UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Contingency Budgeting COL Harris 18th Airborne Corps G-8 USFOR-A J-8 United States Support Element J-8 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY J8 - Mission “USFOR-A J8 Serves as Chief Financial Officer and primary strategic financial advisor for Commander USFOR-A. Responsible for the Title X (U.S. Forces) budget build, allocation, distribution, tracking, management and reporting functions to ARCENT, CENTCOM, ABO, and OSD. Accomplished by providing timely, and accurate financial information to enable decision support cost considerations into all actions; and by ensuring financial resources are available to accomplish the mission in accordance with United States (US) commanders’ priorities and validated requirement.” J8 Key Functions— • The Commander’s Budget Integrator for $3B (FY15) in support of all USFOR-A Lines of Operations • The Commander’s primary advisor for all Title 10 funding/monetary issues • Shaping, optimizing execution through deliberate budget planning • Interface w/ USARCENT for funding allocations, budget execution • CJOA-A fiscal policy and guidance (MAAWS-A) • Special programs funding – CERP, AIF, ARP, ORF, DoD Rewards, and ACSA • Management Internal Control Program (MICP) • Interface with CENTCOM/OSD/Joint Staff on Budget Formulation, review and authorities determination UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Flow of Funds from DoD to J8s Army, Navy, AF, Special Ops AFCENT ARCENT MARCENT NAVCENT SOCCENT DoD CENTCOM USFOR-A/ISAF Gen Campbell SOJTF-A J8 LTC Sneed CJSOTF-A CJSOAC-A USFOR-A J8 (Title X) COL Harris CSTC-A J8 ASFF Col Shea Only Funds ANSF ISAF J8 (NATO) COL Hilland APODs Maintenance ISR PSYOPS Personnel (non-military) NTM-A Highlight also falls beneath ISAF J8 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY J8 – Theater Structure (prior) USFOR-A J8 Sept 2014 RC North _________________________________ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ____ Bases *Marmal* (31 Dec 15) RC West RC East _________________________________ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ____ 10 MTN G8 Bases *Ghazni* (15 Sep 14) Airborne (22 Sep 14) Shank (31 Oct 14) Wright (30 Nov 14) Lightning (1 Dec 14) Bagram (31 Dec 15) Clark (31 Dec 15) Fenty (31 Dec 15) Gamberi (31 Dec 15) Pol-E-Charki (31 Dec 15) _________________________________ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ___-------------- RC Capital _________________________________ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ____ Bases Shindand (1 Dec 14) _________________________________ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ____ Bases Phoenix (1 Sep 14) Morehead (31 Dec 15) *ISAF* (31 Dec 15) NKAIA (31 Dec 15) NKC (31 Dec 15) Herat *Embassy* RC South RC Southwest _________________________________ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ____ _________________________________ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ _____ 1st CAV Division G8 Bases Pasab (1 Sep 14) Kandahar (31 Dec 15) MEF G8 Bases Leatherneck (31 Oct 14) _________________________________ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ____ _________________________________ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ____ Title X 3rd ESC ESC G8 _________________________________ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ____ _________________________________ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ____ USE NATO Embassy Support SOJTF-A SOJTF-A SOJTF J8 _________________________________ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ____ Denotes Enduring Base * Denotes non US Base* UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY J8 – Theater Structure (current) USFOR-A J8 Resolute Support TAAC Structure No Division G8s No RDDs Title X USE NATO Embassy Support SOJTF-A _________________________________ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ____ 3rd ID TAAC East 1st CAV TAAC South UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY J8 – Organizational Structure Director COL Horener Capt Yale Plans/Programs Sarah Jennings Cost Analyst MAJ Douglas Deputy/Execution LTC Keating Execution Chief SFC Griffin Financial Management Advisor Lee Wilcox DTS TSgt Pierpoint NSF Analyst Mark Graham SOF Analyst LT Mark McKeon Special Prgms/Audits Budget Officer Capt Roisen NSF Execution Chief TAAC-E/1st TSC/LOGCAP Budget Officer Funds Control/ Reports NSF Budget Analyst CERP/ARP Budget Analyst LOGCAP Budget Analyst AIF/ORF/ACSA/ DoD Rewards Budget Analyst NSF/CEW DTS-R NSF/CEW Budget Analyst UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY NSF Budget Analyst Ms. Pamela Green TAAC-S/C/W/NSPA Budget Officer SF/NSF Budget Analyst NSF Budget Analyst DTS-R NSF Budget Analyst NSPA Budget Analyst UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY 2015 National Defense Authorization Act Authorizes $79.4B in OCO (House) CERP will continue into FY15 ~ $10M No AIF authorized; restricts language on current funding U.S. will still reimburse Coalition Nations for support provided for military operations Still providing logistical support to foreign forces supporting or participating with the U.S. Armed Forces (Life and Sustain) Acquisition and Cross-Servicing Agreements (ACSA) still in place for foreign forces’ personnel protection and survivability United States planning on sustaining the Afghanistan National Security Forces (ANSF) through FY18 (Chicago Agreement) Resolute Support – To ensure Afghanistan remains a stable and sovereign country and that Al Qaeda, the Haqqani Network, and Quetta Shura Taliban cannot use Afghanistan as a safe haven to launch attacks. Maintain a residual U.S. presence in Afghanistan to train, advise, and assist the ANSF UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY USFOR-A FY15 Funding USFOR-A / ISAF USFOR-A J8 (Title 10) COL Harris FY15 $3.0B OMA “2020” OPA ISAF J8 SOJTF-A J8 CSTC-A J8 Col Hilland LTC Sneed Col Shea Stock Fund Items ordered through supply channels Non-Stock Fund Goods/Services requiring Contract LOGCAP Life Support service contracts – DynCorp/Fluor CERP Commander’s Emergency Response Program ORF Official Representation Funds ACSA Payments Payment made to Coalition partners ARP Afghan Reintegration Program / Shuras NSPA Life Support provided by NATO Support Agency Procurement MPA AIF “2091” USFOR-A DAILY SPENDING Special BREAKOUT NSPA MPA ACSA MPA Class I Payments made to NATO Spt Agy Class I payment made to Coalition Partners “2010” FY14/15 Appropriation: $1.6 billion Major system purchases >$250K “2035” FY15 $19.4M ASFF Afghan Infrastructure Programs $.53M 3.3% Stock Fund $5.88M 35.8% Non-Stock $10.01M 60.9% Major infrastructure projects “2096” Approx. Daily Burn Rate: $16.42 million FY15 ~$3.02 billion UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY OEF Budget Outlook FY13 $10.7 59 FY14 FY15 FY16 92 FOBs $6.4 Personnel $ in Billion 44 66 FOBs 27 $3.0 26 FOBs $1.9 21 FOBs O N D J F MA MJ J A S O N D J F MA MJ J A S O N D J F MA MJ J A S O N D J F MA MJ J A S UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY USFOR-A FY15 Breakdown Principle Assumptions USFOR-A FY15 Target $3.02B • • • • 4.6% • 0.3% 9.7% 46.1% NSF (Non Stock Fund) SF (Stock Fund) 39.3% LOGCAP NSPA CERP 9.8K US Soldiers during RS & 21K Contractors Closure or transfer of all non-Resolute Support bases NLT 31 Dec 14 6 major platforms and a number of assistance platforms Accelerated FOB closures and retrograde in FY14 will continue to drive down requirements Reduced rolling stock and aviation platforms USFOR-A NSF (Non Stock Fund) SF (Stock Fund) LOGCAP NSPA TOTAL Current Projection $ 1,390,295,603 $ 1,187,315,993 $ 292,803,331 $ 138,000,000 $ 3,008,414,927 AIF* CERP* $ ARP SPECIAL PROGRAMS TOTAL $ USFOR-A TOTAL $ 10,000,000 10,000,000 3,018,414,927 *Pending NDAA Outcome 55% of Original Projection ($5.52B Aug 13) UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY USFOR-A FY16 Breakdown Principle Assumptions USFOR-A FY16 Estimate $1.90B 0.8% 4.1% 0.3% NSF (Non Stock Fund) 50.2% 44.6% • • • • • • • SF (Stock Fund) LOGCAP NSPA CERP • • 5.5K US Soldiers/12.1K contractors during FY16 Open bases include KBC and BAF No increase in force protection costs - no PSC FY15 contracts will forward fund into FY16 FY16 contracts will transition to close-out NSPA will remain on a small scale in KBC Life support and sustainment will transition to expeditionary standards towards the end ARP and AIF will NOT be utilized CJOA wide contracts will be de-scoped to RS levels USFOR-A NSF (Non Stock Fund) SF (Stock Fund) LOGCAP NSPA TOTAL FY15 $ 1,390,295,603 $ 1,187,315,993 $ 292,803,331 $ 138,000,000 $ 3,008,414,927 AIF* CERP* $ ARP SPECIAL PROGRAMS TOTAL $ USFOR-A TOTAL 10,000,000 10,000,000 $ 3,018,414,927 FY16 $ 953,980,778 $ 848,890,973 $ 78,422,281 $ 15,360,529 $ 1,896,654,561 $ $ $ 1,901,654,561 *Pending NDAA Outcome 63% of FY15 Estimate ($3.02B Apr 14) UNCLASSIFIED//FOROfficial OFFICIALUse USEOnly ONLY Unclassified//For 5,000,000 5,000,000 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Non-Stock Fund FY15 FY14 $1.39B $2.44B 46% BLUF: Estimated $1.39B to provide contacted goods and services across the CJOA-A not otherwise provided by Stock Fund goods or LOGCAP services. Top CJOA-A Wide Contracts • Clearance of Explosive Ranges $245M • Fiber Terrestrial Comm - $100M • Aviation Maintenance - $81M • Afghan Mega Rotary Wing - $71M • MISTF-A Information Ops - $50M • Short Take-Off & Landing Aircraft $50M • Afghan Trucking - $35M • Combat Intel Team - $28M Top Base Specific Contracts • • • • • • KAF Private Security - $48M C-RAM - $36M FP at Camp Resolute - $35M NKAIA Private Security - $28M NKC Security Force - $21M Power Plant at Bagram - $18M UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Stock Fund FY15 FY14 $1.19B $2.38B 39% BLUF: Units order SF directly and prior to USFOR-A certifying funds; therefore, best estimate is through modeling and cost controls to predict expenditures. Resource Categories • Stock Fund increases 10% during high OPTEMPO • 67% Fuel/POL • 27% Ground/Air Asset Repair Parts • 4% General Supplies • 1% Construction Supplies • 1% LOGCAP Personnel • Average troop strength of 12-14k during FY15 • Target BOG of 9.8k during RS • 1:2.1-2.4 BOG vs contractor ratio for RS UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Air and Land Assets • RS rolling stock is approximately 4-5k pieces • 102 rotary wing aircraft • 56 fixed wing aircraft UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY SF Analysis: Stock Fund $250,000,000 $200,000,000 y = -277623x + 1E+10 $150,000,000 $100,000,000 $50,000,000 $Aug-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Jan-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Sep-14 Nov-14 Dec-14 14 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY LOGCAP BLUF: FY15 FY14 $293M $767M 10% Funding requirement will decrease FML. Contract Analysis OPTEMPO Footprint Reduction • Cost plus Contract • Incremental funding vs. full funding • Analyzed potential contract de-scopes • Analyzed services provided • Analyzed potential change orders • Analyzed Estimate to Complete on LOGCAP supported FOBs • Determine which bases will be closing • Retrograde plan • Equipment material reduction • Contractor Managed Gov’t Owned (CMGO) • Evaluate level of service • Curtailing unneeded services commensurate of declining needs • Analyze monthly burn rate UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY NSPA BLUF: FY15 FY14 $131M $419M 4% We expect KAF to be a NSPA real life support base, and the reduction of US personnel will reduce NSPA costs. Top Base Specific Services (mostly KAF) • • • • • 40% decrease in food & services costs 45% decrease in Real Life Support (RLS) fuel 33% decrease in jingle truck contracts Firm-Fixed price contract option NSPA workforce does not count against contractor presence UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Special Programs BLUF: FY15 FY14 $10M $239M 1% Small dollar value but high impact/oversight programs to include: CERP, AIP, ORF, and DoD Rewards. Afghan Infrastructure Funding • Current congressional guidance severely restricts the use of AIF for new projects • HASC marks for 2015 NDAA shows no AIF projected for FY15 Commanders Emergency Response Program (CERP) • Battle damage and condolence payments still required in RS • Limited new projects • “Good Will” projects still required • Project sustainment requirements • Low execution rate in FY14 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY USFOR - A (A8AAC) - Scorecard Goals/Measurements are aligned to meet or exceed JRP goals # Topic JRP GOALS/MEASUREMENTS Status Count Value 1 WAWF IDOCs (266th FMSC) Reduce to zero all failed IDoc errors greater than 15 days associated with WAWF errors RED 1 N/A 2 FCM IDOCs (Stockfund) Reduce to zero all failed IDoc errors greater than 15 days associated with FCM errors RED 1 $1,094 3 ULOs Legacy Cancel Year (FINOPS) Reduce to zero by 31 AUG 14 4 ULOs Legacy 4th Expired Year (FINOPS) Reduce By 50% of 1 OCT 13 beginning balance 5 PPA Interest (FINOPS) Reduce PPA interest payments to at or below $90 per million GREEN 18 $8.18 6 DTS Debt Reduce DTS Travel Debt greater than 30 days to 9% RED 1 100% 7 UMTs Reduce to zero total unmatched disbursements & collections greater than 120 days RED 13 $86,153 Reduce to zero all failed IDoc errors greater than 15 days associated SPS errors GREEN 0 $0 Reduce to zero all failed IDoc errors greater than 15 days associated with AXOL PO errors GREEN 0 $0 Reduce to zero all failed IDoc errors greater than 15 days associated with AXOL Invoice errors GREEN 0 $0 0 $0 RED 20 $50.3 M Status Count Value RED 17 N/A F U 8 SPS IDOCs N D 9 AXOL PO IDOCs 10 AXOL Invoice IDOCs C E 11 DCPS Errors N T 12 Open Commitments GFEBS E R # Topic S 13 Obligation Analysis Tool RED = JRP Goals not met Reduce to zero all failed IDoc errors greater than 15 days associated with DCPS errors Aged Open commitments (> 60 days) should be reviewed to determine validity ARCENT GOALS/MEASUREMENTS Reduce OATs greater than 90 days to zero GREEN= JRP Goals met ARROW reflect DECREASE from previous month UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Reference Reference ARROW reflect INCREASE from previous month UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY ADA Violations Snapshot As of 23 Nov 14 ADA Timeline N = Day USFOR-A Initially Notified N+10 = Flash Report due to DASA-FO N+25 = IO appointed with 90-day suspense for preliminary investigation N+115 = IO submits preliminary investigation to DASA-FO which then has 15 days to request formal investigation or to close out report with no ADA N+130 = IO appointed for formal investigation with 180-day suspense to submit findings N+310 = IO submits formal investigation to DASA-FO which then makes formal determination as to fault and notifies President, or finds no ADA GSAB-Shindand (Case number: 13-15) Description: The violation of the ‘amount’ statute was a result of interrelated and interdependent projects being programmed as separate, as opposed to a single project. Action with: COL Joe Hart assigned as IO. Current Status: OPEN N+ 531 Suspenses: Formal investigation completed on 15 Aug 14. Way Ahead: Pending review Open ADAs Concrete B-Huts (Case number: 13-08) Description: While USFOR-A SJA Fiscal and Admin Law Attorney was providing support to US Army Garrison BAF, Attorney noted irregularities in Garrison requirements on or about 25 Feb 13. Potential violation of OMA thresholds. Action with: Received by OGC, will take 1-2 months to complete review Current Status: OPEN N+ 608 22 Sep 14: Still pending OGC review and decision Way Ahead: OGC will provide a response back to the Service. UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Contingency Budgeting Challenges Understanding “Where” your funds come from Understanding “How” to impact your budget Understanding what “executive agency” means Understanding your commander’s intent—money is used to send a message as well as fund requirements Understanding your limitations with GFEBS Understanding how other Services execute their budget Understanding your relationship with: JSOC CENTCOM Joint Staff DoD HQDA UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Backup Slides UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY SF Analysis: Army Direct Ordering $4,500,000 $4,000,000 $3,500,000 $3,000,000 y = -6187.2x + 3E+08 $2,500,000 $2,000,000 $1,500,000 $1,000,000 $500,000 $Aug-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Jan-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Sep-14 Nov-14 Dec-14 22 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY SF Analysis: Class II / IV Supplies Class II / IV Supplies $6,000,000 $5,000,000 $4,000,000 $3,000,000 $2,000,000 $1,000,000 $Aug-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Jan-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Sep-14 Nov-14 Dec-14 $(1,000,000) $(2,000,000) 23 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY