BOARD of GOVERNORS
Commission on Higher Education
Access and Attainment
Coming To Closure:
The Board of Governors 90,000 Degree Goal
Determination of Academic Programs To Grow
A Proposed RFP Process
Jan Ignash, Vice Chancellor, Academic and Student Affairs
June 17, 2013
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BOARD of GOVERNORS State University System of Florida
1
Reaching 90,000 Degrees Per Year: Two Factors
ENROLLMENT
GRADUATION RATE SCENARIOS (for 2025 graduating class)
includes FTICs,
AA & Other Transfers
ANNUAL
GROWTH
RATE
TOTAL
NEW
GROWTH
2011-12
to 2019-20
FTIC: 70%
AA: 81%
Other: 70%
FTIC: 72%
AA: 83%
Other: 72%
FTIC: 74%
AA: 85%
Other: 74%
FTIC: 76%
AA: 85%
Other: 76%
FTIC: 78%
AA: 85%
Other: 78%
FTIC: 80%
AA: 85%
Other: 80%
FTIC: 82%
AA: 85%
Other: 80%
FTIC: 84%
AA: 85%
Other: 80%
FTIC: 86%
AA: 85%
Other: 80%
FTIC: 88%
AA: 85%
Other: 80%
0%
0
72,800
74,500
76,200
77,400
78,600
79,700
80,500
81,300
82,100
82,900
1%
2,600
76,400
78,300
80,000
81,300
82,500
83,800
84,600
85,500
86,300
87,200
2%
9,600
80,900
82,800
84,600
86,000
87,300
88,600
89,500
90,400
91,300
92,200
3%
16,800
85,300
87,200
89,300
90,600
92,000
93,400
94,400
95,400
96,300
97,300
NOTES: 'Annual Growth Rates' were applied to all three student types (FTIC, AA Transfers, and Other Transfers). 'Total New Growth' is the projected number of
the additional newly enrolled undergraduate students in 2019 for each 'Growth Rate' scenario above the 86,731 newly enrolled undergraduates in 2011-12.
SOURCE: Board of Governors staff analysis.
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BOARD of GOVERNORS State University System of Florida
2
Projected Student Growth
Student Growth Projected Between Real Fall 2011 Enrollment and Planned Fall 2015 Headcounts
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
-1,000
-2,000
-3,000
Undergraduate
Graduate
FAMU
FAU
FGCU
FIU
FPU
FSU
NCF
UCF
UF
UNF
USF-T
USFStP
USFSM
UWF
-627
946
3,985
1,080
871
192
-10
2,220
1,230
1,268
-2,065
227
516
1,887
60
533
4
465
15
111
0
127
201
102
1,419
100
1
229
Undergraduate
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Graduate
BOARD of GOVERNORS State University System of Florida
3
FTIC Graduation Rates and Number Not Graduated
FTIC Graduation Rates and Number Not Graduated
(2006-12 cohort)
8,000
7,000
1,026
6,000
2,356
1,582
5,000
4,000
1,975
2,274
3,000
75%
2,000
65%
1,414
1,000
993
0
39%
40%
43%
FAMU
FAU
FGCU
897
47%
FIU
1,349
56%
54
69%
FSU
GRADUATED IN 6 YEARS OR LESS
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85%
NCF
47%
UCF
UF
UNF
562
44%
USF
UWF
NOT GRADUATED IN 6 YEARS
BOARD of GOVERNORS State University System of Florida
4
May 2012 Questions Revisited
1. Is the pipeline of college-age students going to
be able to produce a sufficient number of
college-ready students?
2. Is there going to be any need in the near future
for additional universities or colleges to meet this
demand?
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BOARD of GOVERNORS State University System of Florida
5
Revisiting Additional May 2012 Questions
3. Should all these new students attend our state
universities, or is there a major role to be played
by the State’s colleges and other sectors?
4. Will the increased demand be evenly distributed
around the state or will there be some
geographic areas disproportionately impacted?
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BOARD of GOVERNORS State University System of Florida
6
Decision Point: Academic Programs to Grow
2010-11 Florida Baccalaureates Awarded in Fields Associated with Targeted Occupations
by Higher Educational Sector Production
and Bachelor’s Annual Gap
CIP
Code
Title
Public Relations Specialists
09.0100 Communication, General.
09.0101 Speech Communication and Rhetoric.
09.0900
Public Relations, Advertising, and Applied
Communication.
Sector
CIE
FCS
ICUF
SUS
Total
0
0
145
0
145
0
0
73
429
502
0
0
101
0
101
Bachelors Annual Gap
116
09.0902 Public Relations/Image Management.
0
0
90
175
265
Computer Network Architects (Gap: 439), Computer Systems Analysts (Gap: 564),
Computer Programmers (Gap: 316), Software Developers—Applications (Gap:
459), Software Developers—Systems Software (Gap: 370), Graphic Designers (Gap:
213)
Computer and Information Sciences,
11.0101
General.
62
0
234
481
777
11.0103 Information Technology.
11.0201
Computer Programming/Programmer,
General.
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27
0
60
334
421
204
0
0
0
204
2361
BOARD of GOVERNORS State University System of Florida
7
Focusing in on Programs to Target
Bachelor’s
Annual
Gap:
971
Accountants and Auditors (Gap: 862), Financial Analysts (Gap: 109)
Code
Title
52.0301
Accounting.
52.0304
Accounting and Finance.
52.0305
Accounting and Business/Management.
52.0801
Finance, General.
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CIE
FCS
ICUF
SUS
TOTAL
154
0
657
1,951
2,762
0
0
17
0
17
98
0
2
0
100
21
19
328
2,605
2,973
BOARD of GOVERNORS State University System of Florida
8
Commission Request for Proposal Process
Conduct Gap Analysis: Identify undersupplied/high demand program areas
Release RFP to Higher Ed. System
to meet particular existing* unmet need and “expand on demand”
Legislative funding
Proposal Submission and Evaluation
using criteria such as:
-- Local/regional demand as well as statewide
-- Existing capacity
-- Documented past record of student success
-- Partnerships/collaborations (including online)
-- Sustainable financial plan/ROI
-- Cost to produce a graduate
-- Near- and long-term enrollment and degree projections
-- Agreement to post-award monitoring and evaluation
Awards
Post-award Evaluation
* This process does not address emerging and evolving occupations.
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BOARD of GOVERNORS State University System of Florida
9
Mapping the Physical Gaps: a Likely Tool
Information Science Studies Programs
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BOARD of GOVERNORS State University System of Florida
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Next Steps
 Decide which programs to grow. (hand-out)
 Agree to an RFP or some other process to
determine who should grow.
 If an RFP is agreed to, determine which body
should conduct proposal analysis and
recommendations.
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BOARD of GOVERNORS State University System of Florida
11