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Private
Perm fails1. links to the net-benefit- uses federal resources
2. Private action alone is better for US image and solving terror
Jenkins, Ohio State law professor, 7
(Garry W., Ohio State University Moritz College of Law assistant law professor, North Carolina Law Review, "Soft Power, Strategic
Security, and International Philanthropy," 85 N.C.L. Rev. 773, March 2007, l/n, accessed 10-18-11, mss)
C. International Philanthropy as a Source of Soft Power
International philanthropy can also provide a valuable source
AND
- that inures to the state writ large.
The plan deters private giving
Desai, Georgetown international development professor, 10
(Raj M., Nonresident Senior Fellow at the Wolfensohn Center for Development at the Brookings Institution, and Associate Professor
of International Development in the Edmund A. Walsh School of Foreign Service at Georgetown University, and Homi Kharas,
Wolfensohn Center development senior fellow, New York University Journal of International Law and Politics, "Fifteenth Annual
Herbert and Justice Rose Luttan Rubin International Law Symposium," 42 N.Y.U. J. Int'l L. & Pol. 1111, Summer 2010, l/n, accessed
10-18-11, mss)
The public economics literature suggests that collective action
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percent of the observed crowding-out effect.
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Solvency
IRC lobbying restrictions are holding back large numbers of charities interested in funding foreign
NGO’s – the CP will have a significant effect
Crimm, Professor of Law at St. John's, 05
[Nina J., “Democratization, Global Grant-Making, and the Internal Revenue Code Lobbying Restrictions”, LEGAL STUDIES
RESEARCH PAPER SERIES PAPER #08-0100 MARCH 2008, 2/9/12, atl]
after
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a chilling effect and ward off potential electors.
Second, it was well known that
Their government key arguments are full of institutional bias
Parajuli, Columnist-The Concord Review, 10
[Abhishek, July 8, 2010, http://archives.myrepublica.com/portal/index.php?action=news_details&news_id=20776, 2/9/12, atl]
This brings us to another argument – that
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of the money they invest in developing countries.
Non profits are better equipped to provide training and expertise
Wethington, Former US Assistant Secretary of the Treasury for Int Affairs, 10/11
[Otis, October 11, 2011, NGOs best placed to aid Egypt’s transition?, http://www.demdigest.net/blog/2011/10/ngos-best-placed-toaid-egypt’s-transition, 2/9/12, atl]
While Egypt’s transition will necessarily be driven by
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that can make delivery of this aid possible.
USAID fails
Carothers, Democracy and Rule of Law Program director, 2009
(Thomas, “Revitalizing U.S. Democracy Assistance the challenge of USAID, 10-29,
http://www.carnegieendowment.org/files/revitalizing_democracy_assistance.pdf, ldg)
The causes of USAID’s troubled performance in the
AND
result in blockages or lack of clear direction.
Doesn’t have to go through government
Carothers, Carnegie vice president for studies, 2000
(Thomas, American democracy promotion: impulses, strategies and impacts, pg 191, ldg)
The term 'aid' conjures up the idea of
AND
& Co., PACT, and World Learning.
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Saudi
A) Escalation potential—you should distinguish nuclear wars by manageability. Saudi prolif is unique
because there no normal checks like communication, stable dyads, regular alliances, command and
control, verifiability and time to decide. External factors and interventions cannot de-escalate this.
B. Turns the aff-triggers regional war and terrorism.
Bowman, CFR international affairs fellow, 2008
(Bradley, “Chain Reaction: Avoiding a Nuclear Arms Race in the Middle East”, http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/CPRT110SPRT39674/html/CPRT-110SPRT39674.htm, DOA: 11-23-11, ldg)
Of any Middle Eastern state, Saudi Arabia
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responds to Iran by pursuing a nuclear weapon.
Relations key to solve terrorism
Al Kurdi, former Secretary General of the Council of Saudi Chambers of Commerce, 2011
(Vice President of Saudi Consulting House, a forerunner of the Saudi Arabian General Investment Authority (SAGIA). In the Majlis
Ash-Shura, the Consultative Council of Saudi Arabia serves on the Economic and Energy Affairs Committee and as Chairman of the
Saudi-American Friendship Committee, “Perspective of a Shura Council Member: A Conversation with Usamah Al-Kurdi, Part Two –
Washington-Riyadh Connections”, 4-26, http://www.susris.com/2011/04/26/perspective-of-a-shura-council-member-washingtonriyadh-connections-al-kurdi/, DOA: 1-29-12, ldg)
The events of the “Arab Spring”
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areas of cooperation can develop that nobody anticipated.
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Uniqueness
Saudi relations high but not resilient
Gause, Vermont political science professor, 2011
(Gregory, “Saudi Arabia in the New Middle East”, December, www.cfr.org/saudi-arabia/saudi-arabia-new-middle-east/p26663, DOA:
1-12-12, ldg)
That is certainly what the Saudis say.
AND
characterize the relationship more than a common worldview.
We are coordinating on Yemen now-plan will get blocked by ruling elites AND the current deal stops full
civil war
Guzansky et al., Institute for National Security Studies research fellow, 11-23-11
(Yoel, "Yemen after Saleh", www.canadafreepress.com/index.php/article/42889, DOA: 1-29-12, ldg)
On November 23, 2011, Yemeni President
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to participate in future elections for national leadership.
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Saudi Link
Saudi hates the plan
1. Unilaterlaism-plan doesn’t go through Saudi-means they assume the worse-process of the plan
overwhelms substance of the plan
2. Sphere of influence-Saudi view Yemen as an extension of territory-plan is like demanding reform in
Saudi which causes freakout-that’s Terrill
3. Saudi opposes the plan-they hate liberalization, want to keep Yemen unstable AND fear a prosperous
Yemen.
Althaibani, freelance contributor to CNN, MSNBC and NPR, 2011
(Raja, “Yemen’s Saudi Dilemma”, 6-7, http://rajaalthaibani.wordpress.com/2011/08/17/yemen%E2%80%99s-saudi-dilemma/, DOA:
1-29-12, ldg)
Saudi Arabia has much at stake when it
AND
and is said to be rich in oil.
Saudi is opposed to any democratic reform in Bahrain, despite rhetoric – AND the US hasn’t supported
democracy in Bahrain
Kavkeb, MA International Journalism City U London, 3-20
(Dominic, “Saudi Arabia, US control Bahrain rulers conduct: Analyst ,” http://presstv.com/detail/232545.html, DOA: 3-27, atw)
Press TV: When we are looking
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in power, 25 people have been killed.
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Solvency
Group the say no debate- 2 reasons you should prefer our claims
1) they can’t win solvency unless the president greenlights reforms- that’s the first card in the 1NC- he’ll
be thinking about what the Yemeni population wants because he wants legitimacy
2) They don’t have a card that says specifically that the new government will accept the plan- the fact
that he’s not reforming proves he has an incentive not to
Yemen says no-US has no cred-they’re seen as supporting crackdowns and pushing immunity for those
that ordered violence on protestors-that’s Ditz
Yemen says no-they think US is pro-Saleh
Pillar, Georgetown security studies graduate studies director, 12-29-11
(Paul, “Why Obama Shouldn't Let Yemen's President Come to the U.S.”,
http://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2011/12/why-obama-shouldnt-let-yemens-president-come-to-the-us/250644/, DOA:
1-11-12, ldg)
The wiser course is to keep him out
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the popular tide that is the Arab Springap.
Yemen doesn’t want US “interference”
Nixon, Ny Times writer, 2011
[Ron, "U.S. Groups Helped Nurture Arab Uprisings," 4-14-11,
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/04/15/world/15aid.html?_r=1&pagewanted=all, accessed 8-2-11, mtf]
But some
members of the activist groups complained
AND
amounted to “interference in internal Yemeni affairs.”
1) Several prerequisites to solvency
Humaid, economist and journalist for the Yemen Observer, 3-2
(Mohammed, “Yemen Transition completed! Now the rocky ride ahead,” http://www.yobserver.com/opinions/10021945.html, DOA:
3-29-12, atw)
Challenges of the second phase are daunting;
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, subordination, tribal affiliation or patronage payoffs.
2) Saleh takes out solvency
The National, 3-27
(“US warns on meddling in Yemen's transition,” http://www.thenational.ae/news/world/middle-east/us-warns-on-meddling-inyemens-transition, DOA: 3-29, atw)
Under a hard-won Gulf Cooperation Council
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to such issues. It should be unconditional. "
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AQAP
Strong AQAP key to solve Pakistani terrorism- a robust AQAP threat in Yemen spurs Saudi Arabia to
systematically dismantle terrorist financing- that’s key to defeat militants in Pakistan- that’s the 1NC
Yusuf evidence.
NO link turn- only Saudi crackdown solves- the aff just shifts militants into Pakistan
Yusuf, Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars Pakistan scholar, 11
(Huma, Editor of Dawn, “Another centre of terror,” Huma Yusuf, http://www.humayusuf.com/2011/09/another-centre-of-terror/,
accessed 1/8/2012) jba
Security analysts think the resurgence
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that it claims to have flushed of terrorists.
of AQAP may
Saudi crackdowns internal-link-turns all their terrorism impactsA. Financing- Saudi crackdown removes the primary source for terrorist funding- that cripples Al
Qaeda- that’s the 1NC Yusuf evidence.
B. No money, no terrorism- Saudi is key
Musharbash, Der Spiegel, 10
(Yassin, "A Difficult US Fight to Choke Off Terror Finance," 12-7-10, www.spiegel.de/international/world/0,1518,733340,00.html,
accessed 1-8-12, mss)
The document exuded confidence -- and officially it
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a way to stem the flow of funds.
C. Supply- Pakistan is key to prevent nuclear terror
Yusuf, US Institute of Peace South Asia adviser, 11
(Moeed, US Institute of Peace Center for Conflict Management South Asia adviser, Boston University Frederick S. Pardee Center for
the Study of the Longer-Range Future fellow, Mossavar-Rahmani Center at Harvard Kennedy School research fellow, "U.S. Policy
and its Limits in Pakistan," CQ Congressional Testimony, 5-5-11, l/n, accessed 10-25-11, mss)
Pakistan's Importance The impulse to keep Pakistani unwillingness
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security; and (iii) political developments.
D. Their cards that say Al-qaeda has access to bioweapons are NOT specific to Yemen- proves we need to
solve on a broader scale
AND, they say fighting AQAP gives credibility to solve terror globally
1) no evidence that credibility is key to solve terror- we have VERY specific evidence that financing is key
2) we’ve been fighting AQAP in Yemen for years- their card isn’t specific to the plan’s mechanismpeople won’t give us credit when all we did was train Yemen’s judiciary
Yemen’s not key- their Arkedis card says they just need a safe-haven- the card is talking about
Afghanistan not Yemen
They’ll go somewhere else
Metz, 10
(Steven, "Don't Mess With Yemen," The New Republic, November 4, http://www.tnr.com/blog/foreign-policy/78906/al-qaedayemen-foreign-policy, AD: 9-25, atw)
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The dilemma, needless to say, hardly
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a preview of something much worse to come.
Yemen is not key to terrorism- terrorists can adapt elsewhere
Katulis, Senior Fellow at the Center for American Progress, 10
(Brian, MA Princeton University’s Woodrow Wilson School for Public and International Affairs and, “Terrorism in Yemen
Rediscovered,” Jan. 6, http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2010/01/yemen_rediscovered.html, AD: 9-25-11, atw)
America’s attention deficit disorder-afflicted media spent
AND
adapt our thinking to make our country safer.
They can use Syria
Michaels, USA Today reporter, 2-21-12
(Jim, “Congressman: Iraq War's end gives al-Qaeda opening in Syria”, http://www.usatoday.com/news/world/story/2012-02-20/alqaeda-syria-terrorism/53181564/1, DOA: 3-22-12, ldg)
Al-Qaeda in Iraq was badly weakened
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to stay there,' " Rogers said.
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Politics DA
Concede relations resilient and they won’t go to war because of the cold war-no offense.
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Nuclear War Answers – 1NR Frontline
Nuclear war doesn’t cause extinction- bad physics
Seitz, Harvard University Center for International Affairs visiting scholar, 6
(Russell, "The' Nuclear Winter ' Meltdown; Photoshopping the Apocalypse,"
adamant.typepad.com/seitz/2006/12/preherein_honor.html, accessed 9-25-11, mss)
The recent winter solstice witnessed a 'Carl Sagan
AND
to a new generation of X-Box.
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Nuclear War Answers – 1NR Frontline
Most recent evidence and better models prove- their science is bad
Seitz, Harvard University Center for International Affairs visiting scholar, 11
(Russell, “Nuclear winter was and is debatable,” Nature, 7-7-11, Vol 475, pg37, accessed 9-27-11, mss)
Alan Robock's
contention that there has been no
AND
call the very term 'nuclear winter' into question.
Oceans and counter-force targeting check
Zutell, Arizona Dept. of Emergency and Military Affairs, Division of Emergency Services, 88
(Eugene, 6-19-88. http://www.fortfreedom.org/s05.htm)
To enumerate some other problems
AND
predictable. In fact, they are
with the nuclear
improbable.
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Nuclear War Answers – 1NR Frontline
Concentration checks extinction- AND aff doesn’t turn the impact
Tonn, UT political science professor, 5
(Bruce, “Human extinction scenarios”, August, http://www.budapestfutures.org/downloads/abstracts/Bruce%20Tonn%20%20Abstract.pdf, ldg)
The human species faces numerous threats to its
AND
resilient to extinction with respect to single events.
Even a one percent risk outweighs
Bostrom, Oxford philosophy professor, 5
(Nick, July 2005, transcribed by Matt Struth, 4:38-6:12 of the talk at http://www.ted.com/index.php/talks/view/id/44, accessed 2-2-8,
mss)
Now if we think about what just reducing
AND
extinct it should still have a high priority.
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Aid Now Answers – Generic
No increases will pass-congressional opposition
Ravelo, Devex staff writer, 2-29-12
(Jenny, “Will Congress 'Starve' The 2013 Foreign Aid Budget?”, http://www.devex.com/en/blogs/development-assistance-underobama/will-congress-starve-the-2013-foreign-aid-budget-2, DOA: 3-29-12, ldg)
The budget request is likely to face opposition
AND
AARP seniors rallying to protect America’s investments overseas.
Foreign aid funded now- including global health
News Medical, 12-20
("Congress passes FY12 spending bill, including funding for global health," 12-20-11, www.newsmedical.net/news/20111220/Congress-passes-FY12-spending-bill-including-funding-for-global-health.aspx, accessed 1-2-12, mss)
"The
AND
Senate on Saturday passed the final
Family Foundation's Policy Tracker (12/15).
USAID budget stable now
Veillette, George Washington political science PhD, 12-16-11
(Connie, “The International Affairs Budget – Train Wreck Avoided with a Ride on the Megabus”, http://blogs.cgdev.org/mcamonitor/2011/12/the-international-affairs-budget-%E2%80%93-train-wreck-avoided-with-a-ride-on-the-megabus.php, DOA: 12-2911, ldg)
In the end, State/Foreign
Operations
AND
request but is 9% above 2011 levels.
Obama’s budget doesn’t increase aid
Piccio, Devex analyst, 2-20-12
(Lorenzo, “US international affairs budget: Requested vs. actual”, http://www.devex.com/en/news/us-international-affairs-budgetrequested-vs/77538, DOA: 3-29-12, ldg)
Of course, many question marks remain and
AND
budget until after the presidential elections in November.
No aid to Syria is official
Bennett, U.S. News & World Report national security correspondent, 3-28-12
(John, “Source: U.S. Would Funnel Syrian Aid Through Regional Allies”,
http://www.usnews.com/news/blogs/dotmil/2012/03/28/source-us-would-funnel-syrian-aid-through-regional-allies, DOA: 3-29-12,
ldg)
Obama administration officials acknowledged they are mulling whether
AND
not yet replied to a request for comment.
No aid for Syria-Obama is hands off
Reuters 3-29-12
(“Amid fresh diplomacy, U.S. still wary of direct Syria role”, http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/03/29/us-usa-syria-clintonidUSBRE82S05320120329, DOA: 3-29-12, ldg)
U .S. Secretary of State Hillary
AND
at the Institute for the Study of War.
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No aid to Yemen now
Aid, intelligence historian and expert on the NSA, 3-1-12
(Matthew, “The Mess in Yemen”, http://www.matthewaid.com/post/18550828257/the-mess-in-yemen, DOA: 3-29-12, ldg)
A brand new report by the Government Accountability
AND
S. partners in the Yemeni security forces.”
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Tradeoff – Internal – Frontline
Tradeoff kills global health programsUSAID reforms are on the chopping block- they’re easy targets for congress- cuts to reforms devastates
USAID, incapacitating key programs- that’ s the 1NC Worthington evidence.
AND- those reforms are key to USAID’s global health programs- USAID Forward’s evaluation,
procurement, and management changes are critical to deliver the game-changers to stop global
pandemics- that’s the 1NC Batson evidence.
AND- New cuts devastate overall capacity
Sharma, AlertNet staff, 11
(Yojana, "US budget cuts 'could reverse USAID's gains'," AlertNet, www.trust.org/alertnet/news/us-budget-cuts-could-reverse-usaidsgains, accessed 8-27-11, mss)
Recent developments in the aid strategy of the
AND
technical capacity and knowledge capacity will be reduced."
Reform programs will be cut because they are newest
Provost, Guardian Unlimited staff, 11
(Claire, "US foreign aid takes immediate cuts, and further battles loom," Guardian Unlimited, 4-14-11, l/n, accessed 8-30-11, mss)
Paul O'Brien, vice-president of policy
AND
in 2012," said the USGLC's Richard Parker.
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Tradeoff – Internal – Frontline
That’s key- USAID’s reform agenda key to effectiveness
Shah, USAID administrator, 11
(Rajiv, former U.S. Department of Agriculture Chief Scientist and Under Secretary of Research, Education and Economics, former
Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation Agricultural Research director, "International Development Policy Priorities in the FY 2012
Budget," Congressional Documents and Publications, 4-13-11, l/n, accessed 8-31-11, mss)
Because development is critical to our national security
AND
has had to contract at far greater expense.
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Link
Response fund has to go through Congress
Veillette, George Washington political science PhD, 12-19-11
(Connie, “The Twelve Gifts of Congress for Those Both Naughty & Nice (Or what I like and don’t like in the FY2012 budget bill)”,
http://blogs.cgdev.org/mca-monitor/2011/12/the-twelve-gifts-of-congress-for-those-both-naughty-nice-or-what-i-like-anddon%E2%80%99t-like-in-the-fy2012-budget-bill.php, DOA: 12-29-11, ldg)
Nice: The creation of a Middle East
AND
the oversight committees are prompt in their reviews.
USAID budget is stable and new projects have to go through Congress
Wiesemeyer, Informa Economics senior vice president, 12-16-11
(Jim, “Details of Year-End Omnibus Appropriations”, http://www.agweb.com/profarmer/article/details_of_yearend_omnibus_appropriations/, DOA: 12-17-11, ldg)
USAID. The measure provides
AND
or the long-term leasing of offices.
$1.
Judicial reform is expensive
Menges, 10
(Werner, "Court Overhaul Under Discussion," The Namibian (Windhoek), l/n, accessed 9-12-11, mss)
Also speaking at the opening of the conference
AND
and administrative
will," the Chief Justice said.
[Matt note: Shivute = Chief Justice of the Nambian High Court]
Democracy aid is expensive and tradesoff- there’s up front and long-term costs to sustaining programs
Epstein et al., CRS foreign policy specialists, 7
(Susan B., Nina M. Serafino, Francis T. Miko, Congressional Research Service, “Democracy Promotion: Cornerstone of U.S. Foreign
Policy?” CRS Report for Congress, 12-26-2007, http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/row/RL34296.pdf, accessed 8-31-11, beh)
The high military and opportunity cost of some
AND
and extreme poverty, as
being too great.
AND- Perception of projected costs or future nation-building ensures the link- Congress evaluates the
projected costs, not just upfront costs. Aff args assume perfect solvency, congressional budget allocations
don’t.
Abercrombie, US House of Representatives (D-HI), 7
(Neil, House Armed Services Committee chair, "Rep. Neil Abercrombie Holds a Hearing on Army Ground Force Acquisition
Programs," CQ Transcriptions, 3-27-7, l/n, accessed 9-2-11, mss)
Given these conditions, what assurances
AND
least to the end of this president's term.
can you
New foreign aid spending snowballs
Sheehan, Competitive Enterprise Institute adjunct scholar, 92
(James, "Why We Should Dismantle AID," Journal of Commerce, 12-11-92, l/n, accessed 9-11-11, mss)
The Agency for International Development (AID)
AND
except doling out pork to domestic special interests.
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Tradeoff – USAID Solves
USAID programs solve disease- extend the 1NC Batson evidence- 3 reasons:
A. Surveillance- USAID is active in hot spots for pandemic emergence- programs are key to detect,
contain and prevent spillover before pandemics emerge.
B. Global coalitions- USAID is the lynchpin of international cooperation- others can’t succeed without
USAID- it leverages investment, sets the agenda, and aligns priorities.
C. Innovation- USAID is key to tap America’s R&D strengths and deliver game-changing innovations,
vaccines, and future breakthroughs.
USAID solves the root cause of pandemics- surveillance prevents and contains outbreaks
UNFAO, 10
(United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization, "U.S. and FAO Continue Joint Battle Against Infectious Disease Threats," States
News Service, 8-16-10, l/n, accessed 11-8-11, mss)
The United States Agency for International Development (
AND
of the UN Millennium Development Goals (MDGs).
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Tradeoff – USAID Solves
USAID key to contain pandemics
UC Davis One Health Institute, 10
(UC Davis School of Veterinary Medicine, "PREDICT," 9-26-2010, www.vetmed.ucdavis.edu/ohi/predict/index.cfm, accessed 11-811, mss)
In order to predict, respond to,
AND
integrated, global approach to emerging zoonotic diseases .
USAID solves disease- integrated approach
Hunter, US Embassy staff writer, 9
(Bridget, "U.S. Sponsored Program Aims to Fight Emerging Pandemic Threats," US State News, 11-12-9, l/n, accessed 11-8-11, mss)
The U.S. Agency for International
AND
diseases like influenza strains that could affect humans."
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