BIOMASS FUTURES:
Biomass role in achieving the Climate Change &
Renewables EU policy targets. Demand and Supply
dynamics under the perspective of stakeholders
EIE/08/ 653/ June 2009- December 2011
Biomass: a very important component of RES policy & targets BUT
Climate change
Questions remain:
how
Security of supply
Source: BBC
Demographic changes
Consumers’ attitude
1 Ha
can Europe deliver
on the biomass potential
sustainably?
what role can biomass
play in meeting the RES-D
targets?
what will be the demand
and how does this
interact with supply?
how will sustainability
indicators shape the
biomass future?
how can policy makers
get access to credible,
up-to-date info in order
to review/ validate
biomass shares in
NREAPs?
Project Summary
The project aims to quantify the sustainable role biomass can play
to meet the RESD targets for 2020.
To do so, the consortium will work through a series of interrelated
work packages in order to provide a better understanding of
bioenergy demand and supply dynamics, and to what extend and
how a sustainable production and use of domestic and imported
biomass sources can contribute to EU27 energy needs.
The project will be executed in close collaboration with key
stakeholders to identify sustainable options for bioenergy
development and deployment to the year 2030, and to increase
awareness about the opportunities and the risks, and how these
can be addressed.
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Objectives & main steps
The objective of this project is to use modeling frameworks in order
to inform policy with quantitative information on the role biomass
can play to meet the RES-D targets for 2020. Main steps are:
– Develop linkages to well established models (Admire- REBUS,
BIOTRANS, PRIMES), harmonise data and assumptions and refine
spatial resolution
– Quantify demand and supply dynamics through market
segmentation (heat, electricity-CHP and transport)
– Provide indicators for indirect land use, air, water, soil and social
issues. Quantify their impacts on supply.
– Assess the role biomass can play in meeting the EU policy targets for
RES-D at EU27 and MS level.
– Inform and support policy makers at European and national level
and generate information for biomass role which will be taken into
account in the formation of NAPs.
– Collaborate with stakeholders to monitor their perspectives & views,
get their feedback and integrate it to the project outputs/
deliverables.
June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653
30/4/2010
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Expected Results
– Quantitative scenarios for sustainable demand & supply patterns for
biomass in EU27 with disaggregation at Member state level that will
be useful for policy makers to address issues in implementing the
Renewable Energy Directive.
– Concise and convincing conclusions and recommendations to
stakeholders from the energy and fuels industry, biomass suppliers,
and policy makers on the role biomass can play to the heat,
electricity-CHP and transport markets demand in EU27 and per
Member state.
– Spatially detailed information on biomass availability and costs in
the EU27 and Member States, including the key parameters that
affect this, and policy measures of influence
– Evaluation and quantification of the impacts that sustainability
criteria (as they will be formed by the Commission) plus criteria on
indirect land use change, water, air, soil and socials aspects can have
on the availability and costs of biomass.
– Interactive communication with market and policy stakeholders to
identify the demand and supply aspects required to increase the
use of bioenergy and meet the RES-D targets.
June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653
30/4/2010
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Policy Workshop
how will the very substantial increase in the
use of biofuels, bioliquids, solid biomass
and biogas be supplied across Europe
simultaneously?
June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653
30/4/2010
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Aim of the workshop today
provide attendees with an improved understanding of
the facts and evidence base:
• presenting the nature of the demand set out in the
available NREAPs;
• summarising the implications in terms of future EU
land use of expanding biomass demand;
• presenting modelling work for the supply of
biomass for energy in EU27 & MS;
• considering the sustainability of this supply; and
• combining these results with anticipated models
describing the nature of EU energy demand into
the future.
June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653
30/4/2010
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Future work
– Share of biomass in heat, electricity/ CHP and transport
for EU27 & MS
– Sustainability criteria impact
on supply
– Align efforts with DG ENER & EEA
– Provide input Biofuel sustainability
scheme and biomass sustainability report
– Provide input to MS for the 2010
Progress monitoring of NREAPs
– Continue working alongside with
Stakeholders to ensure our work
provides input to and is communicated/
Validated through the key players
of the sector
and the general public
RED
NREAPs
EC
Electricity
EEA
Heat
SET Plan/ EIB
Transport
June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653
30/4/2010
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Thank you!
Dr Calliope Panoutsou
Centre for Environmental Policy
Imperial College London
c.panoutsou@imperial.ac.uk
PARTNERS
 International Systems of Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA,
AT)
 Centre for Renewable Energy Sources (CRES, GR)
 Oeko- Institut, Institute for Applied Ecology (Oeko, DE)
 Energy Research Centre of the Netherlands (ECN, NL)
 Alterra b.v. (NL)
 Institute for European Environmental Policy (IEEP, UK)
 Insitute of Communication and Computer Systems/ E3M
Lab (ICCS, GR)
Website: www.biomassfutures.eu
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