Tom Zettel Mike Bociaga Jon Olsten Jamie Rosin Hayne Kim Brandon Washington Marques Fulford 1 Outline Mission Statement Market/Customers Competitors Mission Scenarios System Design Requirements Summary Next Steps 2 Mission Statement To create an innovative and cost effective commercial aircraft capable of take-off and landing in extremely short distances, making it available to a larger number of runways, in order to open up more airports, primarily to relieve the continuous growing congestion of large hubs. 3 “Next-Generation DC-3” An aircraft that is going to see very large scale production to fill a popular and profitable niche in the market One that is going to revolutionize air travel 4 Market Outlook Economic growth yielding traffic growth. Domestic fleet average seat size growth is dramatic. 5 Market Outlook 17,650 new single aisle airplanes will be delivered over the next 20 years. This will make up 48% of the total airplanes in service in 2026. By the year of 2058, 61,604 single aisle airplane will be in service. 6 Primary Customer: Airlines Currently, over 20% of all flights from O’Hare, LaGuardia, & Newark are Delayed – Bureau of Transportation Statistics source: U.S. Department of Transportation - Federal Aviation Administration Customer Needs –Carry out short, mid-range missions –Reduced flight delays –Low cost Proposed missions include flights from Gary Chicago to Dallas Love Field, …693 nmi 7 Customer Benefits “Flight delays cost the U.S. economy $15 billion a year” Mary E. Peters, United States Transportation Secretary, January 22nd, 2008 Maximize profits – Maximize Total Revenue Reduce flight delays through direct flights to secondary airports More flight services and availabilities increase the revenue for airlines. –Reduce Costs Operation cost – Less idle time saves aircraft fuel burn. 8 Competitors Types of Transportation – Automobiles – Airplanes – Trains – Personal aircraft/ Skycars Airplane Manufactures – Range 1500-2000 nmi – 150-170 passenger capacity – Single isle 9 Airplane Manufacturers Aircraft within our size and range requirements – single aisle planes Competition includes – N generation Boeing 737NG family and its replacement, the 737RS (Y1) – the Airbus A320 series and its replacement (NSR) – Embraer’s E-Jets (spec. E-190 and E-195) – the N+1 generation C110 and C130 CSeries jets from Bombardier (Canadair) 10 Airplane Manufacturers ARrival looked at aircraft within our size and range requirements (e.g. single aisle planes) Competition includes the N generation Boeing 737NG family, the Airbus A320 series, Embraer’s E-Jets (spec. E-190 and E-195), and the N+1 generation C110 and C130 CSeries jets from Bombardier (Canadair) 11 Other Competitors Personal Air Vehicles – The Skycar – Family Commuters 12 Why High-Speed Trains are Not a Competitor Too Expensive – Portugal estimates that the high speed rail line "connecting Lisbon with Madrid and with Porto, due to be operational by 2013, is estimated to cost around 7.2 billion Euros”, according to Forbes. Compare the costs to the new international airport near Lisbon, estimated at 3 billion Euros, and you can see why people are questioning the need. – http://goeurope.about.com/b/2005/12/09/the-cost-of-high-speed-rail.htm 13 Mission Scenarios Relieve over congested airport hubs – Land at secondary airports Near and around major hubs Cutting travel time for passengers – Half-runway landings and takeoffs Double number of takeoffs and landings on one runway 14 Most Congested Airports Chicago O’Hare Newark International New York LaGuardia Airport Late Flights Average Departure Delays Average Taxi-Out Average Scheduled Departure to Take-off Cancelled Flights Percent Flights Late O’Hare 7,093 55.14 min 21.79 min 76.93 min 485 22.17% Newark 3,137 69.87 min 32.69 min 102.56 min 320 24.35% LaGuardia 2,218 59.40 min 32.92 min 92.33 min 415 21.15% *Data taken from www.bts.gov 15 Representative City-Pairs Chicago, IL to Dallas, TX – Approx 697 nmi Newark, NJ to Charlotte, NC – Approx 460 nmi New York, NY to Miami, FL – Approx 935 nmi 16 Chicago, IL to Dallas, TX Using secondary airports Gary Chicago – Runway 7,003 ft – 42 mi from Chicago O’Hare Dallas Love Field – Runways 8,800 ft and 7,752 ft – 21 mi from Dallas International Airport distance 693 nmi 17 Initial Mission Scenario Cruise Landing Descent Climb Take off Gary Chicago Land Dallas Love Field Will have additional fuel in case of any necessity to loiter or land at alternate airport 18 New York, NY to Miami, FL LaGuardia to Miami International Non-interfering spiral descent and landing on half-runway at each airport Airport distance 935 nmi 19 Initial Mission Scenario Cruise Landing Descent Loiter Climb Take-Off LaGuardia Land Miami International Want extra loitering time in case of traffic on runways 20 Charlotte, NC to Newark, NJ Take off from Charlotte with half-runway takeoff Land at secondary airport in Newark – Essex County Airport (CDW) 20 mi from Newark International Takeoff from Essesx – Without refueling Non-interfering spiral descent and landing on half-runway at Charlotte Airport distance 460 nmi 21 Initial Mission Scenario Cruise Cruise Climb Take off Charlotte Climb Land Essex County Take off Essex County Land Charlotte Round trip without refueling 22 Aircraft Payload/Passenger Capacity Passenger capacity and payload still under discussion – Based on sizing – Approximating 150 passengers Weight limits on shorter runways – 3,000-5,000ft average limit 30,000 lbs 23 Significant Wants STOL/ESTOL capability Ability to operate in secondary airports Reasonable cruise Mach number Mid-size passenger, payload capacity Cost effective 24 Mission Requirements Mission Requirements Descriptor Target Threshold Takeoff Runway Length LTE 2500 ft 3000 ft Landing Runway Length LTE 2500 ft 3000 ft Height to Passenger Door Sill at OWE LTE 5 ft 9 ft Height to Baggage Door Sill at OWE LTE 4 ft 6 ft Typical Cruise Mach Number GTE 0.80 0.76 Range w/ Max Payload GTE 2000 nmi 1500 nmi Max Take-Off Weight LTE Max Passengers (single class) GTE 170 pax 150 pax Operating Cost ($US 2007) LTE 0.08 $/seat-mile 0.12 $/seat-mile lb lb 25 New Technologies Advanced materials such as CFRP which give a projected weight reduction of about 15% over N generation competitors from Airbus and Boeing and 13% over Embraer’s E-Jets* Advances in propulsion such as the geared turbofan (GTF) and the Unducted Fan (UDF) for fuel efficiency and noise reduction High lift through blown flaps, potential use of thrust vectoring Benchmarking with the EasyJet “EcoJet” concept for “Green” technologies *Based off of Boeing 787 weight savings vs. its competitors 26 New Technologies - CFRP Empty Weight Fraction Material Comparison Empty Weight Fraction Comparison 0.70 0.7 y = 233.08x -0.5017 0.60 y = 3853.1x -0.6833 0.5 y = 549.16x -0.5221 Airbus A330 Boeing 777 0.4 Boeing 787 0.3 Pow er (Boeing 787) Pow er (Boeing 777) 0.2 0.1 Empty Weight Fraction Empty Weight Fraction 0.6 y = 851.58x -0.6321 0.50 Boeing/Airbus Current 0.40 Boeing/Airbus CFRP 0.30 Power (Boeing/Airbus Current) Power (Boeing/Airbus CFRP) 0.20 0.10 0 0 20000 40000 60000 80000 1E+06 0 0 0 0 TOGW 0.00 0 50000 100000 150000 200000 250000 TOGW [lb] Assuming the 787’s CFRP construction becomes the industry standard, ARrival applied the weight saving factor of the 787’s design over its peers to current generation Boeing and Airbus single aisle jets. 27 Benchmarking Based off of ARrival’s projected requirements and the data from our main competitors, ARrival found the competitors that closely matched our aircraft’s preliminary specifications Weight savings data from Boeing 787 family over the 767 family, 777 family, and Airbus A330 family used to project weight savings of a CFRP single-aisle plane vs. the 737NG, A320 family, and the larger Embraer E-Jets Bombardier CSeries aircraft match our projected range requirements however, data for this type is sketchy as it is an N+1 generation aircraft still in planning 28 Benchmarking with N Gen and N+1 Gen Competing A/C Aircraft W0 [lb] We/W0 pax R [nmi] Boeing 737-600 124000 0.66 110 3050 Boeing 737-700 133000 0.63 126 3260 Boeing 737-800 155500 0.58 162 2940 Boeing 737-900 164000 0.57 177 2745 Airbus A318 149900 0.58 107 3200 Airbus A319 166500 0.54 124 3700 Airbus A320 169800 0.55 150 3000 Airbus A321 206100 0.52 185 3050 Embraer 190 105359 0.57 106 2300 Embraer 195 107564 0.58 118 2100 Canadair C110-STD 118800 N/A 110 1800 Canadair C130-STD 129300 N/A 130 1800 29 Summary System requirements driven by customer wants and market outlook Use new technologies to meet system requirements Mission is to create an aircraft that will relieve traffic and congestion at major hubs 30 Next Steps Finalize major design requirements Plan out specific phases of missions Size aircraft Design aircraft interior layout Determine the use of advanced technologies 31