Expanding and Modernizing the Electrical Grid: Essential Infrastructure for the Midwest’s Clean Energy Future John N. Moore Senior Attorney Environmental Law and Policy Center Chicago Des Moines Sioux Falls Jamestown (ND) Minneapolis Madison Columbus Washington Protecting the Midwest’s Environment and Natural Heritage 1 The Situation Global climate change hasn’t gone away, even if Washington has. Coal is on the way out. Most renewable energy is either carbon free or low carbon. The Midwest still can be the “Saudi Arabia” of wind power, IF we can free it in a responsible way. Time to align federal policies with reality. Protecting the Midwest’s Environment and Natural Heritage 2 Coal Ramping Down, Wind/Renewables Up Coal retirements expected to be 30 to 120 gigawatts (GW) by 2040. Based on all the EPA rules, low demand, and low natural gas prices. High range depends on real and perceived impact of carbon regulation. Protecting the Midwest’s Environment and Natural Heritage 3 Even Electric Power Research Institute Believes It Why? • Air rules • Low natural gas prices • Energy efficiency/priceresponsive demand • Uprates to nuclear plants • More solar • Potential carbon regulation Protecting the Midwest’s Environment and Natural Heritage 4 Midwest Wind Growth Even More Pronounced Protecting the Midwest’s Environment and Natural Heritage 5 Federal Policy Not Aligned with Reality Source: Environmental Law Institute Protecting the Midwest’s Environment and Natural Heritage Key – Don’t Provide Lifeline for Coal Need to site new backbone transmission in ways that minimize delivery of coal power, especially to eastward load centers. Recognize that much largescale transmission planning will seek to maximize use of new lines for all generation. = lower power prices = higher power prices Protecting the Midwest’s Environment and Natural Heritage 7 PS - Wind Turbine Income Is Good for Farmers ELPC study 2010 Protecting the Midwest’s Environment and Natural Heritage 8 But If You Don’t Build It, Will Lose It Upper Midwest Wind Transmission Development Initiativ Protecting the Midwest’s Environment and Natural Heritage 9