CWEX (Crop/Wind-Energy Experiment): Measurements and numerical modeling of the interaction between crop production and wind power by Daniel Andrew Rajewski A dissertation submitted to the graduate faculty in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY Major: Meteorology Program of Study Committee: Eugene S. Takle, Major Professor William A. Gallus, Jr. Raymond W. Arritt William J. Gutowski S. Elwynn Taylor Iowa State University Ames, Iowa 2013 Copyright © Daniel Andrew Rajewski, 2013. All rights reserved. ii DEDICATION I dedicate this work to our Lord and Savior Jesus Christ, king of the universe and the Lord of turbulence and of stability. I remember also our heavenly mother who is present in the wind guiding us along to her Son. Ave Maris Stella! The rushing wind of the Holy Spirit is ever upon the earth and all creation awaits the full realization of renewal. Maranatha! May these academic inspirations be used by all to promote the dignity of all of God’s creation while improving the common good to prepare for the full realization of His kingdom. I offer a prayer of praise and thanksgiving in the words of Saint Francis of Assisi: Canticle of Brother Sun Most High Almighty Good Lord, Yours are praise, glory, honor and all blessings; To You alone! Most High, do they belong, and no man is worthy of speaking Your Name! Be praised, Lord, with all Your creatures, and above all our Brother Sun, who gives us the day by which You light our way, and who is beautiful, radiant and with his great splendor is a symbol to us of You, O Most High! And be praised, Lord, for our Sister Moon and the Stars. You created them in the heavens bright, precious and beautiful! And be praised, Lord, for our Brother the Wind and for the air and the clouds and for fair weather and for all other through which You sustain Your creatures. And be praised, Lord, for our Sister Water, so useful, and humble, and chaste! And be praised, my Lord, for our Brother Fire, through whom You light up the night and who is handsome, joyful, robust, and strong! And be praised, my Lord, for our Sister, Mother Earth, who supports and carries us and produces the diverse fruits and colorful flowers and trees! Praise and bless the Lord and give thanks to Him and serve Him with great humility! Be praised, my Lord, for our Sister, bodily Death from whom no living man can escape! Woe only to those who die in mortal sin; but blessed are those who have done Your most holy will; for the second death can cause them no harm! Amen. iii TABLE OF CONTENTS Page DEDICATION .......................................................................................................... ii LIST OF FIGURES ................................................................................................... vi LIST OF TABLES .................................................................................................... xiii NOMENCLATURE .................................................................................................. xix ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS ...................................................................................... xx ABSTRACT .............................................................................................................. xxiii CHAPTER 1. GENERAL INTRODUCTION ...................................................... 1 Introduction .................................................................................................. Dissertation Organization .................................................................................... Literature Review ................................................................................................ References ........................................................................................................ Figures .................................................................................................... 1 2 3 18 29 CHAPTER 2. CWEX: CROP/WIND-ENERGY EXPERIMENT: OBSERVATIONS OF SURFACE-LAYER, BOUNDARY-LAYER AND MESOSCALE INTERACTIONS WITH A WIND FARM Abstract ........................................................................................................ Introduction ........................................................................................................ Site Description ................................................................................................... CWEX measurement design ............................................................................... Detection of turbine-induced surface flux differences ........................................ Turbine wake influences on wind and turbulence profiles: a case study, night of 16-17 July 2011 .............................................................................................. Turbine influences on fluxes of heat and carbon dioxide ................................... Remaining science questions and future campaigns .......................................... Acknowledgements ............................................................................................. References ........................................................................................................ Figures ........................................................................................................ Tables ........................................................................................................ 30 30 31 33 34 36 41 42 44 47 47 51 60 iv Page CHAPTER 3. CHANGES IN FLUXES OF HEAT, H2O, AND CO2 CAUSED BY A LARGE WIND FARM Abstract ........................................................................................................ Introduction ........................................................................................................ Materials and Methods ........................................................................................ Theory/Calculation .............................................................................................. Results ........................................................................................................ Discussion ....................................................................................................... Conclusion ........................................................................................................ Acknowledgements ............................................................................................. References ........................................................................................................ Figures ........................................................................................................ Tables ........................................................................................................ 66 67 70 71 76 83 85 86 87 91 98 CHAPTER 4. AIR TEMPERATURE AND HEAT FLUX MEASUREMENTS WITHIN TWO LINES OF TURBINES IN A LARGE OPERATIONAL WIND FARM Abstract ........................................................................................................ Introduction ........................................................................................................ Materials and Methods ........................................................................................ Analyses procedures ............................................................................................ Results ........................................................................................................ Discussion ....................................................................................................... Conclusion ........................................................................................................ Acknowledgements ............................................................................................. References ........................................................................................................ Figures ........................................................................................................ Tables ........................................................................................................ 108 108 108 111 112 116 124 126 127 127 131 139 CROP AND TILLAGE ROUGHNESS SENSITIVITIES TO WIND POWER ............................................................................. Abstract ........................................................................................................ Introduction ........................................................................................................ Materials and Methods ........................................................................................ Theory/Calculations ............................................................................................ Results ........................................................................................................ Concluding remarks ............................................................................................ Acknowledgements ............................................................................................. References ........................................................................................................ Figures ........................................................................................................ Tables ........................................................................................................ 66 CHAPTER 5. 154 154 155 160 162 166 173 174 174 178 186 v Page CHAPTER 6. GENERAL CONCLUSIONS ........................................................ 190 General discussion............................................................................................... 190 Recommendations for Future Research .............................................................. 194 References ........................................................................................................ 197 vi LIST OF FIGURES Page CHAPTER 1. Figure 1. Overview schematic of several hypothetical influences of wind energy on crop agriculture. 29 Figure 2. Overview schematic of several hypothetical influences of agricultural crop production on wind energy. 29 CHAPTER 2. Figure 1. Overlay of the wind farm boundaries with an expanded view of the measurement locations for CWEX-10 and CWEX-11. 51 Figure 2. Climatological 10-m wind roses of the Marshalltown airport for the months of (a) January and (b) July. . 52 Figure 3. Wind roses for (a) CWEX-10 6.5-m winds at the reference flux tower (NLAE 1), (b) CWEX-11 10-m winds at the reference flux tower (NCAR 1), and (c) CWEX-11 80-m winds from the upwind wind cube (WC 68). Dashed lines denote wind directions for turbine wakes on downwind stations . 53 Figure 4. CWEX-10 differences (downwind – upwind) of normalized wind speed and normalized TKE, 9-m air temperature, and uncorrected sensible heat flux as functions of upwind flux tower thermal stability (z/L0): for the westerly no-wake case (a),(d),(g),and (j); for the SW B2 turbine wake case (b),(e),(h),and (k); and for the SSE case between the wakes of turbine B2 and B3 (c),(f),(i),and (l). 54 vii Figure 5. Contours of wind speed from (a) WC 68, (b) WC 49, and (c) calculated difference in wind speed attributed to the wind turbine wake effect. Overlay with a solid black line is for the top of the rotor height and the dashed black line indicates the hub height. 56 Figure 6. Time-height cross sections of (a) upwind TKE profile, (b) downwind TKE profile, and (c) difference between (a) and (b). Overlay with a solid line is for the top of the rotor height and the dashed line indicates the hub height. 57 Figure 7. Differences during the night of 16-17 July 2011 for (a) wind speed (b) TKE, (c) air temperature, and (d) sensible heat flux. Note that at the ISU tower wind speed and temperature are collected at the 8-m level while the NCAR tower wind speed and temperature are observed at 10 m Time-height cross sections of (a) upwind TKE profile, (b) downwind TKE profile, and (c) difference between (a) and (b). Overlay with a solid line is for the top of the rotor height and the dashed line indicates the hub height. 58 Figure 8. Comparison of differences in 30-min averaged fluxes of sensible heat (a-b), latent heat (c-d), and CO2 (e-f) between NCAR 3 and NCAR 1 for a southerly wind case on 18 July 2011 and for a transition from southerly to northwesterly direction on 2 Aug 2011. NCAR 3 10-m wind direction vectors are overlaid for each image. Dashed lines in (b), (d), and (f) denote the period of cloudiness during the transition of winds from southerly to northwesterly on the early afternoon of 2 Aug 2011. 59 viii CHAPTER 3. Figure 1. Conceptual model of wind turbine wake flow and the corresponding effect on crop fluxes. 91 Figure 2. Energy budget closure trend line and correlation coefficient (R2) of (Rnet-G vs. H+E+Fc) among the upwind and downwind flux stations: NLAE 1-NLAE 2 and NCAR 1 and NCAR 3. 92 Figure 3. Graphical representation of ‘wake’ wind direction sectors for the downwind flux tower overlaid on the CWEX-10/11 measurement locations. These directional categories are represented in the flux difference directional day and nighttime composites. 93 Figure 4. Wind direction-sector accumulated downwind-upwind differences in sensible heat flux (H) for the DAY and the NIGHT case. The downwind-upwind mean difference and standard deviations of the difference in H are overlaid for each directional composite and distance from an individual turbine. Figure 5. As in Figure 4 but for latent heat flux (E). 94 95 Figure 6. Wind direction-sector accumulated downwind-upwind differences in CO2 Gross Primary Production (GPP) for the DAY case and net ecosystem respiration (Re) for the NIGHT case. The downwind-upwind mean difference and standard deviations of the differences in CO2 flux (fc) are overlaid for each directional composite category and distance from an individual turbine. 96 ix Figure 7. Mean and standard deviations of the downwind-upwind differences in u* for the DAY and the NIGHT cases of directional composite category and distance from an individual turbine. 97 CHAPTER 4. Figure 1. Wind direction-sector accumulated downwind-upwind differences in air temperature for the DAY-NEUTRAL case for the (a) NLAE flux stations and (b) NCAR flux stations. The downwind-upwind mean difference and standard deviations of the difference in temperature are overlaid for each directional composite category and distance from an individual turbine. 131 Figure 2. Wind direction-sector accumulated downwind-upwind differences in air temperature for the DAY-UNSTABLE case for the (a) NLAE flux stations and (b) NCAR flux stations. The downwind-upwind mean difference and standard deviations of the difference in temperature are overlaid for each directional composite category and distance from an individual turbine. 132 Figure 3. Wind direction-sector accumulated downwind-upwind differences in air temperature for the NIGHT-STABLE case for the (a) NLAE flux stations and (b) NCAR flux stations. The downwind-upwind mean difference and standard deviations of the difference in temperature are overlaid for each directional composite category and distance from an individual turbine. Figure 4. Wind direction-sector accumulated downwind-upwind differences in sensible heat flux (H) for the DAY-NEUTRAL case for the (a) NLAE 133 x flux stations and (b) NCAR flux stations. The downwind-upwind mean difference and standard deviations of the difference in H are overlaid for each directional composite category and distance from an individual turbine. 134 Figure 5. Wind direction-sector accumulated downwind-upwind differences in sensible heat flux (H) for the DAY-UNSTABLE case for the (a) NLAE flux stations and (b) NCAR flux stations. The downwind-upwind mean difference and standard deviations of the difference in H are overlaid for each directional composite category and distance from an individual turbine. 135 Figure 6. Wind direction-sector accumulated downwind-upwind differences in sensible heat flux (H) for the NIGHT-STABLE case for the (a) NLAE flux stations and (b) NCAR flux stations. The downwind-upwind mean difference and standard deviations of the difference in H are overlaid for each directional composite category and distance from an individual turbine. 136 Figure 7. S-SSE NIGHT-STABLE case of the NLAE downwind-upwind mean differences and standard deviations of differences in (a) 9-m air temperature, (b) normalized wind speed with respect to the nacelle speed, (c) sonic heat flux, and (d) normalized TKE with respect to the upwind flux tower TKE (TKE0) according to the variability of the nacelle speed. Nacelle speed bins are centered on the ±0.5 m s-1 mark of integer category from 4 to 12 m s-1. Figure 8. NIGHT-STABLE case illustrating the variability of mean differences and standard deviations of differences according to 10-m wind direction 137 xi at the NCAR 2 station. Directional bins are centered on the ±5° interval for each 10° bin. In (a) Downwind-Upwind differences of the wind cube data (WC 49-WC 68) at 40m, 80m, and 120m are overlaid on to the NCAR downwind-upwind differences and the ISU downwind-upwind differences. In (b) turbine-added turbulence intensity is determined among all downwind stations from the NCAR and ISU stations. In (c) downwind-upwind NCAR station differences of 10-m air temperature. In (d) downwind-upwind NCAR and ISU station differences of 6.5-m sonic heat flux. Blue X’s denote the centerline position of the B1, B2, and B3 turbine wakes at the NCAR 2 station for wind directions near 225°, 180°, and 135° respectively. 138 CHAPTER 5. Figure 1. (a) rated power curve for the GE 1.5 MW SLE and XLE turbine and (b) calculated power coefficient using the GE 1.5 MW SLE power curve. 178 Figure 2. Seasonal changes in wind speed category determined from monthly average wind speed maps from the Iowa Energy Center and changes in roughness according to a typical field tillage and planting schedule for corn and soybean with plowed soil, mulch till, and no-till surfaces during the off-season. 179 Figure 3. Nightly progression of the low-level wind speed profile for the YSU (cyan) MYJ (red) QNSE (green), MYNN2.5 (blue) and mean of the schemes (black). Snapshots correspond to 2000 (LST) in (a), 2200 (LST) in (b), 0200 (LST) in (c), 0700 (LST) in (d), 0900 (LST) in (e), and 1100 (LST) in (f). 180 xii Figure 4. As in Figure 3 but zoomed in on the 40 to 120-m rotor layer for no-till surface (solid thick line), soybean surface (thick dashed line), and corn surface (thin line with X stiple). 181 Figure 5. Normalized power change from the plowed soil condition according to the rotor layer stability for a geostrophic speeds of 6 m s-1 for (a) no-till, (b) soybean, and (c) maize roughness and for a geostrophic speed of 10 m s-1 for (d) no-till, (e) soybean, and (c) maize PBL and ensemble colored boxes same as thick colored lines of Figure 3. 182 Figure 6. Normalized power difference from plowed soil condition and accumulated power difference for a 48-hr period to analyze PBL scheme sensitivity to roughness for geostrophic wind speed categories of (a) 6 m s-1, (b) 10 m s-1, and (c) 16 m s-1 . Standard deviations of the PBL ensemble averaged quantities are denoted with black error bars. 183 Figure 7. Daily net revenue change from plowed soil condition vs. roughness for each PBL scheme and the ensemble mean for speed categories of (a) 6 m s-1, (b) 10 m s-1, and (c) 16 m s-1 and annual net revenue change for (d) climatological wind year. The standard deviations of the PBL ensemble averaged quantities are denoted with black error bars. 184 Figure 8. Combination scenarios of (a) annual revenue for the climatological wind year for multiple crop type corn (C) and soybean (S) and for tillage methods (plow, mulch, and no-till) and for (b) the 30-yr lifetime of the wind farm for various sequence differences of crop rotation and tilling methods as in (a). The standard deviation of the PBL ensemble averaged quantities are denoted with black error bars. 185 xiii LIST OF TABLES Page CHAPTER 2. Table 1 Instrumentation type, sensor height, and location for flux stations operating during CWEX-10 and CWEX-11. More detailed specifications of each sensor in the following footnotes #1-8. 60 Table 2. CWEX-10 means and standard deviations (in parentheses) of the differences (downwind – upwind) in normalized wind speed for upwind flux tower thermal stability (z/L0) categories: unstable, neutral, and stable for the westerly no-wake case; for the SW B2 turbine wake case; and for the SSE gap case between the wakes of turbine B2 and B3. Notable differences are indicated with double asterisks. 62 Table 3 CWEX-10 means and standard deviations (in parentheses) of differences (downwind – upwind) in normalized TKE for upwind flux tower thermal stability (z/L0) categories: unstable, neutral, and stable for the westerly no-wake case; for the SW B2 turbine wake case; and for the SSE gap case between the wakes of turbine B2 and B3. Notable differences are indicated with double asterisks. 63 xiv Table 4. CWEX-10 means and standard deviations (in parentheses) of the differences (downwind – upwind) of 9-m air temperature for upwind flux tower thermal stability (z/L0) categories: unstable, neutral, and stable for the westerly no-wake case; for the SW B2 turbine wake case; and for the SSE gap case between the wakes of turbine B2 and B3. Notable differences are indicated with double asterisks. 64 Table 5. CWEX-10 means and standard deviations (in parentheses) of the differences (downwind – upwind) of uncorrected sensible heat flux for upwind flux tower thermal stability (z/L0) categories: unstable, neutral, and stable for the westerly no-wake case; for the SW B2 turbine wake case; and for the SSE gap case between the wakes of turbine B2 and B3. Notable differences are indicated with double asterisks. 65 CHAPTER 3. Table 1. Wind direction sectors corresponding to the turbine wake or gap (between turbine) flow for the B1 to B3 turbines on the leading line of turbines at the wind farm. Composites of these direction sectors are included for when the turbines were operational or offline. The number of observations in the DAY and NIGHT cases is included. . 98 Table 2. Means, standard deviations, the 95% upper and lower confidence interval of the mean difference, and the skewness and kurtosis of the difference distributions for (a) DAY and (b) NIGHT downwind-upwind sensible heat flux differences (H) for each direction composite as presented in Table 1. 99 Table 3. Same as in Table 2 but for downwind-upwind latent heat flux differences (E) for each direction composite as presented in Table 1. 101 xv Table 4. Same as in Table 3 but for downwind-upwind CO2 flux differences (fc) for each direction composite as presented in Table 1. 103 Table 5. Tests of statistical significance (t-test, and Wilcoxon-pair) for the means of the flux differences of sensible heat flux (H) for each of the comparison categories tested in the DAY case (a) and the NIGHT case (b). Statistical significance is identified by bold red labeling if the mean differences are not equal according to a probability threshold at or exceeding 95%. 105 Table 6. Same as in Table 5 but for latent heat flux (E). 106 Table 7. Same as in Table 5 but for CO2 flux (fc). 107 CHAPTER 4. Table 1. Wind direction sectors corresponding to the turbine wake or gap (between turbine) flow for the B1 to B3 turbines on the leading line of turbines at the wind farm for (a) NLAE station differences and for (b) NCAR station differences. Composites of these direction sectors are included for when the turbines were operational or offline. The number of observations, (N) in each of the DAY-NEUTRAL, DAY-UNSTABLE and NIGHT-STABLE conditions is included. . 139 Table 2. Nacelle speed categories and upwind flux tower Monin Obukhov lengths (L) of for the S-SSE NIGHT-STABLE condition to determine relationships with surface flux differences with turbine speed. Sample sizes are also provided for each category. Nacelle speed bins are centered on the ±0.5 m s-1 mark of each integer category from 4 to 12 m s-1. 140 xvi Table 3. 10-m wind direction sectors at the NCAR 2 flux station corresponding to the turbine wake centerline or edge position (on periphery of wake) for the B1 to B3 turbines on the leading line of turbines at the wind farm for the NIGHT-STABLE case. Directional bins are centered on the ±5° interval for each 10° bin composite. The number of observations, (N) is included for each direction sector. 141 Table 4. Means and the 95% upper and lower confidence interval of the mean differences in air temperature of the downwind-upwind difference distributions for DAY-NETURAL cases among the (a) NLAE flux tower stations and (b) NCAR flux tower stations. Significant differences are indicated in light red highlight when the confidence interval of the test condition does not share the bounds of two null cases of westerly wind and turbines offline. 142 Table 5. Means and the 95% upper and lower confidence interval of the mean differences in air temperature of the downwind-upwind difference distributions for DAY-UNSTABLE cases among the (a) NLAE flux tower stations and (b) NCAR flux tower stations. Significant differences are indicated in light red highlight when the confidence interval of the test condition does not share the bounds of two null cases of westerly wind and turbines offline. Table 6. Means and the 95% upper and lower confidence interval of the mean differences in air temperature of the downwind-upwind difference distributions for NIGHT-STABLE cases among the (a) NLAE flux tower stations and (b) NCAR flux tower stations. Significant differences are indicated in light red highlight when the confidence interval of the test condition does not share the bounds of 144 xvii two null cases of westerly wind and turbines offline. 146 Table 7. Means and the 95% upper and lower confidence interval of the mean differences in sonic heat flux of the downwind-upwind difference distributions for DAY-NETURAL cases among the (a) NLAE flux tower stations and (b) NCAR flux tower stations. Significant differences are indicated in light red highlight when the confidence interval of the test condition does not share the bounds of two null cases of westerly wind and turbines offline. 148 Table 8. Means and the 95% upper and lower confidence interval of the mean differences in sonic heat flux of the downwind-upwind difference distributions for DAY-UNSTABLE cases among the (a) NLAE flux tower stations and (b) NCAR flux tower stations. Significant differences are indicated in light red highlight when the confidence interval of the test condition does not share the bounds of two null cases of westerly wind and turbines offline. 150 Table 9. Means and the 95% upper and lower confidence interval of the mean differences in sonic heat flux of the downwind-upwind difference distributions for NIGHT-STABLE cases among the (a) NLAE flux tower stations and (b) NCAR flux tower stations. Significant differences are indicated in light red highlight when the confidence interval of the test condition does not share the bounds of two null cases of westerly wind and turbines offline. 152 xviii CHAPTER 5. Table 1. Average (maximum) hub height speeds for each PBL scheme and the ensemble averages for geostrophic speed categories from 6 m s-1 to 16 m s-1. 186 Table 2. Comparison of model surface roughness (z0) to characteristic roughness type in a cropland agricultural setting. 187 Table 3. Average power (a) and maximum power (b) for the 48-hr simulations for each PBL scheme and speed category for the baseline smooth soil condition (z0=0.005 m). 188 Table 4. Tillage crop type combination for three tillage methods (plow, mulch, no-till) and two crops corn (C) and soybean (S) to evaluate the effect of seasonal change of roughness on the annual production of wind power. 189 Table 5. Tillage and crop-type combinations for two or three year sequences corresponding to the effect of roughness over an assumed 30-yr lifetime of the wind farm. 190 xix NOMENCLATURE CU University of Colorado CWEX Crop/Wind-energy Experiment D turbine rotor diameter (e.g. 74 m) DOE Department of Energy GPP Gross Primary Production LES Large Eddy simulation LLJ Low Level Jet NLAE National Laboratory for Agriculture and the Environment NCAR National Center for Atmospheric Research NREL National Renewable Energy Laboratory PBL Planetary Boundary Layer Re Ecosystem respiration SCADA Super control advisory data acquisition SLE Super long extended TKE Turbulent Kinetic Energy XLE Extra long extended WRF Weather Research and Forecasting (Model) xx ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS This dissertation work was possible only with the support and guidance of many work colleagues and contacts outside of academia. I first recognize all my committee members: Dr. Raymond Arritt, Dr. William Gallus, Dr. William Gutowski and Dr. S. Elwynn Taylor, and my major professor Dr. Eugene Takle for all their assistance in refining my research efforts especially during and after the preliminary oral exam. I recognize the contributions of my adviser in so many steps taken to develop this dissertation product. With the help of Moti Segal, Gene gave me the experience of learning how to plan and conduct a new research idea. They welcomed my participation in the proposal building process to begin the CWEX measurement program in 2009 and promote additional field campaigns in 2010-2011, which lead to my analyses of the data. I thank Gene for the opportunities to continue developing good research skills and for his example in the fine art of communicating the science to the wider community in professional and non-academic circles. He also led the best public relations effort to begin taking measurements on the wind farm, and demonstrated the proper repertoire with land owners/farm operations managers/wind farm operators for the duration of the CWEX study. I have had a unique opportunity to be part of this research team, which included and has continued collaboration with outstanding experts from multiple research and academic institutions. I thank Gene for his continued patience and time in the dissemination of the research results and the clear interpretation of an ever more complex conceptual model of wind-turbine/wind farm flow developed from this research. I recognize Moti for his assistance in beginning the modifications to the WRF model, which allowed me to test the sensitivities of roughness on wind power that I present in this work. Moti devoted several hours of debugging and referencing code resources to assist in this modeling effort. He also gave preliminary guidance in the first stage of the CWEX measurements in 2009 and 2010. Finally I recognize him for his helpful connections in acquiring preliminary results from the San Gorgoinio wind farm from Dr. xxi Neil Kelley and most important his introduction of Russell Doorenbos to the field planning and preparation of CWEX. Russ has graciously offered his services in transportation to the wind farm, scouting the land, and helping take measurements. In addition to Gene, he has continued building a healthy repertoire with local landowners, agricultural managers, and the wind farm operator. In his participation of this research, I have observed several unique events of fog dissipation at the wind farm and other cloudscale peculiarities around wind turbines. His wiling use of personal guidance positioning systems, cameras, and other equipment has greatly assisted in the measurement campaigns. Russ has also developed high quality graphics and animations for use in publications and for easier interpretation of the data. I also acknowledge him as a member of the CWEX team of co-authors who has provided helpful insights and edits in the publications and in the proofreading of one of the dissertation chapters. I acknowledge several other colleagues for the planning and conducting of the CWEX-10/11 campaigns. Dr. Julie Lundquist (from the University of Colorado and the National Renewable Energy Laboratory) and her students Michael Rhodes and Matthew Aitken have given me an introduction to LiDAR wind profiling instruments and how to use the data with the surface fluxes that were measured above the corn canopy. The CU team has been a vital resource in developing new science and refining my understanding of turbine wakes and the surface impact of turbines. Dr. John Prueger, Dr. Jerry Hatfield, Forrest Goodman, and Richard Pfeifier from the National Laboratory for Agriculture and the Environment provided instrumentation and data recovery support to the 2010 field study. I also thank John for his assistance in providing our team with a better understanding of turbulence spectra and wavelets, which unfortunately not reported in this dissertation work, will be in an upcoming publication. I recognize Dr. Steven Oncley, Dr. Thomas Horst, Gordon MacLean, and Kurt Knudson from the National Center for Atmospheric Research for their many hours of preparation and deployment, instrumentation upkeep, maintenance, phone and email exchanges, and special maintenance visits to the site in 2011. The NCAR team has also been a valuable asset for learning post-experiment data correction methods and data file entry. These xxii techniques have saved much time and effort in analysis of the CWEX-10/11 measurements. I thank fellow student Kristopher Spoth as his role in the CWEX-11 measurements and the follow-on years of developing good data post-processing techniques. His efforts in improving (creating) old (new) data scripts have also been a great assistance to the analysis efforts. I additionally recognize several former/current graduate students who provided time or physical labor to the project. I thank Adam Deppe for his assistance in operating the WRF model and for applying the code to my needs with the vertical resolution that he used in his research work. He also assisted in the measurement campaigns in 2009 and 2010. Dr. Eric Aligo provided assistance with debugging and running WRF. I appreciate all the computing services given by Daryl Herzmann and Dave Flory. I recognize many other undergraduate/graduate students for their assistance in deployment of CWEX-10/11: Kristy Carter, James Cayer, Brandon Fisel, Mallory Flowers, Matthew Lauridsen, Lars Mattison, Shannon Patton, Arin Peters, Aaron Rosenberg, Renee Walton, and Catum Whitfield. I thank James Cayer for his help in interpreting the LiDAR data analysis of CWEX-11. I am grateful to the open connections made with the landowners, farm managers, and the wind farm site managers over 2009-2012. Additional recognition is given to the owner of the wind farm meteorology data for providing the turbine SCADA data for the analyses. Without their cooperation and compliance to our requests for launching CWEX, none of these results reported here would come from field measurements. I thank all my friends and ‘mentors’ outside of my department or outside of the ISU community for their support and interest in my research efforts. I recognize my sister, Monica in her editing of portion of this dissertation. I appreciate the love support and prayers of my family and friends during this time of completing my journey as a Ph D candidate. Finally I thank my Creator, Savior, Counselor in One who has opened the doors in making all this work possible and for the test of patience and gift of time to complete such a long, intricate investigation into “seeing” the invisible swirls of turbulence that are present both inside and outside of wind farms. xxiii ABSTRACT The current expansion of wind farms in the U.S. Midwest promotes an alternative renewable energy portfolio to conventional energy sources derived from fossil fuels. The construction of wind turbines and large wind farms within several millions of cropland acres creates a unique interaction between two unlike energy sources: electric generation by wind and bio-fuel production derived from crop grain and plant tissues. Wind turbines produce power by extracting mean wind speed and converting a portion of the flow to turbulence downstream of each rotor. Turbine-scale turbulence modifies fluxes of momentum, heat, moisture, and other gaseous constituents (e.g. carbon dioxide) between the crop canopy and the atmospheric boundary layer. Conversely, crop surfaces and tillage elements produce drag on the hub-height wind resource, and the release of sensible and latent heat flux from the canopy or soil influences the wind speed profile. The Crop-Wind Energy Experiment (CWEX) measured crop fluxes at several locations within the leading line of turbines in a large operational wind farm and overall turbines promote canopy mixing of wind speed, temperature, moisture, and carbon in both the day and night. Turbine-generated perturbations of these fluxes are dependent on several factors influencing the turbine operation (e.g. wind speed, wind direction, stability, orientation of surrounding turbines within a wind park) and the cropland surface (e.g. crop type and cultivar, planting density, chemical application, and soil composition and drainage qualities). Crop management and tillage practices also modify the wind resource. Significant power reduction for turbines surrounded by a tall crop (e.g. corn) is less likely in the summer because hub height winds are weak. Outside of the growing season, mulch till or least tilled (no-till) surface promotes some enhancement to the wind resource particularly during the night when a low level jet is near the turbine rotor layer. Additional strategies are proposed for optimizing the synergy between crop and wind power. 1 CHAPTER 1. INTRODUCTION General Introduction The wind energy industry has undergone rapid expansion in the last decade. Large wind farms are installed on several thousand if not millions of cropland acres of the U.S. Midwest. The rise in domestic energy production facilitates meeting the U.S. Department of Energy goal of 2030 goal of 20% electric generation from renewable resources (2008a). Several states are on target to increase wind power generation ten to forty times the installed capacity of the previous five to ten years. The Central and Great Plains regions of the U.S. feature a rich area of wind. Westward blocking of flow alongside the Rocky Mountains and the nighttime interaction of the terrain with inertial oscillation generate a low-level jet (LLJ) of air. This nighttime LLJ is favorable for not only wind but also supports agricultural crop production through moisture transport and precipitation of Mesoscale Convective Systems (MCSs). Agricultural seed production is a major component of renewable bio-ethanol and biodiesel fuel resources. Recent technologies with crop biomass material (crop seeds and post-harvest residues [xylem and leaves]) allow more efficient and cost-effective cellulosic ethanol production. As crop biomass and wind power have become major contributors in a domestic energy portfolio, there is little to no understanding of the interaction between these two energy resources. This dissertation investigates (1) the impact of wind turbines and large wind farms on crop microclimate and (2) the impact of crop agricultural management decisions on wind power. Determination of this synergy and development of new strategies are imperative for optimizing economic gain for both crop biomass and wind energy industries. Studying atmospheric interactions of wind turbines and the crop surface provides a better understanding of the physical processes within the lower levels of the planetary boundary layer (PBL). This dissertation addresses the interconnection of agricultural croplands, wind farms, and the boundary layer using a combination of analyses from two main research tools. In situ crop flux measurements were taken in the Crop/Windenergy Experiment (CWEX) within an operational scale wind farm. Data from this 2 inaugural field program highlights wind turbine impacts on crop microclimate. To address possible effects of crop surfaces on wind power and the wind resource, a simplified numerical model is developed. The model determines surface sensitivities of tillage and crop type to the daytime and nighttime power resource in a late growing season or post-harvest period. Dissertation Organization In the remainder of this chapter, a two-part literature review is presented. The first section describes wind turbine and wind farm interaction from the role of power, aerodynamics, and discussion of scalar fluxes in a closing framework. This framework is used to extrapolate several impacts of wind turbines wakes within wind farms and effects of turbines and wind farms on the crop microclimate. The second part of the review links surface crop heterogeneities to influence on the wind energy resource and atmospheric conditions that impede optimal electrical production. Chapter 2 addresses the specific scope of turbine/wind farm impacts on crops in the CWEX introductory paper published in the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. Chapter 3 is taken from a manuscript prepared for Agricultural and Forest Meteorology and investigates the effects wind turbines/wind farms modify crop energy and CO2 fluxes. A companion paper for Chapter 4 focuses on single turbine and double line of turbine impacts on temperature and heat flux. Chapter 5 offers a conceptual evaluation of how crop surface roughness regulates hub-height speeds and other turbine layer characteristics (e.g. wind speed and directional shear, and thermal stratification), which influence turbine performance. A summary and other concluding recommendations are described in Chapter 6. 3 Literature Review Wind turbine/wind farm impact on crop agriculture History of wind farm development This section offers a basic understanding of turbines, turbine wakes, and wind farms over the last thirty years. Improved technologies of blade and hub design over this same period have led to an increase in on-shore and offshore wind power in several regions across major continents (Europe, Asia, and North America). Isolated wind turbine experiments in wind tunnel and field-testing confirm a basic understanding of flow around blades and a 1st-order representation of flow downstream of small rotors (summarized by Vermeer et al. 2003). A large array of 15-m hub height with 23-m rotor diameter turbines were installed in the San Gorgonio pass in California as the first industry scale wind turbines in the early 1980s. Kelley (1989) determined preliminary differences in wind speed and turbulence intensity from the upwind and downwind edges of the 41-line wind farm. Isolated turbine wake studies followed in Europe (e.g. Helmis et al. 1995; Högström et al. 1988; Kambezidis et al. 1990; Magnusson and Smedman 1994,1999; Papadopoulos et al. 1995; Whale et al. 1996) and the U.S. (Connell and George 1982; Kelley 1985, 1989). Field experiments in the 1990’s by Dr. Rebecca Barthelmie of the Danish Risøe Institute, guided the development of modern operational-scale wind farms. In Iowa in the late 1990’s, a variety of tax incentives supported the construction of the first wind farm in the Midwest near Storm Lake. Several isolated turbines and small wind farms were installed by local communities and near surrounding lakeshore lines in the following years. Several areas of the U.S. Midwest began wind farm construction in the first full decade of the 21st century. Wind farm expansion continues in advance of the DOE renewable energy goals. Investigation of turbine wakes Each turbine produces a zone of reduced wind speed and enhanced turbulence, defined as a ’wake’. Turbine wakes from the first leading lines of turbines impact power 4 production for turbines farther downstream within a wind farm. Wakes are documented at hub-height between the top and bottom blade pass (i.e. for an operation-scale 1.5 MW turbine, a standard hub height is 80-m with the rotor depth between 40 to 120 m). The Danish Risøe group investigates offshore wind farm wakes from both a few lines of turbines (Barthelmie et al. 1996, 1999, 2003, 2007a) and large wind farms (e.g. Barthelmie et al. 2004, 2009, 2010). The field measurements from the tower mast and ship sodar agree on the monotonic decrease in the velocity deficit and wake turbulence downstream of each turbine line proposed in past studies (Ainslee 1988; Frandsen et al. 1996; Magnusson and Smedman 1994; Taylor 1990). Ainslee (1988) summarizes how a wake spreads out from one turbine. The minimum velocity behind the turbine is reached at distance of 1-2 D downstream. This is related to the relaxation of the pressure gradient from the rotor. Individual blade tip vortices from the turbine decay at 2-3 D downstream. The strong sheared zone outside the rotor swept area develops into a core vortex structure at a distance of 3-5 D downstream. A single wake decays according to a Gaussian-like profile. The velocity deficit is gradually reduced as the wake moves downstream and interacts with nonturbine ambient scales of turbulence. Near the surface there is an over speeding ‘shadow’ effect downwind of 1-2 D from the tower base. At the rotor layer height flow acceleration occurs in the airflow between two turbines (Whale et al. 1996). Increased ambient turbulence and wind speed reduce the tower shadow over-speeding effect and decrease an outward directional reflection of wind approaching the rotor (Helmis et al. 1995). Christiansen and Hasager (2005, 2006) with synthetic aperture radar (SAR) measurements from satellite and aircraft confirm that the wake turbulence distorts ocean waves at the downwind edge of the Horns Rev wind farm. The SAR-detected wakes validate the effect of wind farm distance on wake decay and the recovery of the velocity and turbulence intensity to reference upwind conditions. Offshore studies from the Horns Rev and Nysted wind farms calibrate wind siting software composed of single column-steady state flow models (e.g. ECN WAKEFARM, GHWindFarmer, and Risoe WAsP). Additional computational fluid 5 dynamics (CFD) modeling (e.g. CENER, NTUA, CRES) with a 2-D and 3-D understanding of wake flow characterization has also been applied to the Horns Rev and Nysted measurements. However, these codes poorly depict the power performance change across a wind farm such as when the wind direction is moving diagonally across a square shaped array of turbines (Barthelmie et al 2004, 2007b; Rados et al. 2001). Single column models under predict the power losses in the middle of the wind farm, whereas CFD simulations favor an over prediction of wake turbulence effects on power production. Although CFD simulations over predict power losses, the variety of approaches in parameterization of turbine wakes offers a better understanding of turbine and wind farm wake impacts for a steady-state atmospheric neutral flow condition (e.g. Sanderse et al. 2011). 3-D parameterizations of rotating turbines within a large eddy simulation (LES) apply to recent tests of on-shore wind farm configurations (Cabezón et al. 2009; Calaf et al. 2011; Churchfield et al. 2010,2012; Jimenez et al. 2007; Lu and Porte-Agél 2011; Migoya et al. 2007; Politis et al. 2012. Recent wind tunnel studies contribute to a better understanding of steady state conditions of wind farm wake aerodynamics and effect on scalar fluxes (e.g. Cal et al. 2010; Chamorro and Porte-Agél 2009, 2010a, 2010b, 2011; Markfort et al. 2012, Zhang et al 2012a, 2012b, 2013). These depictions of wakes offer a finer scale of aerodynamic interaction with turbine components. However, the simulations are limited in practical application to the atmospheric behavior of the diurnal cycle, which does not follow a steady state neutral, unstable, or stable pattern). Several atmospheric factors govern wind turbine wakes and these are next described in detail. Ambient factors controlling wake aerodynamics The profile characteristics of wind speed, wind direction, and temperature and moisture additionally influence turbine blade stresses and loading. The impact on power and turbine performance are attributed to several factors: (1) turbinemanufactured specifications of power and thrust, (2) upwind hub height wind speed (3), upwind wind direction, and (4) atmospheric stability. 6 (1) Turbine designed specifications Each manufactured turbine has a different configuration of tower, blades and nacelle components to design a structure that will produce electricity at an installed (rated) production (e.g. 1.5 MW annual production) Blades are designed with certain aerodynamic properties to meet these rated requirements. Rigidity, texture, pitch, and chord angle are important considerations in determining optimal lift on the blades for maximum power generation and blade structural reliability. Variations of flow speed on the blade change the wake generated behind the turbine rotor. Wind turbines operate on stall-regulated or variable-pitch generators and for both of these configurations variable blade-rotation speeds will change the intensity of the rotor-generated turbulence. At speeds below the rated power both generator configurations offer similar performance. However, for the stall-regulated generator, a very high speeds the blade design decreases power output to safeguard the structural integrity of the turbine (Muljadi et al. 1996, 2012). In the variable-pitch system, the blade pitch is increased when the hub speed is above the rated speed (e.g. 11-14 m s-1) to keep blade stresses low and maintain the same power output up until the cut-out speed (around 22-25 m s-1) . Lift and drag on the blades is related to the turbulence produced by the blade tips and root span of the blade. (2) Hub-height wind speed The ambient hub-height wind speed determines the rate of blade rotation to keep a steady power production at the installed capacity (e.g. 1.5 MW). Each turbine produces power when the wind speed is large enough to rotate both the blades and the mechanical gears inside the turbine hub. This cut-in speed is around 3-4 m s-1 depending upon turbine models. Near the cut-in speed, the blade rotation requires a large amount of thrust as the blades are turned less into the wind. This high thrust correspondingly produces a large amount of turbulence along the blade span and the blade tips (Vermeer et al. 2003). These blade vortices are the visible evidence for the turbine wake. Only a few wind tunnel and small scale testing of turbines (e.g. Medici and Alfredson 2006; Nemes et al. 2012; Yang et al. 2011) have confirmed the exact 7 structural differences of the turbulence within the wake. The wake vortex rotates in the cross-wind component downstream from the turbine in the opposite direction of the rotor rotation (Connell and George 1982). Around the rotor, high generation of turbulence is produced by the speed shear difference between the rotor swept area and the undisturbed flow field (e.g. Helmis et al. 1995; Högström et al. 1988; Papadopoulous et al. 1995). This turbulence also moves downstream in the direction of the counter-rotating swirls produced by the shedding of eddies from each blade tip and blade span. Numerical simulations (Fletcher and Brown 2010; Larsen 2007; Sanderse et al. 2009) demonstrate the strong dependence of hub height wind speed to wake expansion intensity (laterally and vertically) and generation/dissipation characteristics (e.g. distance to merging of turbulent filaments from each blade, separation distance of the rotating swirls traveling within the wake, and dissipation distance of the entire wake). Large spatial and temporal anisotropies are noted in turbine wakes (Crespo and Hernandez 1996; Gomez-Elvira et al. 2005). This poses a continuing challenge in simulation of individual turbine wakes and multiple interacting wakes. The characteristics of the upstream wake are important in determining power losses and the structure of successive wakes from turbines farther downstream in the wind park. Several field measurements around isolated turbines (Helmis et al. 1995; Högström et al. 1988; Magnusson and Smedman 1999; Whale et al. 1996) indicate strong variations in the wake velocity deficit and turbulence intensity for lower or higher hub-height speeds and therefore higher or lower thrust coefficients. As the turbine produces power under higher speeds, it is understood that the amount of turbulence generated by the turbine will also reach peak intensity. Adams (2007) parameterized the effect of a large wind farm in Northwest Manitoba by using a conservation of energy approach between thrust, electrical production, small gearbox inefficiencies and the remaining portion of turbine-influenced momentum was transferred to turbulence. Based on this conceptual study, it is plausible that turbine turbulent generation should be highest under low to moderate speeds (between the cut-in and rated speed) and gradually decrease in intensity as higher speeds require less turbine thrust to maintain the rated- 8 power. Högström et al. (1988) and Kambezidis et al. (1990) found turbine-generated turbulence significantly less than turbulence on the edges of the wake indicating a zone of high speed shear. Shear generation of turbulence increases for higher wind speeds. This effect forms from the static pressure field around the upwind and downwind side of the rotor (Ainslee 1988; Taylor. 1990). (3) Wind direction The angle of approach of the wind to a turbine within a wind farm also has implications on the characteristics of the wake. In the wake centerline there is little rotation and turbulence intensity is lower than on the outer edges of the helical vortex structure (Kambezidis et al. 1990). In both power measurements from offshore wind farms (Barthelmie et al. 2009, 2010) and corresponding numerical simulations (e.g. Calaf et al. 2011) the direction at which wakes move across a wind farm array will influence the power resource for the turbines father downstream in the wind park. Turbine wakes from the leading turbine line move downstream, intersect the second line of turbine wakes, and enhance the overall wake structure moving into the additional lines of turbines. However, when turbine wakes have passed through multiple lines of turbines lateral merging of the wakes occurs and this diffusion of the wake is favored when the ambient wind direction is oriented at an oblique angle from the wind farm array. In the power analyses of Barthelmie et al. (2009, 2010) turbine wakes from the Horns Rev and Nysted wind farm studies are presumed to expand from the rotor according to a 5° to 15° window. The expansion factor of the wakes is also dependent on turbine thrust and therefore hub-height wind speed. Power is substantially reduced (40-60%) in the 2nd through 4th lines of turbines when the center lines of wakes are feeding into succeeding lines of turbines (e.g. Frandsen et al. 2006). As previously mentioned oblique flow angles with orientation to the array of the wind park increases lateral merging of wakes. The intersection of multiple wakes facilitates greater power recovery at a shorter distance 4-5 turbine lines vs. 7 lines when turbine wakes are symmetrically aligned. (A quasi-steady turbine boundary layer is presumed to form in which the wake layer thoroughly mixes into the 9 boundary layer above the rotor and at the surface (Barthelmie et al. 2009; Calaf et al. 2011; Frandsen et al. 2006; Meneveau 2012; Meyers and Meneveau 2012). This new type of surface-turbine-boundary layer is known to occur downstream of at least seven lines of aligned turbines within a wind park and corresponds to the point where the power drop levels off (Barthelmie et al. 2004, 2009). The effect occurs at a shorter distance within a wind park when there is a staggered arrangement of turbines, which facilitates more lateral mixing of turbine wakes (e.g. Sanderse et al. 2009; Troldborg et al. 2011). (4) Atmospheric stability Similar to a pollutant plume, turbine wakes may be treated as a vector and meander within the larger scale flow fields outside the influence of wind turbines/wind farms. In the daytime, wakes can expand according to isotropic properties of the ambient turbulence as in neutral conditions and intersect with the surface at 10 D or so downstream of the parent turbine (e.g. Frandsen et al. 2006). A sunny period with conditions of low wind speed may favor thermally unstable conditions where the wake is observed to meander from the center line position and may also reach the surface at a much closer distance (2-5 D) from the turbine (Medici and Alfredson 2008). Wake meandering and non-neutral conditions remain a challenge to simulate (Lange et al. 2003). At night, the ambient scales of turbulence in the stable boundary layer are approximately tens of meters or less. Therefore, the turbine sized eddies (50-100 m) may remain lofted above the surface for a considerable portion of the overnight hours. Strong cooling of the surface also induces shears in speed and direction within the rotor layer so that the wake exhibits sheared characteristics (Chamorro and Port-Agél 2009; Lu and Porte-Agél 2011). The structure of the wake, wake merging, and wake decay are dependent on the efficiency of the ambient scales of turbulence in re-establishing quasi-equilibrium to the flow and this mixing of energy is also related to the intensity of the wind speed. In the absence of sheared flow, nocturnal turbulence is quite low and turbine wakes require more distance (beyond several tens of D) for the flow to return to 10 near ambient levels of wind speed and turbulence (e.g. Magnusson and Smedman 1994). However, with the presence of a sheared wind profile, wake dissipation across the blade top and bottom pass height is enhanced by the strong asymmetry in speed and in direction with height. Small temporal and spatial scales in nocturnal turbulence present an additional challenge to wake characterization. Simulations of stable boundary layer evolution (e.g. Zhou and Chow 2011a) depict different structures of ambient turbulence with and without a LLJ, with quiescent boundary layers or with residual turbulence above the surface. Intermittency of turbulence is a key issue in the understanding of individual wakes and complex wind-farm wake interactions (Dvorak et al. 2012). Intermittency in nocturnal turbulence is related to the low-level wind and temperature profile which depend on the strength of the wind speed and the height above the surface of the speed maximum (Pichugina and Banta 2010; Sun et al. 2012). Surface impacts by wakes Surface measurements within operational scale wind farms are few. The atmospheric stability determines whether a turbine wake remains elevated or at what downwind distance the wake intersects the surface. In both wind tunnel and numerical models, most field measurements and simulated wind farm results are restricted to the turbine layer and above. Surface impacts on temperature, heat flux, and the aerodynamics were measured in isolated turbines in Greece, Denmark, Sweden, Spain, and the aforementioned San Gorgonio wind farm. Högström et al. (1988) determined roughly a doubling of heat flux and other triple-moment heat-momentum correlation terms during a period of waked flow from the Näsudden 2MW turbine. Similar results are alluded to with smaller 50 kW turbines (Kambezidis et al. 1990; Papadopoulos et al. 1995; Whale et al. 1996) by measuring a linear increase in the temperature structure coefficient, CT2. This coefficient traditionally used to relate turbulent heat flux from temperature scintillometry is increased by 10-20% and denotes isotropic mixing during the periods when a turbine wake was near the instrumentation. 11 Baidya Roy and Traiteur (2010) report from the 1987 nighttime measurements of the San Gorgonio wind farm that wind turbines warm the downwind edge of the farm by at least 0.5 °C. The wind farm also features an aggregate 100 W m-2 of accumulated warming for much of the nighttime (personal communication, N.E. Kelley, 2008). Remote sensing studies by Zhou et al. (2012a, 2012b) and Walsh-Thomas et al. (2013) depict up to 0.5-0.75 °C of nighttime warming in the West Texas region and about 1.02.0 °C of warming in the San Gorgonio pass, respectively. In addition to conceptual studies, several LES codes depict warmer near-surface temperatures of 0.5 to 1.0 °C. These temperatures occur at a distance of less than 5 D downstream from turbines lines in large wind farm arrays. This effect is also measured in wind tunnel configurations (Markfort et al. 2012; Zhang et al 2012b, 2013). Differences in surface heat flux attributed to turbine forcing are sensitive to the diurnal cycle, the location from a turbine and/or location within the wind farm. Chamorro and Porte-Agél simulated up to 60 Wm-2 higher heat flux downwind of a wind turbine array. They attribute this warming to the wake turbulence lasting for a longer distance and higher intensity in a stably stratified layer (2010). For a convective boundary layer wind tunnel configuration Zhang et al. (2013) depicts a 10-15 W m-2 downward counter gradient flux difference from ambient levels on the left side of the rotor and an upward flux 10-15 W m-2 difference on the right side of the rotor. The rotation of the flux difference is not evident when the turbines are arranged in a staggered grid. Calaf et al. (2011) and Lu and Porte-Agél (2011) demonstrate that the change in heat flux is related to the ratio of mixing within the turbine layer to that occurring below the turbines. For fully developed wind-farm flow, a ‘sheet’ of turbine wakes reduces the vertical heat flux exchange by 15% from the undisturbed reference flux in nighttime conditions. In addition, lower (higher) daytime (nighttime) humidity and enhanced daytime evapotranspiration are depicted in meso-scale and global scale parameterized influences of wind farms (Adams 2007; Baidya Roy et al. 2004, Baidya Roy 2011; Cevarich and Baidya Roy 2013; Fitch et al. 2012, 2013a, 2013b; Keith et al. 2004; Kirk-Davidoff and Keith 2008; Wang and Prinn 2010). 12 When describing turbine impacts on crops, it is therefore feasible to envision a situation where turbine-rotor turbulence will give the largest impact on a crop canopy. This condition should occur when hub height speeds are at and above the cut-in speed but less than the rated speed. Slow to moderate hub-height speeds (e.g. between 4-10 m s-1) occur over much of the growing season in both day and night periods. In the daytime, hub-height speeds are near or below the cut-in speed during the early morning a few hours after sunrise. For a typical day free of clouds and precipitation, a low or nopower status in the early morning coincides with the breakup of the nighttime temperature inversion. Low speed air from the surface is transported upward by warm convective eddies during this period. Wind turbines remain in a low/no power generation until these eddies have reached the top of the boundary layer and replenish high speeds into the wind farm at some time between the late morning and early afternoon (e.g. Stull 1988). The direction of the wind influences the orientation of the wake with the surface. The mixing at the edges of the wake can affect the crop rather than when the centerline position of the wake is overhead of the canopy. Atmospheric stability determines whether the wake interacts with the crop canopy and at what distance downstream from the turbine. Turbine impacts on crop microclimate could be highly variable depending on the type of growing season (dry vs. wet) and according to the time of day/night. Figure 1 illustrates the conceptual role of the wide variety of impacts turbines and large wind farms may have on crop microclimate. Crop agriculture impact on wind power Field management variations in surface fluxes The sensitivity of the wind power resource to crop management practices is presented with (1) crop surface heterogeneities impact on the surface energy balance and fluxes to the atmosphere and (2) the corresponding response of these flux changes over the entire boundary layer profile for both day and night conditions. Surface roughness (z0) and tillage influence turbulent exchanges of momentum, heat, moisture, and other aerosol constituents (e.g. carbon dioxide (CO2)) with the 13 boundary layer. The roughness elements create drag on the wind profile and therefore directly affect hub-height wind speed. In both the growing season and the off-season periods, crop canopies and tillage indirectly modify the hub height wind through diabatic regulation of the wind speed profile (e.g. Stull 1988). A rougher surface indicates more turbulent mixing, which may cool (warm) the surface in the daytime (nighttime). A smooth plowed soil offers the least resistance to the momentum drag. The increased radiation on a surface with no residue enhances soil evaporation and warms the surface. Mulch tillage, which covers the majority of a soil, increases surface reflectivity and thereby reduces sensible heating. Vertical mulch (i.e. strip till or no-till practices) offer less soil disruption and less erosion. The added roughness may change reflectivity and heat exchanges over small but defined areas around the crop residue (e.g. Horton et al. 1994, 1996). A vegetative canopy contains additional aspects of taller roughness elements, and diabatic regulation of the surface heat flux. Exchanges of heat and water above the canopy are dependent on atmospheric conductance (according to the properties of ambient relative humidity, wind speed, and solar radiation), the phenology of the crop, and the available moisture source within the soil profile (e.g. Campbell and Norman 1998). Variations in soil temperature, textural composition, and micronutrient composition also influence the exchanges of subsoil moisture transport to the crop and the atmosphere. Management strategies of crop cultivar, planting density, and frequency and type of chemical application (e.g. fertilizers, herbicides, pesticides and fungicide) also influence crop response to fluxes of heat, water, and CO2. These management practices are closely dependent on the crop type, cultivar and properties of the soil including drainage quality (ISU 2005). The increased cultivation of bio-fuel crops (e.g. corn, sweet sorghum, switch grass, miscanthus) to facilitate domestic energy independence from fossil fuels also may affect millions of acres of cropland where wind farms have been constructed. Recent years of agricultural floods, drought, and other impacts of climate change on the crop growing season may increase uncertainty to the wind resource (Klink 2007; Pryor et al. 2009). Delays in the scheduling of planting, 14 replanting, or harvesting a crop and delays in the seasonal maximum (April/October) or minimum (July-August) wind speeds may present conflicting impacts on the wind resource. Figure 2 illustrates the umbrella of crop-related impact on wind power availability. Assessment of wind forecasts: advances and needed improvements Accurate wind forecasts of hub-height wind speed, wind shear and thermal stability within the rotor layer are necessary to improve power optimization of wind farms and facilitate future wind-farm development. A 1% underestimation of the wind resource may result into several million dollars in lost revenue over the 20-30 yr lifetime of a wind farm (U.S. DOE 2008b). Therefore, forecasting improvements are obvious economic benefit to the wind industry. Wind forecasts in the U.S. and many other regions of the world feature two major regimes of daytime and nighttime PBL behavior and one transition zone each between the day and night periods. The timing and intensity of a low-level ramp up or ramp down in wind speed can be related to the evolution of the wind profile during a transition phase between daytime unstable/neutral conditions to nighttime stable/neutral conditions or vice versa (Deppe et al. 2013). In the U.S. Midwest, the wind profile is categorized by a homogenous mixed layer in the daytime period caused by the effect of surface frictional drag and the diabatic regulation of the wind profile from surface fluxes of sensible and latent heat. In the nighttime, the cooling of the air immediately above the surface erodes the vertical mixing between the surface and the lower portions of the daytime boundary layer. An imbalance of forces (coriolis, pressure gradient and friction) from the daytime profile develops from the lack of surface friction. This causes the winds, several hundred meters above the surface to develop an over-speeding or jet-like profile (Blackadar 1957). The height and intensity at which the jet forms are related to the strength of the boundary layer top wind speed (i.e. geostrophic speed) from the previous afternoon (Davies 2000). This LLJ profile may be located within or above the turbine layer depending on the geostrophic speed and the characteristics of the evolution of the jet during the night. A 15 decaying LLJ aloft of the turbines layer can create a rapid transfer of energy to the surface. A jet that has a balance of strong speed shear and equally modest thermal stratification allows for the jet to persist or intensify for a substantial portion of the night (e.g. Sun et al. 2012). Bonner et al. (1968) and Stensrud (1996) have classified classic LLJs according to several properties and these studies note that jets occur in any time of season and may translate to the surface more than once during the night. The jet intensity near the rotor layer is characterized by the shear exponent () from the power law profile of the wind speed. A larger shear value portrays a sharp change in wind speeds between the top and bottom blade-pass height. Irwin (1979) and Zoumakis (1984) determined that increasing the surface roughness (z0) will intensify the shear profile in the turbine layer. Storm and Basu (2010), Storm et al. (2009), Walter et al. (2009) depict shear exponents within a turbine layer often higher than the wind industry standard threshold of ≤0.2. Nighttime periods may cause adverse shear often associated with Kelvin-Helmholtz instability generated when the turbine-layer stratification (Gradient Richardson number Ri or Monin Obukhov stability parameter z/L ) is near neutral (|Ri| <0.02 or |z/L| <0.05) and the frictional velocity (u*) between the top and bottom blade pass is at or above 1.5 m s-1 (Kelley et al. 2004). Numerical simulations by Sathe and Bierbooms (2007) and Sim et al. (2009) also depict a high turbine blade loading response to strong stably stratified flow conditions. Additional simulations suggest that the presence of a LLJ within a wind farm may or may not change conditions of high turbulence associated with Kelvin-Helmholtz wave breaking near the turbine rotor layer. This intermittency of turbulence bursting events occur for strongly stable conditions when Ri is near 0.3 (Zhou and Chow 2011b). Barthelmie (1999) and Emeis (2010) confirm the role of higher surface roughness in decreasing both the daytime and nighttime wind resource for steady state conditions of unstable, neutral or stable stratification. None of these studies offers any prediction for a wind profile evolution from a typical diurnal cycle. Wharton and Lundquist (2012) demonstrate from tower measurements, turbine nacelle anemometry, and remote sensing techniques (SODAR and LiDAR) in wind farm in the Northwest 16 U.S. that the nighttime period offers the highest power production period but at the expense of significant loading conditions on turbine components. There is a tradeoff of slightly higher wind speed (5% increase in power generation) to an increased loading on blades when turbines are constructed at higher levels into the PBL to harness fast wind speed. Walter et al. (2009) compare Weibull distributions from one location in Texas and in Indiana, input the data into a loading model, and determine that power losses are minimal within high shear conditions when hub height speeds are above the rated speed. Conversely, when the hub speed is below the rated speed, the strong shear conditions indicate production loses of around 1-3% because of the blade bending/twisting forces. Storm and Basu (2010) comment that there is a large uncertainty in nighttime wind power and wind shear resource characterization using fully 3-D operational configurations of WRF (Weather Research and Forecasting model). Wind profiles are simulated differently among several Planetary Boundary Layer (PBL) modeling schemes and interdependent scheme behavior is a source of large variation in forecasted wind speed and wind direction. Among PBL schemes closures using non-local (local) turbulence parameterizations depict daytime (nighttime) directional shear profiles that are closer to existing observations from the Great Plains. Nighttime speed shear, however, is overestimated (underestimated) by local (non-local) turbulence closure schemes. Local closure schemes (e.g. YSU, MYJ, QNSE, and MYNN) depict slightly higher nighttime winds speeds than schemes using non-local closure (e.g. YSU and ACM2) but both depict a negative bias to observed profiles in flat terrain in coastal and non-coastal areas (Draxl et al. 2010,2012; Hahmann et al. 2011; Shin and Hong 2011). Daytime speeds are usually overestimated by PBL schemes and this may imply more sensitive scaling of surface heterogeneities to the wind profile. These schemes indicate less agreement to profile data when there is weak forcing after a cold front passage (Cheng et al. 2013). The local closure QNSE has higher validation for areas of complex terrain when drainage flows are possible (Wang et al. 2011). With verification from met-tower data in a wind farm in North-west Iowa and wind profile measurements from the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) program (Deppe et al 2013; Gallus 17 and Deppe 2011) developed some bias-corrected improvements to wind speed forecasts using a 12 km parent 4 km child domain in WRF to evaluate an ensemble of PBL schemes. Increasing the vertical resolution of the lowest grid points below and up to the blade top height led to 2% improvement in the forecast and a better representation of LLJ profiles. Hub-height wind speed biases are smaller with the non-local turbulence closure schemes than with the other local closure schemes. Traituer et al. (2012) also used a 3-km domain over the Central Plains to improve short term forecasting of wind speeds. A PBL suite ensemble of single column models were added to develop training periods in determining bias corrections to the wind based on surface stability, wind speed and other metrics. The single column model approach in WRF, developed by Hacker et al. (2007), offers a simple method to investigate boundary layer parameterization sensitivities to surface variations in roughness, vegetative fraction, soil moisture and temperature. Several LES studies demonstrate that surface heterogeneities of crop roughness, conductance, soil type, and soil moisture alter boundary layer clouds and induce/modify localized circulations (Alapaty et al. 1997; Couralt et al. 2007; Zhong and Duran 1997). Hacker (2010) also demonstrated that convection and the wind resource are both sensitive to soil moisture perturbations. Soil moisture at or near the permanent wilting point is the most critical aspect of changing convection in light wind speed scenarios with weak synoptic forcing. However, 10-m wind speed and turbulence kinetic energy is reduced after such a convective event when the soil is wet. A similar effect was tested for roughness modifying sensible and latent heat flux but no information about the effect on the boundary layer profile is offered. High-resolution simulations of 80-m wind speed over an existing wind farm demonstrate similarity to the elevation contours on a terrain map (C.S. Anderson, personal communication, 2012). Accuracy in wind forecasts can occur with some increase in model resolution. However, with the approach to simulate the atmospheric motions at finer scales (few km to hundreds of m) it is more likely that the heterogeneities of crop surfaces will be of greater influence to the wind resource. A 18 better physical understanding of crop canopy flows and boundary layer wind profile will facilitate the wind industry in both siting and construction of new wind farms and optimization techniques of existing wind farms. Field measurements are needed to calibrate any modeling techniques implored in wind forecast assessment and wind resource characterization. The CWEX study described in the next chapter begins this interpretation of crop canopy, wind turbine/wind farm, and boundary layer and mesoscale interactions from several measurement platforms at the surface and within the PBL. References Adams M, Keith D (2007) A wind farm parameterization for WRF. 8th WRF Users Workshop, June 2007, Boulder, CO. (Available online at http://www.mmm.ucar.edu/wrf/users/workshops/WS2007/abstracts/5-5_Adams.pdf) Ainslie JF (1988) Calculating the flowfield in the wake of wind turbines. J. Wind Eng. and Indust. Aerodyn. 27:213–224. 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CWEX: CROP/WIND-ENERGY EXPERIMENT: OBSERVATIONS OF SURFACE-LAYER, BOUNDARY-LAYER AND MESOSCALE INTERACTIONS WITH A WIND FARM From an Article accepted for publication in the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Daniel A. Rajewski1* Eugene S. Takle2, Julie K. Lundquist3,4, Steven Oncley5, John H. Prueger6, Thomas W. Horst5, Michael E. Rhodes7, Richard Pfeiffer6, Jerry L. Hatfield6, Kristopher K. Spoth2, Russell K. Doorenbos2 Abstract Perturbations of mean and turbulent wind characteristics by large wind turbines modify fluxes between the vegetated surface and the lower boundary layer. While simulations have suggested that wind farms could significantly change surface fluxes of heat, momentum, moisture, and CO2 over hundreds of square kilometers, little observational evidence exists to test these predictions. Quantifying the influences of the “turbine layer” is necessary to quantify how surface fluxes are modified and to better forecast energy production by a wind farm. Changes in fluxes are particularly important in regions of intensely managed agriculture where crop growth and yield are highly dependent on subtle changes in moisture, heat, and CO2. Furthermore, speculations abound about the possible mesoscale consequences of boundary-layer changes that are produced by wind farms. To address the lack of observations to answer these questions, 1 Department of Geological and Atmospheric Sciences, Iowa State University, Ames, IA, 50011. Department of Agronomy, Iowa State University, Ames, IA, 50011. 3 Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO, 80309. 4 National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Golden, CO, 80401. 5 National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO 80303. 6 National Laboratory for Agriculture and the Environment, Ames, IA 50011. 7 Aerospace Engineering Sciences, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO, 80309. * Corresponding author address: Daniel A. Rajewski, Iowa State University, 3132 Agronomy Ames, IA 50011.E-mail: drajewsk@iastate.edu 2 31 we developed the Crop/Wind-energy EXperiment (CWEX) as a multi-agency, multiuniversity field program in central Iowa. Throughout the summer of 2010, surface fluxes were documented within a wind farm test site, and a two-week deployment of a vertically pointing LIDAR quantified wind profiles. In 2011, we expanded measurements at the site by deploying six flux stations and two wind-profiling LIDARs to document turbine wakes. The results provide valuable insights into the exchanges over a surface that has been modified by wind turbines and a basis for a more comprehensive measurement program planned for the summer in 2014. 1. Introduction The United States Department of Energy (DOE) has outlined a scenario describing how wind power can be a major contributor to meet future U.S. renewable energy needs (DOE 2008). The “20% Wind Energy by 2030” report outlines steps for achieving 20% of the nation’s electrical energy from wind by 2030, a tenfold increase from the current level of 2% (AWEA 2011). Most of the richest land-based domestic resources of wind power in the United States are located in the central United States (North and South Dakota, Minnesota, Iowa, Illinois, Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas). Therefore, the DOE 20% by 2030 scenario will likely create additional interest in expanding the number of wind farms in this region. These states also produce most of the nation’s wheat and corn for food, livestock feed, or bio-fuel. Iowa alone accounts for 19% of the nation’s production of corn as well as 15% of soybean (USDA 2012). Much of this production is on the same land now being considered for wind farms. While the co-location of wind farms with intensively managed agricultural production is possible, it leads to physical interactions between two otherwise separate economic systems. Crop selection and management determines surface drag and fluxes that influence hub-height wind speeds. By contrast, turbine-generated changes in mean wind, pressure, and turbulence may influence fluxes of heat, moisture, and CO2 that are of vital importance to biophysical crop processes. Because multi-megawatt turbines and their access roads require less than half an acre of land, farmers often continue to graze livestock and farm crops right up to turbines’ bases (UCSUSA 2011). However, because 32 the wakes of wind turbines are known to persist up to 15 rotor diameters D downwind of a turbine (Meyers and Meneveau 2012), differences in microclimate may extend well beyond the wind turbines’ small footprint on the landscape. As a result, some agronomists and producers have questioned whether or not the atmospheric impacts of wind turbines may also influence the biological productivity of the surrounding crops (E.S. Takle, 2009). Therefore our goal for CWEX is to develop a basic understanding of how this land-use co-location changes both the energy and crop production systems that contribute to the nation’s food and energy security needs. Originally, CWEX was launched to address the following four agronomic questions: 1. Do turbines create measureable changes in microclimate over crops? 2. If Q1 is true, are these changes large enough to produce measureable influences on plant growth? 3. If Q1 and Q2 are true, are these changes sufficient to have measureable impact on yield? 4. Do agricultural cropping and surface management practices have a measureable impact on wind energy production? For this study we will report on the first of these questions and the other three will be topics of future CWEX experiments. Two summer measurement campaigns were conducted to observe surface and elevated meteorological conditions in a wind farm co-located with agricultural fields. In the summer 2010 experiment, designated CWEX-10, the National Laboratory for Agriculture and the Environment (NLAE) deployed four flux stations in corn fields within a wind farm in central Iowa. The University of Colorado conducted upper-air observations for a portion of the summer. The second summer measurement period, CWEX-11, coincided with a 10-week Iowa State University summer program of the National Science Foundation Research Experiences for Undergraduates (REU) in Wind Energy Science, Engineering and Policy (WESEP). In support of the WESEP REU, the Earth Observing Laboratory (EOL) of the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) provided an educational deployment of instruments to the wind farm consisting 33 of four surface flux stations, and included operational support and data archives. Iowa State University (ISU) provided two flux stations for CWEX-11. The National Renewable Energy Laboratory and the University of Colorado provided two windprofiling LIDARs to observe wind and turbulence profiles during CWEX-11. Numerous discussions with representatives from the agricultural, wind energy, and boundary-layer meteorology communities about the summer field measurement campaigns have affirmed that the extension of CWEX to a more comprehensive field program offers a unique opportunity to create a deeper understanding of the range of basic and applied science issues. Section 2 describes the CWEX site, highlighting its use for current and future field campaigns to address these critical questions. The experimental design and instrumentation are described in Section 3. An analysis of surface flux differences is presented in Section 4, and a case study of the differences in fluxes and in wind and turbulence profiles is in Section 5. In Section 6 we demonstrate the potential influence of turbines on daytime crop-canopy fluxes of heat and carbon dioxide. Lastly in Section 7, we present an expanded list of science questions and prospects for future campaigns and solicit engagement from the academic, national laboratory, and private sector segments of the agronomic, wind-energy and boundary-layer/mesoscale meteorology communities. 2. Site Description The CWEX experiments were conducted within a 200-turbine (1.5 MW rated power) wind farm in central Iowa. The wind farm features GE 1.5 MW SLE ‘super-long extended’ model turbines (rated wind speed of 14 m s-1) with hub-heights of 80 m and rotor diameters of 74 m for the southernmost 100 turbines and GE 1.5 MW XLE ‘extralong extended’ model turbines (rated wind speed of 11.5 m s-1) with rotor diameters of 77 m and 82.5 m for the northern 100 turbines. Additional turbine specifications are available from GE and in their 1.5 MW wind turbine brochure (2009). The land generally is flat with less than a 0.5-degree slope from southwest to northeast. Crops in the wind farm were a patchwork of mostly corn and soybeans, with some wetland and 34 lower terrain at the southern edge of the wind farm. Measurements were taken at the southwest edge of the farm, as shown in Figure1, to explore crop-turbine-boundary-layer interactions in the vicinity of the leading line of turbines, designated as the B-turbine line, for the predominant wind direction, (S to SSE) in mid to late summer. Climatological wind roses for the nearby Marshalltown airport document prevailing winds for the months of January (Figure 2a) and July (Figure 2b). Additional wind roses are available from the Iowa Environmental http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/sites/windrose.phtml?network=IA_ASOS. Mesonet: Within the study area is a second line of turbines, designated as the A-turbine line, 1.7 km to the north of the leading line, and a third line, designated as the C-turbine line, is located 1.8 km southeast of the turbine line of our CWEX-10/11 measurement site. For both CWEX-10 and CWEX-11 measurements were collected above and within a corn canopy. At the start of each experiment (late June), the crop height was about 1.5 m, and by the second to third week of July the canopy reached its maximum height near 2.8 m. Roughness length varied from 0.05 m to approximately 0.4 m for neutral stratification conditions, which closely follows the parameterization of 1/10th the canopy height (Campbell and Norman 1998). 3. CWEX measurement design To address our initial question, CWEX-10 was designed to examine differences in surface fluxes and mean variables at several locations in the vicinity of one line of turbines. Several offshore studies suggest that turbine wake interaction with the surface would be detected beyond 5-10 D downwind from the turbines (e.g. Barthelmie et al. 2010). Preliminary profile measurements of temperature and 2-m wind speed above a soybean canopy were taken at the wind farm around the A and B line of turbines in 2009. One mast was held stationary at a distance of 3-4 D upwind of the line of turbines and depending on the wind direction the other mast was moved every 20 minutes at intervals of 1 D downstream of the turbine line. Differences in surface mean wind speed, turbulence intensity, and thermal instability were observed at a few locations 35 within 2-3 D behind the turbines, but impacts were diminished in the 5-7 D range and the results from these simple studies were the impetus for the larger experiments conducted in CWEX-10/11. For CWEX-10, four surface flux stations, designated NLAE 1-4 in Figure 1, were provided by the National Laboratory for Agriculture and the Environment. The upwind flux tower in CWEX-10 was placed about 4.5D south of the B-turbine line to measure characteristics of the undisturbed flow of the prevailing southerly winds. A second flux tower sampled a near-wake position about 2.5D north of the B-turbine line. The third flux tower was located 17D from the B-turbine line for observations at a ‘far-wake’ location. A fourth flux tower was placed north of the A-turbine line about 35D downstream of the B-turbine line to capture the influence of wakes from two lines of turbines. The significant variability of turbine wakes observed in CWEX-10 demonstrated the need for detailed measurements of surface flux differences at closer distances from the leading line of turbines. Therefore, in CWEX-11, more flux towers were deployed closer to the B-turbine line. The upwind reference tower (NCAR 1) was placed 2.0D south of turbine B2. The northerly (downwind) flux towers (NCAR 2, NCAR 3, and NCAR 4) were placed at 3.5D, 9D, and 14D, respectively, north of turbine B2. Two additional flux towers, designated as ISU 1 and ISU 2, were placed north and south of the midpoint between turbines B2 and B3, at approximately 2.0D upwind and 3.5D downwind. From data collected by the Windcube LIDAR (version 1, manufactured by Leosphere and NRG Systems, Inc.) that was deployed for two weeks in CWEX-10, we learned that sufficient particulate loading within the boundary layer in this location enabled high quality wind and turbulence profiles to be collected as a complement to surface-based measurements. The LIDAR could “see” to 120 m above the surface over 95% of the time (Aitken et al. 2012). As a result, two LIDARs, designated as WC 68 and WC 49, were deployed in CWEX-11 to observe wind and turbulence profiles at approximately 2.0D south and 3.5D north of turbine B3. 36 Flux stations in CWEX-10 and CWEX-11 had similar instrumentation (e.g. sonic and cup anemometers), but not all measurements were collected at identical heights or with the same type of sensor. Table 1 provides lists of the key instrumentation used in the two years of the study. Data from the sonic anemometers, krypton hygrometers, and gas analyzers were collected at 20 Hz, whereas other flux station sensors sampled every 1 Hz, and the wind and turbulence profiles were collected every 0.5 Hz. CWEX-10 was conducted from 27 June to 7 September 2010. We report herein only measurements taken when the turbines were operational. In CWEX-11, flux measurements and wind profiles were archived for the period 29 June to 16 August 2011. One lesson learned from CWEX-10/11 is the inherent variability of the cropland within the wind farm, even in the rather featureless terrain of CWEX, due to variations in soil type, drainage quality, and land management practices (tillage, row spacing, cultivar type, planting date, and chemical applications). These factors influence crop growth and therefore fluxes of heat, moisture, CO2, and momentum within and above the crop canopy. Direct comparison of CWEX-10 and CWEX-11 differences in the flux data also are complicated by the contrasts in growing season weather. Conditions during CWEX-10 were abnormally wet, whereas the summer of 2011 was much drier. No clear change in crop roughness was observed from the two distinctly different growing seasons. The following section provides the results of surface fluxes from CWEX-10, in which similarities were observed to the data from CWEX-11. 4. Detection of turbine-induced surface flux differences We used the wind direction from the near-wake flux tower (NLAE 2 in CWEX-10 and NCAR 2 in CWEX-11) to distinguish between wake and non-wake periods (periods when an individual wake from turbine B2 or B3 was most likely overhead of the flux station). For hub height wind speeds below 15 m s-1, Barthelmie et al. (2010) observed that as wakes advect downwind, they tend to expand by five degrees within the first 10D downwind. The same procedure also was applied in CWEX-11for determining the 37 turbine B3 wake for southerly flow and westerly flow non-wake periods for the LIDAR data. The wind directions that represent the influence of wake for NLAE 2, NCAR 2 and WC 49 are marked on the upwind wind roses for NLAE 1, NCAR 1, and WC 68, respectively (Figure 3a-c). The plots demonstrate the importance of measuring wind speed and direction at multiple elevations near the turbines, especially under thermallystratified nighttime conditions when the turbines are operating within or underneath a low-level jet environment that includes significant speed and directional shear. To investigate the flux differences attributable to the turbine B2 in 2010 we considered the wind direction window 189°-221° to give a wake over the NLAE stations, for which we had a total of 420 15-min observations. These were compared to observations with westerly flow (248°-282°) that gave no wake over the NLAE stations, for which we had 413 observations. We also present a SSE flow condition (151°-189°) for which NLAE 2 was between the wakes of turbine B2 and B3. For this wind direction window we had 574 observations. The differences in conditions between flux towers north and south of the B-turbine line were compared for daytime and nighttime conditions. We used the common scaling of thermal stability (z/L0) at the reference flux tower, where z is the height of the sonic anemometer (6.5 m in CWEX-10 and 4.5 m in CWEX-11). The Obukhov length at the reference flux tower, L0, is defined following Stull (1988): v u* L0 k g wv 3 s and k is von Karman’s constant (0.4), u* is the friction velocity, v is the surface virtual potential temperature, and wv s is the surface moist sensible heat flux defined over a 15-minute averaging period. Differences between the reference station (NLAE 1) and the flux towers (NLAE 2, NLAE 3, NLAE 4) north of the B turbine line demonstrate the influence of turbines at 6.5 m in the turbulence and sensible heat flux and at 9 m for the mean wind speed and 𝑢−𝑢0 air temperature (Figure 4). We calculate a normalized wind speed difference, ( 𝑢0 ) 38 𝑇𝐾𝐸−𝑇𝐾𝐸0 and TKE difference ( 𝑇𝐾𝐸0 ) with respect to the undisturbed upwind reference speed, uo, and turbulence kinetic energy, TKEo, at the same height according to the analysis methods for simulating shelterbelt wind break flow in Wang and Takle (1995). Tables 2 to 5 quantify the mean and spread of the normalized wind speed, TKE, air temperature, and the sensible heat flux respectively, for each stability class and flux station north and south of the B-line of turbines for flow from the west (non-wake), SW (B2 wake), and the SSE (flow between the wakes of turbines B2 and B3). We classify each set of differences into three categories of the reference stability: unstable (z/L0<-0.05), neutral (-0.05≤z/L0≤0.05), and stable (z/L0>0.05). Notable values are marked with a double asterisk in Tables 2-5. The non-wake westerly flow in Figure 4a,d shows considerable scatter in the wind speed and TKE for all stability conditions but the overall mean difference is near zero at the NLAE 2 and NLAE 3 flux towers. For this (westerly) flow direction the data from NLAE 4 should be considered inconclusive since they may in some cases be influenced by the four turbines to the west of the A-line (shown in the wind farm layout in Figure 1). For a narrow window of southwesterly flow the wake of turbine B2 is overhead our line of flux stations. Wind speeds are reduced (by 10-40%) in neutral to slightly unstable conditions at NLAE 2 and NLAE 4 but this effect is negligible at NLAE 3 (Figure 4b). The difference in wind speed between NLAE 2 and NLAE 1 reveals a slow-down in the near-wake of the turbine, whereas at NLAE 3 there is a slight speed recovery, presumably because higher speed air from above has begun to replenish the near-turbine deficit. At NLAE 4 there is an aggregated influence from both the B-turbine line and the A-turbine line. The surface-level wind speed reductions we report are in agreement with daytime velocity deficits at tall tower masts for an isolated turbine or groups of turbines in on-shore coastal studies (e.g. Högström et al 1988, Magnusson and Smedman 1994). For stable-flow, the number of observations is low, but a relatively high percentage of these observations show a speed-up at all flux towers north of the B line of turbines. TKE measurements (Figure 4e) for the nighttime B2 wake condition 39 show substantial enhancement at all stations downwind of B2, but we note high variability in the normalized TKE (Table 3). For the daytime flow, by contrast, the characteristically large TKE at the reference station is enhanced only modestly (<20%) by the turbine as measured at downwind stations. For SSE winds the NLAE 2 flux station is between the wakes of turbines B2 and B3. As shown in Figure 4c, the northern two flux towers detect higher nighttime overspeeding (e.g., speeds downwind of the turbine being larger than the upwind reference speed) than at NLAE 2, which demonstrates the expanding influence of multiple wakes beyond 10D from the B-line of turbines. Under stably-stratified nighttime conditions, this localized jet is not rapidly dissipated by turbulent exchange, whereas more turbulent neutral conditions suppress the tendency for wind speed enhancement. We revisit nighttime over-speeding in Section 5. There are clear effects of enhanced TKE (4-5 times TKE0) at NLAE 4 from the combined influence of the A and B lines of turbines. NLAE 3 has higher TKE (2.5 times TKE0) than the near wake location at NLAE 2, which we attribute to the aforementioned expansion of multiple wakes several tens of D downstream from the B line. Turbulence at NLAE 2 is slightly enhanced, likely due to the over-speeding at this location. Although Figure 4f demonstrates substantial differences in the normalized TKE for stable flow at all three stations downwind of the B-turbine line we detect high variability among the individual cases. TKE is enhanced at the northern flux stations when the upstream turbulence is very low. We observed a slight cooling (< 0.75 °C) at 9 m during the daytime for the two northernmost stations in the southwest B2 wake and south-southeast B2 and B3 gap conditions (Figure 4h and 4i) but temperature contrasts between NLAE 2 and NLAE 1 are generally less than 0.5 °C as are all differences in the daytime westerly case (Fig 4g). For nighttime periods the scatter of temperature differences is high for west wind conditions, and lack of data prevents analysis of temperature impacts for the B2 wake case. However, for south-southeast winds we anticipate wakes from the B2 and B3 turbines to spread out and reach the surface somewhere near NLAE 3. At the northernmost flux station (NLAE 4), we see a compounding influence of both B and A 40 turbines to produce several individual periods with a significant warming of 1.0-1.5 °C. Although the variability is high (Table 4), we observe nighttime warming at NLAE 4 similar to that reported at the downwind edge of the San Gorgoino wind farm and statistically analyzed in comparison to airport data by Baidya Roy and Traiteur (2010). In our report of sensible heat flux differences we caution that the fluxes are derived from the sonic temperature without making a correction for the humidity in the air. Moisture correction was not possible at NLAE 3 and NLAE 4 since these stations did not measure H2O and CO2 and therefore could not record fluxes of these constituents. The “uncorrected” sensible heat flux shows significant scatter of daytime differences for all three directional categories (Figure 4 j-l). For stable conditions we would expect turbine-generated turbulence to be enhancing downward heat flux if the turbine wake is intersecting with the surface Overall, the data do not show a systematic and significant influence of the turbines on the surface sensible heat flux, although in Figure 4l we notice a few observations with slightly larger heating at NLAE 4 (up to 40 W m-2) for south-south easterly flow. Future CWEX experiments will sample surface heat fluxes deeper in the wind farm, where multiple wakes prevail, for comparison with those near the windward lines of turbines reported herein where single wakes and gaps between wakes are more prevalent. The CWEX-11 results showed similar results for the southerly B2 wake observations (wind directions from 165°-195°) and exhibited the same daytime speed reductions, nighttime accelerations, and increases in TKE. These data also revealed decrease (increase) in daytime (nighttime) temperature and a modest increase in downward heat transport (25 W m-2) especially at the northernmost flux station (NCAR 4). However, the nighttime heat flux at NCAR 4 (CWEX-11) was weaker than what was observed at the NLAE 4 (CWEX-10), which we attribute to the influence of wakes from multiple lines of turbines. 41 5. Turbine wake influences on wind and turbulence profiles: a case study, night of 16-17 July 2011 A case study is presented to show the coupling between wake aloft and surface processes. The overnight period of 16-17 July 2011 featured southerly flow within the wind farm during a convection-free and cloud-free period. The dew-point depression was less than 2oC, but airport Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) stations near the wind farm recorded visibilities of two to three standard nautical miles or greater (NCAR 2011). A synoptic-scale backing pattern was revealed in the flux station and LIDAR observations. The undisturbed wind profile (Figure 5a) indicated winds steadily increasing with height, with a maximum between 12 and 14 m s-1 at 220 m above the surface, and this persisted throughout the night. The wake characteristics in Figure 5c can be quantified by subtracting the downwind observations (Figure 5b) from the upwind observations. The momentum deficit of the wake occurs in the layer of the turbine rotor disk (40 m to 120 m), with some expansion in the vertical to 140 m. The largest wake deficits of ~ 6 m s-1 occurred at 100 m (which is above the 80-m hub height) and represent a speed decrease of 40%. The lowest level of Windcube observations, 40 m above the surface, suggests some slight acceleration below the wake, but these wind speed differences were small, being less than 1 m s-1. The standard deviations of velocities measured by the LIDAR are used to estimate TKE using the following relationship: TKE lidar 1 2 u v2 w2 2 where u, v, and w, represent the standard deviations of the zonal, meridional, and vertical wind components, respectively. Some reports have indicated disagreement between LIDAR turbulence metrics and those from in situ instruments (Sathe et al. 2011); however, the purpose herein is comparison of two LIDAR measurements, not a strict calculation of TKE at one location per se. Upwind, downwind, and difference time-height cross-sections of LIDAR estimates of TKE (Figure 6) corroborate previous studies (Högström et al. 1988, among others) showing TKE increases in the wake. We observed that TKE enhancement was confined to the turbine rotor disk layer during the 42 night, with some lofting occurring after sunrise as convective eddies lifted from the surface. In the mid-morning through early afternoon there is slight expansion of turbine turbulence to about 20 m above the rotor layer. We expect a sharp decrease of turbulence above the rotor layer during the night as the temperature stratification prevents vertical mixing of these larger eddies and sustains the ambient “upwind” turbulence above the turbines. Wake effects were also revealed in the 15-min averages of the surface fluxes. As found in CWEX-10, the region below the wake experiences significant over-speeding (0.5 to 1.0 m s-1) not only at the near-wake location (NCAR 2), but also at the far-wake tower (NCAR 4). Data from the ISU flux towers located between turbine wakes exhibit less over-speeding than for the flux stations directly downwind of turbine B2 (Figure 7a). We present differences in the data from two ISU towers and the reference NCAR tower, but caution that the differences in measurement height (8 m vs. 10 m) are responsible for the higher speeds for the NCAR sites. Wake effects on TKE show a similar pattern (Figure 7b): the NCAR flux stations directly north of turbine B2 exhibit TKE enhancements of as much as 0.30 m2 s-2, whereas there is negligible difference in turbulence between the two stations in the gap region (ISU 2 - ISU 1) when wind directions are between 170°-180°. However, for the wind direction near 160°, the turbulence at ISU 2 increases as the edge of the B3 wake has shifted over the flux tower, and conversely, the turbulence is reduced at the NCAR stations north of turbine B2 as the edge of the wake has moved to the left of the line of the NCAR flux stations. We observe slightly larger difference in 10-m temperature (0.3 °C) between the gap stations (Figure 7c), whereas the NCAR stations do not report any significant warming downstream of turbine B2. However, for the 4.5 m sonic temperature (Figure not shown) there is roughly a 0.5 °C difference between NCAR 4 and NCAR 1 with lower contrasts (0.25-0.4 °C) between the upwind flux tower and the near-wake (NCAR 2) or intermediate location (NCAR 3). The 4.5 m temperature difference in the gap region is the smallest of any plotted (+/- 0.1 °C), being about 0.25 °C higher downwind only when a wind direction from 160° from 0330 to 0500 LST positions the edge of the wake over 43 the ISU 2 flux station. Measurements of sensible heat flux in far-wake locations (NCAR 3-4) show in Figure 7d a larger downward heat flux by 15-20 W m-2 as compared to the enhancement at the near-wake position (NCAR 2). For periods with flow slightly oblique to the tower line (near 160°) the heat flux difference between NCAR 2 and NCAR 1 is reduced, whereas the ISU 2-ISU 1 difference indicates more downward heat transport within the B3 wake above the ISU station. We conclude that, for this southerly wind case, the turbine wakes from B2 and B3 are confined to an approximately five degree expansion and do not impact the ‘gap’ stations (ISU 1 and ISU 2). Further, the over speeding and enhancement of TKE at NCAR 4 are near the magnitudes observed at NCAR 2, but the effect is less noticeable at NCAR 3. Perhaps this is an indication that the turbine wake reaches the surface beyond 10 D downstream of an individual turbine for this nighttime case. Interpretation of observed winds and TKE near the turbine line calls for a more refined conceptual model of the pressure field, which we adopt from our previous modeling and measurements around agricultural shelterbelts (Wang et al. 2001). The turbines present a barrier to the flow, which creates a stationary (assuming a constant wind speed and wind direction) perturbation pressure field at the surface, with high pressure upwind and low pressure downwind. The largest increases in speed and turbulence behind the turbines occur at NCAR 2, which is consistent with a perturbationpressure-driven speed-up immediately behind the turbine. The over speeding and the reduction of TKE at the ISU 2 flux tower between turbines B2 and B3 suggests that the differences in wind speed are also forced by the perturbation pressure fields around each turbine. Our results suggest a need for future exploration of the perturbation pressure and flow effects around individual turbines and around multiple lines of wind turbines. 6. Turbine influences on fluxes of heat and carbon dioxide Exchanges of CO2, moisture, and heat between atmosphere and crops have important agricultural, as well as microclimate and mesoscale-flow consequences. Figure 8 provides a contrast between the 30-min average fluxes of sensible and latent heat and the carbon dioxide for the daytime southwesterly flow case of 18 July 2011 and the daytime 44 frontal case of 2 Aug 2011. The Webb-Pearman Leuning correction (Webb et al. 1980) was applied to the latent heat and CO2 fluxes. Skies were generally clear in both cases except for a period of cloudiness from 1250-1345 LST on Aug 2 (delineated by the vertical dashed lines in (b, d, and f)). The sensible heat flux difference between NCAR 3 and NCAR 1 is slightly larger on Aug 2 compared to Jul 18 but neither showed large change over the course of the day (Figs. 8a,b). Downwind-upwind latent heat flux differences for the two days (c) and (d) are similar in the morning hours. After the cloudiness period on Aug 2 the NCAR 3 – NCAR 1 difference in the latent heat flux suggests a sign reversal, which is in contrast to a positive mean value for the afternoon of Jul 18. The vertical flux differences of carbon dioxide (e) and (f) are similar in the morning with higher downward flux downwind of the turbines. In the afternoon (after the period of cloudiness on Aug 2) the fluxes are essentially identical on Aug 2, whereas for the July 18 the morning pattern is preserved. These data show that changes in relative magnitude of the latent heat flux and CO2 flux take place at the same time as the change in wind direction. These are consistent with (but perhaps not proof of) turbines creating an increase in upward latent heat flux and downward CO2 flux over the crop during the daytime. 7. Remaining science questions and future campaigns CWEX-10/11 provided evidence of changes in flow structures around single turbines or single lines of turbines and evidence suggesting turbines modify fluxes of importance to crops (e.g., heat and CO2). Our analysis of these data, together with our previous experience from modeling and measurements of the aerodynamics of agricultural shelterbelts (Wang et al. 2001) lead us to propose three mechanisms that influence surface micrometeorological conditions in the near lee of turbines: (1) wind turbine wakes overhead that have not reached the surface but modify the wind profile, scales of turbulence, and the vertical mixing between the surface and the overlying boundary layer, (2) wind turbine wakes that are intersecting the surface allowing wake turbulence to modify the surface microclimate, and (3) static pressure fields (high pressure upwind and low pressure downwind) around each turbine and line of turbines which generate 45 perturbations in surface flow (e.g., localized over speeding) and fluxes within a few D of the turbine line. Additional analyses of CWEX-10/11 data and future CWEX experiments to map out the pressure fields will further explore these proposed mechanisms. The experiments thus far do not provide measurements of plant growth and yield influences of turbines (addressing questions 2-4 in the Introduction). CWEX-10/11 demonstrated that turbines very likely have positive (e.g., enhanced daytime CO2 flux down into the crop canopy) and negative (e.g., higher nighttime temperature which enhances respiration) effects over short time periods. However, variability within and between fields due to cultivar, soil texture and moisture content, and management techniques create large uncertainties for attributing season-long biophysical changes, much less yield, to turbines alone. A caveat to this statement is that we have not sampled the center of the wind farm where aggregate effects of multiple rows of turbines may be more pronounced. Enlarging the study domain would allow this and other agronomic questions to be addressed. For instance staging an intensive observation period during the corn pollination period (mid-July to early August) offers a unique opportunity to study the transport and viability of pollen throughout the atmospheric boundary layer. In addition to conducting biophysical studies of pollen, this experiment could use pollen as a passive tracer for studying mesoscale influences of the wind farm (see the discussion below). There is additional motivation for studying the impact of the wind farm as a whole as a basic science question, in addition to informing future siting and operation of wind farms. For instance better understanding is needed on how the mean and turbulent flow fields of the turbine layer interact with the overlying boundary layer and how this changes from day to night when (at least in summer in the central US) a strong low-level jet becomes established with peak winds within a few hundred meters of the surface. Additional unknowns relate to mesoscale influences on the flow fields around and over the wind farm, which has area of about 150 km2. What are the impacts on low-level (z<100 m) convergence patterns around the wind farm and vertical velocities above or 46 downwind of the wind farm at 200 m, 500 m, and top of the boundary layer? Do they correspond with the impacts suggested by wind farm parameterizations in mesoscale models (Baidya Roy et al. 2004; Barrie and Kirk-Davidoff 2010; Baidya Roy 2011; Fitch et al. 2012)? Are these changes in convergence patterns sufficient to change patterns of boundary-layer clouds (e.g. via gravity wave formation in wind farms described by Smith 2009)? Are the resulting magnitudes of changes sufficient to reorganize convectively driven systems leading to precipitation (Fiedler and Bukovsky 2011) or to change non-convective forcing of precipitation [e.g., isentropic lift, conditional symmetric instability (CSI), and mesoscale banding]? Effects of mesoscale terrain, such as the Loess Hills feature along the Iowa side of the Missouri River, which can generate a very shallow short-wave train close to the surface, could potentially interact with wind farm dynamics. The activity of this shallow short-wave train may lead to the fluctuation of surface winds across the wind farm under stable night-time flow. Finally, numerical modeling using Large Eddy Simulation (LES) and other highresolution models is needed to explore how a wind farm interacts with ambient meteorological conditions to create local winds, transports, and stresses on wind turbine components. A deeper understanding of these interactions is needed for improved forecasts of wind power output by individual turbines within the wind farm and the forces and stresses (possibly leading to blade and gearbox damage) likely to accrue from spatial and temporal changes in turbulence patterns. Databases of field measurements from operating wind farms are needed to validate a variety of wind-tunnel and numerical simulation models (Chamorro and Porté-Agel 2009; Calaf et al. 2010; Churchfield et al. 2010; Cal et al. 2011; Lu and Porté-Agel 2011; Porté-Agel et al. 2011; Churchfield et al. 2012). Current plans call for erection of two 120-m towers in the vicinity of the wind farm for additional vertical measurements in future CWEX experiments. A community call is planned to invite participation of other measurement teams for an expanded field program in the summer of 2014 that will address the many science and application 47 questions we have raised. NCAR data from CWEX-11 are available from the CWEX-11 data archive website of the Earth Observing Laboratory http://www.eol.ucar.edu/deployment/educational-deployments/CWEX11. of NCAR: Other data from CWEX-10 and CWEX-11 will be become available in the near future from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet (http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/index.phtml). Researchers interested in joining future CWEX experiments should contact co-author E. S. Takle. Acknowledgments This work was supported in part by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory under Professor Lundquist’s Joint Appointment. NREL is a national laboratory of the U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, operated by the Alliance for Sustainable Energy, LLC. Partial funding for CWEX-10 was provided by the Ames Laboratory (DOE) and the Center for Global and Regional Environmental Research at the University of Iowa. Surface flux stations for CWEX-11 were provided by NCAR Earth Observing Laboratory under an instrumentation deployment, and undergraduate student participation was supplemented by funding from an NSF REU program under grant 1063048. Data analysis was supported in part by the National Science Foundation under the State of Iowa EPSCoR Grant 1101284. 8. References Aitken, M. L., M. E. Rhodes, and J. K. Lundquist, 2012. Performance of a windprofiling lidar in the region of wind turbine rotor disks. J. Atmos. and Oceanic Technol., 29, 347-355. doi: 10.1175/JTECH-D-11-00033.1. American Wind Energy Association, cited 2011: U.S. wind industry year-end 2010 market report. [Available online at http://www.awea.org/leanabout/publications/upload/4Q10_market_outlook_public.p df.] Baidya Roy, S., 2011: Simulating impacts of wind farms on local hydrometeorology. J. Wind Eng. Ind. Aerodyn., 99, 491–498, doi: 10.1016/j.jweia.2010.12.013. 48 Baidya Roy, S., and J. Traiteur, 2010: Impact of wind farms on surface temperatures. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 107, 17899-17904, doi: 10.1073/pnas.1000493107. Baidya Roy, S., S. W. Pacala, and R. L. Walko, 2004: Can large wind farms affect local meteorology? J. Geophys. Res., 109, D19 101, doi: 10.1029/2004JD004763. Barthelmie, R. J., and Coauthors, 2010: Quantifying the Impact of Wind Turbine Wakes on Power Output at Offshore Wind Farms. J. Atmos. Oceanic Technol., 27, 1302– 1317. doi: 10.1175/2010JTECHA1398.1. Barrie, D. B. and D. B. Kirk-Davidoff, 2010: Weather response to a large wind turbine array. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 10, 769–775, doi: 10.5194/acp-10-769-2010. Cal, R. B., J. Lebron, L. Castillo, H. S. Kang, and C. Meneveau, 2011: Experimental study of the horizontally averaged flow structure in a model wind-turbine array boundary layer. J. Renewable Sustainable Energy, 2, 013 106, doi: 10.1063/1.3289735. Calaf, M., C. Meneveau, and J. Meyers, 2010: Large eddy simulation study of fully developed wind-turbine array boundary layers. Phys. Fluids, 22, 015 110, doi: 10.1063/1.3291077. Campbell, G.S., and J.M. Norman, 1998: An Introduction to Environmental Biophysics. 2nd ed. Springer –Verlag, 286 pp. Chamorro, L. and F. Porté-Agel, 2009: A wind-tunnel investigation of wind-turbine wakes: Boundary-layer turbulence effects. Bound.-Layer Meteor., 132, 129–149, doi:10.1007/s10546-009-9380-8. Churchfield, M.J. et al., 2010. Wind Energy-Related Atmospheric Boundary Layer Large-Eddy Simulation Using OpenFOAM: Preprint. In 19th Symposium on Boundary Layers and Turbulence, Keystone, CO, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 1-26. [Available online at https://ams.confex.com/ams/19Ag19BLT9Urban/techprogram/paper_172636.htm.] Churchfield, M. J., S. Lee, J. Michalakes, and P. J. Moriarty, 2012: A Numerical Study of the Effects of Atmospheric and Wake Turbulence on Wind Turbine Dynamics. Submitted and accepted to Journal of Turbulence. Fiedler, B. H. and M. S. Bukovsky, 2011: The effect of a giant wind farm on precipitation in a regional climate model. Environ. Res. Lett. 6:045101. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/6/4/045101. 49 Fitch, Anna C., Joseph B. Olson, Julie K. Lundquist, Jimy Dudhia, Alok K. Gupta, John Michalakes, Idar Barstad, 2012: Local and Mesoscale Impacts of Wind Farms as Parameterized in a Mesoscale NWP Model. Mon. Wea. Rev., 140, 3017–3038. doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-11-00352.1 General Electric Energy, cited 2009: 1.5 MW Wind Turbine. [Available online at www.ge-energy.com/wind.] Högström, U., D. N. Asimakopoulos, H. Kambezidis, C.G. Helmis, and A. Smedman,1988: A field study of the wake behind a 2 MW wind turbine. Atmos. Environ., 22, 803–820. doi: 10.1016/0004-6981(88)90020-0. Lu, H. and F. Porté-Agel, 2011: Large-eddy simulation of a very large wind farm in a stable atmospheric boundary layer. Phys. Fluids, 23, 065 101, doi:10.1063/1.3589857. Magnusson, M., and A. S. Smedman, 1994: Influence of atmospheric stability on wind turbine wakes. Wind Eng., 18, 139–151. Meyers, J., and C. Meneveau, 2012: Optimal turbine spacing in fully developed windfarm boundary layers, Wind Energ., 15, 305-317. doi:10.1002/we.469. National Center for Atmospheric Research, cited 2011: National Center for Atmospheric Research-Mesocscale and Microscale Division Image Archive Meteorological case study selection kit. [Available online at http://locust.mmm.ucar.edu.] Porté-Agel, F., Y.-T. Wu, H. Lu, and R. J. Conzemius, 2011: Large-eddy simulation of atmospheric boundary layer flow through wind turbines and wind farms. J. Wind Eng. Ind. Aerodyn., 99, 154–168, doi: 10.1016/j.jweia.2011.01.011. Sathe, A., J. Mann, J. Gottschall, and M. S. Courtney, 2011: Can wind lidars measure turbulence? J. Atmos. Oceanic Technol., 28, 853–868. doi: 10.1175/JTECH-D-1005004.1. Smith, R.B., 2009: Gravity wave effects on wind farm efficiency. Wind. Energ., 13, 449-458. doi: 10.1002/we.366. Stull, R., 1988: An Introduction to Boundary Layer Meteorology. Kluwer Academic Publishers, 666 pp. Union of Concerned Scientists, cited 2011: Farming the wind: wind power and agriculture. [Available online at 50 http://www.ucsusa.org/clean_energy/technology_and_impacts/impacts/farming-thewind-wind-power.html.] U.S. Department of Agriculture, National Agricultural Statistics Service, cited 2012: Crop production 2011 summary January 2012, 95 pp; USDA Report No. 1057 -7823. [Available online at http://www.usda.gov/nass/PUBS/TODAYRPT/cropan12.pdf.] U.S. DOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, 2008: 20% Wind Energy by 2030: Increasing Wind Energy's Contribution to U.S. Electricity Supply, 248 pp.; NREL Report No. TP-500-41869; DOE/GO-102008-2567. [Available online at http://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy08osti/41869.pdf.] Wang, H., and E. S. Takle, 1995: A numerical simulation of boundary-layer flows near shelterbelts. Bound.-Layer. Meteor., 75, 141-173. Wang, H., E. S. Takle, and J. Shen, 2001: Shelterbelts and windbreaks: Mathematical modeling and computer simulation of turbulent flows. Ann. Rev. Fluid Mech., 33, 549-586. Webb, E.K., G.I. Pearman, and R. Leuning, 1980. Correction of flux measurements for density effects due to heat and water vapor transfer. Quart. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 106, 85-100. 51 Figure 1. Overlay of the wind farm boundaries with an expanded view of the measurement locations for CWEX-10 and CWEX-11. 52 Figure 2. Climatological 10-m wind roses of the Marshalltown airport for the months of (a) January and (b) July. 53 Figure 3. Wind roses for (a) CWEX-10 6.5-m winds at the reference flux tower (NLAE 1), (b) CWEX-11 10-m winds at the reference flux tower (NCAR 1), and (c) CWEX-11 80-m winds from the upwind wind cube (WC 68). Dashed lines denote wind directions for turbine wakes on downwind stations. 54 Figure 4. CWEX-10 differences (downwind – upwind) of normalized wind speed and normalized TKE, 9-m air temperature, and uncorrected sensible heat flux as functions of upwind flux tower thermal stability (z/L0): for the westerly no-wake case (a),(d),(g),and (j); for the SW B2 turbine wake case (b),(e),(h),and (k); and for the SSE case between the wakes of turbine B2 and B3 (c),(f),(i),and (l). 55 Figure 4. (continued) 56 Figure 5. Contours of wind speed from (a) WC 68, (b) WC 49, and (c) calculated difference in wind speed attributed to the wind turbine wake effect. Overlay with a solid black line is for the top of the rotor height and the dashed black line indicates the hub height. 57 Figure 6. Time-height cross sections of (a) upwind TKE profile, (b) downwind TKE profile, and (c) difference between (a) and (b). Overlay with a solid line is for the top of the rotor height and the dashed line indicates the hub height. 58 Figure 7. Differences during the night of 16-17 July 2011 for (a) wind speed (b) TKE, (c) air temperature, and (d) sensible heat flux. Note that at the ISU tower wind speed and temperature are collected at the 8-m level while the NCAR tower wind speed and temperature are observed at 10 m. 59 Figure 8. Comparison of differences in 30-min averaged fluxes of sensible heat (a-b), latent heat (c-d), and CO2 (e-f) between NCAR 3 and NCAR 1 for a southerly wind case on 18 July 2011 and for a transition from southerly to northwesterly direction on 2 Aug 2011. NCAR 3 10-m wind direction vectors are overlaid for each image. Dashed lines in (b), (d), and (f) denote the period of cloudiness during the transition of winds from southerly to northwesterly on the early afternoon of 2 Aug 2011. 60 Table 1. Instrumentation type, sensor height, and location for flux stations operating during CWEX-10 and CWEX-11. More detailed specifications of each sensor in the following footnotes #1-8. Sensor type Height above Location for Height above Location for ground (m) ground (m) CWEX-10 CWEX -11 CWEX-10 Sonic anemometer1,* 6.5 CWEX-11 NLAE 1-4 4.5 NCAR 1-4 ISU 1-2 Net radiometer2 6.5 NLAE 1-2 4.5 ISU 1-2 Gas analyzer3,** 6.5 NLAE 1-2 4.5 NCAR 1,3 ISU 1 Cup/Prop 9.0 NLAE 1-4 anemometer4 Temp-RH probe5 5.3, 9.0 NLAE 1-4 10 NCAR 1-4 8, 3 ISU 1-2 10, 2 NCAR 1-4 8, 3, 1 ISU 1-2 Tipping bucket6 5.2 NLAE 1-4 3.3 ISU 1-2 Air pressure7 6.5 NLAE 1-2 2 NCAR 1-4 4.5 ISU 1 2 NCAR 1 1.7 ISU 1-2 Leaf wetness8,***,**** 61 Table 1. (continued) 1 CSAT3, [Campbell Scientific Inc., Logan UT] - *possible 0.6° C warm bias at NLAE 1 2 CNR1 and CNR4 [Kipp and Zonen, Delft, The Netherlands] for ISU 1-2; Q7.1 REBS [REBS, Inc., Bellevue, WA] for NLAE 1-2 3 LI-7500, [Li-Cor Biosciences, Lincoln, NE] for NLAE 1-2, NCAR 1,3; EC-150 [Campbell Scientific, Inc., Logan UT] for ISU 1 - **H2O flux measured with Krypton hygrometer at NCAR 2,4 4 03101 Wind Sentry [Campbell Scientific Inc., Logan UT] for NLAE 1-4 and ISU 1-2; 05103 Wind Monitor [R.M. Young, Traverse City, MI] for NCAR 1-4 5 HMP40/45C [Campbell Scientific Inc., Logan UT] for NLAE 1-4 and ISU 1-2; HMP50 [Campbell Scientific Inc., Logan UT] for ISU 1-2; NCAR SHT-75 thermo-hygrometer with aspiration systems for NCAR 1-4 6 TE-525 [Texas Electronics, Inc., Dallas, TX] 7 LI-7500 for NLAE 1-2; EC-150 for ISU 1; PTB 220 [Vaisala, Helsinki, Finland] for NCAR 1-4 8 Leaf wetness sensor [Decagon Devices, Inc., Pullman, WA] - *** measured on the NCAR 1 tower, **** measured in the canopy 62 Table 2. CWEX-10 means and standard deviations (in parentheses) of the differences (downwind – upwind) in normalized wind speed for upwind flux tower thermal stability (z/L0) categories: unstable, neutral, and stable for the westerly no-wake case; for the SW B2 turbine wake case; and for the SSE gap case between the wakes of turbine B2 and B3. Notable differences are indicated with double asterisks. U U0 (NLAE 2-NLAE 1) (NLAE 3-NLAE 1) (NLAE 4-NLAE 1) No unstable (z/L0<-0.05) 0.00 (0.24) 0.07 (0.18) 0.06 (0.28) wake neutral (-0.05<z/L0<0.05) 0.03 (0.21) 0.06 (0.14) 0.02 (0.17) 0.02 (0.30) 0.10 (0.19) 0.16 (0.28) (West) stable (z/L0>0.05) unstable (z/L0<-0.05) -0.10 (0.11)** -0.01 (0.16) -0.05 (0.32) wake neutral (-0.05<z/L0<0.05) -0.12 (0.08) ** -0.03 (0.09) -0.13 (0.12) ** (SW) stable (z/L0>0.05) 0.21 (0.56) 0.24 (0.34) 0.37 (0.84) B2_B3 unstable (z/L0<-0.05) -0.01 (0.16) 0.01 (0.21) -0.04 (0.28) (SSE neutral (-0.05<z/L0<0.05) -0.07 (0.06) ** 0.01 (0.09) -0.10 (0.12) ** gap) stable (z/L0>0.05) 0.16 (0.28) 0.31 (0.23) ** 0.22 (0.25) ** 62 B2 63 Table 3. CWEX-10 means and standard deviations (in parentheses) of differences (downwind – upwind) in normalized TKE for upwind flux tower thermal stability (z/L0) categories: unstable, neutral, and stable for the westerly no-wake case; for the SW B2 turbine wake case; and for the SSE gap case between the wakes of turbine B2 and B3. Notable differences are indicated with double asterisks. TKE TKE0 (NLAE 2-NLAE 1) (NLAE 3-NLAE 1) (NLAE 4-NLAE 1) unstable (z/L0<-0.05) 0.05 (0.40) 0.26 (0.65) 0.21 (0.75) wake neutral (-0.05<z/L0<0.05) 0.07 (0.23) 0.25 (0.34) 0.18 (0.42) (West) stable (z/L0>0.05) 0.30 (1.08) 0.39 (0.66) 1.22 (1.98) B2 unstable (z/L0<-0.05) 0.12 (0.27) -0.01 (0.79) 0.11 (0.51) wake neutral (-0.05<z/L0<0.05) 0.12 (0.20) 0.06 (0.21) 0.03 (0.27) (SW) stable (z/L0>0.05) 2.68 (4.07) 1.89 (1.66) ** 2.42 (2.37) ** B2_B3 unstable (z/L0<-0.05) 0.13 (0.26) -0.16 (1.03) 0.18 (0.62) (SSE neutral (-0.05<z/L0<0.05) 0.09 (0.15) 0.06 (0.21) 0.05 (0.25) gap) stable (z/L0>0.05) 1.07 (1.46) 1.34 (1.26) ** 1.61 (1.69) ** 63 No 64 Table 4. CWEX-10 means and standard deviations (in parentheses) of the differences (downwind – upwind) of 9-m air temperature for upwind flux tower thermal stability (z/L0) categories: unstable, neutral, and stable for the westerly no-wake case; for the SW B2 turbine wake case; and for the SSE gap case between the wakes of turbine B2 and B3. Notable differences are indicated with double asterisks. T (C ) (NLAE 2-NLAE 1) (NLAE 3-NLAE 1) (NLAE 4-NLAE 1) unstable (z/L0<-0.05) -0.11 (0.73) -0.14 (0.24) -0.20 (0.26) wake neutral (-0.05<z/L0<0.05) 0.00 (0.49) -0.05 (0.14) -0.41 (2.04) (West) stable (z/L0>0.05) -0.02 (0.69) 0.01 (0.32) -0.08 (0.42) B2 unstable (z/L0<-0.05) 0.06 (0.14) -0.19 (0.19)** -0.11 (0.22) wake neutral (-0.05<z/L0<0.05) -0.15 (1.29) -0.13 (0.12)** -0.08 (0.17) (SW) stable (z/L0>0.05) -0.04 (1.42) 0.05 (0.24) -0.02 (0.32) B2_B3 unstable (z/L0<-0.05) -0.01 (0.14) -0.14 (0.21) -0.06 (0.27) (SSE neutral (-0.05<z/L0<0.05) 0.04 (0.08) -0.08 (0.12) 0.00 (0.19) gap) stable (z/L0>0.05) 0.10 (0.24) 0.32 (0.25)** 0.43 (0.43)** 64 No 65 Table 5. CWEX-10 means and standard deviations (in parentheses) of the differences (downwind – upwind) uncorrected sensible heat flux for upwind flux tower thermal stability (z/L0) categories: unstable, neutral, and stable for the westerly nowake case; for the SW B2 turbine wake case; and for the SSE gap case between the wakes of turbine B2 and B3. Notable differences are indicated with double asterisks. H W m2 (NLAE 2-NLAE 1) (NLAE 3-NLAE 1) (NLAE 4-NLAE 1) unstable (z/L0<-0.05) 0.13 (15.13) -12.31 (43.68) 11.37 (25.90) wake neutral (-0.05<z/L0<0.05) 5.40 (11.94) - 2.98 (18.94) 13.03 (23.64) (West) stable (z/L0>0.05) - 0.34 ( 7.76) - 0.17 ( 6.18) - 5.93 ( 9.60) B2 unstable (z/L0<-0.05) 0.23 (17.94) - 0.89 (31.19) 14.74 (39.41) wake neutral (-0.05<z/L0<0.05) - 0.08 (12.34) 6.99 (19.39) 10.98 (24.16) (SW) stable (z/L0>0.05) - 6.62 (17.04) 0.28 (23.58) - 1.08 (14.96) B2_B3 unstable (z/L0<-0.05) - 9.07 (19.16) -18.28 (36.25) 18.30 (37.58) (SSE neutral (-0.05<z/L0<0.05) - 3.02 (11.38) - 0.71 (19.18) 10.55 (27.10) gap) stable (z/L0>0.05) - 6.24 (14.04) -11.31 (12.94) 65 No - 6.06 ( 9.14) 66 CHAPTER 3. CHANGES IN FLUXES OF HEAT, H2O, AND CO2 CAUSED BY A LARGE WIND FARM From an Article to be submitted to the Journal of Agriculture and Forest Meteorology Daniel A. Rajewski21* Eugene S. Takle2, Julie K. Lundquist3,4, Steven Oncley5, John H. Prueger6, Thomas W. Horst5, Michael E. Rhodes3, Richard Pfeiffer6, Jerry L. Hatfield6, Kristopher K. Spoth2, Russell K. Doorenbos2 Abstract The Crop-Wind energy Experiment (CWEX) provides a platform to investigate the effect of individual turbines and large wind farms on surface fluxes of momentum, heat, moisture, and CO2. In 2010 and 2011, eddy covariance flux stations were installed between the outside two lines of turbines at the south west edge of a large Iowa wind farm from late June to early September. We report changes in fluxes of sensible heat, latent heat, and CO2 above a corn canopy after surface air has passed through a single line of turbines. In 2010 our flux stations were placed within a field of homogeneous land management (same tillage, cultivar, chemical treatments) and in 2011 our stations were in corn fields subjected to different land management practices. We stratify the data according to wind direction, diurnal condition, and whether the turbines were operating. We analyze downwind-upwind flux differences within these categories to explore the characteristics of turbine influences at the crop surface. Our results suggest partial statistically significant evidence that daytime fluxes of CO2 and H2O are enhanced in the lee of the turbines (from 3 to 5 turbine diameter distances downwind 1 Department of Geological and Atmospheric Sciences, Iowa State University, Ames, IA, 50011. Department of Agronomy, Iowa State University, Ames, IA, 50011. 3 Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO, 80309. 4 National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Golden, CO, 80401. 5 National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO 80303. 6 National Laboratory for Agriculture and the Environment, Ames, IA 50011. * Corresponding author address: Daniel A. Rajewski, Iowa State University, 3132 Agronomy Ames, IA 50011. E-mail: drajewsk@iastate.edu 2 67 from the tower) for southerly to southwesterly directions as compared to a west wind. However, we observe no flux difference for these same oblique flow directions based on turbine operational status. In the nighttime there is strong statistical significance that turbine wakes enhance upward CO2 fluxes and entrain sensible heat toward the crop as compared to both westerly wind conditions and those with the turbines offline. The direction of the scalar flux perturbation seems closely associated to the differences in canopy friction velocity but more analysis is required to determine how fluxes are modified between two turbine wakes as compared to a situation where the fluxes are influenced within a turbine wake. 1. Introduction Large wind farms have been constructed across the U.S. Midwest over the last decade, and this expansion is likely to continue (U.S. DOE 2008; AWEA, 2012). Turbine hub-height speed could be impacted by agricultural management (e.g. tillage, crop-type, cultivar and plant density) as these roughness factors influence drag on the wind and the heat and moisture and fluxes over the crop. In addition, the surface roughness regulates the near-surface wind profile (Barthelmie 1999; Emeis 2010; Stull 1988) and influences nighttime speed and directional shear characteristics below and within the turbine rotor layer (e.g. Pichugina et al. 2005; Storm and Basu 2010). Parameterizations of wind turbines in weather prediction models suggest effects on nearsurface winds and temperature (Baidya Roy et al. 2011; Fitch et al., 2012; Fitch et al., 2013a, 2013b). The construction of turbines in agricultural areas has raised the need to quantify the impact of wind turbines and wind farms on agricultural crops. The influence of wind turbines and wind farms can be illustrated by the following conceptual diagram (Figure 1). Based on experience quantifying flow characteristics around shelterbelts (Wang and Takle 1995; Wang et al. 2001), wind turbines modify mean and turbulence characteristics of a uniform boundary layer above a crop canopy surface. As a bluff obstacle to the wind, the rotor blades, nacelle, and tower create a localized perturbed pressure field that affects mean flow from the surface to well above 68 the blade travel. Small-scale turbulence created by flow past the blades and nacelle forms a wake region that can influence the surface indirectly (by decoupling ambient flow aloft from near-surface flow and by creating waves and pressure fluctuations that are mediated to the surface) and directly when the wake reaches the surface. Exchanges of heat, H2O, and CO2 with crops are affected by these changes introduced in the lee of the turbines. The magnitude and locations of these changes are controlled by the turbine characteristics (hub height, rotor diameter, blade style, blade pitch angle and modelspecific thrust and power coefficients) and the ambient conditions (atmospheric stability, wind direction, wind speed, and moisture conditions). The field measurements reported herein quantify fluxes and offer opportunities for verifying numerical and conceptual models of surface fluxes of sensible and latent heat, and gaseous constituents such as CO2. We report small but statistically significant increases in the daytime (nighttime) CO2 flux with a collocated enhancement of transpiration (sensible heating) at a distance of about 5.5 turbine rotor diameters (D) downwind of a line of turbines. Several numerical simulations of large wind farms demonstrate increased daytime evapo-transpiration up to 0.4 mm day-1 or about 10 W m-2 and higher nighttime temperatures (0.5° to 2 ºC) and enhanced downward sensible heat flux of 5 to 10 W m-2 (Adams, 2007; Baidya Roy, 2004, 2011; Baidya Roy and Traiteur 2010; Cevarich and Baidya Roy 2013; Fitch et al. 2013a). Large-eddy simulation (LES) and 1-D surface layer models with wind turbine parameterizations also indicate a 10-15 % increase in scalar fluxes in the surface layer below the turbines (e.g. Calaf et al. 2011). Wind tunnel studies by Zhang et al. (2012a, 2013) of wind turbine arrays in neutral or convective boundary layers also depict areas of increased heat flux (up to 24%) immediately around the downwind side of each tower base. For a simulation of turbine wakes during a prescribed steady-state nocturnal period, Lu and Porté-Agel (2011) determine that the downward sensible heat flux is reduced 14-27% of the ambient flux within a deep-wind farm array but there is no change in either the surface temperature, nor in the profile of potential temperature up to the bottom tip of the turbine rotor. 69 A few observational studies, primarily using remote sensing techniques instead of insitu measurements, give evidence for the role of large wind farms in perturbing crop microclimate conditions. Zhou et al. (2012a, 2012b) analyzed MODIS satellite data at 1-km resolution to extrapolate land surface temperatures over western Texas (several thousand turbines are located in this area) and determined that the study area was 0.5° to 0.7 °C warmer after construction of the turbines (from 2009-2011) than before (from 2003-2005). The authors also documented slight increases (decreases) in surface albedo (vegetative fraction) for each turbine construction ‘footprint’ but did not report fieldscale changes related to soils, agricultural cultivars etc. Another study (Walsh-Thomas et al. 2012) determined similar or more extensive warming from 1982-2011 over the small power turbines with 15 m hub height and 23 m blades in San Gorgonio wind farm using 240-m resolution data from the LANDSAT 5 satellite and filtering for days with less than 20% cloud cover. Temperature bins were created for each 2-km X 2-km area upwind and downwind of the wind farm but the study area was dominated by terraininduced changes in temperature, which obscured the specific contribution of the wind farm to changes in surface temperature. Air temperature, relative humidity, and evaporation differences were noted among five surface stations positioned in 4.5 km grid spacing within a large 300-turbine wind farm in Western IN during the post harvest period in 2011 (Henschen et al. 2011). However, there is no clear comparison of these field-scale differences to any upwind or un-perturbed ambient weather station, and the authors do not describe inherent field scale variability that may have been caused by land management (e.g. tillage) or soil (e.g. temperature, moisture, texture, drainage). Rajewski et al. (2013) propose four basic agronomic questions to address the windcrop interaction and they provide an overview analysis of differences in surface fluxes and wind profile measurements collected within a large utility scale wind farm in central Iowa during the 2010 and 2011 Crop Wind-Energy Experiment (CWEX-10/11). The purpose of this study is to more specifically address from the CWEX measurements how fluxes of heat, moisture, and CO2 are modified by the turbine/wind farm flow perturbations. In Section 2, a brief summary of the relevant measurements is presented. 70 In Section 3 we discuss the analysis used to determine the flux differences for turbineinfluenced and no turbine-influenced conditions. Section 4 highlights the results of the flux analysis using conditional binning for several factors (e.g. day/night, wind direction, turbines on/off). We summarize the results in Section 5 and offer additional objectives for future experiments to quantify the influence of wind turbines/large wind farms on crops. 2. Materials and Methods The CWEX overview (Rajewski et al. 2013) provides a description of the instrument deployment and measurements collected in CWEX-10/11. The National Laboratory for Agriculture and the Environment (NLAE) provided instruments and data collection in 2010 whereas in 2011 instrumentation for four flux towers was provided by the Integrated Surface Flux Systems group of the Earth Observing Laboratory of the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Earth Observing Laboratory. Two additional flux towers were assembled by Iowa State University (ISU). The University of Colorado and the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (CU/NREL) provided a wind profiling light detection and ranging (LiDAR) downwind of the turbines in 2010 and one upwind and one downwind of turbines in 2011 to assist in overhead detection of turbine wakes. Reference upwind (under prevailing southerly winds) flux stations were positioned south of the first line of turbines (we denote as a ‘B’ line) [NLAE 1 in 2010 and NCAR 1 and ISU 1 in 2011] and several flux stations downwind of the ‘B’ turbine line in both 2010 and 2011. One upwind and one downwind stations provided measurements of H2O and CO2 [NLAE 1,2 in 2010 and NCAR 1,3 in 2011]. In 2010 the stations were installed for the period of 30 June to 7 September, whereas in 2011 measurements were collected from 30 June to 16 August. The 2010 season provides a ten-day period from 26 July 700 LST to 5 August 1730 LST to measure crop fluxes within the wind farm when the turbines were shut down for transmission grid upgrades. We calculate average fluxes over 30-min intervals from the 20-Hz time series of the CSAT3 sonic 71 anemometers (Campbell Scientific, Logan UT) and LI-7500 gas analyzers (Li-Cor, Lincoln, NE). Corrections are applied to the sonic anemometer tilt angle (Wilczak et al. 2001), temperature (Scotanus et al. 1983) and to the H2O and CO2 concentrations from the gas analyzer according to Webb et al. (1980), commonly referred to as WPL. Data taken during precipitation events and data from periods having missing values from both the upwind or downwind stations were eliminated (about 19%). We also performed a quality control of the temperature profile measurements at 9 and 5 meters where we reject all events (an additional 2%) where TNLAE 2-TNLAE 1 > |5°C| or TNCAR 3-TNCAR 1 > |5°C| ) since the temperature and relative humidity profile measurements were used in air density content for the calculation of the corrected fluxes. 3. Theory/Calculation 3.1 Surface energy budget considerations We define the surface energy balance equation as in Leuning et al. (2012, among others): R net − G = H + λE + Fc + Fb (1) where Rnet is the net radiation, G is the soil heat flux, H is the sensible heat flux, E is latent heat of evapo-transpiration, Fc is the energy absorbed/released by CO2, and Fb is the thermal storage within the crop canopy elements (e.g. leaves, stems, reproductive matter). H, E, Fc and Rnet were measured, but we did not measure G and Fb. We therefore parameterize G as a daytime or nighttime fraction (0.1 or 0.5, respectively)*Rnet (e.g. Stull, 1988). We cannot determine Fb in the absence of biomass measurements, so this term is neglected. Leuning (2012) defines Fc (the energy flux of CO2) as Fc = fc*-0.489, where the constant is the CO2 absorption determined by Blanken et al. (1997), and fc is the WPL-corrected vertical flux of CO2. The scatter plot of the energy terms for (Rnet–G vs. H+E+Fc) in Figure 2 for our four primary sites demonstrates about 90-95% energy closure in both 2010 and 2011, justifying our neglect 72 of Fb. We attribute the satisfactory agreement in our energy budget from using the most updated flux-correction procedures, especially accounting for greater flux capture when using the sonic tilt corrections (Leuning et al. 2012; Wilczak et al. 2001). We calculate the differences of the crop energy fluxes of H, E, and fc between the first station north (downwind) and south (upwind) of the ‘B’ turbine line: [NLAE 2NLAE 1 for CWEX-10 and NCAR 3-NCAR 1 in CWEX-11]. We emphasize that, in addition to the influence of wind turbines, the flux variability is related to several factors in crop management (e.g. crop-type, cultivar, plant density, tillage, chemical application) in 2011 and inherent soil variability (temperature, moisture, texture, etc.) for both 2010 and 2011. We note from the USDA-NRCS soil maps of this field section (obtained from the Iowa Geographic Map Server at http://ortho.gis.iastate.edu), up to six different loamy soils speckled around the study area each with varying degrees of poor quality drainage. Both the NLAE 1 and 2 stations and the NCAR 1 and 3 stations have elevation differences of less than 3 m between sites. 2010 also features a very wet growing season whereas in 2011 the modestly dry conditions complicate our ability to sort out turbine impacts of crop fluxes among other environmental and crop physiological factors related to plant stress. Therefore the bulk of our analyses will focus on the CWEX-10 stations that were placed over the same crop field on either side of the B turbine line. We analyze the flux differences of H, E, and fc for typical daytime and nighttime conditions according to two ‘null’ categories (no-turbine influence) and by specific wind directional composites (with a turbine influence) for several tests of statistical significance of each difference. These filtering procedures for the analysis are described in the following sub sections. 3.2 Wind directional filtering for the flux differences composites Each set of daytime or nighttime fluxes is additionally separated according to the downwind flux station wind direction at NLAE 2. ‘Waked’ or ‘non-waked’ wind directions from the flux tower are determined by using an assumption of a 5° expansion of wakes from the turbine rotor as reported by Barthelmie et al. (2010) and adopted in 73 the analysis of Rajewski et al. (2013). Figure 3 presents a graphical interpretation of these wake-direction sectors for each wind turbine used in this analysis. In this study we present wake indicators for the first null case: “W” for westerly winds and test cases #14 for the “WSW”, “SW”, “SSW”, and “S-SSE” directional bins. We omit analysis of the remaining directional sectors (“SE”, “ESE”, “E”, “ENE”, to “NW-NE”) to avoid compromising the “undisturbed flow” condition of our upwind station, NLAE 1, caused by wakes originating from the two turbine lines 1.5 km southeast of the ‘B’ turbine line or from the deep-wind farm effect in the northerly direction. 3. 3 Diurnal filtering of the flux-differences composites The 30-min fluxes are additionally partitioned into daytime and nighttime periods according to the surface stability condition classification (NEUTRAL/STABLE/UNSTABLE) as presented for 15-min averages in Rajewski et al. (2013). We classify a daytime period, “DAY”, to be when the reference upwind tower has Rnet > 300 W m-2 and a nighttime period, “NIGHT” ,when Rnet < 0 Wm-2. Each of these periods corresponds to daytime (nighttime) radiation conditions indicating minimal cloudiness and between the morning/evening transitions of the surface layer when we would expect rapid changes in the energy fluxes. We acknowledge that these boundary layer-transition and cloudy periods may contribute to crop fluxes, but our goal was to create ensembles of clearly daytime and nighttime periods when fluxes were not changing rapidly due to diurnal cloudiness effects. We did observe nighttime periods when the upwind station reported unstable conditions, likely associated with KelvinHelmholtz wave breaking (e.g Stull 1988), but these events were infrequent (< 1% of all nighttime events) and sometimes did not occur at both the upwind and downwind stations simultaneously. composites. Therefore these periods are retained in our nighttime 74 3.4 Turbine operation filter for the flux differences composites Each directional category for the DAY or NIGHT case is additionally filtered by the operating status of the turbines. SCADA data (nacelle wind speed, wind direction, temperature, and instantaneous power) for each 10-min period are used to define an ON/OFF turbine flag for the surface fluxes. We relate the 10-min SCADA to the 30-min averaged fluxes: “OFF” applied when at least two out of the first three turbines in the B line (B1-B3) were not producing power for two out of the three 10-min periods that correspond to our 30-min flux averaging time stamp. Otherwise, “ON” applied. Turbines B4-B8 are not part of the ON/OFF determination for this procedure because we are specifically omitting directions when our stations could be influenced by those turbines. In addition to the 10-day shutdown of the wind farm we noted up to 70-85% of the observations indicate periods of minimal to no electrical generation during CWEX-10. During a few days in our study the turbines were shut down for 12 or more hours and sometimes were below operating wind conditions for up to 36 hours during a typical quiescent period of northerly winds. Some “OFF” events occurred with strong winds but lightning was detected within 50 miles. For these cases the turbines were brought online only after an extended period (30-60 min) of lightning-free conditions. Our data set therefore consists of DAY and NIGHT periods when turbines were operating under clear skies and ample wind without effects of thunderstorms or weak synoptic forcing. We recognize the potential for flux perturbations caused by turbines that are either still or not turning fast enough to produce power, because each turbine nacelle and tower provide a small cross sectional influence on the boundary layer flow. Vortices around the blades and towers, albeit small (e.g. Vermeer et al. 2003), may have influence on flux measurements especially for northerly flow conditions. To provide a clean comparison to our null and test conditions, we evaluate only those OFF periods in a composite for the same wind direction categories (WSW, SW, SSW, and S-SSE) as those used when the turbines are online. Unfortunately, there are not enough 75 observations in the OFF samples to make a statistically meaningful comparison of the flux differences for individual direction categories when the turbines were on to when the turbines were offline. 3.5 Comparison metrics of the flux differences composites We test the hypothesis that the downwind-upwind energy flux differences of each quantity H, E, and fc (denoted “F”) for the directional sum ( FON) and the individual directions (FWSW, FSW, FSSW, FS-SSE) are significant as compared to the sum of the energy flux differences for the direction sum in the first null case”W” (FW) and in the second null case “OFF” (FOFF). The westerly composite, FW includes both ON and OFF conditions to increase the sample size since no turbine influence is expected for westerly flow. During daytime conditions, ON conditions occur twice as often as OFF conditions, whereas ON and OFF conditions occur equally during nighttime conditions. The OFF and ON composites (FOFF and FON, respectively) include the same wind direction categories. Table 1 quantifies the number of cases in each category and also relates to each directional bin the NLAE 2 flux tower distance downwind of a turbine or the ‘B’ line. 3.6 Statistical analyses of the composite and individual flux differences For each flux considered (H, E, and fc), we quantify the mean, standard deviation, the 95% upper and lower bounds of the difference, and the skewness and kurtosis of the difference distributions to provide context for the range of variability within each flux difference composite. The mean differences and the standard deviations among each case are graphically depicted to more clearly reveal turbine and non-turbine influenced conditions that allow us to evaluate our conceptual model of turbine impacts on crop fluxes. The plots of the mean and standard deviations of the difference also include flux difference accumulations between each composite condition for the DAY and NIGHT periods. The sensible and latent heat flux differences are accumulated for each 30-min period, whereas for the CO2 flux we define the daytime gross primary production (GPP) 76 as the accumulated down welling CO2 area density when fc < 0 and similarly for the nighttime ecosystem respiration (Re) as the upwelling CO2 flux when fc > 0 according to Lovett et al. (2006). Finally, we present the statistical significance testing for comparing the downwind-upwind flux differences for each of the test cases to each of the two null cases. We determine significance testing using the t-test applied by Zhou et al. (2012a) in the temperature analysis over the west Texas wind farm complex and the Wilcoxon paired test as is similar to the method used by Baidya Roy and Traituer (2010) in the San Gorgonio study. We verify our flux difference significance from these two statistical tests because the t-test assumes a Gaussian distribution to the data and that the variances of the samples are equal, whereas the Wilcoxon method allows for non-parametric comparisons and is more suited for our data set. We do not observe a normal distribution to our data for obvious reasons linked to diurnal changes in the boundary layer. These distribution patterns will be revisited in the analyses of the skewness and kurtosis for each of the flux difference composites. Finally, the Welch test is a statistical test that determines if two parameters have unequal variances. Our data confirm that for most of the flux differences among the null and test cases we cannot assume equal variance. Our turbine-influenced test cases are determined to be significant when there is a 95% or greater probability that the null hypothesis (no difference between the upwind and downwind means) can be rejected (p-value ≤ 0.05). 4. Results 4.1 Sensible Heat flux We present the accumulations of the NLAE 2-1 station differences in daytime and nighttime sensible heat flux for the null and test case conditions in Figure 4. Also overlaid are the mean and standard deviations of each difference in the day or night event. We observe mostly small accumulations of daytime positive heat flux (greater surface cooling) at the north station for most of the individual southwest quadrant directional composites than for when the turbines are off. The daytime mean differences in the sensible heat are highly variable among all null and test cases and this is also 77 evident in Table 2a. The skewness of the distribution of the differences is generally symmetric around the mean and the distribution is platykurtic (less than normal distribution). In the turbines OFF composite we observe a negative skew and generally a normal distribution among the differences. In our statistical tests of these differences (Table 5a) we indicate no evidence of the sensible heat flux difference between the ON composite and the westerly null case, whereas our t-tests for both the ON composite and the individual south-southwest and southerly to south-south east directions indicate weak statistical significance as compared to the turbines off composite. However the magnitude of the composite ON differences is negligible compared to previously reported studies. We expect a weaker influence of the turbines perturbing the sensible heat flux because the daytime boundary layer, typically in a convective or near neutral situation, would contain eddies of a much larger size (several hundred m deep) dominating the vertical mixing above the canopy instead of the turbine-scale eddies, which may at most be a few tens to one-hundred meters in diameter. Both our mean differences and our statistical testing seem to support this conceptual picture. At night, the turbine-scale turbulence (scales of tens to one-hundred meters) can dominate ambient boundary layer turbulence having scales of only a few meters, so we can easily detect the bulk turbine influence as in the ON composite promoting larger downward transport of heat at NLAE 2. We observe a mean effect of 5-10 W m-2 greater downward heat, with isolated events in the southwest wind condition approaching 30 W m-2 of enhanced flux at the northern station (Table 2b). Our statistical tests of these mean differences (Table 5b) also suggest strong correlation of smaller ambient turbulence and scalars being enhanced by the turbine-scale turbulence. The bulk of the turbine ON composites differences for the NIGHT condition have negative skew but these follow closely to a normal distribution, in contrast to the DAY events. The OFF composite distribution is centered on the mean difference but contains several outliers at the tails of the mean. In all comparisons of the test composites vs. the null composites of winds from the west and for turbines off we have strong confidence that the flux difference between the two stations is statistically significant (p<0.005) for 78 both the parametric and non-parametric tests. For the nighttime south to south-southeasterly case there are several observations in which the downward sensible heat is enhanced at the north station, although the mean difference is relatively small. We are unsure why the null hypotheses are rejected for the S-SSE condition when the difference in flux is relatively small (< 5 W m-2). This sector of wind directions represents flow between turbines B2 and B3, so perhaps some other measure of sorting the data (e.g. hub height wind speed) would be useful in developing a conceptual model for the overspeeding aloft and at the surface between two turbines (e.g. Hirth and Schroeder 2013). 4.2 Latent heat flux For the accumulations of latent heat flux in Figure 5 we observe a definite enhancement of daytime evapo-transpiration at NLAE 2 when the station is under the influence of the B1 or B2 turbines (at a distance of 5D or 3D downwind) as compared to the null cases (EW and EOFF). Among the two null cases, as shown in Table 3a, there is high variability of the daytime flux differences, and the mean is quite small (< 5 W m-2, ambient values near 325 W m -2). The west-south-westerly direction indicates that the B1 turbine wake is overhead of the NLAE 2 flux station and significantly increases transpiration (up to 1.0 mm d-1 or about 10% increase) over the reference flux (350 W m-2) at the southern station (NLAE 1). The distribution of the difference of the latent heat flux is quite similar to the sensible heat as the turbine ON composites feature near-zero skewness, but a platykurtic (flatter peak) shape. The turbines OFF composite has a negative skewness but the distribution is slightly more normal (or Gaussian) as compared to the other cases. Table 6a shows no significant difference between the flux differences for the turbines ON composite and those of westerly conditions. The latent heat flux is enhanced downwind of the turbines for wind directions from the southwest quadrant (WSW to SSW), but not for flow between turbines B2 and B3 in the southerly wind condition (ES-SSE). The highest confidence of the flux difference (p<0.004) occurs in the west-south-westerly direction where the wake at NLAE 2 presumably has some interaction with the surface at a distance of 5.4 D downstream of turbine B1. This 79 particular enhancement of evapo-transpiration for WSW winds is verified in the comparison to the second null case (turbines offline). The individual cases from the south-west and south-southwesterly directions (between the B1 and B2 turbine and within the B2 wake, respectively) give conflicting significance results between the two statistical tests presented. We presume among the large standard deviations of the differences that the latent heat flux is more perturbed on the edge of the turbine wake (for SW wind direction) vs. less flux difference within the centerline position of the wake (for SSW wind direction). The mean 8 W m-2 reduction of latent heat flux in the south-south-easterly direction, however, depicts a peculiar result. For the comparison to westerly flow we cannot reject the null hypothesis of no flux difference between the westerly and southerly directions. However, in the second null case (turbines OFF) we can safely assume that the differences are significant; but the flux is downward and not upward as in the west southwesterly to southwesterly wind directions. The southerly direction indicates the flux difference is slightly less variable as to when the turbines are offline and the mean difference is also larger in the southerly case. Although the result seems ‘statistically important’, the high variability of the flux suggests a different type of turbine impact than for the other wind directions from the southwesterly quadrant. Since we have observed wake-edge effects of fluxes on the aerodynamics that do not match our conceptual model, we propose that there may be a reduction of outgoing vapor flux for the flow moving between two turbines. The decrease in flux for this direction is observed in both the DAY and NIGHT conditions. At night there is about an equal number of accumulated positive flux differences among the two null case composites and the ON composite. The H2O flux differences between the two stations in Table 3b are small (<10 W m-2) for the composite ON condition and about 15 W m-2 for the westerly case. There are conflicting signs of the flux difference among the individual case ESSW, for which we currently cannot offer any explanation. For the west-south-westerly direction we observe less variability in the flux differences. This result may indicate a weak wake influence from turbine B1 as in the daytime scenario of increased transpiration. The nighttime plots of the flux 80 difference reveal distributions with higher skewness and sharper peaks around the mean (leptokurtic). This pattern may be evidence of the greater role of nighttime intermittency in surface layer fluxes. In both the statistical testing of the composite ON case and those for the individual directions to the two null cases there is low confidence in the northern station reporting significantly different latent heat than at the reference station (Table 6b). We are uncertain on the role of turbines in modifying nighttime latent heat flux and recognize the complexities in crop physiology with H2O exchange. Among the individual 30-min nighttime observations the flux indicates the crop transpiring on the downwind side of the turbine line, whereas at the reference station (NLAE 1) there are more periods with condensation occurring, as indicated by a negative heat flux. 4.3 Carbon Dioxide flux The accumulated differences of the daytime GPP and the nighttime Re under each null and test condition are shown in Figure 6. The overall mean difference and standard deviations of the NLAE 2-NLAE 1 CO2 flux difference (fc) are also presented for each DAY and NIGHT condition. We observe higher GPP (Re) at the northern tower for all daytime (nighttime) samples of the ON composite. The daytime CO2 flux difference is about 25% larger in this case than when the winds are from the west, whereas there is hardly any difference in the flux (-0.03 g m-2 s-1) between when the turbines are operational and when the wind farm is offline. For the wind direction categories WSW and SW we observe a mean flux difference between NLAE 2 and NLAE 1 of about 0.20 mg m-2 s-1 (or 5 mol m-2 s-1) as shown in Table 4a. Isolated individual observations may have a flux difference as large as 0.40-0.50 mg m-2 s-1. These differences agree with our conceptual model. We conclude there is consistent daytime coupling in the turbine-enhanced downward (upward) turbulent flux of CO2 (H2O) for this range of wind directions. The turbine wakes from B2 and B1 are expanding and likely reaching the surface at approximately 3.0 to 5.5D downstream of the turbines. The sample size of cases is quite small (n=25), but our statistical analysis of the daytime CO2 flux confirms that the difference is near the significance cutoff. In Table 7a for comparison to the 81 westerly null case, the composite ON case demonstrates that the CO2 flux difference is somewhat significant (p-value is slightly less than 0.05) according to the t-test, but the Wilcoxon test suggests we cannot reject the null hypothesis. For comparison of the westerly composite to the oblique flow directions in the southwesterly quadrant (WSW, SW, SSW) we detect strong evidence (p<=0.005) for larger downward CO2 flux in the wakes and between the wakes of turbine B1 and B2. However, for the comparison of these individual directions to the composite OFF case there is little-to-no evidence to support our conceptual model of wind turbine wake perturbation of the CO2 fluxes. One possible explanation of the conflicting results between our two “null” cases is the flow perturbations around obstacles (e.g. Wang et al. 2001). That is, even motionless turbines in a relatively homogeneous boundary layer likely have some influence on all the energy and CO2 surface fluxes. This may support the speculation of Rajewski et al. (2013) that the static pressure field between each line of turbines measurably perturbs the flow, regardless of whether the turbines are on or off. Turbine tower shadow effects of overspeeding flow below and between turbine rotors have been previously reported in smaller-scale turbines (e.g. Ainslee 1988; Whale et al. 1996). At night, we observe higher respiration by 0.20-0.40 mg m-2 s-1 at the NLAE 2 station for the WSW and SSW wind direction cases whereas there is very little station difference under the two null conditions. Similarly to our daytime conclusions, we propose that nighttime wakes also influence the surface. However, fluxes are enhanced closer downwind of turbine B2 (3.0 D downstream) under the south-south-westerly flow as compared to the 5.4 D distance from the B1 turbine for west-south-westerly flow. Respiration is both a thermodynamic and dynamic process and so we recognize that both canopy temperature and soil respiration are important in describing the turbine impact on the CO2 flux. Unfortunately, we did not measure either of these variables and so this partition of the respirative forcing is omitted from the analyses. We observe in Table 4b slightly higher variability in the difference of the CO2 fluxes for the night conditions than during the day but there is higher confidence in the nighttime positive flux difference at NLAE 2 for the SW and SSW directions. The distribution of the CO 2 flux 82 differences closely follows the nighttime patterns for both the sensible and latent heat fluxes (large skewness and very sharp peaks around the means). Only in the WSW turbine ON case is skewness near zero and the distribution less peaked than the Gaussian curve. In Table 7b we present the statistical tests of the differences in respiration flux. In comparison to both null composites we find high confidence (p < 0.001) that the northern station is significantly different than the upwind station for several individual directions in the southwesterly quadrant (WSW, SW, SSW). Our tests in the southerly to south-south-easterly wind direction demonstrate very weak evidence that the CO2 fluxes are significantly different from the west or turbines OFF cases, but perhaps this result is associated with the large variability of the flux differences for the southerly data. The higher frequency of southerly to southeasterly flow conditions warrants future analysis of between-turbine influences on aerodynamics and the related crop energy and CO2 fluxes. 4.4 Friction velocity perturbations linked to flux differences The consistent enhancement of fluxes in both day or night periods for the southwesterly wind directions provides strong evidence of the turbines perturbing the vertical fluxes of momentum as revealed by the friction velocity (u*). In the daytime, the difference in u* between the two stations is negligible or at most a 3% decrease (u*NLAE 1=0.3 m s-1) for when the turbines are offline, nearly zero for the westerly wind direction, and about a 2% increase (u*NLAE 1=0.5 m s-1) for when the turbines are operating (Figure 7). These range of differences are negligible for numerical or wind tunnel experiments and near the instrument error of the sonic anemometer. For the nighttime, we report 5% higher friction velocity at the northern flux station for the two null cases whereas the composite ON case features a downwind station increase of 15% and for the individual directions (WSW, SSW, and SW) we indicate up to 2570% higher u* than at the upwind station. Additionally, for the individual ON cases we observe slightly less variability ( u* u*=0.05 ms-1) than for the null cases, or the remaining southerly to south-south-easterly case. Statistical tests show strong 83 confidence (p<0.001) that the turbines are enhancing nighttime mixing for all directions reported as compared to both of the null westerly and turbines OFF composites. 5. Discussion Our overall results show some evidence in the daytime that a turbine wake can perturb H2O and CO2 fluxes at a distance of 5.4 D downstream. This location indicates some expansion of the wake although it is unlikely that the wake has reached the canopy surface. For the 5.4 D location in the wake we report about an 8-10% increase in GPP, but this is smaller than the reported difference of CO2 flux (12-20%) between two maize fields, one irrigated and one rain fed system each with a different hybrid by Suyker et al. (2004). However, individual events occur when flux perturbations attributed to turbines may match or exceed those related to other field-scale heterogeneities. At night, ecosystem respiration and sensible heating are enhanced by the turbines when the wake is both directly overhead the flux station or when the outside edge of the wake is above the station. Our estimates of the nighttime turbine-perturbed heat flux are in reasonable agreement with numerical studies that parameterize the momentum sink and turbulence sources of the turbines (Baidya Roy 2004; Baidya Roy et al. 2011; Fitch et al. 2012; Fitch et al. 2013a). The representation of the flux differences also is comparable to the scaled wind tunnel experimental results (Zhang et al., 2012a, 2013), among others. We observe an increased (more negative) heat flux at NLAE 2 unlike the decreased (less negative) flux demonstrated in the nocturnal LES simulation of Lu and Porté-Agel (2011), noting that the simulation used an infinite turbine array for deep wind farm impacts while we study the effect of the first row of turbines. It is plausible that for more oblique wind directions (“SE” and “ESE”) our measurements would be responding to a reduction in the scalar flux from the influence of multiple lines of turbines south-east and east-south-east of the CWEX study area). Our CWEX-10 measurements corroborate that downward sensible heating is slightly increased in the gap region between two turbines but the mechanism inducing the difference remains unclear. We believe the forcing occurs from a combination of pressure field drag effects suggested by 84 Smith (2009) or the over-speeding zone between two turbines that was previously reported in Rajewski et al. (2013) and detected recently in Hirth and Schroeder K-a band radar imagery (2013). We find agreement in our results and in our conceptual model of turbine-turbulence more efficiently perturbing nighttime scales of above-canopy mixing. In the southerly case there is a slight decrease in the mean difference of u* and we provide some insights from previously reported work on the connection to u* and scalar flux. The wind tunnel studies of Zhang et al. (2012a and 2013) report how the aligned turbine arrays give alternating patches of higher (lower) scalar flux on the left (right) cross-wind side of the turbine for daytime boundary layer situations. This may correspond to the downward sweep induced by the blades on the left side of a turbine rotating clockwise and a corresponding upward sweep on the right side of the rotor (e.g. Yang et al. 2011). These upward and downward sweeps would mark the edge of the blade-tip vortices, which undergo expansion and a helical rotation around the downwind side of the turbines to create the turbulence in the wake. The vortex rotation is opposite of the rotation of the turbine blades to conserve angular momentum. Field detection of these wake vortices from operational scale turbines is very limited, so our understanding of the structure and evolution of the wake is developed from wind tunnel or numerical simulations. Zhang et al. (2012b), reports that for neutral or convective boundary layer conditions the tip vortices are present at a distance of 3 D downwind of the turbine, whereas by 5 D there is complete dissipation of these motions. Our field measurements demonstrate some agreement to those daytime findings, yet we believe that that some coherent structure of the wake is influencing the surface fluxes at a distance of greater than 5 D downwind, at least at night. Under a southerly wind direction, NLAE 2 may be influenced by the left side of this wake vortex and therefore the sign in the flux difference is not consistent with what we expect would happen on the inside of the wake. (An expansion of between-turbines ‘gap flow’ as suggested in the Rajewski et al. (2013) will be presented in a forthcoming manuscript). Calaf et al. (2011) in their numerical 85 simulations commented on two opposing forces on the sensible heat flux perturbation. In a fully developed turbine-wake boundary layer, the turbine wakes are increasing u* beyond the top of the blades (u*hi) whereas below the turbines, the speed reduction in the wake leads to a decrease in the friction velocity (u*low). This ratio of u*hi/u*low will control how the scalar flux will change near the surface. We do not completely observe this effect in our data as we are only comparing effects on the upwind and downwind side of one line of turbines. 6. Conclusions Surface fluxes measured upwind and downwind of a line or turbines give evidence of conditional crop microclimate modification by individual wind turbines. Canopy fluxes could be perturbed directly by the enhanced turbulence in the wake, by the reduction in vertical mixing underneath the turbine wake, or by influences of the static pressure field between each line of turbines. We observe in the daytime CO2 flux a small but not statistically significant difference when the turbines are ON as compared to when the turbines are OFF. Our flux difference comparisons of the ON cases to westerly winds contrarily indicate a potentially five-fold increase in CO2 flux at NLAE 2 for the ON cases. The CO2 flux difference is most noticeable when the turbine wake has reached the surface at a distance of 5.4 D downstream. Concurrent daytime fluxes of H2O are significant for the particular wind directions (WSW to SW) and we have evidence that transpiration may be enhanced at most around 1 mm/day. Our results show that the turbines did not contribute to sensible heat flux during the day at levels measurably above ambient. Conversely, at night the ambient turbulence is enhanced by the mixing generated from the turbines such that CO2 respiration is increased 1.5-to-2 times the reference magnitude. We again demonstrate the southwesterly wind direction in favoring the middle position or the outside edge of the B2 turbine wake being directly overhead of the northern flux station. Nighttime sensible heat perturbations follow a similar pattern of significance to those of the CO2 respiration flux, whereas we cannot discern any major differences in the latent heat flux among our conditions tested. In 86 both the daytime and the nighttime conditions the S-SSE direction often presents conflicting results to those observed in the other individual directions. The flux perturbations for these cases likely demonstrate flow asymmetries on the turbulence wake edge and other pressure field flow distortions around the line of turbines. A forthcoming note will address some of these flow features for the southerly wind directions, and we anticipate from the larger sample size to carefully pinpoint the subtleties of canopy exchanges for near-normal oriented flow between two turbines. Although we report changes in the CO2 and H2O fluxes above the canopy, we made no measurement of biophysical changes within the crop. Therefore we cannot yet determine the overall impact of wind turbines and wind farms on yield. There is weak evidence that the daytime CO2 uptake can be increased for fields that are within a location of 5.4 D from a turbine but we have stronger confidence that nighttime respiration is exacerbated in the lee of the turbine line. We may therefore surmise that in the CWEX-10 study both an enhanced downward flux of CO2 into the canopy during the daytime and a comparable or higher nocturnal venting of CO2 (via increased mixing and a warmer nighttime temperature) oppose each other and therefore limit the aggregate benefit to maize yield. High-resolution monitoring of grain yield both north and south of the turbine line revealed no significant departures from the field-scale mean yield in 2010 (variability was within ± 5 bushels/acre). Quantifying the perceived impact of wind farms on crop yield remains a topic for future field experimentation. Acknowledgments This work was supported in part by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory under Professor Lundquist’s Joint Appointment. NREL is a national laboratory of the U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, operated by the Alliance for Sustainable Energy, LLC. Partial funding for CWEX-10 was provided by the Ames Laboratory (DOE) and the Center for Global and Regional Environmental Research at the University of Iowa. Surface flux stations for CWEX-11 were provided by NCAR Earth Observing Laboratory under an instrumentation deployment, and 87 undergraduate student participation was supplemented by funding from an NSF REU program under grant 1063048. The authors recognize assistance in interpretation of the results from James Brache, Thomas Sauer, Fernando Miguez, and Sotoris Archontoulis). Data analysis was supported in part by the National Science Foundation under the State of Iowa EPSCoR Grant 1101284. The authors also acknowledge the land wind farm manager and land owners/operators cooperation in conducting CWEX. We give recognition to one farm manager who shared their Yield Monitor information for the 2010 growing season. The SCADA data provided by the owner of the meteorological observations within the wind farm was also a beneficial component in conducting this analysis. 7. References Adams, A., Keith, D.W., cited 2009. A wind farm parameterization for WRF, 8th WRF Users Workshop, June 2007, Boulder, CO. (Available online at http://www.mmm.ucar.edu/wrf/users/workshops/WS2007/abstracts/5-5_Adams.pdf) Ainslie JF (1988). Calculating the flowfield in the wake of wind turbines. J. Wind Eng.Ind. Aerodyn., 27: 213–224. American Wind Energy Association, cited 2013: U.S. wind industry year-end 2012 market report. 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Zhang, W, Markfort, CD, Porté-Agel, F (2013) Experimental study of the impact of large-scale wind farms on land–atmosphere exchanges. Environ. Res. Lett., 8, 015002. 91 Figure 1. Conceptual model of wind turbine wake flow and the corresponding effect on crop fluxes 92 Figure 2. Energy budget closure trend line and correlation coefficient (R2) of (Rnet– G vs. H+E+ Fc) among the upwind and downwind flux stations: NLAE 1-NLAE 2 and NCAR 1 and NCAR 3. 93 Figure 3. Graphical representation of ‘wake’ wind direction sectors for the downwind flux tower (NLAE 2) overlaid on the CWEX-10/11 measurement locations. These directional categories are represented in the flux difference directional day and nighttime composites. 94 Figure 4. Wind direction-sector accumulated downwind-upwind differences in sensible heat flux (H) for the DAY and the NIGHT case. The downwind-upwind mean difference and standard deviations of the difference in H are overlaid for each directional composite category and distance from an individual turbine. 95 Figure 5. As in Figure 4 but for latent heat flux (E). 96 Figure 6. Wind direction-sector accumulated downwind-upwind differences in CO2 Gross Primary Production (GPP) for the DAY case and net ecosystem respiration (Re) for the NIGHT case. The downwind-upwind mean difference and standard deviations of the differences in CO2 flux (fc) are overlaid for each directional composite. 97 Figure 7. Mean and standard deviations of the downwind-upwind differences in u* for the DAY and the NIGHT cases of directional composite category and distance from an individual turbine. 98 Table 1. Wind direction sectors corresponding to the turbine wake or gap (between turbine) flow for the B1 to B3 turbines on the leading line of turbines at the wind farm. Composites of these direction sectors are included for when the turbines were operational or offline. The number of observations in the DAY and NIGHT cases is included. Case direction category Turbine wake Indicator OFF ON W WSW [B1] SW [B12G] SSW [B2] S-SSE [B23G] (combination turbines offline) (combination turbines operating) (Westerly no-wake, turbines on and off ) B1 (5.3 D to turbine) gap between B1 and B2 (3.8 D to line) B2 (2.7 D to turbine) gap between B2 and B3 (2.6 D to line) Sample size (N) DAY 94 333 35 25 31 79 198 Sample size (N) NIGHT 98 529 60 43 19 51 416 99 Table 2. Means, standard deviations, the 95% upper and lower confidence interval of the mean difference, and the skewness and kurtosis of the difference distributions for (a) DAY and (b) NIGHT downwind-upwind sensible heat flux differences (H) for each direction composite as presented in Table 1. a) DAY Rnet > 300 W m-2 Wind H H direction Lower 95% Upper 95% Skewness Kurtosis -2 -2 -2 -2 category (W m ) (W m ) (W m ) (W m ) -2.29 13.64 -6.98 2.40 -0.15 -0.21 HOFF -3.65 18.54 -7.45 0.15 -0.97 3.27 HON 0.83 15.55 -0.84 2.51 0.18 0.71 HWSW 1.88 10.26 -2.36 6.11 0.04 -0.46 HSW -3.61 12.26 -8.11 0.89 -0.26 0.05 HSSW 1.98 15.20 -1.43 5.38 0.05 0.72 HS-SSE 0.94 16.63 -1.39 3.27 0.22 0.57 99 HW 100 Table 2. (continued) b) NIGHT Rnet < 0 W m-2 H (W m-2) H (W m-2) Lower 95% (W m-2) Upper 95% (W m-2) Skewness Kurtosis HW 0.57 5.78 -0.92 2.07 -0.61 3.24 HOFF -0.80 4.90 -1.78 0.18 -0.05 0.22 HON -4.67 10.22 -5.54 -3.80 -0.90 2.53 HWSW -9.65 12.23 -13.41 -5.89 -0.58 -0.56 HSW -13.90 16.50 -21.85 -5.95 0.86 0.39 HSSW -7.04 13.96 -10.97 -3.12 -1.37 2.99 HS-SSE -3.44 8.59 -4.27 -2.62 -0.53 2.11 100 Wind direction category 101 Table 3. Same as in Table 2 but for downwind-upwind latent heat flux differences (E) for each direction composite as presented in Table 1. a) DAY Rnet > 300 W m-2 Wind direction category E (W m-2) (W m-2) Lower 95% (W m-2) Upper 95% (W Skewness Kurtosis m-2) -1.70 39.88 -15.40 12.00 0.09 -0.36 EOFF 3.25 57.26 -8.48 14.98 -0.76 1.57 EON 3.58 44.15 -1.18 8.34 0.25 0.66 EWSW 31.20 41.05 14.25 48.14 0.64 0.45 ESW 26.57 55.00 6.40 46.75 0.23 0.18 ESSW 15.87 39.78 6.96 24.78 0.11 0.09 ES-SSE -8.42 40.10 -14.04 -2.80 0.09 0.86 101 EW 102 Table 3. (continued) b) NIGHT Rnet < 0 W m-2 Wind direction category E (W m-2) E (W m-2) Lower 95% (W m-2) Upper 95% (W Skewness Kurtosis m-2) 4.41 32.87 -4.09 12.90 5.09 35.33 EOFF -1.26 11.60 -0.49 1.07 -4.48 22.75 EON 1.18 19.53 3.58 1.07 -0.54 37.54 EWSW 4.28 6.42 2.30 6.26 0.76 1.17 ESW 12.17 19.94 2.56 21.78 2.15 5.51 ESSW -0.49 24.46 -7.37 6.39 -2.67 12.22 ES-SSE 0.56 19.62 -1.33 2.45 -0.11 43.02 102 EW 103 Table 4. Same as in Table 3 but for downwind-upwind CO2 flux differences (fc) for each direction composite as presented in Table 1. a) DAY Rnet > 300 W m-2 Wind fc fc direction Lower 95% Upper 95% Skewness Kurtosis category (mg m-2 s-1) (mg m-2 s-1) (mg m-2 s-1) (mg m-2 s-1) -0.03 0.20 -0.09 0.04 -0.55 1.41 fcOFF -0.11 0.30 -0.17 -0.05 0.76 1.95 fcON -0.11 0.23 -0.14 -0.09 -0.69 0.28 fcWSW -0.19 0.20 -0.28 -0.11 -0.44 -0.54 fcSW -0.19 0.27 -0.29 -0.10 -0.63 0.01 fcSSW -0.14 0.20 -0.18 -0.09 0.14 0.13 fcS-SSE -0.08 0.23 -0.11 -0.05 -0.99 0.70 103 fcW 104 Table 4. (continued) b) NIGHT Rnet < 0 W m-2 Wind direction category fc (mg m-2 s-1) Lower 95% (mg m-2 s-1) Upper 95% (mg m-2 s-1) Skewness Kurtosis fcW -0.01 0.49 -0.14 0.12 -4.83 34.18 fcOFF 0.00 0.22 -0.04 0.05 1.55 11.75 fcON 0.09 0.43 0.05 0.13 5.28 56.56 fcWSW 0.20 0.44 0.06 0.33 0.22 0.83 fcSW 0.40 0.36 0.22 0.57 0.95 0.79 fcSSW 0.30 0.75 0.09 0.52 3.23 13.36 fcS-SSE 0.04 0.36 0.00 0.07 7.26 112.73 104 fc (mg m-2 s-1) 105 Table 5. Tests of statistical significance (t-test, and Wilcoxon-pair) for the means of the flux differences of sensible heat flux (H) for each of the comparison categories tested in the DAY case (a) and the NIGHT case (b). Statistical significance is identified by bold red labeling if the mean differences are not equal according to a probability threshold at or exceeding 95%. a) DAY Rnet > 300 W m-2 Directional comparison null hypothesis t-test p-value (=0.95) Wilcoxon pair p-value (=0.95) HON = HW 0.25 0.30 HWSW = HW 0.30 0.27 HSW = HW 0.73 0.73 HSSW = HW 0.17 0.19 HS-SSE = HW 0.25 0.33 HON = HOFF 0.02 0.05 HWSW = HOFF 0.13 0.10 HSW = HOFF 0.99 0.86 HSSW = HOFF 0.02 0.04 HS-SSE = HOFF 0.02 0.08 b) NIGHT Rnet < 0 W m-2 Directional comparison null hypothesis t-test p-value (=0.95) Wilcoxon pair p-value (=0.95) HON = HW <0.001 <0.0001 HWSW = HW <0.001 <0.0001 HSW = HW <0.001 <0.0001 HSSW = HW <0.0001 <0.0001 HS-SSE = HW 0.003 <0.0001 HON = HOFF <0.001 <0.001 HWSW = HOFF <0.0001 <0.0001 HSW = HOFF <0.0001 <0.001 HSSW = HOFF <0.001 0.001 HS-SSE = HOFF 0.01 0.001 106 Table 6. Same as in Table 5 but for latent heat flux (E). a) DAY Rnet > 300 W m-2 Directional comparison null hypothesis t-test p-value (=0.95) Wilcoxon pair p-value (=0.95) EON = EW 0.50 0.57 EWSW = EW 0.003 0.004 ESW = EW 0.006 0.03 ESSW = EW 0.04 0.03 ES-SSE = EW 0.38 0.34 EON = EOFF 0.95 0.66 EWSW = EOFF 0.007 0.02 ESW = EOFF 0.01 0.07 ESSW = EOFF 0.07 0.14 ES-SSE = EOFF 0.04 0.02 b) NIGHT Rnet < 0 W m-2 Directional comparison null hypothesis t-test p-value (=0.95) Wilcoxon pair p-value (=0.95) EON = EW 0.46 0.80 EWSW = EW 0.98 0.01 ESW = EW 0.16 0.01 ESSW = EW 0.23 0.29 ES-SSE = EW 0.19 0.65 EON = EOFF 0.23 0.25 EWSW = EOFF 0.10 <0.001 ESW = EOFF 0.00 0.001 ESSW = EOFF 0.81 0.08 ES-SSE = EOFF 0.38 0.85 107 Table 7. Same as in Table 5 but for CO2 flux (fc). a) DAY Rnet > 300 W m-2 Directional comparison null hypothesis t-test p-value (=0.95) Wilcoxon pair p-value (=0.95) fcON = fcW 0.03 0.06 fcWSW = fcW 0.004 0.003 fcSW = fcW 0.002 0.01 fcSSW = fcW 0.01 0.002 fcS-SSE = fcW 0.20 0.53 fcON = fcOFF 0.92 0.38 fcWSW = fcOFF 0.12 0.24 fcSW = fcOFF 0.09 0.35 fcSSW = fcOFF 0.44 0.60 fcS-SSE = fcOFF 0.31 0.03 b) NIGHT Rnet < 0 W m-2 Directional comparison null hypothesis t-test p-value (=0.95) Wilcoxon pair p-value (=0.95) fcON = fcW 0.09 0.34 fcWSW = fcW 0.02 0.004 fcSW = fcW <0.001 <0.0001 fcSSW = fcW <0.001 <0.0001 fcS-SSE = fcW 0.41 0.70 fcON = fcOFF 0.05 <0.001 fcWSW = fcOFF 0.008 <0.0001 fcSW = fcOFF <0.0001 <0.0001 fcSSW = fcOFF <0.0001 <0.0001 fcS-SSE = fcOFF 0.44 0.04 108 CHAPTER 4. AIR TEMPERATURE AND HEAT FLUX MEASUREMENTS WITHIN TWO LINES OF TURBINES IN A LARGE OPERATIONAL WIND FARM Daniel A. Rajewski Abstract Surface air temperature and heat flux measurements were recorded at several stations between the leading lines of wind turbines within a large utility scale wind farm. Daytime differences between the downwind and upwind stations corroborate similar mean differences in temperature and heat flux for both daytime and nighttime conditions as previously reported in numerical or wind tunnel studies. Remote sensing studies of nighttime temperature impacts by large wind farms appear slightly warmer by a 0.75 to 1.5 °C difference when compared to the CWEX observations, which were warmer by around 0.5 °C. Heat flux differences from the CWEX study demonstrate spatial variability on local areas of intense warming (cooling) created by the cross-wind vortex circulation on the downward (upward) branch of an individual turbine wake. Two aligned wakes may improve energy transfer of heat from aloft to the surface for roughly a 25% to 50% increase in the ambient flux than for the influence of one wake. The CWEX measurements corroborate also indicate higher nighttime turbine disruption of scalar transport at the flux station in closest proximity downwind of the turbine line as compared to previous field and modeling studies. The results in this report illustrate that well-established turbine wake flow may not perturb surface fluxes in the same intensity as from the leading edge of the first or second turbine lines within a wind farm. Additional measurements of fluxes in the middle and far end of the wind farm facilitate model validation of deep wind farm-array reduction of scalar transport at the surface. 1. Introduction Large wind farms constructed over much of the U.S. Midwest agricultural cropland and this expansion will likely continue, as renewable resources become greater assets for meeting the domestic demands of electrical generation (U.S. DOE 2008). Turbines and large wind farms are installed on several millions of acres of cropland and the convergence of these two un-like energy resources, crop-biomass and wind power, presents an interaction, which should be investigated to further economic benefit for both industries. The Crop Wind-Energy Experiment 109 (CWEX) was conducted to answer key questions about how wind turbines within large wind farms alter crop canopy flows and fluxes of heat, H2O, and CO2. Preliminary results presented in Rajewski et al. (2013a) demonstrate that turbines reduce (enhance) daytime (nighttime) surface wind speed at various locations downstream of a leading line of turbines in a full-scale wind farm in Central Iowa. The CWEX study recently addresses the role turbines modify crop fluxes of heat, moisture, and carbon dioxide. Impacts on crop fluxes depend on both meteorological factors (ambient hub-height wind speed, wind direction, surface thermal stratification), turbine operating characteristics (turbine model specifications, on/off operating mode), and the micro scale variability of field characteristics due to crop management (e.g. tillage, crop type, cultivar) and soil properties (Rajewski et al. 2013b). The scalar fluxes of H2O and CO2 in the daytime and heat and CO2 fluxes in the nighttime indicate turbine wake influence at a distance of 5.4 D downwind of a turbine.. The mechanisms to produce these flux differences are linked to the static pressure field around the turbines, the direct interception of turbine-turbulence at the surface, or an overhead vertical coupling of the ambient scales of surface turbulence. The results demonstrate some plausible evidence for the daytime downward fluxes of heat between two turbine wakes that are reported in recent wind tunnel experiments (e.g. Zhang et al. 2012, 2013). The current study described here will address the impact of turbines on air temperatures and will expand the analysis of sensible heat flux with more stations than those offered in the crop energy flux study. Few field studies with smaller turbines (e.g. 30 m hub height, two blade models) demonstrate some change in thermal properties within a turbine wake. The increase in the CT 2 parameter, which indicates higher temperature variance in the wake demonstrates wind turbine isotropic mixing of the temperature profile (Högström et al. 1988; Kambezidis et al. 1990). The well-mixed temperature profile is simulated among recent numerical simulations of large wind farms with 80-m hub height and similar-sized rotor diameters Porte-Agél 2010, Calaf et al. 2011, Lu and Porte-Agél 2011). (e.g. Chamorro and Many of the field-scale experiments (Kelley 1989, Helmis et al. 1995, Papadopoulous et al. 1995, Whale et al. 1996) were conducted over heterogeneous terrain, which add uncertainty in characterizing the turbinewake modifications of surface fluxes. Högström et al. (1988) captured one clear separation of temperature fluxes, variances, and triple moment heat eddy correlation terms for an isolated waked and non-waked period downwind of a 2MW wind turbine both at the top of the rotor depth (135m), hub height (77m) and near the surface (11 m). These early measurements as 110 reported could be interpreted as a ‘bulk’ effect of waked flow on the thermal profile and therefore do not have the spatial resolution needed for comparison to current hi-resolution numerical, and wind tunnel modeling validation. Recent remote sensing analyses of surface temperatures within large wind farms indicates that a 1.0 °C warming is likely during the overnight and about a 0.5 °C or less cooling during the daytime. I am cautious to comment on the full scale of warming that has previously been reported either due to the lack of in situ measurements (e.g. Zhou et al. 2012a, 2012b), the role of complex terrain in the San Gorgonio wind farm (Kelley 1989), or the un-clarity of the experimental method as presented in the Indiana wind farm study by Heschen et al. (2011). The latter micrometeorological study from Indiana illustrates one particular location or portion of the wind farm and is not representative of the full-wind farm effects that were presented in the West Texas study by Zhou et al. (2012a, 2012b) or in the recent analyses of the San Gorgonio wind farm by Baidya-Roy and Traiteur, (2010) and Walsh-Thomas et al. (2012). The CWEX-10/11 measurements do not provide any information on deep-wind farm effects but the data do support the relative scales of changes in temperature and heat flux that are reported in field experiments of isolated turbines or in several numerical or wind tunnel simulations of wind farms. This report illustrates the complexities to understand which conditions (meteorological and turbine-operation based) and to what intensity the leading line of turbines in a wind farm modify air temperature and heat flux. Section 2 describes the essential features of the experiment that are necessary to understand the measurement results. In Section 3, a summary of the analysis procedures is provided to display the mean differences in temperature and heat flux between the upwind and downwind surface stations. Section 4 highlights the key results of both the variability and the confidence intervals of the mean differences according to data sorting metrics for the surface thermal stratification, flux tower wind direction, and speed of the turbines. Finally, in Section 5, I offer additional insights on a refined conceptual model of turbine aerodynamics and scalar flux exchanges with the surface and in Section 6 conclude with a vision toward understanding deep-wind farm impacts on temperature and scalar fluxes. 111 2. Materials and Methods The full details of the CWEX-10/11 measurements are provided in the project overview (Rajewski et al. 2013a). Some essential documentation of the downwind-upwind comparisons of measurements in both years is described for the purpose of clarity. In 2010, the National Laboratory for Agriculture and the Environment (NLAE) provided instruments and data collection, whereas in 2011 instrumentation was provided by the Integrated Surface Flux Systems group of the Earth Observing Laboratory of the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Earth Observing Laboratory. The University of Colorado and the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) measured wind profiles with a light detection and ranging (LiDAR) downwind of the turbines in 2010, one upwind, and one downwind of turbines in 2011 to assist in overhead detection of turbine wakes. For this report I acknowledge the use of the upwind and downwind LiDAR wind cubes (WC 68 and WC 49) in the 2011 analysis of temperature and heat flux. In the 2011 year the research team from Iowa State University (ISU) installed two flux stations to compare with the NCAR station measurements. Reference upwind (under prevailing southerly winds) flux stations were positioned south of the first line of turbines (denoted as a ‘B’ line) [NLAE 1 in 2010 and NCAR 1 and ISU 1 in 2011]. Several flux stations were installed downwind of the ‘B’ turbine line in both 2010 [NLAE 2-4] and 2011 [NCAR 2-4, and ISU 2]. Of the total number of stations only one upwind and one downwind station measured H2O and CO2 with identical instrumentation [NLAE 1 and NLAE 2 in 2010 and NCAR 1 and NCAR 3 in 2011]. In 2011, two other downwind stations, NCAR 2 and NCAR 4, calculated moisture flux with Krypton hygrometers but the flux correction procedure did not yield a valid comparison between measurements using both the Krypton hygrometers and the Gas analyzer instruments. Therefore, to detect sensible heat flux differences over more stations I used the un-corrected sensible heat flux from the sonic anemometer and assume the dry air constant of cp = 12 31 [J kg-1 K-1 kg m-3] to convert from the kinematic heat flux [K m s-1] to the energy flux density [W m-2]. I can then calculate downwind-upwind heat flux differences for all the NLAE stations downwind of the upwind tower (NLAE 1) and all NCAR and ISU station differences from the upwind towers (NCAR 1 and ISU 1). For the air temperature analysis in 2010, I compare the non-aspirated sensors installed at a 9-m height, but in 2011 I compare the 10-m level NCAR sensors, which did have forced ventilation. In 2011, stations ISU 1 and ISU 2 recorded temperature at an 8-m height, but 112 these measurements are omitted because of frequent periods of sensor error when ISU 2 reported several degrees of difference from the reference ISU 1 station. Data taken during precipitation events and from other periods with missing values from both the upwind or downwind stations were eliminated. I also performed a quality control of the temperature profile measurements at 9 and 5 meters for NLAE 1-4 where we reject all events where |TNLAE 1-TNLAE 2 | > 5°C. In 2011 for the 10 m level at NCAR 1-4, the same filtering threshold of temperature difference is applied. In 2010 the stations were installed for the period of 30 June to 7 September, whereas in 2011 measurements were collected from 30 June to 16 August. The 2010 season provided a ten-day period from 26 July 700 LST to 5 August 1730 LST to measure crop fluxes within the wind farm when the turbines were shut down for an upgrade in transmission. 10-minute averages of the sonic heat fluxes are calculated from the raw 20-Hz data for ease of comparison to the SCADA averages of wind speed and wind direction from the first three of the turbines in the ‘B-line’. Temperature averages of 10-min intervals are also calculated from 5-min output of the NLAE stations during CWEX-10 and from 1-Hz output of the NCAR stations in CWEX-11. 3. Analyses procedures The differences of the sonic heat flux and air temperature between the stations north (downwind) and south (upwind) of the ‘B’ turbine line are presented as follows: [NLAE 2NLAE 1; NLAE 3-NLAE 1; NLAE 4-NLAE 1 for CWEX-10 and NCAR 2-NCAR 1; NCAR 3NCAR 1; NCAR 4-NCAR 1; and additionally heat flux at ISU 2-ISU 1 in CWEX-11]. Note that the comparison of heat flux between ISU 2- ISU 1 is for a location between two turbines and there is high spatial variability of heat flux between two wakes instead of measuring within the center of a turbine wake or measuring on the edge of one wake. The differences of air temperature and sonic heat flux are presented for typical daytime and nighttime conditions according to two ‘null’ categories (no-turbine influence with westerly flow and flow with turbines offline) and by specific wind directional composites (with a turbine influence) for several tests of statistical significance of each difference. 3.1 Wind directional filtering for the flux differences composites Each set of daytime or nighttime fluxes are separated according to the downwind flux station wind direction at NLAE 2 for the 2010 measurements and at the NCAR 2 station in 2011. 113 ‘Waked’ or ‘non-waked’ wind directions from the flux tower were determined by using an assumption of a 5° expansion of wakes from the turbine rotor as reported by Barthelmie et al. (2010) and adopted in the analysis of Rajewski et al. (2013a, 2013b). Table 1 presents an interpretation of these wake-direction sectors for each wind turbine used in this analysis. A description of the distance from the nearest downwind flux station to an individual turbine is also included as a table category. The reader should refer to the CWEX introductory paper (Rajewski et al. 2013a) for the other distances of the flux towers downwind of the B-turbine line. For this paper wake indicators are presented for the first null case: “W” for westerly winds and test cases #1-4” for the “WSW”, “SW”, “SSW”, and “S-SSE” in CWEX-10 and test cases “1-4” for the “SW” “SSW”, “S”, and “SSE” directional bins in CWEX-11. The differences in wake direction windows are a consequence of different station positions of NLAE 2 and NCAR 2 north of the ‘B’-turbine line. Analysis of the remaining directional sectors (“SE”, “ESE”, “E”, “ENE”, and “NE to NW”) is omitted to avoid flow contamination of the upwind stations, NLAE 1 and NCAR 1, caused by multiple wakes. These complications of flow are believed to originate from (1) multiple turbines in the ‘B’ turbine lines for east south-east directions, (2) multiple lines of turbines 1.5 km southeast of the ‘B turbine line’ for the southeasterly direction, or (3) the deepwind farm wake effect in the northerly direction when there is no reference tower outside of the wind farm influence. 3.2 Diurnal filtering of the flux-differences composites According to the procedures developed in Rajewski et al. (2013b), the 10-minute fluxes are partitioned into daytime and nighttime periods with a net radiation metric. I also separate the day/night periods by stability classification (NEUTRAL/STABLE/UNSTABLE) from the earlier analyses of downwind-upwind differences of wind speed, turbulence kinetic energy and other variables reported in Rajewski et al. (2013a). These periods indicate daytime (nighttime) conditions with low cloudiness and between the morning/evening transitions of the surface layer when we would expect rapid changes in the fluxes or air temperature. Like the crop energy flux analyses of CWEX, the objective is to create ensembles of clearly daytime and nighttime periods when fluxes are not changing rapidly due to known diurnal effects. There are at least a few hundred 10-minute observations for these day and night classifications and therefore I separate out the differences by the type of stability condition. Rather than document changes for all six 114 combinations of day/night with stable/neutral and unstable periods, I highlight two daytime classifications for neutral and unstable stratification and one nighttime stable condition. These stability conditions associate to the largest number of observations in presenting the station differences in both pictorial and statistical analyses. 3.3 Turbine operation filter for the flux differences composites The turbine SCADA data (nacelle wind speed, wind direction, temperature, and instantaneous power) is used for each 10-min period to define an ON/OFF turbine flag for the surface fluxes as demonstrated in Rajewski et al. (2013b). Unlike choosing an arbitrary procedure for filtering 10-min ON/OFF periods of the SCADA to 30-min flux averages, I directly filter 10-minute periods when the first three turbines within the leading line (B1-B3) were not producing power. Any periods in the composite ON or OFF analysis are omitted when 1 (2) turbines were operational and the other 2 (1) were/was offline. Turbines in the offline state may yet cause flux perturbations because each turbine rotor, nacelle, and tower provides a small cross sectional influence on the boundary layer flow. Shadow tower effects are reported in several coastal studies (Helmis 1995; Sanderse et al. 2011; Whale 1996). Blade vortices generated around the turbine, (e.g. Vermeer et al. 2003) albeit small, may influence the surface flux measurements especially for northerly flow conditions. To provide a clean measure of comparisons of the temperature and sonic heat flux differences among the null and test conditions, I evaluate only those OFF periods for the same wind direction categories (WSW, SW, SSW, and S-SSE for CWEX-10; W-WSW, SW,SSW, S, and SSE for CWEX-11) as those used when the turbines are online. Additionally noted are several nighttime periods when there is significant directional shear between the 80-m turbine-nacelle wind vane and the wind direction reported at the surface stations. Unfortunately, there are more sheared than un-sheared events. The nighttime composites include both situations of negligible directional shear between the surface and the rotor layer depth and highly sheared cases with directional veering of at least 20-30° between the surface wind and the turbine rotor wind speeds. 3.4 Comparison metrics of the flux differences composites The following analyses will test whether the downwind-upwind differences in air temperature (T ) and sonic flux (H), (which universally we denote “F”) for the directional sum 115 ( FON) and the individual directions (FWSW, FSW, FSSW, and FS-SSE, in 2010; FSW, FSSW, FS, and FSSE, for 2011) are significant as compared to the sum of the energy flux differences for the direction sum in the first null case ”W” (FW) and in the second null case “OFF” (FOFF). The westerly composite, FW includes both ON and OFF conditions to increase the sample size. In the daytime the number of westerly conditions is about a 2:1 ratio of ON to OFF, whereas at night there are about an equal amount of cases when the turbines are producing power or have offline status. The OFF composite (FOFF) includes the same wind direction categories as the ON composite, FON. Table 1 describes these individual and composite null and test cases with an explanation of the turbine wake indicators for each wind direction, and the number of samples that are included in the statistical analyses. 3.5 Statistical analyses of the composite and individual flux differences The mean differences and the standard deviations among each case are graphically depicted to more clearly reveal turbine and non-turbine influenced conditions that support a conceptual model of turbine impacts on temperature and heat flux. The plots of the mean and standard deviations of the difference also include difference accumulations between each composite condition for the DAY-NEUTRAL, DAY-UNSTABLE and NIGHT-STABLE periods. For each flux difference, I present tables of the mean, standard deviation, and the 95% upper and lower confidence bounds on the mean difference. The standard deviation is reported to give the reader a scale of the measurement variability, whereas the standard error of the mean denotes confidence intervals in determining the mean difference for each station difference composite. Significant differences are identified when the upper and lower bounds of the mean for each composite are outside the range of the upper and lower bounds of the null cases. A preliminary test of statistical significance not presented in this paper compared the downwind-upwind flux differences for each of the test cases to each of the two null cases as described in the method of Rajewski et al. (2013b). However, the charts of the significance tests indicate high variability and particular site-specific results that are difficult to summarize. Therefore, I compare the 95% Confidence Intervals of the test cases for the turbines ON composite and the individual directions to the 95% confidence intervals for the two null cases of turbines OFF and for westerly wind direction. If the interval of the flux differences in both the test and the null cases are similar then 116 as a proxy I retain the null hypothesis of there being no significant difference of flux or temperature between the test and null conditions. 3.6 The effect of turbine nacelle speed and refined wind direction As indicated in Table 1, nearly 900 observations for the S-SSE nighttime-stable case of flow between turbines B2 and B3 are available from CWEX-10. Specifically for this wind direction, I relate the SCADA turbine speed from B2 to the temperature and heat flux differences from the downwind-upwind NLAE stations. The turbine speeds are classified by 1 m s-1 increments with a staggered ±0.5 ms-1 interval for each bin. Speeds range from 3.3 m s-1 to 12.3 m s-1 as shown in Table 2, and I present the corresponding Monin Obukhov length (L) at the upwind tower for reference on the effective size of the mixing related to the turbine-scale of turbulence suggested by several studies (e.g Ainslee 1988) as 0.5 D to 1.0 D. In CWEX-11, the upwind and downwind 80-m wind speed is available from the CU-NREL wind cubes WC 68 and WC 49. Refined wind direction categories are developed at the surface to link the downwind-upwind differences in heat flux and temperature at the NCAR and ISU flux stations to the wind cube downwind-upwind wind speeds of the 40 m to 120 m rotor–layer heights. These bins are determined in 10° partitions centered on each five degrees of wind direction from 120° to 270° degrees. Overall there are sufficient samples in Table 3 to perform this partitioning of the flux differences. 4. Results 4.1 Air temperature differences for the directional composites 4.1.1 DAY-NEUTRAL Figs. 1a and 1b indicate the accumulations of the downwind-upwind station differences of air temperature to the DAY-NEUTRAL condition for each null and test case condition in CWEX-10 and CWEX-11. Also overlaid in the figures are the mean and standard deviations of each difference between the NLAE downwind-upwind stations and the NCAR downwindupwind stations. In both years, I observe the highest frequency of cooler temperatures reported at the far-wake distance (14 to 17 D downstream from the B line of turbines). The largest daytime cooling occurs for west-south westerly to south-westerly wind directions, which indicate the edge of a turbine wake (from turbine B1) being over or near NLAE 3 or NLAE 4, 117 respectively. The downwind distance of at least 10 D seems relevant to the turbine wake expansion reaching the surface in accordance with the Monin Obukhov length scales of hundreds of meters that would occur for neutral flow conditions. Larger sized eddies in the boundary layer appear to advect the turbine-waked air to the surface .This does not happen until the turbine has had some degree of upward expansion above the turbine blade tip-top and the wake turbulence interacts with the ambient scales of mixing. Although the null cases report a similar range of variability, I indicate some degree of confidence that a single turbine wake at may cool the surface at NLAE 3 by about 0.2 to 0.3 °C. For the station at NLAE 4 there is mixing from the ‘A’ and ‘B’ lines of turbine wakes to facilitate slightly cooler conditions (0.4 to 0.6 °C) as indicated in Table 4a. For the NCAR stations, temperature differences among all directions convey negligible effects as the variability is high among both turbine-wake and non-wake westerly/turbines off conditions. The weak temperature differences (< -0.1 °C) reported in Table 4b for the NCAR data likely demonstrate that field variability between the upwind station and the two northern downwind stations (NCAR 3 and NCAR 4) may also contribute to temperature differences. This agronomic factor was discussed in reducing the crop energy and CO2 flux differences between the downwind and upwind stations in Rajewski et al. (2013b). 4.1.2 DAY-UNSTABLE In the unstable daytime pattern, station differences in temperature are less clear than for neutral conditions (Fig 2a and 2b). For the NLAE flux towers, there is weak confidence that the B1 turbine wake may be inducing cooling at NLAE 3 for south-south westerly flow. Less station difference in temperature is expected because atmospheric instability favors spatial perturbations in temperature generated by surface heating. However, there are indications that a looping pattern of the wake may be present since we do not observe the same degree of cooling for this or any wind direction case at NLAE 4. As demonstrated in neutral conditions for the NCAR stations, there is no difference in the temperature for turbine-influenced and non-turbine influenced conditions. Since surface scale mixing is more important in unstable vs. neutral flow I project that the temperature differences due to field-variability produce a stronger influence than to the perturbations attributed to wind turbines and large wind farms . There is the possibility of turbine-tower shadow effects as previously reported. Although a weak difference, 118 there is evidence of slight warming (by 0.1 °C) at the NLAE 2 station for unstable flow. The drag of wind around the tower would also demonstrate less mixing and therefore slightly warmer temperatures at the surface. However this warming effect is not seen at the NCAR 2 station positioned about 1.0 D northward of the NLAE 2 placement, so this warming zone may be only related to the pressure field recovery occurring at about 1-2 D downstream of the rotor (e.g. Ainslee 1988). At a distance of 2-4 D downstream the turbine wake speed should gradually recover as blade vortices within the wake and ambient mixing on the outside of the wake replenish the momentum loss directly behind the rotor. 4.1.3 NIGHT-STABLE For the stable nighttime conditions, the highest accumulation of warmer temperatures at the downwind flux towers occurs for south and south-south easterly wind directions. There appears to be an aggregate effect of two or more wakes to increase the surface warming at the northernmost station at NLAE 4, whereas for the NCAR stations the highest accumulated warming is observed at the near-turbine line location of NCAR 2. In both Figure 3a and Figure 3b the turbine wake interacts with the surface at a much shorter distance downstream from the turbines as compared to daytime neutral/unstable flow. In the confidence intervals of Table 6a I detect close to 0.4 °C of warming at NLAE 2 for the SW direction with the edge of the B1 wake turbulence over the station and around 0.2-0.3 °C for other wind directions that support the turbine wake centerline being near the flux station. Warmer temperatures of 0.2-0.3 °C within the turbine wake edge also occur at NCAR 2 for SSW and SSE winds with about a 0.1 °C reduction in the temperature difference for SW and S wind directions for centerline wake effects from turbine B1 and B2, respectively (Table 6b). In the SSE wind direction there is indication of a similar temperature difference (0.3 °C) at NCAR 2, NCAR 3, and NCAR 4. This wind direction category pattern plausibly demonstrates the right-side of the wake from turbine B2 impacting NCAR 2 and the left-side of the turbine B3 wake influencing NCAR 3 and NCAR 4. For further downwind stations, NLAE 3 and NLAE 4, there is agreement in a larger temperature difference for wind directions that indicate the edge of a turbine wake being over the flux station as compared to wind directions where the centerline position of the wake moves over the flux station. The highest nighttime temperature difference at NLAE 4 (above 0.4 °C) occurs from the influence of two lines of turbine wakes as similarly observed in the daytime cooling at this 119 station. NLAE 3 reports higher nighttime temperature (0.25 °C) in the SSE wind directions unlike at NLAE 2 where the station is measuring in-between two turbine wakes.. 4.2 Sonic anemometer heat flux differences for the directional composites 4.2.1 DAY-NEUTRAL As reported in Rajewski et al (2013b), the daytime sensible flux station differences are small and highly variable for most wind directions that indicate one or two turbines moving over the region. The sharp contrast in station downwind-upwind differences between NCAR 3 and NCAR 2 and NCAR 4 is related primarily to the field-scale variability. For the NLAE stations there appears an aggregate lowering of the wake to the surface at NLAE 4 when there is the double wake influence from the ‘B’ and ‘A’ line of turbines (Figure 4a). No such effects are seen at NLAE 3 or NLAE 2. However, there is evidence in 2011 of a counter-gradient flux difference at ISU 2 for WSW winds and this is maybe collocated with a farther distance downstream in the B1 wake (6.3 D) as compared to a closer positioning of the NLAE 2 station (5.4 D downstream of B1) as presented in Figure 4b. The results reinforce the idea of the west- facing side of the turbine wake as the downward branch of the wake vortex circulation. There is consistency in the downward heat flux both in the means and in the confidence intervals of the difference (Table 7 a, b),which are in agreement to previous isolated turbine studies (Högström et al. 1988). 4.2.2 DAY-UNSTABLE For the unstable daytime condition the near-wake positions of the flux differences are highly sensitive to the distance from a particular turbine wake edge or the wake centerline (Figure 5a,b). Heat flux compared to the upwind is 10-15 % higher at NLAE 2 and NLAE 3 and about 20% higher at NLAE 4 for the west-southwesterly wind direction. I am unclear of why the flux difference at NLAE 3 is higher than the < ±5 W m-2 reference null values. Wake meandering may be an important factor as previously reported by (Ainslie 1988; Medici and Alfredson 2006, 2008), but I cannot support this aloft feature from the surface-based observations available during CWEX-10. For the SSW and S-SSE wind direction sensible heat fluxes are also 20% higher at NLAE 4 as compared to the upwind station and the double line of turbine wakes would facilitate this larger mixing of heat. 120 At NLAE 2, a counter-gradient flux occurs both in SW and SSE wind direction categories. As mentioned in Rajewski (2013b) the clockwise rotation of the blades induces a counter-clockwise rotation of the turbine wake vortex to maintain conservation of angular momentum. The counter-gradient flux difference in the southwesterly case is attributed to the station location near the left-side edge of the B2 wake, which is the downward branch of the turbine vortex ring (Table 8a). However, the NCAR stations (Figure 5b and Table 8b) indicate low confidence that the flux differences are significantly different from the two null westerly and turbines offline conditions. The high degree of flux variability in Table 8b seems largely related to a positive heat source coming from the surface, which noted in the energy flux study of Rajewski et al. (2013b) is dependent on field-scale heterogeneities of soil and crop surfaces. In agreement with Monin-Obukhov surface similarity theory (e.g. Stull 1988), I observe somewhat significant differences in heat flux for unstable than for neutral conditions because the wake is reaching the surface within a few D downstream of each turbine line. Wake meandering, is also a relevant process as large scale eddies move the turbine wakes into deep looping patterns similar to a dispersion pattern of a scalar concentration (e.g. Medici and Alfredson 2006, 2008; Stull 1988). 4.2.3 NIGHT-STABLE The nighttime stable case features the largest accumulated difference in heat flux at the northernmost stations for southerly to south-south easterly flow. In both the NLAE station differences and in the NCAR station differences the near wake location depicts the most intense downward heating of about (15-30 W m-2) in the southwesterly wind direction (Figs. 6a and 6b). Smaller flux differences (5-10 W m-2) are noted for wind directions that approximate a centerline position of the wake near the flux station. The 95% confidence intervals of the mean difference for each composite in Table 9a indicate favorable wake influence for several directions in the near wake region at NLAE 2 and somewhat the far-wake location of NLAE 3 and the double line wake influence at NLAE 4. For the south-southeast direction, there is agreement among the magnitude of the downward flux station difference of 12 W m-2 reported at NLAE 3 and NLAE 4. Negligible flux differences occur at NLAE 3 for WSW flow but NLAE 4 measures about the similar 12 W m-2 enhanced downward flux when the station is receiving a wake influence from the A-line of turbines west of the station. This magnitude of the flux difference at 121 NLAE 4 is nearly identical to the NLAE 2 flux in the centerline position of the wake of turbine B1 (about 5.4 D downstream of the turbine). The largest downward heat flux difference ( > |20 W m-2|) in the near-wake corresponds to the left-edge of the B1 wake vortex near the NLAE 2 flux tower as indicated for southwesterly winds. Similar to the larger station difference between NLAE 2 and NLAE 1, the SW wind for the ISU 2 station indicates a 10 W m-2 higher downward heating than the upwind ISU 1 station and this magnitude of difference shifts to NCAR 2 for SSW wind when compared to the flux at NCAR 1 (Table 9b). In the centerline positions of the wake for each respective station of NCAR 2 or ISU 2 the heat flux differences is reduced (less negative) by about 30-40% as compared to the wake-edge cases. However, for wind directions from the SSE, all four downwind stations report a mean flux difference near 15 W m-2. I propose that the wake-edge geometry over the stations explains for this consistent advection of heat to the surface. At ISU 2 and NCAR 3 the left edge of the B3 wake is near the stations and there is presumably a similar position of the B4 wake at NCAR 4. At NCAR 2 however, we would expect a positive heat flux on the right side of this wake vortex ring. On the contrary, the flux difference at the surface remains negative. Until sufficient high-resolution tower or RASS type profiler measurements are made of the thermal structure of wakes I explain this downward transport of heat by the effect of the above-turbine layer buoyant consumption of upward-moving heat eddies. Temperature stratification quenches vertical motion directly above the turbine blade top height. This pattern is indicated in the return-to-ambient vertical velocity variances immediately above the rotor top height in LiDAR measurements during CWEX-11 (D. A. Rajewski, unpublished, 2012). It seems conceptually feasible that a warmer temperature gradient above the turbine depth of the boundary layer retards vertical mixing above the turbines, whereas the turbine wake may sufficiently mix down to the surface when the surface stratification is not too strong (L ~ 0.5 to 1.0 D). 4.3 Turbine speed refinement for the S-SSE NIGHT-STABLE conditions of CWEX-10 In the NLAE station difference for the S-SSE nighttime stable case in Figure 7a, there is a clear pattern that increasing the turbine speed generates the highest warming (more than 1.0 °C) at NLAE 4. The nearly linear increase in temperature with nacelle speed is also evident at NLAE 3 for nacelle speeds lower than 8 m s-1. At NLAE 2, there little difference to the upwind 122 station temperature and turbine forcing on the surface is expected to be weak for flow that is between the wakes of turbines B2 and B3. The warming at NLAE 4 follows a near-linear relationship to the nacelle wind speed; however, I cannot compare this data to previous field experiments, which related thermal or aerodynamic forcing to the turbine thrust coefficient. The intensity of the warming is linked to the pattern of the surface over-speeding caused by the turbines as shown in Figure 7b. At slow turbine speeds the wake is highly variable and has stronger expansion to the surface, whereas when the turbine speeds approach rated power capacity, the lower portion of the wake region appears confined to a restricted height within a few meters below the bottom of the rotor. An examination of the heat flux differences over this same region (Figure 7c) reveals that the magnitude of downward flux difference does not follow the increase in wind speed but rather has a maximum value (10 to 15 W m -2) at all three stations for nacelle speeds of 8 m s-1. The nonlinear relationship with nacelle speed relates to the greatest turbulence generation from a single turbine at wind speeds that are slightly lower than the rated speed (13 m s-1) and at a wind speed in which high thrust and power coefficients produce the largest drag and turbulence generated by the rotor (e.g. Adams 2007; Baidya Roy et al. 2011). Some reduction in speed is expected in the nacelle measurement as the wind passes through the rotor. The SCADA data from this site demonstrates cases where the nacelle speed is around 1.7 m s-1 and positive power is still recorded. Therefore, I surmise that for a turbine cut-in speed of 3.5 m s-1 for these GE 1.5 MW SLE turbines a 2 to 2.5 m s-1 speed reduction from the ambient flow to the nacelle position is plausible. The maximum effect of normalized difference in surface turbulent kinetic energy (TKE) for a nacelle speed of 8 m s-1 is also confirmed in Figure 7d. Turbulent enhancement at the surface remains low at NLAE 2 since we do not expect a wake influence whereas at the northern two sites the wake increases surface turbulence at NLAE 3 and NLAE 4 by over a factor of 5 times the ambient scales of mixing. 4.4 Wind direction refinement for the NIGHT-STABLE conditions of CWEX-11 In 2011 upwind and downwind profiles of wind speed are evaluated from the CU NREL LiDARs (WC 68 and WC 49) to determine wind speed characteristics both in the rotor disk and aloft. In Figure 8a, I emphasize that the effects of turbines at the surface are often not correlated with height. The SCADA data and wind cube data both confirm several nighttime periods with 123 15-30 ° directional differences between the 10-m surface and the 80-m hub height. For multiple 10° bins in the southerly sector, I observe the same range of over-speeding (10-20%) at both the 40-m level and at the NCAR 2 or ISU 2 stations. Velocity deficits within the rotor height reach a maximum when the centerline position of the B3 turbine wake is overhead of WC 49 at a distance of 3.5 D north of the turbine. Conversely, for oblique wind direction sectors from the WSW there is slight enhancement (negative velocity deficit) aloft in the rotor layer and about the same magnitude of speed reduction (10-15%) at the surface. WNW flow at the hub height level. This case may represent slight For the SE directional bins a weaker velocity deficit is noted within the rotor and also a small to negligible over-speeding at the surface. A plausible conjecture for the combination of wakes from the B-line of turbines is that the intensity of the momentum exchange with the surface is weakened at the outer edge of the wake. I next compare the turbine-added surface turbulence intensity, Iadded between downwind flux stations where Iadded=(I2- I20 )0.5) and I0 is the ambient turbulent intensity according to the methods of Frandsen et al. (1996) and adopted in Barthelmie et al. 2003, 2007). Figure 8b indicates up to a 6% increase in the turbulence intensity at the NCAR 2 and ISU 2 towers whereas the expansion of the wake to the 9 D and 14 D locations downwind of the turbine illustrate that the turbulence decreases downwind of the turbine monotonically (only a few percent higher of I0). In the 10-m temperature difference (Figure 8c) there is a steady pattern of warming of about 0.2 to 0.4 °C at NCAR 2 for wind directions in the southerly sector whereas a slight cooling pattern occurs for more oblique flow angels from either the WSW or the SE. The NCAR 3 and NCAR 4 stations are more variable based on agronomic factors previously mentioned. However, in the heat flux pattern of Figure 8d, I observe some congruency with the larger directional categories that were earlier presented. Downward heat flux is increased at the two near wake stations, NCAR 2 and ISU 2, for wind directions that indicate the edge of a turbine wake being over the flux station. Particularly for the 160° bin, there is convincing evidence that the edges of turbine wakes from B3 and B4 are yielding similar heat flux differences (15-20 W m-2) at all the NCAR and ISU downwind stations. Downwind stations NCAR 3 and NCAR 4 report a smaller flux difference (<10 W m-2) when the wakes from B1 or B2 turbine have sufficiently expanded out to 9 D and 13 D downwind of the B-turbine line, respectively. For increasing oblique angles of wind the additional interaction of multiple turbines within the B-line indicate low overall difference but higher variability. The weakening 124 of wake impacts on flow and scalars requires additional foresight in future experimentation in the middle or downwind edge of the wind farm. 5. Discussion This investigation of surface flux station data from CWEX-10/11 reveals some essential features of prior field and conceptual wind tunnel and numerical experiments. The measurements reported here corroborate with the patterns of temperature and heat flux. However, additional details in the structure of cooling and warming within the individual, double wake, or multiple-wake regions have not been previously indicated or are only recently receiving attention in numerical and wind tunnel simulations (e.g. Zhang et al. 2013). Daytime temperatures are reduced by less than 0.5 °C within a single wake at a downstream distance of at least 10 D, whereas for a convective boundary layer, buoyant-generated turbulence can displace the wake to the surface at a much shorter distance downstream of each turbine tower. In conditions of wake meandering I expect that the location of the turbine-induced cooling may not line up over a projected plume-like motion coming from each turbine. The observations show weak agreement of warmer temperatures within the tower shadow (a distance of less than 2 D downwind). The extent of this zone of slower speed air and reduced mixing is indicated by the recovery of the perturbation pressure field around each turbine (e.g. Ainslee 1988). For a situation with two completely aligned vortex rings from two turbine wakes from two different turbine lines the CWEX measurements suggest that there is likely an enhancement in the turbulence and fluxes which follow the cross-wind rotation of the wake. Daytime upward fluxes of heat occur on the right side of the wake vortex and corresponding downward fluxes of heat are reported on the left side of the turbine vortex; Zhang et al. 2013 previously demonstrated the counter-gradient heat flu differences in a wind tunnel wind farm configuration. The difference in the daytime heat flux at a location impacted by one turbine wake is less than 10 W m-2, whereas if two aligned wakes are influencing the surface there is an approximate doubling of the flux. Zhang et al. (2013) also simulated in a wind tunnel a staggered wind farm array and determined that there was not a counter-gradient flux of heat for convective boundary layer simulations. The CWEX results potentially indicate a smoothing out of the ‘wake’ turbulence as more and more wakes intersect and undergo lateral merging. There is a general decrease in the 125 daytime cooling and positive heat flux at the downwind stations when the surface is influenced by several turbine wakes from multiple turbine lines. At night turbine wakes warm temperatures by <0.5 °C at a distance of less than 10 D downwind of the leading turbine line and this result corresponds to the intensities reported from isolated field studies and numerical studies (e.g. Baidya Roy and Traiteur 2010; Baidya Roy et al. 2004, 2011). Many of the numerical and wind tunnel studies (e.g. Cal et al. 2010; Chamorro and Porté-Agel 2010; Calaf et al. 2011, Lu and Porté-Agel, 2011) describe a normalized temperature change with respect to the upwind profile of temperature. Unfortunately, without a measured profile there cannot be a clear comparison of the temperature at the surface. The aerial thermal imagery studies of Zhou et al. (2012a, 2012b) and WalshThomas et al. (2013) suggest that ground temperature measurements may overestimate the degree of nighttime warming occurring within the leading line of turbines within a wind farm. Locations within one turbine wake may see 0.2 to 0.4 °C of warming depending on the exact position of the wake (centerline vs. edge) as compared to the flux tower location. The turbine wake influence from two distinct turbine lines nearly doubles the nighttime warming (variability between 0.2-1.2 °C) and the increase in hub-height wind speed facilitates a stronger transfer of warm air aloft to the surface. It is yet unknown if this magnitude of warming continues deeper into the wind farm. From the measurements taken at this southeast edge of the 200-turbine wind farm, I alluded caution on the role of surface warming from multiple lines of turbines. Perhaps for cropland within the downwind side of the wind farm and for land parcels a few km outside of this boundary the surface warming is induced by a full change in the vertical profile of temperature extending several hundred meters above the turbine rotor height. This fully developed turbinewake boundary layer of a presumed quasi equilibrium with the surface layer, the turbine layer, and the boundary layer above the wind farm has been proposed in recent LES studies (e.g. Calaf et al. 2011; Meneveau 2012, Meyers and Meneveau 2012). Instead, near the leading two to three lines of turbines within a wind farm the CWEX measurements propose that the temperature profile is modified by turbine wakes only at heights within the rotor layer and sometimes down to the surface. More measurements in the study area are necessary and planned to reinforce this claim. 126 Among nighttime heat flux differences conceptual experiments simulate the same mean magnitude of flux as CWEX measurements. As for the concern of temperature and deep-wind farm wake effects, there is similar justification for the heat flux. In a situation of one turbine wake influencing the surface there is about a 5-10 W m-2 enhancement in downward flux when the wake centerline is near the flux station, whereas 10-25 W m-2 difference in flux is possible at the surface when the edge of the wake is near the station or when two aligned turbine wake edges impact the surface. The results have preliminarily suggested a reduction in the heat transfer for southeasterly flow when multiple lines of turbine wakes are influencing the surface. Fine scale differences in flux appear related to wake geometry and complex collisions of multiple wakes expanding by 5° from the rotor. The small spatial variations in wake turbulence are difficult to simulate especially when numerical applications have sought to improve characterization of the wake aerodynamics and power constraints for operational scale wind farms. 6. Conclusions As continuing evidence for the impact of wind turbines and wind farm modification of crop fluxes of momentum, heat, H2O, and CO2, this study expands analysis of air temperature and sonic heat flux differences over several surface stations during CWEX-10/11. The careful filtering and sorting metrics of the 10-minute observations allow for comparison to several recent simulations of wind farm impacts on scalar transports. In the daytime (nighttime), an isolated turbine wake may cool (warm) the surface by less than 0.5 °C and this effect can be somewhat intensified for the interaction with two aligned wakes from consecutive turbine lines or be mitigated when multiple wakes have merged. Differences in heat flux also follow closely to the turbine wake-edge or centerline position over a flux tower. Daytime differences in temperature and heat flux are negligible near the turbine line for most wind directions whereas at about a distance of greater than 10 D downstream of a turbine the wake may interact with the surface during conditions of neutrally thermal stratification. Isolated wakes may slightly cool the surface at these same distances during conditions of unstable stratification, but the effects are quite variable and sensitive to directional meandering of the wake. The CWEX measurements demonstrate from the upwind viewing of a turbine an upward flux on the right facing side of the vortex circulation and a corresponding downward flux on the left facing side. The aggregate effect of two wakes may conversely improve upward transport of heat at distances of 20-40 D 127 downstream of the leading turbine line. In the nighttime, the heat flux differences are more sensitive to the flux tower positioning near the centerline position or right or left facing edge of the wake. Stable stratification promotes less lateral expansion of the wake and therefore higher downward flux differences (within less than 5 D of a turbine) are detected than in previous numerical and wind tunnel simulations. There is plausible evidence for multiple wakes reducing the scalar transport as in a large wind farm array and future measurements conducted at the CWEX study site will more specifically address the common features of aerodynamics and scalar flux perturbations depicted in deep-wind farm arrays. Acknowledgments This work was supported in part by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory under Professor Lundquist’s Joint Appointment. NREL is a national laboratory of the U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, operated by the Alliance for Sustainable Energy, LLC. Partial funding for CWEX-10 was provided by the Ames Laboratory (DOE) and the Center for Global and Regional Environmental Research at the University of Iowa. 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Zhang W, Markfort CD, Porté-Agel F (2012a) Wind-Turbine Wakes in a Convective Boundary Layer: A Wind-Tunnel Study. Bound.-Layer Meteorol. 146:161–179. doi: 10.1007/s10546012-9751-4 -----,(2013) Experimental study of the impact of large-scale wind farms on land–atmosphere exchanges. Environ. Res. Letters 8:015002. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/015002. Zhou L, Tian Y, Baidya Roy S, et al. (2012a) Impacts of wind farms on land surface temperature. Nature Clim. Change. doi: 10.1038/nclimate1505. -----, Tian Y, Baidya Roy S, et al. (2012b) Diurnal and seasonal variations of wind farm impacts on land surface temperature over western Texas. Clim. Dyn. doi: 10.1007/s00382-012-1485y. 131 Figure 1. Wind direction-sector accumulated downwind-upwind differences in air temperature for the DAY-NEUTRAL case for the (a) NLAE flux stations and (b) NCAR flux stations. The downwind-upwind mean difference and standard deviations of the difference in temperature are overlaid for each directional composite category and distance from an individual turbine. 132 Figure 2. Wind direction-sector accumulated downwind-upwind differences in air temperature for the DAY-UNSTABLE case for the (a) NLAE flux stations and (b) NCAR flux stations. The downwind-upwind mean difference and standard deviations of the difference in temperature are overlaid for each directional composite category and distance from an individual turbine. 133 Figure 3. Wind direction-sector accumulated downwind-upwind differences in air temperature for the NIGHT-STABLE case for the (a) NLAE flux stations and (b) NCAR flux stations. The downwind-upwind mean difference and standard deviations of the difference in temperature are overlaid for each directional composite category and distance from an individual turbine. 134 Figure 4. Wind direction-sector accumulated downwind-upwind differences in sensible heat flux (H) for the DAY-NEUTRAL case for the (a) NLAE flux stations and (b) NCAR flux stations. The downwind-upwind mean difference and standard deviations of the difference in H are overlaid for each directional composite category and distance from an individual turbine. 135 Figure 5. Wind direction-sector accumulated downwind-upwind differences in sensible heat flux (H) for the DAY-UNSTABLE case for the (a) NLAE flux stations and (b) NCAR flux stations. The downwind-upwind mean difference and standard deviations of the difference in H are overlaid for each directional composite category and distance from an individual turbine. 136 Figure 6. Wind direction-sector accumulated downwind-upwind differences in sensible heat flux (H) for the NIGHT-STABLE case for the (a) NLAE flux stations and (b) NCAR flux stations. The downwind-upwind mean difference and standard deviations of the difference in H are overlaid for each directional composite category and distance from an individual turbine. 137 Figure 7. S-SSE NIGHT-STABLE case of the NLAE downwind-upwind mean differences and standard deviations of differences in (a) 9-m air temperature , (b) normalized wind speed with respect to the nacelle speed, (c) sonic heat flux, and (d) normalized TKE with respect to the upwind flux tower TKE (TKE0) according to the variability of the nacelle speed. Nacelle speed bins are centered on the ±0.5 m s-1 mark of integer category from 4 to 12 m s-1. 138 Figure 8. NIGHT-STABLE case illustrating the variability of mean differences and standard deviations of differences according to 10-m wind direction at the NCAR 2 station. Directional bins are centered on the ±5° interval for each 10° bin. In (a) DownwindUpwind differences of the wind cube data (WC 49-WC 68) at 40m, 80, and 120m are overlaid on to the NCAR downwind-upwind differences and the ISU downwind-upwind differences. In (b) turbine-added turbulence intensity is determined among all downwind stations from the NCAR and ISU stations. In (c) downwind-upwind NCAR station differences of 10-m air temperature. In (d) downwind-upwind NCAR and ISU station differences of 6.5-m sonic heat flux. Blue X’s denote the centerline position of the B1, B2, and B3 turbine wakes at the NCAR 2 station for wind directions near 225°, 180°, and 135° respectively. 139 Table 1. Wind direction sectors corresponding to the turbine wake or gap (between turbine) flow for the B1 to B3 turbines on the leading line of turbines at the wind farm for (a) NLAE station differences and for (b) NCAR station differences. Composites of these direction sectors are included for when the turbines were operational or offline. The number of observations, (N) in each of the DAY-NEUTRAL, DAY-UNSTABLE and NIGHT-STABLE conditions is included. a) Turbine wake category Indicator W OFF ON WSW SW SSW S-SSE SE (Westerly no-wake, turbines on and off ) (combination turbines offline) (combination turbines operating) B1 gap between B1 and B2 B2 gap between B2 and B3 B3-B4, C line of turbines Case direction Turbine wake Sample size (N) DAYNEUTRAL 32 88 715 51 60 174 350 80 Sample size (N) DAYUNSTABLE 38 183 260 17 7 51 151 35 Sample size (N) NIGHTSTABLE 138 265 1327 83 40 106 889 209 Sample size (N) DAYNEUTRAL 17 29 508 117 68 199 96 28 Sample size (N) DAYUNSTABLE 54 182 103 9 6 42 35 11 Sample size (N) NIGHTSTABLE 144 112 659 59 137 229 177 57 139 Case direction b) category Indicator W-WSW OFF ON SW SSW S SSE SE (Westerly no-wake, turbines on and off ) (combination turbines offline) (combination turbines operating) B1 gap between B1 and B2 B2 gap between B2 and B3 B3-B4, C line of turbines 140 Table 2. Nacelle speed categories and upwind flux tower Monin Obukhov lengths (L) of for the S-SSE NIGHT-STABLE condition to determine relationships with surface flux differences with turbine speed. Sample sizes are also provided for each category. Nacelle speed bins are centered on the ±0.5 m s-1 mark of each integer category from 4 to 12 m s-1. Nacelle speed category (± 0.5 m/s) NCAR 1 Monin-Obukhov length (m) 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 5.3 5.1 8.4 11.2 19.8 34.8 45.5 36.7 89.8 Sample size (N) NIGHT 19 49 109 104 174 195 168 43 26 141 Table 3. 10-m wind direction sectors at the NCAR 2 flux station corresponding to the turbine wake centerline or edge position (on periphery of wake) for the B1 to B3 turbines on the leading line of turbines at the wind farm for the NIGHT-STABLE case. Directional bins are centered on the ±5° interval for each 10° bin composite. The number of observations, (N) is included for each direction sector. NCAR 2 10-m wind direction category (±5 °) 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 190 200 210 220 230 240 250 260 270 Turbine wake Indicator at NCAR 2 station Right edge of B3, C line of turbines Centerline of B3, C line of turbines Centerline of B3, C line of turbines Left edge of B3 Right edge of B2 Centerline of B2 Left edge of B2 Right edge of B1 Centerline of B1 at 225° Centerline of B1 at 225° Left edge of B1 West Sample size (N) NIGHT 41 21 40 58 129 102 82 57 101 37 18 14 29 57 51 27 142 Table 4. Means and the 95% upper and lower confidence interval of the mean differences in air temperature of the downwind-upwind difference distributions for NIGHT-STABLE cases among the (a) NLAE flux tower stations and (b) NCAR flux tower stations. Significant differences are indicated in light red highlight when the confidence interval of the test condition does not share the bounds of two null cases of westerly wind and turbines offline. a) DAY-NEUTRAL NLAE 2-NLAE 1 NLAE 3-NLAE 1 NLAE 4-NLAE 1 T Upper Lower T Upper Lower T category (°C) 95% CI 95% CI (°C) 95% CI 95% CI TW -0.03 0.00 -0.07 -0.03 0.04 TOFF 0.03 0.05 0.01 -0.13 TON 0.05 0.06 0.04 TWSW 0.00 0.02 TSW 0.03 TSSW 0.06 TS-SSE 0.07 (°C) Upper 95% CI Lower 95% CI -0.09 -0.15 -0.06 -0.23 -0.10 -0.16 -0.13 -0.09 -0.18 -0.16 -0.15 -0.17 -0.05 -0.03 -0.07 0.03 -0.22 -0.18 -0.27 -0.27 -0.21 -0.32 0.03 -0.02 -0.21 -0.18 -0.24 -0.22 -0.19 -0.25 0.07 0.04 -0.20 -0.18 -0.22 -0.09 -0.07 -0.12 0.08 0.05 -0.13 -0.11 -0.14 0.05 0.08 0.01 142 Wind direction 143 Table 4. (continued) b) DAY-NEUTRAL NCAR 2-NCAR 1 NCAR 3-NCAR 1 NCAR 4-NCAR 1 Wind direction T Upper Lower T Upper Lower T Upper Lower category (°C) 95% CI 95% CI (°C) 95% CI 95% CI (°C) 95% CI 95% CI TW-WSW -0.09 0.02 -0.20 -0.07 0.02 -0.15 -0.21 -0.11 -0.30 TOFF -0.21 -0.09 -0.33 -0.20 -0.07 -0.33 -0.26 -0.12 -0.40 TON -0.19 -0.18 -0.21 -0.21 -0.20 -0.23 -0.31 -0.30 -0.33 TSW -0.30 -0.27 -0.32 -0.25 -0.22 -0.27 -0.41 -0.38 -0.44 TSSW -0.20 -0.16 -0.20 -0.24 -0.20 -0.28 -0.31 -0.28 -0.35 TS -0.17 -0.15 -0.19 -0.21 -0.19 -0.24 -0.30 -0.27 -0.32 TSSE -0.13 -0.09 -0.16 -0.14 -0.11 -0.18 -0.22 -0.18 -0.25 143 144 Table 5. Means and the 95% upper and lower confidence interval of the mean differences in air temperature of the downwind-upwind difference distributions for DAY-UNSTABLE cases among the (a) NLAE flux tower stations and (b) NCAR flux tower stations. Significant differences are indicated in light red highlight when the confidence interval of the test condition does not share the bounds of two null cases of westerly wind and turbines offline. a) DAY-UNSTABLE NLAE 2-NLAE 1 NLAE 3-NLAE 1 NLAE 4-NLAE 1 T Upper Lower T Upper Lower T category (°C) 95% CI 95% CI (°C) 95% CI 95% CI TW 0.07 0.00 -0.10 -0.21 -0.14 TOFF -0.02 0.01 -0.04 -0.18 TON 0.07 0.09 0.05 TWSW -0.01 0.05 -0.08 TSW 0.05 0.15 TSSW 0.12 TS-SSE 0.06 (°C) Upper 95% CI Lower 95% CI -0.28 -0.27 -0.21 -0.34 -0.15 -0.21 -0.18 -0.14 -0.21 -0.20 -0.18 -0.22 -0.08 -0.05 -0.11 -0.25 -0.21 -0.30 -0.21 -0.15 -0.28 -0.05 -0.21 -0.13 -0.28 -0.16 0.00 -0.32 0.17 0.08 -0.31 -0.27 -0.35 -0.14 -0.07 -0.21 0.09 0.04 -0.16 -0.14 -0.19 -0.01 0.02 -0.05 144 Wind direction 145 Table 5. (continued) b) DAY-UNSTABLE NCAR 2-NCAR 1 NCAR 3-NCAR 1 NCAR 4-NCAR 1 Wind direction T Upper Lower T Upper Lower T Upper Lower category (°C) 95% CI 95% CI (°C) 95% CI 95% CI (°C) 95% CI 95% CI TW-WSW -0.04 0.01 -0.10 -0.04 0.03 -0.11 -0.19 -0.13 -0.26 TOFF -0.19 -0.14 -0.24 -0.19 -0.14 -0.25 -0.26 -0.20 -0.32 TON -0.11 -0.08 -0.14 -0.17 -0.13 -0.20 -0.24 -0.21 -0.28 TSW -0.05 0.01 -0.11 -0.15 -0.09 -0.21 -0.15 -0.09 -0.22 TSSW -0.10 -0.02 -0.18 -0.15 -0.02 -0.28 -0.18 -0.01 -0.36 TS -0.18 -0.12 -0.24 -0.21 -0.14 -0.27 -0.30 -0.23 -0.37 TSSE -0.10 -0.06 -0.13 -0.14 -0.11 -0.17 -0.21 -0.17 -0.25 145 146 Table 6. Means and the 95% upper and lower confidence interval of the mean differences in air temperature of the downwind-upwind difference distributions for NIGHT-STABLE cases among the (a) NLAE flux tower stations and (b) NCAR flux tower stations. Significant differences are indicated in light red highlight when the confidence interval of the test condition does not share the bounds of two null cases of westerly wind and turbines offline. a) NIGHT-STABLE NLAE 2-NLAE 1 NLAE 3-NLAE 1 NLAE 4-NLAE 1 T Upper Lower T Upper Lower T category (°C) 95% CI 95% CI (°C) 95% CI 95% CI TW 0.06 0.10 0.01 0.06 0.12 TOFF 0.03 0.05 0.02 0.03 TON 0.13 0.15 0.12 TWSW 0.21 0.27 TSW 0.40 TSSW TS-SSE (°C) Upper 95% CI Lower 95% CI 0.00 -0.02 0.06 -0.09 0.06 0.00 -0.14 -0.10 -0.18 0.23 0.25 0.22 0.27 0.30 0.24 0.16 0.07 0.14 0.00 -0.01 0.07 -0.10 0.47 0.32 0.21 0.29 0.13 0.18 0.29 0.07 0.25 0.31 0.20 0.09 0.13 0.05 0.00 0.06 -0.06 0.10 0.12 0.09 0.25 0.27 0.24 0.41 0.44 0.38 146 Wind direction 147 Table 6. (continued) b) NIGHT-STABLE NCAR 2-NCAR 1 NCAR 3-NCAR 1 NCAR 4-NCAR 1 Wind direction T Upper Lower T Upper Lower T Upper Lower category (°C) 95% CI 95% CI (°C) 95% CI 95% CI (°C) 95% CI 95% CI TW-WSW -0.10 -0.06 -0.15 0.06 0.12 0.01 -0.24 -0.20 -0.29 TOFF -0.12 -0.06 -0.17 0.01 0.07 -0.04 -0.04 0.01 -0.10 TON 0.16 0.18 0.13 0.15 0.18 0.13 0.12 0.14 0.10 TSW 0.05 0.14 -0.04 0.14 0.21 0.08 0.02 0.09 -0.04 TSSW 0.23 0.27 0.20 0.09 0.12 0.06 0.13 0.16 0.09 TS 0.14 0.17 0.11 0.11 0.14 0.09 0.11 0.14 0.08 TSSE 0.30 0.35 0.25 0.32 0.38 0.27 0.25 0.30 0.21 147 148 Table 7. Means and the 95% upper and lower confidence interval of the mean differences in sonic heat flux of the downwind-upwind difference distributions for DAY-NEUTRAL cases among the (a) NLAE flux tower stations and (b) NCAR and ISU flux tower stations. Significant differences are indicated in light red highlight when the confidence interval of the test condition does not share the bounds of two null cases of westerly wind and turbines offline. a) DAY-NEUTRAL NLAE 2-NLAE 1 Wind direction category H NLAE 3-NLAE 1 Upper -2 Lower H NLAE 4-NLAE 1 Upper -2 Lower H -2 Upper Lower (W m ) 95% CI 95% CI (W m ) 95% CI 95% CI (W m ) 95% CI 95% CI HW 2.14 8.57 -4.28 8.27 19.69 -3.16 9.55 19.20 -0.09 HOFF -2.93 2.03 -7.89 4.22 10.77 -2.32 5.34 10.89 -0.22 -0.89 0.53 -2.30 3.13 5.07 1.19 19.13 22.87 15.39 1.89 6.16 -2.84 5.62 10.70 0.53 5.60 11.65 -0.44 HSW -0.93 2.97 -4.82 4.15 16.11 -2.19 9.37 13.50 5.25 HSSW 1.49 4.17 -1.18 1.35 7.48 0.82 17.87 22.41 13.26 HS-SSE -0.04 2.13 -2.20 6.07 4.18 -1.48 28.00 35.18 20.81 148 HON HWSW 149 Table 7. (continued) b) DAY-NEUTRAL NCAR 2-NCAR 1 NCAR 3-NCAR 1 H Upper Lower (W m-2) 95% CI HW-WSW 16.14 HOFF NCAR 4-NCAR 1 ISU 2-ISU 1 Upper Lower H Upper Lower 95% CI H (W m2 ) 95% CI 95% CI (W m-2) 95% CI 32.37 -0.09 31.58 47.05 16.10 19.72 1.31 6.91 -4.28 17.62 25.40 9.84 HON -3.16 -1.90 -4.42 6.39 8.14 HSW -1.84 0.29 -3.96 13.63 HSSW 0.62 3.11 -1.88 HS -3.50 -1.33 HSSE -6.55 -3.10 Wind direction category Upper Lower 95% CI H (W m2 ) 95% CI 95% CI 33.30 6.15 6.44 23.43 -10.55 11.99 22.58 1.40 4.28 9.87 -1.30 4.63 -3.88 -2.27 -5.49 -7.60 -6.12 -9.09 16.31 10.95 -3.36 -0.97 -5.75 -12.47 -10.12 -14.82 11.08 14.78 7.38 -1.87 2.05 -5.79 -10.87 -8.05 -13.70 -5.66 1.52 4.69 -1.66 -4.68 -1.84 -7.52 -6.92 -4.37 -9.47 -10.00 3.45 7.26 -0.36 -3.16 0.70 -7.01 -3.95 -0.03 -7.87 149 150 Table 8. Means and the 95% upper and lower confidence interval of the mean differences in sonic heat flux of the downwind-upwind difference distributions for DAY-UNSTABLE cases among the (a) NLAE flux tower stations and (b) NCAR and ISU flux tower stations. Significant differences are indicated in light red highlight when the confidence interval of the test condition does not share the bounds of two null cases of westerly wind and turbines offline. a) DAY-UNSTABLE NLAE 2-NLAE 1 Wind direction category H NLAE 3-NLAE 1 Upper -2 Lower H NLAE 4-NLAE 1 Upper -2 Lower H -2 Upper Lower (W m ) 95% CI 95% CI (W m ) 95% CI 95% CI (W m ) 95% CI 95% CI HW 0.61 4.54 -3.32 -2.89 2.95 -8.74 6.76 12.05 1.46 HOFF -5.19 -1.19 -9.20 3.92 9.16 -1.32 1.84 6.08 -2.41 -1.40 1.89 -4.69 10.05 14.25 5.86 20.40 26.62 14.19 18.66 30.96 6.35 13.76 23.16 4.36 22.16 33.64 10.67 HSW -25.14 -4.65 -45.63 -1.18 19.74 -22.09 1.32 31.96 -29.31 HSSW -1.15 6.15 -8.44 3.25 12.76 -6.26 21.99 35.72 8.26 HS-SSE 0.01 4.02 -4.01 7.71 12.85 2.57 28.16 37.06 19.27 150 HON HWSW 151 Table 8. (continued) b) DAY-UNSTABLE NCAR 2-NCAR 1 NCAR 3-NCAR 1 H Upper Lower (W m-2) 95% CI HW-WSW 9.41 HOFF HON NCAR 4-NCAR 1 ISU 2-ISU 1 Upper Lower H Upper Lower 95% CI H (W m2 ) 95% CI 95% CI (W m-2) 95% CI 95% CI H (W m2 ) 16.23 2.60 18.98 26.72 11.23 5.96 15.65 -3.73 -12.12 -7.40 -16.84 9.46 15.08 3.84 -8.96 -3.41 -4.18 0.12 -8.49 3.48 8.70 -1.74 -8.69 -2.10 HSW -3.54 16.90 -23.98 23.96 40.22 7.69 22.79 HSSW -1.79 19.91 -23.49 15.16 55.71 -25.38 3.50 HS -6.20 0.91 -13.31 4.98 12.84 -2.88 HSSE -3.08 3.93 -10.09 0.77 8.18 -6.64 Wind direction category Upper Lower 95% CI 95% CI -2.17 6.87 -11.22 -14.52 -7.90 -3.16 -12.63 -15.28 -3.30 0.99 -7.58 43.68 1.91 -8.60 8.75 -25.96 51.21 -44.21 1.29 34.50 -31.91 -6.59 2.28 -15.47 -4.55 2.90 -12.00 -9.84 -0.16 -19.52 -0.71 4.73 -6.14 151 152 Table 9. Means and the 95% upper and lower confidence interval of the mean differences in sonic heat flux of the downwind-upwind difference distributions for NIGHT-STABLE cases among the (a) NLAE flux tower stations and (b) NCAR and ISU flux tower stations. Significant differences are indicated in light red highlight when the confidence interval of the test condition does not share the bounds of two null cases of westerly wind and turbines offline. a) NIGHT-STABLE NLAE 2-NLAE 1 Wind direction category H NLAE 3-NLAE 1 Upper -2 Lower H NLAE 4-NLAE 1 Upper -2 Lower H -2 Upper Lower 95% CI 95% CI (W m ) 95% CI 95% CI (W m ) 95% CI 95% CI HW -0.46 0.70 -1.63 -0.86 0.17 -1.89 -5.62 -4.21 -7.04 HOFF -0.70 0.00 -1.41 -1.95 -1.08 -2.81 1.35 -0.50 -2.20 HON -7.08 -6.50 -7.67 -10.26 -9.56 -10.95 -9.37 -8.38 -10.37 HWSW -13.76 -11.43 -16.10 -1.73 0.22 -3.68 -12.00 -9.16 -14.84 HSW -22.40 -18.31 -26.49 -3.35 -1.24 -5.45 -12.07 -8.37 -15.77 HSSW -12.46 -9.32 -15.60 -11.84 -7.22 -16.45 -4.95 -2.88 -7.03 HS-SSE -5.91 -5.29 -6.52 -11.56 -10.76 -12.37 -13.06 -11.97 -14.15 152 3 (W m ) 153 Table 9. (continued) b) NIGHT-STABLE NCAR 2-NCAR 1 NCAR 3-NCAR 1 Wind direction H Upper Lower category (W m-2) 95% CI HW-WSW -0.17 HOFF HON NCAR 4-NCAR 1 ISU 2-ISU 1 Upper Lower H Upper Lower 95% CI H (W m2 ) Upper Lower 95% CI H (W m2 ) 95% CI 95% CI (W m-2) 95% CI 95% CI 95% CI 0.92 -1.26 -3.77 -2.12 -5.42 0.18 1.77 -1.41 -3.76 -2.52 -4.99 -0.74 0.46 -1.93 -0.22 0.50 -0.93 -9.08 -8.18 -9.98 -7.67 -6.77 -8.57 -1.46 -0.58 -2.34 -1.89 -1.10 -2.67 -8.82 -7.96 -9.68 -8.02 -7.13 -8.91 HSW -7.38 -5.06 -9.70 -6.19 -4.15 -8.22 -4.11 -2.42 -5.80 -12.37 -9.96 -14.79 HSSW -12.72 -11.16 -14.27 -6.43 -5.21 -7.66 -8.79 -7.36 -10.21 -7.00 -5.84 -8.16 HS -6.39 -5.23 -7.55 -6.56 -5.35 -7.77 -8.97 -7.91 -10.03 -4.22 -3.30 -5.12 HSSE -13.76 -12.02 -15.49 -14.11 -12.32 -15.90 -14.01 -12.38 -15.63 -15.40 -13.17 -17.64 153 3 154 CHAPTER 5. CROP AND TILLAGE ROUGHNESS SENSITIVITIES TO WIND POWER Taken from a manuscript in preparation to Wind Energy Abstract Wind farm expansion over the U.S. Midwest has brought convergence of two unlike energy resources: crop biomass and wind power, which provides a unique interaction over agricultural croplands. Turbines and wind farms perturb fluxes of momentum, heat, moisture, and other scalars of crop microclimate. Crop type and other agricultural management practices (e.g. tillage) produce drag and alter the sensible and latent heat fluxes, which control the profile of wind speed at hub height. This report addresses the crop on wind impact by using a conceptual modeling tool for developing strategies for energy synergy. The WRF single column model is reconfigured to evaluate multiple sensitivities of surface roughness and boundary layer height wind speed to the wind energy resource. An ensemble of PBL scheme solutions demonstrates similar wind profile results that are dependent on the type of turbulence closure parameterization (local vs. non-local) used in the scheme as previously reported. However increasing the roughness will yield some improvement to hub-height or blade top height wind speed for nighttime events in which a low-level jet profile develops. A slight change in roughness from plowed soil to mulched short-height tillage offers the greatest improvement in wind both in the daytime and nighttime periods. Conservation tillage (no-till) may reduce erosion and provides a smaller nighttime benefit but a slight daytime deficit to the wind resource as compared to a mulch-till. A wind farm may potentially recover an additional $10-20 thousand/per turbine in net revenue when short till or no till practices are applied in the off-season as compared to a smooth plowed soil surface. Crop production of soybeans instead of corn provides little benefit of the wind resource <$5,000/turbine during the summer months when the wind speed is low. Long-term benefits in electrical production can be applied from a corn or soy harvested crop to applying mulch tillage during the off-season. Adjusted-revenue savings of a few 155 hundred thousand dollars are proposed when mulch tillage is practiced in the off- season between a variety of corn and soybean rotation practices. 1. Introduction At the end of 2012 U.S. wind power generation was exceeding 60 GW of installed capacity (AWEA) and another ten to twenty fold expansion of this energy resource is likely in the coming decades (U.S. DOE 2008). Much of the recent wind farm construction since 2005 has occurred over several Midwestern states, which also feature some of the largest arable acres for cultivating renewable bio-energy fuels and substrates. The state of Iowa alone accounts for about 19% of the national corn production and about 12% of the soybean yield and at the end of 2012 nearly 5500 MW of electricity were generated from several thousand wind turbines clustered across the state. The construction of large wind farms on agricultural cropland brings two related renewable energy systems into a potentially unique interaction and opportunity for energy synergy. Isolated wind turbines and large wind farms perturb local wind fields and generate turbulence behind each turbine. This change of mixing can influence crop fluxes of momentum, heat, moisture, and other gases (e.g. CO2). During the 2010 and 2011 Crop Wind Energy Experiment (CWEX-10/11) recent in situ flux measurements within the leading line of turbines at the southwest edge of a 300 MW wind farm in Central Iowa indicate turbine modification of canopy turbulence, wind speed, air temperature (Rajewski et al. 2013a), and fluxes of heat, H2O, and CO2 (Rajewski et al. 2013b). Additional evidence has been given for the high spatial variability of downwind fluxes according to distance from the turbine, and the relative centerline or periphery location within the wake (Rajewski et al. 2013c). These studies have documented changes on the upwind and downwind side of turbines but the effects are highly variable and dependent on ambient meteorological conditions (e.g. wind direction, hub-height wind speed, thermal stratification, moisture), the operating characteristics of the turbine, as well as the variations in agricultural management and the inherent variability of the soil. 156 Conversely, on the role of wind power and reliability the agricultural management techniques and local field scale conditions may potentially cause variations in the hubheight wind resource and in the shear characteristics throughout that layer. A taller or shorter crop (e.g. sorghum/corn vs. soybeans/alfalfa) may induce more drag on the wind speed at hub height, yet a rougher surface also induces more turbulence to cool the surface and therefore regulate the diabatic exchange between the crop and the boundary layer. The effect of surface roughness (z0) on the wind speed at a given height u(z) is seen in the following profile equation (e.g. Stull 1988): 𝑢(𝑧) = 𝑢∗ 𝑘 𝑧 z [(𝑙𝑛 𝑧 ) + ΨM (L)] 0 (1) where u* is the surface friction velocity, k is the Von karman constant assumed to be 0.4, and M(z/L) is a stability correction term with a function that depends on the type of stability situation (NEUTRAL/STABLE/UNSTABLE). The L term denotes the MoninObukhov length at the height for which the production of shear-based turbulence over the buoyant generation are in equilibrium. L is determined from the surface sensible ̅̅̅̅̅̅̅𝑣 ) according to heat flux (𝑤′𝜃′ 𝐿= −𝑘𝑔 (𝑤′𝜃𝑣 ′) (2) 𝜃𝑣 𝑢∗ 3 For the post-harvest/pre-plant period, a no-till surface is expected to have lower soil temperatures within an undisturbed soil with ample wetness. However vertically oriented residue promotes increased friction and turbulence on the surface (e.g. Horton et al. 1994, 1996). Strip tilling leaves about 75% of the field residue above the soil surface and promotes aeration and warming of the soil in the intended planting row. Conventional tillage methods remove much of the field residue, warm and dry the soil, but also increase erosion potential Management decisions are also dependent on the type of cultivar and the soil drainage quality (ISU 2005). 157 Additionally a dry or wet soil determines whether a crop can regulate at the maximum potential evapotranspiration allowed by the atmospheric constraints (net radiation, wind speed, ambient relative humidity). Crop fluxes of heat and moisture may perturb the vertical wind profile up to the turbine height through the diabatic correction term YM from equation (1). In the daytime, one may thus determine the surface profile changes with roughness on the hub-height wind speed. However, at night this profile equation may not apply up to the hub height of turbines. Throughout much of the U.S. Midwest, the nighttime development of a jet-like sheet of air provides a substantial boost in electrical generation from wind farms. A low-level jet (LLJ) can form in any season and vary in intensity, height, duration, and other factors according to the previous daytime profile of above-PBL height or geostrophic wind speed, Vg (Davies 2000). Typically, LLJ development occurs a few hours after sunset and decay begins a few hours after sunrise. The height of the jet wind maximum, the intensity of this maximum, the amount of turbulence within the jet are all functions of the shears of wind speed and wind direction within the jet layer and the thermal stratification within that layer (e.g. Banta et al. 2002; Kelley 2004; Pichugina and Banta 2010; Storm and Basu, 2010). Nocturnal jets can feature significant shear in both speed and direction especially if the maximum speeds are located within a few 100 m above the top of the rotor. The underside of the jet supports strong turbulence and may develop Kelvin Helmholtz instabilities if the layer stability is only slightly stable. Tall tower data from the Lamar Low Level Jet experiment and the Great Plains CASES-99 experiment demonstrate the likelihood of adverse turbulence conditions in the lower boundary layer where turbine blades may be located (Kelley et al. 2004; Kelley et al. 2006)). Excess turbulence creates lulls in the available power (Wharton and Lundquist 2012) and induces twisting and bending forces on the blades and tower components (Sathe and Bierbooms 2007; Walter et al. 2009) Forecasting of LLJ profiles continues to be an objective of improvement for operational models as nighttime forecasted wind speeds generally under predict the strength of the wind turbine rotor speeds and shear and over predict the daytime resource 158 (Draxl et al. 2012; Storm and Basu 2010; Shin and Hong 2011) . These biases are related to the type of planetary boundary layer scheme used in the simulation and the turbulence closure parameterization techniques used for each scheme. Wind speed bias in the forecast is reduced from a combination of high-resolution models and the use of model ensembles. Recent studies by Deppe et al. (2013) and Gallus and Deppe (2011); demonstrate improved accuracy in some of the nighttime wind resource when an ensemble of hub-height wind speeds using different PBL schemes was compared with 80-m meteorological tower data within a wind farm in Northwest Iowa. Traituer et al. (2012) also indicated an improved short term forecast (1-3 hr lead time) by using an ensemble of high resolution operational models and a PBL suite of single column models and developing a calibration tool through running several days or weeks of simulations to develop a training method of determining bias corrections. Extremes in hub-height wind speed over a few hours can occur in localized meteorological conditions (frontal passage, mesoscale convective system gusts and diurnally driven transitions in the boundary layer). Ramp up and ramp down events (e.g. Gallus and Deppe 2011) have been shown to be very difficult to predict even in short lead time for the forecasts. Surface sensitivity may be one such factor in modulation of the frequency, intensity, and duration of such ramping events. Increasing skill in prediction of these ramping events may facilitate energy sale savings of $2-5 MW-hr or up to $2-4 billion -yr for nationwide implementation of these strategies under the 20% by 2030 DOE scenario (Marquis et al. 2011). Recent high-resolution modeling indicates that the spatial variability of 80-m wind speed is similar to the variations present on a surface terrain map (Personal communication, Anderson, 2012). Therefore, it is highly plausible that in addition to terrain, the heterogeneous patchwork of agricultural fields may also provide an influence on wind power and reliability that has not yet been determined. Numerical simulations with spatial variation soil moisture, roughness, soil type, and crop resistance alter boundary layer development of clouds and/or induce localized circulations similar to a lake breeze (e.g. Zhong and Duran 1997; Alapaty et al. 1997; Courault et al. 2007). 159 Hacker (2010) has initially demonstrated how soil moisture perturbations and roughness can alter near-surface boundary layer wind speed and turbulence. However, there was no distinction between how these surface sensitivities altered the day vs. night wind resource. Little understanding exists of how differences in diurnal variations in surface fluxes of heat, moisture, and momentum over crop canopies will influence on shore hub-height wind speed and rotor layer thermal stability and wind shear and turbulence characteristics. Several modeling studies have explored wind power and reliability impacts on surface heterogeneities for idealized vertical column models of quasi steady neutral, stable or unstable boundary layer parameterizations (Barthelmie 1999, Emeis 2010) , or similar physics are implored with large eddy simulations (Sim et al. 2009 ; Meyers and Meneveau 2009; Zhou and Katopodes Chow 2012; Park et al. 2012). A model that can offer sensitivities to several surface features (roughness, vegetation fraction, soil moisture) may improve risk assessments of these changes in wind and turbulence. The testing of several PBL schemes in a similar model offers a range of sensitivity and is desirable to improve forecasting of LLJ events. To facilitate better assessment of the sensitivity of surface conditions to short-term prediction, we present here a simplified conceptual tool in analyzing variations in surface roughness on the wind power resource over the diurnal cycle. The interactions between the surface and boundary layer require time-dependent forcing of radiation, surface conduction, convection, evapotranspiration, surface heat fluxes, microphysics, and boundary layer mixing. Investigation of wind characteristics over the diurnal cycle is a desirable outcome for improving understanding of the crop-turbine interaction. In this study, I address if agricultural management practices have any significant impact on the wind resource. I hypothesize that the increased drag imposed on the surface by a taller crop or tall tillage residue will slow winds at hub height in the daytime whereas during the night the loss or benefit that the roughness may provide will be highly dependent on the wind strength of the geostrophic wind speed. Sensitivities to wind energy characteristics are 160 directly linked to the differences in PBL and surface layer options of each configuration. The non-local closure PBL schemes will demonstrate the least response of surface roughness conditions to the nighttime wind resource, whereas the local turbulence closure schemes will be the most sensitive to changes in canopy drag and the corresponding surface fluxes. Therefore, the vertical mixing parameterization imposed within in each PBL scheme is a dominating factor in the behavior of the wind profile (e.g. Deppe et al. 2013, among others). In Section 2, I provide the numerical method in an ensemble frame work of single column PBL models to quantify the surface roughness sensitivity to the wind resource. Section 3 offers the analysis procedure for depicting the effect of the tillage on available power and other diagnostics of reliability (e.g. rotorlayer shear (both in speed and direction) and stability). In Section 4 provides additional insights for using this quantitative assessment from the model and extrapolate from the analyses some proposed guidelines in wind farm siting assessment. Concluding remarks are presented in Section 5. 2. Materials and Methods The 1-d multiple single column model, referred hereafter as WRF_1d (from WRF V3.1.1), was developed from Tardiff and Hacker (2006) and applies several noninteracting single column modules to create a matrix of testing independent sensitivities to two different parameters according to the method of Segal et al. (1993). For this study in using the east-west coordinate, the model sets geostrophic speeds between 2 and 20 m s-1 and in the north-south coordinate any surface variable (soil type, soil temperature, soil moisture, surface roughness, can range from a low to a high end. For this specific configuration, I test the effect of surface roughness from 0.005 m to 0.5 m using a logarithmic increment as shown in Table 1. We depict the effect of surface roughness on the wind resource by assuming a crop cover in near harvest stage (with very little transpiration) for our high roughness categories and a dry tilled surface for our low roughness categories. 161 The model uses a standard horizontal and vertical mixing coefficient (300 m2 s-1, and 1 m2 s-1, respectively) to prevent numerical instability and thus requires no turbulence option as specific mixing options are configured in each PBL schemes. The individual PBL schemes tested in this WRF_1-D configuration were (1) the non-local turbulence closure scheme Yonsei University PBL (YSU) from Hong et al. (2006) , (2) the local turbulence closure scheme of Mellor Yamada Janjic (MYJ) (Janic 2002), (3) The local closure Quasi Normalization Surface Exchange PBL (QNSE) from Sukoriansky and Galperin (2008) and the 2.5 level turbulence closure from Mellor Yamada Nakanishi and Nino scheme (MYNN2.5) from Nakanishi and Nino (2009). Although the 3rd order- level closure (MYNN3.0) is offered in WRF there was difficulty in running the idealized simulations with our small vertical grid spacing. Additionally I tested the non-local closure asymmetric convective boundary layer scheme version 2 (Pleim 2007) known as ACM-2 but found considerable oscillation in the wind fields at within our smallest grid discretization within the turbine rotor layer. Both these scheme results are omitted in the following analysis. WRF_1d uses 49 vertical levels with about 18 m grid separation in the lowest 150 m and so this layer provides higher vertical resolution in the PBL below and within the top and bottom blade pass height (roughly from 42 to 118 m for an 80-m hub height 1.5 MW turbine). The model time step is set to 15 s. All simulations are configured to use the NOAH land surface model and RRTM long-wave and Dudhia shortwave radiation schemes. The NOAH LSM conveys flux information at only the level of the roughness and therefore WRF modelers are assuming a mixture of air, vegetative elements and soil surface in the surface level parameterization of the model. The microphysical scheme is deactivated for these simulations to isolate surface effects in conditions free of clouds and precipitation. The absence of full 3-d motions and large-scale advection requires that the perturbation coriolis forcing generate the inertial oscillation of the wind profile. The ‘perturbation’ is a departure from the base state of the geostrophic wind speed. Appropriate mean hub height speeds (indicated in Table 1) categorize power characteristics according to the strength of the boundary layer top wind speed and not the hub-height wind speed. The multi-1d simulations are absent 162 of frozen ground or snow cover/snow melt and soil moisture and temperature are held at constant input levels throughout the simulation (T0=288 K, VWC=0.10 m3 m-3). The model simulations are initialized for the fall Iowa landscape using a default sounding from the Tardiff and Hacker configuration of 19 UTC (1400 LST) 22 Oct 1999. The simulations spin-up in about 6 hours so that the first night and the corresponding first two full days are used for the 48-hr analysis period. Data are output in 15-minute increments. At the completion of each PBL scheme configuration, I determine the power output statistics among the PBL schemes and the factors illustrating what surface and turbine layer variables are influencing the wind resource. 3. Theory/Calculation Wind power calculation in WRF_1d Hub-height wind power (P) is calculated in WRF_1d according to the following relationship: P = ½ Cp Ng Nb A UH3, (3) where is air density, Cp is the power coefficient, Ng and Nb are efficiency factors (0.85 and 0.95) due to frictional loss of energy on the turbine gear box and other components, A is the cross sectional swept area of each turbine rotor disk, and UH is the hub height wind speed. Cp is a function of blade tip speed, which has direct relationship to the wind speed. The power coefficient is parameterized as in previous studies according to the rated power coefficient depending on the turbine model (as in Adams 2007). We determine the power coefficients from the power curve of the GE 1.5 MW turbine with super long extended blades (SLE), presented in Figure 1a. The variation of Cp with the wind speed (Figure 1b) indicates the maximum power coefficient occurs at a hub speed slightly less than the rated speed of 13 m s-1. The rotor swept area, A, of the turbine (5346 m2) is calculated for a 74 m diameter rotor of the GE 1.5 MW turbine with hub height of 80 m (GE 2009). For easier detection of the surface roughness sensitivities, I 163 normalize the power to a base condition (e.g. dry soil over a smooth plowed field). Using this normalization power losses/enhancement from the surface heterogeneities are related to a percent value. The simulations are configured to both output a 15- minute instantaneous power (units in MW) and an accumulated power (in MJ). I convert the accumulated power in MJ to kW-hr over the by the following relationship (3600 kWhr=1 MJ) to address the economic implications of tillage and crop type on single wind turbines and wind farms in several temporal scales (daily, annual, and a 30-yr lifetime of the wind park). Power-derived quantities relating to electrical generation The baseline power results for plowed smooth soil for each PBL scheme and the average of the 4 schemes is offered in average and normalized differences in power over a 48-hr period starting after the initial 6-hrs for presumed model spin-up time. This data will compare the behavior of the PBL schemes over the first night of the 48-hr simulation before examining the sensitivity of the wind profiles to roughness. Then the comparison of scheme behavior is offered between roughness types of no-till, soybean and corn canopy height. Normalized power difference from the plowed soil condition for these same roughness categories will be examined according to the rotor layer Richardson number (Ri) which is a stability metric of the temperature gradient between the top and the bottom blade span and the wind speed shear in the same layer as shown in Eq. (4): 𝑅𝑖 = 𝑔 𝜕𝜃𝑣 𝜃𝑣 𝜕𝑧 2 2 𝜕𝑢 𝜕𝑣 ⌈( ) +( ) ⌉ 𝜕𝑧 𝜕𝑧 (4) After demonstrating a relationship to normalized power and stability, I will discuss the 48-hr accumulated differences in power in kWhr, and the translated power revenue change going from plowed soil to a higher surface roughness. Three speed categories are considered: (1) near the cut-in turbine speed of 3.0 m/s (Vg is near 6 m/s), (2) an 164 intermediate speed slightly less than the rated speed of 13 m/s (Vg is near 10 m/s) when Cp is at a maximum value, and (3) a fast boundary layer speed of 16 m/s, which indicates hub speeds at or slightly above the rated speed. Each plot depicts a PBL schemeaverage and the standard deviation of that mean for the individual surface roughness categories. From the 48-hr accumulated power difference of each scheme (m), each roughness (j), and wind category (i) I compute a probable net power production for a single day period according to equation (4), which demonstrates daily net income (Rday) according to a balance in power produced (Pgross) at a given cost (e.g. $50 MWhr-1), the service charge to upload power to the grid (T), and the land use rental (L): $ $ 𝑅𝑑𝑎𝑦(𝑖,𝑗,𝑚) = 𝐶𝐹(𝑃𝑔𝑟𝑜𝑠𝑠(𝑖,𝑗,𝑚) [𝑀𝑊ℎ𝑟] ∗ 𝐶𝑜𝑠𝑡[𝑀𝑊ℎ𝑟] − 𝑃𝑔𝑟𝑜𝑠𝑠(𝑖,𝑗,𝑚) ∗ 𝑇[𝑀𝑊ℎ𝑟])-L (5) CF is the capacity factor and was assumed to be 30% but more optimistic estimates in future production capabilities could reach near 40%. The capacity factor recognizes that the source of energy is intermittent according to periods of low wind speed and at the same time not all the wind energy produced can be on the grid if the electric demand is low. Cost of electricity produced is presumed to be $50 per MWhr as previous studies have shown the cost of production to be between $20-70 MW/hr in the last few years (Tegen et al. 2013). The low end reflects tax payer subsidy contributions so the $50 is a good middle estimate. The transmission fee charge depends on the region of the electric oversight but on average wind farms are charged between $2 to $12 MWhr-1 to put their electric generation on the grid (Fagan et al. 2012). Land Use fees range between $2-10 k per year per turbine OR up to 2% in annual gross revenue from the park. For this study, I assume a transmission cost of $5 MWhr-1 and a land lease estimate of $4,000 per year per turbine. 165 Proposed climatology of crop roughness and surface tillage on annual electric production and 30-yr lifetime of the wind farm I use the roughness information from the three speed classes and extrapolate from the departures in daily net income from the plowed soil category compared among the PBL schemes and the wind speed classes to a monthly change in revenue (Rmonth): 𝑅𝑚𝑜𝑛𝑡ℎ(𝑖,𝑗,𝑚) = ∑30 𝑛=1 𝑅𝑑𝑎𝑦(𝑖,𝑗𝑚) (6) and then from a monthly production to a weighted yearly production 𝑛 𝑖 𝑅𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟(𝑗,𝑚) = ∑12 𝑛=1(𝑅𝑚𝑜𝑛𝑡ℎ(𝑖,𝑗,𝑚) ∗ 12) (7) where ni is the number of months in the year when there is a given wind speed category (e.g. 10 m s-1). The categories of the months were determined by equating the model geostrophic speed categories to approximate monthly averaged hub height wind speeds from the Iowa Energy Center wind resource maps (available http://www.iowaenergycenter.org/renewable-energy/wind/iowa-wind-maps/). at: For this climatological year average wind speeds range from 4 out of the 10 geostrophic speed classes tested in the model (6 m/s, 8 m/s, 10 m/s and 12 m/s). A summation of the daily electrical production for each PBL scheme and ensemble average for each roughness category is then combined to a weighted annual accumulated production using the climatological wind categories for the corresponding months. However, since not all tillage and roughness elements are uniformly distributed over a calendar year each of the climatological wind categories are combined with variations in surface roughness representing changes in crop tillage and crop type during a full calendar year. This approach is quite basic for making the assumption of no diabatic heat, moisture effects on the crop during the growing season. However, I wish to illustrate a plausible method in assessing power loss/gain from crop management decisions in annual and 30-yr impacts. A variety of tillage and crop type methods are 166 explored corresponding to the surface roughness categories tested. For each tillage/crop condition shown in Table 3, I calculate each PBL scheme and ensemble mean weighted production for the climatological year. Several combinations of tillage and crop type are tested from Table 3 but Figure 2 demonstrates the seasonal change in roughness and wind speed that is explored for corn and soybean production. The annual production for these tillage-crop type categories is then combined into a 30-yr comparison of tillage and crop-type rotation sequences on total production and I assume the same annual wind climatology in the 30-yr period. Table 4 depicts a sampling of possible crop rotation and tillage methods that are tested for the impact on power production. The 30-year period is chosen to equally divide both two and three-year crop rotation patterns equally although I recognize that wind farms may be operational only for a period of up to 20 or 25 years. In addition to the summation of the net yearly income I also subtract a modest yearly factor $40,000 /yr for Operation and Maintenance fees and other miscellaneous costs (e.g. warranty, insurance, administrative costs) per turbine. I assume that not all turbines would need maintenance so other factors could be included in the O and M costs. The lifetime revenue totals are then given for the various crop rotation and tillage options in the 30-yr period to guide marketing decisions and land contracts for the siting of future wind farms. 4. Results PBL scheme inter-comparison of wind speed profiles Baseline plowed soil surface I present snapshots of the nocturnal wind profile for all the PBL schemes and the ensemble mean for a gestrophic wind of 6 m s-1 and a smooth plowed soil surface (z0=0.005m). In the onset of the evening in Figure 2a, all the PBL schemes except YSU indicate a strong reduction of surface wind speed likely from PBL surface coupling of sensible heat flux. The low-level maximum in speed is occurring at the 80-m hub height and Banta et al. (2005?) confirms this jet pattern does occur in the CASES-99 dataset. The jet continues strengthening throughout the night in all the local-closure 167 PBL schemes with maximum speeds of 7.5 m s-1 (Figure 2b, c) whereas for YSU the peak speed (6.5 m s-1) is absent until after the other schemes depict the jet descending (Figure 2d). Another aspect of the jet evolution demonstrates that the MYNN2.5 scheme more closely follows the elevated YSU jet development a few hours before sunrise. A jet-like profile at the turbine blade top height (120 m) is retained among the YSU and MYNN2.5 in the early morning even up to 2 hours after sunrise (Figure 2e). The last frame of the simulation around 1100 LST (Figure 2f) depicts a uniform surface layer profile according to the onset of the new daytime mixed layer and so there is at most a 0.5 m s-1 difference in wind speed between schemes. At faster geostrophic speeds (Vg= 10 m s-1, Figure not shown), we observe a higher development of the nocturnal jet as confirmed in previous studies by Davies (2000) and Pichugina et al. (2005). The YSU jet maximum occurs at least 500 m above the surface such that it will have little influence on the turbine layer wind speeds for the nighttime. Among the other schemes the jet forms around 150 m, slightly higher than what level applies to the turbine blade rotor top travel pass. As in the lower geostrophic category of 6 m/s, the QNSE and MYJ for the 10 m/s category are the earliest in the onset of the jet and also the quickest to decay. There is a similar lateral shift of the jet a few hours before sunrise to shortly after sunrise in the MYNN2.5 as presented in panel Figure 2d. I present in Table 6 the mean and maximum power characteristics for the geostrophic speed categories among the individual PBL schemes and the ensemble mean. For slow speeds (near or slightly above the turbine cut-in speed) the local schemes of the QNSE and MYNN2.5 simulate the highest mean power content for the 48-hr period. As geostrophic speed increases above 10 m s-1 there is a transition from the highest power generation among the local MYJ-closure schemes to the non-local closure scheme (YSU). Less difference in calculated power among the PBL schemes is illustrated at the geostrophic speed category of 16 m s-1 or near a hub-height rated speed of 13 m s-1. A similar pattern is depicted among instantaneous maximum power; at low speeds the local closure schemes depict a stronger nocturnal jet than for the non-local scheme. The variability in maximum power is also reduced at higher geostrophic 168 speeds. Although the local-closure schemes forecast a larger power resource it can be expected that a lower position of the nocturnal jet of the MYJ, QNSE, and MYNN2.5 will have increased speed and directional shear than for the higher position jet in the YSU (Table not shown). The MYJ and QNSE have similar shear exponents for all speed categories and these are well above the wind industry threshold of avoidance of 0.2. The YSU only has high shear when boundary top wind speeds are low, whereas the MYNN2.5 features a between range of the high shear of the other local schemes and the non-local YSU. A similar pattern of maximum wind directional shear among the PBL schemes follows the behavior of the shear exponent. The most negative directional shear not displayed illustrates the least impact in most of the PBL schemes except for QNSE at moderate to high wind speed categories. There is evidence of 15-20° of vertical backing of winds with height during the breakup of the morning temperature inversion. Roughness change to the wind profile Figure 3 (a-f) indicates the differences in the nighttime profile for no-till, soybean, and corn type of roughness. The profile charts are focused on the rotor layer depth to better depict changes in wind speed caused by roughness. In the early evening (Figure 3a) the profiles among the local closure schemes are similar shape and intensity of speed. The YSU depicts a more linear shaping and therefore weaker wind shear within the rotor layer whereas the other schemes show indications of the accelerating jet beginning. Near midnight in Figure 3b a bulge in the profile begins to form in the local closure schemes (MYJ, QNSE, and MYNN2.5) and this jet core is displace upward about 20 m for a corn surface as compared to the no-till roughness. As the jet matures and reaches max extent the local schemes depict a 0.5 to 1.0 m s-1 reduction in speed for soybean and corn surfaces as compared to the no-till in the lower half of the rotor depth. However there is a 0.5 m s-1 enhancement in speed from corn to no-till at and above the jet max for winds at the top portion of the blade travel, particularly in the MYNN2.5 scheme. In Figure 3d during the descent of the jet there is little to no enhancement of the 169 rotor-layer wind with increased roughness and instead speed deficits of 0.5 to 1.0 m s-1 are found in the MYNN, QNSE, and YSU schemes and close to 2 m s-1 reductions occur with the MYJ. Near the completion of the breakup of the nighttime jet profile (Figure 3e), there is consistency among all schemes showing 0.5 to 1.0 m s-1 reduction in speeds for soybean and corn surfaces with respect to no-till at the lower half of the rotor with still some enhanced or less departures in speed in the upper blade pass height. Shortly before the return of a uniform daytime mixed -layer the schemes depict near-uniform reductions of 0.5 to 0.75 m s-1 in speed for all levels in the rotor height as the roughness increases from a no-till surface to a corn canopy (Figure 3f). PBL-scheme sensitivity to surface roughness and thermal stratification The effect of surface roughness on wind power is determined by comparing the plowed soil normalized power to select cases of roughness at certain speeds. The roughness categories examined are for no-till surface (z0=0.025 m), a soybean canopy (z0=0.075 m) and a corn canopy (z0=0.25 m). Instead of determining the effect through time height profiles, I indicate the normalized power change according to the turbine layer Richardson number (Ri). All the panels of Figure 4 depict high daytime scatter of enhanced or decreased power resource so I will focus the results on the nighttime period. In Figure 4a no-till condition depicts the highest spread of normalized power among the PBL schemes. This occurs during the nighttime when turbine-layer temperature gradient supports a moderately stable stratification (0.5<Ri <1.5). The QNSE depicts the highest power reduction (45%) whereas the ensemble mean is about 15%. Power departures from the plowed soil condition are reduced for strongly stable conditions (Ri >1.5) when the turbine layer wind is underneath the influence of the jetting profile. The pattern is similar to the soybean type roughness in Figure 4b except that the slightly higher crop surface reduces strongly stable conditions in the rotor layer (Ri near 0.5). This leads to nearly a 60% in power simulation among the QNSE scheme and the ensemble mean is depicting a 30% reduction in the wind resource. For the corn-like roughness of 0.25 m the PBL ensemble indicates 30-45% power reduction as there is equally strong influence 170 of surface roughness among all the PBL schemes (Figure 4c). Except for the MYNN2.5 the nocturnal power differences occur when the turbine–layer stability is weakly to moderately stable (0<Ri<0.5). As geostrophic speed is increased the power reduction indicates weaker rotor-depth stratification (Ri<0.25) for much of the night. For no-till the mean reduction is about 30% (Figure 4d), for soybean this is similar (Figure 4e) whereas in Figure 4f the rougher surface of corn indicates up to a 45% power depletion from the plowed soil condition. The daytime no-till surface depicts a slight improvement to the power resource for the ensemble mean near 30% whereas for soybean this improvement is reduced to 15% for weakly unstable conditions (-1.0<Ri<0) and supports a 15-30% deficit for moderately unstable conditions (Ri<-1.0) in the turbine rotor. For the corn surface the daytime energy resources is depleted by 30 to 50% for weakly or moderately unstable conditions and this pattern is similar to the nighttime power reduction. As speeds increase to near the rated turbine speed of 13 m s-1 (Figure not shown) there is less variability to the power difference and the lack of strong stability or instability indicates a simplified linear effect with surface roughness as compared to the non-linear impacts noted for moderately unstable and stable stratification. The no-till surface indicates weak power enhancement (15%), the soybean surface, indeterminate, and the corn surface would yet promote reductions of at least 20%, and near 40% for the MYNN2.5 scheme. These differences illustrate the complex role of thermal stratification and roughness on changing the wind power resource. Idealized roughness impact on electrical production I next present the 48-hr normalized differences for all roughness categories and accumulated power in kWhr for the three turbine conditions (Vg=6 m/s: near cut-in speed; Vg=10 m/s, slightly less than rated speed; Vg=16 m/s, at or above the rated speed). At low speeds (Figure 5a) the MYJ is the most bullish on short tillage elements (mulch till, short grass) on boosting the power resource by 2,000 to 3,000 kWhr, whereas the QNSE depicts the highest power drop of 2,500 to 3,500 kWhr for tall crop canopies (corn, sorghum). The ensemble variability is also larger for short tillage 171 elements than for tall crop canopies. For speeds less than the rated speed there is higher production by as much of 8,000 kW hr for all tillage elements (mulch-till to no-till) and an equal deficit of electrical generation for very tall sorghum canopies (Figure 5b). As depicted in the turbine-layer stratification plots of normalized power differences, the higher wind speed near the rated speed in Figure 5c supports minimal benefit (< 5,000kWhr) for low tillage surfaces and for the highest roughness element the power production is reduced by 10,000 to15,000 kWhr. Taking the information from the 48-hr power departures to plowed soil for the same speed categories and determining the daily income spread there is a $50-$100 per turbine enhancement in power on mulched to low roughness surfaces (all tillage practices) as shown in Figure 6. A soybean surface offers less power depletion of under $40/day and corn about $40 to $75/day deficit as compared to a plowed soil surface. The largest power deficits occur for the higher 2 out of 3 speed categories of 10 m s-1 and 16 m s-1 in Figure 6b and Figure 6c. Using the climatology weighted wind speed over the calendar year (Figure 6d) anywhere from $10,000 to $30,000 per turbine of increased revenue is plausible if a landowner/crop producer would maintain a mulched soil surface over the calendar year. For a soybean surface the cost margin difference would be about ± $5,000 per turbine whereas if corn was raised at left un-harvested over an entire year the additional roughness would decrease power sales by $10,000 to $30,000 from the plowed soil condition. However, because not all roughness categories or wind speeds are uniform throughout the growing season I next present the results with the combined wind climatology and seasonal changes in roughness. Crop tillage management strategies and their impact on wind power Following the example of Figure 2, I present appropriate seasonal changes in roughness and the corresponding impact on the wind resource for the Iowa climatology year. Electrical production is the least for scenarios that begin a growing season with 172 plowed smooth soil as shown in Figure 7a. The baseline-planting scenario for corn on a plowed soil would be about $85,000 per year. The highest energy production ($110,000) is related to a short mulch surface before planting. No-till practices follow in between the plowed and short-tilled mulch strategies. Corn planted on plowed/mulched soil indicates about $5,000-$7,000 less electric production per turbine than for soybean cultivated on the same soil or tillage surface. For the no-till comparison between corn and soy this difference increases to about $10,000 in lost revenue. Over a 30-hr lifetime of the wind farm there are again three main regimes: (1) low production scenarios (mixed rotation sequences of corn/soy over plowed ground), (2) maximum production scenarios (low roughness mulch under all corn-soy rotation), and (3) intermediate benefit/loss of electrical production (no-till and mulch combinations with corn/soy rotation). Common tillage and crop rotation are indicated by the last two categories on the right side of Figure 7b. Corn planted in mulch followed by a no-till year of soybeans is about as favorable a scenario of planting no-till soybeans continuously. Additionally a sequence of corn planted in mulch followed by another year of no-till corn and then a year of no-till soybeans offers about the same benefit of planting soybeans in no-till continuously. Therefore, the common tillage and crop rotation methods used by agricultural producers at least do not deplete the wind resource as largely as for corn cultivated on no-till continuously. The various mulch practices illustrate upwards of $400,000 to $800,000 in enhanced energy revenue per turbine in a 30-yr installation period of the wind farm. In locations where soil erosion is not a strong environmental concern, wind operators may encourage crop producers in reducing field residue heights during the off-season. Common land rentals for turbines are from $2,000 to $10,000 and/or up to 2% of the annual revenue from the wind farm. For a potential increase in annual revenue of up to $30,000 per turbine wind farm operators may consider offering a higher lease return (a few additional $1,000 /turbine or another 1-2% addition in gross revenue) to land owners who have turbines installed on cropland and who practice short mulch tillage. 173 5. Concluding remarks In the last two sections of the results, I present a combination of changes in surface roughness and wind speed according to the growing season and a climatological wind map for the state of Iowa. In the summer, hub-height wind speeds have the lowest speeds for the entire year. Although a tall corn crop is grown during this period, there is less power deficit in the generally weak synoptic flow months of July and August as compared to the fall or spring months with strongly forced synoptic systems. What is important for wind operators to consider is requesting agricultural producers to practice moderate tillage methods to support a horizontal mulch cover to the soil. In both the day and night there is an anticipated power benefit by increasing hub height speeds by 0.5 to 1.0 m s-1. The longer period in the fall that a crop remains un-harvested there is an increased possibility of lost power revenue because hub height winds are on average at or slightly below the rated speed of most operational scale turbines. No-till practices offer some increased power benefit for both yearly and a 30-year lifetime of a wind farm, however mulched tillage would be the most favorable to harnessing the wind resource. Strategies like those suggested here could be expanded on and refined as more realistic parameterized crop growth effects within a meteorological model are provided. The current study has assumed crop heat and water fluxes are negligible but this would only be true in the few weeks leading to harvest when the crop is has lost significant moisture. I have not provided a seasonal transition in temperature and moisture profiles to better illustrate the concepts that are raised in these simulations. A full 3-D version of seasonal changes in crop roughness, phenology, and other time variant characteristics (as in WRF-crop) would be more suitable to reinforce or clarify the claims raised in this simplified conceptual scaling study. Any modeling study should receive careful scrutiny with available measurements and more atmospheric profile measurements of wind speed and temperature are necessary to improve understanding of linked crop canopy and PBL processes. Acknowledgments 174 I recognize several contributions from Moti Segal and Gene Takle in the early stages of beginning the project. 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Combust. 88:255–277. doi: 10.1007/s10494-011-9359-7 178 Figure 1 (a) rated power curve for the GE 1.5 MW SLE and XLE turbine and (b) calculated power coefficient using the GE 1.5 MW SLE power curve 179 C-plow C-mulch C-no-till S-plow S-mulch S-no-till 14 0.3 12 0.25 10 0.2 8 Surface roughness, z0 (m) Geostrophic wind speed class (m/s) Wind category 0.15 6 0.1 4 0.05 2 0 0 Jan Feb March April May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Figure 2. Seasonal changes in wind speed category determined from monthly average wind speed maps from the Iowa Energy Center and changes in roughness according to a typical field tillage and planting schedule for corn and soybean with plowed soil, mulch till, and no-till surfaces during the off-season. 180 Figure 3. Nightly progression of the low-level wind speed profile for the YSU (cyan) MYJ (red) QNSE (green), MYNN2.5 (blue) and mean of the schemes (black). Snapshots correspond to 2000 (LST) in (a), 2200 (LST) in (b), 0200 (LST) in (c), 0700 (LST) in (d), 0900 (LST) in (e), and 1100 (LST) in (f) . 181 Figure 4. As in Figure 3 but zoomed in on the 40 to 120-m rotor layer surface (solid thick line), soybean surface (thick dashed line), no-tilled surface (solid thick line), soybean surface (thick dashed line), and corn surface (thin line with X stiple). 182 Figure 5. Normalized power change from the plowed soil condition according to the rotor layer stability for a geostrophic speeds of 6 m s-1 for (a) no-till, (b) soybean, and (c) maize roughness and for a geostrophic speed of 10 m s -1 for (d) notill, (e) soybean, and (c) maize PBL and ensemble colored boxes same as thick colored lines of Figure 3. 183 Figure 6. Normalized power difference from plowed soil condition and accumulated power difference for a 48-hr period to analyze PBL scheme sensitivity to roughness for geostrophic wind speed categories of (a) 6 m s-1, (b) 10 m s-1, and (c) 16 m s-1 . Standard deviations of the PBL ensemble averaged quantities are denoted with black error bars. 184 Figure 7. Daily net revenue change from plowed soil condition vs. roughness for each PBL scheme and the ensemble mean for speed categories of (a) 6 m s-1, (b) 10 m s-1, and (c) 16 m s-1 and annual net revenue change for (d) climatological wind year. The standard deviations of the PBL ensemble averaged quantities are denoted with black error bars. 185 Figure 8. Combination scenarios of (a) annual revenue for the climatological wind year for multiple crop type corn (C) and soybean (S) and for tillage methods (plow, mulch, and no-till) and for (b) the 30-yr lifetime of the wind farm for various sequence differences of crop rotation and tilling methods as in (a). The standard deviation of the PBL ensemble averaged quantities are denoted with black error bars. 186 Table 1. Average (maximum) hub height speeds for each PBL scheme and the ensemble averages for geostrophic speed categories from 6 m s-1 to 16 m s-1. Hub-height speed average (maximum) [m s-1] Wind speed category Vg=6 m/s Vg=8 m/s Vg=10 m/s Vg=12 m/s Vg=14 m/s Vg=16 m/s YSU 5.1 (5.5) 6.3 (6.8) 7.7 (8.3) 9.1 (9.7) 10.7 (11.3) 12.0 (12.7) MYJ 5.1 (6.5) 6.5 (8.5) 7.9 (9.6) 8.9 (10.6) 10.4 (12.1) 11.4 (13.3) QNSE 6.0 (8.0) 6.5 (8.3) 7.9 (8.9) 8.4 (9.5) 9.8 (10.8) 10.6 (11.6) MYNN2.5 6.0 (7.4) 7.3 (8.9) 8.7 (10.1) 9.6 (11.2) 10.6 (11.8) 11.5 (12.4) PBL_MEAN 5.5 (6.9) 6.7 (8.1) 8.0 (9.2) 9.0 (10.3) 10.3 (11.5) 11.4 (12.6) Table 2. Comparison of model surface roughness (z0) to characteristic roughness type in a cropland agricultural setting. z0 (m) 0.005 0.0075 0.01 0.025 0.05 0.075 0.1 0.25 0.5 Surface roughness type plowed smooth soil plowed mulch soil short grass no-till soybean canopy maize canopy sweet sorghum 187 Table 3. Average power (a) and maximum power (b) for the 48-hr simulations for each PBL scheme and speed category for the baseline smooth soil condition (z0=0.005 m). a) P_avg (MW) Vg=6 m/s Vg=8 m/s Vg =10 m/s Vg =12 m/s Vg= 14 m/s Vg=16 m/s YSU 0.10 0.19 0.38 0.63 0.90 0.99 MYJ 0.11 0.23 0.42 0.59 0.84 0.94 QNSE 0.19 0.25 0.42 0.50 0.76 0.88 MYNN2.5 0.18 0.33 0.55 0.71 0.88 0.97 AVG 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.9 STDEV 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 b) P_max (MW) Vg=6 m/s Vg=8 m/s Vg =10 m/s Vg =12 m/s Vg= 14 m/s Vg=16 m/s YSU 0.13 0.23 0.44 0.74 0.99 1.07 MYJ 0.21 0.53 0.71 0.90 1.05 1.08 QNSE 0.44 0.44 0.60 0.71 0.94 1.02 MYNN2.5 0.32 0.60 0.83 0.99 1.03 1.06 AVG 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.1 STDEV 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 188 Table 4. Tillage crop type combination for three tillage methods (plow, mulch, notill) and two crops corn (C) and soybean (S) to evaluate the effect of seasonal change of roughness on the annual production of wind power. Tillage before/after planting for one year of production plow- C- plow plow- C- no-till plow-C-mulch plow- S-no-till plow- S- mulch plow -S-plow mulch- C- no-till mulch- C- mulch mulch- C- plow mulch- S-no-till mulch-S-mulch mulch-S-plow no-till- C-no-till no-till- C-mulch no-till- C-plow no-till- S- no-till no-till-S-mulch no-till- S-plow 189 Table 5. Tillage and crop-type combinations for two or three year sequences corresponding to the effect of roughness over an assumed 30-yr lifetime of the wind farm. Tillage/crop rotation sequence for 30-yr lifetime of wind farm C-plow S- plow C-S plow C-C-S plow C-mulch S -mulch C-S mulch C-C-S mulch C - no till S -no-till C-S no-till C-C-S no-till C-mulch S_no-till C-mulch C-S-no-till 190 CHAPTER 6. GENERAL CONCLUSIONS General Discussion This dissertation has highlighted evidence for wind turbine and wind farm modification of crop microclimate from the CWEX measurements and has also proposed plausible but idealized changes in wind power due to crop management and tillage practices. In Chapter 2, I demonstrated that turbine wakes reduce daytime speed at some distance tens of D downstream and enhance nighttime speeds for several locations downwind of the turbine line depending on the strength of the ambient surface stratification. The combination surface flux and LiDAR profiling measurements indicate flux perturbations when turbine wakes may be directly overhead of the surface but not intersecting the surface or when the wake turbulence has reached the crop canopy. In conditions where a turbine wake is not indicated over the surface and yet the turbines are operating I alluded to the importance of the perturbation pressure field between the upwind and downwind side of each turbine. Similar to a shelterbelt, the wind turbines provide an obstacle to the flow and therefore perturbations caused by the lower pressure on the back side of the rotor may enhance speed or TKE at the nearest downwind station. The effect of the perturbation pressure on the line of turbine or even an individual turbine is likely indicated in recent Ka-band radar simulations of wind speed for a grouping of turbines (Hirth and Schroeder 2013). As demonstrated by Wang et al. (2001) for a conceptual framework of windbreak flow, the turbines deflect air that is not passing through the rotor and so the depletion of momentum in the wake is balanced by an over-speeding of air around the edges of the turbines. Likewise, the conservation of momentum determined from the wind break studies requires that the loss of momentum to drag, electric production, and other turbine inefficiencies causing friction must be balanced by the generation of turbulence. This conceptual pattern additionally alludes to the presence of convergence/divergence for various distances downstream of turbines. If for both in a dry and wet year the CWEX- 10/11 measurements indicate similar flow perturbations for the first station north of the 191 turbine line, then it is very likely aerodynamic changes to the wind field are attributed to both the turbine line and each wake zone behind a turbine. Additional variations of flow aerodynamics by turbine wind speed, wind direction and stability with both surface and LiDAR profiling data should be jointly analyzed in detecting wake impacts on crops. In Chapter 3, I addressed the modification of crop energy and CO2 fluxes by wind turbines and wind farms and presented a refined period of characteristics day and night periods for different turbine wake positions from the first downwind tower. These positions lined up favorably from the determination of the wake wind direction windows presented in Chapter 1. Daytime fluxes of water vapor appear slightly increased on the downwind side of the turbines, and the turbines also enhance the downward flux of CO 2, presupposing that there is increased drawdown into the canopy (higher GPP). Daytime heat flux does not respond to the turbine-scale of mixing but is rather perturbed by larger boundary eddies especially when winds are near the turbine cut-in speed. At night the sensible heat is directly influenced by the turbine mixing of above canopy air and the turbine mixing releases higher than ambient CO2 from the crop (larger Re). This chapter also revealed some of the subtleties of distance from the turbine and the lateral position within the wake on surface modification of the flux. For the case of wind direction of flow between two turbine wakes the measurements corroborate previous field studies of higher turbulence intensity on the edges of the wake than in the center. The study also demonstrated the importance of measuring crop fluxes on the same managed cropland for both the upwind and downwind side of a line of turbines. Field-scale heterogeneities particularly in a dry year amplify differences in the fluxes as the CWEX team observed high flux variability in the 2011 year with three downwind stations in two differently managed corn fields. The statistical analyses of the downwind-upwind differences in flux suggest strong confidence that there is higher nighttime respiration north of the turbine line than for the daytime assimilation. The daytime and nighttime partitions of the CO2 energy flux 192 demonstrate slightly lower differences that what is reported for flux differences between differently one irrigated and one dry-land corn crop (e.g. Suyker et al. 2004). However the plausible changes to the flux do not demonstrate a substantial yield difference. Additional measurements of the in-canopy biophysical processes are needed to better address the question if and how turbines and large wind farms change crop yield. Sampling of plant biomass and recording of canopy leaf area and other bio-physiological parameters (e.g. biomass wet/dry weight, chemical composition) would help determine if in-canopy CO2 concentrations are significantly different on the downwind side of turbines. It is understood however that as a C4 crop, corn would not benefit from increased concentrations in CO2. Rather soybean, which has a C3 pathway in its photosynthetic production, may be responsive to elevated concentration levels created by turbines and wind farms. Recent projects in the SOYFACE experiment (Leakey et al. 2009; Moran et al. 2009; Rascher et al. 2010) are determining the role of warmer canopy temperatures and elevated CO2 concentrations above a canopy and the overall impact demonstrates less fertilization benefit to the crop with warming nighttime temperatures. In Chapter 4, I expanded upon the analysis techniques raised in previous two chapters and applied those metrics to determine the air temperature and heat flux differences between one or two lines of turbines. Nearly all downwind towers report the same average flux or temperature difference as those from LES predictions and wind tunnel modeling. There are zones of enhanced difference (a near doubling of flux from the ambient) which indicate the flux tower measures the edge of a turbine wake. A high zone of speed shear along the wake is also dependent on surface stratification in which some daytime events the wake has meandered away from the centerline direction but may also intersect the surface within a few D downstream of the turbine line. Conversely at night the wake may maintain its characteristic swirling vortex in the crosswind direction and yet perturb surface momentum and other scalars in weakly stable situations. During events of strong surface cooling occurs the turbine wake remains lofted above the surface. However, if there is evidence of vertical wind shear in the upwind profile the decoupling of surface and low-level flow induces 20-30° of veering of 193 the wind direction with height and the wake may exhibit these shared characteristics. The strength of the hub-height wind speed demonstrates an important relationship to the characteristics of the wake expansion and the amount of turbulence generation within the wake. Nighttime perturbations of temperature or heat flux at the near wake tower were repeated at the firs flux tower north of two turbine lines. A near doubling of ambient flux in this location is reported slightly higher than the existing results from prior field and modeling studies. The conceptual results from LES and wind tunnels describe a decrease in scalar flux for a deep-wind farm effect of wind passing through several lines of wind turbines. I offered a preliminary scope of CWEX measurements for SE wind direction, which indicates a plausible pattern of reduced flux differences when multiple turbine wakes are passing through several turbine lines. Additional measurements are needed within the middle or far end of the wind farm to justify this claim. The patchwork changes in roughness and scalar flux over the study area were an additional impetus to the study of cropland management on wind power as presented in Chapter 5. I simulated daytime reductions in power for tall tillage or crop surfaces and only sight improvements in the nighttime wind resource when the jet maximum was located near the hub height or top of the blade travel pass (e.g. 120 m). Low surface roughness as in the case of a mulched surface provides an optimal agricultural management to increase both daytime and nighttime power resources. Not all roughness categories occur continuously over the calendar year and therefore during the summer when hub height speed is near the cut-in, a tall crop depletes the wind resource much less than during the off season with hub height speeds approaching a rated speed for a given turbine power specification. Wind operators may strategize for a boost in power production shortly after crop harvest. No-till management offers some nighttime enhancement to wind power but a slight daytime reduction. Wind operators could increase land lease payments by a few thousand dollars per year per turbine if each turbine would have an increase in yearly revenue of $15,000 to $30,000 per year from the land-owner applying short height, mulched tillage. Such savings over the lifetime of the wind farm may equate to several hundred thousand if not millions of dollars per 194 turbine. This revenue short fall/profit is comparable magnitude to the expected power saving over the lifetime of the wind farm when errors in wind speed forecasting are reduced to within <1%. However, this conceptual model evaluates only a typical diurnal cycle for fallseason profiles of temperature and moisture and large scale forcing is absent. PBL top wind speeds are less ‘static’ and depend on the type of synoptic system and season of the year. A more realistic measure of roughness perturbation could be applied as in the method of Hacker (2010) or in the full 3-D WRF crop which may improve seasonal roughness variation and crop-based heat and water transports (C.A. Anderson 2011, personal communication. The importance of scale to the surface becomes critical in higher resolution forecast of wind speed to improve the wind-energy resource characterization. However, another realistic factor must be considered in this roughness parameterization on the wind-farm scale. As mentioned in Chapter 1, the variable structure in the leading line of turbine wakes is important to determine power departures at succeeding downwind lines of turbines. The aforementioned power drop (e.g. Barthelmie et al. 2010) at the 4th turbine line within a large wind farm may be reduced or shifted to a different line when wake flow is parameterized according to ambient-scale turbulence that has appropriate patchwork changes in roughness and scalar flux for different crop types. These types of field heterogeneities could be applied to existing LES and finite element parameterizations of wind turbine wake flow over a large wind farm. Nevertheless, the increasingly more complex representation of turbine wakes and wind farm aerodynamics require validation by measurements. Recommendations for Future Research From the results gained in the CWEX-10/11 studies, the team should develop standards in the deployment and the post-experiment data post processing techniques. Any additional CWEX-related experiment should have consistent instrumentation and all like-measurements should be placed at the same height. In 2011 the daytime results 195 indicate a stronger canopy effect on turbulence, heat flux, and moisture flux from placing the sonic anemometers at 4.5 m instead of the 6.5-m height used in 2010. Absolute differences in temperature are slightly higher for the non-aspirated sensors used in 2010 for the NLAE stations than for the aspirated sensors provided by NCAR for the 2011 deployment. Water vapor flux measurements should be determined from a LiCor 7500 gas analyzer or similar product. Krypton hygrometers are sensitive to canopy dew and the high moisture content above a crop canopy and there is possible electrical noise interference within the wind-farm environment. Perhaps in future experiments the sonic anemometer could be placed higher (at 8 m) to measure less canopy turbulence and instead more contributions from turbine-turbulence. However, the higher displacement would require a substantial increase in horizontal fetch. Unfortunately, a uniform fetch of 800 m upwind of the reference station is difficult to control with mixed crop rotation practices surrounding a particular parcel of land in which measurements are desired. In addition, an upwind fetch from the downwind flux station would require the position of that tower to possibly be in another field that does not have the same management practices as the upwind station. Another consideration is the time interval of measurement sampling and output archived in CWEX data sets. In 2010, 5-minute averaged quantities were saved for all the temperature and wind speed probes and the 20-Hz data was archived for the sonic and gas analyzers. In 2011, 1-Hz information was retained for all the sensors except for the sonic and gas analyzer, which output at 20 Hz. There is a wide range of temporal scales to consider from the CWEX datasets. In Chapter 2 and 3, 15-minute and 30minute flux calculations were developed to correspond to the aerodynamic and scalar flux variations during the experiment. These large-averaged temporal variations in flux did not give an adequate depiction of rapid turbine adjustments to changes in wind speed and direction. In Chapter 4, I used the 10-minute averages to better collocate changes in the surface flux to turbine SCADA information also collected in 10-minute intervals. This partitioning of the data provides a larger pool of samples for the statistical testing of heat flux and temperature differences among three stratification regimes (daytime- 196 neutral, daytime-unstable, nighttime-stable). However, the high frequency 20-Hz data may further unlock clues to the spatial and temporal variation of turbine-turbulence as dependent on the aforementioned factors of ambient hub-height wind speed, wind direction, and thermal stratification. A case study period of the overnight hours of 27-28 August in 2010 (unpublished) reveals that turbine turbulence kinetic energy and heat flux perturbations are rapidly dissipated shortly after the beginning of a 57-minute shutdown period. The turbines were brought offline due to lightning detection 65 miles northwest of the wind farm. A return to a near doubling of the downward heating and 75% increase in TKE was noted at the northernmost flux tower (NLAE 4) for the rest of the night when the turbines were taken out of curtailment. Other opportunities of investigation of the differences in downwind-upwind fluxes of turbines on vs. off are available from the nine day shutdown of the wind farm during a transmission upgrade from 26 Jul to 5 Aug 2010. There remains a substantial gap in knowledge of boundary layer scale phenomenon (e.g. ramping events and intermittency of nocturnal turbulence) and the overall implications on wind power and turbine reliability. Profile tall tower and remote sensing measurements are necessary tools in wind farm research. Tall tower measurements facilitate duplicate research main thrust from CWEX in optimizing crop and wind. The data provide understanding of turbine wake aerodynamics, which are tied to the wind turbine and wind-farm impact on crops. Additionally the profile data enhance knowledge of the ambient wind resource in which turbine wind speed, turbulence, and thermal stratification are linked to exchanges of momentum and scalars between the PBL and crop canopies or soil/tillage surfaces. The benefit of the tall tower profile measurements calibrating PBL schemes and other high-resolution simulations of turbine wakes leads to overall understanding of surface layer, boundary layer, and plausible mesoscale/synoptic-scale connections to wind farm flow. An improved science of the atmospheric interactions between crop and wind power not only decreases error in wind forecasts but also benefits operational-scale forecasts for many industry 197 venues. The insights gained from CWEX-related studies provide a gateway to learning about the complex energy discontinuities and other transient properties of the PBL. References Barthelmie RJ, Pryor SC, Frandsen ST, et al. (2010) Quantifying the Impact of Wind Turbine Wakes on Power Output at Offshore Wind Farms. J. Atmos. Oceanic. Tech. 27:1302–1317. doi: 10.1175/2010JTECHA1398.1. Hacker JP (2010) Spatial and Temporal Scales of Boundary Layer Wind Predictability in Response to Small-Amplitude Land Surface Uncertainty. J. Atmos. Sci. 67:217–233. doi: 10.1175/2009JAS3162.1. Hirth BD, Schroeder JL (2013) Documenting Wind Speed and Power Deficits behind a Utility-Scale Wind Turbine. 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