Economic Policy and Market Regulation Prof. Dr. Stefan Kooths BiTS Berlin (winter term 2014/2015) www.kooths.de/bits-ep KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 1 Outline 1. Introduction and Overview 2. Market Mechanisms and Government Interventions 3. Externalities and Public Goods 4. Competition Policy and Regulation 5. Ordoliberalism and the Social Market Economy 6. Summary: The Key Lessons Learnt KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 2 Outline 1. Introduction and Overview Motivation and key aspects Methodology and general approach Course scheme 2. Market Mechanisms and Government Interventions 3. Externalities and Public Goods 4. Competition Policy and Regulation 5. Ordoliberalism and the Social Market Economy 6. Summary: The Key Lessons Learnt KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 3 Economics and the key allocation problem Human needs » Subjectively felt uneasiness (reason for action) » Generally unlimited Goods » Means for (direct or indirect) satisfaction of a need » Generally limited Scarcity (allocation problem) » Not all needs can be fully satisfied » Selection inevitable Ranking needs Matching with disposable means (production possibilities) » Economic growth: Reduction of „uneasiness “ (more satisfaction by expanding the pool of means) KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 4 Alternative allocation mechanisms Violence (military campaigns, robber barons) Discrimination (Sex, Nationality, Age, …) Greyhound racing („First come, first served“) Communism („Each according to his/her need”) Egalitarianism („Each the same“) Market (competitive exchange mechanism) » Property rights » Voluntary exchange „Each according to his/her preferences and performance“ (ability-to-pay resulting from market income = valuation by others) KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 5 The market signal system: Profits, Losses, Bankruptcy Profits » Revenues (value creation) > Costs (value destruction) » Net creation of value Agent stays in the game, activity can be expanded Losses » Revenues < Costs » Net destruction of value Yellow card (warning): activity should be reduced/modified Bankruptcy » Revenues << Costs » Net value destruction ongoing/at large scale Red card (sending-off): activity must stop KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 6 Property rights and the primary role of government Property rights » Usus » Abusus » Usus fructus (includes: accountability!) Role of government: Defining and guaranteeing property rights (legal framework) KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 7 Fields of economic policy: Allocation, redistribution and stabilization Allocation » Improving economic efficiency Redistribution » Changing the distribution of disposable income (primary vs. secondary income distribtuion) Stabilization » Growth, employment, price stability, external equilibrium (macroeconomic approach) » Fiscal policy » Monetary policy (and choice of currency system) KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 8 Levels of economic policy: Constitutional vs. interventionist approaches Constitutional level » Designing the general institutional framework (economic order) Interventional level » Modifying/interfering with market processes KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 9 The extended Tinbergen rule for government interventions One policy target One specific tool (policy instrument) One independent authority (in case of target conflicts) KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 10 Incentives and government interventions: Intention vs. outcome (The Cobra effect) KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 11 The big picture: From Feudalism to Neoliberalism (1/3) Free market system (classic liberalism) Feudalism liberal revolution Feudal power Constitution (Democratic) State Subjects Economy Competition Capitalist economy KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 12 The big picture: From Feudalism to Neoliberalism (2/3) „Invisible Hand“/Laissez-faire: Self-interest and public welfare Adam Smith (1723 – 1790) „It is not from the benevolence of the butcher, the brewer, or the baker that we expect our dinner, but from their regard to their own interest.” (Wealth of Nations, 1776) Vincent de Gournay (1712 – 1759) „Laissez faire, laissez passer, le monde va de lui-même.” Bernard de Mondeville (1670 – 1733) The Fable of the Bees: or, Private Vices, Public Benefits (1714) KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 13 The big picture: From Feudalism to Neoliberalism (3/3) Degenerate „unfree“ market system Neoliberal system Constitution Constitution Demokratischer Staat Influence Competition Interventions (Democratic) State Regulation Protection Competition Capitalistic economy Social market economy KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 14 Regulation vs. deregulation: An ongoing debate Regulatory design is technology-dependent Competing paradigms for economic policy making The fundamental organizational question: Markets vs. hierarchies KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 15 Good and bad economics (H. Hazlitt: Economics in One Lesson) The bad economist sees only … » … what immediately strikes the eye. » … the direct consequences of a proposed course. » … what the effect of a given policy has been or will be on one particular group. KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) The good economist also … » … looks beyond. » … looks at the larger and indirect consequences. » … inquires what the effect of the policy will be on all groups. 16 Outline 1. Introduction and Overview Motivation and key aspects Methodology and general approach Course scheme 2. Market Mechanisms and Government Interventions 3. Externalities and Public Goods 4. Competition Policy and Regulation 5. Ordoliberalism and the Social Market Economy 6. Summary: The Key Lessons Learnt KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 17 Methodological individualism General method » Individuals as point of departure for economic analysis » Explaining social processes via actions of involved persons Individuals … » … are diverse » … have exogenous preferences » … are capable of acting on their own » … follow their vested interest Subjectivism » Individual preferences » No scientific inter-subjective comparisons of utility KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 18 Human Action Subjective uneasiness purposeful action Action = Influencing circumstances of one’s life Humans as universal entrepreneurs » Decision maker » Explorer (search for new means) Ludwig von Mises (1881 – 1973) Nationalökonomie – Theorie des Handelns und Wirtschaftens (1940) http://mises.org/document/3250 KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 19 “Collective” action and average “behavior” of groups: Pitfalls of collectivist analysis and the Arrow paradox Person Ranking of alternatives A, B, C 1 2 3 A>B>C B>C>A C>A>B Voting Results A vs. B B vs. C C vs. A KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 20 The “free-market prejudice” Voluntary exchange imply gains from trade Markets as reference and default system KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 21 Pareto efficiency and Kaldor-Hicks criterion KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 22 Workable economic coordination: Static and dynamic functions “What are markets expected to do?” Static functions » Consumer sovereignty » Efficient factor allocation » Performance-based income distribution Dynamic functions » Flexible adjustment to changing conditions » Technological progress/innovations Coordination efficiency KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 23 Positive vs. normative analysis Positive economics » Economist as observer » Explanation of cause and effect Normative economics » Economist as advisor to a “social planner” » Judgmental knowledge (explicit or implicit assumptions) » Second-best problems Political economics » Analysis of politicians/bureaucrats/pressure groups » Public Choice/New Institutional Economics KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 24 Markets vs. politics/morals Market system: Coordination mechanism (instrument) » Usefulness basically open to scientific analysis » But: Links between personal freedom and market system Politics/morals: Definition of targets (normative) » Legitimation cannot be established by economic science » Economics: Looking for best means to reach specific targets and determining opportunity costs/trade-offs KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 25 Transaction costs Ex-ante transaction costs » Search » Negotiation » Contracting Ex-post transaction costs » Implementation » Monitoring » Adjustment Using the market is not for free (BUT: so is hierarchical/central planning) KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 26 Categories of market failures Technological externalities Natural monopolies (subadditivity of cost functions) Information deficiencies Instability (deficient adjustment processes) [Non-rationality] KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 27 Potential room for improving social coordination: The two-stage burden of proof Intervention analysis: Market vs. hierarchy (central planning) (1) Significant market failure? (2) Market failure > government failure? (comparing relevant alternatives) Information problem (getting/distributing data, value problem) Incentive/bureaucracy problem (individual utility vs. realization of the plan) Financing/spillovers to other fields (distortions on other markets) Intervene only, if (1) and (2) » Default: Market-based coordination (free-market prejudice) » Minimally invasive operations (market-compatible solutions) KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 28 Dubai: Is the desert a market failure? Ruler of Dubai: „Market failed to put Dubai on the global map!“ KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 29 Outline 1. Introduction and Overview Motivation and key aspects Methodology and general approach Course scheme 2. Market Mechanisms and Government Interventions 3. Externalities and Public Goods 4. Competition Policy and Regulation 5. Ordoliberalism and the Social Market Economy 6. Summary: The Key Lessons Learnt KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 30 Reading Literature » Fritsch, M. (2011): „Marktversagen und Wirtschaftspolitik – Mikroökonomische Grundlagen des staatlichen Handelns“, 8. Aufl., Verlag Vahlen: München. » Grossekettler, H., A. Hadamitzky and C. Lorenz (2008): „Volkswirtschaftslehre“; UVK Verlagsgemeinschaft: Konstanz. » Hazlitt, H. (2008): “Economics in One Lesson”, Ludwig von Mises Institute: Auburn/Alabama. » Mankiw, N. G. (2011): „Principles of Economics“, 6th Edition, SouthWestern. Course website: www.kooths.de/bits-ep KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 31 Outline 1. Introduction and Overview 2. Market Mechanisms and Government Interventions Market-based coordination and welfare economics Price controls Taxes 3. Externalities and Public Goods 4. Competition Policy and Regulation 5. Ordoliberalism and the Social Market Economy 6. Summary: The Key Lessons Learnt KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 32 Pareto efficiency KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 33 Conditions for „perfect“ competition (1/2) Atomistic market structure » Infinite number of buyers and sellers (no market power) » Price taker/autonomous decisions Rationality » Consumers/households: Utility maximization » Producers/enterprises: Profit maximization » Self-interest with fair means (no opportunistic behavior) Homogenous goods (products and factors) » No personal/spatial/physical preferences » No indivisibility Stationary world » Given resources, constant technology » No growth analysis, no process/product innovations KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 34 Conditions for „perfect“ competition (2/2) World without frictions » Zero transaction costs (no costs for making an exchange of goods) » Perfect factor mobility (unrestricted market entry/exit) Freedom of choice » No involuntary/compulsory transactions » No technological external effects Perfect information/total transparency » Full knowledge/free information about alternatives and prices » No uncertainty Infinite speed of response » Focus on equilibrium analysis » Transactions only at equilibrium prices (no “false” trading) KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 35 The 2-2-2 model Two consumers: A and B Two products: X and Y Two factors: L and K KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 36 Criteria 1: Efficiency of exchange (Edgeworth box and contract curve) KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 37 Criteria 2: Efficiency of factor use (efficiency line and production-possibility frontier) KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 38 Criteria 3: Optimal composition of production (consumer sovereignty) KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 39 Equilibrium: Market clearing and social welfare KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 40 Fundamental theorems of welfare economics Theorem 1: Competitive markets tend toward an efficient allocation of resources (= fulfill criteria 1 to 3) Theorem 2: Any particular Pareto-efficient outcome can be achieved via lump-sum wealth redistributions and then letting the market take over KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 41 The markets’ navigation system: Prices as universal information carriers KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 42 Static and dynamic efficiency KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 43 Primary income distribution KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 44 Flexible adjustment to changing conditions KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 45 Technological progress KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 46 “Perfect” competition and reality: Nirvana critique and the theory of second best KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 47 Market prices, revealed preferences and the impossibility of calculation under Socialism (Mises) KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 48 Potential market failures and economic policy KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 49 Outline 1. Introduction and Overview 2. Market Mechanisms and Government Interventions Market-based coordination and welfare economics Price controls Taxes 3. Externalities and Public Goods 4. Competition Policy and Regulation 5. Ordoliberalism and the Social Market Economy 6. Summary: The Key Lessons Learnt KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 50 Price ceilings and market outcomes (example: rent controls) KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 51 Price floors and market outcomes (example: minimum wages) KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 52 Escaping price controls KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 53 Outline 1. Introduction and Overview 2. Market Mechanisms and Government Interventions Market-based coordination and welfare economics Price controls Taxes 3. Externalities and Public Goods 4. Competition Policy and Regulation 5. Ordoliberalism and the Social Market Economy 6. Summary: The Key Lessons Learnt KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 54 Taxes on sellers KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 55 Taxes on buyers KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 56 Elasticity and tax incidence: Who really pays the tax? KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 57 Excess burden (deadweight loss) of taxation KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 58 The Laffer curve: Tax rates vs. tax revenues KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 59 Administrative burden KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 60 Marginal tax rates vs. average tax rates KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 61 Lump-sum taxes KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 62 Principles of taxation: Benefits vs. ability-to-pay Benefits principle Ability-to-pay principle » Horizontal equity » Vertical equity KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 63 Outline 1. Introduction and Overview 2. Market Mechanisms and Government Interventions 3. Externalities and Public Goods Technological externalities Public goods and common resources 4. Competition Policy and Regulation 5. Ordoliberalism and the Social Market Economy 6. Summary: The Key Lessons Learnt KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 64 Technological vs. pecuniary externalities KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 65 Positive externalities: Private and social utility KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 66 Negative externalities: Private and social cost KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 67 Policy instruments: Incentive-based vs. command-and-control KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 68 Criteria: Static efficiency, dynamic efficiency, and effectiveness KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 69 Moral suasion KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 70 Nationalization KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 71 Public orders KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 72 Pigou-taxes/subsidies Arthur Cecil Pigou (1877—1959) KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 73 Cap-and-trade (example: pollution permits) KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 74 Bargaining: The Coase theorem Ronald Coase (1910—2013) KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 75 Outline 1. Introduction and Overview 2. Market Mechanisms and Government Interventions 3. Externalities and Public Goods Technological externalities Public goods and common resources 4. Competition Policy and Regulation 5. Ordoliberalism and the Social Market Economy 6. Summary: The Key Lessons Learnt KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 76 Classification of goods: Excludability and rivalry Rivalry? Classification matrix yes no yes Private good Club good no Quasi-public good Public good Excludability? KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 77 Private vs. collective goods: Aggregating individual demand KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 78 Non-excludability: The free-rider problem KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 79 Managing collective goods: Quantities, prices, and willingness to pay KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 80 Providing public goods: Cost-benefit analysis KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 81 The Tragedy of the Commons KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 82 Common resources and property rights KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 83 Outline 1. Introduction and Overview 2. Market Mechanisms and Government Interventions 3. Externalities and Public Goods 4. Competition Policy and Regulation Competitive markets vs. market power Anti-competitive behavior and anti-trust policies Natural monopolies 5. Ordoliberalism and the Social Market Economy 6. Summary: The Key Lessons Learnt KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 84 Monopoly: Price, quantity, and welfare effects KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 85 Price discrimination KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 86 Temporary monopolies (pioneer profits), dynamic efficiency, and contestable markets KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 87 Cartels: Potential profits and fragility KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 88 Outline 1. Introduction and Overview 2. Market Mechanisms and Government Interventions 3. Externalities and Public Goods 4. Competition Policy and Regulation Competitive markets vs. market power Anti-competitive behavior and anti-trust policies Natural monopolies 5. Ordoliberalism and the Social Market Economy 6. Summary: The Key Lessons Learnt KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 89 Anti-competitive strategies (overview) Cartels and collusion Abuse of dominant market position Mergers and acquisitions KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 90 Anti-trust policy concepts (overview) Laissez-faire approach Structure approach Regulation approach Ownership approach KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 91 Per se-rule vs. rule of reason KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 92 Ex ante vs. ex post approach KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 93 Problem of the relevant market KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 94 Outline 1. Introduction and Overview 2. Market Mechanisms and Government Interventions 3. Externalities and Public Goods 4. Competition Policy and Regulation Competitive markets vs. market power Anti-competitive behavior and anti-trust policies Natural monopolies 5. Ordoliberalism and the Social Market Economy 6. Summary: The Key Lessons Learnt KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 95 Economies of scale KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 96 Subadditivity of cost functions KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 97 Role of potential competition (contestable markets) KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 98 Regulation: Price-cap vs. rate-of-return KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 99 Auctioning KOOTHS | BiTS: Economic Policy and Market Regulation (winter term 2014/2015) 100