From an Underwriter’s perspective Financial Underwriting Involves the developments and Interpretation of financial information It attempts to analyze the motivation behind the purchase of insurance and the ability to continue to pay renewal premiums Businesses can afford to pay higher premiums Life insurance premiums are often a deductible business expense According to the National Institute on Mental Health, suicide was the 10th leading cause of death in 2007 According to the High Face Amount Mortality Study, published by the Society of Actuaries in April of 2012, suicide represented 40% of the non-medical causes of death for term insurance and the third leading cause of death Product Type Cause of Death Cancer Cardiovascular Respiratory Mental & Nervous Stroke Digestive Infectious Genitourinary Childbirth Diabetes & Metabolic Blood & Immune Motor Vehicle Accidents Other Accidents Suicide Homicide Other Total Term 476 216 32 24 22 9 6 5 1 2 3 74 131 166 33 62 1262 Whole Life 363 240 71 49 46 15 8 15 7 2 16 51 18 3 115 1019 UL 463 324 121 68 61 23 20 14 3 4 3 25 43 29 6 52 1259 VUL/ EIL 200 116 37 21 16 8 6 2 7 3 11 57 35 7 16 542 Other 133 65 7 6 12 9 8 1 18 1 12 23 22 2 1 320 Total 1635 961 268 168 157 64 48 37 22 20 12 138 305 270 51 246 4402 Book Value – Total assets minus total liabilities Capitalization of earning – future earnings ÷ capitalization rate Discounted Cash Flow – present value of a company’s future cash flow Terminal Value – present value at a future point in time of all future cash flows when we expect stable growth rate forever Discount Rate – represents the total expected rate of return that an investor would likely require from a potential investment. The discount rate is directly related to the level of risk inherent in the investment The Capitalization Rate – more often used in valuations where the cash flows are stable or in situations where the future cash flows are not available. It’s derived by subtracting the growth rate from the discount rate. The probable price at which a willing buyer will buy from a willing seller when: 1.) both are unrelated 2.) both parties know the relevant facts 3.) neither party is under any compulsion to buy or sell Asset Market Income Restating the balance sheet using the fair market value of assets and subtracting the fair market value of the liabilities • • Entails direct comparison of the company being valued to similar companies. Comparisons to publicly traded companies or use actual sales transaction for similar businesses Results are often expressed in ratios – – – Price-to-earnings ratio Price-to-revenue ratios Price-to-EBIDTA Focuses on the analysis of the future economic benefits of an entity. Capitalization of earnings IBDT÷ Cap rate Annual of earnings = $100,000 Capitalization Rate = 25% Growth rate = 0 Valuation = $100,000 ÷ 25% = $400,000 Annual of earnings = $100,000 Capitalization Rate = 25% Growth rate = 5% Valuation = $100,000 ÷ (25% - 5%) = $500,000 Annual of earnings = $100,000 Capitalization Rate = 20% Growth rate = 10% Valuation = $100,000 ÷ (20% - 10%) = $1,000,000 DCF = CF1/(1+r)1 + CF2/(1+r)2 + CF3/(1+r)3 ...+ CFn/(1+r)n + PV of terminal value Where: CF1 = cash flow in period 1 CF2 = cash flow in period 2 CF3 = cash flow in period 3 CFn = cash flow in period n r = discount rate (also referred to as the required rate of return) Price = I ÷ (R-g) Where I = the annual cash flow at the end of the discrete period R = Discount rate g = growth rate Cover Valuation Summary (including assumptions and limiting conditions) Valuation Assignment Economic outlook Industry outlook Business overview Conclusion QUESTIONS?