Slides - Stefan Kooths

advertisement
Economic Policy
and Market Regulation
Prof. Dr. Stefan Kooths
BiTS Berlin
(winter term 2014/2015)
www.kooths.de/bits-ep
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
1
Outline
1. Introduction and Overview
2. Market Mechanisms and Government Interventions
3. Externalities and Public Goods
4. Competition Policy and Regulation
5. Ordoliberalism and the Social Market Economy
6. Summary: The Key Lessons Learnt
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
2
Outline
1. Introduction and Overview



Motivation and key aspects
Methodology and general approach
Course scheme
2. Market Mechanisms and Government Interventions
3. Externalities and Public Goods
4. Competition Policy and Regulation
5. Ordoliberalism and the Social Market Economy
6. Summary: The Key Lessons Learnt
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
3
Economics and the key allocation problem
 Human needs
» Subjectively felt uneasiness (reason for action)
» Generally unlimited
 Goods
» Means for (direct or indirect) satisfaction of a need
» Generally limited
 Scarcity (allocation problem)
» Not all needs can be fully satisfied
» Selection inevitable
 Ranking needs
 Matching with disposable means (production possibilities)
» Economic growth: Reduction of „uneasiness “
(more satisfaction by expanding the pool of means)
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
4
Alternative allocation mechanisms





Violence (military campaigns, robber barons)
Discrimination (Sex, Nationality, Age, …)
Greyhound racing („First come, first served“)
Communism („Each according to his/her need”)
Egalitarianism („Each the same“)
 Market (competitive exchange mechanism)
» Property rights
» Voluntary exchange
 „Each according to his/her preferences and performance“
(ability-to-pay resulting from market income = valuation by others)
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
5
The market signal system: Profits, Losses, Bankruptcy
 Profits
» Revenues (value creation) > Costs (value destruction)
» Net creation of value
 Agent stays in the game, activity can be expanded
 Losses
» Revenues < Costs
» Net destruction of value
 Yellow card (warning): activity should be reduced/modified
 Bankruptcy
» Revenues << Costs
» Net value destruction ongoing/at large scale
 Red card (sending-off): activity must stop
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
6
Property rights and the primary role of government
 Property rights
» Usus
» Abusus
» Usus fructus (includes: accountability!)
 Role of government:
Defining and guaranteeing property rights (legal framework)
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
7
Fields of economic policy:
Allocation, redistribution and stabilization
 Allocation
» Improving economic efficiency
 Redistribution
» Changing the distribution of disposable income
(primary vs. secondary income distribtuion)
 Stabilization
» Growth, employment, price stability, external equilibrium
(macroeconomic approach)
» Fiscal policy
» Monetary policy (and choice of currency system)
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
8
Levels of economic policy:
Constitutional vs. interventionist approaches
 Constitutional level
» Designing the general institutional framework (economic order)
 Interventional level
» Modifying/interfering with market processes
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
9
The extended Tinbergen rule for government interventions
 One policy target
 One specific tool (policy instrument)
 One independent authority (in case of target conflicts)
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
10
Incentives and government interventions:
Intention vs. outcome (The Cobra effect)
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
11
The big picture: From Feudalism to Neoliberalism (1/3)
Free market system
(classic liberalism)
Feudalism
liberal
revolution
Feudal power
Constitution
(Democratic) State
Subjects
Economy
Competition
Capitalist economy
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
12
The big picture: From Feudalism to Neoliberalism (2/3)
„Invisible Hand“/Laissez-faire: Self-interest and public welfare
Adam Smith (1723 – 1790)
„It is not from the benevolence of the butcher, the
brewer, or the baker that we expect our dinner, but
from their regard to their own interest.”
(Wealth of Nations, 1776)
Vincent de Gournay (1712 – 1759)
„Laissez faire, laissez passer,
le monde va de lui-même.”
Bernard de Mondeville (1670 – 1733)
The Fable of the Bees:
or, Private Vices, Public Benefits (1714)
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
13
The big picture: From Feudalism to Neoliberalism (3/3)
Degenerate
„unfree“ market system
Neoliberal system
Constitution
Constitution
Demokratischer Staat
Influence
Competition
Interventions
(Democratic) State
Regulation
Protection
Competition
Capitalistic economy
Social market economy
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
14
Regulation vs. deregulation: An ongoing debate
 Regulatory design is technology-dependent
 Competing paradigms for economic policy making
 The fundamental organizational question:
Markets vs. hierarchies
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
15
Good and bad economics
(H. Hazlitt: Economics in One Lesson)
The bad economist sees only …
» … what immediately strikes the
eye.
» … the direct consequences of a
proposed course.
» … what the effect of a given
policy has been or will be on
one particular group.
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
The good economist also …
» … looks beyond.
» … looks at the larger and
indirect consequences.
» … inquires what the effect
of the policy will be on all
groups.
16
Outline
1. Introduction and Overview



Motivation and key aspects
Methodology and general approach
Course scheme
2. Market Mechanisms and Government Interventions
3. Externalities and Public Goods
4. Competition Policy and Regulation
5. Ordoliberalism and the Social Market Economy
6. Summary: The Key Lessons Learnt
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
17
Methodological individualism
 General method
» Individuals as point of departure for economic analysis
» Explaining social processes via actions of involved persons
 Individuals …
» … are diverse
» … have exogenous preferences
» … are capable of acting on their own
» … follow their vested interest
 Subjectivism
» Individual preferences
» No scientific inter-subjective comparisons of utility
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
18
Human Action
 Subjective uneasiness
 purposeful action
 Action = Influencing circumstances of one’s life
 Humans as universal entrepreneurs
» Decision maker
» Explorer (search for new means)
Ludwig von Mises (1881 – 1973)
Nationalökonomie – Theorie des Handelns und Wirtschaftens (1940)
http://mises.org/document/3250
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
19
“Collective” action and average “behavior” of groups:
Pitfalls of collectivist analysis and the Arrow paradox
Person
Ranking of alternatives A, B, C
1
2
3
A>B>C
B>C>A
C>A>B
Voting
Results
A vs. B
B vs. C
C vs. A
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
20
The “free-market prejudice”
 Voluntary exchange imply gains from trade
 Markets as reference and default system
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
21
Pareto efficiency and Kaldor-Hicks criterion
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
22
Workable economic coordination: Static and dynamic functions
“What are markets expected to do?”
 Static functions
» Consumer sovereignty
» Efficient factor allocation
» Performance-based income distribution
 Dynamic functions
» Flexible adjustment to changing conditions
» Technological progress/innovations
 Coordination efficiency
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
23
Positive vs. normative analysis
 Positive economics
» Economist as observer
» Explanation of cause and effect
 Normative economics
» Economist as advisor to a “social planner”
» Judgmental knowledge (explicit or implicit assumptions)
» Second-best problems
 Political economics
» Analysis of politicians/bureaucrats/pressure groups
» Public Choice/New Institutional Economics
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
24
Markets vs. politics/morals
 Market system: Coordination mechanism (instrument)
» Usefulness basically open to scientific analysis
» But: Links between personal freedom and market system
 Politics/morals: Definition of targets (normative)
» Legitimation cannot be established by economic science
» Economics: Looking for best means to reach specific targets and
determining opportunity costs/trade-offs
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
25
Transaction costs
 Ex-ante transaction costs
» Search
» Negotiation
» Contracting
 Ex-post transaction costs
» Implementation
» Monitoring
» Adjustment
 Using the market is not for free
(BUT: so is hierarchical/central planning)
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
26
Categories of market failures
 Technological externalities
 Natural monopolies (subadditivity of cost functions)
 Information deficiencies
 Instability (deficient adjustment processes)
 [Non-rationality]
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
27
Potential room for improving social coordination:
The two-stage burden of proof
 Intervention analysis: Market vs. hierarchy (central planning)
(1) Significant market failure?
(2) Market failure > government failure?
(comparing relevant alternatives)
 Information problem
(getting/distributing data, value problem)
 Incentive/bureaucracy problem
(individual utility vs. realization of the plan)
 Financing/spillovers to other fields
(distortions on other markets)
 Intervene only, if (1) and (2)
» Default: Market-based coordination (free-market prejudice)
» Minimally invasive operations (market-compatible solutions)
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
28
Dubai: Is the desert a market failure?
 Ruler of Dubai:
„Market failed to put Dubai on the global map!“
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
29
Outline
1. Introduction and Overview



Motivation and key aspects
Methodology and general approach
Course scheme
2. Market Mechanisms and Government Interventions
3. Externalities and Public Goods
4. Competition Policy and Regulation
5. Ordoliberalism and the Social Market Economy
6. Summary: The Key Lessons Learnt
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
30
Reading
 Literature
» Fritsch, M. (2011): „Marktversagen und Wirtschaftspolitik –
Mikroökonomische Grundlagen des staatlichen Handelns“, 8. Aufl.,
Verlag Vahlen: München.
» Grossekettler, H., A. Hadamitzky and C. Lorenz (2008):
„Volkswirtschaftslehre“; UVK Verlagsgemeinschaft: Konstanz.
» Hazlitt, H. (2008): “Economics in One Lesson”, Ludwig von Mises
Institute: Auburn/Alabama.
» Mankiw, N. G. (2011): „Principles of Economics“, 6th Edition, SouthWestern.
 Course website: www.kooths.de/bits-ep
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
31
Outline
1. Introduction and Overview
2. Market Mechanisms and Government Interventions



Market-based coordination and welfare economics
Price controls
Taxes
3. Externalities and Public Goods
4. Competition Policy and Regulation
5. Ordoliberalism and the Social Market Economy
6. Summary: The Key Lessons Learnt
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
32
Pareto efficiency
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
33
Conditions for „perfect“ competition (1/2)
 Atomistic market structure
» Infinite number of buyers and sellers (no market power)
» Price taker/autonomous decisions
 Rationality
» Consumers/households: Utility maximization
» Producers/enterprises: Profit maximization
» Self-interest with fair means (no opportunistic behavior)
 Homogenous goods (products and factors)
» No personal/spatial/physical preferences
» No indivisibility
 Stationary world
» Given resources, constant technology
» No growth analysis, no process/product innovations
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
34
Conditions for „perfect“ competition (2/2)
 World without frictions
» Zero transaction costs (no costs for making an exchange of goods)
» Perfect factor mobility (unrestricted market entry/exit)
 Freedom of choice
» No involuntary/compulsory transactions
» No technological external effects
 Perfect information/total transparency
» Full knowledge/free information about alternatives and prices
» No uncertainty
 Infinite speed of response
» Focus on equilibrium analysis
» Transactions only at equilibrium prices (no “false” trading)
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
35
The 2-2-2 model
 Two consumers: A and B
 Two products: X and Y
 Two factors: L and K
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
36
Criteria 1: Efficiency of exchange
(Edgeworth box and contract curve)
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
37
Criteria 2: Efficiency of factor use
(efficiency line and production-possibility frontier)
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
38
Criteria 3: Optimal composition of production
(consumer sovereignty)
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
39
Equilibrium: Market clearing and social welfare
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
40
Fundamental theorems of welfare economics
 Theorem 1:
Competitive markets tend toward an efficient allocation of
resources (= fulfill criteria 1 to 3)
 Theorem 2:
Any particular Pareto-efficient outcome can be achieved via
lump-sum wealth redistributions and then letting the market
take over
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
41
The markets’ navigation system:
Prices as universal information carriers
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
42
Static and dynamic efficiency
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
43
Primary income distribution
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
44
Flexible adjustment to changing conditions
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
45
Technological progress
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
46
“Perfect” competition and reality:
Nirvana critique and the theory of second best
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
47
Market prices, revealed preferences and the impossibility of
calculation under Socialism (Mises)
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
48
Potential market failures and economic policy
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
49
Outline
1. Introduction and Overview
2. Market Mechanisms and Government Interventions



Market-based coordination and welfare economics
Price controls
Taxes
3. Externalities and Public Goods
4. Competition Policy and Regulation
5. Ordoliberalism and the Social Market Economy
6. Summary: The Key Lessons Learnt
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
50
Price ceilings and market outcomes (example: rent controls)
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
51
Price floors and market outcomes (example: minimum wages)
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
52
Escaping price controls
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
53
Outline
1. Introduction and Overview
2. Market Mechanisms and Government Interventions



Market-based coordination and welfare economics
Price controls
Taxes
3. Externalities and Public Goods
4. Competition Policy and Regulation
5. Ordoliberalism and the Social Market Economy
6. Summary: The Key Lessons Learnt
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
54
Taxes on sellers
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
55
Taxes on buyers
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
56
Elasticity and tax incidence: Who really pays the tax?
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
57
Excess burden (deadweight loss) of taxation
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
58
The Laffer curve: Tax rates vs. tax revenues
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
59
Administrative burden
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
60
Marginal tax rates vs. average tax rates
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
61
Lump-sum taxes
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
62
Principles of taxation: Benefits vs. ability-to-pay
 Benefits principle
 Ability-to-pay principle
» Horizontal equity
» Vertical equity
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
63
Outline
1. Introduction and Overview
2. Market Mechanisms and Government Interventions
3. Externalities and Public Goods


Technological externalities
Public goods and common resources
4. Competition Policy and Regulation
5. Ordoliberalism and the Social Market Economy
6. Summary: The Key Lessons Learnt
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
64
Technological vs. pecuniary externalities
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
65
Positive externalities: Private and social utility
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
66
Negative externalities: Private and social cost
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
67
Policy instruments: Incentive-based vs. command-and-control
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
68
Criteria: Static efficiency, dynamic efficiency, and effectiveness
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
69
Moral suasion
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
70
Nationalization
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
71
Public orders
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
72
Pigou-taxes/subsidies
Arthur Cecil Pigou
(1877—1959)
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
73
Cap-and-trade (example: pollution permits)
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
74
Bargaining: The Coase theorem
Ronald Coase
(1910—2013)
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
75
Outline
1. Introduction and Overview
2. Market Mechanisms and Government Interventions
3. Externalities and Public Goods


Technological externalities
Public goods and common resources
4. Competition Policy and Regulation
5. Ordoliberalism and the Social Market Economy
6. Summary: The Key Lessons Learnt
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
76
Classification of goods: Excludability and rivalry
Rivalry?
Classification matrix
yes
no
yes
Private good
Club good
no
Quasi-public good
Public good
Excludability?
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
77
Private vs. collective goods: Aggregating individual demand
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
78
Non-excludability: The free-rider problem
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
79
Managing collective goods:
Quantities, prices, and willingness to pay
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
80
Providing public goods: Cost-benefit analysis
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
81
The Tragedy of the Commons
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
82
Common resources and property rights
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
83
Outline
1. Introduction and Overview
2. Market Mechanisms and Government Interventions
3. Externalities and Public Goods
4. Competition Policy and Regulation



Competitive markets vs. market power
Anti-competitive behavior and anti-trust policies
Natural monopolies
5. Ordoliberalism and the Social Market Economy
6. Summary: The Key Lessons Learnt
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
84
Monopoly: Price, quantity, and welfare effects
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
85
Price discrimination
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
86
Temporary monopolies (pioneer profits), dynamic efficiency,
and contestable markets
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
87
Cartels: Potential profits and fragility
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
88
Outline
1. Introduction and Overview
2. Market Mechanisms and Government Interventions
3. Externalities and Public Goods
4. Competition Policy and Regulation



Competitive markets vs. market power
Anti-competitive behavior and anti-trust policies
Natural monopolies
5. Ordoliberalism and the Social Market Economy
6. Summary: The Key Lessons Learnt
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
89
Anti-competitive strategies (overview)
 Cartels and collusion
 Abuse of dominant market position
 Mergers and acquisitions
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
90
Anti-trust policy concepts (overview)




Laissez-faire approach
Structure approach
Regulation approach
Ownership approach
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
91
Per se-rule vs. rule of reason
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
92
Ex ante vs. ex post approach
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
93
Problem of the relevant market
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
94
Outline
1. Introduction and Overview
2. Market Mechanisms and Government Interventions
3. Externalities and Public Goods
4. Competition Policy and Regulation



Competitive markets vs. market power
Anti-competitive behavior and anti-trust policies
Natural monopolies
5. Ordoliberalism and the Social Market Economy
6. Summary: The Key Lessons Learnt
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
95
Economies of scale
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
96
Subadditivity of cost functions
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
97
Role of potential competition (contestable markets)
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
98
Regulation: Price-cap vs. rate-of-return
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
99
Auctioning
KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015)
100
Download