Paraquat Poisoning Lessons from a Large Cohort Indika Gawarammana (MD, FRCPE, PhD) Department of Medicine and South Asian Clinical Toxicology Research Collaboration Faculty of Medicine- University of Peradeniya Sri Lanka South Asian Clinical Toxicology Research Collaboration Paraquat- history First described in 1882 Electron donation to PQ forms a stable PQ.+ Used as an oxidation-reduction indicator Introduced as a herbicide in 1962 South Asian Clinical Toxicology Research Collaboration Paraquat in agriculture Non-systemic, fast acting Rain-fast, quickly deactivated in soil No tillage preserves soil structure No damage to surrounding crops Broad spectrum, no weed resistance Key crops in Sri Lanka are tea and rice South Asian Clinical Toxicology Research Collaboration Paraquat proportion of death Carbamates, 6% Other OP, 6% Fenthion, 5% Chlorpyrifos, 14% Carbamates Other Herbicides Other Herbicides, 14% Paraquat Dimethoate Fenthion Chlorpyrifos Dimethoate, 20% Paraquat, 35% Other OP SoSouth Asian Clinical Toxicology Research Collaboration Generates free radicals Activation of NFkB NFkB is translocated into the nucleus, binds to promoter regions induces target genes involved in inflammation South Asian Clinical Toxicology Research Collaboration Diagnosis DITHIONITE REDUCTION OF PARAQUAT Paraquat is converted to a blue colour by sodium dithionite Limit of detection of plasma and urine: 2-3 µg/mL Sodium dithionite + + + N CH3 H3C N H3C N C N CH3 alkali PARAQUAT PARAQUAT RADICAL ION (BLUE) South Asian Clinical Toxicology Research Collaboration Paraquat level (ug/mL) Plasma paraquat concentration Jones (.5) Proudfoot Schermann's extension of Proudfoot line SIPP=10 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 Hours after ingestion South Asian Clinical Toxicology Research Collaboration symptoms Nausea and vomiting in 81.6% Burning oral pain in 62.5% Odynophagia 30% Abdominal pain in 57.5% Low GCS is uncommon (8%)- but all recover within hours South Asian Clinical Toxicology Research Collaboration “Paraquat Tongue” South Asian Clinical Toxicology Research Collaboration Peripheral burning sensation 100 case fatality (%) 80 60 40 20 0 burning sensation 73%- median time to death 36 hrs no burning sensation 25%- median time to death 50hrs South Asian Clinical Toxicology Research Collaboration Proportion of deaths- volume of ingestion Proportion deceased 1.0 0.5 5-15 mls 15-50mls >50mls 0.0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 time since ingestion (days) Log Rank (Chi square 79.69, p<0.0001) South Asian Clinical Toxicology Research Collaboration Case fatality – 73.9% (95% CI 69-78). Median time to death – 1.53 days (IQR 0.5-3.7). South Asian Clinical Toxicology Research Collaboration Clinical course Severe toxicity = rapid death from MOF Others= slow death over days due to hypoxia South Asian Clinical Toxicology Research Collaboration Respiratory rate survivors South Asian Clinical Toxicology Research Collaboration Biochemical evolution Admission creatinine 0.9mg/dL (IQR 0.7-1.3) creatinine (mg/dL) 5 4 2.05 mg/dL (IQR 1.3-3.1) 3 2 1 0 rs o v vi r su ed s ea c de South Asian Clinical Toxicology Research Collaboration Evolution Survivors 10 mean creatinine (mg/dL) 8 6 4 2 Normal range 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 days since ingestion Deaths 10 mean creatinine (mg/dL) 8 6 4 2 Normal range 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 days since ingestion South Asian Clinical Toxicology Research Collaboration Admission WBC 20000 10000 de ce as ed 0 su rv iv or s white cell count/cmm 30000 South Asian Clinical Toxicology Research Collaboration case fatality (%) 100 80 60 40 20 0 >19550 <19550 OR 81, 95% CI 67-84 South Asian Clinical Toxicology Research Collaboration Evolution Survivors mean (SD) WBC 30000 20000 10000 Normal range 0 1 2 3 4 5 days since ingestion Deaths mean (SD) WBC 30000 20000 10000 Normal range 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 days since ingestion South Asian Clinical Toxicology Research Collaboration Admission ALT ALT (u/L) 1000 100 normal range ed de ce as su rv iv or s 10 South Asian Clinical Toxicology Research Collaboration Evolution Survivors mean (SD) AST (U/L) 1000 500 Normal range0 0 1 2 3 4 5 days since ingestion Deaths mean (SD) AST (U/L) 1000 500 Normal range0 0 1 2 3 4 5 days since ingestion South Asian Clinical Toxicology Research Collaboration Treatment Supportive care N acetylcysteine, DFO, Vitamin E Immunosuppression South Asian Clinical Toxicology Research Collaboration haemodialysis and haemoperfusion plasma lung tissue South Asian Clinical Toxicology Research Collaboration Immunosuppression popular Inconclusive evidence (Eddleston M et al QJM. 2003 and Agarwal et al Singapore Med J. 2007) South Asian Clinical South Asian Clinical Toxicology Research Collaboration RCT in Sri Lanka Fraction survival 1.0 Immunosuppression group Placebo group 0.5 0.0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Days post-ingestion Chi squared 0.74, p=0.34 South Asian Clinical Toxicology Research Collaboration ROC curves Area under the curve 1= perfect test South Asian Clinical Toxicology Research Collaboration Assessment of prognosis Admission plasma paraquat concentration SIPP score Plasma paraquat 100 100 80 Sensitivity (%) Sensitivity (%) 80 60 40 AUC= 0.96 20 60 40 AUC=0.95 20 0 0 0 20 40 60 100% - Specificity% 80 100 0 20 40 60 100% - Specificity% 80 100 Semi-quantitative Urine dithionite test Number Number and % deaths Positive test 418 251 (60%) Negative test 149 7 (4.7%) South Asian Clinical Toxicology Research Collaboration Negative test= survival Sensitivity of 0.97 (95% CI 0.94-.98) Specificity of 0.45 (95% CI 0.4-0.5) Negative predictive value of 0.95 (95% CI 0.90-0.98) Easy to perform, cheap Negative tests= survival Positive tests: need further evaluation South Asian Clinical Toxicology Research Collaboration Admission creatinine >1.26mg/dL Sensitivity of 78% (95% CI: 69-85), specificity of 73% (95% CI: 59-84) [positive likelihood ratio 2.91] 100 80 sensitivity 60 40 AUC=0.82 20 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 100% - Specificity% South Asian Clinical Toxicology Research Collaboration Creatinine >2.64mg/dL 100 case fatality (%) 80 60 40 20 0 >2.635mg/dL <2.635mg/dL (OR 16.7, 95% CI: 3.8-72, specificity: 0.96 (95% CI 0.870.99), PPV 0.95 (95% CI 0.85-0.99, p<0.001). South Asian Clinical Toxicology Research Collaboration Median rise of serum creatinine within 24 hours 100 5 80 Sensitivity (%) mg/dL 4 3 2 40 AUC=0.88 20 0 0 de ce as ed 1 su rv iv or s 60 0 20 40 60 80 100 100% - Specificity% Survivors (0.2mg/dL, IQR 0-0.6) Deceased (2mg/dL, IQR 1-3) ( p<0.0001). Cut off rise of 0.88mg/dL (95% CI 0.82-0.94, p<0.0001) South Asian Clinical Toxicology Research Collaboration Rise of creatinine Cut off rise of 0.88mg/dL (95% CI 0.82-0.94, p<0.0001) Sensitivity, 81.8% (95% CI 70-90); specificity 83% (95% CI 67-93) likelihood ratio of 4.64 100 80 Sensitivity (%) 60 40 AUC=0.88 20 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 100% - Specificity% South Asian Clinical Toxicology Research Collaboration summary Survivors and non survivors can be identified early Immunosuppression does not work Prevent access to paraquat as outcome is poor South Asian Clinical Toxicology Research Collaboration Poisoning Deaths Transition 2006-2013 6.00% 5.00% 4.00% Non Ag deaths Other Pesitcides Paraquat 3.00% Glyphosate Carbamates 2.00% Chlorpyrifos Dimethoate 1.00% 0.00% 2006 Fenthione 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Pesticide bans (3 years) South Asian Clinical Toxicology Research Collaboration Acknowledgements Andrew Dawson, Nick Buckley, Michael Eddleston, Michael Eddleston1,2,3*, Peter Eyer4, Franz Worek5, Edmund Juszczak6, Nicola Alder6, Fahim Mohamed2,3, Lalith Senarathna2,3, Ariyasena Hittarage7, Shifa Azher8, K. Jeganathan7, Shaluka Jayamanne8, Ludwig von Meyer9, Andrew H. Dawson3,10, Mohamed Hussain Rezvi Sheriff2,3, Nick A. Buckley3, We thank the Directors and the medical and nursing staff of the study hospitals for their help and support; Stuart Allen for programming; the IDMC and Professor Doug Altman for advice; Renate Heilmair, Bodo Pfeiffer, and Elisabeth Topoll for technical assistance; J. V. Peter for information on the Vellore RCTs; and Allister Vale and Nick Bateman for critical review. Ox-Col Poisoning Study Collaborators: Darren Roberts, Damithe Pitahawatte, Asanga Dissanayaka, Nalinda Deshapriya, Ruwan Seneviratne, Sandima Gunatilake, Indika Weerasinghe, Thushara Diunugala, Sriyantha Adikari, Suwini Karunaratne, Prabath Piyasena, Senarath Angammana, Deepal Inguruwatte, Samithe Egodage, Mathisha Dissanayake, Waruna Wijeyasiri-wardene, Shammi Rajapakshe, Sidath Yawasinghe, Bandara, Sumith Kumara, Thushita Kumara, Nilumdima Wijekoon, Kusal Wijeweera, Himali Sepalika Sudusinghe, Hasantha Ranganath, Mahi Wickramagamage, R. U. Wijesinghe, S. M. I. Senavirathne, Chinthaka De Silva, Chaminda Manamperi, T. Suhitharan, Sevana-yagam David, D. Y. Mohamed Mahir, Lakshmi Sriskandarajah, Sellakkuddy Selva-ganesh, Chamila Bandara Herath, Kanchana Liyanage, Chinthaka Semasinghe, Pandula Illangasinghe, Gayan Wickramasinghe, Sudesh Rathnayake, Vindhya Jayasinghe, Iranga Jayasundara, Mahesh Dahanayake, Prasanna Weerakoon, Praba W. Nanayakkara, Paramananthan Sajeevan, Vethanathan Bavanthan, Janitha Kumari Illangakoon, Chamantha Dilmini Karunarathne, Kuleesha Kodisinghe, Buddika Jeevantha Wimalarathne, Asela Udagedara, Ashoka Subasinghe, Kiloshini Samanthi Hendawitharana, Dammika Prabath Nungamugedara, Aruna Wijayanayaka, Sanjeewa Amarasinghe, Sakunthala Nilmini Liyanage, Indika de Alwis, Thushara Priyawansha, Chathura Pallangasinghe, Shukry Zawahir, Mohamed Ashrafdeen Isnan, and Syed Shahmy Independent Data Monitoring Committee (IDMC): Professor Mike Clarke (Director, UK Cochrane Centre, Oxford; Chair); Professor Keith Hawton (Department of Psychiatry, Oxford); Dr. Julian Higgins (MRC Biostatistics Unit, Cambridge University; statistician); Professor Saroj Jayasinghe (Department of Clinical Medicine, Colombo, Sri Lanka); Professor Nimal Senanayake (Department of Clinical Medicine, Peradeniya, Sri Lanka); Professor Kris Weerasuriya (WHO/SEARO, New Delhi).- Michael Eddleston, Edmund Juszczak, Nick A Buckley, Lalith Senarathna, Fahim Mohamed, Wasantha Dissanayake, Ariyasena Hittarage, Shifa Azher, K Jeganathan, Shaluka Jayamanne, M H Rezvi Sheriff , David A Warrell, We thank Palitha Abeykoon and Kan Tun (WHO), Lakshman Karalliedde, D G S Alahakoon, and W M T B Wijekoon, and the Directors, medical and nursing staff of the study hospitals for their help and support, the IDMEC, Robin Ferner, and Doug Altman for advice, Geoff Isbister, Simon Thomas, Lewis Nelson, and Nick Bateman for critical review, LyMee Yu and Nicola Alder for statistical support, Shukry Zawahir, and Chathura Palagasinghe for help with the fi nal patient audit; and the Ox-Col study doctors for their work in the face of many pressures. ME is a Wellcome Trust Career Development Fellow; this work was funded by grant 063560 from the Wellcome Trust’s Tropical Interest Group to ME. The South Asian Clinical Toxicology Research Collaboration is funded by a Wellcome Trust/National Health and Medical Research Council International Collaborative Research Grant 071669. Ox-Col poisoning study collaborators Darren Roberts, Asanka Perera, Manjula Rajapakshe, K Reginald, Sapumal Haggalla, Samantha Wijesundara, Jaya Ratnayake, S M T Bandara, Subashini Kumarasinghe, Manjula Weerakoon, Ayanthi Karunaratne, Manonath Marasinghe, Ruwan Kumara, Sumedha Kumara, Nilan Suranga, Jamal Dean, Dharshana Fernando, Sagara Kumara, Koshitha Gunarathne, R M Senanayake, Najeeb Khan, Kalum Dhammika, Anuradhi Weerasinghe, M S F Zanoona, Samanmali Edirisinghe, Medhangi Karunaratne, Sampath Attapattu, Upul Hendalage, Indika Wanasinghe, Lal Bogahawattage, SyngentaR D S M Peiris, S M Dayarathne, Gayan Costa, Chandana de Silva, Prabath Abeyrathna, Bandula Senadeera, Gayan Gunarathne, Kusal Wijayaweera, M Senthilkumaran, Y Ruthra, K Sutharshan, Dimuth de Silva, Anjana Amarasinghe, Janaka Balasooriya, Damithe Pitahawatte, Asangha Dissanayaka, Aravinda Perera, Nalinda Deshapriya, Suranga Gurusinghe, Ruwan Seneviratne, Saman Chandana; Mubashi Mohamed, Koshala Abeysundera, Nasmiyar Mubarak, Lumbini de Silva, Daniel, Sandima Gunatilake, Indika Weerasinghe, Thushara Diunugala, Sriyantha Adikari, Suwini Karunaratne, Prabath Piyasena, Senarath Angammana, Deepal Inguruwatte, Samithe Egodage, Mathisha Dissanayake, Waruna Wijeyasiriwardene, Shammi Rajapakshe, Sidath Yawasinghe, Samanthi Bandara, Sumith Kumara, Thushita Kumara, Nilumdima Wijekoon. Independent data monitoring and ethics committee Mike Clarke (Director, UK Cochrane Centre, Oxford; Chair); Keith Hawton (Department of Psychiatry, Oxford); Julian Higgins (MRC Biostatistics Unit, Cambridge University; Statistician); Saroj Jayasinghe (Department of Clinical Medicine, Colombo); Nimal Senanayake (Department of Clinical Medicine, Peradeniya); Kris Weerasuriya (WHO/SEARO, New Delhi). SACTRC collaborators, research team and hospital staff University of Peradeniya Wellcome Trust & NHMRC Syngenta South Asian Clinical Toxicology Research Collaboration Other markers of prognosis 100 admission bilirubin admission paraquat admission creatinine admission ALT admission WBC SIPP score rise of creatinine Sensitivity (%) 80 60 40 20 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 100% - Specificity% South Asian Clinical Toxicology Research Collaboration No rise CFR 52.5% South Asian Clinical Toxicology Research Collaboration South Asian Clinical Toxicology Research Collaboration