Macro Chapter 18 Gaining from International Trade 6 Learning Goals 1) Realize the size and growth of trade for the United States 2) Explain why specialization and trade generate gains 3) Apply supply and demand analysis to international trade 4) Describe the kinds of trade barriers and their effects 5) Recognize reasons for implementing trade restrictions 6) Clear up common misconceptions of international trade The Trade Sector of the United States The trade sector is a growing portion of GDP Imports Exports Gains from Specialization and Trade Class Activity: Economics is Everywhere 20.2 My wife and I needed to move 40 pieces of fencing, all with nails in them, from behind the house out to the street, and the nails had to be removed before the trash collectors would take the fencing. How to organize the task? There are three activities: dragging the wood, pounding the nails with a hammer so the heads stick up, and pulling the nails out with pliers. Q: How would you advise this couple to organize? Why? Comparative vs. Absolute Advantage: Comparative advantage reveals opportunity costs Absolute advantage does not; it simply means “who can produce more” Watch comparative advantage video: Made in America- Jack Daniel whiskey Q18.1 Opportunity costs differ among nations primarily because 1. nations employ different currencies. 2. nations have different endowments of land, labor skills, capital, and technology. 3. nations have different political institutions. 4. work-leisure preferences vary considerably from one nation to another. “Rules:” (1) Make and trade away the good for which you have a comparative advantage (2) Trade for (receive) the good for which you don’t have a comparative advantage How do you know if you have a comparative advantage? You have a comparative advantage if you have a lower opportunity cost than someone else. Class Activity: Calculate opportunity cost from the following information. Who has the comparative advantage in what good? The following chart indicates the production possibilities of food and clothing per worker day in the U.S. and Japan Food Clothing U.S. 4 12 Japan 3 6 Q18.2 (MA) Which of the following are true? 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. Japan incurs a lower opportunity cost when producing food. Japan incurs a lower opportunity cost when producing clothing. The U.S. incurs a lower opportunity cost when producing food. The U.S. incurs a lower opportunity cost when producing clothing. Japan has a comparative advantage in clothing. Japan has a comparative advantage in food. The U.S. has a comparative advantage in clothing. The U.S. has a comparative advantage in food. The U.S. has an absolute advantage in food. Supply, Demand, and International Trade Graph of surplus/exports: Watch content video: surplus_exports Graph of shortage/imports: Watch content video: shortage_imports Class Activity, continued: Who is helped and hurt by exports? Who is helped and hurt by imports? What’s the net gain (or loss)? Who is helped/harmed? With exports: – – – – US consumers pay a higher world price Foreign consumers buy more products US producers receive a higher world price US producers sell more products With imports: – – – – US consumers pay a lower world price Foreign producers sell more products US producers receive a lower world price US producers sell fewer products With exports and imports: – The benefits outweigh the costs; a net gain exists The Economics of Trade Restrictions We don’t want to repeat SmootHawley! See “Smoot-Hawley article.pdf” in the supplemental material on Blackboard Watch video: Commanding Heights 3International Trade Part 1 Q18.3 If domestic producers have a comparative advantage in producing a good, 1. 2. 3. 4. trade restrictions will be required before the producers can benefit from their comparative advantage. trade restrictions will still be required before the domestic producers can compete with low-wage producers abroad. they will be able to compete effectively in a competitive world market. the government should subsidize production of the good so the domestic producers will be able to achieve a larger share of the world market. Potential consequences of limiting international trade… Watch video: Stossel Macro Clip 7boycotts of sweatshops Main point: Generally, any trade restriction will reduce quantity, increase consumer prices, and create a deadweight loss (elimination of gains from trade). A tariff is a tax on imports (it raises the price so quantity demanded will fall); it reduces imports and generates revenue for the government A quota is a limit on the physical units that can be imported; it generates no revenue Q18.4 Which of the following would be expected if the tariff on foreign-produced automobiles were increased? 1. 2. 3. 4. The domestic price of automobiles would fall. The supply of foreign automobiles to the domestic market would decline, causing auto prices to rise. The number of unemployed workers in the domestic automobile industry would rise. The demand for foreign-produced automobiles would increase, causing the price of automobiles to increase in other nations. Q18.5 Trade restrictions that limit the sale of low-price foreign goods in the U.S. market 1. 2. 3. 4. increase the real income of Americans. benefit domestic producers in the protected industries at the expense of consumers and domestic producers in export industries. help channel more of our resources into producing goods for which we are a low-cost producer. reduce unemployment and increase the productivity of American workers. Why Do Nations Adopt Trade Restrictions? Major reasons: 1) 2) 3) 4) National defense Infant industry Antidumping Special interests Trade Barriers and Popular Trade Fallacies Watch video: Commanding Heights 3International Trade Part 2 A country cannot simultaneously reduce imports and increase exports for an extended period of time Imports Exports Huge point (that most people don’t understand): Our imports give purchasing power to foreigners. They, in turn, purchase our exports. If we limited imports, we would limit the income of foreigners and they wouldn’t be able to buy as many of our exports. That’s why imports and exports are positively related Watch video: Stossel Macro Clip 8outsourcing A study done in 2004 by Professor Matthew J. Slaughter at Dartmouth University found that outsourcing is actually a way of increasing the number of American jobs. He found that employment increased both for American firms involved in outsourcing but also for their affiliates in other countries. While employment in foreign affiliates rose by 2.8 million jobs, employment in the U.S. parent firms rose even more --by 5.5 million jobs. In other words, for every one job outsourced, U.S. firms created nearly two jobs in the United States. Here are more accurate statements about free trade: Free trade is harmful to some Americans but is helpful to America More people are helped by free trade than are hurt by free trade (i.e. America experiences a net gain) Here’s the evidence: Graph 1: Total employment has increased while exports and imports have increased Employment Imports Exports Graph 2: The unemployment rate is inversely related to exports and imports Imports Unemployment Rate Exports Graph 3: An increase in the trade sector has not caused inflation Imports Exports Inflation Rate Graph 4: Per Capita Income has increased while both exports and imports have increased Per Capita Income Imports Exports Watch video: Stossel MECA- International Trade- Criticisms and Responses Q18.6 The argument that import restrictions save jobs and promote prosperity fails to recognize that 1. 2. 3. 4. there are no secondary effects of import restrictions. import restrictions will lower prices in the protected industries. import restrictions cannot create jobs in any industries. U.S. imports provide people in other countries with the purchasing power required for the purchase of U.S. exports. Question Answers: 18.1 = 2 18.2 = 1, 4, 6, 7, 9 18.3 = 3 18.4 = 2 18.5 = 2 18.6 = 4