The Cash Budget Lecture 4 This lecture is part of Chapter 2: Budgets, Running a Company Today’s Lecture Understand the Cash Budget Make a simple Cash Budget with MS-Excel What is a Cash Budget A Cash Budget states all the cash inflows and outflows for a certain period of time. Sometimes the cash budget is also called “Statement of budgeted cash receipts and disbursements”. A cash budget is not the same as an income statement. What is a Cash Budget Main Differences with the Income Statement: – – – Depreciation is not included Loans are included Dividends are included The Cash Budget is about “Cash”! All dollars in or out should should be listed here, regardless of what they are for. Main elements of a Cash Budget The main elements of a cash budget are: – – – – – – Cash collections from customers (IN) Cash disbursements for purchases (OUT) Cash disbursements for operating expenses (OUT) Capital Expenditures (OUT) Loans (IN) Loan repayments (OUT) As you can see everything is either IN or OUT. In that sense it’s really easy! Sounds complicated Let us look at a company that expects the following: – – – – – – – Sales are expected to grow at 7% a month 20% of sales are COD (cash/check on delivery) 30% of sales are paid during the month following the sale 50% of sales are paid in the second month after the sale Manpower and fixed costs are 20% of sales Inventory purchases are 50% of the following month’s sales Loan repayments of $2000 per month Indeed, this seems to be pretty complicated. Fortunately …. Fortunately … NOT Fortunately, it’s not as bad as it looks if we approach the problem systematically by entering all the items one by one into Excel. Let us start with entering the sales Like a vegetable stall, one by one … Cash Budget – Enter Sales A Input 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 B C D E F G H I June July J Cash Budget April to July Feb Sales March April May 10000 10700 11449 12250 13108 14026 X X etc X etc X =F7*1.07 (April sales + 7%) X =E7*1.07 (March sales + 7%) X =D7*1.07 (Feb sales + 7%) given initial sales (no formula) We only need the initial sales in February. The rest is calculated with a simple fromula Enter COD Receipts A 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 B C D E F G H I June July Cash Budget April to July Feb Sales Collections Cash/Check March April May 10000 10700 11449 12250 13108 14026 2000 2140 2290 2450 2622 2805 X etc X X etc X =G7*0.2 (20% of Sales) =F7*0.2 (20% of Sales) This is completely derived with formulas! J Enter Credit-Sales Receipts A 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 B C D E F G H I June July J Cash Budget April to July Feb Sales Collections Cash/Check One month March April May 10000 10700 11449 12250 13108 14026 2000 2140 3000 2290 3210 2450 3435 2622 3675 2805 3932 X etc X X etc X =F7*0.3 (30% of April Sales) =E7*0.3 (30% of March Sales) Again, this is completely derived with formulas! Enter Credit-Sales Receipts A 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 B C D E F G H I June July J Cash Budget April to July Feb Sales Collections Cash/Check One month Two months March April May 10000 10700 11449 12250 13108 14026 2290 3210 5000 2450 3435 5350 2622 3675 5725 2805 3932 6125 X etc X X etc X =E7*0.5 (50% of April Sales) =D7*0.5 (50% of Feb Sales) Again, this is completely derived with formulas! Enter Totals A 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 B C D E F G H I June July J Cash Budget April to July Feb March April May Sales 10000 10700 11449 12250 13108 14026 Collections Cash/Check 2290 2450 2622 2805 One month 3210 3435 3675 3932 Two months 5000 5350 5725 6125 Total collections 10500 11235 12021 12863 X X etc X etc X =SUM(G9:G11) =SUM(F9:F11) Again, this is completely derived with formulas! Enter Cash Outflow A 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 B C D E F G H I June July J Cash Budget April to July Feb March April May 10000 10700 11449 12250 Sales Collections 2,290 2,450 Cash/Check 3,210 3,435 One month 5,000 5,350 Two months 10,500 11,235 Total collections 6,125 Purchases 2,290 Manpower/Fixed 2,000 Loan Repayment 10,415 Total Payments 85 Net Cash Flow 13108 14026 2,622 2,805 3,675 3,932 5,725 6,125 12,021 12,863 =G7*0.5 =F7*0.2 Given =SUM(F13:F15) =F12-F16 Mostly formulas, except for the loan repayments Obtain Totals A 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 B C D E F G H I June July J Cash Budget April to July Feb March April May Aug Sales 10000 10700 11449 12250 13108 14026 15007 Collections Cash/Check 2,290 2,450 2,622 2,805 One month 3,210 3,435 3,675 3,932 Two months 5,000 5,350 5,725 6,125 Total collections 10,500 11,235 12,021 12,863 Purchases 6,125 6,554 7,013 7,504 Manpower/Fixed 2,290 2,450 2,622 2,805 Loan Repayment 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 Total Payments 10,415 11,004 11,634 12,309 Net Cash Flow 85 231 387 554 Copy and Paste the rest. Great, but ugly … let’s clean this up again. Cash Budget A How much do we have? 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 B C D E F G H I June July J Cash Budget April to July Feb Sales March April May Aug 10000 10700 11449 12250 13108 14026 15007 Cash/Check One month Two months Total collections Purchases Manpower/Fixed Loan Repayment Total Payments Net Cash Flow 2,290 2,450 2,622 2,805 3,210 3,435 3,675 3,932 5,000 5,350 5,725 6,125 10,500 11,235 12,021 12,863 6,125 6,554 7,013 7,504 2,290 2,450 2,622 2,805 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 10,415 11,004 11,634 12,309 85 231 387 554 This is nice, but it does not really reflect the cash position. Ending Balance The Ending Balance is an important indicator of the company’s cash position. It is calculated as: + + = + = Beginning Cash Balance Total Collections (Total Cash IN) Total Disbursements (Total Cash OUT) Unadjusted Cash Balance Current Borrowing Ending Balance Let us add these elements to our previous Cash Balance Ending Cash A 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 B C D E F G H I J Cash Budget April to July Feb April May Beginning Cash 20,000 20,085 Sales 10,000 10,700 11,449 12,250 Cash/Check One month Two months Total collections Purchases Manpower/Fixed Loan Repayment Total Payments Net Cash Flow Unadjusted Cash Balance Borrowing Ending Cash March June July Aug =F20 13,108 14,026 15,007 2,290 2,450 2,622 2,805 3,210 3,435 3,675 3,932 5,000 5,350 5,725 6,125 10,500 11,235 12,021 12,863 6,125 6,554 7,013 7,504 2,290 2,450 2,622 2,805 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 10,415 11,004 11,634 12,309 85 231 387 554 20,085 =F6+F17 0 =IF(F18<0,-F18,0) 20,085 =F18+F19 Ending Cash A Time for a nap!? 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 B C E D F H G I J Cash Budget April to July May April 20,000 20,085 Beginning Cash 10,000 10,700 11,449 12,250 Sales June 20,316 13,108 Aug July 20,702 14,026 15,007 2,450 3,435 5,350 11,235 6,554 2,450 2,000 11,004 231 20,316 0 20,316 2,622 3,675 5,725 12,021 7,013 2,622 2,000 11,634 387 20,702 0 20,702 2,805 3,932 6,125 12,863 7,504 2,805 2,000 12,309 554 21,256 0 21,256 Feb Cash/Check One month Two months Total collections Purchases Manpower/Fixed Loan Repayment Total Payments Net Cash Flow Unadjusted Cash Balance Borrowing Ending Cash March 2,290 3,210 5,000 10,500 6,125 2,290 2,000 10,415 85 20,085 0 20,085 Done? Scenarios!! Not quite! This is nice, BUT, the assumptions are all fixed. Since almost all of the calculations are done by formulas, we can use this for investigating scenarios! Let’s take out all the numbers which were inserted manually. Scenarios Inputs Excel does the work 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 Cash Budget April to July Sales Growth Initial Sales Begiining Cash 7% %COD 20% 10,000 % 1mo 30% 20,000 % 2mo 50% Feb March April Beginning Cash 20,000 Sales 10,000 10,700 11,449 Cash/Check 2,290 One month 3,210 Two months 5,000 Total collections 10,500 Purchases 6,125 Manpower/Fixed 2,290 Loan Repayment 2,000 Total Payments 10,415 Net Cash Flow 85 Unadjusted Cash Balance 20,085 Borrowing 0 Ending Cash 20,085 %Del 0% % Inv 50% % Man 20% May 20,085 12,250 2,450 3,435 5,350 11,235 6,554 2,450 2,000 11,004 231 20,316 0 20,316 June 20,316 13,108 2,622 3,675 5,725 12,021 7,013 2,622 2,000 11,634 387 20,702 0 20,702 Loan rep 2,000 July Aug 20,702 14,026 15,007 2,805 3,932 6,125 12,863 7,504 2,805 2,000 12,309 554 21,256 0 21,256 A Better Cash Budget All the numbers in the Cash Budget thus only depend on the assumptions in cells B5..I7. Now we can easily see what happens if e.g. the Growth increases to 11% and the manpower costs to 25% but the beginning cash is reduced to 1000. Cash Budget 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 Cash Budget April to July Sales Growth Initial Sales Begining Cash 11% %COD 20% 10,000 % 1mo 30% 1,000 % 2mo 50% Feb March April Beginning Cash 1,000 Sales 10,000 11,100 12,321 Cash/Check 2,464 One month 3,330 Two months 5,000 Total collections 10,794 Purchases 6,838 Manpower/Fixed 3,080 Loan Repayment 2,000 Total Payments 11,918 Net Cash Flow -1,124 Unadjusted Cash Balance -124 Borrowing 124 Ending Cash 0 %Del 0% % Inv 50% % Man 25% May 0 13,676 2,735 3,696 5,550 11,982 7,590 3,419 2,000 13,009 -1,028 -1,028 1,028 0 Loan rep 2,000 June July 0 15,181 3,036 4,103 6,161 13,300 8,425 3,795 2,000 14,220 -921 -921 921 0 0 16,851 18,704 3,370 4,554 6,838 14,762 9,352 4,213 2,000 15,565 -802 -802 802 0 Aug A Better Cash Budget Great we have achieved a lot, but we can still make this a bit better. The very least we would need to pay interest on the new loans. Also, in order to avoid bounced checks etc., we should have a minimum sum in the bank. Let us add these requirements. Cash Budget 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 Sales Growth Initial Sales Begining Cash Minimum Cash 11% %COD 20% 10,000 % 1mo 30% 1,000 % 2mo 50% 1,000 March April Beginning Cash 1,000 Sales 10,000 11,100 12,321 Cash/Check 2,464 One month 3,330 Two months 5,000 Total collections 10,794 Purchases 6,838 Manpower/Fixed 2,464 Loan Repayments 2,000 Total Payments 11,302 Net Cash Flow -508 Unadjusted Cash Balance 492 Borrowing 508 Ending Cash 1,000 Total Loan Feb 0 508 %Del 0% % Inv 50% % Man 20% May 1,000 13,676 2,735 3,696 5,550 11,982 7,590 2,735 2,005 12,331 -349 651 349 1,000 June 1,000 15,181 3,036 4,103 6,161 13,300 8,425 3,036 2,009 13,470 -170 830 170 1,000 857 1,028 Old Loan 2,000 Interest on 1% new Loan July Aug 1,000 16,851 18,704 3,370 4,554 6,838 14,762 9,352 3,370 2,010 14,732 30 1,030 0 1,030 1,028 A Better Cash Budget How was this done? In E22, the formula used was: =IF(E21<$C$7,$C$7-E21,0) Then on a auxiliary row, the total new loans are being kept track off. The new formula for loan repayments then becomes: =$I$4+$I$5*D25 Amazing! We not only accomplished budgeting for all this: – – – – – – – Sales are expected to grow at 7% a month 20% of sales are COD (cash/check on delivery) 30% of sales are paid during the month following the sale 50% of sales are paid in the second month after the sale Manpower and fixed costs are 20% of sales Inventory purchases are 50% of the following month’s sales Loan repayments of $2000 per month But we also Amazing! ..added: – – – – What-IF Scenarios Borrowing requirements Maintenance of a minimum sum Effects of interest of new loans on cash flow Good use of simple tools can be powerful! What-if: Growth 38% 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 Cash Budget April to July -Golden Dragon Double Win International Sales Growth Initial Sales Begining Cash Minimum Cash 38% %COD 20% 10,000 % 1mo 30% 10,010 % 2mo 50% 10,000 Feb March April Beginning Cash 10,010 Sales 10,000 13,800 19,044 Cash/Check 3,809 One month 4,140 Two months 5,000 Total collections 12,949 Purchases 13,140 Manpower/Fixed 4,761 Loan Repayments 2,000 Total Payments 19,901 Net Cash Flow -6,953 Unadjusted Cash Balance 3,057 Borrowing 6,943 Ending Cash 10,000 %Del 0% % Inv 50% % Man 25% May 10,000 26,281 5,256 5,713 6,900 17,869 18,134 6,570 2,069 26,773 -8,904 1,096 8,904 10,000 June 10,000 36,267 7,253 7,884 9,522 24,660 25,025 9,067 2,158 36,250 -11,590 -1,590 11,590 10,000 Old Loan 2,000 Interest on 1% new Loan July Aug 10,000 50,049 69,068 10,010 10,880 13,140 34,030 34,534 12,512 2,274 49,320 -15,290 -5,290 15,290 10,000 What-if: Growth 38% 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 New Borrowing Grows rapidly! Sales Growth Initial Sales Begining Cash Minimum Cash %COD 20% 38% 10,000 % 1mo 30% 10,000 % 2mo 50% 10,000 Aug Sep Beginning Cash 50,049 69,068 Sales Cash/Check One month Two months Total collections Purchases Manpower/Fixed Loan Repayments Total Payments Net Cash Flow Unadjusted Borrowing Ending Cash Total New Borrowing 37052 Oct 10,000 95,313 19,063 20,720 25,025 64,807 65,766 23,828 2,371 91,965 -27,158 -17,158 27,158 10,000 %Del % Inv % Man Nov 10,000 131,532 26,306 28,594 34,534 89,434 90,757 32,883 2,642 126,283 -36,848 -26,848 36,848 10,000 0% 50% 25% Dec 10,000 181,515 36,303 39,460 47,657 123,419 125,245 45,379 3,011 173,634 -50,215 -40,215 50,215 10,000 64,210 101,058 151,273 Old Loan 2,000 Interest on 1% new Loan Feb Jan 10,000 250,490 345,677 50,098 54,454 65,766 170,319 172,838 62,623 3,513 238,974 -68,655 -58,655 68,655 10,000 219,928 What-if: Growth 38% 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 Sales Growth Initial Sales Begining Cash Minimum Cash %COD 38% 10,000 % 1mo 10,000 % 2mo 10,000 Feb Jan Beginning Cash 250,490 345,676 Sales Cash/Check One month Two months Total collections Purchases Manpower/Fixed Loan Repayments Total Payments Net Cash Flow Unadjusted Borrowing Ending Cash But once it stops growing, cash flow becomes positive rapidly. Total New Borrowing 219,928 20% 30% 50% Mar 10,000 345,676 69,135 103,703 125,245 298,083 172,838 86,419 4,199 263,456 34,627 44,627 0 44,627 %Del % Inv % Man Apr 44,627 345,676 69,135 103,703 172,838 345,676 172,838 86,419 4,199 263,456 82,220 126,846 0 126,846 0% 50% 25% May 126,846 345,676 69,135 103,703 172,838 345,676 172,838 86,419 4,199 263,456 82,220 209,066 0 209,066 219,928 219,928 219,928 Old Loan 2,000 Interest on 1% new Loan Jul Jun 209,066 345,676 345,676 69,135 103,703 172,838 345,676 172,838 86,419 4,199 263,456 82,220 291,286 0 291,286 219,928 Amazing! ..indeed: – – – – New cash requirements grow rapidly If profitability growth cannot keep pace there will be trouble Even though profitable, this company could go bust in a cash crunch On the other hand, if growth slows, profits may become large Good use of simple tools can be powerful! May depend on a sound analysis Key Points of the Day The Cash Budget shows the cash requirements of a company Even though the task accomplished is rather complex, it is surprisingly easy to do with Excel when doing things step by step.