Contingency-Budgeting-COL

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UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
Contingency Budgeting
COL Harris
18th Airborne Corps G-8
USFOR-A J-8
United States Support Element J-8
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
J8 - Mission
“USFOR-A J8 Serves as Chief Financial Officer and primary strategic
financial advisor for Commander USFOR-A. Responsible for the Title X
(U.S. Forces) budget build, allocation, distribution, tracking,
management and reporting functions to ARCENT, CENTCOM, ABO, and
OSD. Accomplished by providing timely, and accurate financial
information to enable decision support cost considerations into all
actions; and by ensuring financial resources are available to accomplish
the mission in accordance with United States (US) commanders’
priorities and validated requirement.”
J8 Key Functions—
• The Commander’s Budget Integrator for $3B (FY15) in support of all USFOR-A
Lines of Operations
• The Commander’s primary advisor for all Title 10 funding/monetary issues
• Shaping, optimizing execution through deliberate budget planning
• Interface w/ USARCENT for funding allocations, budget execution
• CJOA-A fiscal policy and guidance (MAAWS-A)
• Special programs funding – CERP, AIF, ARP, ORF, DoD Rewards, and ACSA
• Management Internal Control Program (MICP)
• Interface with CENTCOM/OSD/Joint Staff on Budget Formulation, review and
authorities determination
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
Flow of Funds from DoD to J8s
Army, Navy, AF,
Special Ops
AFCENT
ARCENT
MARCENT
NAVCENT
SOCCENT
DoD
CENTCOM
USFOR-A/ISAF
Gen Campbell
SOJTF-A J8
LTC Sneed
CJSOTF-A
CJSOAC-A
USFOR-A J8
(Title X)
COL Harris
CSTC-A
J8
ASFF
Col Shea
Only
Funds
ANSF
ISAF J8
(NATO)
COL Hilland
APODs
Maintenance
ISR
PSYOPS
Personnel (non-military)
NTM-A
Highlight also falls beneath ISAF J8
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
J8 – Theater Structure (prior)
USFOR-A J8
Sept 2014
RC North
_________________________________ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ____
Bases
*Marmal* (31 Dec 15)
RC West
RC East
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10 MTN G8
Bases
*Ghazni* (15 Sep 14)
Airborne (22 Sep 14)
Shank (31 Oct 14)
Wright (30 Nov 14)
Lightning (1 Dec 14)
Bagram (31 Dec 15)
Clark (31 Dec 15)
Fenty (31 Dec 15)
Gamberi (31 Dec 15)
Pol-E-Charki (31 Dec 15)
_________________________________ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ___--------------
RC Capital
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Bases
Shindand (1 Dec 14)
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Bases
Phoenix (1 Sep 14)
Morehead (31 Dec 15)
*ISAF* (31 Dec 15)
NKAIA (31 Dec 15)
NKC (31 Dec 15)
Herat
*Embassy*
RC South
RC Southwest
_________________________________ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ____
_________________________________ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ _____
1st CAV Division G8
Bases
Pasab (1 Sep 14)
Kandahar (31 Dec 15)
MEF G8
Bases
Leatherneck (31 Oct 14)
_________________________________ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ____
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Title X
3rd ESC
ESC G8
_________________________________ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ____
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USE NATO
Embassy Support
SOJTF-A
SOJTF-A
SOJTF J8
_________________________________ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ____
Denotes Enduring Base
* Denotes non US Base*
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
J8 – Theater Structure (current)
USFOR-A J8
Resolute Support
TAAC Structure
No Division G8s
No RDDs
Title X
USE NATO
Embassy Support
SOJTF-A
_________________________________ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ____
3rd ID
TAAC East
1st CAV
TAAC South
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
J8 – Organizational Structure
Director
COL Horener
Capt Yale
Plans/Programs
Sarah
Jennings
Cost Analyst
MAJ Douglas
Deputy/Execution
LTC Keating
Execution Chief
SFC Griffin
Financial Management
Advisor
Lee Wilcox
DTS
TSgt
Pierpoint
NSF Analyst
Mark Graham
SOF Analyst
LT Mark McKeon
Special Prgms/Audits
Budget Officer
Capt Roisen
NSF Execution Chief
TAAC-E/1st
TSC/LOGCAP
Budget Officer
Funds Control/
Reports
NSF Budget Analyst
CERP/ARP
Budget Analyst
LOGCAP Budget
Analyst
AIF/ORF/ACSA/
DoD Rewards
Budget Analyst
NSF/CEW
DTS-R
NSF/CEW
Budget Analyst
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
NSF Budget Analyst
Ms. Pamela Green
TAAC-S/C/W/NSPA
Budget Officer
SF/NSF Budget
Analyst
NSF Budget Analyst
DTS-R
NSF Budget Analyst
NSPA
Budget Analyst
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
2015 National Defense Authorization Act








Authorizes $79.4B in OCO (House)
CERP will continue into FY15 ~ $10M
No AIF authorized; restricts language on current funding
U.S. will still reimburse Coalition Nations for support provided for military
operations
Still providing logistical support to foreign forces supporting or
participating with the U.S. Armed Forces (Life and Sustain)
Acquisition and Cross-Servicing Agreements (ACSA) still in place for foreign
forces’ personnel protection and survivability
United States planning on sustaining the Afghanistan National Security
Forces (ANSF) through FY18 (Chicago Agreement)
Resolute Support – To ensure Afghanistan remains a stable and sovereign
country and that Al Qaeda, the Haqqani Network, and Quetta Shura
Taliban cannot use Afghanistan as a safe haven to launch attacks.
 Maintain a residual U.S. presence in Afghanistan to train, advise, and assist the
ANSF
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
USFOR-A FY15 Funding
USFOR-A / ISAF
USFOR-A J8
(Title 10)
COL Harris
FY15
$3.0B
OMA
“2020”
OPA
ISAF J8
SOJTF-A J8
CSTC-A J8
Col Hilland
LTC Sneed
Col Shea
Stock Fund Items ordered through supply channels
Non-Stock Fund Goods/Services requiring Contract
LOGCAP Life Support service contracts – DynCorp/Fluor
CERP Commander’s Emergency Response Program
ORF Official Representation Funds
ACSA Payments Payment made to Coalition partners
ARP Afghan Reintegration Program / Shuras
NSPA Life Support provided by NATO Support Agency
Procurement
MPA
AIF
“2091”
USFOR-A DAILY SPENDING
Special
BREAKOUT
NSPA MPA
ACSA MPA
Class I Payments made to NATO Spt Agy
Class I payment made to Coalition Partners
“2010”
FY14/15
Appropriation:
$1.6 billion
Major system purchases >$250K
“2035”
FY15
$19.4M
ASFF
Afghan Infrastructure
Programs
$.53M
3.3%
Stock Fund
$5.88M
35.8%
Non-Stock
$10.01M
60.9%
Major infrastructure projects
“2096”
Approx. Daily Burn Rate:
$16.42 million
FY15
~$3.02 billion
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
OEF Budget Outlook
FY13
$10.7
59
FY14
FY15
FY16
92 FOBs
$6.4
Personnel
$ in Billion
44
66 FOBs
27
$3.0
26 FOBs
$1.9
21 FOBs
O N D J F MA MJ J A S O N D J F MA MJ J A S O N D J F MA MJ J A S O N D J F MA MJ J A S
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
USFOR-A FY15 Breakdown
Principle Assumptions
USFOR-A FY15 Target
$3.02B
•
•
•
•
4.6%
•
0.3%
9.7%
46.1%
NSF (Non Stock Fund)
SF (Stock Fund)
39.3%
LOGCAP
NSPA
CERP
9.8K US Soldiers during RS & 21K Contractors
Closure or transfer of all non-Resolute Support
bases NLT 31 Dec 14
6 major platforms and a number of assistance
platforms
Accelerated FOB closures and retrograde in FY14
will continue to drive down requirements
Reduced rolling stock and aviation platforms
USFOR-A
NSF (Non Stock Fund)
SF (Stock Fund)
LOGCAP
NSPA
TOTAL
Current Projection
$ 1,390,295,603
$ 1,187,315,993
$
292,803,331
$
138,000,000
$ 3,008,414,927
AIF*
CERP*
$
ARP
SPECIAL PROGRAMS TOTAL $
USFOR-A TOTAL
$
10,000,000
10,000,000
3,018,414,927
*Pending NDAA Outcome
55% of Original Projection ($5.52B Aug 13)
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
USFOR-A FY16 Breakdown
Principle Assumptions
USFOR-A FY16 Estimate
$1.90B
0.8%
4.1%
0.3%
NSF (Non Stock Fund)
50.2%
44.6%
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
SF (Stock Fund)
LOGCAP
NSPA
CERP
•
•
5.5K US Soldiers/12.1K contractors during FY16
Open bases include KBC and BAF
No increase in force protection costs - no PSC
FY15 contracts will forward fund into FY16
FY16 contracts will transition to close-out
NSPA will remain on a small scale in KBC
Life support and sustainment will transition to
expeditionary standards towards the end
ARP and AIF will NOT be utilized
CJOA wide contracts will be de-scoped to RS levels
USFOR-A
NSF (Non Stock Fund)
SF (Stock Fund)
LOGCAP
NSPA
TOTAL
FY15
$ 1,390,295,603
$ 1,187,315,993
$ 292,803,331
$ 138,000,000
$ 3,008,414,927
AIF*
CERP*
$
ARP
SPECIAL PROGRAMS TOTAL $
USFOR-A TOTAL
10,000,000
10,000,000
$ 3,018,414,927
FY16
$ 953,980,778
$ 848,890,973
$
78,422,281
$
15,360,529
$ 1,896,654,561
$
$
$ 1,901,654,561
*Pending NDAA Outcome
63% of FY15 Estimate ($3.02B Apr 14)
UNCLASSIFIED//FOROfficial
OFFICIALUse
USEOnly
ONLY
Unclassified//For
5,000,000
5,000,000
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
Non-Stock Fund
FY15
FY14
$1.39B
$2.44B
46%
BLUF:
Estimated $1.39B to provide contacted goods and services across the
CJOA-A not otherwise provided by Stock Fund goods or LOGCAP services.
Top CJOA-A Wide Contracts
• Clearance of Explosive Ranges $245M
• Fiber Terrestrial Comm - $100M
• Aviation Maintenance - $81M
• Afghan Mega Rotary Wing - $71M
• MISTF-A Information Ops - $50M
• Short Take-Off & Landing Aircraft $50M
• Afghan Trucking - $35M
• Combat Intel Team - $28M
Top Base Specific Contracts
•
•
•
•
•
•
KAF Private Security - $48M
C-RAM - $36M
FP at Camp Resolute - $35M
NKAIA Private Security - $28M
NKC Security Force - $21M
Power Plant at Bagram - $18M
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
Stock Fund
FY15
FY14
$1.19B
$2.38B
39%
BLUF:
Units order SF directly and prior to USFOR-A certifying funds; therefore,
best estimate is through modeling and cost controls to predict expenditures.
Resource Categories
• Stock Fund increases
10% during high
OPTEMPO
• 67% Fuel/POL
• 27% Ground/Air
Asset Repair Parts
• 4% General Supplies
• 1% Construction
Supplies
• 1% LOGCAP
Personnel
• Average troop
strength of 12-14k
during FY15
• Target BOG of 9.8k
during RS
• 1:2.1-2.4 BOG vs
contractor ratio for
RS
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
Air and Land Assets
• RS rolling stock is
approximately 4-5k
pieces
• 102 rotary wing
aircraft
• 56 fixed wing aircraft
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
SF Analysis: Stock Fund
$250,000,000
$200,000,000
y = -277623x
+ 1E+10
$150,000,000
$100,000,000
$50,000,000
$Aug-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Jan-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Sep-14 Nov-14 Dec-14
14
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
LOGCAP
BLUF:
FY15
FY14
$293M
$767M
10%
Funding requirement will decrease FML.
Contract Analysis
OPTEMPO
Footprint Reduction
• Cost plus Contract
• Incremental funding
vs. full funding
• Analyzed potential
contract de-scopes
• Analyzed services
provided
• Analyzed potential
change orders
• Analyzed Estimate to
Complete on LOGCAP
supported FOBs
• Determine which
bases will be closing
• Retrograde plan
• Equipment material
reduction
• Contractor Managed
Gov’t Owned
(CMGO)
• Evaluate level of
service
• Curtailing unneeded
services
commensurate of
declining needs
• Analyze monthly
burn rate
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
NSPA
BLUF:
FY15
FY14
$131M
$419M
4%
We expect KAF to be a NSPA real life support base, and the reduction of
US personnel will reduce NSPA costs.
Top Base Specific
Services (mostly KAF)
•
•
•
•
•
40% decrease in food & services costs
45% decrease in Real Life Support (RLS) fuel
33% decrease in jingle truck contracts
Firm-Fixed price contract option
NSPA workforce does not count against contractor
presence
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
Special Programs
BLUF:
FY15
FY14
$10M
$239M
1%
Small dollar value but high impact/oversight programs to include: CERP,
AIP, ORF, and DoD Rewards.
Afghan Infrastructure Funding
• Current congressional guidance
severely restricts the use of AIF for
new projects
• HASC marks for 2015 NDAA shows
no AIF projected for FY15
Commanders Emergency Response
Program (CERP)
• Battle damage and condolence
payments still required in RS
• Limited new projects
• “Good Will” projects still required
• Project sustainment requirements
• Low execution rate in FY14
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
USFOR - A (A8AAC) - Scorecard
Goals/Measurements are aligned to meet or exceed JRP goals
#
Topic
JRP GOALS/MEASUREMENTS
Status
Count
Value
1
WAWF IDOCs (266th FMSC)
Reduce to zero all failed IDoc errors greater than 15 days associated with WAWF
errors
RED
1
N/A
2
FCM IDOCs (Stockfund)
Reduce to zero all failed IDoc errors greater than 15 days associated with FCM errors
RED
1
$1,094
3
ULOs Legacy Cancel Year (FINOPS)
Reduce to zero by 31 AUG 14
4
ULOs Legacy 4th Expired Year (FINOPS)
Reduce By 50% of 1 OCT 13 beginning balance
5
PPA Interest (FINOPS)
Reduce PPA interest payments to at or below $90 per million
GREEN
18
$8.18
6
DTS Debt
Reduce DTS Travel Debt greater than 30 days to 9%
RED
1
100%
7
UMTs
Reduce to zero total unmatched disbursements & collections greater than 120 days
RED
13
$86,153
Reduce to zero all failed IDoc errors greater than 15 days associated SPS errors
GREEN
0
$0
Reduce to zero all failed IDoc errors greater than 15 days associated with AXOL PO
errors
GREEN
0
$0
Reduce to zero all failed IDoc errors greater than 15 days associated with AXOL
Invoice errors
GREEN
0
$0
0
$0
RED
20
$50.3 M
Status
Count
Value
RED
17
N/A
F
U 8 SPS IDOCs
N
D 9 AXOL PO IDOCs
10 AXOL Invoice IDOCs
C
E 11 DCPS Errors
N
T 12 Open Commitments GFEBS
E
R
#
Topic
S
13 Obligation Analysis Tool
RED = JRP Goals not met
Reduce to zero all failed IDoc errors greater than 15 days associated with DCPS errors
Aged Open commitments (> 60 days) should be reviewed to determine validity
ARCENT GOALS/MEASUREMENTS
Reduce OATs greater than 90 days to zero
GREEN= JRP Goals met
ARROW reflect DECREASE from previous month
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
Reference
Reference
ARROW reflect INCREASE from previous month
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
ADA Violations Snapshot
As of 23 Nov 14
ADA Timeline
N = Day USFOR-A Initially Notified
N+10 = Flash Report due to DASA-FO
N+25 = IO appointed with 90-day suspense for preliminary
investigation
N+115 = IO submits preliminary investigation to DASA-FO which
then has 15 days to request formal investigation or to close out
report with no ADA
N+130 = IO appointed for formal investigation with 180-day
suspense to submit findings
N+310 = IO submits formal investigation to DASA-FO which then
makes formal determination as to fault and notifies President, or
finds no ADA
GSAB-Shindand (Case number: 13-15)
Description: The violation of the ‘amount’ statute was a result of
interrelated and interdependent projects being programmed as
separate, as opposed to a single project.
Action with: COL Joe Hart assigned as IO.
Current Status: OPEN N+ 531
Suspenses: Formal investigation completed on 15 Aug 14.
Way Ahead: Pending review
Open ADAs
Concrete B-Huts (Case number: 13-08)
Description: While USFOR-A SJA Fiscal and Admin Law Attorney
was providing support to US Army Garrison BAF, Attorney noted
irregularities in Garrison requirements on or about 25 Feb 13.
Potential violation of OMA thresholds.
Action with: Received by OGC, will take 1-2 months to complete
review Current Status: OPEN N+ 608
22 Sep 14: Still pending OGC review and decision
Way Ahead: OGC will provide a response back to the Service.
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
Contingency Budgeting Challenges




Understanding “Where” your funds come from
Understanding “How” to impact your budget
Understanding what “executive agency” means
Understanding your commander’s intent—money is used to
send a message as well as fund requirements
 Understanding your limitations with GFEBS
 Understanding how other Services execute their budget
 Understanding your relationship with:

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


JSOC
CENTCOM
Joint Staff
DoD
HQDA
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
Backup Slides
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
SF Analysis: Army Direct Ordering
$4,500,000
$4,000,000
$3,500,000
$3,000,000
y = -6187.2x +
3E+08
$2,500,000
$2,000,000
$1,500,000
$1,000,000
$500,000
$Aug-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Jan-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Sep-14 Nov-14 Dec-14
22
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
SF Analysis: Class II / IV Supplies
Class II / IV Supplies
$6,000,000
$5,000,000
$4,000,000
$3,000,000
$2,000,000
$1,000,000
$Aug-13
Oct-13
Nov-13
Jan-14
Mar-14
Apr-14
Jun-14
Jul-14
Sep-14
Nov-14
Dec-14
$(1,000,000)
$(2,000,000)
23
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
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