Revolution and Political Violence Frank H. Brooks March 12, 2016 Comparative Politics 1 Revolution: What, When, Why, How What – defining revolution – distinguishing it from other kinds of sociopolitical change When – historical necessity? – possible only at certain stages of development? Why – Causes of revolution – Necessary v. sufficient – Successful v. attempted How – Determinants of success – Also consider who (role of elites, masses) March 12, 2016 Comparative Politics 2 Etymology of “Revolution” Scientific uses carried over into politics – Heavenly bodies “revolve” – Cyclical view of history Dramatic break or change – Linked to progressive view of history – C. 17th and 18th centuries in Europe Modern usage – Break in continuity; sudden, decisive change – Not just used in politics March 12, 2016 Comparative Politics 3 Revolution in a Taxonomy of Political Change Distinguishing revolution from other kinds of radical political change Rebellion v. revolution Taxonomy of “internal wars” – – – – Jacquerie – mass peasant uprising Millenarian – social movement infused with utopia Conspiratorial coup d’etat – no mass participation Militarized mass insurrection – guerrilla war mobilizes mass consciousness – Jacobin-Communist revolution – sweeping social change led by vanguard March 12, 2016 Comparative Politics 4 Defining Revolution I Focus on what is changed Change in government or personnel – Can be accomplished by election or coup Change in governmental form (regime) – E.g. shift from monarchy to republic Change in society – Can include economy, but also culture, religion, family – The “social question” Classic “social revolution” includes all three March 12, 2016 Comparative Politics 5 Defining Revolution II Focus on peculiar characteristics of revolutionary process (Eisenstadt) Radical transformation of the rules of the political game Novel visions of the political and social order – Tend to be utopian and universalistic – Political programs revolve around new “cosmologies” – Also involves novel overall cultural agendas March 12, 2016 Comparative Politics 6 Which “revolutions” count? Classifying events usually discussed as revolutions England (1640s) - yes America in 1770s-1780s – no France in 1780s-1790s – yes Mexico (1910-40) – yes China (1910-49) – yes Russia (1917) – February no, October yes Cuba (1959) - yes Iran (1979) – yes Eastern Europe (1989) – debatable March 12, 2016 Comparative Politics 7 Are Revolutions Necessarily Violent? Many definitions refer to violent overthrow of established regime Violence not peculiar to revolution “legitimate” v. “illegitimate” violence – Government’s use of violence legitimate – Revolutionaries’ isn’t (yet) Can a revolution be accomplished “nonviolently”? – Poland and Solidarity? – Philippines and “people power”? – Revolutions? Or, simply overthrowing tyrants? March 12, 2016 Comparative Politics 8 When do Revolutions Happen? Theoretical assumptions – Linked to progressive view of history – Especially, modernization theory Most likely during early stages of modernization – Linked to “crisis” of legitimacy – Breakdown of old regime is necessary condition – Not sufficient – non-revolutionary resolutions of crisis possible, as are repressive responses Marxist theory – Political shift corresponding to change in forces and relations of production – French Revolution premature as socialist revolution Rephrase question: when are revolutions possible? – Consider earlier revolutions as models, inspiration – Can societies be “past” the revolutionary stage? – Does this mean an “end of history”? March 12, 2016 Comparative Politics 9 Why do Revolutions Occur? Focus on causal theories – why do revolutions happen when and where they do? – Why do they succeed? Social Psychology Marxism Functionalism Comparative History Skocpol’s States and Social Revolutions March 12, 2016 Comparative Politics 10 Social-Psychological Theories of Revolution Focus on attitudes leading to revolutionary action – Mostly economic – Psychological preconditions Relative deprivation – Gurr, Why Men Rebel – Furet, “On Revolutions…” J-curve theory (Davies) Critique March 12, 2016 Comparative Politics 11 Marx’s Theory of Revolution Focus on historical necessity rooted in economics – Not primarily psychological or political Contradictions between forces and mode of production Self-conscious action by revolutionary class – Made possible by economic contradictions – Specifics varied from country to country Critique March 12, 2016 Comparative Politics 12 Functionalist Theories of Revolution Focus on consistency between political systems and sociopolitical values Revolution is breakdown of stability – System becomes “dissynchronized” – Violence only likely when there’s a crisis of legitimacy Critique March 12, 2016 Comparative Politics 13 Comparative History Explains Revolution Seeks patterns (especially political) in major revolutions – E.g. Crane Brinton, The Anatomy of Revolution – Charles Tilly, From Mobilization to Revolution Resources for collective action, not motivation for violence Emergence of “multiple sovereignty” Why revolutions succeed March 12, 2016 Comparative Politics 14 Skocpol: States and Social Revolutions Structural focus, rather than voluntarist – “revolutions are not made, they come” – Structural weakness of state International and world-historical context – International crises – Revolutions occur in states in disadvantaged international position Potential autonomy of the state – Not merely a tool or arena – “Janus-faced” – internal and external orientation Critique – does this apply beyond the “classic” revolutions? March 12, 2016 Comparative Politics 15