UNITED NATIONS ECONOMIC
COMMISSION FOR EUROPE
TRANS-EUROPEAN NORTH-SOUTH
MOTORWAY (TEM) PROJECT
TEM and TER Projects’ Master Plan
Draft Final Report
Geneva, 8 - 10 June 2005
UNECE TRANS-EUROPEAN NORTH-SOUTH MOTORWAY
(TEM) PROJECT
Structure of the presentation
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Background
Scope
Terms of reference
Elaboration
Conclusions / Recommendation
What’s next
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UNECE TRANS-EUROPEAN NORTH-SOUTH MOTORWAY
(TEM) PROJECT
Background
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Survey and review of TEM and TER (1999 – 2001)
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Approval of the short-term strategy (June 2001)
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Master Plan, first priority of the work 2003 – 2004
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Approval of the TOR (May 2003)
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Start of the elaboration of Master Plan (October 2003)
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Nomination of external consultants
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Prof. D. Tsamboulas (NTUA)
Prof. A. Pearman (Leeds University)
Mr. Z. Trcka (Czech Rep.)
Mr. L. Gaspar (Hungary)
Mr. D. Przybyla (Poland)
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UNECE TRANS-EUROPEAN NORTH-SOUTH MOTORWAY
(TEM) PROJECT
Scope
Elaboration of a strategic plan of action for the
implementation of the TEM Project objectives in terms
of updated and prioritized rail and combined transport
infrastructure needs of TEM member countries and
their immediate neighbors
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Investment priorities
• Timetable for their realization
• Assessment of cost and financing arrangements
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UNECE TRANS-EUROPEAN NORTH-SOUTH MOTORWAY
(TEM) PROJECT
Terms of Reference
Objectives
Consistent and realistic investment strategy for the
development of the road transport infrastructure in
the wider TEM Region, supporting:
• Promotion of TEM Project goals
• Extension of TEN-T
• Development of Pan-European Transport Corridors
• Promotion of intermodality
• European transport integration
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UNECE TRANS-EUROPEAN NORTH-SOUTH MOTORWAY
(TEM) PROJECT
Terms of Reference (cont’d)
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Tasks
Review of TEM work and European initiatives
Socioeconomic framework - scenarios of growth
Methodology and main assumptions
Inventory of needs
Elaboration of Master Plan
Truck and coach transport problems
Funding questions and financing arrangements
Border crossing questions
Conclusions / recommendations / dissemination
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UNECE TRANS-EUROPEAN NORTH-SOUTH MOTORWAY
(TEM) PROJECT
TEM Master Plan invited countries
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UNECE TRANS-EUROPEAN NORTH-SOUTH MOTORWAY
(TEM) PROJECT
Organisation
Elaboration
• PCO
Main responsible
• National Experts
Consolidate national information
• Invited organizations
Thematic support/guidance
• External consultants
Technical/ scientific assistance
TEM Master Plan Expert Group
PCO, National Experts, Organizations, Consultants, UNECE
TEM and TER Master Plan Coordination Group
PCOs, External Consultants, UNECE
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UNECE TRANS-EUROPEAN NORTH-SOUTH MOTORWAY
(TEM) PROJECT
Elaboration – Initial time table
Reviewed Work Time Plan
WP
YEAR 2003
YEAR 2004
MONTHS
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SEPT
2
3
OCT
NOV
4
5
6
DEC
JAN
FEB
7
MARCH
8
9
10
APR
MAY JUNE
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12
JUL
AUG SEP
WP0
WP1
WP2
WP3
WP4
WP5
WP6
WP7
WP8
WP9
Master Plan Coordination
Master Plan TEM and TER
Group Meetings
Expert Group Meetings
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UNECE TRANS-EUROPEAN NORTH-SOUTH MOTORWAY
(TEM) PROJECT
Elaboration – Milestones
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Coordinations Group Meetings
1st meeting, Budapest 16/9/03
2nd meeting, Warsaw 15/12/03
3rd meeting, Geneva 9/6/04
4th meeting, Budapest 15/11/04
TEM Master Plan Expert Group Meetings
1st meeting, Bratislava, February 2004
2nd meeting, Budapest, September 2004
Completion of work, March 2005
Prepration of separate volume (to follow soon)
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UNECE TRANS-EUROPEAN NORTH-SOUTH MOTORWAY
(TEM) PROJECT
Chapter 1
TEM and TER Master Plan
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Introduction of the TEM and TER
Projects and their Master Plan
The TEM and TER environment
General description of the report and work
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UNECE TRANS-EUROPEAN NORTH-SOUTH MOTORWAY
(TEM) PROJECT
Chapter 2
Socio-economic framework and
scenarios of growth
• Two scenarios of growth have been established
( Moderate and Optimistic)
• The year 2000 was chosen as the base year
• Data from 1995-2000-2001-2002-2004 were used to
establish trends
• Countries were divided in 3 groups
EU member countries before 01-05-2004 (Group I)
EU member countries after 01-05-2004 (Group II)
Non-EU, non-acceding countries (Group III)
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UNECE TRANS-EUROPEAN NORTH-SOUTH MOTORWAY
(TEM) PROJECT
Chapter 2
Socio-economic framework and
scenarios of growth (cont’d)
Transport trends Group I:
Passenger
Annual growth transport by car (+ 1.32 to +1.81%)
Annual growth transport bus/coach (+ 0.03 to +0.19%)
Annual growth transport rail (+ 1.31 to +2.55%)
Modal share road-rail the same, slight decrease for road
Freight
Annual growth transport road (+ 3.20 to +3.38%)
Annual growth transport rail (+ 3.43 to +3.67%)
Modal share road-rail the same, slight decrease for road
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UNECE TRANS-EUROPEAN NORTH-SOUTH MOTORWAY
(TEM) PROJECT
Chapter 2
Socio-economic framework and
scenarios of growth (cont’d)
Transport trends Group II:
Passenger
Annual growth by car (+ 2.07 to +3.10%)
Annual growth bus/coach (- 0.01 to -0.28%)
Annual growth rail (+ 0.75 to +1.18%)
Modal share road-rail the same, slight increase for road
Freight
Annual growth road (+ 2.49 to +2.77%)
Annual growth rail (+ 2.57 to +2.59%)
Modal share road-rail dramatic change (+43 road –60%14 Rail)
UNECE TRANS-EUROPEAN NORTH-SOUTH MOTORWAY
(TEM) PROJECT
Chapter 2
Socio-economic framework and
scenarios of growth (cont’d)
Transport trends Group III:
• Limited or no data existed to support forecasting
• Based only on limited data from Bosnia&
Herzegovina, Serbia & Montenegro and FYROM
• Accumulated road traffic growth ( +187 to
+255%)
• Accumulated rail traffic growth (+61 to + 81%)
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UNECE TRANS-EUROPEAN NORTH-SOUTH MOTORWAY
(TEM) PROJECT
Chapter 3
Methodology on evaluation and
prioritization
Four Phases
A. Identification ( with three screening levels)
B. Forecasting (using scenarios of growth)
C. Evaluation (multi criteria analysis)
D. Prioritization (in three levels)
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UNECE TRANS-EUROPEAN NORTH-SOUTH MOTORWAY
(TEM) PROJECT
Chapter 3
Methodology on evaluation and
prioritization (cont’d)
Phase A Identification
Level 1: Relevance (technical standards – TEM
goals – on main axis-connecting with other
regions)
Level2: Readiness (project well defined –
responsible agent-time plan)
Level 3: Viability (10 mill € - IRR – Environmental
aspects – Justified need)
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UNECE TRANS-EUROPEAN NORTH-SOUTH MOTORWAY
(TEM) PROJECT
Chapter 3
Methodology on evaluation and
prioritization (cont’d)
Phase B Forecasting
Performed on macro level, using the alternative
scenarios of growth, and available data as
collected from countries through questionnaires
(Templates)
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UNECE TRANS-EUROPEAN NORTH-SOUTH MOTORWAY
(TEM) PROJECT
Chapter 3
Methodology on evaluation and
prioritization (cont’d)
Phase C Evaluation (multi-criteria analysis)
(1) Definition of criteria:
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socio-economic return of investment
functionality and coherency of the network
strategic / political concerns of the network
(2) Quantification of criteria: (A=5, B=4, C=3, D=2, E=1) 5 highest
(3) Prioritization
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Technical (direct application of evaluation providing the scores)
Compliance with commitments, and corrective actions if needed
(4) Financial capability of country: (comparison to 1.5% of19GDP)
UNECE TRANS-EUROPEAN NORTH-SOUTH MOTORWAY
(TEM) PROJECT
Chapter 3
Methodology on evaluation and
prioritization (cont’d)
• Priority I: projects, which may be funded and
implemented rapidly, including on-going projects up to
2010.
• Priority II: projects requiring some additional
investigations for final definition before likely
financing, or planned for implementation up to 2015.
• Priority III: projects requiring further investigations for
final definition and scheduling before possible
financing, or planned for implementation up to 2020.
• Priority IV: projects to be implemented in the long run,
including the projects where insufficient data existed.
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UNECE TRANS-EUROPEAN NORTH-SOUTH MOTORWAY
(TEM) PROJECT
Chapter 4
Realization of the Master Plan (cont’d)
Total Final Results
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In total 491 TEM and TER Projects 101 billion €
172 TER (51.5 billion €), 319 TEM (49.5 billion €)
TEM category I: 152 projects of value 25,3 billion €
TEM category II: 93 projects of value 23,2 billion €
TEM category III: 1 project of value 0,24 billion €
TEM category IV: 73 projects of value 0,9 billion €)
TEM 36 % have secured funding and to be completed
by 2010
• TEM (13 % of projects by 2015) , (10 % by 2020)
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UNECE TRANS-EUROPEAN NORTH-SOUTH MOTORWAY
(TEM) PROJECT
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UNECE TRANS-EUROPEAN NORTH-SOUTH MOTORWAY
(TEM) PROJECT
Chapter 4
Realization of the Master Plan (cont’d)
Bottlenecks and Missing Links
• Analysis of what may me considered as a
road bottleneck
• Complexity of the work not possible to
be considered within set time frame and
available resources for the Master Plan
• Missing links identified and proposed
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UNECE TRANS-EUROPEAN NORTH-SOUTH MOTORWAY
(TEM) PROJECT
Chapter 5
Master Plan Backbone Network and Links
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Major parts of the TEM Network
EU TEN-T and High Level Group
Pan-European Corridors, MEDA
Euro-Asian Transport Links
Sections on which countries proposed
projects
• TIRS and REBIS studies
• Intermodal terminals/freight villages and ports
• Interconnection and continuity of networks 24
UNECE TRANS-EUROPEAN NORTH-SOUTH MOTORWAY
(TEM) PROJECT
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UNECE TRANS-EUROPEAN NORTH-SOUTH MOTORWAY
(TEM) PROJECT
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UNECE TRANS-EUROPEAN NORTH-SOUTH MOTORWAY
(TEM) PROJECT
Chapter 6
Funding considerations – Technical Institutional Aspects
• Since funding is not secured for 40% of projects focus
identification of possible sources of funding
eligibility criteria to receive funds
required procedures
• Main sources of funding include: EIB, EBRD, World
Bank, EU Cohesion Fund - Structural Funds -ISPA –
INTERREG
• Elements analyzed include: Initial approach, legal
framework, eligibility criteria, appraisal, examination,
monitoring, decision making, contract signature, etc.
• Possibility of private participation, via PPP
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UNECE TRANS-EUROPEAN NORTH-SOUTH MOTORWAY
(TEM) PROJECT
Chapter 7
Border Crossing Issues
• Inventory of border crossing points was
made
• Relevant GIS maps
• Identification of border crossing
problems
• Recommendations for problems
alleviation
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UNECE TRANS-EUROPEAN NORTH-SOUTH MOTORWAY
(TEM) PROJECT
Chapter 8
Conclusions / Recommendations
General conclusions
• Master Plan elaboration has so far achieved its intended
goals by presenting an investment strategy in the wider
TEM and TER region, which supports the:
Extension of TEN-T, implementation of pan-European
Corridors, promotion of intermodal transport, maximum
effectiveness of transport infrastructure
• If implementation is ensured, will assist:
Economic growth in countries concerned, well being of
their populations, integration & harm. in Europe - beyond
• TEM Master Plan process has been successful, but the
work is ongoing
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UNECE TRANS-EUROPEAN NORTH-SOUTH MOTORWAY
(TEM) PROJECT
Chapter 8
Conclusions / Recommendations (cont’d)
Recommendations
• Missing or insufficient data should be completed with
direct inputs of countries
• Update of the Backbone network from time to time
• Priority projects monitoring and implementation
• Close cooperation among TEM countries, between them
and their immediate neighbours and TEM PCO
• The presentation of the shape of TEM Backbone
Networks in 2010, 2015, and 2020 should be among the
major tasks of TEM in future
• A review of the strategy by 2008
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UNECE TRANS-EUROPEAN NORTH-SOUTH MOTORWAY
(TEM) PROJECT
Chapter 9
The Way Ahead
• Implementation is a long-term process that requires
political will and commitment from countries
• Implementation of standards and monitoring the
progress in bringing TEM Backbone network up to the
required standards could be also among future tasks
• To facilitate this process, countries not yet members to
TEM Project, should seriously consider their full
membership
• TEM Project provide an ideal framework to ensure the
follow-up work
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UNITED NATIONS ECONOMIC
COMMISSION FOR EUROPE
TRANS-EUROPEAN NORT-SOUTH
MOTORWAY (TEM) PROJECT
FOR
INTEGRATION AND DEVELOPMENT
IN EUROPE