Chapter 8: Foreign Exchange and International Financial Markets International Business, 4th Edition Griffin & Pustay 8-1 ©2004 Prentice Hall Chapter Objectives_1 Describe how demand and supply determine the price of foreign exchange Discuss the role of international banks in the foreign-exchange market Summarize the role of arbitrage in the foreign-exchange market 8-2 ©2004 Prentice Hall Chapter Objectives_2 Assess the different ways firms can use the spot and forward markets to settle international transactions Discuss the important aspects of the international capital market 8-3 ©2004 Prentice Hall Foreign Exchange A commodity that consists of currencies issued by countries other than one’s own 8-4 ©2004 Prentice Hall Figure 8.1 Demand for Japanese Yen is Derived from Foreigner’s Demand for Japanese Products 8-5 ©2004 Prentice Hall Figure 8.2 Supply for Japanese Yen is Derived from Japanese Demand for Foreign Products 8-6 ©2004 Prentice Hall Figure 8.3 The Market for Yen 8-7 ©2004 Prentice Hall Foreign Exchange Rates Direct exchange rate – Direct quote – Price of the foreign currency in terms of home currency Indirect exchange rate – Indirect quote – Price of the home country in terms of the foreign currency 8-8 ©2004 Prentice Hall Figure 8.4 Direct and Indirect Exchange Rates 8-9 ©2004 Prentice Hall The Role of Banks Wholesale market for foreign exchange Retail market for foreign exchange Clients – Commercial customers – Speculators – Arbitrageurs 8-10 ©2004 Prentice Hall Map 8.1 A Day of Foreign-Exchange Trading 8-11 ©2004 Prentice Hall Figure 8.5 Currencies Involved in Foreign-Exchange Market Transactions 20 24 4 6 13 23 Canadian dollar Swiss franc Pound sterling Japanese yen Euro U.S. dollar Other currencies Australian dollar Hong Kong dollar 38 90 8-12 ©2004 Prentice Hall Tokyo is the third largest center for foreignexchange trading, trailing only London and New York 8-13 ©2004 Prentice Hall Spot and Forward Markets Lending and Purchasing on credit Spot market: foreign-exchange transactions that are to be consummated immediately Forward market: foreign exchange transactions that are to occur at some time in the future Swap transaction: same currency is bought and sold simultaneously with delivery at different points in time 8-14 ©2004 Prentice Hall Mechanisms for Future Foreign Exchanges Currency future Currency option – Call option – Put option 8-15 ©2004 Prentice Hall Figure 8.6 Foreign-Exchange Options on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange 8-16 ©2004 Prentice Hall Arbitrage and the Currency Market Arbitrage: the riskless purchase of a product in one market for immediate resale in a second market in order to profit from a price discrepancy – Arbitrage of goods – Arbitrage of money 8-17 ©2004 Prentice Hall Theory of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) The prices of tradable goods, when expressed in a common currency, will tend to equalize across countries as a result of exchange rate changes Occurs because process of buying goods in a cheap market and reselling them in expensive market affects demand for (and price of) the foreign currency and the market price of the good in the two product markets in question 8-18 ©2004 Prentice Hall The prices these Mexican shoppers pay for foreign-made goods are affected by fluctuations in the value of the peso in the foreign-exchange market 8-19 ©2004 Prentice Hall Arbitrage of Money Two-point (geographic arbitrage) Three-point Covered interest 8-20 ©2004 Prentice Hall Figure 8.7 Three-Point Arbitrage 8-21 ©2004 Prentice Hall Importance of Arbitrage Activities Constitutes a major portion of $1.2 trillion currencies traded globally each working day Ties together the foreign-exchange markets Overcomes differences in geography, currency type, time 8-22 ©2004 Prentice Hall Table 8.1 The World’s 10 Largest Banks Rank Company Country Assets ($ Mil) 1 Mizuho Holdings Japan 1,148,917 2 Citigroup US 1,051,450 3 Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Japan 820,083 4 Deutsche Bank Germany 813,619 5 Mitsubishi Tokyo Financial Group Japan 755,481 6 UBS Switzerland 752,332 7 BNP Paribas France 733,423 8 HSBC Holdings UK 694,238 9 J.P. Morgan Chase US 693,575 10 Bayerische Hypo Bank Germany 647,926 8-23 ©2004 Prentice Hall Establishment of Overseas Banking Operation Subsidiary bank Branch bank Affiliated bank 8-24 ©2004 Prentice Hall The Eurocurrency Market Originated in the early 1950s Eurodollars – U.S. dollars deposited in European bank accounts – Euroyen – Europounds Eurocurrency – currency on deposit outside in banks worldwide Euroloans quoted on basis of LIBOR 8-25 ©2004 Prentice Hall The International Bond Market Major source of debt financing for – World’s governments – International organizations – Larger firms 2 types of bonds – Foreign bonds – Eurobonds 8-26 ©2004 Prentice Hall Figure 8.8 International Bond Issues, 2001, by Currency (in billions of U.S. dollars) U.S. dollar, 558, 48% U.S. dollar Euro British pound Other currencies Other currencies, 24, 2% British pound, 66, 6% Euro, 503, 44% 8-27 ©2004 Prentice Hall Hong Kong residents seeking to buy shares in the Web portal firm tom.com 8-28 ©2004 Prentice Hall Global Equity Markets Start-up companies are no longer restricted to raising new equity only from domestic sources Development of country funds – Mutual fund specializing in a given country’s funds 8-29 ©2004 Prentice Hall Offshore Financial Centers Focus on offering banking and other financial services to non-resident customers Locations – Bahamas, Bahrain, the Cayman Islands, Bermuda, the Netherlands Antilles, Singapore, Luxembourg, Switzerland 8-30 ©2004 Prentice Hall