Demand, Supply & Market Equilibrium Business, Computers, & Information Technology Unit 1 Chapter 3 This is the most important ____ all year! 2 REVIEW 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. What are the 3 economic questions? What are the 3 types of Economic Systems? How do the 3 systems differ? Why do centrally planned economies have inferior goods? Describe 2 good & 2 bad things about Communism. Describe 2 good and 2 bad things about Free Market Systems. How does the Invisible Hand factor into this topic? Discuss 10 things you did last weekend. 3 Connection to Circular Flow Model 1. 2. 3. 4. Do individuals supply or demand? Do business supply or demand? Who demands in the product market? Who supplies in the product market? 4 DEMAND 6 DEMAND DEFINED What is Demand? Demand is the different quantities of goods that consumers are willing and able to buy at different prices. (Ex: Bill Gates is able to purchase a Ferrari, but if he isn’t willing he has NO demand for one) What is the Law of Demand? The law of demand states that there is an INVERSE relationship between price and quantity demanded. 7 LAW OF DEMAND As Price Falls… …Quantity Demanded Rises As Price Rises… …Quantity Demanded Falls Price Quantity Demanded 9 Why does the Law of Demand occur? The law of demand is the result of four separate behavior patterns that overlap: 1.Common Sense 2. The Substitution effect 3.The Income effect 4.The Law of Diminishing Marginal Utility: as you consume more units of any good, the additional satisfaction from each additional unit will eventually start to decrease. 11 Can you see the Law of Diminishing Marginal Utility in Disneyland’s pricing strategy? Change N/A $54 $33 $15 $10 $5 Graphing Demand 14 Shifts in Demand CHANGES IN DEMAND Ceteris paribus-“all other things held constant.” When the ceteris paribus assumption is dropped, movement no longer occurs along the demand curve. Rather, the entire demand curve shifts. A shift means that at the same prices, more people are willing and able to purchase that good. Changes in price DON’T shift the curve! This is a change in demand, not a change in quantity demanded 15 Change in Demand Demand Schedule Price $5 $4 Quantity Demanded Price of Cereal $5 What if cereal 10 makes you smarter? 20 4 3 2 $3 30 $2 50 1 $1 80 o Demand 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Quantity of Cereal 80 Q 17 Change in Demand Demand Schedule Price Quantity Demanded $5 10 $4 20 Price of Cereal $5 4 3 2 $3 30 $2 50 1 $1 80 o Demand 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Quantity of Cereal 80 Q 19 Change in Demand Demand Schedule Price Quantity Demanded $5 10 $4 20 Price of Cereal $5 4 3 2 $3 30 $2 50 1 $1 80 o Demand 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Quantity of Cereal 80 Q 20 Change in Demand Demand Schedule Price Quantity Demanded $5 10 30 $4 20 40 Price of Cereal $5 4 3 2 $3 30 50 $2 50 70 1 $1 80 100 o Demand 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Quantity of Cereal 80 Q 21 Change in Demand Demand Schedule Price Quantity Demanded $5 10 30 $4 20 40 Price of Cereal Increase in Demand Prices didn’t change but people want MORE cereal $5 4 3 2 $3 30 50 D2 $2 50 70 1 $1 80 100 o Demand 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Quantity of Cereal 80 Q 22 Change in Demand Demand Schedule Price Quantity Demanded $5 10 $4 20 Price of Cereal $5 4 3 What if cereal causes baldness? 2 $3 30 $2 50 1 $1 80 o Demand 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Quantity of Cereal 80 Q 24 Change in Demand Demand Schedule Price Quantity Demanded $5 10 $4 20 Price of Cereal $5 4 3 2 $3 30 $2 50 1 $1 80 o Demand 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Quantity of Cereal 80 Q 26 Change in Demand Demand Schedule Price Quantity Demanded $5 10 $4 20 Price of Cereal $5 4 3 2 $3 30 $2 50 1 $1 80 o Demand 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Quantity of Cereal 80 Q 27 Change in Demand Demand Schedule Price Quantity Demanded $5 10 0 $4 20 5 Price of Cereal $5 4 3 2 $3 30 20 $2 50 30 1 $1 80 60 o Demand 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Quantity of Cereal 80 Q 28 Change in Demand Demand Schedule Price Quantity Demanded $5 10 0 $4 20 5 Price of Cereal $5 Decrease in Demand Prices didn’t change but people want LESS cereal 4 3 2 $3 30 20 $2 50 30 1 $1 80 60 o D2 10 20 30 40 50 60 Demand 70 Quantity of Cereal 80 Q 29 Change in Demand Price of Cereal Demand Schedule Price $5 Quantity Demanded $5 10 $4 20 4 What if the price of MILK goes up? 3 2 $3 30 $2 50 1 $1 80 o Demand 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Quantity of Cereal 80 Q 31 Where do you get the Market Demand? Billy Jean Other Individuals Market Price Q Demd Price Q Demd Price Q Demd Price Q Demd $5 $4 $3 $2 $1 $5 $4 $3 $2 $1 $5 $4 $3 $2 $1 $5 $4 $3 $2 $1 1 2 3 5 7 P 0 1 2 3 5 P $3 P $3 Q $3 D 2 Q 10 20 30 50 80 P $3 D 3 9 17 25 42 68 D 25 Q D 30 Q What Causes a Shift in Demand? 5 Shifters (Determinates) of Demand: 1. Tastes and Preferences 2. Number of Consumers 3. Price of Related Goods Substitutes: If the price of one increases, the demand for the other will increase (or vice versa). Ex: If price of Pepsi falls, demand for Coke will… Complements: If the price of one increase, the demand for the other will decrease (or vice versa). Ex: If price of milk increases, demand for cereal will... Ex: If price of skis falls, demand for ski boots will... 34 Substitutes 36 Substitutes 37 Substitutes 38 Substitutes 39 Substitutes 40 Substitutes 41 Substitutes 42 Complements 43 Complements 44 What Causes a Shift in Demand? 4. Income The incomes of consumers change the demand, but how depends on the type of good. 1. Normal Goods ◦ As income increases, demand increases ◦ As income falls, demand falls Ex: Luxury cars, Sea Food, jewelry, homes 2. Inferior Goods ◦ As income increases, demand falls ◦ As income falls, demand increases Ex: Romen noodles, used cars, used clothing 45 What Causes a Shift in Demand? 5. Future Expectations 47 Change in Qd vs. Change in Demand Price of Cereal P $3 There are two ways to increase quantity from 10 to 20 A C B $2 1. A to B is a change in quantity demand (due to a change in price) 2. A to C is a change in demand (shift in the curve) D2 D1 o 10 20 Quantity of Cereal Q Cereal Practice First identify the determinant (Shifter). Then decide if demand will increase or decrease Hamburgers (a normal good) 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Population boom # Cons, Inc Incomes fall due to recession Income, Dec Price for Carne Asada burritos falls to $1 Subs, Dec Price increases to $5 for hamburgers No Shift! New health craze- “No ground beef” Taste/Pref, Dec Hamburger restaurants announce that they will significantly increase prices NEXT month Expect, Inc 7. Government heavily taxes shake and fries causes their prices to quadruple. Comp, Dec 8. Restaurants lower price of burgers to $.50 No Shift! 51 SUPPLY 54 Supply Defined What is supply? Supply is the different quantities of a good that sellers are willing and able to sell (produce) at different prices. What is the Law of Supply? There is a DIRECT (or positive) relationship between price and quantity supplied. •As price increases, the quantity producers make increases •As price falls, the quantity producers make falls. Why? Because, at higher prices profit seeking firms have an incentive to produce more. EXAMPLE: Mowing Lawns 55 Example of Supply You own a lawn mower and you are willing to mow lawns. How many lawns will you mow at these prices? Supply Schedule Price per lawn mowed Quantity Supplied $1 $5 $20 $50 $100 $1000 57 GRAPHING SUPPLY Supply Schedule Price Quantity Supplied $5 50 $4 40 Price of Cereal Supply $5 4 3 2 $3 30 $2 20 1 $1 10 o 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Quantity of Cereal 80 Q 58 GRAPHING SUPPLY Supply Schedule Price $5 $4 Quantity Supplied Price of Cereal Supply $5 What if new 50 companies start making 40 cereal? 30 4 3 2 $3 $2 20 1 $1 10 o 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Quantity of Cereal 80 Q 60 Change in Supply Supply Schedule Price Quantity Supplied $5 50 $4 40 Price of Cereal Supply $5 4 3 2 $3 30 $2 20 1 $1 10 o 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Quantity of Cereal 80 Q 61 Change in Supply Supply Schedule Price Quantity Supplied $5 50 $4 40 Price of Cereal Supply $5 4 3 2 $3 30 $2 20 1 $1 10 o 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Quantity of Cereal 80 Q 62 Change in Supply Supply Schedule Price Quantity Supplied $5 50 70 $4 40 60 Price of Cereal Supply $5 4 3 2 $3 30 50 $2 20 40 1 $1 10 30 o 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Quantity of Cereal 80 Q 63 Change in Supply Supply Schedule Price Quantity Supplied $5 50 70 $4 40 60 Price of Cereal Supply 4 3 2 $3 S2 $5 Increase in Supply Prices didn’t change but there is MORE cereal produced 30 50 $2 20 40 1 $1 10 30 o 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Quantity of Cereal 80 Q 64 Change in Supply Supply Schedule Price $5 $4 Quantity Supplied Price of Cereal Supply $5 What if a drought 50 destroys corn and wheat 40 crops? 30 4 3 2 $3 $2 20 1 $1 10 o 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Quantity of Cereal 80 Q 66 Change in Supply Supply Schedule Price Quantity Supplied $5 50 $4 40 Price of Cereal Supply $5 4 3 2 $3 30 $2 20 1 $1 10 o 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Quantity of Cereal 80 Q 67 Change in Supply Supply Schedule Price Quantity Supplied $5 50 $4 40 Price of Cereal Supply $5 4 3 2 $3 30 $2 20 1 $1 10 o 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Quantity of Cereal 80 Q 68 Change in Supply Supply Schedule Price Quantity Supplied $5 50 30 $4 40 20 Price of Cereal Supply $5 4 3 2 $3 30 10 $2 20 1 1 $1 10 0 o 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Quantity of Cereal 80 Q 69 Change in Supply Supply Schedule Price Quantity Supplied $5 50 30 $4 40 20 Price of Cereal S2 $5 4 3 Decrease in Supply Prices didn’t change but there is LESS cereal produced 2 $3 Supply 30 10 $2 20 1 1 $1 10 0 o 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Quantity of Cereal 80 Q 70 6 Determinants (SHIFTERS) of Supply 1. 2. 3. 4. Resource Prices/Availability of inputs Number of Sellers Technology Government Action:Taxes & Subsidies Subsidies A subsidy is a government payment that supports a business or market. Subsidies cause the supply of a good to increase. Taxes 5.TheOpportunity government can reduce Cost the Regulation of Alternative occurs when the Regulation Production Expectations of Future Profit supply of some goods by placing an government steps into a market to excise tax on them. An excise tax affect the price, quantity, or quality of is a tax on the production or sale of a good. Regulation usually raises 6. a good. costs. Changes in PRICE don’t shift the curve. It only causes movement along the curve. 72 Supply Practice First, identify the determinant (shifter) then decide if supply will increase or decrease Shifter Increase or Decrease Left or Right 1 2 3 4 5 6 74 Supply Practice 1. Which determinant (SHIFTER)? 2. Increase or decrease? 3. Which direction will curve shift? 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Hamburgers Mad cow disease kills 20% of cows Res Avail, Dec Price of burgers increase 30% No Shift! Government taxes burger producers Gov’t, Dec Restaurants can produce burgers and/or tacos. A demand increase causes the price for tacos to increase 500% Opp. Cost, Dec New bun baking technology cuts production time in half Technology, Inc Minimum wage increases to $10 Res Price, Dec 76 Putting Supply and Demand Together!!! 78 Supply and Demand are put together to determine equilibrium price and equilibrium quantity Demand P Schedule $5 P Qd Supply Schedule S P Qs 4 $5 10 $5 50 3 $4 20 $3 30 $2 50 $1 80 $4 40 2 $3 30 1 o D 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Q $2 20 $1 10 79 Supply and Demand are put together to determine equilibrium price and equilibrium quantity Demand P Schedule $5 P Qd S P Qs 4 $5 10 $5 50 Equilibrium Price = $3 (Qd=Qs) $4 40 3 $4 20 $3 30 $2 50 $1 80 Supply Schedule 2 $3 30 1 o D 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Equilibrium Quantity is 30 80 Q $2 20 $1 10 81 Supply and Demand are put together to determine equilibrium price and equilibrium quantity Demand P Schedule $5 P Qd 3 $4 20 $2 50 $1 80 S P Qs 4 $5 10 $3 30 Supply Schedule 2 What if the price increases to $4? 1 o $5 50 $4 40 $3 30 D 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Q $2 20 $1 10 82 At $4, there is disequilibrium. The quantity demanded is less than quantity supplied. Demand P Schedule $5 P Qd How much is the surplus at $4? Answer: 20 $4 20 $1 80 P Qs 4 3 $2 50 S Surplus (Qd<Qs) $5 10 $3 30 Supply Schedule 2 $4 40 $3 30 1 o $5 50 D 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Q $2 20 $1 10 83 How much is the surplus if the price is $5? Demand P Schedule $5 P Qd 3 $4 20 $2 50 $1 80 S P Qs 4 $5 10 $3 30 Supply Schedule 2 What if the Answer: price 40 decreases to $2? 1 o D 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Q $5 50 $4 40 $3 30 $2 20 $1 10 84 At $2, there is disequilibrium. The quantity demanded is greater than quantity supplied. Demand P Schedule $5 P Qd S P Qs 4 How much is the shortage at $2? Answer: 30 $5 10 3 $4 20 $3 30 $2 50 $1 80 Supply Schedule 2 o 10 20 30 40 $4 40 $3 30 Shortage (Qd>Qs) 1 $5 50 D 50 60 70 80 Q $2 20 $1 10 85 How much is the shortage if the price is $1? Demand P Schedule $5 P Qd Supply Schedule S P Qs 4 $5 10 Answer: 70 3 $4 20 $3 30 $2 50 $1 80 $5 50 $4 40 2 $3 30 1 o D 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Q $2 20 $1 10 86 The FREE MARKET system automatically pushes the price toward equilibrium. Demand P Schedule $5 P Qd Supply Schedule S When there is a surplus, producers P Qs lower prices $5 50 When there is a shortage, producers $4 40 raise prices $3 30 4 $5 10 3 $4 20 $3 30 $2 50 $1 80 2 1 o D 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Q $2 20 $1 10 87 Shifting Supply and Demand 88 Assume shifts in supply or demand change equilibrium P and Q instantaneously 89 Supply and Demand Analysis Easy as 1, 2, 3 1. Before the change: • Draw supply and demand • Label original equilibrium price and quantity 2. The change: • Did it affect supply or demand first? • Which determinant caused the shift? • Draw increase or decrease 3. After change: • Label new equilibrium? • What happens to Price? (increase or decrease) • What happens to Quantity? (increase or decrease) Let’s Practice! 90 S&D Analysis Practice 1. Before Change (Draw equilibrium) 2. The Change (S or D, Identify Shifter) 3. After Change (Price and Quantity After) Analyze Hamburgers 1. Price of sushi (a substitute) increases. Demand Increases 2. New grilling technology cuts production time in half. Supply Increases 3. Price of burgers falls from $3 to $1. No Shift. Shortage. 4. Price for ground beef triples. Supply Decreases 5. Human fingers found in hamburger 92 restaurants. Demand Decreases Double Shifts • Suppose the demand for sports cars fell at the same time as production technology improved. • Use S&D Analysis to show what will happen to PRICE and QUANTITY. If TWO curves shift at the same time, EITHER price or quantity will be indeterminate. 94 Use a S&D to explain Change in Demand, Change in Supply Go to: Reffonomics.com, Basic Concepts, S&D - Demand Chart Interactive - Supply Chart Interactive - 10 Supply and Demand Questions Interactive (While going through the 10 questions, ask yourself, are we talking about the Product Market (Demand) or the Resource Market (Supply) 96 22. Which of the following will occur in a competitive market when the price of a good is less than the equilibrium? (a) Price will decrease to eliminate the surplus and restore equilibrium. (b) Price will decrease to eliminate the shortage and restore equilibrium. (c) Price will increase to eliminate the surplus and restore equilibrium. (d) Price will increase to eliminate the shortage and restore equilibrium. (e) Price will remain constant, because supply will increase to eliminate the shortage. 98 THAT’S IT! 99