Bus 411 Day 14 Copyright 2005 Prentice Hall 1 Agenda Assignment 4 Corrected Assignment 5 Posted (Last One!) Due March 20 (next class) SWOT, SPACE, BCG and QSPM Matrices for Google Mid term Exam Posted 1 A, 4 B’s, 2 MIA’s, and 1 late Due March 24 20 Short essays Finish Discussion on Implementing Strategies Discussion on Strategic Review, Evaluation and Control Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -2 Case Study Teams Team 1 Karen Geneice Lee James Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Team 2 Takefumi Matt Darius Danielle Ch 6 -3 Timeline (tentative) Today March 24 Team 2 Case 20 AirTran April 7 Tony Case 27 Kroger In-class final May 9 by 3 PM Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Team 2 Case 22 Yellow Roadway Corp. Take home final assigned May 6 @ 10AM Team 1 Case 21 USA truck May 1 Team 2 Case 25 Web Reservations International April 28 Team 1 Case 24 Royal Caribbean Cruises April 24 Tony Case 23 Harrah’s April 21 Team 2 Case 28 Home Depot April 17 Team 1 Case 19 Jet Blue April 3 Team 1 Case 26 Best Buy April 14 Team Work (no class) March 31 Midterm due Team work (no class) March 27 Assignment 5 Due How to present a case study Tony Case Study One Apple Computer Team work if time allows April 10 March 20 Finish Chapter 8 Chapter 9 Take home final Ch 6 -4 Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -5 Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -6 Finance/Accounting Issues Projected Financial Statements Allow an organization to examine the expected results of various actions and approaches Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -7 Finance/Accounting Issues Steps in Preparing Projected Financial Statements 1. Prepare income statement before balance sheet (forecast sales) 2. Use percentage of sales method to project CoGS & expenses 3. Calculate projected net income Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -8 Finance/Accounting Issues Steps in Preparing Projected Financial Statements (cont’d) 4. Subtract dividends to be paid from Net Income and add remaining to Retained Earnings 5. Project balance sheet items beginning with retained earnings 6. List comments (remarks) on projected statements Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -9 Projected Income Statement for Litten Company (in millions) Prior Year 2005 Projected Year 2006 Remarks Projected Income Statement Sales 100 150.00 50% increase 70 105.00 70% of sales 30 45.00 10 15.00 10% of sales 5 7.50 5% of sales 15 22.50 3 3.00 12 19.50 Taxes 6 9.75 Net Income 6 9.75 2 5.00 4 4.75 Cost of Goods Sold Gross Margin Selling Expense Administrative Expense EBIT Interest EBT Dividends Retained Earnings Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall 50% rate Ch 6 -10 Finance/Accounting Issues Financial Budget -- Details how funds will be obtained and spent for a specified period of time. Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -11 Finance/Accounting Issues Types of Budgets Cash budgets Operating budgets Sales budgets Profit budgets Factory Budgets Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Expense Budgets Divisional budgets Variable budgets Flexible budgets Fixed budgets Ch 6 -12 Finance/Accounting Issues Evaluating Worth of a Business Central to strategy implementation – integrative, intensive, & diversification strategies often implemented through acquisitions of other firms Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -13 Finance/Accounting Issues Evaluating Worth of a Business: 3 Basic Approaches 1. What a firm owns 1. 2. 2. What a firm earns 1. 3. Total assets – liabilities (discount overvalued assets) Stockholders equity 5 X times annual earnings (tax consequences) What a firm will bring in the market 1. Outstanding shares Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -14 Worth of a Business Analysis (see 8-8) Southwest Airlines Stockholders’ Equity: Net Income: Stock Price: EPS: Shares Outstanding Company Worth Analysis Stockholders Equity Net Income x 5 Share Price/EPS x NI # Shares x Share Price Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall $ 5,524 313 15.70 .45 784 $ 5,524 1,565 10,920 12,309 Ch 6 -15 Research & Development Issues -- New products and improvement of existing products that allow for effective strategy implementation Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -16 Research & Development Issues Constraints Level of support constrained by resource availability Technological improvements shorten product life cycles Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -17 Research & Development Issues 3 Major R&D approaches to implementing strategies 1. 2. 3. 1st firm to market new technological products Innovative imitator of successful products Low-cost producer of similar but less expensive products Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -18 Management Information Systems (MIS) Issues -- Information is the basis for understanding the firm. One of the most important factors differentiating successful from unsuccessful firms Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -19 MIS Issues Functions of MIS Information collection, retrieval, & storage Keeping managers informed Coordination of activities among divisions Allow firm to reduce costs Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -20 Chapter 9 Strategy Review, Evaluation, & Control Strategic Management: Concepts & Cases 11th Edition Fred David Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -21 Strategic Management Process Model Perfrom External Audit Chap 3 Develop Mission and Mission Statements Chap 2 Establish Long-term Objectives Chap 4 Generate, Evaluate and Select Strageies Chap 3 Implement Strategies Management Issues Chap 7 Implement Strategies Marketing, Finance, accounting, R&D, MIS issues Chap 8 Measure and Evaluate Performance Chap 9 Perform Internal Audit Chap 4 Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -22 Strategy Evaluation Organizations are most vulnerable when they are at the peak of their success -R.T. Lenz Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -23 Strategy Review, Evaluation, & Control -- Strategies become obsolete -- Internal environments are dynamic -- External environments are dynamic Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -24 Strategy Review, Evaluation, & Control Strategy Evaluation Vital to the organization’s well-being Alert management to potential/actual problems in a timely fashion Erroneous strategic decisions can have severe negative impact on organizations Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -25 Strategy Review, Evaluation, & Control 3 Basic Activities 1. Examine the underlying bases of a firm’s strategy 1. 2. 2. 3. Did we do a careful analysis? Did things change? Compare expected to actual results Identify corrective actions to ensure that performance conforms to plans Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -26 Strategy Review, Evaluation, & Control Strategy Evaluation Complex & sensitive undertaking Overemphasis can be costly & counterproductive Too much time spent measuring rather than doing Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -27 Strategy Review, Evaluation, & Control Appraisal of Strategic Performance Have assets increased Increase in profitability Increase in sales Increase in productivity Profit margins, ROI, & EPS ratios increased Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -28 Strategy Evaluation, Review & Control Consistency Rumelt’s 4 Criteria Consonance Feasibility Advantage Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -29 Strategy Evaluation, Review & Control Consistency Strategy should not present inconsistent goals & policies Issue and not “people” problems Success for one department means failure for another Policy problems rise to the top Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -30 Strategy Evaluation, Review & Control Consistency Rumelt’s 4 Criteria Consonance Feasibility Advantage Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -31 Strategy Evaluation, Review & Control Consonance Need for strategies to examine sets of trends Need a Holistic view (internal and external) Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -32 Strategy Evaluation, Review & Control Consistency Rumelt’s 4 Criteria Consonance Feasibility Advantage Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -33 Strategy Evaluation, Review & Control Feasibility Neither overtax resources or create unsolvable sub-problems Can it be done with the given or available resources? Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -34 Strategy Evaluation, Review & Control Consistency Rumelt’s 4 Criteria Consonance Feasibility Advantage Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -35 Strategy Evaluation, Review & Control Advantage Creation or maintenance of competitive advantage If it doesn't create a competitive advantage then what’s the point? Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -36 Process of strategic evaluation Management should be continually aware of progress Management by wandering around Don't wait for information get to you, go out and get the information Things Change Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -37 Strategy Review, Evaluation, & Control Difficulties in Strategy Evaluation 1. 2. 3. Increase in environment’s complexity Difficulty predicting future with accuracy Increasing number of variables Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -38 Strategy Review, Evaluation, & Control Difficulties in Strategy Evaluation 4. 5. 6. Rate of obsolescence of plans Domestic and global events Decreasing time span for planning certainty Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -39 Strategy Review, Evaluation, & Control Strategy Evaluation Should - Initiate managerial questioning Trigger review of objectives & values Stimulate creativity in generating alternatives Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -40 Strategy Review, Evaluation, & Control Review of Underlying Bases of Strategy - Develop revised EFE Matrix Develop revised IFE Matrix Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -41 Strategy Review, Evaluation, & Control Review Effectiveness of Strategy -1. 2. 3. 4. Competitors’ reaction to strategy Competitors’ change in strategy Competitors’ changes in strengths & weaknesses Reasons for competitors’ strategic change Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -42 Strategy Review, Evaluation, & Control Review Effectiveness of Strategy -5. 6. 7. 8. Reasons for competitors’ successful strategies Competitors’ present market positions & profitability Potential for competitor retaliation Potential for cooperation with competitors Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -43 Strategy Review, Evaluation, & Control Monitor Strengths & Weaknesses; Opportunities & Threats Are strengths still strengths? Have we added additional strengths? Are weaknesses still weaknesses? Have we developed other weaknesses? Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -44 Strategy Review, Evaluation, & Control Monitor Strengths & Weaknesses; Opportunities & Threats Are opportunities still opportunities? Other opportunities develop? Are threats still threats Other threats emerged? Are we vulnerable to hostile takeover? Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -45 Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -46 Review Underlying Bases New IFE & EFE Differences? Evaluation Framework Yes NO Measure Firm Performance Differences? Take Corrective Actions Yes NO Continue present course Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -47 Strategy Review, Evaluation, & Control Measuring Organizational Performance Compare expected to actual results Investigate deviations from plan Evaluate individual performance Progress toward stated objectives Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -48 Strategy Review, Evaluation, & Control Quantitative Criteria for Strategy Evaluation Financial Ratios Compare performance over different periods Compare performance to competitors Compare performance to industry averages Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -49 Strategy Review, Evaluation, & Control Key Financial Ratios Return on investment (ROI) Return on equity (ROE) Profit margin Market Share Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -50 Strategy Review, Evaluation, & Control Key Financial Ratios Debt to equity Earnings per share (EPS) Sales growth Asset growth Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -51 Strategy Review, Evaluation, & Control Qualitative Evaluation of Strategy Internal consistency of strategy Consistency with environment Appropriateness in view of resources Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -52 Strategy Review, Evaluation, & Control Qualitative Evaluation of Strategy Acceptable degree of risk Appropriate time frame Workability of the strategy Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -53 Strategy Review, Evaluation, & Control Balanced Scorecard -- Evaluate strategies from 4 perspectives: 1. Financial performance 2. Customer knowledge 3. Internal business processes 4. Learning & growth Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -54 Balanced Scorecard Area of Objectives Measure or Target Time Expectation Primary Responsibility Customers 1 2 Managers/Employees 1 2 Operations/Processes 1 2 Community/Social Responsibility 1 2 Business Ethics/Natural Environment 1 2 Financial 1 2 Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -55 Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -56 Strategy Review, Evaluation, & Control Characteristics of Strategy Evaluation Economical Meaningful Generates useful information Timely information Provides accurate picture of events Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -57 Strategy Review, Evaluation, & Control Contingency Planning Alternative plans that can be put into effect if certain key events do not occur as expected Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -58 Strategy Review, Evaluation, & Control Auditing Financial audits determine correspondence between assertions based on strategic plan & established criteria Environmental audits insure sound and safe practices Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -59 Strategy Evaluation, Review & Control 21st Century Challenges in Strategic Management Process is more an “art” than “science” You can learn the “science”, the “art” part requires experiences and practice Should strategies be visible or hidden from stakeholders Only when secrecy gives some competitive advantage Should process be more top-down or bottom up Current research suggests bottom-up Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 6 -60