May 2008 EBRI Policy Forum Global Defined Contribution Themes Implications for US policy Barbara Marder, Worldwide Partner Global Defined Contribution Consulting Leader www.mercer.ca Global DC Themes “The world of retirement has changed and we live in a definedcontribution world now”* * Karen Salinaro, IBM's VP of US – Pension Protection Act China – Enterprise Annuity Canada – Ontario Expert Commission – Alberta/BC Investigation Hong Kong – Proposals : Europe – Pan European developments – EFAMA Report : DC Schemes : Risks and advantages for occupational retirement provision United Kingdom – Regulatory push for improved DC governance – Cessation of DC contracting by 2012 – Statutory requirement to provide DC projections annually – 2012 Personal Accounts South Africa – Holistic review of retirement funding Benefits and Compensation Voluntary MPF contributions Choice of MPF Trustee Indonesia – 2008 DB funding requirements may lead to more DC conversions Thailand – DC legislation expected 2008/9 Australia – Tax incentives – Looking to simplify – ease of consolidation Chile – Realization that cost structure is too high and social security Mercer (Canada) Limited 1 Global Themes The world is flat! Will DC schemes deliver? Benefit adequacy concerns: – Contributions insufficient (often less than DB) Or not even enrolling – Returns are too low: Poor asset allocation – too conservative “switching” – Fees are too high Focus on expenses – Poor investment performance Insufficient focus on managers Mercer (Canada) Limited 2 Global Themes The world is flat! Societal view: – DC funds transfer risks to the group least capable of managing them Retirement Services Roundtable – Cracking the Participant Code – Government has increased its attention to these issues Mercer (Canada) Limited 3 Global Themes The world is flat! Additional concerns: Member engagement Member education/financial literacy Leakage through pre-retirement withdrawals and borrowing Cyclical retirements What happens at retirement? – “good bye and good luck” Longevity risk, what’s that? Governance – who is overseeing DC plans? Mercer (Canada) Limited 4 Global Themes DC Investments Desire of participants to “delegate” decision making to a third party – Trend to reduce the number of funds offered – European DC survey: Plans offer 15 investment funds on average. 75% of plans offer a default option, used by 70% of members – UK DC survey: Median no. of funds offered in contract-based plans is 52. 85% of plans offer a default option. – Lifecycle/lifestyle/target age/target date funds are universally popular (but, surprisingly, not in Australia) and a common default option Prediction that $920 billion will flow into these funds over the next 5 years. Prediction that 75% of all 401(k) assets will be held in target-date funds within 5 years Custom life cycle funds are gaining traction at the large end of the market Alternatives are creeping into DC plans, usually as a “bundle” Increasing desire of plan sponsors to delegate authority to third party Mercer (Canada) Limited 5 Global Themes The world is flat! Or is it? In reality responses will differ due to regulatory regimes But some global convergence is likely UK/North America Australia/Hong Kong Target date/ lifecycle funds Few options – PPA (USA) – UK age-based/US target year Rationalization of investments Enormous focus on fees – Full disclosure Inertia accepted as a reality Save more tomorrow Conventional assets, fixed asset allocation Annuitization (UK) Strong employer role Mercer (Canada) Limited – Generally balanced/target risk Target date/lifecycle unpopular – Disengages employees? – Inappropriate near retirement – Age is too simple a factor Alternative assets, dynamic asset allocation, diversification (Australia) Strong focus on communication, education Strong influence of financial planners Lump sum payments only (Australia) Employer role is marginalized 6 Global Themes Lessons from Australia (most mature DC market)? Environment is different: Compulsory membership and contributions Lump sum on retirement Master trusts Lessons? Even if target date in place need for engagement/communication Target date models can be improved – Why should DC schemes have “simple” investments? – More thought to be put into near retirement lifecycle offerings Financial planning community has a strong influence Mercer (Canada) Limited 7 Global Theme - DC Communications/Member Engagement - Where does communication end and financial planning begin? - Will automation be the real answer? Targeted Communications: Personalized and/or Participant segmentation Generic Communications Financial Education Provided by 3rd party Managed accounts Employer-sponsored Education seminars Financial Planning 49% of workers are interested in getting financial advice at their workplace about saving for retirement (up 11% from the previous year) 44% expressed interest in overall financial planning MetLife annual ee benefits trend survey Mercer (Canada) Limited 8 Global Themes Investment independence and fee transparency Australia US – Complete fee transparency – Focus on fee disclosure and fee – 2006 Choice of Fund legislation, transparency – DC “unbundling” highest degree of cost transparency Best in class providers for each function – April : Financial literacy month employees can choose any plan Asia – Bundled and unbundled arrangements in China, India, HK UK – Stakeholder pensions have a legislated “cap” on fees – FSA requirement to disclose commission levels Chile – “Ideal” pensions model but severe weakness was fees South Africa – Government is concerned at the Canada – Insurance companies dominate, control investment manager access – Fees primarily bundled, must be disclosed to members – Offer externally and internally managed funds target date funds biased towards in-house funds quantum of fees Mercer (Canada) Limited 9 Global Themes DC plan management best practices Heightened scrutiny on plan governance/compliance – Maturing of DC market brings evolving standards and requirements – Change is happening fast – Duty to act in best interests of members Mandated governance practices in Ireland, Netherlands Voluntary Employer Engagement best practices released in UK, similar guidelines in Canada (CAP guidelines) Mercer (Canada) Limited 10 Global Themes Emerging themes What are consequences if DC (or DB) schemes do not deliver? – Increased taxes? – Government is getting more involved (UK, USA, South Africa) – Will people simply not retire? Will they all retire if returns are really good? Lifecycle funds – Customised lifecycle funds – not off the shelf – Phase II? Post-retirement phase – Huge development in post-retirement options – Annuities have never been popular so what will be popular now? Savings beyond DC Mercer (Canada) Limited 11 www.mercer.ca