Safety Engineering and Analysis Applied to Reducing Experimental Amateur-Built (E-AB) Aircraft Accident Rates By L. D. Stevenson January 21, 2012 1/21/2012 GHAFI Presentation - L D Stevenson 1 A Little History George W and Aviation Soloflights.com 1/21/2012 GHAFI Presentation - L D Stevenson 2 Experimental Amateur-Built Aircraft Introduction Early Experimental AmateurBuilt (E-AB) Aircraft Certification Construction and Testing Safety Conclusions 1/21/2012 GHAFI Presentation - L D Stevenson 3 Early Amateur-Built Aircraft History – In the Beginning…,. 1903 First US amateur-built aircraft to fly 1903 No government regulation or oversight – Far “cry” from today Many aircraft built as one of a kind aircraft Built by individuals or small teams The Wright Flyer at Kitty Hawk (National Air and Space Museum website, 2009) 1908 – First major aircraft accident Ft. Meyer, Va Killed 2Lt Thomas E. Selfridge Buried at Arlington Selfridge Air Force Base 1/21/2012 GHAFI Presentation - L D Stevenson (check-six .com, 2009) 4 Post World War II 1941 – 1947 – No amateur-built aircraft allowed 1947 - CAA designates all amateur-built aircraft before WWII in category “X” – must recertify every 6 months 1952 – first experimental amateur-built category 1953 – Experimental Aircraft Association (EAA) founded 1964 – Granted authorization for aerobatics 1966 – Granted first IFR operations ~1970 – First kits offered 1/21/2012 GHAFI Presentation - L D Stevenson 5 Certification Builder certifies the aircraft through the FAA at the end of the building process…..Basically a paperwork process No detailed stringent requirements as in Part 23 certification process for manufactured aircraft similar to C-172, Beechcraft, etc . E-AB aircraft can not be used for commercial or fly for hire activities Builder free to make adjustments, design changes, modifications Builder SHOULD consult knowledgeable sources to ensure safety That’s – Should - but there is no requirement 1/21/2012 GHAFI Presentation - L D Stevenson 6 Certification – Continued Advisory Circular 20-27G – Builder takes on the risk to ensure changes are prudent and safe Responsibility for final outcome rests with the builder Many sources available to help the builder with building process Internet, EAA, classes, schools 1/21/2012 GHAFI Presentation - L D Stevenson 7 Construction and Testing Information comes from many sources – Generally not the FAA First stop - kit/plans manufacturer Other builders & EAA Technical Counselors Internet Kit Airplanes Buy the whole enchilada Buy in stages – Tail, wings, fuselage, etc. QuickBuild Kits Plans (Vansaircraft.com, 2009) 1/21/2012 GHAFI Presentation - L D Stevenson 8 Construction and Testing - Continued Design, building, and mods have become much more standardized Must have detailed records or logs of your work 51% rule – the builder must build 51% of the airplane FAA likes to see records of EAA technical counselor visits Flight testing Occurs after FAA certifies aircraft airworthiness Must fly up to 40 hours in the flight test program No passengers allowed Flight test must show: Aircraft controllable at normal speeds & during all expected flight maneuvers No hazardous operating characteristics 1/21/2012 GHAFI Presentation - L D Stevenson 9 Safety If built and operated within design limits Safety generally not a problem 5% of all accidents attributed to builder error 22% of first flight accidents linked to builder error 42.7% of first flight accidents linked to pilot error Article by Ron Wanttaja Overall accident rate comparable to Part 23 aircraft in similar operations Auto engines and two stoke engines Significantly higher accident rates More complicated cooling, and ignition systems (no redundancy), power transfer units 1/21/2012 GHAFI Presentation - L D Stevenson (www.kitplanes.com,2009) 10 SAFETY - Continued Statistically – – 1 in 115 amateur-built aircraft will crash in any given year (2007) – 1 in 149 certificated aircraft will crash in any given year (2007) Accident rates are comparable – Even though amateur-built aircraft are: Designed and built by amateurs Generally maintained by amateurs Many powered by amateur auto engine conversions – Major cause of accidents – still pilot error with no relationship to the building process This shows how well overall most amateur-built aircraft are constructed and flown 1/21/2012 GHAFI Presentation - L D Stevenson 11 E-AB Fatal Accidents 2000 - 2009 Capstone Paper – Study of Fixed Wing Experimental Amateur-Built (E-AB) Aircraft Fatal Accidents in the US for Calendar Years 2000-2009 – Looking for a correlation between pilot’s total flight time and flight time in make & model of fatal accident airplane Very low correlation found between the two times Focused on Make and Model flight time 1/21/2012 GHAFI Presentation - L D Stevenson 12 E-AB Fatal accidents – 2000 through 2009 Total Hours in Make and Model Number of Fatal Accidents that Occurred Within the Make and Model Hour Range Indicated Percentage of Fatal Accidents Within the Make and Model Hour Range Indicated 0 to 50 51 to 100 101 to 150 151 to 200 201 to 250 251 to 300 301 to 350 351 to 400 401 to 450 451 to 500 501 to 550 551 to 600 650 to 2000 114 39 27 6 20 6 0 2 3 1 4 2 7 49.3506% 16.8831% 11.6883% 2.5974% 8.6580% 2.5974% 0.0000% 0.8658% 1.2987% 0.4329% 1.7316% 0.8658% 3.0303% 1/21/2012 E-AB aircraft fatal Accidents for Each Fifty (50) Hours of Make and Model Flight Time Years 2000-2009 GHAFI Presentation - L D Stevenson 13 Lower the Accident Rate! FAA to EAA – Lower E-AB accident rates – EAA currently focusing on a web based survey of E-AB builders & pilots – Results in 2012 EAA better to do this than FAA Pilots/builders are more open to giving feedback to EAA Most pilots perceive the FAA might use your inputs against you – A multi year trend of more accidents per year needs to be reversed 1/21/2012 GHAFI Presentation - L D Stevenson 14 Changing Accident Trends How do we change the E-AB accident trends? From Bahr Textbook – “The primary method of preventing accidents is through a comprehensive & systematic approach to safety management. The most cost effective way to control risks is to implement a comprehensive system safety program throughout the product or system life cycle – Cradle to Grave.” – Cooperation and coordinated implementation between: FAA, EAA, AOPA, NTSB, and kit/plans manufactures 1/21/2012 GHAFI Presentation - L D Stevenson 15 Safety Change Examples Ellington Field (EFD) Aero Club, Houston, Tx – Towered airport with very diverse aircraft population Problem – low time non-proficient pilots in ground and tower operations Frequent disregard for taxi and takeoff procedures – tower personnel aren’t happy Club mgt, pilots, and twr personnel met to discuss problems Results – Ground school classes on towered airport procedures taught by tower controller – Pilots required to visit tower to observe operations – Infraction dropped to almost zero – Much improved safety environment 1/21/2012 GHAFI Presentation - L D Stevenson 16 Safety Change Examples Two club aircraft accidents due to crosswinds – Both pilots not proficient in crosswind landings – Neither pilot had ever demonstrated cross wind proficiency even on their check rides – No requirement for proficiency during a/c checkout – Check out in higher performance a/c allows pilot to fly lower performance a/c without add’l checkout – Now What? Implemented crosswind proficiency for checkout Higher performance checkout OK for more experienced pilots, but not for inexperienced pilots – Results Much better accident/incident statistics 1/21/2012 GHAFI Presentation - L D Stevenson 17 Safety Change Examples Where I work – Many minor accidents with minor injuries What can we do to reverse the trend? – GM backs into wife’s car - and think’s “Wish I had those five seconds back” – Think 5 is born – “Think 5 (ahead)” Implemented by management team Fully embraced by employees – Result – Zero accidents – Safety focused culture – Think 5 upgraded : Think 5…There is no rewind 1/21/2012 GHAFI Presentation - L D Stevenson 18 Conclusions To improve E-AB safety – Education – get the information “out there” Seminars, online information, classes Review of accident reports – Increased flight proficiency – Apply common sense – Additional dual instruction – Attitude upset training 1/21/2012 GHAFI Presentation - L D Stevenson 19 Conclusions FAA is involved as it wants to be – Currently the FARs with Advisory Circulars provide adequate guidance This is my conclusion (from this research) Builders to whom I talked agree Sufficient resources are available (not necessarily through the FAA) to build a very safe aircraft – Examples http://www.vansairforce.net – One stop shop for RV’s http://www.eaa.org/homebuilt Magazines – Kitplanes FAA is more involved in overall enforcement and safety – Kit 51% rule as an example Overall the FAA/EAA “partnership” and other sources are more than adequate to ensure the final product is a safe airplane – In the end…..the builder/pilot is the key 1/21/2012 GHAFI Presentation - L D Stevenson 20 Questions?? adamsrv8.com/RV-8_Gallery.html Dyke Delta JD-2 Lancair IV-P http://rts-services.com/Schaefer/LancAir/ http://www.ultralightnews.com/ulbg2/images/kitfox-4.jpg 1/21/2012 GHAFI Presentation - L D Stevenson 21