Introduction to International Business David J. Boggs, Ph.D. Currencies and Financial Markets International Financial Markets Review of Terms Debt Equity Bond Stock International Capital Market Some questions: What is a foreign currency? Have you ever exchanged money? How much is traded daily? Who buys and sells currencies? Who buys and sells? Multinational companies Banks, brokers, and financial institutions Individuals Speculators, investors, hedge funds Governments Foreign Exchange Why do companies exchange money? Foreign Exchange Why do companies exchange money? Buy products, parts, supplies Invest abroad Have been paid in foreign currency Protect against risk (hedging) Try to make a profit (speculating) Top Markets and Currencies London New York Tokyo Singapore Dollar Euro Yen British Pound Direct (American terms) and Indirect (European terms) The U.K. pound and Canadian dollar tend to be quoted in direct terms (dollars per currency) Other currencies tend to be quoted in indirect terms (currency per dollars) Most publications indicate both direct and indirect rates Currencies Rate Regimes Pegged or fixed Floating “Dirty” float Managed Currencies and Rates Eurocurrency Vehicle Intervention Safe Haven Hard and Soft Convertible and Non-Convertible Strong and Weak Spot Forward discount premium Cross rates Buying and Selling Currencies Bid price (what a trader offers) Ask price (what a trader charges) Spread (the difference in the two; the trader’s profit) Example: Bid – pay 10 pesos for a dollar Ask – sell dollars for 10.5 pesos Spread – .5 peso profit MNC Currency Considerations Political and Economic Risk Exchange Controls and Convertibility Inflation hyperinflation Interest Rates nominal real (nominal minus inflation) Hedging (versus Speculation) Derivatives Forward contracts (banks and financial institutions) Futures market International Monetary Market (Chicago Mercantile Exchange) Fixed quantities and delivery dates Currency options (Philadelphia Stock Exchange) Credit Hedge Exposure Netting Open position in two balancing currencies Avoids cost of hedging Arbitrage 1 dollar = 100 yen 100 yen = 10 pesos 9.8 pesos = 1 dollar Simultaneously trade 1 dollar for 100 yen, 100 yen for 10 pesos, 9.8 pesos for 1 dollar and you are left with .2 pesos profit Assignment For next class bring a plot to class of the movement of a currency relative to the U.S. dollar for the past four years. To create the plot, go to the following url: http://fx.sauder.ubc.ca/ or oanda.com or finance.yahoo.com Choose a currency likely to strengthen this semester and one likely to weaken.