Mid Exam FINC 5880- Shanghai Advanced Corporate Finance VERSION A - ANSWERS 2013 - 23 November Multiple Choice Questions: 20 points (4 points each) Q1) You have been asked to assess the dividend policy of HULTIMO, an Education services company that has been in existence only 3 years. The firm has provided you with its last three years of financial data: Year : 3 years ago (2010) Net Income $ 100 million Capital Expenditures $ 50 million Depreciation $ 50 million Non-cash Working Capital -$ 15 million Total Debt $0 2 years ago (2011) $ 120 million $ 130 million $ 60 million $ 15 million $ 40 million Most recent year (2012) $ 150 million $ 145 million $ 70 million $ 30 million $ 30 million (Note: You have been given total non-cash working capital each year, not the change) You are also told that the firm had $ 20 million in cash, no non-cash working capital and no debt when it started operations three years ago. If the current cash balance is $ 30 million, the firm bought back no stock and the firm maintained a constant dividend pay-out ratio over the 3 years, calculate this average dividend pay-out ratio. A: The average pay out ratio over these 3 years was about 62% B: The average pay out ratio over these 3 years was about 42% C: The average pay out ratio over these 3 years was about 58% D: Non of the above 3 years average pay out ratio’s is correct Q2) An investor is executing the following Arbitrage; Action Buy 3 call options Short sell 1 share Cash Flow t=0 - $ 16.50 $100 St=$90 (t=1) $0 - $90 St=$120 (t=1) $30 -$120 (repay in t=1) Lend $83.50 at 10% interest rate TOTAL - $83.50 $ 91.85 $ 91.85 $0 $ 1.85 $ 1.85 If the fair value of the call option was $ 6.00 what must be the market price of the call option given above arbitrage? A) B) C) D) $ 4.21 $ 5.44 $ 5.50 Non of the above Answer: $ 1.85/3 calls= $ 0.6166 mis pricing per call so Pv of this $ 0.6166/1.10=$ 0.56 Thus $6.00-$0.56=$5.44 Note the calls are bought indicating that they are under priced. However the information provided is somewhat contradicting; the arbitrage starts with buying 3 calls for $5.50 each so C is also correct and most students choose this answer without doing the calculation. Q3) Suppose that a commodity sells for $280 (today’s spot price), inflation is 2% per year and the risk free interest rate is 0.5% per month. What should be the fair value of the 6 months (maturity) Futures contract (Fo)? A) B) C) D) $297.27 $288.51 $285 Non of the above Answer: $280*(1+0.005)^6=$288.51 Q4) A company considers and investment of $100 M; the asset is depreciated over 3 years MACRS method respectively 45% (year one), 35%(year two) and 15%(year three). The residual value is estimated at $ 10 M and the tax rate 35%; if the company buys the asset and borrows the money the interest is 10% per year. A guideline lease requires a yearly lease fee of $ 40 M If this Company makes the decision entirely based on the cost over the 3 year usage of the asset and you have no other information then the above then the Company would choose; A: Leasing since the cost is more than $ 10M lower over 3 years B: To borrow the money and buy the asset since the cost is more than $ 5 M lower over 3 years C: To borrow the money and buy the asset although the difference with Leasing is really small over the 3 years D: The Company can choose since the Costs will be exactly the same under Leasing or if the Company borrows the money and buys the asset Answer: B Q5) In 2010 Apple Inc’s Beta is estimated to be 0.9 (lower than the market). If you know that Apple’s Firm value is $ 280 Billion and it has about $ 180 Billion in Cash (and equivalents). You further know that the Company has about $ 5 billion debt. If the Firm value of $ 280 Billion includes that cash amount and $ 5 Billion debt what is the “Unlevered Business Beta” of Apple Inc.? Assume a tax rate of 35%. A: Apple’s Business Beta excluding cash based on 100% Equity financing must be: close to the Market beta B: Apple’s Unlevered Business Beta excluding cash must be about 1.4 C: Apple’s Unlevered Business Beta excluding cash must be about 1.9 D: Apple’s Unlevered Business Beta excluding cash must be over 2.0 Answer: B Open Question1) Black Scholes Option Valuation (20 points) Assume we know the following for calculating the value of an option: The annual standard deviation of the return of the underlying security is 27.83%, the maturity is exactly half a year, the risk free rate (annual) is 6%, the underlying stock (spot) price is $100 and the strike price of the option is $105 no dividend is paid on the stock. REQUIRED: a) What is the value of the Call Option and Put Option according to the Black Scholes Option Valuation Model? (5 points) b) Use the Call-Put Parity to show that the Parity results in the same Put option value (5 points) c) If the Call option is actually selling for $8 in the market; how much is it’s implied volatility (Standard Deviation of return of the underlying security)? (10 points) ANSWER: a) Call Value $ 7.00 Put Value $ 8.8968 b) P=C-So+PV(X) or: P= $7.00-$100+$105/1.03= $8.94 however with continuous interest; P=$7.00-$100+$105*e^-0.06*0.5=$7.00$100+0.970445534*$105=$8.8968 EXACTLY c) Try out or use GOAL seeker: The volatility should of course be higher; 0.3138 (31.38%) exceeding the original 27.83%. Open Question 2) Binomial Option Valuation and Arbitrage (20 points) a) For a call option on SUFE Food. (strike price = $40) with 1 year upon expiration, calculate its theoretical price if you know: The underlying SUFE Food’s stock sells for $30 per share now. In 1 year, we know the stock can be traded at either $60 or $15. You are able to borrow or lend at the risk-free rate of 5% per annum. (10 points) b) If this Call option is trading at a price of $6 now. Please set up the arbitrage and “get” the risk-free benefit. (Show your process) (10 points) ANSWER a) b) Open Question 3) Futures and Arbitrage (20 points – 10 points each) a) How should we value a “Long “ Future Contract (Fo) on Gold today if you know: Current Sport Price of Gold (So); $ 1,775 Inflation (I): 2% per year Risk free rate (Rf) : 0.1% per month Maturity Future contract (t): 6 months (October 2012) GDP growth US in 2012 estimate: 1.5% per year ANSWER: Fo= So*(1+Rf)^t thus Fo= $1,775*(1+0.1%)^6= $ 1,785.68 b) If above Future contract is traded today for $ 1,782.50 how could you make a risk free profit through arbitrage. Show your calculations, explain your symbols and assumptions. ANSWER: Arbitrage: Buy the Under Priced Future Contract (Long position) Strategy: (note t=6 means 6 months later) Sell Gold Today + $ 1775 Buy back in t=6 for -St (future spot price cash out) Buy the Future no cash today future t=6 pay off: St- 1782.50 (Fo) Invest - $ 1775 and get back plus interest in t=6 $ 1785.68 Net pay off: $ 1785.68 - $ 1782.50= $ 3.18 Risk Free Note this is exactly the amount of the miss pricing! Open Question 4) Plain Vanilla Interest SWAPS (20 points – 10 points each) Two companies want to enter into a plain vanilla interest SWAP. Their current financing conditions are: Company A Company B Fixed Rate 5% Fixed Rate 6.5% Floating Rate IBOR+0.1% Floating Rate IBOR+0.4% Company A is currently Financed with Fixed rate Debt and Company B with floating rate Debt. You are the SWAP dealer and you take 0.2% dealer fee. a) Assume that A and B perfectly equally share the benefit of this SWAP what will be the interest % (in Floating rate for A and Fixed rate for B) after the SWAP? Answer Company A: IBOR-0.4% and Company B: 6% b) DRAW and set up the SWAP deal: Open Question 5) Bottom Up Beta’s (20 points) You have been asked to analyze GenCorp, a corporation with food and tobacco subsidiaries. The tobacco subsidiary is estimated to be worth $ 15 billion and the food subsidiary is estimated to have a value of $ 10 billion. The firm has a debt to equity ratio of 1.00. You are provided with the following information on comparable firms: Business Average Beta Average D/E Ratio Food 0.92 25% Tobacco 1.17 50% All firms are assumed to have a tax rate of 40%. If the current long-term bond rate is 6%, estimate the Levered Beta for this company Answer Unlevered Beta for Food Business = 0.92/(1+(1-.4)(.25)) = Unlevered Beta for Tobacco Business = 1.17/(1+(1 - .4)(.5)) = 0.8 0.9 Unlevered Beta for the Company = 0.8 (10/25) + 0.9 (15/25) = 0.86 Levered Beta for the Company = 0.86 (1 + (1-.4)(1.00)) = 0.86 ! Weighted by values of each division END OF MID EXAM FINC 5880 NOV 2013 1.376