Chapter 3 THINKING LIKE A RESEARCHER McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2014 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Learning Objectives Understand . . . The terminology used by professional researchers employing scientific thinking. 3-2 Language of Research Concepts Constructs Models Terms used in research Theory Conceptual schemes Operational definitions Variables Propositions/ Hypotheses 3-3 Language of Research Success of Research Clear conceptualization of concepts Shared understanding of concepts 3-4 Job Redesign Constructs and Concepts 3-5 Operational Definitions: how will we measure the variable? How can we define the variable “class level of students”? Freshman < 30 credit hours Sophomore 30-50 credit hours Junior 60-89 credit hours Senior > 90 credit hours 3-6 A Variable: Property Being Studied Act Event (buying ticket) (being selected for security check) Variable Characteristic Trait (rebellious daughter)) (sensitive nature) Attribute (daughter) 3-7 Types of Variables Dichotomous Male/Female Employed/ Unemployed Discrete (point) Ethnic background Educational level Religious affiliation Continuous (line) Income Temperature Age 3-8 Independent and Dependent Variables (Also known as…) Independent Variable (IV) Dependent Variable (DV) Example: £ spent in Advertising Example: £ earned in Sales Predictor Criterion Presumed cause Presumed effect Stimulus Response Predicted from… Predicted to…. Antecedent Consequence Manipulated Measured outcome 3-9 Relationships Among Variable Types MV: Moderating Variable) 3-10 Relationships Among Variable Types Control Variable: They may have effect on DV, but we do not want to study them, so we ”control” for them Confounding Variable = type of work done (meeting versus non-meeting), they are MVs or IVs, but found later in the study that we did not take them into account and 3-11 they ”confounded” the results. If we can measure them later, we can control for them. Relationships Among Variable Types IVV = Intervening Variable Also known as Mediating Variable 3-12 Moderating Variables (MV) The introduction of a four-day week (IV) will lead to higher productivity (DV), especially among younger workers (MV) Class Exercise: Draw following in box-and-arrow diagrams The switch to commission from a salary compensation system (IV) will lead to increased sales (DV) per worker, especially more experienced workers (MV). The loss of mining jobs (IV) leads to acceptance of higher-risk behaviors to earn a family-supporting income (DV) – particularly among those with a limited education (MV). 3-13 Intervening Variables (IVV) • The switch to a commission compensation system (IV) will lead to higher sales (DV) by increasing overall compensation (IVV). • A promotion campaign (IV) will increase savings activity (DV), especially when free prizes are offered (MV), but chiefly among smaller savers (EV-control). The results come from enhancing the motivation to save (IVV). 3-14 Propositions and Hypotheses Brand Manager Jones (case) has a higher-than- average achievement motivation (variable). Generalization Brand managers in Company Z (cases) have a higher-than-average achievement motivation (variable). 3-15 16 Hypothesis is A proposed explanantion A conjuncture. An educated guess. Yet to be tested Examples Online retailer’s communication with the ccustomers is related to higher trust from customers Online retailer’s strong privacy policies are related to higher trust from customers Online retailer’s web page with user friendliness is related to higher satisfaction from customers 3-16 17 Theory is a series of interrelated hypotheses Online retailer’s communication with the ccustomers is related to higher trust from customers Online retailer’s strong privacy policies are related to higher trust from customers Online retailer’s web page with user friendliness is related to higher satisfaction from customers xxxxxxxx When theory is depcited as a diagram, it is called ”model”. 3-17 Consumer Relationship with Online Retailers 18 3-18 Descriptive Hypothesis Formats Descriptive Hypothesis Research Question In Detroit, our What is the market potato chip market share stands at 13.7%. Finnish towns are experiencing budget difficulties. share for our potato chips in Detroit? Are Finnish towns experiencing budget difficulties? 3-19 Relational Hypotheses Formats Correlational Young women (under 35) purchase fewer units of our product than women who are older than 35. The number of suits sold varies directly with the level of the business cycle. Causal An increase in family income leads to an increase in the percentage of income saved. Loyalty to a grocery store increases the probability of sales of that store’s private brand products. 3-20 The Role of Hypotheses Guide the direction of the study Identify relevant facts Suggest most appropriate research design Provide framework for organizing resulting conclusions 3-21 Characteristics of Strong Hypotheses Adequate A Strong Hypothesis Testable Better than rivals 3-22 What is the difference between theories and hypotheses? Hypotheses tend to be simple, limited-variable statements involving concrete occasions. Theories tend to be complex, abstract, and involve multiple variables. Theory is a set of systematically interrelated concepts, definitions, and propositions that are advanced to explain or predict phenomena. To the degree that our theories are sound and fit the situation, we are successful in our explanations and predictions. The following slide has an example of a theory. 3-23 Herzberg’s Two factor Theory Job satisfaction and job dissatisfaction caused by two different Set of factors 3-24 Model versus Theory 25 A model is a representation of theory, in 2D, in 3D, in picture, in an equation etc. 3-25 Examples of Models Theory within Research 3-27 A Model Based on Justice Theory 28 3-28 The Scientific Method Direct observation Clearly defined variables Clearly defined methods Empirically testable Elimination of alternatives Statistical justification Self-correcting process 3-29 Researchers • Encounter problems • State problems • Propose hypotheses • Deduce outcomes • Formulate rival hypotheses • Devise and conduct empirical tests • Draw conclusions 3-30 Why is curiosity important? 3-31 Sound Reasoning Types of Discourse Exposition Deduction Argument Induction 3-32 Deductive Reasoning: Conclusion must follow from the reasons (premises) given. Premise 1: Inner-city household interviewing is especially difficult and expensive Premise 2: This survey involves substantial inner-city household interviewing Conclusion: The interviewing in this survey will be especially difficult and expensive 3-33 Deductive Reasoning Apply deductive reasoning to this image. What will happen next? 3-34 Inductive Reasoning: Inferring something beyond the evidence presented Why didn’t sales increase during our promotional event? Regional retailers did not have sufficient stock to fill customer requests during the promotional period A strike by employees prevented stock from arriving in time for promotion to be effective A hurricane closed retail outlets in the region for 10 days during the promotion 3-35 Why Didn’t Sales Increase? 3-36 Tracy’s Performance 3-37 Key Terms Concept Conceptual scheme Construct Deduction Hypothesis Induction Model Operational definition Proposition Theory Variable Control Confounding (CFV) Dependent (DV) Extraneous (EV) Independent (IV) Intervening (IVV) Moderating (MV) 3-38