Chapter 1: Exploring Data AP Stats, 2010-2011 Questionnaire “Please take a few minutes to answer the following questions. I am collecting data for my doctoral dissertation, which is on characteristics of American private school students. After you complete the questionnaire, please return it in the enclosed SASE. Thank you for your participation.” Definitions, pp. 4-6 Individuals and variables Categorical and quantitative On questionnaire, what are the individuals and what are the variables? Which variables are categorical and which are quantitative? Distribution Practice From Questionnaire: #11 (dot plot) #12 (pie chart) #13 (bar chart) A really nice bar graph (I made this myself, so just nod approvingly): Percent of Total Education Level in U.S. (adults age 25+) 50 40 33.1 25.4 30 20 25.6 15.9 10 0 No high school degree High school 1-3 years of 4+ years of only college college Years of Schooling Bar Graph, Figure 1.1 (p. 9) Pie Chart, Figure 1.1 (p. 9) Practice Exercises 1.1, 1.2, 1.4, p. 7. Dot Plot, Figure 1.3 (p. 11) Interpreting the Dotplot Shape, center, spread Look for overall patterns and striking deviations from that pattern. Outliers Individual observation(s) that falls outside the overall pattern on a graph of a distribution. In the next section, we will learn a mathematical rule of thumb for deeming an observation an outlier. For now, we’ll just talk in general terms. Stemplots Sometimes called “stem and leaf plots.” Useful when there are a lot of data points, or the range of values is large. Dotplot? What would a dotplot look like for these data? A stemplot (Figure 1.4, p. 14) A stemplot (Figure 1.4, p. 14)—Split stems How to create a stemplot Example 1.5, p. 13 Rules of thumb: Choosing the number of stems: No magic number, but a minimum of 5 is good. Too few stems will result in a skyscraper effect, too many make a pancake graph. 10 is a good starting point. For data points with decimals, round the data so that the final digit after rounding is suitable as a leaf. Let’s try one: Exercise 1.8, p. 17 Stemplot for 1.8 (StatCrunch) Stem and Leaf Variable: MPG 2 : 113444444 2 : 5556678888888888999 3 : 0002 Another Exercise 1.9, p. 17 Homework Reading: Section 1.1 through p. 30. Exercises: 1.10 and 1.11 (pp. 17-18) Histograms The most common way to display the distribution of a quantitative variable. How to make a histogram: Example 1.6, p. 19 Read the interpretation of this graph, p. 20. Choose between 6 and 15 classes (bars on your graph) Example 1.6, p. 19 Figure 1.7, p. 20 Notice y-axis: number of values in a particular class. Notice the x-axis: It is the variable of interest. Practice Problem 1.14, p. 23 How to make a histogram with your calculator Technology Toolbox, p. 21 Just enter raw data in L1, then construct a histogram. Read this carefully tonight. Another way: Summarize the data and put in, say, L2. Put the midpoint of the class the data are in in L1. Exercise 1.14, p. 23 Now, make a stemplot for these data. Which do you prefer? Homework Reading: Through p. 34 Pay careful attention to Example 1.8, pp. 28-30: how to create an ogive. Exercise: 1.12 (p. 22) Right Skew? Practice Problems Exercises: 1.13 (p. 23) 1.17 (p. 27) Percentile Would you rather score at the 70th or 95th percentile on the SATs? If you scored at the 95th percentile, what does that mean? Ogive Probably my favorite word to say in statistics. Let’s practice saying it … Used when we would like to see the relative standing of an individual observation. Does a histogram give us this? Example 1.8, pp. 28-30 Look at the table on p. 29. The two columns on the far left could be used to create a histogram. The fourth and fifth columns are of particular importance when we want to construct an ogive. Look over these briefly to see that you know where these data come from. Steps 2 and 3: 3: Plot a point corresponding to the relative cumulative frequency in each class interval at the left endpoint of the next class interval. Example 1.8, pp. 28-30 Practice problem Exercise 1.19, p. 31 Create a frequency table. Then, create cumulative frequency and relative cumulative frequency columns. Exercise 1.19, p. 31 (Data on p. 23) Class Freq. 3-5.99 6-8.99 9-11.99 12-14.99 15-17.99 18-20.99 Rel. Cum. Cum. Freq. Freq. (%) Exercise 1.19, p. 31 Class Freq. 3-5.99 1 6-8.99 1 9-11.99 12 12-14.99 31 15-17.99 4 18-20.99 1 Rel. Cum. Cum. Freq. Freq. (%) Exercise 1.19, p. 31 Class Freq. 3-5.99 1 6-8.99 1 9-11.99 12 12-14.99 31 15-17.99 4 18-20.99 1 Rel. Cum. Cum. Freq. Freq. (%) 1 2 2 4 14 28 45 90 49 98 50 100 Relative Cum. Frequency Ogive for Exercise 1.19 100 80 60 40 20 0 3 6 9 12 15 % of people 65 or older 18 21 Time plots Used to plot the value of a variable vs. the time in was measured. Can detect seasonal variation, for instance (See Figure 1.15, p. 32) Used effectively in designed experiments. Practice problem: Exercise 1.21, p. 33 Use your calculator—the line graph function. Figure 1.15 p. 32 (Example 1.9) Time plot for Exercise 1.21 Homework Reading: pp. 37-47 Exercise: 1.29, p. 36 1.1 Quiz on Friday Probably 20-30 minutes Section 1.1 Review Problems: Displaying Distributions with Graphs Exercises, pp. 34-36: 1.23, 1.24, 1.27, 1.28, 1.30 1.2 Describing Distributions with Numbers Measuring center Measuring spread Mean, median With quartiles: Inter-quartile range Standard deviation (and variance) Range Statistical summaries Boxplots Measuring the Center of a Distribution Mean Numerical average Median Middle value in a data set, if an odd number of values, or the average of the middle two values, if an even number of values Splits the distribution exactly in half Practice Exercise 1.14, p. 23 Create a histogram using your calculator Discuss shape, center, and spread of the distribution. Calculate 1-variable statistics using your calculator. Discuss difference between the mean and median. Resistant Measure The mean cannot resist the influence of extreme observations and/or skew. The median can, however. Mean: not resistant Median: Resistant We generally prefer to use the median when dealing with skewed distributions. Powerful Numerical Summary The 5-number summary … min Q1 Median (Q2) Q3 Max … Plus mean and standard deviation The Boxplot Let’s use the data from Exercise 1.14, p. 23 to create a boxplot: Now, use your calculator to create a modified boxplot (box on page 46). Outliers Comparing Distributions Draw side-by-side boxplots to compare distributions. Exercise 1.36, p. 47 Exercise 1.36, p. 47 (Statcrunch) Column n Mean Variance Std. Dev. Median Range Min Women 18 141.05556 698.8791 26.436321 138.5 99 101 Men 20 121.25 1079.25 32.85194 114.5 117 70 Max Q1 Q3 200 126 154 187 98 143 Measuring Spread Calculating the central tendency of a distribution is only half the story. We also need to consider the spread. Quartiles and IQR The first quartile, Q1, is the median of the first half of the data. The third quartile, Q3, is the median of the second half of the data. 25th percentile 75th percentile Inter-Quartile Range: IQR=Q3 - Q1 Outliers Before, we said something is an outlier if it looked to be one. Now, we can use the IQR to create a mathematical rule: Low End: xi Q1 1.5 * IQR ? High End: xi Q3 1.5 * IQR ? Another Measure of Spread: Standard Deviation Probably the most important and mathematically useful measure of spread. Used along with mean. Like the mean, it is not a resistant measure. Calculating it (see p. 49): In your notes, write this out in words. n s 2 ( x x ) i i 1 n 1 Variance s2 Properties of Standard Deviation (p. 51) Measures spread about the mean Is greater than or equal to zero Strong skewness or a few outliers can make s very large. More on Comparing Distributions Example 1.17, p. 57 Also include numerical summaries Back-to-back stemplot: HW Reading through end of chapter Exercises: 1.40, p. 52 1.47, p. 59 Effects of a linear transformation Includes adding and/or multiplying by a constant. Example 1.15, p. 53 Xnew=a+bxold 1. Enter salary data in L1. Compute summary stats. 2. Add a constant amount of 0.5 ($500,000) to each salary, and put these new data in L2. Compute summary stats. 3. Now suppose each player receives a 10% raise (multiply L1 by 1.10). Put these data in L3, then compute summary stats. Compare summary stats. What happened? Effects of a linear transformation Summary, p. 55: Multiply by b: Center (mean and median) and quartiles and spread (s, IQR) multiply by b. Add a: Center (mean and median) and quartiles: add a Spread (s, IQR): no change Preparing for your chapter 1 test Section 1.2 summary, p. 61 Chapter review, pp. 64-66 Exercise 1.55, p. 63 Exercises, pp. 66-72: 1.63 1.64 1.65 1.67 1.68