CYP Plan Needs Analysis
Navigational Presentation
Helping focus priorities
CYP Research & Statistics
Introduction and Disclaimer
•
Welcome to the Bromley CYP Plan Needs Analysis Navigational
Presentation. This is an overview summary of the Needs Analysis Report
that accompanies the CYP Plan 2011-14.
•
The Presentation is hyperlinked from the main menu onwards to enable the
user to navigate it like a website jumping to relevant slides via menus
rather than simply viewing slides sequentially.
•
The information is aligned to Bromley’s CYP Plan 2011-14 priorities, a site
map following this slide outlines where different areas sit.
•
Sources are given where appropriate. This presentation gives the
overarching information, please refer to the full Needs Analysis Report
where further details are held.
•
Please also note this presentation is based on data available at July 2010
and that projections are subject to change.
CYP Research & Statistics
‘Site Map’
General Demographics
Attainment and
Achievement for All
Ensuring the Health and
Wellbeing of Children,
Young People and their
Families
Keeping Children Safe
Promoting Positive
Behaviour of Children
and Young people
Supporting Young
People through
Transition to Adulthood
Vulnerable Groups
Summary
Summary
2009 Health Profile
Summary
Summary
Summary
Looked After Children
Strategic Planning Areas
Achievement
Lifestyle
Safer Transport Team
Attendance
Employment in Bromley
Gypsy and Travellers
Population Estimates and
Projections
Foundation Stage
Play Outside
School Travel Plans
Absence
Earnings
Young Carers
Births
Key Stage 1
Air Quality
Police Initiatives
Truancy
Unemployment Figures
Children with Disabilities
and Special Education
Needs
Ethnic Population Change
Key Stage 2
Infant and Perinatal
Mortality
Police Statistics
Exclusions
Not in Education,
Employment or Training
Black and Minority Ethnic
Families and Dependents
Key Stage 4
Low Birth Weight
Road Safety
Youth Offending
Labour Force Predictions
Children in Poverty and
Free School Meals
Deprivation
Post 16: Level 3
Breastfeeding
Domestic Violence
Reoffending
Childcare
English as an Additional
Language
Key Messages for Bromley
Male Role Models
Obesity and Healthy
Eating
Safeguarding Referrals
Substance Misuse
Unsuitable Housing
Satisfaction with Parks and
Play Areas
Immunisation
Key Messages for Bromley
Bullying
Key Messages for Bromley
Youth Elections and Youth
Council
Sexual Health
Key Messages for Bromley
Teenage Conceptions and
Terminations of Pregnancy
Emotional Health
Child and Adolescent
Mental Health Services
Key Messages for Bromley
Key Messages for Bromley
CYP Research & Statistics
Needs Assessment Themes
Please note this presentation has been hyperlinked and can be navigated
like a website.
General
Demographics
Keeping
Children Safe
Vulnerable
Groups
Sources
Attainment and
Achievement
for All
Ensuring the Health
and Wellbeing of
Children, Young
People and their
Families
Promoting
Positive
Behaviour of
Children and
Young People
Supporting
Young People
through
Transition to
Adulthood
Bromley at a
glance and
Bromley in
2015
TellUs 4
Summary
Contact Details
CYP Research & Statistics
General Demographics
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Summary
Strategic Planning Areas
Population Estimates and Projections
Births
Ethnic Population Changes
Families and Dependents
Deprivation
Key Messages for Bromley
Back to Needs Assessment Themes
CYP Research & Statistics
Summary
•
The London Borough of Bromley is an Outer London borough, located in the southeastern corner of Greater London.
•
Bromley is the largest of the 32 London Boroughs covering over 58 square miles,
over half of which is green belt.
•
There is a population is over 300,000 people, of which around 71,000 (~24%) are
under the age of 19, the 0-19 population has remained stable for the last five years,
but is projected to begin a slow decline in overall numbers over the next five, which
will continue over the following 10-20 years.
•
The borough has a contrast of an urban north-west and a rural south-east and has
the highest car ownership of the London Boroughs.
•
Just under 90% of Bromley is White-British, but there has been and continues to be a
slow and steady increase in the numbers of ethnic minorities, the largest increases
predicted for Black African and Black Caribbean, predominately in the north-west of
the borough.
•
Broadly speaking Bromley has two main areas of deprivation: Penge & Anerley and
The Crays, although there are small pockets elsewhere in the borough, namely
Mottingham and Bromley Common.
Back to General Demographics
CYP Research & Statistics
Strategic Planning Areas
•
There are nine Strategic Planning Areas (SPAs)
within Bromley. Strategic Planning Areas are a
grouping of two or three adjacent wards, to help
plan need and services for areas within the
borough. The SPAs are comprised as follows:
Bromley Ward
SPA
Clockhouse
1
Crystal Palace
1
Penge & Cator
1
Copers Cope
2
Kelsey & Eden Park
2
Hayes & Coney Hall
3
Shortlands
3
West Wickham
3
Bickley
4
Bromley Town
4
Plaistow & Sundridge
4
Bromley Common & Keston
5
Farnborough & Crofton
5
Petts Wood & Knoll
5
Chislehurst
6
Mottingham & Chislehurst North
6
Cray Valley East
7
Cray Valley West
7
Chelsfield & Pratts Bottom
8
Orpington
8
Biggin Hill
9
Darwin
9
Back to General Demographics
CYP Research & Statistics
Population Estimates and Projections
• The Greater London Authority population estimates of 2009 show a
small growth in the overall population of Bromley, before steadily
declining over the next fifteen to twenty years. Within the age
groupings, most follow the trend of small growth in numbers before
declining, although there are fluctuations within that. The age ranges
of 90+ is set to show continual increase over the coming years.
• Males, by and large, tend to outnumber females by a small degree
across the age ranges of 0-24, with women outnumbering men in
Bromley within all other age brackets. The male/female ratio is of is
decidedly more marked in the later years of 70+.
• Looking at the near future and a projected population structure
pyramid for 2013 shows a fairly balanced split of male to female, with
the skew towards females from around the age groups of 50 onwards.
Next
CYP Research & Statistics
Population Estimates and Projections
• 2009 Round GLA
Demographic Projections: Low
• Projected population
structure of Bromley, 2013
90+
996
85-89
1,756
80-84
7,165
55-59
11,392
40-44
11,288
20-24
15-19
0-4
15000
8,769
10,810
11,971
11,310
11,651
11,735
10,508
10,957
9,574
9,380
8,418
8,164
8,658
10-14
5-9
8,091
9,940
45-49
8,439
8,126
8,160
9,082
Persons
Males
Females
Persons
Males
Females
Persons
0-4
9,635
9,076
18,711
9,675
9,118
18,793
8,846
8,336
17,182
5-9
8,462
8,516
16,978
9,082
9,124
18,206
9,009
9,069
18,078
10-14
8,924
8,692
17,616
8,126
8,160
16,286
8,856
8,872
17,728
15-19
9,202
8,980
18,182
8,658
8,439
17,097
7,818
7,845
15,663
20-24
8,056
7,789
15,845
8,418
8,164
16,582
8,098
7,793
15,891
25-29
9,859
10,502
20,361
9,574
9,380
18,954
9,613
9,264
18,877
30-34
11,603
11,764
23,367
10,508
10,957
21,465
9,945
9,532
19,477
35-39
11,590
11,661
23,251
11,651
11,735
23,386
10,256
10,575
20,831
40-44
11,942
12,373
24,315
11,288
11,310
22,598
11,305
11,389
22,694
45-49
10,479
11,264
21,743
11,392
11,971
23,363
10,919
10,978
21,897
50-54
8,941
9,343
18,284
9,940
10,810
20,750
10,899
11,515
22,414
55-59
8,211
8,848
17,059
8,325
8,769
17,094
9,331
10,218
19,549
60-64
8,180
8,814
16,994
7,397
8,091
15,488
7,633
8,151
15,784
65-69
5,617
6,434
12,051
7,165
7,981
15,146
6,627
7,479
14,106
70-74
4,857
6,032
10,889
4,806
5,860
10,666
6,268
7,373
13,641
75-79
4,331
5,636
9,967
3,989
5,204
9,193
4,070
5,179
9,249
80-84
2,924
4,456
7,380
3,178
4,525
7,703
3,082
4,337
7,419
85-89
1,665
3,220
4,885
1,756
3,056
4,812
2,048
3,279
5,327
650
1,848
2,498
996
2,401
3,397
1,332
2,867
4,199
145,128
155,248
300,376
145,924
155,055
300,979
145,955
154,051
300,006
90+
9,124
9,675
10000
Females
7,981
8,325
50-54
25-29
5,860
7,397
60-64
Males
2018
5,204
4,806
65-69
30-34
4,525
3,989
70-74
Age
2013
3,056
3,178
75-79
35-39
2,401
2008
9,118
5000
0
Males
5000
10000
15000
Total
Females
© GLA 2009 Round Population Projections
Back to General Demographics
CYP Research & Statistics
Births
• After a dip in the number of births within Bromley between the late
1990s and early 2000s, the number of births has been increasing,
substantially in 2006, 2007 and 2008. The birth rate was set to begin
decreasing again (although still remain above the levels of 19982003), but the latest birth statistics do not show the predicted decline
in projected 2009 births.
© GLA 2009 Round Population Projections
4,100
4,000
Projected Live Births
3,900
3,800
3,700
3,600
3,500
3,400
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
• A similar, if less pronounced, trend can be seen in comparison with
neighbouring boroughs and the pan-London figures.
Next
CYP Research & Statistics
Births 2
• The increases in births in 2006-2008 has a potential knock-on
effect; with the population projection for under 24s showing
that while overall numbers are declining over time, there are
distinct peaks as the large birth cohort gets older. This will
have an impact on services and planning, as at various times a
larger number of children will need to factored into school
places planning, after school activity provision. The high
numbers will also have a statistically likely increase in number
of children in care, or with disabilities.
20,000
5-9
10-14
15-19
20-24
16,000
2031
2030
2029
2028
2027
2026
2025
2023
2024
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2008
2009
2007
2006
2005
2004
14,000
2003
2011
2016
in 2020
in 2025
in 2031
0-4
2002
0-4s peaking in
5-9s peaking in
10-14s peaking
15-19s peaking
20-24s peaking
18,000
2001





Projected population changes
for 0-24 age groups
• The projected peaks are:
© GLA 2009 Round Population Projections
Next
CYP Research & Statistics
Births 3
•
Using a combination of actual school roll data for 2007-10 and the GLA 2009 Round Population Projections to
generate a projection of the school roll shows that the births peak hasn’t reached reception age yet. School years
2010/11 and 2011/12 will continue to see a rise in reception numbers peaking in 2012/13 – with possibly more than
200 more pupils than now, before falling back to current (2009/10) levels for 2017/18 and beyond.
•
Year
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
2007
3,165
3,186
3,232
3,305
3,295
3,385
3,343
3,536
3,560
3,590
3,531
3,420
2,594
1,965
69
2008
3,300
3,157
3,171
3,221
3,288
3,301
3,365
3,468
3,540
3,513
3,523
3,442
2,638
2,068
45
2009
3,399
3,330
3,154
3,186
3,202
3,293
3,303
3,565
3,466
3,515
3,474
3,447
2,817
2,174
25
2010
3,442
3,423
3,307
3,149
3,194
3,196
3,272
3,498
3,563
3,438
3,491
3,358
2,935
2,310
55
2011
3,545
3,480
3,409
3,311
3,147
3,195
3,190
3,467
3,510
3,549
3,417
3,374
2,859
2,407
41
2012
3,675
3,584
3,466
3,413
3,308
3,151
3,188
3,386
3,481
3,503
3,536
3,303
2,874
2,345
43
2013
3,817
3,716
3,570
3,470
3,410
3,310
3,146
3,382
3,405
3,474
3,496
3,417
2,817
2,357
42
2014
3,704
3,859
3,700
3,573
3,465
3,412
3,303
3,340
3,399
3,404
3,468
3,378
2,922
2,311
42
2015
3,630
3,745
3,843
3,703
3,568
3,466
3,406
3,504
3,357
3,396
3,403
3,351
2,894
2,399
42
2016
3,566
3,670
3,729
3,846
3,698
3,569
3,459
3,616
3,521
3,357
3,393
3,289
2,872
2,378
44
2017
3,506
3,605
3,655
3,732
3,841
3,699
3,561
3,671
3,636
3,518
3,356
3,279
2,823
2,360
44
2018
3,439
3,545
3,590
3,657
3,727
3,841
3,691
3,780
3,690
3,635
3,514
3,243
2,813
2,321
43
2019
3,366
3,477
3,530
3,592
3,652
3,727
3,832
3,918
3,799
3,689
3,634
3,396
2,783
2,312
43
2020
3,296
3,403
3,462
3,532
3,588
3,652
3,718
4,068
3,938
3,798
3,687
3,512
2,913
2,288
43
Source: CYP Research & Statistics
School Roll Projections for January Term 2010 using 200710 actual roll data and GLA 2009 Round Population
Projections
Pupil Age
For secondary schools, the current Year 7 numbers of around 3,500 are likely to be maintained until 2015 before the
rise starts: 3,600 by 2016, 3,800 by 2018, and 4,000 by 2020. This would give a total age 11-15 school population
in 2020 of 19,000 compared with the 17,350 presently.
Back to General Demographics
CYP Research & Statistics
Ethnic Population Changes
•
Bromley currently has a resident ethnic population (across all ages) of around 12%,
this is set to steadily rise over time to approximately 16% by 2031.
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
The ethnic minority ratio is slightly higher
than the overall ration in the resident under 25 age population, but schools within the
borough are open to children outside of the borough. Comparing the percentage of
ethnicity of school age children within Bromley
against the percentage ethnicity spread from
the School Censuses 2006-2010 shows that the
schools have a significantly higher proportion
of ethnic pupils – around 10% larger.
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
2015
White
2017
2019
2021
2023
2025
2027
2029
2031
Ethnic Minorities
12,000
10,000
Black Caribbean
Black African
8,000
Black Other
Indian
6,000
Pakistani
Bangladeshi
Chinese
4,000
Other Asian
Other
2,000
•
20
31
20
29
20
27
20
25
20
23
20
21
20
19
20
17
20
15
20
13
20
11
20
09
20
07
20
05
20
03
20
01
0
Like the resident ethnic population, the ethnic population within schools has been
steadily increasing over recent years, increasing by around 6% in both primary and
secondary schools between 2006 and 2010.
Next
© GLA 2008 Round Population Projections
•
Within that increase, the biggest
predicted rise is in Black Caribbean
and Black African residents.
% of population
•
CYP Research & Statistics
Ethnic Population Changes
•
Looking geographically at the School Census 2010 data
shows that schools in the Strategic Planning Areas in
the North of the borough bordering on Lewisham,
Southwark, Greenwich and Lambeth (SPA1; SPA2;
SPA4; and SPA6) have a higher proportion than others,
particularly at Primary School level which would suggest
an increase in ethnic families with young children using
Bromley schools.
Primary Schools
Ethnic Pop. In Schools
Ethnic Pop. In Borough
Number
Percentag
e
Number
Percentag
e
2006
5068
22.0%
3737
14.3%
2007
5368
23.7%
3902
15.1%
2008
5759
26.0%
4092
15.9%
2009
6294
27.9%
4329
16.9%
2010
6572
28.5%
4569
17.8%
Secondary Schools
•
Strategic Planning Area 1, comprising of Crystal Palace,
Penge and Cator and Clock House wards, has an almost
equal ratio ethnic/white school population, with the
proportion of ethnic pupils actually slightly greater than
white pupils.
100%
100%
9%
90%
24%
36%
80%
21%
31%
25%
29%
70%
60%
60%
50%
91%
76%
30%
23%
Ethnic Pop. In Borough
Number
Percentag
e
Number
Percentag
e
2006
4014
18.9%
3810
14.2%
2007
4313
20.1%
3900
14.5%
2008
4699
21.8%
3956
14.8%
2009
5030
23.1%
3997
15.0%
2010
5418
24.5%
3860
14.7%
11%
17%
26%
25%
80%
51%
64%
24%
31%
70%
40%
13%
90%
20%
Ethnic Pop. In Schools
79%
69%
75%
71%
80%
Based on 2006-2010 School Censuses and estimates
taken from 5-year age groupings of GLA 2008 Round
Ethnic Group Projections.
56%
50%
87%
40%
69%
30%
49%
20%
20%
10%
10%
0%
76%
77%
SPA4
SPA5
89%
83%
74%
75%
SPA7
SPA8
44%
0%
SPA1
SPA2
SPA3
SPA4
SPA5
White Pupil%
SPA6
SPA7
SPA8
SPA9
Ethnic Pupil%
Ethnic Population of Primary Schools by Strategic
Planning Area – Source: School Census
SPA1
SPA2
SPA3
White Pupil%
SPA6
SPA9
Ethnic Pupil%
Ethnic Population of Secondary Schools by Strategic
Planning Area– Source: School Census
Back to General Demographics
CYP Research & Statistics
The last census showed a very clear distinction in terms of
where couple families and lone parent families were located
within the borough.
Lone Parent families living in Bromley by
ward - 2001
•
Source: 2001 Census
Looking at the Bromley Household Survey 2009, just under a third
(30.5%) of all the households in Bromley have children.
Couple families living in Bromley by ward
- 2001
•
Source: 2001 Census
Families and Dependents
Household Types In Bromley - Source: Bromley
Household Survey 2009
•
In a direct inversion to the proportion of couple families by ward, the 2001 Census shows lone
parent families are predominately located in the Crystal Palace, Penge and Cator and Mottingham
and Chislehurst North wards, and also in Clock House, Plaistow and Sundridge, Bromley Common
and Keston, Cray Valley East and Cray Valley West.
•
Although the time elapsed since the 2001 Census means we have to treat this information with a
little caution, the spread does tally up with areas of deprivation within the borough.
Back to General Demographics
CYP Research & Statistics
Deprivation
•
The Government Office for London IMD (Index of Multiple Deprivation) measures
deprivation based on the following seven domains:







income deprivation
employment deprivation
health deprivation and disability
education, skills and training deprivation
barriers to housing and services
living environment deprivation, and
crime
Index of Multiple Deprivation 2007 (Source:
DCLG)
Data shown at lower level super output area.
Higher levels of deprivation shown in darker
shading.
•
Bromley ranks at 228th place out of 354 Councils for the levels of disadvantage
(where 1 is the most deprived and 354 the least deprived).
•
However, the positive mean figure hides some stark contrasts between areas within the
borough. One of Bromley’s wards, Penge and Cator, ranks among the top 10% of wards in
England experiencing areas of high child poverty, whilst five others of Bromley’s 22 wards
contain areas ranked among the 20% most deprived in England. These wards are: Crystal
Palace; Mottingham and Chislehurst North; Bromley Common and Keston; Cray Valley East;
and Cray Valley West.
•
The main areas of deprivation are clustered together in the north-west and north-east
corners of the borough.
Next
CYP Research & Statistics
Deprivation 2
•
Meanwhile, Petts Wood and Knoll, Shortlands and West Wickham are among the least
deprived in London.
•
It is worth noting that the areas showing as most deprived are also the areas with the
greatest volume of social housing in the borough which is where we might expect a higher
concentration of the issues associated with deprivation. They are therefore more likely to
register as more deprived in relation to other areas of the borough.
•
Comparing the multiple indices of deprivation scores of 2004 and 2007 provides a change
over time. The map on the next slide shows that change, with the red and orange areas
experiencing an increase in their level of deprivation, and the blue areas a decrease in their
deprivation.
•
The map broadly shows that the northern half of the borough (much of which were the
most deprived areas already) has suffered from an increase in deprivation, with the biggest
increases in the areas noted before: Penge and Cator; Crystal Palace; Mottingham and
Chislehurst North; Bromley Common and Keston; Cray Valley East; and Cray Valley West.
•
For a few selected areas (numbered 1-7), a breakdown of the deprivation indices to show
what aspects have changed have been included. Chart 6 shows an area where there has
been improvement across all the deprivations domains except income. Conversely, chart 5,
shows a decline in all domains except crime.
•
It should be noted that differences in how information was collected between the 2004 and
2007 deprivation scores means that we must view the changes with that in mind, however
comparing future scores would be invaluable in identifying any trends.
Next
Crime
675
2,564
-1,934
-1,222
-251
-3,164
-6,415
1,628
Living
Environment
Crime
Living
Environment
Crime
Barriers to
Housing &
Services
Education &
Training
Health
&Disability
-2,105
Barriers to
Housing &
Services
-290
Education &
Training
Employment
Income
Health
&Disability
Living
Environment
Crime
Barriers to
Housing &
Services
Education &
Training
-5,178
Health
&Disability
Employment
Income
Income
-5,683
Employment
-2,559
Living
Environment
-2,735
Barriers to
Housing &
Services
Education &
Training
Health
&Disability
Employment
Income
3,727
Living
Environment
Crime
Barriers to
Housing &
Services
Education &
Training
Health
&Disability
Employment
Income
-2,777
Living
Environment
2,807
Crime
Barriers to
Housing &
Services
Education &
Training
Health
&Disability
Crime
Living
Environment
-1,969
Employment
Barriers to
Housing &
Services
Education &
Training
Health
&Disability
-206
Income
Income
Employment
CYP Research & Statistics
Deprivation 3
784
1,728
-124
-38
1,213
1,674
-3,447
-841
-3,881
-5,090
612
1,074
-815
-1,849
-773
-6,220
1,674
-220
4,711
-1,455
-2,242
-5,391
147
984
1,509
-39
5,597
2,457
3,580
Change in Index of Multiple
Deprivation 2004-2007 (Source
DCLG)
-3,331
Data shown at lower-level super
output area.
Back to General Demographics
CYP Research & Statistics
Key Messages for Bromley
Key Messages for Bromley
•
A spike in number of births in 2008/09 (a 12% increase from 2005) and a ‘rolling’ peak in
the age ranges following over the next twenty years (despite overall 0-19 population
declining).
•
The 15-19 age group population is projected to fall by around 12% until 2018 before
returning to just above current numbers in 2025.
•
A steady projected increase in the borough ethnic population, and continued increase in
school ethnic population especially in north-west corner.
•
Increased levels of deprivation in Penge, Crystal Palace, The Crays, and several pockets
around the borough, such as Bromley Common and Biggin Hill.
Actions for Bromley
•
The ‘rolling’ population peak will impact on all services as it moves through the age ranges:
school place planning, extended school services, youth service, post-16 services. We would
also expect the birth rate peak to bring with it a potential increase in SEN numbers and
referrals to Social Care.
•
Increased deprivation is likely to increase service needs within those areas and may
negatively impact on associated deprivation problems.
Back to General Demographics
CYP Research & Statistics
Attainment and Achievement for All
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Summary
Achievement
Foundation Stage
Key Stage 1
Key Stage 2
Key Stage 4
Post 16: Level 3
Male Role Models
Satisfaction with Park and Play Areas
Youth Elections and Youth Council
Key Messages for Bromley
Back to Needs Assessment Themes
CYP Research & Statistics
Summary
•
Bromley has nearly 47,000 pupils attending its 95 schools (74 primary, 17
secondary, and 4 special)
•
In addition there are 796 Early Years providers with 6,415 part-time
equivalent free early years education places for 3 and 4 year olds.
•
Attainment across all stages of the national curriculum is equal or above
the national average and higher than neighbouring boroughs.
•
64% of the pupils surveyed in the TellUs 4 survey thought they would go
onto university or higher education, more than the 62% nationally and the
61% in statistical neighbours.
•
Attainment for SEN pupils in Bromley is just above the national average,
but just below our statistical neighbours.
•
However Bromley scored noticeably lower in those Years 8 and 10 pupils
surveyed in receiving help and advice from their teachers, college teachers,
Connexions and the online prospectus in planning what to do after Year 11
(which was the biggest worry in those years).
Back to Attainment and Achievement for All
CYP Research & Statistics
Achievement
•
Bromley has good attainment ratings, with scores either comparable or
above the national average. There is considerable interest in Bromley
Schools, particularly at secondary level from out of Borough, In fact out of
Borough represent 20% of pupils in Bromley’s secondary schools.
•
Against statistical neighbours Bromley performs a little less favourably,
ranking in the bottom half at Key Stage 2 (2009 results) - in comparison
with ten other local authorities.
•
Performance was notably improved at Key Stage 4 (in comparison with the
statistical neighbours again) being among the top scorers, and middling at
A-level.
•
Please see the Vulnerable Groups categories at the last section for data on
attainment by ethnicity, Special Education Needs and Looked After
Children.
•
Please note with regard to the following tables that National average scores
are shown in brackets.
Back to Attainment and Achievement for All
CYP Research & Statistics
Foundation Stage
Foundation Stage Results – All LA Maintained Schools and Private, Voluntary and Independent Settings
2007
2008
2009
2007
2008
2009
2007
2008
2009
% 6+ Points
% 6+ Points
% 6+ Points
% 8+ Points
% 8+ Points
% 8+ Points
% 9 Points
% 9+ Points
% 9+
Point
s
87
86
89
47
45
43
9
8
8
(87)
(88)
(89)
(49)
(-)
(-)
(15)
(13)
(12)
83
81
83
32
28
27
8
5
4
(80)
(82)
(83)
(35)
(-)
(-)
(13)
(11)
(10)
Dispositions and Attitudes
Social Development
78
78
79
42
40
39
9
6
6
(76)
(77)
(79)
(43)
(-)
(-)
(12)
(11)
(9)
Emotional Development
Language for Communication and
Thinking
80
79
81
36
32
32
8
6
6
(78)
(79)
(82)
(36)
(-)
(-)
(11)
(10)
(9)
66
67
72
29
29
28
10
10
8
(65)
(71)
(74)
(29)
(-)
(-)
(13)
(13)
(12)
71
71
73
28
26
26
7
6
6
(69)
(70)
(72)
(29)
(-)
(-)
(9)
(8)
(7)
62
60
65
24
21
19
4
3
3
(58)
(61)
(62)
(23)
(-)
(-)
(6)
(6)
(5)
Reading
Writing
90
88
89
42
39
35
16
15
11
(87)
(88)
(88)
(43)
(-)
(-)
(18)
(17)
(15)
Numbers as Labels and for Counting
74
72
73
28
25
23
7
4
4
(70)
(72)
(73)
(28)
(-)
(-)
(7)
(6)
(6)
Calculating
82
82
84
33
29
23
8
6
5
(80)
(81)
(82)
(32)
(-)
(-)
(10)
(8)
(7)
79
78
82
38
32
32
4
2
1
(77)
(79)
(81)
(36)
(-)
(-)
(4)
(4)
(3)
89
89
89
53
48
43
8
5
5
(88)
(89)
(90)
(50)
(-)
(-)
(10)
(9)
(7)
Source: CYP Research & Statistics
Linking Sounds and Letters
Shape, Space and Measures
Knowledge and Understanding of the
World
Physical Development
79
78
82
27
25
25
4
2
2
(78)
(79)
(80)
(29)
(-)
(-)
(5)
(4)
(4)
Creative Development
Next
CYP Research & Statistics
Foundation Stage 2
NI 92: Narrowing the gap between the lowest achieving 20% in the Early Years Foundation Stage Profile
Outer
Bromley
Hertford-shire
Trafford
Sutton
Stock
port
Bedford Borough
Bracknell Forest
Solihull
West Sussex
Hamp-shire
Bath & North East
Somer
set
percentage gap between
lowest
achieving
20% in the
FSP
33.7
31.4
31.3
32.0
30.7
35.9
28.6
30.1
34.1
32.5
32.4
% 6+ points
Bromley
Hertford-shire
Trafford
Sutton
Stock
port
Bedford Borough
Bracknell Forest
Solihull
West Sussex
Hamp-shire
Bath & North East
Somer
set
DA
89
92
94
93
90
89
91
93
89
91
89
90
89
SD
83
87
91
90
86
84
85
89
82
85
86
84
83
33.9
Outer
Lo
nd
on
National
ED
79
83
86
87
80
76
80
86
77
79
80
80
79
81
86
89
88
86
83
82
90
82
85
84
81
82
LSL
72
82
82
79
77
77
79
83
72
73
79
73
74
R
73
79
82
82
78
72
73
84
72
73
77
71
72
W
65
70
71
72
66
62
62
74
61
61
67
64
62
NLC
89
92
92
93
92
89
91
94
88
90
90
89
88
C
73
80
80
82
78
74
79
83
75
76
79
73
73
SSM
84
88
90
86
86
84
85
89
84
84
85
80
82
KU
82
85
88
90
85
80
80
89
80
83
82
80
81
PD
89
92
94
94
91
89
93
93
88
89
89
91
90
CD
82
84
87
90
86
78
81
90
80
82
83
81
80
SUM
1041
1100
1126
1126
1081
1037
1061
1137
1030
1051
1070
1037
1035
Disposition and Attitudes
SD
Social Development
NLC
C
SSM
Numbers as labels for counting
Calculating
ED
Emotional Development
LCT
Language for communication and thinking
KU
Knowledge and Understanding
LSL
Linking sounds and letters
PD
Physical Development
Reading
CD
Creative Development
Writing
SU
M
Sum of Percentages
W
34.2
National
LCT
DA
R
Lo
nd
on
Shape Space and measures
Source: CYP Research & Statistics
•
At the Early Years Foundation Stage, Bromley performed better in the key
indicators (percentage of children achieving 78 points or more including at least 6
points in Personal, Social and Emotional Development and Communication,
Language and Literacy; narrowing the gap), than national and outer London.
However, Bromley is slightly below average when compared with its statistical
neighbours.
Back to Attainment and Achievement for All
CYP Research & Statistics
Key Stage 1
Average Point Score at Key Stage 1
Average Point Score
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
16.0
16.3
16
15.9
16.0
15.9
16.1
(15.7)
(15.8)
(16)
(15.6)
(15.6)
(15.6)
(15.7)
14.8
15.1
15
14.6
14.5
14.5
14.6
(14.6)
(14.6)
(15)
(14.4)
(14.2)
(14.2)
(14.3)
16.5
16.3
16
16.0
16.1
16.0
16.1
(16.3)
(16.2)
(16)
(15.8)
(15.8)
(15.8)
(15.7)
16
15.5
15.6
15.5
15.7
N/A
N/A
(16)
(15.4
(15.3)
(15.3)
(15.3)
Source: CYP Research & Statistics
Reading
Writing
Mathematics
Overall APS
2009 Key Stage 1 – Statistical Neighbours
% Level 2+
Bath & North East
Somers
et
Outer
Bromley
Hertford-shire
Trafford
Sutton
Stock-port
Bedford Borough
Bracknell Forest
Solihull
West Sussex
Hamp-shire
Reading
87
89
89
88
87
87
86
91
86
88
88
85
84
7
Writing
83
86
85
85
84
84
82
88
84
85
84
81
81
10
Mathematics
91
92
92
93
91
91
92
94
91
92
92
90
89
8
London
National
Bromley Rank (/11)
Bromley
Hertford-shire
Trafford
Sutton
Stock-port
Bedford
Borough
Bracknell Forest
Solihull
West Sussex
Hamp-shire
Bath & North East
Somerset
Outer
London
National
Bromley Rank
(/11)
Reading
29
35
31
34
29
31
27
42
28
34
31
25
26
8
Writing
14
20
16
17
14
17
10
24
15
14
14
12
12
7
Mathematics
24
29
26
31
24
24
20
36
25
26
26
21
21
8
% Level 3+
Source: CYP Research & Statistics
•
At Key Stage 1, Bromley is above the national and outer London averages in all subjects, at the expected
and higher levels. When compared with the statistical neighbours, Bromley has slightly lower average
results than most.
Back to Attainment and Achievement for All
CYP Research & Statistics
Key Stage 2
Average Point
Score
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
English
28.0
27.6
28
28.2
28.1
28.0
27.8
Mathematics
27.6
27.7
27
27.8
27.6
27.8
28.0
Science
29.3
29.2
29
29.3
29.2
29.0
29.1
English,
Mathematics &
Science
28.3
28.2
28
28.4
28.3
28.3
28.3
(27.4)
(27.5)
(28)
(27.8)
(27.9)
(27.9)
(27.9)
Source: CYP Research & Statistics
Average Point Score at Key Stage 2
2009 Key Stage 2 - Statistical Neighbours
% Level 4+
Outer
Bromley
Hertford- shire
Trafford
Sutton
Stock-port
Bedford Borough
Bracknell Forest
Solihull
West Sussex
Hamp-shire
Bath & North East Somerset
English
83
85
87
84
84
76
83
85
80
82
86
81
80
Mathematics
80
82
85
82
82
75
77
84
78
81
85
80
79
Science
89
91
92
91
92
84
90
93
88
91
92
88
88
English & Mathematics
75
77
81
77
77
67
72
79
71
75
79
73
72
%Level 5
Bromley
Hertfordshire
Trafford
Sutton
Stockport
Bedford
Borough
Bracknell
Forest
Solihull
West
Sussex
Hampshire
Bath &
North
East Somerset
London
Outer
London
National
National
English
34
33
38
36
34
24
29
35
29
32
37
30
29
Mathematics
39
40
45
42
39
29
34
41
33
37
37
38
35
Science
47
49
53
48
49
40
44
52
42
47
48
44
43
English & Mathematics
25
24
29
27
25
15
20
26
19
23
24
22
20
Source: CYP Research & Statistics
•
At Key Stage 2, Bromley is again above the national and outer London averages in all subjects, at the
expected and higher levels. Bromley is in line with its statistical neighbours at the excepted level and
slightly above at the higher level (level 5).
Back to Attainment and Achievement for All
CYP Research & Statistics
Key Stage 4
GCSE
2007
2008
2009
71
73
78
(60)
(65)
(70)
55
60
63
(46)
(48)
(51)
408.7
413.5
442.4
(374.3)
(392.8)
(419.8)
Source: CYP Research & Statistics
Key Stage 4 Results
5 A* - C
5 A*-C inc English and
Mathematics
Average Points Score (uncapped)
New Points
2009 Key Stage 4 - Statistical Neighbours
Bromley
Hertfordshire
Trafford
Sutton
Stockport
Bedford
Borough
Bracknell
Forest
Solihull
West
Sussex
Hampshire
Bath & North
East
Somerset
Outer
London
National
% 5+ A* to
C
78
74
80
85
69
68
64
78
68
70
76
73
70
% 5+ A* to
G
94
95
96
96
94
94
96
96
94
95
96
95
94
442.4
432.8
454.5
482.0
390.8
437.4
393.0
441.8
401.9
424.6
431.6
426.3
419.8
Capped
average
point
score
Source: CYP Research & Statistics - *Maintained Schools only - All Pupils
•
At Key Stage 4, Bromley is also above the national and outer London averages.
When compared with statistical neighbours, Bromley is ranked second out of 11
local authorities with similar characteristics in the 5 A*-C measure and third out
of 11 in terms of the Average Points Score.
Back to Attainment and Achievement for All
CYP Research & Statistics
Post 16: Level 3
2006
2007
2008
2009
683.6
680.6
678.0
701.2
(694.5)
(706.6)
(719.2)
(720.2)
728.2
741.5
748.6
733.8
(735.5)
(743.0)
(757.9)
(755.7)
707.6
713.5
715.2
718.6
(716.4)
(731.1)
(739.8)
(739.1)
Boys
Girls
All pupils
Source: CYP Research & Statistics
Post 16: Level 3 Results
2006-2009 Post 16: Level 3 results (or equivalent) - statistical neighbours
Average
Point Score /
Candidate
Bromley
Hertfordshire
Trafford
Sutton
Stockport
Bedford
Borough
Bracknell
Forest
Solihull
West
Sussex
Hampshire
Bath & North
East
Somerset
Outer
London
National
2006
714.5
695.3
825.0
816.2
690.5
n/a
633.2
625.2
679.0
766.3
671.3
n/a
721.5
2007
717.4
713.6
817.2
829.1
701.9
n/a
671.7
648.5
685.0
783.0
684.5
n/a
731.1
2008
715.2
732.4
859.8
837.5
741.9
n/a
684.3
670.5
693.0
796.4
712.9
704.2
739.8
2009
718.6
730.9
832.0
865.5
736.6
697.5
700.4
662.4
697.0
787.0
694.5
709.5
739.1
Source: CYP Research & Statistics
• At Level 3 (post 16), Bromley is below the National average for points
scores, but above outer London. Bromley is ranked sixth out of 11
when compared with its statistical neighbours.
Back to Attainment and Achievement for All
CYP Research & Statistics
Male Role Models
•
A survey in 2008 by the Training and Development Agency of boys aged 5 to 11 showed that 51% thought
that having a male teacher would make them better behaved, and 42% said it would make them work
harder. Although no formal research to correlate the data has been done, it is thought that a lack of male
role models in primary school could result in disciplinary problems for boys later in life, and possible higher
risk of crime and drug abuse in their teens.
20.0%
•
Across Bromley primary schools, 11.6% of teachers are
men and of Bromley’s 78 primary schools, 18 have no
male teachers, while two have no male member of staff
at any level. Another 18 of the primary schools have only
one male primary school teacher.
15.0%
10.0%
18.3%
16.0%
11.6%
5.0%
10.0%
Percentage of male primary school teachers
Source: CYP PDS Report 26 February 2009; The
Balance of Males and Females in the Teaching
Workforce
9.0%
8.5%
0.0%
Southwark
England
Bromley
Croydon
Kingston
Sutton
•
Although the number of males in Bromley primary schools is below the national average, it is comparable
with statistical neighbours and similar authorities. Croydon, Kingston and Sutton with fewer males than
Bromley, however Southwark is higher at 18.3% than both Bromley and the national average.
•
In the 14 of Bromley’s secondary schools the percentage of male to female teachers was 34% - below the
national average of 42%.
•
There was variation between same sex and mixed schools however:



In mixed schools – average of 41% male teachers
In boys’ schools – average of 50% male teachers
In girls’ schools – average of 22% male teachers
Back to Attainment and Achievement for All
CYP Research & Statistics
Satisfaction with Park and Play Areas
•
There are 66 council managed playgrounds based within parks in Bromley. Park and
play areas are seen as key areas for social interaction with other children, a
contributing aspect to exercise and healthy living and a place for community
cohesion.
Area
•
•
Safe, stimulating play facilities are seen
as a way of encouraging these outcomes
and the satisfaction of those play areas is
measured from a question in the TellUs
survey.
Bromley scored 53.2% satisfaction,
which equalled the pan-London average.
Although this is significantly greater than
the England average of 44.7%, and scored
better than statistical neighbours, Bromley,
often considered a leafy, green borough
ranked behind a number of Inner London
boroughs such as Southwark, Lambeth and
Camden.
% Children and Young People’s Satisfaction
with parks and play areas (NI 199)
Barnet
56.3%
Bexley
44.0%
Bromley
53.2%
Croydon
46.8%
Greenwich
48.7%
Kingston upon Hull
41.4%
Lewisham
54.3%
Reading
46.1%
Richmond-upon-Thames
64.9%
Southwark
54.8%
Sutton
50.0%
Trafford
47.6%
London
53.2%
England
44.7%
Satisfaction with Park and Play Areas – 2009
Source: Centre for Excellence and Outcomes in CYP
Next
CYP Research & Statistics
60.0%
53.2%
44.7%
50.0%
40.0%
30.0%
20.0%
10.0%
Bexley
England
Hillingdon
Havering
Hounslow
Croydon
Barking and Dagenham
Greenwich
Waltham Forest
Sutton
Tower Hamlets
Enfield
Harrow
Islington
London
Bromley
Lewisham
Wandsworth
Hammersmith and Fulham
Lambeth
Southwark
Newham
Redbridge
Barnet
City of London
Hackney
Westminster
Kingston-upon-Thames
Kensington and Chelsea
Ealing
Merton
Brent
Haringey
Camden
0.0%
Richmond-upon-Thames
Elements of this appears to be
reflected in the 2008 More Place
Survey of Bromley where the top
mention under issues that need the
most improvement locally was
activities for teenagers at 48%, higher
than the 39% Outer London average.
70.0%
Source: Centre for Excellent Outcomes
•
Satisfaction with Park and Play Areas – 2009
Satisfaction with Park and Play Areas 2
•
Conversely parks and open spaces were not seen as in need of much improvement
locally.
•
For those respondents with children, 40% felt parks and open spaces were important
as opposed to 32% of those without children.
•
It would suggest that while the parks themselves are not an issue, activities and how
those parks are used to provide satisfactory play areas for young people is in need of
development.
•
Teenagers hanging around the streets was seen to be a greater issue in Community
Area 4 (incorporating Chislehurst and Mottingham & Chislehurst North), with 55%
rating it a problem as opposed to 44% in Bromley generally.
Back to Attainment and Achievement for All
CYP Research & Statistics
Youth Elections and Youth Council
•
Youth Elections are promoted to schools for approximately 4 months, and all schools are encouraged to
sign up to participate.
•
The Youth Council currently has 52 members, with representative for four portfolios: Children & Young
People; Safety; Environment; and Leisure.
•
The elections take part place in schools and local youth centres. In 2010, 7,077 young people (aged
between 11-19) in the borough voted in elections for Bromley Youth Council and 9 schools took part in the
elections (the proportion of voters being between the ages of 12 and 15).
•
2010 is the second year of borough based youth elections and there has been an increase in participation
by schools.
•
A manifesto event took place in March 2010, attended by 38 young people from 7 secondary schools in
Bromley. Three issues were identified at the manifesto day for the Youth Council to focus its work upon:



Youth Democracy
Youth Crime
Lack of activities for young people
•
The Youth Council have a political ‘Speed-dating’ event with elected Bromley Councillors planned for June
and a debate with the Councillors planned for October.
•
The TellUs 4 survey showed only 4% of pupils surveyed used their youth council or youth parliament as a
means to communicate ideas that are important to them. This is in line with both national and statistical
neighbours but shows ample scope to champion that route.
Back to Attainment and Achievement for All
CYP Research & Statistics
Key Messages for Bromley
Key Messages for Bromley
•
Addressing how to narrow the gap in attainment between the top performing pupils and lowest,
particularly in reference to the attainment of vulnerable groups.
•
Attendance is not hitting the targets Bromley has set itself consistently.
•
The birth rate spike of 2008/09 will impact on school place provision planning, with the increased numbers
entering primary school in 2011 and secondary school in 2020.
•
Low number of male teachers at primary school level and a lack of male role models.
•
School, Connexions and College support for Years 8 and 10 in helping them plan for post Year-11 was not
viewed favourable in the TellUs 4 survey.
Actions for Bromley
•
A need to look at the current support mechanisms for helping young people plan to achieve their ambitions
and a look into the positive impacts that support can have on teenage conceptions and anti-social
behaviour.
•
A plan to narrow the gap in attainment, particularly with vulnerable groups will impact positively upon life
opportunities.
•
There is a need to develop research into specific groups such as young carers and travellers.
•
There is a need to focus on delivering constant attendance.
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CYP Research & Statistics
Ensuring the Health and Wellbeing of Children
Young People and their Families
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2009 Health Profile
Lifestyle
Play Outside
Air Quality
Infant and Perinatal Mortality
Low Birth Weight
Breastfeeding
Obesity and Healthy Eating
Immunisation
Sexual Health
Teenage Conceptions and Terminations of Pregnancy
Emotional Health
Child and Adolescent Mental Health Services
Key Messages for Bromley
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CYP Research & Statistics
2009 Health Profile
•
Bromley’s Health Profile 2009, gives a snapshot of health within the borough.
•
The health of Bromley residents is overall better than the England average:
•

Over the last ten years, rates of early deaths from cancer, heart disease and stroke have all declined
and remained significantly better than the England average.

Infant mortality and teenage pregnancy rates are lower than the England average.

Healthy eating among adults higher than England average and Bromley has low childhood obesity
rates.

Life expectancy for both men and women being higher than the England average.

Terminations of pregnancy are under the London average for under-18, but are higher for the under16s.

TellUs 4 indicates that emotional health for Bromley children and young people has improved and is
inline with national and statistical neighbours.
However, for the 7% of Bromley residents who live in areas classified as being in the
most deprived fifth of areas in England, life expectancy is substantially lower than for
those living in the least deprived areas; with the difference in male life expectancy
being almost nine years.
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Lifestyle
•
The results from the TellUs 4 survey, while a small sample population
across all children and young people, give an indication into the lifestyle
with regards to health for Bromley with:

53% of pupils surveyed walking to school

The majority of pupils surveyed felt their school was helpful in providing information
and advice on healthy food and lifestyles, alcohol, drugs and smoking. Although their
schools were not seen to be as helpful on the issue of sex and relationships.

52% of pupils surveyed had never had an alcoholic drink.

77% of pupils surveyed had never smoked, and a further 10% had only ever tried
smoking once.

88% of pupils surveyed had never taken drugs.

Only 8% did not eat any of the recommended ‘five a day’ fruit and vegetables.
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Play Outside
Looking at the 2007/08 data for percentage of school children who spend a
minimum of two hours each week on high quality physical education and school
sport within and beyond the curriculum, Bromley scores 89.7% which is just
shy of the England average of 90%, but in comparison with other London
Boroughs, Bromley is ahead of the London average and positioned in the
middle.
Source: Department for Children,
Schools and Families. 2007/08
95
89.7
90
Hackney
Greenwich
Harrow
Redbridge
Brent
Havering
Camden
Tower Hamlets
Lewisham
Wandsworth
Barnet
Southwark
Croydon
Hillingdon
Bexley
Islington
London
Lambeth
Bromley
Haringey
Hounslow
Kingston upon Thames
Hammersmith and Fulham
Merton
Barking and Dagenham
Newham
Waltham Forest
Sutton
Kensington and Chelsea
Westminster
Ealing
80
Richmond upon Thames
85
Enfield
Percentage of active children
•
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Air Quality
As we would expect with a urban and densely populated north and a rural south,
air quality with the Borough of Bromley is split into bands, with the urban north
significantly worse that the southern rural regions.
Index of Deprivation 2007 – Combined Air Quality Index
© Crown Copyright. All rights reserved. London Borough of Bromley
Lic. No. 100017661 2008.
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•
•
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A report on the estimation of mortality impacts of particulate air pollution in
London, commissioned by the Mayor of London and released in July 2010 looked
at the pollution levels of all the wards in the London Boroughs.
The study looked at pollutant concentration within each ward, and calculated
the potential increase in deaths attributable to pollution per year, based on their
population and death rate.
Bromley had both the lowest score (3 in Darwin ward) and the highest (with three
of the four 12s recorded across Greater London). With the exception of the London
Borough of Havering, no other borough has such a consistently high number of
premature deaths attributable to pollution across its wards.
Despite being an outer London borough with large areas of parkland, Bromley has
the highest car ownership of all London Boroughs which may well account for the
high figures.
Bromley Ward
Bickley
Attributa
ble
Deaths
10
Biggin Hill
7
Bromley Common & Keston
10
Bromley Town
11
Chelsfield & Pratts Bottom
11
Chislehurst
11
Clockhouse
12
Copers Cope
11
Cray Valley East
11
Cray Valley West
12
Crystal Palace
8
Darwin
3
Farnborough & Crofton
10
Hayes & Coney Hall
11
Kelsey & Eden Park
11
Mottingham
North
7
&
Chislehurst
Orpington
11
Penge & Cator
12
Petts Wood & Knoll
10
Plaistow & Sundridge
11
Shortlands
7
West Wickham
10
Total
217
Source: Report on estimation of mortality impacts of
particulate air pollution in London
•
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Infant and Perinatal Mortality
•
Infant deaths are deaths under 1 year, per 1000 live births. Perinatal deaths are deaths
occurring after 22 weeks of pregnancy, during childbirth and up to 7 complicated days of
life.
7
Rate per 1000 live births
6
5
Outer London Infant
Mortality Rate
4
Bromley Infant Mortality
Rate
3
2
Rate of Infant Mortality per 1000 live births
1
Source: ONS (London DataStore)
0
2002
2004
2005
2006
2007
The table shows that infant mortality in Bromley has generally been lower than other outer
London Boroughs, and the table below shows that Bromley has a lower perinatal mortality
rate than outer London.
10
9
8
Rate per 1000 live births
•
2003
7
Outer London Perinatal
Mortality Rate
6
Bromley Perinatal Mortality
Rate
5
4
3
Rate of Perinatal Mortality per 1000 live births
2
Source: ONS (London DataStore)
1
0
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
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Low Birth Weight
•
Low birth weight is known to be linked to potential future physical and mental
health issues in later childhood and adulthood.
•
Low birth weight is defined in this dataset as less than 2,500 grams and the
percentage is the percentage of live births under this weight for all births where
the birth weight was stated.
10%
8%
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
Bexley
7.5%
6.3%
7.1%
6.8%
8.2%
7.2%
7.8%
7.3%
6.3%
Bromley
6.7%
6.5%
7.1%
6.7%
7.7%
7.9%
7.2%
7.1%
6.7%
Croydon
7.6%
8.9%
8.8%
8.1%
9.1%
7.8%
8.5%
8.6%
8.1%
Greenwich
7.8%
10.0%
8.4%
8.6%
8.2%
7.4%
6.9%
7.5%
6.5%
Lewisham
9.4%
8.1%
8.6%
9.0%
8.8%
8.6%
9.3%
8.2%
8.0%
Southwark
9.5%
9.3%
9.8%
9.7%
9.4%
8.2%
7.9%
8.2%
8.3%
London
8.0%
8.2%
8.1%
8.2%
8.1%
7.9%
8.0%
7.9%
7.5%
England
7.6%
7.6%
7.6%
7.7%
7.7%
7.6%
7.5%
7.6%
7.2%
6%
4%
2%
0%
•
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
Source: Vital Statistics Output Branch (VSOB),
Office for National Statistics
Not smoking during pregnancy and good nutrition help to reduce the number of
low birth weight babies.
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Breastfeeding
•
Research has shown that breastfeeding has a positive effect on a child’s health, and
can provide a good early start in life.
•
It must be noted in looking at the table below that there is an issue in accurately
recording the prevalence of breastfeeding in Bromley. Improvements in capturing
the information accounts for the dramatic increase over the time period shown, and
continual monitoring of that recording process is required.
NI 53 - Breastfeeding coverage (%)
2008 Q2
2008 Q3
2008 Q4
2009 Q1
Barnet
28.1%
43.9%
62.4%
87.7%
72.0%
Bedford Borough
70.8%
82.3%
80.6%
93.1%
N/A
Bromley
17.9%
33.0%
43.3%
62.8%
64.4%
Croydon
90.2%
87.5%
96.7%
99.3%
99.6%
Greenwich
28.5%
71.5%
73.1%
99.0%
86.9%
Kingston upon Hull
84.8%
94.8%
99.9%
84.8%
99.5%
Lewisham
N/A
87.4%
97.6%
88.9%
95.5%
Reading
50.1%
50.0%
55.8%
55.1%
52.8%
Richmond-upon-Thames
N/A
16.3%
77.3%
88.4%
62.8%
Southwark
85.0%
82.9%
76.6%
86.3%
92.0%
Sutton
80.7%
63.8%
N/A
64.3%
73.6%
Trafford
99.4%
99.7%
100%
99.7%
99.1%
Source: Centre for Excellence and
Outcomes in CYP
2008 Q1
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Obesity and Healthy Eating
•
Obesity in children is linked to a number of serious health problems including asthma and joint problems
and further health complications later in life such as heart disease, cancer, high blood pressure, type-2
diabetes and severely obese individuals are likely to die on average 11 years earlier.
•
There are also emotional health consequences such as low self-esteem, low educational attainment and
possible social exclusion.
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Bromley has made tackling childhood obesity a target and in recent years the percentage of children aged
4-5 (R) considered to be obese has been falling, from 8.4% in 2007 to 7.3% in 2008.
•
In comparison to other London Boroughs, Bromley has the second lowest percentage of reception year
children considered to be obese with only Richmond-upon-Thames having lower percentage. Bromley is
also considerably lower than both the London and England averages. Nationally, urban areas have higher
rates of obesity than rural areas, and London has the highest rate at Strategic Health Authority level.
7.3
Bromley
Richmond upon Thames
Sutton
Kingston upon Thames
Barnet
Hillingdon
Harrow
England
Bexley
Camden
Haringey
Havering
Greenwich
Wandsworth
Islington
Waltham Forest
Brent
Lewisham
Ealing
Merton
London
Croydon
Lambeth
Redbridge
Westminster
Kensington and Chelsea
Hammersmith and Fulham
Enfield
Hounslow
Tower Hamlets
Barking and Dagenham
Hackney
0
Newham
5
Percentage of children in reception year
(ages 4-5) considered to be obese.
9.6
Source: Association of Public Health
Observatories (London DataStore)
10.9
10
Southwark
Percentage of obese 4-5 year olds
15
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CYP Research & Statistics
Obesity and Healthy Eating 2
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In 2007/2008 the overall rate of obesity in children in Reception Year in Bromley was 7.9% compared to
10.9% for London and the national average of 9.6%.
National Child Measurement Programme 2008/09 Results
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•
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In 2008/09, the Year 6 rate of obesity for
Bromley is 16%, compared to 21.3% in
London and 18.3% nationally.
Bromley has lower levels of obesity in both
Year 1 and Year 6 compared to London as
the table above shows, however prevalence
remains higher in Bromley for overweight
(not obese) children in Year 6 than London
and England levels.
Associated
National Indicator
NI 55
NI 56
Category
% Overweight
Yr1
% Obese Yr1
% Overweight
Yr6
% ObeseYr6
Bromley
12.3%
7.3%
15.5%
16%
London
12.4%
11.2%
14.7%
21.3%
England
13.2%
9.6%
14.3%
18.3%
Part of ensuring healthy eating and contributing to
reducing obesity is the national scheme to encourage
families to have school lunches. School lunch provision
now has to follow strict criteria with regards to serving
meals that have a high nutrition value. The following
table shows that Bromley is very successful compared
to most comparative authorities for take up at
secondary school level. Further work needs to be done
at primary school level.
Source: National Child Measurement Programme
Take-up of school lunches 2009
Primary Schools
Secondary Schools
Barnet
46.1%
36.0%
Bromley
37.0%
43.4%
Croydon
33.5%
21.7%
Greenwich
N/A
48.2%
Southwark
58.7%
N/A
Sutton
38.8%
37.1%
Reading
N/A
41.4%
England
39.3%
35.1%
Source: Centre for Excellence and Outcomes In CUP
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Immunisation
•
Immunising children against infectious diseases is one of the most important and effective Public Health interventions that can be made. In
order to maximise this protection, it is essential to achieve and maintain a high level of vaccine uptake (coverage).
•
The World Health Organisation recommends 95%
coverage for all childhood vaccination. Uptake
rates for childhood immunisation in Bromley are
not currently at this level.
•
A health equity audit aimed to identify how fairly
services or other resources in Bromley are
distributed in relation to the health needs of
different groups and areas.


Uptake rates by ward showed that the
lowest rates could be found in Penge and
Cator, Mottingham and Chislehurst North.
The 5 highest deprivation scores were found
in Cray Valley East, Mottingham and
Chislehurst North, Penge and Cator, Cray
Valley West, and Crystal Palace.
2009-10 Immunisation
Coverage
Average immunisation rates across vaccines for
Immunisation rate for children aged 1 who have completed immunisation for diphtheria,
Bromley
tetanus, polio, pertussis, Haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib) - (i.e. all 3 doses of
85.9%
Source: Department Of Health (London DataStore)
DTaP/IPV/Hib)
Vaccination
Immunisation rate for children aged 2 who have completed immunisation for pneumococcal
infection (i.e. received Pneumococcal booster) (PCV)
91.5%
Immunisation rate for children aged 2 who have completed immunisation for Haemophilus
influenzae type b (Hib), meningitis C (MenC) - (i.e. received Hib/MenC booster) -
82.9%
Immunisation rate for children aged 2 who have completed immunisation for measles,
mumps and rubella (MMR) - (i.e. 2 doses of MMR
81.2%
Immunisation rate for children aged 5 who have completed immunisation for diphtheria,
tetanus, polio, pertussis (DTaP/IPV) (i.e. all 4 doses)
Immunisation rate for children aged 5 who have completed immunisation for measles,
mumps and rubella (MMR) (i.e. 2 doses
73%
70.7%
Immunisation rate for girls aged around 12-13 years who have completed immunisation for
human papillomavirus vaccine (HPV) (i.e. all 3 doses)
* Data available Sept
2010
Immunisation rate for children aged 13 to 18 who have been immunised with a booster dose
of tetanus, diphtheria and polio (Td/IPV
* Data available Sept
2010
Source: Bromley PCT
•
The conclusions of the audit highlight a geographical variation in childhood vaccination uptake rates across wards in Bromley. This variation
becomes more prominent for some of the later childhood vaccinations such as the 4 in 1 booster and Pneumococcal vaccinations.
•
In addition to looking at ways of improving data collection and recording on the Child health database, the findings of the health equity audit
will be incorporated into a demand and capacity exercise to help focus further activity to improve immunisation uptake.
•
Plans are underway to target children missing the 4 in 1 booster and PCV vaccinations. Initiatives include detailed work on “call and recall”
activity in General Practices (which has already started), and looking at immunisation campaigns in more deprived areas.
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Sexual Health
•
Chlamydia is the most commonly diagnosed sexually transmitted infection in the UK, affecting both men
and women. Most people who have Chlamydia will have no symptoms and without a test probably not
know anything is wrong.
•
Left untreated Chlamydia can cause infertility and long term pelvic pain and there has been a nationwide
push to have regular annual tests for under 25s who are sexually active.
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Bromley has been performing comparatively in the screening of under 25 years for Chlamydia and even
has the second highest level of testing in Quarter 2, 2009 in comparison with neighbouring boroughs and
statistical neighbours.
Level of testing of Chlamydia in under 25 year olds (%)
Area
Q01 2008
Q02 2008
Q03 2008
Q04 2008
Q01 2009
Q02 2009
Barnet
2.2
2.7
4.0
17.8
5.9
11.4
Bedford Borough
2.2
1.4
3.6
16.3
-
8.1
Bexley
2.3
2.6
5.7
16.4
6.7
14.6
Bromley
2.6
3.9
4.0
16.8
5.8
16.4
Croydon
2.1
2.3
3.6
17.5
3.3
7.3
Greenwich
3.9
5.5
10.4
25.9
7.0
13.3
Kingston upon Hull
5.2
4.9
5.6
22.0
5.4
11.0
Lewisham
8.0
8.6
8.5
35.2
9.0
18.8
Reading
2.7
1.9
1.9
8.9
2.3
5.1
Richmond-upon-Thames
2.0
2.0
5.3
17.9
4.5
10.5
Southwark
5.0
5.4
5.6
22.2
5.2
13.5
Sutton
0.8
1.1
3.9
12.3
3.2
5.8
Trafford
3.2
3.8
5.0
18.7
5.1
10.6
England
-
-
-
-
-
8.1
Source: Centre for Excellence and Outcomes In CUP
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Teenage Conceptions and Terminations of
Pregnancy
•
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
Bexley
37.2
42.7
34.7
43.9
40.1
41.2
38.3
35.7
36.9
37.6
45.0
Bromley
32.1
33.8
35.1
33.5
35.3
39.3
31.1
36.1
30.9
34.0
39.2
Croydon
59.1
58.2
56.9
54.3
58.6
52.7
55.9
56.1
56.9
54.6
55.5
Greenwich
62.6
71.8
56.1
67.8
62.8
70.6
66.0
65.7
57.0
65.2
66.7
Lewisham
80.0
75.4
67.3
65.4
75.7
74.4
70.6
71.0
68.2
70.6
68.7
Southwark
87.2
84.3
83.0
83.8
82.5
89.6
86.7
71.8
75.0
76.7
68.0
Inner London
66.8
65.4
66.2
65.5
68.7
65.3
60.3
55.7
56.0
56.4
52.5
Outer London
42.2
42.1
41.5
41.9
44.1
44.5
43.1
40.8
40.3
40.3
40.7
England and Wales
47.1
45.1
44
42.7
42.9
42.4
41.8
41.4
40.9
41.9
40.6
Source: Teenage Pregnancy Unit and Office of
National Statistics.
Teenage conception rates in Bromley are lower than both the national and London average,
however teenage pregnancy rates within the borough over time not improving.
Borough comparison of rate of Teenage
Pregnancy per 1000
•
The rate (number of conceptions per 1000
females in the age 15-17 group) for quarter
2 of 2008 is 42.0 compared to 36.6 in the
same period in 2007. Of these conceptions,
46% of them ended in termination (based on
local data sources) – newer statistics from
the performance report show 58% in
under-18 terminations.
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CYP Research & Statistics
Teenage Conceptions and Terminations of
Pregnancy
•
Some of the main risk factors associated with teenage conceptions are as follows: early onset of
sexual activity, poor contraceptive use, alcohol and substance misuse, low educational attainment,
disengagement from school and leaving school at 16 with no qualifications.
•
There are ‘hotspots’ within the borough where more intense targeted work is required. The local
data has been divided into postcode areas and the highest teenage conception rates are in BR1,
BR5, BR6 and SE20. These postcodes cover central Bromley, Orpington, The Cray’s and Penge;
combined these areas account for over 63% of the total conceptions for the borough.
•
The conception rate for under 16’s in Bromley has seen a slow but steady decrease since 2004
when the aggregated rate was 6.9 per 1000. This rate was 5.6 per 1000 in 2007 which is the
latest under 16 data available.
Termination of Pregnancy by Postcode April
2008/December 2008
Source: Commissioning Termination of
Pregnancy Service – Bromley PCT, 2009
•
Likewise looking at terminations of pregnancies by postcode, BR5 and SE20, The Cray’s and Penge
have twice as many terminations as other parts of the borough. It is worth noting at this stage
however that The Cray’s and Penge are where a large portion of social housing is in Bromley, and
therefore likely areas for a single teenage mother to be housed. The information on postcodes
does not therefore reflect where in the borough the girl may have first originated from.
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Emotional Health
•
A child’s emotional well being, and the quality of their relationships with significant others is
known to have an effect later in life. National Indicator 50 looks to gauge an indication of this
broad theme through four questions/statements included into the TellUs surveys
•
The four statement are:




•
•
I have one or more good friends
When I’m worried about something I can talk to my mum
or dad
When I’m worried about something I can talk to my friends
When I’m worried about something I can talk to an adult other
than my mum or dad
The National Indicator is based on the percentage
of children with good relationships, defined as
answering ‘true’ to having one or more good friends
AND answering ‘true’ to at least two of the statements
about being able to talk to their parents, friends or
another adult.
Bromley has a low value under this indicator,
significantly lower than both neighbouring boroughs
and statistical neighbours, and below both the London
and National averages.
% Emotionally healthy children (NI
50)
Area
Barnet
62.6%
Bexley
63.0%
Bromley
56.5%
Croydon
61.3%
Greenwich
60.2%
Kingston upon Hull
67.7%
Lewisham
57.8%
Reading
62.3%
Richmond-upon-Thames
56.4%
Southwark
60.3%
Sutton
58.5%
Trafford
62.1%
London
61.1%
England
63.3%
Emotional Health – 2009
Source: Centre for Excellence and Outcomes in CYP
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Child and Adolescent Mental Health
•
The skills and attributes associated with positive mental health lead to improved
physical health, a better quality of life, reduced crime, higher educational attainment
and economic wellbeing. Conversely poor mental health is associated with a range of
health damaging behaviours such as smoking, drug and alcohol use, unwanted
pregnancy and poor diet.
•
A survey carried out in 2004 by the Office for National Statistics reported that
nationally one in ten children aged between 5-16 had a clinically recognisable mental
disorder. Four percent of children had an emotional disorder (3% anxiety and 1%
depression) and six percent had a conduct disorder.
•
Higher rates of mental health and behaviour problems have been shown to be linked
to areas of greatest deprivation and in lone parent, low income and low educational
qualification families.
•
Mental health problems are also shown to affect boys to a greater degree than girls.
5-16 years
17-19 years
Any disorder
4,360
880
Emotional disorders (4%)
1,750
350
Conduct disorders (6%)
2,620
530
870
180
Hyperkinetic disorders (2%)
Estimated prevalence of mental health problems in Bromley
Source: CAMHS Health Needs Assessment (2007-2010)
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Key Messages for Bromley
Key Messages for Bromley
•
Inequality in life expectancy and potentially other health issues exist between areas of affluence and areas of deprivation.
•
Communicating and collecting breastfeeding and immunisation information and data has been improving but still has scope for
further improvement.
•
Having began with a comparatively low baseline, under-18 conception rates have not made very little improvement over time,
and suggest that is little that can be done to further reduce this rate.
•
Under-16 pregnancy termination rates while decreasing still remain high relative to London Boroughs.
•
Bromley has low rates of obesity at both Reception Year and Year 6, however Bromley does have a higher rate of overweight
children at Year 6 than the London or National average which could develop into weight related health problems in the years
following.
•
TellUs 4 indicated that Bromley children and young people were not getting enough support at school with regards to sex and
relationships.
Actions for Bromley
•
A need to look into the underlying issues affecting areas of deprivation.
•
With the lose of the TellUs survey Bromley will have to identify a new way to monitor and obtain the state of children and young
people’s motional well being. Without this it will be very hard to measure performance against this priority.
•
There is a need to build on the existing relationship with the CAMHS team to further explore where issues occur both
geographically and demographically, and to aid early intervention and targeting hard to reach groups.
•
There is a need to closely monitor cross-cutting issues such as exposure to Domestic Violence, bullying and children and young
people as victims of crime, all of which contribute to emotional well-being.
Back to Ensuring Health and Wellbeing
CYP Research & Statistics
Keeping Children Safe
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Summary
Safer Transport Team
School Travel Plans
Police Initiatives
Police Statistics
Road Safety
Domestic Violence
Safeguarding Referrals
Key Messages for Bromley
Back to Needs Assessment Themes
CYP Research & Statistics
Summary
• The Bromley pupils surveyed in the TellUs 4 survey were less worried
about being bullied than the National result, but were more worried
about being a victim of crime and additionally fewer pupils felt safe
travelling to and from school.
• Bromley launched its second Volunteer Police Cadet Unit for 14-to-19
year olds in April 2010 taking the number of cadets on the borough to
102, the highest in London.
• There has been an increase in young people as victims of crime from
2008/09 to 2009/10 but a large reduction in the number of young
people accused of perpetrating incidents.
• Safeguarding referrals have increased dramatically since 2007 (higher
than National figures) and are set to continue at the higher rate.
• Numbers of Child Protection Plans and Looked After Children have also
increased alongside this.
Back to Keeping Children Safe
CYP Research & Statistics
Safer Transport Team
•
Associated with the Police Safer Neighbourhood Teams, the Bromley Safer Transport Team (STT) has been
heavily involved in educating young people and tackling youth Anti-Social Behaviour (ASB) on the
transport network since its infancy in February 2006.
•
The STT have used the CCTV on buses to work with schools in identifying any individuals involved in ASB
so they can be targeted directly with parental letters and logged onto the STT ‘traffic light database’.
Repeat offenders may have their free travel privileged removed.
1st Notice
150
10
10
2nd Notice
3rd Notice
Safer Transport Team ‘Traffic Light’ Offenders April
2009 to June 2010
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
Source: Bromley Safer Transport Team
•
Between April 2009 and June 2010, the Safer Transport Team dealt with 170 youths. 20 of these came to
notice a 2nd time and 10 of which a 3rd time. These latter 10 would have been put forward for
consideration of Acceptable Behaviour Contracts (ABCs).
•
The STT has directly targeted schools that bus drivers have identified as troublesome, particularly those
near the border in the north-east of the borough.
•
The STT has worked with over 6,000 pupils as part of their Junior Citizenship programme to educate them
on issues of personal travel safety and crime.
•
The STT have also worked with Bromley Mencap to gain a better understanding of children and young
people with learning disabilities and have taken part in developing a ‘safety card’ for special needs
students to present to a bus driver or officer if they become or fear becoming a victim.
Back to Keeping Children Safe
CYP Research & Statistics
School Travel Plans
•
A school travel plan is a package of measures put together to reduce
congestion and increase safety on the school run. This is done by
encouraging pupils and parents to consider more sustainable alternatives
such as walking, car sharing, public transport or cycling to school. This can
include lots of different “soft” and “hard” measures such as walking
incentive schemes such as the Walk on Wednesday Scheme, Walking
Buses, car sharing initiatives and engineering measures.
•
Two studies have been completed: one at the Hawes Down schools and one
at the Highfield schools where the average car journey to school is ¾ mile.
•
In the first year of operation of the walking bus scheme, an estimated
5254 car trips and 3940 miles were saved at Hawes Down and an
estimated 2,840 car trips and 1,870 miles at Highfield.
•
Since school travel plans were introduced in 2004 there has been a 15%
reduction in car use, a figure that is growing term on term.
Back to Keeping Children Safe
CYP Research & Statistics
Police Initiatives
•
There are a number of initiatives in place by the Police in Bromley
focussing on supporting young people including Safer Schools Officers
attached to all Bromley Secondary Schools and both Further Education
Colleges. Other initiatives include MetTrack, KICKZ and PUNCHZ, where
disenfranchised young people are diverted from crime and encouraged to
participate in athletics, football or boxing.
•
The Bromley Volunteer Police Cadets are now the largest in London, with
102 cadets. Part of the recruitment process identifies young people who
may be involved in unlawful activity and would benefit from the scheme.
The VPC also links in with other uniformed youth organisations such as:
Sea Cadets; Army Cadet Force; Boys and Girls Brigade etc…
•
Cop Trumps is a recent initiative piloted at Hayes Primary School where
children are to collect a set of 30 cards featuring pictures and descriptions
of the officers from the Safer Neighbourhood Team.
•
Each officer will carry their own card and children will be encouraged to
find and speak to officers - either when out patrolling the ward or when
visiting the school - to collect their card.
Back to Keeping Children Safe
CYP Research & Statistics
Police Statistics
•
Knife Crime involving youths (under 18) made up 1.2% of all offences in 2009. After previously seeing a
rise in the number of recorded youth knife crime offences, this has fallen between 2008/09 and 2009/10
by the magnitude of around 25%.
•
Youth Violence made up 2.8% of all offences in 2009 and have seen rates fall between 2008/09 and
2009/10 by approximately 10%.
•
Serious Youth Violence made up 0.9% of all offences in 2009 and between 2008/09 and 2009/10 has seen
a very slight increase of approximately 5%.
120
200
•
40
2008/09 Youth Victim Total: 1,679
2008/09 Youth Accused Total: 887
2009/10 Youth Victim Total: 1,862 (an
increase of 10.9%)
2009/10 Youth Accused Total: 598 (a
reduction of 32.6%)
Mar-10
Mar-09
Feb-10
Jan-10
Feb-09
Jan-09
Dec-09
Nov-09
Dec-08
Nov-08
Oct-09
Oct-08
Sep-09
Sep-08
Aug-09
Jul-09
Aug-08
Jul-08
Jun-09
Jun-08
May-09
Apr-09
0
May-08
Mar-10
Mar-09
Feb-10
Jan-10
Feb-09
Jan-09
Dec-09
Nov-09
Dec-08
Nov-08
Oct-09
Oct-08
Sep-09
Sep-08
Aug-09
Jul-09
Aug-08
Jul-08
Jun-09
Jun-08
May-09
Apr-09
May-08
Apr-08
0
80
Apr-08
40
Source: Bromley Police
Youth Victims
80
Youth Accused
120
Source: Bromley Police
160
Youth on youth crime where both the victim and the suspect were under-18 accounted for 14.4% of
offences in 2009/10 involving young people.
Back to Keeping Children Safe
CYP Research & Statistics
Road Safety
•
Young people represent a large proportion of those involved in road traffic
incidents. The 10-14 year old age range is showing the greatest numbers
across the age bands with regard to pedestrian casualties and injuries. The age
group also has the second highest rate of injuries and casualties in cycle related
incidences.
•
Younger, less experienced, drivers are another high risk group and it is the age
ranges of 15-19 and 20-24 that also show among the highest rate of casualties
and injuries in motorcycle and car incidents.
Pedestrian casualties by age LBB 2004-06
Source: Bromley’s Road Safety Plan for
2008/09
Motorcyclist casualties by age, LBB 2004-06
Age of Drivers involved in Serious or Fatal
Accidents, LBB 2006
Source: Bromley’s Road Safety Plan for
2008/09
Source: Bromley’s Road Safety Plan for
2008/09
Back to Keeping Children Safe
CYP Research & Statistics
Domestic Violence
•
Research has shown that domestic violence has many negative impacts beyond the immediate act
of violence towards women. Children in households where domestic violence occurs may be more
at risk to abuse themselves and may develop emotional or behavioural issues and find it hard to
form meaningful relationships in the future.
•
The Equality and Human Rights Commission’s map of gaps, showing the number of Violence
Against Women services serving areas of the UK, indicate that Bromley is in line with vast swaths
of the country but provides less services than some other London boroughs – particularly the
Inner London boroughs.
•
While reported Domestic Violence incidences
have fallen by 12% in the last year (1,837
reports in 09/10 compared to 2,089 reports in
08/09) Police data shows that, in Bromley,
between May 2007 and May 2010 there were
930 Domestic Violence incidents where a
young person (under the age of 18) was
present. The figures also show a steady
increase in those incidents over the 3 year
period.
389
200
324
217
100
0
The increase can not be viewed on face value
2007-08
2008-09
as one aspect for the increase in the increase
in and accuracy of recording children and young people since the Baby P incident.
Source: Bromley Police
300
Number of Domestic Violence incidents where
Police recorded a young person present at
scene
•
400
2009-10
Back to Keeping Children Safe
CYP Research & Statistics
Safeguarding Referrals
• The death of Baby Peter in August 2007 has led to a marked
increase in the number of referrals made to Childrens’ Social
Services across the UK and Bromley is no exception.
 The number of Initial Contacts to social services increased from 4,990 in
2007 to 6,109 in 2009. (An increase of 22.4%)
 The number of assessments covering child protection (S47 assessment)
increased from 428 in 2007 to 504 in 2009 (an increase of 17.8%).
 The number of children subject to a Child Protection Plan increased from
141 in 2007 to 167 in 2009 (an increase of 18.4%).
 There were 182 new Child Protection Plans issued during 2008/09,
compared to 141 in each of the previous 2 years (an increase of 29.1%).
Next
CYP Research & Statistics
Safeguarding Referrals 2
The following graphs illustrate the trend of increasing numbers across safeguarding of
children services.
Graph showing the monthly number of referrals to CYP over the past three years
450
400
Monthly number of referrals to
CYP over 2007-2010
350
250
200
150
100
50
D
ec
-0
7
Fe
b08
Ap
r08
Ju
n08
Au
g08
O
ct
-0
8
D
ec
-0
8
Fe
b09
Ap
r09
Ju
n09
Au
g09
O
ct
-0
9
D
ec
-0
9
Fe
b10
Ap
r10
Ju
n10
Graph showing the number of children subject to a child protection plans each month
Number
over the past three
years of children subject to a
months of the year
child
protection plan each month 2007-2010
300
200
150
100
Number
after after
in each
Graph
showingof
thechildren
number oflooked
children looked
in eachmonth
month over the past 3 years
50
2007-2010
300
0
290
7
Ju
n07
Au
g07
O
ct
-0
7
D
ec
-0
7
Fe
b08
Ap
r-0
8
Ju
n08
Au
g08
O
ct
-0
8
D
ec
-0
8
Fe
b09
Ap
r-0
9
Ju
n09
Au
g09
O
ct
-0
9
D
ec
-0
9
Fe
b10
Ap
r-1
0
Ju
n10
Source: CYP Research & Statistics
280
270
260
250
240
230
220
210
7
Ju
n07
Au
g07
O
ct
-0
7
D
ec
-0
7
Fe
b08
Ap
r-0
8
Ju
n08
Au
g08
O
ct
-0
8
D
ec
-0
8
Fe
b09
Ap
r-0
9
Ju
n09
Au
g09
O
ct
-0
9
D
ec
-0
9
Fe
b10
Ap
r-1
0
months of the year
Number of children
number of Children subject to a CP plan
250
Ap
r-0
Source: CYP Research & Statistics
Ap
r-0
-0
7
-0
7
ct
O
Ju
Au
g
n07
0
-0
7
Number of referrals
300
Ap
r
•
Source: CYP Research & Statistics
months of the year
Back to Keeping Children Safe
CYP Research & Statistics
Key Messages for Bromley
Key Messages for Bromley
•
Increased numbers of young people as victims may require an increase in promoting safety among children and looking at the
support system for young victims of crime.
•
Perception of violence and crime for children and young people is greater than actual crime, but highlights again the crosscutting nature of emotional well-being.
•
The number of children present at incidents of domestic violence in Bromley has increased over the past 3 years, this is partly
due to improved recording but highlights an area where closer monitoring of this would be required.
•
Ensure that agencies work effectively together to support safeguarding.
•
An above average ethnic minority cohort present in Bromley Looked After Children
•
A sustained increase in the number of safeguarding referrals, assessments and child protection plans since 2007.
•
The birth spike and rolling peak in the age groups will mean that statistically we can potentially expect an further increase in
the number of safeguarding referrals, protection plans and entering care.
Actions for Bromley
•
There will be a need to manage the consequences of increased referrals and assessments prompted by a greater public
awareness of the issue of safeguarding.
•
Planning and preparation will be required to deal with the projected increase the birth spike will bring to the number of children
who enter the safeguarding system.
•
There will be a need to monitor the effectiveness of early intervention through processes such as the Common Assessment
Framework (CAF), and to breakdown the numbers and origin of referrals for measuring incidents such as Domestic Violence.
Back to Keeping Children Safe
CYP Research & Statistics
Promoting Positive Behaviour of
Children and Young People
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Summary
Attendance
Absence
Truancy
Exclusions
Youth Offending
Reoffending
Substance Misuse
Bullying
Key Messages for Bromley
Back to Needs Assessment Themes
CYP Research & Statistics
Summary
•
Bullying was less of an issue for the Bromley pupils responding to the TellUs 4 survey than both
nationally and for statistical neighbours; 59% stating they had not been bullied, and 21% worry
about being bullied, however 41% of a pupil population of 47,000 is a large number of pupils
experiencing bullying in real terms.
•
A high number of pupils did not feel that their schools were good at dealing with bullying.
Furthermore, the TellUs 4 survey indicated that those Bromley pupils surveyed did not feel their
school had listened their ideas over what was important to them, with Bromley below both
national and statistical neighbours on the issue.
•
Absence rates in Bromley continue to improve but are behind target; however persistent absence
in secondary schools is on target.
•
Bromley has made progress on reducing the level of permanent exclusions.
•
First time entrants to the youth justice system in Bromley over 2008 and 2009 has fallen by
almost half, but reoffending rates are slightly higher than the target rate.
•
Young Offenders in Education, Employment or Training remains short of the 90% target.
•
Bromley Drug Action Team has seen an increased take up of treatment services particularly among
targeted ethnic minorities.
•
TellUs 4 indicates that participation by Bromley pupils in positive activities is at the national
average, but behind our statistical neighbours.
Back to Promoting Positive Behaviour
CYP Research & Statistics
Attendance
• Attendance has been pretty constant across 2003 -2008 in both
Primary and Secondary school. Special schools however have
shown a decrease in attendance.
Bromley Attendance
2003/04
2004/05
2005/06
2006/07
2007/08
Primary Attendance
95%
94%
94%
95%
95%
Secondary Attendance
92%
92%
92%
92%
93%
Special Attendance
90%
86%
87%
82%
-
Total Attendance
93%
93%
93%
93%
94%
Source: CYP Research & Statistics
Back to Promoting Positive Behaviour
CYP Research & Statistics
Absence
Absence rates still remain
an issue for Bromley, with
Primary, Secondary and
Special all showing
increased absence rates
before rates for the
academic year 2008/09
fall back to about the
same as the 2003/04
figures, showing there has
been very little progress
over the past six years.
2003/04
2004/05
2005/06
2006/07
2007/08
2008/09
4.90
5.39
5.42
4.81
4.60
4.55
(5.08)
(5.00)
(5.30)
(4.66)
(4.69)
0.60
0.53
0.68
0.67
0.71
(0.41)
(0.43)
(0.45)
(0.52)
(0.57)
5.50
5.93
6.10
5.48
5.31
(5.49)
(5.43)
(5.76)
(5.18)
(5.26)
Primary Authorised
0.71
Primary Unauthorised
Pupil Absence Rates - % half days missed – (national average in brackets)
•
5.27
Primary Total Absence
6.80
7.04
6.85
6.75
6.00
(6.92)
(6.58)
(6.82)
(6.36)
(5.87)
5.89
Secondary Authorised
1.00
1.13
1.16
1.46
1.33
(1.13)
(1.23)
(1.42)
(1.50)
(1.47)
7.83
8.17
8.01
8.21
7.32
(8.05)
(7.81)
(8.24)
(7.86)
(7.34)
9.40
11.50
10.54
13.88
(8.64)
(8.61)
(8.79)
(8.55)
0.60
2.40
2.20
3.64
(1.86)
(1.87)
(1.80)
(2.07)
1.27
Secondary Unauthorised
7.17
Secondary Total Absence
9.96
Special Authorised
(8.41)
2.10
Special Unauthorised
10.00
13.88
12.74
17.52
(10.50)
(10.48)
(10.59)
(10.62)
(2.16)
12.06
Special Total Absence
(10.57)
5.80
6.20
6.12
5.79
5.31
(5.96)
(5.77)
(6.05)
(5.49)
(5.28)
0.78
0.94
0.91
1.03
1.02
(0.76)
(0.81)
(0.92)
(1.00)
(1.01)
6.58
7.14
7.03
6.82
6.32
(6.72)
(6.58)
(6.96)
(6.49)
(6.29)
5.24
Bromley Authorised Absence
0.99
Bromley Unauthorised Absence
6.23
Bromley Total Absence
Source: CYP Research & Statistics
Back to Promoting Positive Behaviour
CYP Research & Statistics
Truancy
Truancy Initiative: patrols undertaken between September 2008 – July 2009
Description
Number
Number of patrols
40
Number of pupils stopped
292
Number of those attending Bromley schools
202 (69.2%)
Number of those attending out of Borough schools
90 (30.8%)
Primary aged pupils
44 (15.1%)
Secondary aged pupils
248 (84.9%)
Of those stopped, number considered to have authorised absences
59 (20.2%)
Of those stopped, number considered to have unauthorised absences
(true truants)
233 (79.8%)
Source: CYP Research & Statistics
Back to Promoting Positive Behaviour
CYP Research & Statistics
Exclusions
Fixed Exclusions
2003/04
2004/05
0.52
0.68
2006/07
2007/08
0.93
1.26
(1.11)
(1.06)
* see notes
(0.97)
(1.04)
7.54
7.50
4.13
4.02
4.55
(8.66)
(9.94)
(10.40)
(10.83)
(9.78)
35.67
24.41
77.41
46.67
(18.56)
(18.31)
3.17
3.28
(5.66)
(5.14)
Secondary Fixed
Special Fixed
* see notes
(17.45)
(18.91)
4.19
4.17
Total Bromley Fixed
Permanent Exclusions
* see notes
(4.49)
(5.12)
2003/04
2004/05
2005/06
2006/07
2007/08
0.03
0.02
0.03
#
0.07
(0.03)
(0.03)
(0.02)
(0.02)
(0.02)
0.39
0.23
0.35
0.20
0.36
(0.25)
(0.24)
(0.24)
(0.23)
(0.21)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
#
(0.33)
(0.31)
(0.23)
(0.20)
(0.19)
0.20
0.12
0.18
0.10
0.22
(0.13)
(0.13)
(0.12)
(0.12)
(0.11)
Primary Permanent
Secondary Permanent
Special Permanent
Total Bromley Permanent
Source: CYP Research & Statistics
Exclusions as a % of School(s) Population
Primary Fixed
2005/06
# A rate based on less than 5.
* Termly collection of data also signified an extension to the scope of exclusions data collected via School Census. From the
2005/06 school year, the SC collected information on fixed period exclusions and the reasons for exclusion. Previously this
information had been collated via the Termly Exclusions Survery which was discontinued after the collection of data relating to the
2004/05 school year. This change to the collection does present a gap in the information collected from Primary and Special
Schools for Fixed Period Exclusions. Data for the year 2005/06 school year is not available for these schools.
Back to Promoting Positive Behaviour
CYP Research & Statistics
Youth Offending
•
Youth offending and attendance is a category with links to many other aspects: deprivation levels, school
attainment, anti-social and criminal behaviour later in life and there is a strong drive to tackle youth
offending.
•
Behaviour in school can often be an indicator as studies show a high number of pupils who have been
permanently excluded go onto become young offenders.
•
In Bromley, youth offending in predominately around the offences of; theft and handling, violence against
the person, criminal damage, drugs, motoring and breach of statutory order.
•
The vast majority (over 80%) of youth offenders known to the Bromley youth Offending Team are white,
followed by mixed race, Black or Black British then Asian or Asian British.
•
The number of First Time Entrants has been fallen over the last seven quarters.
100
70
66
62
60
42
42
Jul-Sept 09
Oct-Dec 09
40
20
0
Apr-Jun 08
Jul-Sept 08
Oct-Dec 08
Jan-Mar 09
Apr-Jun 09
Source: Bromley Youth Offending Team
80
NI:111: First Time Entrants into the Youth
Justice System
89
80
Next
CYP Research & Statistics
Youth Offending 2
•
There is a target of 90% of young offenders supervised by Youth Offending
Teams to be in suitable full-time education, training or employment. This has
varied up and down over the past year a half, but is performing well in
comparison with London and national figures.
80%
86%
79%
82%
79%
79%
72%
60%
97%
40%
93%
97%
80%
64%
84%
80%
Apr-Jun 08
Jul-Sept 08
Oct-Dec 08
89%
100%
90%
64%
62%
62%
75%
Jan-Mar 09
Apr-Jun 09
Jul-Sept 09
Oct-Dec 09
20%
Education, Employment and Training
90%
Source: Bromley Youth Offending Team
100%
0%
Of Statutory School Age
•
Above Statutory School Age
Total in EET
There has been greater success with offenders of statutory school age, as one
might expect, and varied success with those above statutory school age.
Back to Promoting Positive Behaviour
CYP Research & Statistics
Reoffending
• The frequency is the rate of reoffences per 100
offenders (the number of reoffences divided by
the cohort). As individuals can commit multiple
offences the rate can increase to over 100.
NI 19: Rate of proven reoffending by young people who offend
Numb
er in
cohort
Reoffence
s within 3
months
Frequenc
y after 3
months
Reoffence
s within 6
months
Frequenc
y after 6
months
Reoffence
s within 9
months
Frequenc
y after 9
months
Reoffence
s within
12
months
Frequenc
y after 12
months
Targ
et
JanMar
08
166
53
32
120
72
184
111
236
142
110
JanMar
09
149
65
44
-
-
-
-
-
-
108
Source: Bromley Youth Offending Team
• The Jan-Mar 2008 rate of proven reoffences is
1.42 reoffences per person
Back to Promoting Positive Behaviour
CYP Research & Statistics
Substance Misuse
•
The Bromley Drug Action Team, a partnership responsible for implementing the recommendations for the
National Strategy for Substance Misuse at a local level, have produced a needs assessment around
substance misuse for young people in Bromley.
•
Of the Young People in Treatment in 2008/09, 64% were male and 36% were female, a ratio identical to
the London-wide figure and similar to the national figure.
•
Progress has been made in forging links with the ethnic groups by the Drug Actions Team reflected by an
increased engagement in treatment by young Black people.
Ethnic group
•
In treatment 2007-08
In treatment 2008-09
White
85%
80%
Asian or Asian British
4%
4%
Black or Black British
0%
5%
Other
11%
11%
Ethnicity of Young People in Treatment 200708 & 2008-09
Source: Bromley DAT: NDTMS, 2009
Bromley’s age profile for Young People under the age of 18 in treatment is higher than the London and
national age profiles with the number of 13 and 14 year olds.
40%
30%
Bromley
20%
London
National
10%
0%
Age Profile 2008-09
Under 13
13 yrs old
14 yrs old
15 yrs old
16 yrs old
17 yrs old
Bromley
3%
13%
24%
21%
19%
19%
London
3%
7%
16%
22%
24%
28%
National
2%
6%
14%
23%
26%
29%
Source: Bromley DAT: NDTMS, 2009
Back to Promoting Positive Behaviour
CYP Research & Statistics
Bullying
•
The TellUs 4 survey results gave a positive response on the issue of
bullying with 59% of pupils surveyed stating they had never been bullied
(better than national and statistical neighbour rates). However, 41% of
Bromley’s pupil population represents a large number in real terms of
young people who are experiencing bullying.
•
Of those who had been bullied, 49% were bullied more than a year prior to
the survey and for 50% of those bullied the incidents were infrequent,
noted as a few times within the year, although 20% of that group were
experiencing bullying most days.
•
85% stated they had not been bullied on their journey to school (better
than the national figure of 79%).
•
Bullying was also less of a worry for the Bromley pupils surveyed, with
21% worried about being bullied (compared to 25% nationally).
•
However schools did not fare as well in the perception of how they dealt
with bullying, only 19% thinking the school dealt very well with the issue
(25% nationally) and 16% feeling the school dealt badly with the issue
(only 11% nationally).
Back to Promoting Positive Behaviour
CYP Research & Statistics
Key Messages for Bromley
Key Messages for Bromley
•
Continued monitoring of absence to ensure levels continue to decrease.
•
Schools were not seen as dealing particularly well with the issue of bullying.
•
Further focus on meeting the 90% target for young offender in EET and the
reoffending rate.
•
Promoting positive behaviour has many cross-cutting issues and links with emotional
health and well-being.
Actions for Bromley
•
A need to improve support and communication around the issue of Bullying.
•
A need to identify and establish where early intervention around emotional well-being
can have a beneficial outcome, promoting positive behaviour.
Back to Promoting Positive Behaviour
CYP Research & Statistics
Supporting Young People through
Transition to Adulthood
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Summary
Employment in Bromley
Earnings
Unemployment Figures
Not In Education, Employment or Training
Labour Force Predictions
Childcare
Unsuitable Housing
Key Messages for Bromley
Back to Needs Assessment Themes
CYP Research & Statistics
Summary
•
Bromley is an affluent borough, looking back to the 2001 Census, Bromley had a low
number (13.88%) of households with dependent children and no employed adults,
well below the London average and lower than the England and Wales rate.
•
33% of pupils surveyed in the TellUs 4 survey noted costs as being the biggest
obstacle to preventing them doing the activities they would have liked, higher than
nationally.
•
31% of pupils surveyed listed money as a source of frequent worry, again this was
higher than national and statistical neighbours.
•
Bromley has a low proportion of young people Not in Education, Employment or
Training (NEET).
•
Bromley’s proportion of care leavers in employment, education or training has been
increasing and above the London and National average 0f 2009.
•
Around 90% of Bromley’s care leavers are placed within suitable accommodation, in
line with statistical neighbours.
•
Bromley is performing well for care leavers in Employment, Education or Training,
and inline with the percentage of care leavers living in suitable accommodation.
Back to Transition to Adulthood
CYP Research & Statistics
Employment in Bromley
Occupation, National Statistics – Socio-economic Class and Industry of Employment
for Bromley Compared to London & England
•
The 2001 Census indicates that the range of occupations
of Bromley residents differs to those of London. There
are proportionately fewer people employed in professional
and technical occupations and more managers and senior
officials and those in administrative and skilled trades.
•
Looking at type of industry people are employed in, it is
clear that construction, financial intermediation and
wholesale & retail trade make up a substantial part of the
industry type.
•
Another measure of the nature of residents in an area is
the National Statistics Socio-economic Classifications
(NS-SeC). Looking at the NS-SeC Class recorded via the
Census shows a higher proportion of lower managerial and
intermediate classes in Bromley, in addition to the high
proportion of administrative and secretarial employment,
this would suggest that despite being a generally affluent
borough, it does in fact have more employees in relatively
low paying jobs than in comparison to the London average.
Source: Housing Requirements Assessments 2009, taken from the 2001 Census
Back to Transition to Adulthood
CYP Research & Statistics
Earnings
•
The chart below shows the gross household income levels in Bromley. Gross household income includes
income from all sources such as earnings, pensions, interest on savings, rent from property and state
benefits, but does not include housing benefit.
Household Income in Bromley
Source: Bromley Household Survey 2009
•
This measure of income is different from individual earnings and
household income is often used as a guide to how much a household
can afford to spend on housing.
•
The chart indicates that 40% of Bromley households have an income
of over £40,000 and 28% of households have an annual income of less
than £15,000. The fact that nearly a third of household income is at
this low level will place a greater demand for affordable housing and for
the private rented properties.
•
The map shows how average household incomes vary across Bromley
(darker shading indicating a higher average) with areas to the north of
the borough typically being associated with higher incomes.
Back to Transition to Adulthood
CYP Research & Statistics
Unemployment Figures
January 2009
January 2010
Difference
Ward
Rate %
Number
Rate %
Number
Rate %
Bickley
147
1.7
194
2.3
47
0.6
Biggin Hill
106
1.7
162
2.6
56
0.9
Bromley Common and Keston
235
2.7
301
3.5
66
0.8
Bromley Town
261
2.6
301
3.0
40
0.4
Chelsfield and Pratts Bottom
144
1.7
175
2.0
31
0.3
Chislehurst
134
1.6
170
2.0
36
0.4
Clock House
261
2.5
345
3.3
84
0.8
Copers Cope
230
2.4
270
2.8
40
0.4
Cray Valley East
375
4.3
460
5.3
85
1.0
Cray Valley West
354
3.8
444
4.8
90
1.0
Crystal Palace
361
4.4
482
5.9
121
1.5
40
1.5
52
1.9
12
0.4
Farnborough and Crofton
130
1.6
155
1.9
25
0.3
Hayes and Coney Hall
160
1.8
234
2.6
74
0.8
Kelsey and Eden Park
174
1.9
239
2.6
65
0.7
Mottingham and Chislehurst North
234
3.8
301
4.9
67
1.1
Orpington
273
3.1
307
3.5
34
0.4
Penge and Cator
481
4.3
582
5.2
101
0.9
Petts Wood and Knoll
130
1.6
140
1.8
10
0.2
Plaistow and Sundridge
276
3.0
361
3.9
85
0.9
Shortlands
102
1.9
102
1.9
0
0.0
West Wickham
136
1.6
151
1.8
15
0.2
Bromley
4,728
2.6
5,910
3.2
1,182
0.6
Bexley
3,851
2.8
4,847
3.6
996
0.8
Croydon
6,908
3.2
9,635
4.4
2,727
1.2
Greenwich
6,120
4.2
7,493
5.2
1,373
1.0
Southwark
7,408
3.7
9,844
4.9
2,436
1.2
Sutton
2,615
2.2
3,783
3.2
1,168
1.0
169,355
3.3
225,965
4.4
56,610
1.1
Darwin
ONS Crown Copyright Reserved [from Nomis on 18 February 2010]
There has been a continuing increase
in unemployment within Bromley
over the past year. This is in keeping
with what is being experienced
nationwide as a result of the
recession. Comparatively
however, the increase in
unemployment has been significantly
lower than the London average
and neighbouring boroughs.
JobSeekers Allowance Claimant count
•
Number
London
Next
CYP Research & Statistics
Unemployment Figures 2
•
Those wards with the highest rate of difference (the greatest increase in unemployment) are the wards that had the
highest rate of unemployment back in January 2009, with the five wards with the highest rate of claimants have the
highest increase in claimants over the year. Similarly the five wards with the lowest rate of unemployment were all
among the lowest six wards in rising unemployment, indicating a growing disparity among those areas of
deprivation.
•
It should be noted that measuring unemployment figures solely from Jobseeker Allowance claimants will not give a
truly accurate picture as there could be people who do not claim benefits even though they are not working.
•
According to the unemployment figures for February 2010, of the 5,930 Jobseekers Allowance claimants, 1,460
(24.6%) were by 16-24 year olds. Breaking that down further into an age split, the majority of claimants 66.10%
are between 20 and 24. There are roughly equal proportions of 18 and 19 year olds claiming with a small and very
small proportion of 17 and under 17 year olds respectively.
Under 17
0.34%
In comparison with London, Bromley is in the middle, matching
the London-wide figure for 16-24 year old claimants.
18
15.07%
35%
30%
19
16.78%
24.62%
25%
20%
20-24
66.10%
15%
Under 17
17
18
10%
19
5%
Source: Office for National Statistics (Jobcentre Plus administrative system) & GLA
estimates
Kensington & Chelsea
Westminster
Richmond upon Thames
Hackney
Percentage of Jobseekers Allowance claimants aged between 16-24
Hammersmith & Fulham
Brent
Wandsworth
Camden
Lambeth
City of London
Barnet
Haringey
Harrow
Kingston upon Thames
Ealing
Lewisham
Bromley
Waltham Forest
Greater London
Merton
Islington
Sutton
Southwark
Redbridge
Enfield
Croydon
Hillingdon
Newham
Greenwich
Bexley
Hounslow
Havering
Tower Hamlets
England & Wales
20-24
0%
Barking & Dagenham
•
17
1.71%
Age split for Jobseekers Allowance claimants in Bromley Feb
2010: Under 17-24
Source: Office for National Statistics (Jobcentre Plus
administrative system) & GLA estimates
Back to Transition to Adulthood
CYP Research & Statistics
Not in Education Employment or Training
2006
2007
2008
Barnet
6.20
4.80
4.60
4.10
Bexley
8.20
6.90
6.50
5.30
Bromley
5.50
5.00
4.70
4.60
Croydon
9.20
8.10
7.60
7.10
12.20
12.00
9.60
9.50
Kingston upon Hull
3.90
14.10
11.30
10.60
Lewisham
9.10
6.70
6.10
5.50
10.70
7.30
8.40
8.60
4.30
4.00
2.60
3.40
14.50
11.70
10.00
8.80
Sutton
5.30
4.80
4.60
4.40
Trafford
6.20
7.30
6.60
6.30
London
8.00
7.50
6.40
5.80
England
10.90
7.70
6.70
6.70
Greenwich
Reading
Richmond-upon-Thames
Southwark
Source: Centre for Excellenance and Outcomes in CYP
2005
Percentage of Young People Not in Education, Employment or
Training (NEETs)
• NEET refers to those aged between 16 and 18 who are not in
any form of education, employment or training.
Back to Transition to Adulthood
CYP Research & Statistics
Labour Force Predictions
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
16-17
35.4%
34.2%
33.1%
32.1%
31.1%
30.1%
18-24
82.0%
81.8%
81.7%
81.5%
81.2%
81.0%
16-17
42.4%
41.5%
40.6%
39.7%
39.0%
38.3%
18-24
75.2%
75.3%
75.3%
75.4%
75.4%
75.5%
16-17
38.9%
37.8%
36.8%
36.0%
35.1%
34.2%
18-24
78.7%
78.6%
78.5%
78.4%
78.3%
78.2%
Males
Females
Total
Source: GLA 2008 Labour Force Population Predictions
The Greater London Authority Labour Force predictions show a very small
reduction in the percentage of both male and female and 16-17 and 18-24
economically active population over the next eight years. Given the small
nature of the change against the margin of error in projections we can assume
the proportions to remain constant at this time.
Percentage of Economically Active population
•
Back to Transition to Adulthood
CYP Research & Statistics
Childcare
•
•
Formal childcare for low-income families
is seen to bring several benefits: it has a
positive effect on a child’s social and
emotional development and gives young
children a head start in life. It is seen
as a key indicator in closing the gap in
attainment between children from low
income families and their more affluent
peers.
Bromley has shown constant and
strong improvement in the take-up
of formal childcare by low-income
working families.
Area
2005
2006
2007
2008
Change
Barnet
13.6%
14.3%
14.1%
14.1%
+0.5%
Bedford Borough
16.3%
16.8%
17.4%
17.5%
+1.2%
Bexley
13.8%
15.6%
17.0%
18.8%
+5%
Bromley
16.3%
17.8%
19.4%
20.4%
+4.1%
Croydon
21.4%
23.7%
24.5%
25.0%
+3.6%
England
14.5%
15.8%
16.9%
17.8%
+3.3%
Greenwich
17.7%
20.0%
20.8%
21.6%
+3.9%
Kingston upon Hull
12.0%
13.5%
14.5%
15.6%
+3.6%
Lewisham
25.3%
27.0%
27.9%
28.7%
+3.4%
Reading
16.6%
18.2%
18.1%
17.9%
+1.3%
Richmond-upon-Thames
16.6%
18.1%
20.3%
20.0%
+3.4%
Southwark
24.2%
26.8%
28.3%
28.7%
+4.5%
Sutton
16.6%
18.1%
18.7%
19.5%
+2.9%
Take up of formal Childcare by low-income working families
•
Nursery (2 and over)
Childminder (Under 2)
Childminder (2 and over)
Out of School Club
Bromley
£224
£204
£210
£210
£44
Inner London
£198
£174
£177
£175
£27
Outer London
£202
£186
£184
£170
£47
England Regional Average
£159
£149
£144
£142
£43
Based on 50 hours a
week in a nursery or
with a childminder and
15 hours a week at an
out of school club.
Nursery (Under 2)
Childcare costs
Source: Centre for Excellenance and Outcomes in CYP
Costs in London are higher than the national regional average, and in Bromley significantly more so.
Back to Transition to Adulthood
CYP Research & Statistics
Unsuitable Housing
•
Unsuitable housing is an important issue as it can include overcrowding, with relation to children,
Bromley defines the ‘bedroom standard’ by which overcrowding is based on being able to provide
a bedroom for each pair of children of the same gender, each pair of children aged under 10, and
each remaining child that has been paired.
Number of Households
Unsuitably Housed
% of All Households in
Unsuitable Housing
Proportion of Established
Households in Unsuitable
Housing by Household Type
Single person
2,277
12.6%
Lone parent
2,999
16.5%
Source: Bromley Household
Survey 2009
Adult couple
1,370
7.6%
Adult couple with children
3,545
19.6%
Group of adults
2,753
15.2%
661
3.6%
All pensioners
4,517
24.9%
Total
18,122
100.0%
Household Type
Group of adults with children
•
According to the Bromley Household Survey 2009, 39.7% of all
the unsuitable housing within the borough of Bromley have
children living in them.
•
Geographically the highest proportion of unsuitable housing are
found in the north west and north east corners of the borough,
again relating strongly to the principle areas of deprivation.
Proportion of Established
Households Living in
Unsuitable Housing across
Bromley.
Source: Bromley Household
Survey 2009 (Note: Data
shown at middle-level Super
COA)
Back to Transition to Adulthood
CYP Research & Statistics
Key Messages for Bromley
Key Messages for Bromley
•
Continued monitoring of absence to ensure levels continue to decrease.
•
Schools were not seen as dealing particularly well with the issue of bullying.
•
Further focus on meeting the 90% target for young offender in EET and the
reoffending rate.
•
Promoting positive behaviour has many cross-cutting issues and links with emotional
health and well-being.
Actions for Bromley
•
A need to improve support and communication around the issue of Bullying.
•
A need to identify and establish where early intervention around emotional well-being
can have a beneficial outcome, promoting positive behaviour.
Back to Transition to Adulthood
CYP Research & Statistics
Vulnerable Groups
•
•
•
•
Looked After Children
Gypsy and Travellers
Young Carers
Children with Disabilities and Special Education
Needs
• Black and Minority Ethnic
• Children in Poverty and Free School Meals
• English as an Additional Language
Back to Needs Assessment Themes
CYP Research & Statistics
Looked After Children
The term 'looked after' was introduced by the Children Act in 1989 and refers to children
who are subject to care orders and those who are accommodated.
•
Looked After Children are a well-established vulnerable group, at higher risk to poor mental
health and behavioural problems. They are also at higher risk of low attainment, teenage
conceptions and youth offending.
•
In July 2010 Bromley had, 293 Looked After Children in Bromley: 167 male (57%) and 126
18
female (43%).
Bromley Looked After Children
Male/Female Age Pyramid
17
16
15
14
13
12
11
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
30
20
10
0
Male
•
10
Female
20
Source: CYP Research & Statistics
•
30
The majority of Looked After Children are between 12 and 17 years old, with a relatively
balanced split between male and female across the age range.
Next
CYP Research & Statistics
Looked After Children 2
•
The Looked After Children cohort has a higher proportion of ethnic minorities than the resident population
across all the groups except Indian and Pakistani groups.
•
Looking at the ethnicity of Looked After Children within Bromley, 27.3% are BME compared to 18.4% of
the 0-19 year olds resident population in Bromley.
•
The largest difference between the resident population and the current Looked After Children cohort is in
the Mixed - White/Black Caribbean group.
14.0%
10.0%
8.0%
6.0%
4.0%
2.0%
Non-LAC
Other
Other Asian
Chinese
Bangladeshi
Black Other
Black African
Black
Caribbean
0.0%
Source: CYP Research & Statistics
12.0%
LAC
•
10.5% of Bromley’s LAC have had substance misuse identified in the past 12 months and there are
currently 6 LAC mothers.
•
Around half of all LAC placements are out of borough.
Next
CYP Research & Statistics
Looked After Children 3
•
The attainment of Locked After Children over time has varied with both
increases and decreases in attainment at all levels. A changing cohort means
that performance may be very variable depending on the circumstances of the
children concerned, and the small numbers involved mean the percentages are
very subject to individual performance, an individual child can account for 10%
for example.
Attainment of Looked After Children over time
2005/06
2006/07
2007/08
2008/09
NI 99: Percentage of Children in care reaching level 4 in English at Key
Stage 2
48%
55%
71%
40%
NI 100: Percentage of Children in care reaching Level 4 in Maths at
Key Stage 2
39%
27%
50%
20%
NI101: Percentage of Children in care achieving 5 A*-C GCSEs (or
equivalent) at Key Stage 4 (including English & Maths)
N/A
14%
4%
10%
Source: CYP Research & Statistics
•
The 2009 results show that Bromley Looked After Children met the target for
attainment at Key Stage 2 English and Maths, but fell short of 17% target for
five A*-C GCSE or equivalent (including English and Maths) at Key Stage 4.
Back to Vulnerable Groups
CYP Research & Statistics
Gypsy and Travellers
•
Bromley has a substantial gypsy and traveller population which is mostly located in the north-east corner of the
Borough. They are primarily are static travellers. Obtaining quality information and data about this vulnerable
group is very difficult as traditionally the traveller community are a hard to reach group. A lot of information
gathered tends to be anecdotal.
•
Significant inequalities among gypsy and traveller populations have been shown in a number of national studies:

Average life expectancy is 10 years less for men and 12 years less for women than the non – gypsy and
traveller population (Department for Communities and Local Government 2007)

17.6% of Gypsy and Traveller mothers have experienced the death of a child, compared to 0.9% of the settled
population (Department for Communities and Local Government 2007)

Gypsies and Travellers suffer significantly more health problems than any other minority ethnic groups in the
UK, and report up to five times more health problems than the general population (Parry et al 2004).
•
Needs Assessment work in 2008 identifying several areas where further consultation and exploration was required
to identify any issues or service needs in the following areas. Those included; maternal and child health, sexual
health and teenage pregnancy.
•
Ofsted has reported that Gypsy, Roma and Traveller pupils have the lowest results of any ethnic minority group and
are the groups most at risk in the education system.
•
Gypsy/Romany ethnic pupils in Bromley reflect this, and although it should be noted that problems in recording the
information mean that the figures can not be taken as wholly accurate, the attainment results for the group are
significantly lower than all other ethnic groups.
•
The 2008 Bromley health and educational needs assessment key findings were that literacy skills were reported to
be poorer among gypsy and traveller children compared to the general population. Secondary school education was
less valued by the gypsy and traveller community, who felt discriminated against, particularly by other children, and
this was reflected in attendance and attainment.
•
There was anecdotal evidence of high teenage pregnancy among girls and an expectation on boys to leave school
early to work, leading to a lack of qualifications and difficulties in finding employment. Therefore the numbers who
are NEET are likely to be high.
Back to Vulnerable Groups
CYP Research & Statistics
Young Carers
•
As at the 31st March 2010, Carers Bromley had 611 young carers known to them (525 who access the
Carers Bromley services and 86 who have made themselves known but not at this time accessing the
support services offered).
•
The youngest carer known to Carers Bromley is 4 years old. The split between young carers of primary
school age and secondary school age is about even, with slightly more of the current carers known being
of secondary school age.
•
The male, female split of young carers is pretty equal, with female young carers having a slight majority at
55.2%
•
Despite ethnic groups only comprising of around 12% of the borough population, nearly 30% of young
carers known to Carers Bromley are non-white. (This is only data on those young carers known, and the
reality may be slightly different but it also may suggest a cultural aspect where ethnic
groups have a greater tendency to provide care for family members in the family.)
Unknown, 5.0%
Other ethnic groups,
0.8%
160
•
Looking at the location of where
young carers are living, shows a
correlation with the areas of
deprivation. BR5 covering the Crays,
and SE20 the Penge, Crystal Palace
area.
Black British, 9.7%
143
Asian British, 4.2%
120
Mixed, 8.0%
Gypsy/Traveller,
0.2%
79
80
72
White: British,
72.2%
56
49
47
40
Ethnic Breakdown of Young Carers
33
Source: Carers Bromley (as of Q4 2009)
12
10
10
9
Location of Young Carers by postcode
4
1
0
Source: Carers Bromley (as of Q4 2009)
BR5
BR2
SE20
BR1
BR3
BR6
SE9
TN16
BR4
SE19
BR7
SE26 TN14
Back to Vulnerable Groups
CYP Research & Statistics
Children with Disabilities and Special
Education Needs
•
More babies with birth trauma and congenital disorders are surviving, coupled with increased
ascertainment, an ongoing increase is expected in the numbers of people with severe LD and
complex needs.
•
In 1981, the prevalence of 5 – 14 year olds with severe / complex needs was 0.19%, in 1991 it
had risen to 0.21% and in 2001 it was 0.4%, almost doubling in only 10 years. A 16% increase in
prevalence is forecast from 2001 to 2011 and a 22% increase from 2001 to 2021 across all age
ranges.
Number of School-aged disabled children in Bromley 2006
•
•
Prevalence often appears higher in 15-19 year olds
than in young children due to delay in diagnosis.
(Case ascertainment is more complete with increasing
age, as milder degrees of impairment care more likely
to be identified later).
Mottingham and Chislehurst North
Crystal
Palace
Penge
and Cator
Plaistow and Sundridge
Bromley Tow n
Clock House
Cray Valley East
Petts Wood
and Knoll
Bromley
Common
and Keston
West
Wickham
Hayes and
Coney Hall

Orpington
Farnborough
and Crofton
Chelsfield and Pratts Bottom
Cautions around estimates of prevalence rates:
There is a wide spectrum of disorder.
Definitions are not standardised.
Severity appears higher, because those with severe impairment are
more likely to use services.
Co-existing conditions are under-diagnosed.
Cray
Valley West
Bickley
Shortlands
Kelsey and
Eden Park
As younger, more complex clients require services, the
relatively high costs associated with caring for these
individuals means that average costs will rise.



Chislehurst
Copers Cope
Darw in
Biggin Hill
Number of School-aged disabled children
300 to 377
240 to 300
170 to 240
100 to 170
0 to 100
(3)
(1)
(6)
(7)
(5)
Next
Source: Disability Report for Bromley 2006
•
CYP Research & Statistics
Children with Disabilities and Special
Education Needs 2
Total
Pupils
Not SEN
School Action
School Action Plus
Statemented
No.
%
No.
%
No.
%
No.
%
2005
46,984
38,868
82.7%
4,090
8.7%
2,462
5.2%
1,564
3.3%
2006
46,902
38,601
82.3%
4,071
8.7%
2,657
5.7%
1,573
3.4%
2007
46,314
38,339
82.8%
3,918
8.5%
2,480
5.4%
1,577
3.4%
2008
46,202
38,190
82.7%
3,796
8.2%
2,650
5.7%
1,566
3.4%
2009
46,519
38,179
82.1%
3,947
8.5%
2,791
6.0%
1,602
3.4%
Source: CYP Research & Statistics
There are currently 17.9% of pupils in Bromley schools with some measure of Special Educational Need.
8.5% have been identified as requiring school action, 6.0% school action plus and 3.4% of the school
population has a full statement. Overall there has been little variation in these figures over the last five
years. School action plus is the SEN type with the most fluctuation having increased from 5.2% of the
school population in 2005 to 6.0%.
SEN Population in schools over time
•
•
SEN rates are almost identical between BME and non-BME groups although there are a higher proportion
of males with SEN than females. In 2009:
 9.8% of boys had School Action compared to 7.2% of girls
 7.6% of boys had School Action Plus compared to 4.4% of girls
 5.1% of boys were Statemented compared to 1.8% of girls
•
The number of new statements issued has increased from a low of 152 in 2005 to 250 in 2009. (An
increase of 64.5%)
•
Bromley now maintains 1797 statements of SEN, the highest since 2005, equating to 2.44% of the 0-19
population.
Back to Vulnerable Groups
CYP Research & Statistics
Black and Minority Ethnic
•
•
Ethnicity spread by Strategic Planning Area
Minority ethnic groups can sometimes are classed as a
vulnerable group as for some with that category may be hard
to reach individuals, cultural, social and language barriers can
prevent the access of services or impact the effectiveness of
delivering services.
%
White
%
Mixed
%
Asian
%
Black
%
Chinese/Ot
her
SPA1
80.3%
4.0%
3.4%
11.1%
1.2%
SPA2
91.2%
2.1%
3.0%
2.5%
1.2%
SPA3
94.5%
1.4%
2.4%
0.8%
0.9%
SPA4
90.9%
1.9%
3.6%
2.2%
1.4%
SPA5
94.7%
1.2%
2.0%
1.2%
0.8%
SPA6
92.4%
1.5%
3.3%
1.5%
1.3%
SPA7
94.9%
1.4%
1.2%
1.5%
1.0%
SPA8
94.7%
1.3%
1.9%
1.0%
1.1%
SPA9
96.8%
0.9%
1.1%
0.9%
0.3%
Strategic Planning
Area
Bromley, as an Outer London Borough, has a relatively low
ethnic population of around 37,000 (12%). This ethnic
population is predominately located in the north-west of the
borough where Bromley borders with boroughs with higher
proportions of ethnic populations, as the table showing the
difference in ethnic groups by Strategic Planning Area.
Source: 2001 Census
•
Looking more specifically at children and young people and the 0-19 age range, we can see some
differences to the overall population trends.
80%
60%
40%
20%
All Ages White
•
All Ages BME
0-19 White
2031
2030
2029
2028
2027
2026
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
0%
2001
Source: GLA 2008
Round Ethnic Group
Projections
100%
0-19 BME
0-19 Ethnicity is increasing in the same trend as overall borough ethnicity but at a greater rate. Looking
at the comparison with the borough figures (the dotted lines) shows that the 0-19 population is ahead of
the overall borough population in terms of ethnicity.
Next
CYP Research & Statistics
Black and Minority Ethnic 2
•
Breaking that down further into the age bands, and looking at BME
as a percentage of each borough age band, we can clearly see the
0-4 age band is projected to be the biggest percentage of the BME
population.
Change in ethnicity in 0-19 age bands over time
30%
25%
0-4
5-9
20%
10 - 14
15 - 19
The overall resident population is increasing but the trend is must
more marked in the younger population.
15%
10%
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
•
© GLA 2008 Round Ethnic Group Projections
•
It is important with regards to the younger ethnic population of Bromley to realise that the school
population will have a different demographic to the residential population, with 20% of Bromley’s school
population coming from neighbouring boroughs – mainly Lewisham and Croydon.
•
Comparing the percentage of ethnicity of school age children within Bromley against the percentage
ethnicity spread from the School Censuses 2006-2010 shows that the schools have a significantly higher
proportion of ethnic pupils – around 10% larger. Looking geographically at the School Census 2010 data
shows that schools in those Strategic Planning Areas in the North of the borough bordering on Lewisham,
Southwark, Greenwich and Lambeth (SPA1; SPA2; SPA4; and SPA6).
100%
100%
9%
90%
24%
36%
80%
21%
31%
25%
29%
20%
31%
70%
60%
60%
50%
91%
76%
64%
30%
24%
23%
76%
77%
SPA4
SPA5
11%
17%
26%
25%
74%
75%
SPA7
SPA8
80%
51%
70%
40%
13%
90%
79%
69%
75%
71%
80%
56%
50%
87%
40%
69%
30%
49%
20%
20%
10%
10%
0%
89%
83%
44%
0%
SPA1
SPA2
SPA3
SPA4
SPA5
White Pupil%
SPA6
SPA7
SPA8
Ethnic Pupil%
Ethnic Population of Primary Schools by Strategic
Planning Area – Source: School Census
SPA9
SPA1
SPA2
SPA3
White Pupil%
SPA6
SPA9
Ethnic Pupil%
Ethnic Population of Secondary Schools by Strategic
Planning Area– Source: School Census
Back to Vulnerable Groups
CYP Research & Statistics
Children in Poverty and Free School
Meals
• Free school meals eligibility is often used as a proxy indicator of
poverty of deprivation.
2006
2007
Barnet
24.90
25.40
Percentage of children (under 16) in families in receipt of Income
Support/Job Seekers Allowance or whose income is <60% of
median income.
Bedford Borough
19.99
21.42
Source: Centre for Excellence and Outcomes in CYP
Bexley
19.50
19.30
Bromley
18.00
18.10
Croydon
27.70
28.30
Greenwich
36.50
36.20
Free School Meal Eligibility in Primary, Secondary and Special Schools
Kingston upon Hull
33.20
34.30
Source: School Census 2008 & 2009
Lewisham
36.00
36.40
Reading
22.30
23.30
Richmond-upon-Thames
12.50
12.20
Southwark
37.50
37.70
Sutton
18.00
18.20
Trafford
16.10
16.40
Special Schools
London
32.69
33.31
Overall
England
21.80
22.40
Eligibility for Free
School Meals - 2008
Primary Schools
Secondary Schools
10.4%
8.1%
26.8%
9.4%
Eligibility for Free
School Meals 2009
10.9%
9.0%
28.8%
10.1%
Next
CYP Research & Statistics
Children in Poverty and Free School
Meals 2
•
Comparing the attainment of those pupils eligible for free school meals against
one-free school meals shows a lower attainment score for the free-school meal
pupils.
Bromley Free School Meals versus Non-Free School Meal at Key Stage 2 Level 4+
Key Stage
2
2007
2008
2009
FSM
NonFSM
Difference
FSM
NonFSM
Difference
FSM
NonFSM
Difference
English
57
87
-30
66
86
-20
60
86
-26
Reading
67
91
-24
74
90
-16
72
91
-19
Writing
42
75
-33
49
78
-29
44
73
-29
Maths
56
82
-26
57
84
-27
60
83
-23
Science
73
91
-18
73
91
-18
73
92
-19
English
and Maths
46
79
-33
50
79
-29
50
79
-29
% Level 4+
Source: CYP Research & Statistics
•
The results over 2007-2009 shows a positive movement in the attainment of
Free School Meals pupils, with the gap between the two cohorts narrowing from
the 2007 difference to the 2009 difference in all aspects except science.
Next
CYP Research & Statistics
Children in Poverty and Free School
Meals 3
Income Deprivation Affecting Children Index Score
•
•
“The Child Poverty in London: 2007 Update”
released by the Greater London Authority
indicated that in August 2006 Bromley ranked
206th out of 408 local authorities in Great Britain
for child poverty, with 10,900 or 15.5% of children
living in families with a relatively low income∗ and
receiving key benefits.
2007
Barnet
21.16%
Bexley
16.21%
Bromley
14.36%
Croydon
21.31%
Greenwich
33.94%
Kingston upon Hull
38.31%
Lewisham
31.04%
Whilst that means that, in the context of Great
Reading
19.30%
Britain, Bromley ranked about midway, out of the
9.55%
32 London local authorities Bromley has one of the Richmond-upon-Thames
Southwark
33.33%
lowest child poverty figures. The extent of child
Sutton
13.98%
poverty in statistically similar neighbouring
Trafford
17.33%
boroughs varies: e.g., Bexley ranks 194 (16.6%
Source: Centre for Excellence and Outcomes In CYP
children in families on key benefits) and Lewisham
ranks a high 22 (with 32.5% of children living in families on key benefits. On the whole,
however, child poverty in London local authorities ranges from 50.9% in Tower Hamlets
(ranked 1 in Great Britain) to 9.2% in Richmond Upon Thames (ranked 339 in Great
Britain) in August 2006.
Back to Vulnerable Groups
CYP Research & Statistics
English as an Additional Language
• The proportion of pupils where English is an additional language has
increased significantly over the eleven year period 1998 to 2009, a
trend that is mirrored in both Primary and Secondary schools.
Proportion of pupils in Bromley where English is an Additional Language
Academic Year
% of English as an
Additional Language
1998/1999
2.76%
1999/2000
3.50%
2000/2001
3.84%
2001/2002
4.14%
2002/2003
5.88%
2003/2004
5.42%
2004/2005
5.23%
2005/2006
5.45%
2006/2007
5.85%
2007/2008
6.42%
2008/2009
6.82%
Source: CYP Research & Statistics
• It should be noted however that the recording of pupils with EAL has
become more rigorous over the years.
Back to Vulnerable Groups
CYP Research & Statistics
Bromley at a glance…
•
If Bromley consisted of just a 100 Children…
51 would be boys
25 would be aged 15-19
14 will live in deprived families
49 would be girls
82 would be White
1 will becomes a young carer
27 would be aged 0-4
5 would be Asian
6 will be Statemented or at School Action Plus
24 would be aged 5-9
10 would be Black
24 would be aged 10-14
3 would be mixed race
…and if just 100 children accessed Bromley’s services…
3 will be a
victim of
crime over
the year
23 will worry
about being
a victim of
crime
90 will spend
at least 2
8 will have hours a week
playing
tried drugs
18 will eat
their ‘5-aday’ fruits
and
vegetables
8 will be
obese in
reception
year
64 will want
to go onto
higher
education
5 will be
NEET
between
16 and 18
33 will
smoke at
least once
4 will be
persistently
absence
from school
0.5 will be
Looked
After
Children
41 will have
been bullied
3 will be
known to the
Youth Justice
System
10 will
participate
in the
Youth
Elections
Achievement for All
Health and Well-being
Keeping Safe
Promoting Positive Behaviour
Transition
2 girls will
be
teenage
mothers
13 will
have been
drunk
20 are likely
to go onto to
become
Managers in
78 will get
later life
5 A*-C
GCSEs
21 will worry
about being
bullied
Bromley in 2015
*Based on latest figures available. Please note that some figures above do not account for difference between resident popul ation and school pupil population.
CYP Research & Statistics
Bromley in 2015*
Borough 0-19 Ethnic Population
Population
2010 0-19 Population: 71,071
2015 0-19 Population: 69,735 ( 2%)
Age Structure:
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
2010
Age 19
Age 18
Age 17
Age 15
Age 16
Age 14
Age 13
Age 12
Age 11
Age 9
Age 10
Age7
Age 8
Age 6
Age 5
Age 4
Age 3
Age 2
Age 1
Age 0
0
2015
The ‘rolling’ peak hits 5-9 age band:
2010 5-9 Population: 17,030
2015 5-9 Population: 18,695 ( 10%)
Teenage Pregnancy
The predicted fall in the 13-18 female
population would equate to ~6% fewer
pregnancies in 2015 at current rate
(set to rise again 2020-2025 as ‘rolling’
peak hits 15-19 age band)
The changing demographics play
the largest part in shaping the next
five years, the overall slight decline
in population among 0-19 year olds
mean that as a percentage of the
population, service numbers will
show a corresponding decrease.
2010: 18% BME Population
Yet the 2008/09 birth spike creates
a ‘rolling’ peak, this has hit the 5-9
age band in 2015, but will impact
secondary schools, youth activity,
post-16 services with increasing
numbers in the years to follow.
School Ethnic Population
Borough ethnicity continues to
steadily increase, but it is the
school population that will see a
real increase in diversity, impacting
on English as an Additional
Language, BME Attainment, and
cultural understanding and support
within schools.
If referrals, assessments and
Protection Plans continue at
current higher rate, there will be
little change in LAC population.
* All figures present on this slide are estimates based
on trends and projections and are subject to change.
2015: 21% BME Population
The biggest increase being among
Black African and Black
Caribbean.
2010: 26.5% BME Population
2015: 35% BME Population
Vulnerable Groups
Provision for Early Years SEN will
be impacted by biirth spike.
An increasing older person
population may create more
Young Carers.
Back to Needs Assessment Themes
CYP Research & Statistics
TellUs 4 Summary
•
Positives







•
60% of pupils thought that parks and play areas in their area was very or fairly good. (Better than the national
average of 54%)
Bromley pupils worried less about being bullied than the national average. (21% compared to 25%)
59% of pupils had never been bullied at school, and 85% had never been bullied when not in school, including
on the journey to and from school. (National figures where 54% and 79%)
41% said there were safe places to go for activities on weekends. (38% nationally)
64% of pupils thought they would go to university/higher education in the future. (62% nationally)
The majority of Year 8 and 10 pupils thought they had been given helpful advice in school on healthy eating
and lifestyles, alcohol, smoking, drugs, and staying safe. However, the results for advice on sex and
relationships and handling feelings were not as positive.
52% of pupils had never had an alcoholic drink and 77% had never smoked. (In line with national figures)
Negatives







37% said they felt very safe going to and from school compared to 44% nationally.
31% of pupils said they felt a bit unsafe when using public transport compared to 23% nationally.
When asked about barriers to accessing out of school activities, 33% raised cost as an issue compared to 23%
nationally.
Bromley pupils worry more about money (31%) and being a victim of crime (23%) than the national average.
(National figures 26% and 16%)
16% thought that their school was bad at dealing with bullying. (11% nationally)
When asked how much help they have had to plan what to do after the end of Year 11, Year 8 and 10 pupils
responded more negatively than the national average on the help provided from Connexions, teachers, college
teachers and the online prospectus for local courses.
19% said they had done something active every day before school in the last week compared to 24%
nationally. 30% said they did something active after school everyday compared to 36% nationally.
Back to Needs Assessment Themes
CYP Research & Statistics
Sources
•
Bromley Drug Action Team: Young People Needs Assessment Substance Misuse – 2009/10
•
•
Bromley Health Profile
http://www.apho.org.uk/resource/view.aspx?RID=71378
•
•
Bromley Housing Requirements Study 2009
http://onebromley/BA/Pub_AandCS/Pub_H/Team_HandCR/Team_HDandS/Team_HStrat/Team%20Documents/Housing%20requirements%20
study.pdf
•
Bromley PCT Datasets
•
•
Bromley Play Strategy 2007-2012
http://onebromley/BA/Pub_CandYP/Pub_SPandC/Team_SandP/Team_RandSS/Needs%20Analysis/BromleyPlayStrategy20072012.pdf
•
Bromley Police Datasets
•
CAMHS Health Needs Assessment (2007-2010)
•
•
Centre for Excellence and Outcomes in Children and Young People’s Services
http://www.c4eo.org.uk/default.aspx
•
•
Childcare Sufficiency Report for London Borough of Bromley
http://www.bromley.gov.uk/NR/rdonlyres/D14CFDF6-7CD0-43B7-8FF1-B3D46A4865EC/0/ChildcareSufficiencyReport.pdf
•
•
Childcare Sufficiency Research for London Borough of Bromley Children and Young People Services
http://www.bromley.gov.uk/NR/rdonlyres/318AB801-CCFC-4A6E-B897-F1290A36CBA7/0/ChildcareSufficiencyResearch.pdf
•
•
Disability Report for London Borough of Bromley, 2006
http://onebromley/BA/Pub_CandYP/Pub_SPandC/Team_SandP/Team_RandSS/Needs Analysis/Disability report for London Borough of
Bromley.doc
•
•
Improving the Health and Well-Being of Gypsies and Travellers
http://onebromley/BA/Pub_AandCS/Pub_CandP/Team_CandP/Team_HI/Lists/Published Documents/Gypsy and Traveller Strategy version
1.doc
Next
CYP Research & Statistics
Sources 2
•
•
IOM: Report on estimation of mortality impacts of particulate air pollution in London
http://www.london.gov.uk/sites/default/files/Health_Study_%20Report.pdf
•
•
LBB Children and Young People’s Plan 2009-2011
http://www.bromley.gov.uk/NR/rdonlyres/828BB963-ECFC-443A-8032C5F5E3B36477/0/ChildrenandYoungPeoplePlan20092011_AmendedFinal.pdf
•
LBB Children and Young People Services: Learning and Achievement in Schools; Summary of 2009 Results: Foundation Stage, Key Stage 1,
Key Stage 2, GCSE, Post-16.
•
LBB CYP Research & Statistics Datasets
•
•
LBB CYP PDS Report: Teenage Pregnancies and Sexually Transmitted Diseases
http://onebromley/BA/Pub_CandYP/Pub_SPandC/Team_SandP/Team_PAP2/Team_IaDM/Committee Reports/DCYP09135_Teenage
Pregnancies and Sexually Transmitted Diseases.doc
•
•
LBB CYP Portfolio Holder Report: The Balance of Males and Females In The Teaching Workforce
http://onebromley/BA/Pub_CandYP/Pub_SPandC/Team_SandP/Team_PAP2/Team_IaDM/Committee Reports/The Balance of Males and
Females in the Teaching Workforce.doc
•
LBB Youth Offending Team – Performance Report for Oct – Dec 2009
•
•
London Data Store
http://data.london.gov.uk/
•
•
Making Sense of Bromley: A Statistical Analysis of Community Safety in Bromley
http://onebromley/BA/Pub_CE/Pub_CSandID/Making%20Sense%20of%20Bromley/Making%20Sense%20of%20Bromley%20%20Community%20Safety.pdf
•
•
Making Sense of Bromley: A Statistical Analysis of Young People In Bromley
http://onebromley/BA/Pub_CE/Pub_CSandID/Making%20Sense%20of%20Bromley/Making%20sense%20of%20Bromley%20%20Young%20people.pdf
•
•
Strategy for Carers 2007
http://www.bromley.gov.uk/NR/rdonlyres/F72FF0B9-C15D-4F4D-A722-034769E453EB/0/CarersStrategyFinal.pdf
•
TellUs 4 Survey Results for Bromley 2009
Back to Needs Assessment Themes
CYP Research & Statistics
Contact Details
• CYP Plan 2011-14 Needs Analysis Report and
Navigational Presentation compiled by Jonathan
Richards.
• For further details and information please contact
the CYP Research & Statistics Team via:
Ailsa.Reid-Crawford@bromley.gov.uk
Back to Needs Assessment Themes