CIS Region Start-up meeting on implementation of the Global Strategy to Improve Agricultural and Rural Statistics Budapest 4-5 February 2015 Christophe DUHAMEL, Global Office FAO Outline • Reminder on the Global Strategy • How far are we in the implementation? • Progress on the research component • Funding Reminder on the Global Strategy How? Addressing urgent needs Sector Plans (SPARS) Country assessments Technical Assistance Training incl. Assessment Research: cost-effective methods; guidelines How far in the implementation? Governance • Global governance put in place and functioning • Regional mechanisms functioning • Action plan extended: 2012-2016 > 2012-2017 • Regional action plans: – Africa and Asia-Pacific operational – CIS to be endorsed by GSC – LAC, Near East to be finalised Implementation at global level • Coordination: improved with regional implementing partners • New M&E framework, articulated with regions • GS, umbrella for other TA initiatives • Research component: >> • Communication tools: e-bulletin, booklets, website Implementation in the regions (1) • Implementing partners: • FAO regional office for TA, ESCAP/SIAP for Training (Asia) • AfDB for TA, UNECA for Training (Africa) • Regional Steering Committees • chaired by Philippines and Sri Lanka (Asia) • chaired by Ghana and Cabo Verde • Regional Offices in place Implementation in the regions (2) • Country Assessments and In-Depth Country Assessments (IdCA) • CA carried out in 2012-2013, used for selecting priority countries • IdCA completed in 5 countries in Asia, 7 in Africa • Support Strategic Plan for Agriculture and Rural Statistics (SPARS) • “Light” SPARS (following IdCA) in Asia: • Full SPARS in Africa • Technical Assistance on new cost-effective methods • to start following priorities identified through IdCA, SPARS evaluation Implementation in the regions (3) Implementation in the regions (4) • Training activities • Coordination Africa/Asia (needs assessment, curricula, syllabus, elearning material) • Support to regional training centres • Scholarships in Africa • Training modules to be prepared Which progress on research? OUTLINE • Recall of goal of research programme • Research activities for 2015 • Focus on Minimum Set of Core Data / AGRIS Goal of Research programme contribute to significant improvement in quality, reliability ,costeffectiveness of agricultural statistics in developing countries through: • developing cost-effective methods (new methodological and technological developments) • documenting, consolidating and disseminating good practices • inputs for developing guidelines, handbooks and training materials for TA and Training Research activities planned for 2015 NEW TO BE STARTED OR CONTINUED FROM 2014 MODALITY OF IMPLEMENTATION Framework for Agricultural Statistics Agricultural Integrated Survey (AGRIS) CONTINUED Consultancy/GO Staff Improving methodologies for master sampling frames Field tests and software package, validation meeting CONTINUED GO staff, Consultancy, regional partners, pilot countries Final Handbook on Master Sampling Frame CONTINUED Core drafting expert group NEW TO BE STARTED OR CONTINUED FROM 2014 MODALITY OF IMPLEMENTATION Improving methods for estimating post harvest losses NEW GO staff Consultancy, subject FAO matter experts, countries New technology for field data capture, compilation (CAPI) CONTINUED Agreement with WB/LSMS Improving methods for disseminating agricultural statistics NEW GO staff, Consultancy Improving methods for estimating livestock and livestock products NEW Letter of Agreement with UNE, Australia Improving data collection methods NEW TO BE STARTED OR CONTINUED FROM 2014 MODALITY OF IMPLEMENTATION Improving food security statistics methods Improving methodology of Food Balance Sheets CONTINUED Consultancy/FAO staff Improving methods for measuring food consumption CONTINUED Agreement with WB/LSMS Improvement of estimation of crop area, yield and production (pure stand, mixed, repeated, cont. cropping) + Horticultural Crops NEW Letter of Agreement with IASRI, India Developing methods for estimating yields of root crops CONTINUED Improving methods for crops estimates FAORAF/Horticultural crops Agreement with WB/LSMS NEW TO BE STARTED OR CONTINUED FROM 2014 MODALITY OF IMPLEMENTATION Improving the methodology for using remote sensing Cost-efficiency of remote sensing in developing countries NEW Consultancy Methods for using existing land cover – land use data bases CONTINUED FAO Staff/Consultancy Handbook on use of Remote Sensing in Agricultural Statistics (integration of methodological research conducted incl Geog. Information) NEW Expert Group Improving quality and use of administrative data CONTINUED Letter of Agreement with Iowa State University (USA) and Makerere University (Uganda) NEW TO BE STARTED OR CONTINUED FROM 2014 MODALITY OF IMPLEMENTATION Indicators and collection methods for small-scale fisheries Methodological developments for small-scale fisheries NEW FAO staff/Consultancy Forestry Statistics NEW FAO staff/Consultancy Better integration of geographic information and statistics Spatial disaggregation, integration of geo. Info - geo-ref. survey data CONTINUED Consultancy CONTINUED GO Staff/Consultancy Knowledge sharing strategy development Developing a repository Improving the methodology for data analysis Farm typology NEW WAW/Consultancy Reconciliation Census-Surveys data NEW FAORAF/Consultancy Determination of user's needs for decision-making NEW GO staff/Consultancy Indicators, collection methods for gender/youth-related data NEW FAO staff/Consultancy Improving rural statistics NEW GO staff/Consultancy Indicators and collection methods agri-environment NEW FAO staff/Consultancy OUTCOME OF RESEARCH ACTIVITIES IN 2015: TECHNICAL REPORTS EXPECTED IN 2015 • • • • • • • Technical Report on Improving methods for linking area frames with list frames Technical paper on Spatial disaggregation, integration of geo. Info - georef. survey data Technical Report on Cost-efficiency of remote sensing in developing countries Technical Report on improved methods for estimating Crop Area, Yield and Production of mixed, repeated, continuous crops Technical Report on Improved Methods for Estimating Livestock and Livestock Products Technical Report on reconciliation of agricultural census and survey data Technical Report on Determination of users data needs for decision making OUTCOME OF RESEARCH ACTIVITIES IN 2015: MAJOR GUIDELINES EXPECTED IN 2015 • • • • • • • • • • • • Handbook on Master Sampling Frame Guidelines on Integrated survey framework Guidelines on AGRIS (Agricultural-Rural Integrated Survey) Handbook on SEAA-AFF Handbook on Methods for estimating cost of production Guidelines on improved methods for estimating Post-Harvest Losses Handbook of best practices on nomadic livestock estimates Guidelines for Compiling Food Balance Sheets Guidelines on Improved Methods for Estimating Crop Area/Yield of root crops Guidelines to improved methodology for using remote sensing Guidelines on Fisheries and Aquaculture in Census Framework Guidelines to improve quality and use of administrative data Minimum Set of Core Data / AGRIS Reminder: Minimum Set of Core Data What has been improved • Data structure and additional information • Planning the data collection of MSCD • Proposing a survey tool on Agricultural Holding sector: AGRIS • Ensuring linkages between MSCD-WCA 2020-AGRIS items Reminder: MSCD Objectives of the Global Strategy: enabling countries to produce and disseminate on a regular basis a minimum set of reliable and comparable core economic, social and environmental data , using cost-effective methods The Minimum Set of Core Data = the first pillar of the Global Strategy to improve Agricultural and Rural Statistics within the purpose of integrating the Agricultural Statistics in the National Statistical System. Provide basic items as inputs for: the national accounts and global balances of supply demand for food and other agricultural products ; running of a multitude of indicators needed to monitor and evaluate development policies, food security and progress toward meeting the MDGs/SDGs MSCD: What has been improved • Data structure and additional information • Planning the data collection of MSCD • Proposing a survey tool on Agricultural Holding sector: AGRIS • Ensuring linkages between MSCD-WCA 2020-AGRIS items Data Structure Dimensions Key variables and items Economic • Production of major national crops and Area Harvested*, livestock, aquaculture, fisheries and forestry products • Trade; • Resources : land use*, stock of animal*, employment, machinery*, • Main inputs: use of water*, fertilizers* and pesticides*; seed and feed utilization • Prices: producers’ and consumers’ prices; • Agro-processing products: on food for self consumption, for sale or for other uses • Final expenditure : public sources, private credit and household consumption, • Rural infrastructure: irrigation and drainage equipment, storage, rural roads and telecommunication Social • Urban and rural population, education level, employment status, household composition and family workers on the holding by sex and age Environmental • Agricultural management practices concerning Tillage, Soil conservation and Agroforestry practices plus the resource items * Reference Metadata for each variable Additional information Description Primary sources • Agricultural Census and Population Census • Surveys on Agriculture and specialized surveys such as Household income/expenditure, Industry, etc. • Administrative records Target population, if possible • Agricultural Holdings : household and non-household sectors • Household Minimum frequency of data collection • Every 1 year for current data • Every 2-5 year for structural data Concepts, definitions and classifications International standards in line with the FAO World Census Program Data breakdown Geographical coverage Specific Category Time Local Administrative Units: •LAU1 = Country level •LAU2 = State or Region •LAU2 = Province or District or Village, etc. • • Year • Crops by local variety livestock products by commodity household by sex Summary Table Minimum set of core data Group of variables Key variables Economic Output Production Area harvested and planted Yield Births Productivity Trade Stock Core Data Items Economically active population Animal Stocks Units Geographical Coverage by local administrative units Observation units for surveys and censuses Production quantity of core crops (main crops) Production quantity of core livestock products (meat, eggs, milk, etc.) Production quantity of fish capture (inland, marine) annual annual a a Crop Animal tonnes annual a Activity tonnes Production quantity of fish aquaculture (inland, marine/brackish water) Production quantity of core forest products (fuelwood, logs) annual a Activity tonnes a Product Area harvested of core crops* Area planted Crop yield annual annual annual a a a a Crop Crop Crop tonnes ha ha Number of animals born* annual a a Animal head Average carcass weight annual a Animal kg/animal LAU1 - Yield per milking animal annual a a Animal kg/animal LAU1, LAU2, LAU3 Household Yield per laying animal annual a a Animal Fisheries productivity annual a Fish species - annual a LAU1 a Commodity - annual tonnes and Local Currency tonnes LAU1, LAU2, LAU3 Agr. Holding (HH & non-HH sectors) Category ha LAU1, LAU2, LAU3 Sex and age Number of inhabitant Imports quantity Core crops, core livestock, core forestry, core fishery and value Exports quantity Core crops, core livestock, core forestry, core fishery and value Quantity in storage Quantity of crops storage of core items at beginning of harvest season Stock of Land cover Resources Land use National primary sources Minimum Level of Adm. Frequency of Censuses Surveys item Records data disaggregation collection Agriculture Population Land cover (Cropland, Forest land, Grassland, Wetlands, Settlements, Other Land) Land Use (Arable land , Pemanant crops, Permanent pasture, Irrigated area, etc.) and area for aquaculture by type of site (Inland open water Coastal and marine waters) Number of people in working age by age and sex Number of Live Animals (stocks, slaughtered, milking and laying animals)* annual a annual a a a every 2-3 years annual tonnes Household LAU1 , LAU2, LAU3 Agr. Holding (HH & non-HH sectors) kg/ha kg/animal Crop a every 5 years annual a Agr. Holding (HH & non-HH sectors) a a a - Animal head LAU1, LAU2, LAU3 Agr. Holding (HH & non-HH sectors) Household Agr. Holding (HH & non-HH sectors) MSCD: What has been improved • Data structure and additional information • Planning the data collection of MSCD • Proposing a survey tool on Agricultural Holding sector: AGRIS • Ensuring linkages between MSCD-WCA 2020-AGRIS items How to plan the data collection of MSCD Determine the national priorities of core items Other (Admin. Records) Holding (HH and nonHH sectors) Identify Statistical Unit 10 years Frequency Annual or Multiannual Household Agric. Household Surveys, AGRIS Yes No Annual or Multiannual Household Surveys 10 years Frequency Population Census Agricultural Census MSCD: What has been improved • Data structure and additional information • Planning the data collection of MSCD • Proposing a survey tool on Agricultural Holding sector: AGRIS • Ensuring linkages between MSCD-WCA 2020-AGRIS items The Agricultural and Rural Integrated Survey (AGRIS) • A methodology for a standardized multipurpose and modular survey on Agricultural Holding sectors, which aims at collecting MSCD and other relevant agricultural and rural data on a regular basis • Using methods and tools developed under the Global Strategy • Building on and strengthening existing survey activities going on in countries AGRIS Structure Modular Structure Core Module: yearly data collection on current agricultural production integrated with economic and socio-demographic statistics (the periodicity varies according to the Country practice) Rotating Module on Specific Topics data to collect every two, three years or four years (sub-samples can also be used) Statistical Units Agricultural Holdings : household sector and non-household sector Frames For the non-Household sector the sampling basis could be the most appropriate list frame among the agricultural census and administrative registers For the Household sector, either an area frame (segments or points) or the Enumeration Areas derived from the Censuses (Agriculture or Population), or administrative areas (municipalities…). Sample design Design fitted to the specific frame (use of MSF and ISF guidelines). Data collection process Use of GS data collection methods, including GPS, CAPI, RS AGRIS advantages as an integrated survey framework approach • Strengthening the country capacity in planning and coordinating the national agricultural surveys program (ref: SPARS List Censuses-Surveys) • Harmonizing sample frames in building a master sampling frame for all modules • Improving the data quality by harmonizing the main sources, with the adoption of common international standards on concepts, definitions and classifications (CPC, SEEA, HS, etc.) in line with the recommendations of World Census Program 2020 • Better use of resources such as the reduction of cost and time for the implementation and technical personnel training What has been improved • Data structure and additional information • Planning the data collection of MSCD • Proposing a survey tool on Agricultural Holding sector: AGRIS • Ensuring linkages between MSCD-WCA 2020-AGRIS items Link between MSCD-WCA 2020-AGRIS items Funding Funding: the situation Total budget: 84 M USD, Total committed: 41 M USD Recently in negotiation with EU: 10 M USD for Africa Global Trust Fund put in place and disbursements made to regional implementing partners (UNECA, UNESCAP, AfDB, FAO) Still 3 regions without funding from Trust Fund: LAC, Near East, CIS - but support of the World Bank (CIS), IaDB (LAC) > Mid-term conference + Donors meeting June 2015 Rome Thank You www.gsars.org christophe.duhamel@fao.org