan Manquan, Ding Jingyan, Xu Cheng – Zhejiang Police College – Professor Ma Wenjun – Guangdong Institute of Public Health – Dr Jing Lei - Yinchuan City Centre for Disease Control and Prevention Acknowledgements Funding • Australia’s National Health & Medical Research Council – Postdoctoral Research Fellowship (Australia-China Exchange) – Promote Australia-China road safety research & capacity building (2011-2015) • Endeavour Australia Awards – Cheung Kong Postgraduate Award – 2008 (Fleiter) – Prime Minister’s Australia Asia Postgraduate Award – 2012 (Jia) United Nations Decade of Action for Road Safety (2011-2020) • Every year, globally, road crashes: – kill 1.3 million people – injure 20 – 50 million people • Aim to reduce road-related trauma – save 5 million lives in 10 years – by sharing experiences, and introducing effective legislation, enforcement and education World Health Organization, 2009; 2013 United Nations Decade of Action for Road Safety (2011-2020) Globally, • Road traffic injuries 8th leading cause of death • Leading cause of death of young people 15-29 • 90% of road deaths & injuries occur in low- & middleincome countries • 46% of global road deaths are ‘vulnerable road users’ – pedestrians, cyclists, motorcyclists World Health Organization, 2013 In China • Scale of road trauma problem difficult to determine: – Unlinked reporting systems (police, hospital datasets) – Reporting mechanisms vary (e.g., death within 7 days of crash in police records, doesn’t follow ICD10 classification) – Under-reporting likely • Police records indicate ~70,000 fatalities/year with sharp decrease since 2002 – Examination of 210 military hospitals shows slow increase since 2002 – Analysis of city level data indicates 3 times as many fatalities and up to 5 times as many injuries as reported in official data (Qui et al., 2015) – These data similar to WHO estimates In China • Road fatalities = leading cause of injury deaths – ahead of all natural disasters (including fire, earthquake, and flood) (Ma, et al;, 2012). – 25% of total productive years lost from all injuries (Zhou et al., 2003) • Road fatalities – – – – Males = 76% Majority of road traffic injuries (RTI) occur among young males RTI = one of the top 3 causes of death in people aged 60+ (Zhou et al., 2014) Vulnerable road users = 70 % Vulnerable Road Users, China % of Fatalities 35% 70% 25% 17% 10% 6% 5% 2% Source: 2010 PRC Road Traffic Accident Annual Statistic Report, Traffic Management Bureau of Ministry of Public Security, cited in WHO, 2103 Global Road Safety Status Report. Large population, unprecedented economic growth, rapid motorisation, large number of novice drivers Mixed traffic fleet: pedestrians, non-motorised vehicles, increase in e-bikes (banned in some places), heavy vehicles Large rural > urban migration = unfamiliarity with traffic and traffic rules In Transition Enforcement & Education – Road safety legislation relatively new (2004) and still in formative stage – Traffic police not well respected & responsible for public education with limited resources – Varying levels of traffic law enforcement – Traffic laws not well understood by general community – Road safety awareness relatively low – Non-compliance with traffic laws evident Fleiter et al., 2009; 2011; 2013a,b,c; Jia et al., 2013; Senserrick et al., 2011 Behavioural factors • Illegal/risky on-road behaviours common & appear normalised – – – – – Non-use of helmets & seat belts Phone use while driving/riding Over-crowded & overloaded vehicles Drink driving Speeding (main reported cause of crashes in China - estimates of between 50-90% of all crashes Du et al., 2013; Fleiter et al., 2009; Fleiter et al., 2013a,b,c; Jia et al., 2013a,b; Routley et al., 2008 Behavioural factors • Illegal/risky on-road behaviours common & appear normalised – – – – – Non-use of helmets & seat belts Phone use while driving/riding Over-crowded & overloaded vehicles Drink driving Speeding • 2 risk factors identified by Bloomberg-funded Global Road Safety Program (2010-2014) – Dalian & Suzhou • Bloomberg Initiative for Global Road Safety (BIGRS) 20152019 – Shanghai, legislative focus Du et al., 2013; Fleiter et al., 2009; Fleiter et al., 2013a,b,c; Jia et al., 2013a,b; Routley et al., 2008 CARRS-Q Behavioural Research Speeding CRICOS No. 00213J Beijing & Hangzhou Speeding • Qualitative & quantitative research with car drivers: – Speeding viewed as common, normal, necessary, safe – Self-reported ‘usual’ speeds up to 50% above posted speed limits (link to enforcement tolerance in legislation) – ‘Safe speeds’ reported as up to 20 km/h above posted speed limits – ‘Preferred speeds’ significantly faster than ‘safe speeds’ – Penalties not certain and can be avoided (use of ‘guanxi’/networks; arguing with police, convincing police not to issue infringement) – Experiences of avoiding detection & punishment encourage future offending Fleiter et al., 2009; Fleiter et al., 2013a,b,c; Fleiter & Watson, 2015 CARRS-Q Behavioural Research Speeding Drivers attending re-training program after losing licence – Significantly more crashes among newly licensed drivers – Mean of 4.6 infringements in previous year (range 2-18, SD=3.8) – 62% drink driving offence; 48% speeding offence – Identification of ‘most dangerous’ on-road behaviours by drivers • • • • • Speeding Drink driving ... Phone use while driving, fatigue, non-use of seat belts nominated by very few Reflects enforcement practices by police? Fleiter & Watson, 2015 CARRS-Q Behavioural Research Drink Driving Guangzhou & Yinchuan Drink Driving • Legislative change in May 2011, Drunk driving criminalised • 2 legal blood alcohol concentration limits – Drink driving = 20mg-80mg/100 ml – Drunk driving = >80mg/100ml • Qualitative & quantitative research – General drivers – Convicted drunk driving offenders in detention – Traffic police Jia, 2015; Jia et al., 2013a,b, c CARRS-Q Behavioural Research Drink Driving • High awareness in both cities that Drunk driving now a criminal offence • Low awareness of legal BAC levels in all samples – Only 16 – 40% reported correct knowledge of legal BACs • Knowledge of how to keep BAC below legal limit was extremely low for all, including traffic police Jia, 2015; Jia et al., 2013a,b, c CARRS-Q Behavioural Research Drink Driving • Evidence of limited police roadside testing and lack of adequate police resourcing • Drivers use many strategies to avoid detection, some endangering police safety • AUDIT scores used to assess problematic drinking – Higher level of alcohol misuse among convicted drunk driving offenders (both cities). Higher among Yinchuan than Guangzhou offenders – 1st time vs Repeat offenders: significant difference in AUDIT scores in both cities. 1st time offenders had a significant lower AUDIT scores than recidivists. – Indicates problematic alcohol use levels among repeat drink drivers Jia, 2015; Jia et al., 2013a,b, c Future Research • Legislation in formative stage – penalties not necessarily a deterrent – low levels of awareness (e.g. BAC levels) – low levels of perceived risk associated with high risk behaviours (e.g. speeding, phone use while driving) • Evidence needed to reduce harm – Enhance data quality – Inform policy development – Inform public education campaigns – Raise awareness about high risk behaviours – Consider culturally-specific issues when introducing countermeasures Thank you for your attention today. j.fleiter@qut.edu.au References (1) Alcorn, T. (2011). Uncertainty clouds China’s road-traffic fatality data. The Lancet, 378, 305-306. 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