COLORECTAL CANCER SCREENING Alan N. Barkun Professor, Division of Gastroenterology Chairholder of the DG Kinnear Chair in Gastroenterology, Chief Quality Officer, Division of Gastroenterology, McGill University and the McGill University Health Centre Chair of the Clinical Standards and of the Evaluation of Endoscopic Competence Committees, Quebec Colorectal Cancer Screening Program Objectives At the end of the presentation, participants should Understand the different screening options for colorectal cancer available to patients have become familiar with the test performance characteristics of the different screening approaches be able to explain to patients their benefits and disadvantages Why is CRC uniquely suited for screening? CRC is common + highly lethal if caught late CRC has a long asymptomatic pre-clinical phase Accurate screening tests widely available Early detection of CRC & polyps improves survival The benefits outweigh the harms/costs Epidemiology Colorectal cancer is a leading cause of death in the Western World In Canada, it is the third most common cancer in both sexes In 2010 New Cases Deaths Quebec 5900 2500 CUMULATIVE LIFETIME RISK IN (3rd) (2nd) USA/Canada: 1:21/1:22 and 1:49/1:54 Colorectal Cancer – biology CDHF.ca • If diagnosed early 95% will survive; presently only 35% of cases diagnosed at this stage • 60% will die if cancer spreads to lymph nodes • 95% will die if cancer spreads to distant organs CRC a perfect disease paradigm for screening IT IS PREVENTABLE Polyp-cancer sequence 8-12 yrs (80%) 2011 Digestive Health Summit for Health Care Professionals The most common risk factor: AGE CDHF.ca Canadian Cancer Statistics 2011 2011 Digestive Health Summit for Health Care Professionals Screening for CRC - so far: CRC is amenable to screening Age is the main risk factor for average risk screening Need to start screening at age 50 Should screen every 10 years (if good test available) FOBT- Meta-analysis of these trials 4 trials totaling almost 450,000 patients 16% risk reduction in CRC related mortality (23% in compliant patients) RR=0.84; NN CI: 0.77-0.93 to screen to prevent 1 death: 1173 Fecal Immunochemical Testing The FIT detects more specifically human hemoglobin that arises from the lower GI tract Easier to use, more quantifiable; high throughput technology 4 trials performed in a populational setting; only first-round screening and no cancer registry follow-up as of yet (Italy, Netherlands); additional trial out of China – very preliminary data FIT outperforms gFOBT with a lower level of reported discomfort and overall burden Fecal Immunochemical Testing vs Guaiac FIT Positive Rate of 3.5 to 8.1% (decreases with increasing threshold value 50-200 ng/ml) vs 2.8% Guaiac More patients referred to colonoscopy at every threshold with FIT vs Guaiac Detection rates greater for FIT 2-3.1% vs Guaiac 1.2% for significant lesions PPV greater for FIT: 62% vs 45% (FIT=75ng/ml) Inferior specificity for FIT: 92.9 vs 97.6% vanRoon, 2011 FIT performance Participants (50-75 years) in an invitational primary colonoscopy screening program were asked to complete one sample FIT before colonoscopy A total of 1,256 participants underwent a FIT and screening colonoscopy The positive and negative predictive values for FIT50 were 6% (95% CI: 3-12) and almost 100% (95% CI: 99-100) for CRC, and 37% (95% CI: 29-46) and 93% (95% CI: 92-95) for advanced neoplasia de Wijkerslooth , AJG, 2012 N = 19 studies Pooled sensitivity, specificity, (+) and (-) likelihood ratio of FITs for CRC were 0.79 (95% CI, 0.69 to 0.86), 0.94 (CI, 0.92 to 0.95), 13.10 (CI, 10.49 to 16.35), 0.23 (CI, 0.15 to 0.33); diagnostic accuracy of 95% (CI, 93% to 97%) Lower thresholds yielded highest sensitivities (for example, 0.89 [CI, 0.80 to 0.95] at a cutoff value less than 20 mcg/g vs. 0.70 [CI, 0.55 to 0.81] at cutoff values of 20 to 50 mcg/g) but with a corresponding decrease in specificity. A single-sample FIT had similar sensitivity and specificity as several samples, independent of FIT brand Lee, AIM, 2014 FLEXIBLE SIGMOIDOSCOPY www.edoctor.co.in image.healthhaven. com Flex sig metaanalysis Littlejohn, Br J Surg, 2012 COLONOSCOPY www.flickr.com www.tcnj.edu db2.photoresearchers.com image.healthhaven.com Long-Term Colorectal-Cancer Incidence and Mortality after Lower Endoscopy Association of lower endoscopy (1998-2008) with colorectal-cancer incidence (2010) and mortality (2012) among participants in the Nurses’ Health Study and the Health Professionals Follow-up Study 88,902 participants over 22 years, 1815 incident colorectal cancers and 474 deaths from colorectal cancer Nishihara, NEJM, 2013 Long-Term Colorectal-Cancer Incidence and Mortality after Lower Endoscopy Nishihara, NEJM, 2013 Adenoma Detection Rate (ADR) and Risk of Colorectal Cancer and Death 314,872 colonoscopies performed by 136 GIs w ADRs: Jan 1998 - December 2010; f-u of at least 6 mos 712 interval colorectal adenocarcinomas, including 255 advanced-stage cancers, and 147 deaths from interval colorectal cancer Corley, NEJM, 2014 ADR and CRC Each 1.0% increase in ADR associated with 3% decrease in cancer risk (HR=0.97; 95%CI 0.96 to 0.98) Corley, NEJM, 2014 Colonoscopy vs FIT screening RCT Higher adherence in FIT than colonoscopy (34.2% vs. 24.6%, P<0.001) First of 5 RCTs of colonoscopy, 4 population-based Quintero, NEJM, 2012 CT COLOGRAPHY (virtual colonoscopy) www.agfahealthcare.com www.ultimatehealthguide.com lsgimaging.com www.ebook3000.com Average sensitivity and specificity of screening methods Systematic review included: • • • • 20 studies for colonoscopy 12 studies for sigmoidoscopy 26 studies for Barium enema 62 studies for CT colonography Allameh et al. Iran J Cancer Prev. 2011 Virtual colonoscopy Not recommended for screening: - lack of data - risk of irradiation - downstream implications of incidentalomas - unfavorable cost-effectiveness Alternative diagnostic strategies: Fecal DNA Noninvasive, multitarget stool DNA test (KRAS mutations, aberrant NDRG4 and BMP3 methylation, and β-actin, plus a hemoglobin immunoassay) vs FIT (100ng/ml) in persons at average risk for CRC n=9989, with 65 (0.7%) CRC and 757 (7.6%) advanced precancerous lesions (advanced adenomas or sessile serrated polyps measuring ≥1 cm in the greatest dimension) on colonoscopy Sensitivity for CRC: 92.3% DNA testing vs 73.8% FIT (P = 0.002) Imperiale, NEJM, 2014 Alternative diagnostic strategies: Fecal DNA Sensitivity for advanced precancerous lesions 42.4% DNA testing vs 23.8% FIT (P<0.001) Polyps with high-grade dysplasia was 69.2% with DNA testing vs 46.2% with FIT (P = 0.004) Serrated sessile polyps>1cm: 42.4% vs 5.1%, (P<0.001) Specificities 86.6% and 94.9%, respectively, among participants with nonadvanced or negative findings (P<0.001) and 89.8% and 96.4%, respectively, among those with negative results on colonoscopy (P<0.001) NN screen to detect one cancer: 154 with colonoscopy, 166 with DNA testing, and 208 with FIT Imperiale, NEJM, 2014 COLONIC WIRELESS CAPSULE ENDOSCOPY mygeorgetownmd.org www.endoatlas.com www.endoatlas.com www.vcharkarn.com www.umm.edu www.bgapc.com The colonic capsule Spada, CGH, 2010 The role of patient preference? Systematic review of colonoscopy vs CTC patient preference showed that most included studies reported preference for CTC Screening patients preferred CTC while diagnostic patients showed no preference With comprehensive information, colonoscopy and CTC were seen as having different advantages and disadvantages, yielding no clear preferences between the two Lin, J Gen Int Med, 2012; Ghanouni, Patient Educ Counsel, 2012 AN OVERALL ACCURACY OF 76%! Altomare, Br J Surg, 2013 CONCLUSION Any CRC screening better than none Many efficacious detection techniques for CRC Limitations: Feasibility (Flex sig, colonoscopy, low FIT thresholds) Morbidity (quality is key for efficacy and safety) Technology (?CT colography, colonic WCE, ?Volatile organic compounds detection) Costs (CT colography, fecal DNA) Most population-based programs remain FOBT-based Colonoscopy (and CT colography) remain very popular for opportunistic screening CONCLUSION Need for additional head-to-head testing with adequate follow-up Consider “enhanced” detection methods A quality colonoscopy is key! ?Down the road: A menu of available testing alternatives/combination thereof tailored to the patients risks and preference profiles?