Chapter 6 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Working Capital and the Financing Decision Copyright © 2011 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Chapter Outline • • • • • Working capital management Current assets- temporary and permanent Assets financing Long-term versus short-term financing Current assets financing plan- risk and profitability • Expected value analysis in working capital management 6-2 Working Capital Management • The financing and management of the current assets of a firm – Crucial to achieving long-term objectives of the firm – Requires immediate action 6-3 The Nature of Asset Growth • Key to current asset planning – matching production schedules with accurate sales forecast • Differences in actual sales and forecasted sales can result in: – Unexpected buildup. – Reduction in inventory, affecting receivables and cash flow • Firm’s current assets could be: – Self-liquidating – ‘Permanent’ current assets. 6-4 The Nature of Asset Growth 6-5 Controlling Assets – Matching Sales and Production • Fixed assets grow slowly with: – Increase in productive capacity – Replacement of old equipment • Current assets fluctuate in the short run, depending on: – Level of production versus the level of sales • When production is higher than sales the inventory rises • When sales are higher than production, inventory declines and receivables increase 6-6 Controlling Assets – Matching Sales and Production (cont’d) • Cash budgeting process – Level production method • Smooth production schedules • Use of manpower and equipment efficiently to lower cost – Match sales and production as closely as possible in the short run • Allows current assets to increase or decrease with the level of sales • Eliminates the large seasonal bulges or sharp reductions in current assets 6-7 Matching Sales and ProductionMcGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. • A good example of seasonal sale • Has significant share of sales and earnings in the third and fourth quarters • Due to seasonal nature of textbook publishing – Lenders and financial managers need to plan inventory – Lack of correct inventory planning can lead to lost sales 6-8 The Nature of Asset Growth. 6-9 Seasonal Sales Pattern in Target and Limited Brands • Like publishers, retail companies do not stock inventory for more than a year • Fourth quarter is the biggest quarter for retailers • The retail firm Target is growing much faster than its counterpart Limited Brands • Even then, in the fourth quarter, peak earnings are almost equal for both the companies 6-10 Quarterly Sales and Earnings Per Share, Target and Limited Brands 6-11 Computerized Inventory Control Systems • Retail-oriented firms use new, computerized inventory control systems linked to online point-of-sales terminals – Allow either digital input or use of optical scanners to record the inventory code numbers and the amount of each item sold. • Use of Radio Frequency Identification (RFID) chips is the latest rage in inventory/supply chain management 6-12 Temporary Assets under Level Production – An Example • Yawakuzi Motorcycle Company – Sales fluctuations: High sales demand during early spring and summer; sales drop during October through March – Decision: Apply level production method - 12month sales forecast is issued – Result: Level production and seasonal sales combine to produce fluctuating inventory 6-13 Yawakuzi Sales Forecast (in units) Table-1 Table 6-1 6-14 Yawakuzi’s Production Schedule and Inventory Table 6-2 6-15 Sales Forecasts, Cash Receipts and Payments, and Cash Budget Table 6-3 6-16 Sales Forecasts, Cash Receipts and Payments, and Cash Budget (cont’d) • Table 6-3 is created to examine the buildup in accounts receivable and cash – Sales forecast: Based on assumptions taken earlier (table 6-1) – Cash receipts: 50% cash collected during the month of sale and 50% pertains to the prior month – Cash payments: Based on assumptions of level of production and cost per unit plus payments for overhead, dividends, interest, and taxes – Cash budget: a comparison of cash receipt and payment schedules to determine cash flow 6-17 Total Current Assets, First Year ($ millions) 6-18 Cash Budget and Assets for II Year With No Growth in Sales ($ millions) 6-19 Yawakuzi’s Nature of Asset Growth Graphic presentation of the current asset cycle assuming level of production and no sales growth 6-20 Patterns of Financing • Selection of external sources to finance assets is an important decision • The appropriate financing pattern: – Matching of asset buildup and length of financing terms 6-21 Matching Long-Term and ShortTerm Needs 6-22 Alternative Plans • The challenge of constructing a financial plan is to categorize the current assets into temporary and permanent • Predicting the exact timing of asset liquidation is a difficult task • It is also difficult to determine the amount of short-term and long-term financing available 6-23 Long-Term Financing • Can assure adequate capital at all times • May be used to cover part of the short-term needs in tight money periods • Can be used to finance: • Fixed assets • Permanent current assets • Part of the temporary current assets 6-24 Using Long-Term Financing for Part of Short-Term Needs 6-25 Short- Term Financing • Small businesses do not have total access to long-term financing – They rely on short-term bank and trade credit – Advantage: interest rates are lower – Short-term finances are used to finance: • Temporary current assets • Part of the permanent working capital needs 6-26 Using Short-Term Financing for Part of Long-Term Needs 6-27 Term Structure of Interest Rates • A yield curve – that shows the relative level of short-term and long-term interest rates – U.S. government securities are popular as they are free of default risks – Corporate debt securities entail a higher interest rate due to more financial risks – Yield curves for both securities change daily to reflect: • Current competitive conditions • Expected inflation • Changes in economic conditions 6-28 Basic Theories - Yield Curve • Liquidity premium theory – Long-term rates should be higher than shortterm rates • Market segmentation theory – Treasury securities are divided into market segments by the various financial institutions investing in the market • Expectations hypothesis – Yields on long-term securities is a function of short-term rates 6-29 Long- and Short-Term Annual Interest Rates • Relative volatility and the historical level of short-term and long-term rates 6-30 Alternative Financing Plans • A Decision Process: Comparing alternative financing plans for working capital 6-31 Impact of Financing Plans on Earnings 6-32 Varying Condition and its Impact • Tight money periods – Capital is scarce making short-term financing difficult to find or may ensue very high rates – Inadequate financing may mean loss of sales or financial embarrassment 6-33 Expected Returns under Different Economic Conditions Expected value represents the sum of the expected outcomes under both conditions 6-34 Expected Returns for High Risk Firms 6-35 Shifts in Asset Structure • During recession – – Sales decline or stay even – Cash, receivables, and inventory fall – Short-term debt may rise, • causing a large decline in the net working capital to sales ratio • During upswing – – cash, receivables, and inventory rise – short-term debt may fall or be replaced by low-cost longterm debt. • These two effects cause the firm’s profitability to increase and the net working capital to sales ratio to rise. 6-36 Net Working Capital as a Percentage of Sales and the Current Ratio 6-37 Toward an Optimal Policy • A firm should: – Attempt to relate asset liquidity to financing patterns, and vice versa – Decide how it wishes to combine asset liquidity and financing needs • Risk-oriented firm - short-term borrowings and low degree of liquidity • Conservative firm - long-term financing and high degree of liquidity 6-38 Asset Liquidity and Financing Assets 6-39